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RESEARCH METHODOLOGY – UNIT
FOUR
August 13, 2014
CONTENTS
ī‚ĸ Sampling decisions
ī‚— Sampling versus census
ī‚— Sampling techniques
ī‚— Issues governing sampling decisions
2
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
CENSUS AND SAMPLE SURVEY
ī‚ĸ All items in any field of inquiry constitute a ‘Universe’ or
‘Population’
ī‚ĸ A complete enumeration of all items in the ‘population’ is known
as a census inquiry.
ī‚ĸ It is presumed that in such an inquiry, when all items are covered,
no elements of chance is left and highest accuracy is obtained.
ī‚ĸ But in practice this may not be true.
ī‚ĸ Even the slightest element of bias in such an inquiry will get
larger and larger as the number of observation increases.
ī‚ĸ This type of inquiry involves a great deal of time, money and
energy.
ī‚ĸ Therefore, when the field of inquiry is large, this method
becomes difficult to adopt because of the resources involved.
ī‚ĸ Sometimes, it is possible to obtain sufficiently accurate results by
studying a part of total population.
3
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
CENSUS AND SAMPLE SURVEY
ī‚ĸ However, when the universe is a small one, it is no use
going for a sample survey.
ī‚ĸ When field studies are undertaken in practical life,
considerations of time and cost almost invariably lead to
a selection of respondents, i.e., selection of only a few
items.
ī‚ĸ The selected respondents should be representative of
the total population as far as possible.
ī‚ĸ The selected respondents constitute what is technically
called a ‘sample’ and the selection process is called
‘sampling technique’.
ī‚ĸ The survey so conducted is known as ‘sample survey’.
4
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
CENSUS AND SAMPLE SURVEY
ī‚ĸ Algebraically, let the population size be N and if a
part of size n (which is < N) of this population is
selected according to some rule for studying some
characteristic of the population, the group consisting of
these n units is known as ‘sample’.
ī‚ĸ Researcher must prepare a sample design for his/her
study, i.e., he must plan how a sample should be selected
and of what size such a sample would be.
5
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
IMPLICATIONS OF A SAMPLE DESIGN
ī‚ĸ A sample design is a definite plan for obtaining a
sample from a given population.
ī‚ĸ It refers to the technique or the procedure the
researcher would adopt in selecting items for the
sample.
ī‚ĸ Sample design is determined before data are
collected.
ī‚ĸ Researcher must select/prepare a sample design
which should be reliable and appropriate for his/her
research.
6
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
STEPS IN SAMPLING DESIGN
ī‚ĸ While developing a sampling design, the researcher
must pay attention to the following points:
ī‚— Type of universe
ī‚— Sampling unit
ī‚— Source list
ī‚— Size of sample
ī‚— Parameters of interest
ī‚— Budgetary constraint
ī‚— Sampling procedure
7
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
STEPS IN SAMPLING DESIGN
ī‚ĸ Type of universe
ī‚— First step is to clearly define the set of objects,
technically called the Universe, to be studied.
ī‚— The universe can be finite or infinite.
ī‚— In finite universe, the number of items is certain, but in
case of infinite universe, the number of items cannot be
determined.
ī‚— Examples of finite universe – the population of the city,
the number of workers in a factory etc.
ī‚— Examples of infinite universe – the number of stars in
the sky, the listeners of a specific radio program,
throwing of dice etc.
8
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
STEPS IN SAMPLING DESIGN
ī‚ĸ Sampling unit
ī‚— A decision has to be taken concerning a sampling unit
before selecting sample.
ī‚— Sampling unit may be a geographical one such as state,
district, village etc., or a construction unit such as
house, flat etc., or a social unit such as family, club,
school etc., or an individual.
ī‚— The researcher will have to decide one or more of such
units that he/she has to select for his/her study.
9
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
STEPS IN SAMPLING DESIGN
ī‚ĸ Source list
ī‚— It is also known as ‘sampling frame’ from which sample
is to be drawn.
ī‚— It contains the names of all items of a universe (in case
of finite universe only).
ī‚— If source list is not available, researcher has to prepare
it.
ī‚— Such a list should be comprehensive, correct, reliable
and appropriate.
ī‚— It is extremely important for the source list to be as
representative of the population as possible.
10
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
STEPS IN SAMPLING DESIGN
ī‚ĸ Size of sample
ī‚— This refers to the number of items to be selected from
the universe to constitute a sample.
ī‚— The size of the sample should neither be excessively
large, nor too small.
ī‚— It should be optimum – an optimum sample is one which
fulfills the requirements of efficiency,
representativeness, reliability and flexibility.
ī‚— The parameters of interest in a research study must be
kept in view, while deciding the size of the sample that
we can draw.
ī‚— Budgetary constraints also should be considered when
we decide the sample size. 11
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
STEPS IN SAMPLING DESIGN
ī‚ĸ Parameters of interest
ī‚— In determining the sample design, one must consider
the question of the specific population parameters which
are of interest.
ī‚— For instance, we may be interested in estimating the
proportion of persons with some characteristics in the
population, or we may be interested in knowing some
average or the measure concerning the population.
ī‚— There also may be important sub-groups in the
population about whom we would like to make
estimates.
ī‚— All this has a strong impact upon the sample design we
would accept. 12
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
STEPS IN SAMPLING DESIGN
ī‚ĸ Budgetary constraint
ī‚— Cost considerations, from practical point of view, have a major
impact upon decisions relating to not only the size of the
sample but also on the type of sample.
ī‚— This fact can even lead to the use of a non-probability
sample.
ī‚ĸ Sampling procedure
ī‚— The researcher must decide the type of sample he/she will
use, i.e., he/she must decide about the technique to be used
in selecting the items for the sample.
ī‚— In fact, this technique or procedure stands for the sample
design itself.
ī‚— There are several sample designs out of which a researcher
must choose one for his/her sample study.
ī‚— He/she must select that design which, for a given sample size
and for a given cost, has a smaller sampling error.
13
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
CRITERIA OF SELECTING A SAMPLING
PROCEDURE
ī‚ĸ Two costs are involved in a sampling analysis viz.,
the cost of collecting the data and the cost of an
incorrect inference resulting from the data.
ī‚ĸ Researcher must keep in view the two causes of
incorrect inferences viz., systematic bias and
sampling error.
ī‚ĸ A systematic bias results from errors in the
sampling procedures, and it cannot be reduced or
eliminated by increasing the sample size.
ī‚ĸ At best, the causes responsible for these errors can
be detected and corrected.
14
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
CRITERIA OF SELECTING A SAMPLING
PROCEDURE
ī‚ĸ Usually, a systematic bias is the result of one or
more of the following factors:
ī‚— Inappropriate sampling frame
ī‚ĸ If the sampling frame is inappropriate, i.e., a biased
representation of the universe, it will result in a systematic
bias.
ī‚— Defective measuring device
ī‚ĸ If the measuring device is constantly making errors, it will
result in systematic bias.
ī‚ĸ In survey work, systematic bias can result if the questionnaire
or the interviewer is biased.
ī‚ĸ Similarly, if the physical measuring device is defective there
will be systematic bias in the data collected through such a
measuring device. 15
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
CRITERIA OF SELECTING A SAMPLING
PROCEDURE
ī‚ĸ Usually, a systematic bias is the result of one or
more of the following factors:
ī‚— Non-respondents
ī‚ĸ If we are unable to sample all the individuals initially included
in the sample, there may arise a systematic bias.
ī‚ĸ The reason is that such a situation the likelihood of
establishing contact or receiving a response from an individual
is often correlated with the measure of what is to be estimated.
ī‚— Indeterminacy principle
ī‚ĸ Individuals act differently when kept under observations than
what they do when kept in non-observed situations. This
indeterminacy principle may also be a cause of a systematic
bias.
16
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
CRITERIA OF SELECTING A SAMPLING
PROCEDURE
ī‚ĸ Usually, a systematic bias is the result of one or
more of the following factors:
ī‚— Natural bias in the reporting of data
ī‚ĸ Natural bias of respondents in the reporting of data is often the
cause of a systematic bias in many queries.
ī‚ĸ There is usually a downward bias in the income data collected
by the government taxation department, whereas we find an
upward bias in the income data collected by some social
organization.
ī‚ĸ People in general understate their incomes if asked about it for
tax purposes, but they overstate the same if asked for social
status or their affluence.
ī‚ĸ Generally in psychological surveys, people tend to give what
they think is the ‘correct’ answer rather than revealing their true
feelings.
17
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
CRITERIA OF SELECTING A SAMPLING
PROCEDURE
ī‚ĸ Sampling errors are the random variations in the
sample estimates around the true population
parameters.
ī‚ĸ Since they occur randomly and are equally likely to
be in either direction, their nature happens to be of
compensatory type and the expected value of such
errors happens to be equal to zero.
ī‚ĸ Sampling error decreases with the increase in the
size of the sample, and it happens to be of a
smaller magnitude in case of homogeneous
population.
ī‚ĸ Sampling error can be measured for a given
sample design and size. 18
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
CRITERIA OF SELECTING A SAMPLING
PROCEDURE
ī‚ĸ The measurement of a sampling error is usually called the
‘precision of the sampling plan’.
ī‚ĸ If we increase the sample size, the precision can be improved.
ī‚ĸ But increasing the size of the sample has its own limitations
viz., a large sized sample increases the cost of collecting data
and also enhances the systematic bias.
ī‚ĸ Thus the effective way to increase precision is usually to
select a better sampling design which has a smaller sampling
error for a given sample size at a given cost.
ī‚ĸ In practice, however, people prefer a less precise design
because it is easier to adopt the same and also because of
the fact that systematic bias can be controlled in a better way
in such a design.
ī‚ĸ In brief, while selecting a sampling procedure, researcher
must ensure that the procedure causes a relatively small
sampling error and helps to control the systematic bias in
a better way. 19
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
CHARACTERISTICS OF A GOOD SAMPLE
DESIGN
ī‚ĸ Sample design must result in a truly representative
sample.
ī‚ĸ Sample design must be such which results in a
small sampling error.
ī‚ĸ Sample design must be viable in the context of
funds available for the research study.
ī‚ĸ Sample design must be such so that systematic
bias can be controlled in a better way.
ī‚ĸ Sample design should be such that the results of
the sample study can be applied in general, for the
universe with a reasonable level of confidence.
20
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
DIFFERENT TYPES OF SAMPLE DESIGNS
ī‚ĸ There are different types of sample designs based on
two factors viz., the representation basis and the
element selection technique.
ī‚ĸ On the representation basis – the sample may be
probability sampling or it may be non-probability
sampling.
ī‚ĸ Probability sampling is based on the concept of random
selection, whereas non-probability sampling is ‘non-
random’ sampling.
ī‚ĸ On element selection basis, the sample may be either
unrestricted or restricted.
ī‚ĸ When each sample element is drawn individually from
the population at large, then the sample so drawn is
known as ‘unrestricted sample’, whereas all other forms
of sampling are covered under the term ‘restricted
sampling’. 21
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
CHART SHOWING BASIC SAMPLING DESIGNS
Element selection
technique
Representation basis
Probability
sampling
Non-probability
sampling
Unrestricted sampling Simple random
sampling
Haphazard
sampling or
convenience
sampling
Restricted sampling Complex
random
sampling (such
as cluster
sampling,
systematic
sampling,
stratified
sampling etc.)
Purposive
sampling (such
as quota
sampling,
judgement
sampling)
22
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
NON-PROBABILITY SAMPLING
ī‚ĸ Non-probability sampling is that sampling procedure
which does not afford any basis for estimating the
probability that each item in the population has of being
included in the sample.
ī‚ĸ It is known by different names – deliberate sampling,
purposive sampling, judgement sampling.
ī‚ĸ Items for the sample are selected deliberately by the
researcher, his/her choice concerning the items remains
supreme.
ī‚ĸ In other words, under non-probability sampling, the
organizers of the inquiry purposively chooses the
particular units of the universe for constituting the
sample out of a huge one will be typical or
representative of the whole.
ī‚ĸ Thus the judgement of the organizers of the study plays
an important part in the sampling design. 23
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
NON-PROBABILITY SAMPLING
ī‚ĸ In such a design, the investigator may select a sample which
shall yield results favorable to his point of view and if that
happens, the entire inquiry may be questionable.
ī‚ĸ Thus, there is always the danger of bias entering into this type
of sampling technique.
ī‚ĸ But if the investigators are impartial, work without bias and
have the necessary experience so as to take sound
judgement, the results obtained from an analysis of
deliberately selected sample may be tolerably reliable.
ī‚ĸ Sampling error in this type of sampling cannot be estimated
and the element of bias, great or small, is always there.
ī‚ĸ This sampling design is rarely adopted in large inquiries of
importance.
ī‚ĸ However, in small inquiries, it may be adopted because of the
relative advantage of time and money, inherent in this method
of sampling.
24
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
NON-PROBABILITY SAMPLING
ī‚ĸ Quota sampling is also an example of non-probability
sampling.
ī‚ĸ Under quota sampling, the interviewers are simply given
quotas to be filled from the different strata, with some
restrictions on how they are to be filled.
ī‚ĸ In other words, the actual selection of items for the
sample is left to the interviewer’s discretion.
ī‚ĸ This type of sampling is very convenient and is relatively
inexpensive.
ī‚ĸ But the samples so selected certainly do not possess
the characteristic of random samples,
ī‚ĸ Quota samples are essentially judgement samples and
the inferences drawn on their basis are not amenable to
statistical treatment in a formal way. 25
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
PROBABILITY SAMPLING
ī‚ĸ Also known as ‘random sampling’ or ‘chance sampling’.
ī‚ĸ Under this sampling design, every item of the universe has an
equal chance of inclusion in the sample.
ī‚ĸ This is equivalent to a lottery method in which individual units are
picked up from the whole group not deliberately but by some
mechanical process.
ī‚ĸ The results obtained from probability or random sampling can be
assured in terms of probability, i.e., we can measure the errors of
estimation or the significance of results obtained from the random
sample.
ī‚ĸ The above fact brings out the superiority of the random sampling
design over the deliberate sampling design.
ī‚ĸ Random sampling ensures the Law of Statistical Regularity which
states that if on an average the sample chosen is a random one,
the sample will have the same composition and characteristics as
the universe.
ī‚ĸ For the above reason, random sampling is regarded as the best
technique of selecting a representative sample.
26
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
PROBABILITY SAMPLING
ī‚ĸ Random sampling from a finite population refers to
that method of sample selection which gives each
possible sample combination an equal probability of
being picked up and each item in the entire
population to have an equal chance of being
included in the sample.
ī‚ĸ The above applies to sampling without
replacement, i.e., once an item is selected for the
sample, it cannot appear in the sample again.
ī‚ĸ Sampling with replacement is used less frequently
in which the element selected for the sample is
returned to the population before the next element
is selected. In such a situation, the same element
could appear twice in the sample.
27
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
DEFINING A SIMPLE RANDOM SAMPLE
ī‚ĸ We can define a simple random sample from a
finite population as a sample which is chosen in
such a way that each of the NCn possible samples
has the same probability, 1/NCn of being selected.
ī‚ĸ Lets take a certain finite population consisting of six
elements (say a, b, c, d, e, f), i.e., N=6. Suppose,
we want to take a sample of size n=3 from it. Then,
there are 6C3 = 6!/3!(6-3)!= 20 possible distinct
samples of the required size. If we choose one of
these samples in such a way that each has the
probability 1/20 of being chosen, we will call this a
random sample.
28
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
HOW TO SELECT A RANDOM SAMPLE?
ī‚ĸ We need to ensure that in successive drawings, each of
the remaining elements of the population has the same
chance of being selected.
ī‚ĸ The above procedure will also result in the same
probability for each possible sample.
ī‚ĸ Lets verify this on the earlier example. The probability of
drawing any one element for our sample in the first draw
is 3/6, the probability of drawing one more element in
the second draw is 2/5 (the first element drawn is not
replaced) and similarly the probability of drawing one
more element in the third draw is Âŧ. Since the draws are
independent, the joint probabilities of the three elements
which constitute our sample is the product of their
individual probabilities, which is 3/6 * 2/5 * Âŧ = 1/20. 29
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
HOW TO SELECT A RANDOM SAMPLE?
ī‚ĸ Obtaining a random sample can be highly simplified
by using random number tables.
ī‚ĸ Various statisticians like Tipett, Yates, Fisher have
prepared tables of random numbers, which can be
used for selecting a random sample.
ī‚ĸ Tipett gave 10400 four figure numbers.
ī‚ĸ He selected 41600 digits from the census reports
and combined them into fours to give his random
numbers which may be used to obtain a random
sample.
30
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
HOW TO SELECT A RANDOM SAMPLE?
ī‚ĸ We can illustrate the procedure by an example.
ī‚ĸ First of all we reproduce the first thirty sets of Tipett’s
numbers
ī‚ĸ Suppose, we are interested in taking a sample of 10
units from a population of 5000 units, bearing numbers
from 3001 to 8000.
ī‚ĸ We shall select 10 such figures from the above random
numbers which are not less than 3001 and not greater
than 8000. 31
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
2952 6641 3992 9792 7979 5911
3170 5624 4167 9525 1545 1396
7203 5356 1300 2693 2370 7483
3408 2769 3563 6107 6913 7691
0560 5246 1112 9025 6008 8126
HOW TO SELECT A RANDOM SAMPLE?
ī‚ĸ Using Tippet’s random number table
ī‚— If we randomly decide to read the table numbers from
left to right, starting from the first row itself, we obtain
the following number:
6641, 3992, 7979, 5911, 3170, 5624, 4167, 7203, 5356,
and 7483.
ī‚— The units bearing the above serial numbers would then
constitute our required random sample.
ī‚— However, the use of random number tables might not be
applicable in all situations.
32
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
RANDOM SAMPLE FROM AN INFINITE
UNIVERSE
ī‚ĸ It is relatively difficult to explain the concept of random sample
from an infinite population.
ī‚ĸ Lets look at a few examples to characterize such a sample.
ī‚— Suppose we consider the 20 throws of a fair dice as a sample
from the hypothetically infinite population which consists of the
results of the all possible throws of the dice.
ī‚— If the probability of getting a particular number, say 1, is the same
for each throw and the 20 throws are all independent, then we
say that the sample is random.
ī‚— Another example would be sampling with replacement from an
infinite population where in each draw all elements of the
population have the same probability of being selected and the
successive draws happens to be independent.
ī‚— In brief, the selection of each item in a random sample from
an infinite population is controlled by the same probabilities
and that successive selections are independent of one
another. 33
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
COMPLEX RANDOM SAMPLING DESIGNS
ī‚ĸ Probability sampling under restricted sampling
technique may result in complex random sampling
designs.
ī‚ĸ Such designs may well be called ‘mixed sampling
designs’ as many of such designs represent a
combination of probability and non-probability
sampling procedures in selecting a sample.
34
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
COMPLEX RANDOM SAMPLING DESIGNS
ī‚ĸ Some of the popular complex random sampling
designs are as follows:
ī‚— Systematic sampling
ī‚— Stratified sampling
ī‚— Cluster sampling
ī‚— Area sampling
ī‚— Multi-stage sampling
ī‚— Sampling with probability proportional to size
ī‚— Sequential sampling
35
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
SYSTEMATIC SAMPLING
ī‚ĸ In some instances, the most practical way of sampling is to
select every ith item on a list.
ī‚ĸ An element of randomness is introduced into this kind of
sampling by using random numbers to pick up the unit with
which to start.
ī‚ĸ For instance, if a 4% sample is desired, the first item would be
selected randomly from the first twenty-five and thereafter
every 25th item would be automatically be included in the
sample.
ī‚ĸ If all the elements of the universe are ordered in a manner
representative of the total population, it is considered
equivalent to random sampling.
ī‚ĸ However, if the above is not the case, the results of the
sampling may at times not be very reliable.
ī‚ĸ In practice, systematic sampling is used when lists of
population are available and they are of considerable length.
36
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
STRATIFIED SAMPLING
ī‚ĸ If a population from which a sample is to be drawn does
not constitute a homogeneous group, stratified sampling
technique is generally applied in order to obtain a
representative sample.
ī‚ĸ Under stratified sampling, the population is divided into
several sub-populations that are individually more
homogeneous than the total population (the different
sub-populations are called ‘strata’) and then we select
items from each stratum to constitute a sample.
ī‚ĸ Some important questions to consider:
ī‚— How to form strata?
ī‚— How should items be selected from each stratum?
ī‚— How many items are to be selected from each stratum or how
to allocate the sample size to each stratum? 37
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
CLUSTER SAMPLING
ī‚ĸ If the total area of interest happens to be a big one,
a convenient way in which a sample can be taken is
to divide the area into a number of smaller non-
overlapping areas and then to randomly select a
number of these smaller areas (usually called
clusters), with the ultimate sample consisting of all
(or samples of) units in these small areas or
clusters.
38
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
AREA SAMPLING
ī‚ĸ If clusters happen to be some geographic
subdivisions, in that case cluster sampling is better
known as area sampling.
39
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
MULTI-STAGE SAMPLING
ī‚ĸ Multi-stage sampling is applied in big inquiries
extending to considerable large geographical areas,
say the entire country.
ī‚ĸ Sampling is done is stages – states, districts, towns
etc.
40
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
SAMPLING WITH PROBABILITY PROPORTIONAL
TO SIZE
ī‚ĸ In case the cluster sampling units do not have the
same number of approximately the same number of
elements, it is considered appropriate to use a
random selection process where the probability of
each cluster being included in the sample is
proportional to the size of the cluster.
41
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
SEQUENTIAL SAMPLING
ī‚ĸ In sequential sampling, we can go on taking
samples one after another as long as one desires
to do so.
ī‚ĸ The ultimate size of the sample under this
technique is not fixed in advance but is determined
according to some mathematical decision rules on
the basis of the information yielded as the survey
progresses.
42
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
CONCLUSION
ī‚ĸ Normally, one should use simple random sampling
because under it bias is generally eliminated and
the sampling error can be estimated.
ī‚ĸ Purposive sampling is considered more appropriate
when the universe happens to be small and a
known characteristic of it is to be studied
intensively.
ī‚ĸ At times, several methods of sampling may well be
used in the same study.
43
ResearchMethodology-Unit4
End of Unit 4
44
ResearchMethodology-Unit4

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Research Sampling Techniques

  • 1. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY – UNIT FOUR August 13, 2014
  • 2. CONTENTS ī‚ĸ Sampling decisions ī‚— Sampling versus census ī‚— Sampling techniques ī‚— Issues governing sampling decisions 2 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 3. CENSUS AND SAMPLE SURVEY ī‚ĸ All items in any field of inquiry constitute a ‘Universe’ or ‘Population’ ī‚ĸ A complete enumeration of all items in the ‘population’ is known as a census inquiry. ī‚ĸ It is presumed that in such an inquiry, when all items are covered, no elements of chance is left and highest accuracy is obtained. ī‚ĸ But in practice this may not be true. ī‚ĸ Even the slightest element of bias in such an inquiry will get larger and larger as the number of observation increases. ī‚ĸ This type of inquiry involves a great deal of time, money and energy. ī‚ĸ Therefore, when the field of inquiry is large, this method becomes difficult to adopt because of the resources involved. ī‚ĸ Sometimes, it is possible to obtain sufficiently accurate results by studying a part of total population. 3 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 4. CENSUS AND SAMPLE SURVEY ī‚ĸ However, when the universe is a small one, it is no use going for a sample survey. ī‚ĸ When field studies are undertaken in practical life, considerations of time and cost almost invariably lead to a selection of respondents, i.e., selection of only a few items. ī‚ĸ The selected respondents should be representative of the total population as far as possible. ī‚ĸ The selected respondents constitute what is technically called a ‘sample’ and the selection process is called ‘sampling technique’. ī‚ĸ The survey so conducted is known as ‘sample survey’. 4 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 5. CENSUS AND SAMPLE SURVEY ī‚ĸ Algebraically, let the population size be N and if a part of size n (which is < N) of this population is selected according to some rule for studying some characteristic of the population, the group consisting of these n units is known as ‘sample’. ī‚ĸ Researcher must prepare a sample design for his/her study, i.e., he must plan how a sample should be selected and of what size such a sample would be. 5 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 6. IMPLICATIONS OF A SAMPLE DESIGN ī‚ĸ A sample design is a definite plan for obtaining a sample from a given population. ī‚ĸ It refers to the technique or the procedure the researcher would adopt in selecting items for the sample. ī‚ĸ Sample design is determined before data are collected. ī‚ĸ Researcher must select/prepare a sample design which should be reliable and appropriate for his/her research. 6 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 7. STEPS IN SAMPLING DESIGN ī‚ĸ While developing a sampling design, the researcher must pay attention to the following points: ī‚— Type of universe ī‚— Sampling unit ī‚— Source list ī‚— Size of sample ī‚— Parameters of interest ī‚— Budgetary constraint ī‚— Sampling procedure 7 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 8. STEPS IN SAMPLING DESIGN ī‚ĸ Type of universe ī‚— First step is to clearly define the set of objects, technically called the Universe, to be studied. ī‚— The universe can be finite or infinite. ī‚— In finite universe, the number of items is certain, but in case of infinite universe, the number of items cannot be determined. ī‚— Examples of finite universe – the population of the city, the number of workers in a factory etc. ī‚— Examples of infinite universe – the number of stars in the sky, the listeners of a specific radio program, throwing of dice etc. 8 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 9. STEPS IN SAMPLING DESIGN ī‚ĸ Sampling unit ī‚— A decision has to be taken concerning a sampling unit before selecting sample. ī‚— Sampling unit may be a geographical one such as state, district, village etc., or a construction unit such as house, flat etc., or a social unit such as family, club, school etc., or an individual. ī‚— The researcher will have to decide one or more of such units that he/she has to select for his/her study. 9 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 10. STEPS IN SAMPLING DESIGN ī‚ĸ Source list ī‚— It is also known as ‘sampling frame’ from which sample is to be drawn. ī‚— It contains the names of all items of a universe (in case of finite universe only). ī‚— If source list is not available, researcher has to prepare it. ī‚— Such a list should be comprehensive, correct, reliable and appropriate. ī‚— It is extremely important for the source list to be as representative of the population as possible. 10 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 11. STEPS IN SAMPLING DESIGN ī‚ĸ Size of sample ī‚— This refers to the number of items to be selected from the universe to constitute a sample. ī‚— The size of the sample should neither be excessively large, nor too small. ī‚— It should be optimum – an optimum sample is one which fulfills the requirements of efficiency, representativeness, reliability and flexibility. ī‚— The parameters of interest in a research study must be kept in view, while deciding the size of the sample that we can draw. ī‚— Budgetary constraints also should be considered when we decide the sample size. 11 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 12. STEPS IN SAMPLING DESIGN ī‚ĸ Parameters of interest ī‚— In determining the sample design, one must consider the question of the specific population parameters which are of interest. ī‚— For instance, we may be interested in estimating the proportion of persons with some characteristics in the population, or we may be interested in knowing some average or the measure concerning the population. ī‚— There also may be important sub-groups in the population about whom we would like to make estimates. ī‚— All this has a strong impact upon the sample design we would accept. 12 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 13. STEPS IN SAMPLING DESIGN ī‚ĸ Budgetary constraint ī‚— Cost considerations, from practical point of view, have a major impact upon decisions relating to not only the size of the sample but also on the type of sample. ī‚— This fact can even lead to the use of a non-probability sample. ī‚ĸ Sampling procedure ī‚— The researcher must decide the type of sample he/she will use, i.e., he/she must decide about the technique to be used in selecting the items for the sample. ī‚— In fact, this technique or procedure stands for the sample design itself. ī‚— There are several sample designs out of which a researcher must choose one for his/her sample study. ī‚— He/she must select that design which, for a given sample size and for a given cost, has a smaller sampling error. 13 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 14. CRITERIA OF SELECTING A SAMPLING PROCEDURE ī‚ĸ Two costs are involved in a sampling analysis viz., the cost of collecting the data and the cost of an incorrect inference resulting from the data. ī‚ĸ Researcher must keep in view the two causes of incorrect inferences viz., systematic bias and sampling error. ī‚ĸ A systematic bias results from errors in the sampling procedures, and it cannot be reduced or eliminated by increasing the sample size. ī‚ĸ At best, the causes responsible for these errors can be detected and corrected. 14 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 15. CRITERIA OF SELECTING A SAMPLING PROCEDURE ī‚ĸ Usually, a systematic bias is the result of one or more of the following factors: ī‚— Inappropriate sampling frame ī‚ĸ If the sampling frame is inappropriate, i.e., a biased representation of the universe, it will result in a systematic bias. ī‚— Defective measuring device ī‚ĸ If the measuring device is constantly making errors, it will result in systematic bias. ī‚ĸ In survey work, systematic bias can result if the questionnaire or the interviewer is biased. ī‚ĸ Similarly, if the physical measuring device is defective there will be systematic bias in the data collected through such a measuring device. 15 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 16. CRITERIA OF SELECTING A SAMPLING PROCEDURE ī‚ĸ Usually, a systematic bias is the result of one or more of the following factors: ī‚— Non-respondents ī‚ĸ If we are unable to sample all the individuals initially included in the sample, there may arise a systematic bias. ī‚ĸ The reason is that such a situation the likelihood of establishing contact or receiving a response from an individual is often correlated with the measure of what is to be estimated. ī‚— Indeterminacy principle ī‚ĸ Individuals act differently when kept under observations than what they do when kept in non-observed situations. This indeterminacy principle may also be a cause of a systematic bias. 16 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 17. CRITERIA OF SELECTING A SAMPLING PROCEDURE ī‚ĸ Usually, a systematic bias is the result of one or more of the following factors: ī‚— Natural bias in the reporting of data ī‚ĸ Natural bias of respondents in the reporting of data is often the cause of a systematic bias in many queries. ī‚ĸ There is usually a downward bias in the income data collected by the government taxation department, whereas we find an upward bias in the income data collected by some social organization. ī‚ĸ People in general understate their incomes if asked about it for tax purposes, but they overstate the same if asked for social status or their affluence. ī‚ĸ Generally in psychological surveys, people tend to give what they think is the ‘correct’ answer rather than revealing their true feelings. 17 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 18. CRITERIA OF SELECTING A SAMPLING PROCEDURE ī‚ĸ Sampling errors are the random variations in the sample estimates around the true population parameters. ī‚ĸ Since they occur randomly and are equally likely to be in either direction, their nature happens to be of compensatory type and the expected value of such errors happens to be equal to zero. ī‚ĸ Sampling error decreases with the increase in the size of the sample, and it happens to be of a smaller magnitude in case of homogeneous population. ī‚ĸ Sampling error can be measured for a given sample design and size. 18 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 19. CRITERIA OF SELECTING A SAMPLING PROCEDURE ī‚ĸ The measurement of a sampling error is usually called the ‘precision of the sampling plan’. ī‚ĸ If we increase the sample size, the precision can be improved. ī‚ĸ But increasing the size of the sample has its own limitations viz., a large sized sample increases the cost of collecting data and also enhances the systematic bias. ī‚ĸ Thus the effective way to increase precision is usually to select a better sampling design which has a smaller sampling error for a given sample size at a given cost. ī‚ĸ In practice, however, people prefer a less precise design because it is easier to adopt the same and also because of the fact that systematic bias can be controlled in a better way in such a design. ī‚ĸ In brief, while selecting a sampling procedure, researcher must ensure that the procedure causes a relatively small sampling error and helps to control the systematic bias in a better way. 19 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 20. CHARACTERISTICS OF A GOOD SAMPLE DESIGN ī‚ĸ Sample design must result in a truly representative sample. ī‚ĸ Sample design must be such which results in a small sampling error. ī‚ĸ Sample design must be viable in the context of funds available for the research study. ī‚ĸ Sample design must be such so that systematic bias can be controlled in a better way. ī‚ĸ Sample design should be such that the results of the sample study can be applied in general, for the universe with a reasonable level of confidence. 20 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 21. DIFFERENT TYPES OF SAMPLE DESIGNS ī‚ĸ There are different types of sample designs based on two factors viz., the representation basis and the element selection technique. ī‚ĸ On the representation basis – the sample may be probability sampling or it may be non-probability sampling. ī‚ĸ Probability sampling is based on the concept of random selection, whereas non-probability sampling is ‘non- random’ sampling. ī‚ĸ On element selection basis, the sample may be either unrestricted or restricted. ī‚ĸ When each sample element is drawn individually from the population at large, then the sample so drawn is known as ‘unrestricted sample’, whereas all other forms of sampling are covered under the term ‘restricted sampling’. 21 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 22. CHART SHOWING BASIC SAMPLING DESIGNS Element selection technique Representation basis Probability sampling Non-probability sampling Unrestricted sampling Simple random sampling Haphazard sampling or convenience sampling Restricted sampling Complex random sampling (such as cluster sampling, systematic sampling, stratified sampling etc.) Purposive sampling (such as quota sampling, judgement sampling) 22 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 23. NON-PROBABILITY SAMPLING ī‚ĸ Non-probability sampling is that sampling procedure which does not afford any basis for estimating the probability that each item in the population has of being included in the sample. ī‚ĸ It is known by different names – deliberate sampling, purposive sampling, judgement sampling. ī‚ĸ Items for the sample are selected deliberately by the researcher, his/her choice concerning the items remains supreme. ī‚ĸ In other words, under non-probability sampling, the organizers of the inquiry purposively chooses the particular units of the universe for constituting the sample out of a huge one will be typical or representative of the whole. ī‚ĸ Thus the judgement of the organizers of the study plays an important part in the sampling design. 23 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 24. NON-PROBABILITY SAMPLING ī‚ĸ In such a design, the investigator may select a sample which shall yield results favorable to his point of view and if that happens, the entire inquiry may be questionable. ī‚ĸ Thus, there is always the danger of bias entering into this type of sampling technique. ī‚ĸ But if the investigators are impartial, work without bias and have the necessary experience so as to take sound judgement, the results obtained from an analysis of deliberately selected sample may be tolerably reliable. ī‚ĸ Sampling error in this type of sampling cannot be estimated and the element of bias, great or small, is always there. ī‚ĸ This sampling design is rarely adopted in large inquiries of importance. ī‚ĸ However, in small inquiries, it may be adopted because of the relative advantage of time and money, inherent in this method of sampling. 24 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 25. NON-PROBABILITY SAMPLING ī‚ĸ Quota sampling is also an example of non-probability sampling. ī‚ĸ Under quota sampling, the interviewers are simply given quotas to be filled from the different strata, with some restrictions on how they are to be filled. ī‚ĸ In other words, the actual selection of items for the sample is left to the interviewer’s discretion. ī‚ĸ This type of sampling is very convenient and is relatively inexpensive. ī‚ĸ But the samples so selected certainly do not possess the characteristic of random samples, ī‚ĸ Quota samples are essentially judgement samples and the inferences drawn on their basis are not amenable to statistical treatment in a formal way. 25 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 26. PROBABILITY SAMPLING ī‚ĸ Also known as ‘random sampling’ or ‘chance sampling’. ī‚ĸ Under this sampling design, every item of the universe has an equal chance of inclusion in the sample. ī‚ĸ This is equivalent to a lottery method in which individual units are picked up from the whole group not deliberately but by some mechanical process. ī‚ĸ The results obtained from probability or random sampling can be assured in terms of probability, i.e., we can measure the errors of estimation or the significance of results obtained from the random sample. ī‚ĸ The above fact brings out the superiority of the random sampling design over the deliberate sampling design. ī‚ĸ Random sampling ensures the Law of Statistical Regularity which states that if on an average the sample chosen is a random one, the sample will have the same composition and characteristics as the universe. ī‚ĸ For the above reason, random sampling is regarded as the best technique of selecting a representative sample. 26 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 27. PROBABILITY SAMPLING ī‚ĸ Random sampling from a finite population refers to that method of sample selection which gives each possible sample combination an equal probability of being picked up and each item in the entire population to have an equal chance of being included in the sample. ī‚ĸ The above applies to sampling without replacement, i.e., once an item is selected for the sample, it cannot appear in the sample again. ī‚ĸ Sampling with replacement is used less frequently in which the element selected for the sample is returned to the population before the next element is selected. In such a situation, the same element could appear twice in the sample. 27 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 28. DEFINING A SIMPLE RANDOM SAMPLE ī‚ĸ We can define a simple random sample from a finite population as a sample which is chosen in such a way that each of the NCn possible samples has the same probability, 1/NCn of being selected. ī‚ĸ Lets take a certain finite population consisting of six elements (say a, b, c, d, e, f), i.e., N=6. Suppose, we want to take a sample of size n=3 from it. Then, there are 6C3 = 6!/3!(6-3)!= 20 possible distinct samples of the required size. If we choose one of these samples in such a way that each has the probability 1/20 of being chosen, we will call this a random sample. 28 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 29. HOW TO SELECT A RANDOM SAMPLE? ī‚ĸ We need to ensure that in successive drawings, each of the remaining elements of the population has the same chance of being selected. ī‚ĸ The above procedure will also result in the same probability for each possible sample. ī‚ĸ Lets verify this on the earlier example. The probability of drawing any one element for our sample in the first draw is 3/6, the probability of drawing one more element in the second draw is 2/5 (the first element drawn is not replaced) and similarly the probability of drawing one more element in the third draw is Âŧ. Since the draws are independent, the joint probabilities of the three elements which constitute our sample is the product of their individual probabilities, which is 3/6 * 2/5 * Âŧ = 1/20. 29 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 30. HOW TO SELECT A RANDOM SAMPLE? ī‚ĸ Obtaining a random sample can be highly simplified by using random number tables. ī‚ĸ Various statisticians like Tipett, Yates, Fisher have prepared tables of random numbers, which can be used for selecting a random sample. ī‚ĸ Tipett gave 10400 four figure numbers. ī‚ĸ He selected 41600 digits from the census reports and combined them into fours to give his random numbers which may be used to obtain a random sample. 30 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 31. HOW TO SELECT A RANDOM SAMPLE? ī‚ĸ We can illustrate the procedure by an example. ī‚ĸ First of all we reproduce the first thirty sets of Tipett’s numbers ī‚ĸ Suppose, we are interested in taking a sample of 10 units from a population of 5000 units, bearing numbers from 3001 to 8000. ī‚ĸ We shall select 10 such figures from the above random numbers which are not less than 3001 and not greater than 8000. 31 ResearchMethodology-Unit4 2952 6641 3992 9792 7979 5911 3170 5624 4167 9525 1545 1396 7203 5356 1300 2693 2370 7483 3408 2769 3563 6107 6913 7691 0560 5246 1112 9025 6008 8126
  • 32. HOW TO SELECT A RANDOM SAMPLE? ī‚ĸ Using Tippet’s random number table ī‚— If we randomly decide to read the table numbers from left to right, starting from the first row itself, we obtain the following number: 6641, 3992, 7979, 5911, 3170, 5624, 4167, 7203, 5356, and 7483. ī‚— The units bearing the above serial numbers would then constitute our required random sample. ī‚— However, the use of random number tables might not be applicable in all situations. 32 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 33. RANDOM SAMPLE FROM AN INFINITE UNIVERSE ī‚ĸ It is relatively difficult to explain the concept of random sample from an infinite population. ī‚ĸ Lets look at a few examples to characterize such a sample. ī‚— Suppose we consider the 20 throws of a fair dice as a sample from the hypothetically infinite population which consists of the results of the all possible throws of the dice. ī‚— If the probability of getting a particular number, say 1, is the same for each throw and the 20 throws are all independent, then we say that the sample is random. ī‚— Another example would be sampling with replacement from an infinite population where in each draw all elements of the population have the same probability of being selected and the successive draws happens to be independent. ī‚— In brief, the selection of each item in a random sample from an infinite population is controlled by the same probabilities and that successive selections are independent of one another. 33 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 34. COMPLEX RANDOM SAMPLING DESIGNS ī‚ĸ Probability sampling under restricted sampling technique may result in complex random sampling designs. ī‚ĸ Such designs may well be called ‘mixed sampling designs’ as many of such designs represent a combination of probability and non-probability sampling procedures in selecting a sample. 34 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 35. COMPLEX RANDOM SAMPLING DESIGNS ī‚ĸ Some of the popular complex random sampling designs are as follows: ī‚— Systematic sampling ī‚— Stratified sampling ī‚— Cluster sampling ī‚— Area sampling ī‚— Multi-stage sampling ī‚— Sampling with probability proportional to size ī‚— Sequential sampling 35 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 36. SYSTEMATIC SAMPLING ī‚ĸ In some instances, the most practical way of sampling is to select every ith item on a list. ī‚ĸ An element of randomness is introduced into this kind of sampling by using random numbers to pick up the unit with which to start. ī‚ĸ For instance, if a 4% sample is desired, the first item would be selected randomly from the first twenty-five and thereafter every 25th item would be automatically be included in the sample. ī‚ĸ If all the elements of the universe are ordered in a manner representative of the total population, it is considered equivalent to random sampling. ī‚ĸ However, if the above is not the case, the results of the sampling may at times not be very reliable. ī‚ĸ In practice, systematic sampling is used when lists of population are available and they are of considerable length. 36 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 37. STRATIFIED SAMPLING ī‚ĸ If a population from which a sample is to be drawn does not constitute a homogeneous group, stratified sampling technique is generally applied in order to obtain a representative sample. ī‚ĸ Under stratified sampling, the population is divided into several sub-populations that are individually more homogeneous than the total population (the different sub-populations are called ‘strata’) and then we select items from each stratum to constitute a sample. ī‚ĸ Some important questions to consider: ī‚— How to form strata? ī‚— How should items be selected from each stratum? ī‚— How many items are to be selected from each stratum or how to allocate the sample size to each stratum? 37 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 38. CLUSTER SAMPLING ī‚ĸ If the total area of interest happens to be a big one, a convenient way in which a sample can be taken is to divide the area into a number of smaller non- overlapping areas and then to randomly select a number of these smaller areas (usually called clusters), with the ultimate sample consisting of all (or samples of) units in these small areas or clusters. 38 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 39. AREA SAMPLING ī‚ĸ If clusters happen to be some geographic subdivisions, in that case cluster sampling is better known as area sampling. 39 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 40. MULTI-STAGE SAMPLING ī‚ĸ Multi-stage sampling is applied in big inquiries extending to considerable large geographical areas, say the entire country. ī‚ĸ Sampling is done is stages – states, districts, towns etc. 40 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 41. SAMPLING WITH PROBABILITY PROPORTIONAL TO SIZE ī‚ĸ In case the cluster sampling units do not have the same number of approximately the same number of elements, it is considered appropriate to use a random selection process where the probability of each cluster being included in the sample is proportional to the size of the cluster. 41 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 42. SEQUENTIAL SAMPLING ī‚ĸ In sequential sampling, we can go on taking samples one after another as long as one desires to do so. ī‚ĸ The ultimate size of the sample under this technique is not fixed in advance but is determined according to some mathematical decision rules on the basis of the information yielded as the survey progresses. 42 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 43. CONCLUSION ī‚ĸ Normally, one should use simple random sampling because under it bias is generally eliminated and the sampling error can be estimated. ī‚ĸ Purposive sampling is considered more appropriate when the universe happens to be small and a known characteristic of it is to be studied intensively. ī‚ĸ At times, several methods of sampling may well be used in the same study. 43 ResearchMethodology-Unit4
  • 44. End of Unit 4 44 ResearchMethodology-Unit4