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____________________________________________________________________________________________________
BUSINESS
ECONOMICS
PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS
MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION
Subject BUSINESS ECONOMICS
Paper No and Title 16: PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS
Module No and Title 5: PROJECT FORMULATION
Module Tag BSE_P16_M5
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
BUSINESS
ECONOMICS
PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS
MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Learning Outcomes
2. Introduction
3. Concept of Project Formulation
4. Need for Project Formulation
5. Significance of Project Formulation
6. Elements of Project Formulation
6.1. Feasibility Analysis
6.2. Techno-Economic Analysis
6.3. Project Design and Network Analysis
6.4. Input Analysis
6.5. Financial Analysis
6.6. Social Cost- Benefit Analysis
6.7. Project Appraisal
7. Project Formulation vs. Detailed Project Report
8. Environmental Impact Analysis (EIA)
8.1. History of EIA
8.2. Concept of EIA
8.3. Definition of EIA
8.4. Methods of EIA
9. Steps in appraisal process adopted by planning commission
10. Summary
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
BUSINESS
ECONOMICS
PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS
MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION
1. Learning Outcomes
After studying this module, you shall be able to
 Know the concept of Project Formulation
 Learn the significance of Project Formulation
 Identify the elements of Project Formulation
 Evaluate the common errors in Project Formulation
 Identify difference between Project Formulation and DPR
 Understand Environmental Impact Analysis
2. Introduction
The entrepreneur faces number of problems while establishing new project. These problems may
be in relation to the formalities and procedures to be completed, technical requirements or even
financial constraints also. There is a need to set the boundaries or the limit of the work intended to
be performed under the proposed project. In fact, the project is required to be given the precise
meaning. It definitely prevents the confusion, conflict or duplication of various aspects related with
the project. The very first stage in life cycle of project is project formulation. This module discusses
the need, significance and elements of project formulation. Now-a-days the impact on environment
needs to be analysed compulsorily. The Environment Impact Analysis has also been included in
this module.
3. Concept of Project Formulation
Project formulation is a step by step investigation and development of the project where each step
is for further development of project idea. It is a control mechanism which provides for restricting
expenditure on project development. So, it enables to control the expenditure and if at any step there
are signs of anything going wrong or if weakness is observed in the project at any stage of
investigation, the project may even be called off.
Project formulation is the systematic development of a project idea for the eventual objective of
arriving at an investment decision. It has the built-in mechanism of ringing the danger bell at the
earliest possible stage of resource utilization.
4. Need for Project Formulation
In the process of establishment of a new project, number of problems is faced by the entrepreneur.
The resources are scarce and alternative uses are available for these. That is why step-by-step
investigation and development of project idea are required. Following are some of the problems
that make the entrepreneur to undergo a lot of harassment, frustration and disappointment. But a
project formulation exercise undertaken at right time in a right manner mitigates the rigorousness
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
BUSINESS
ECONOMICS
PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS
MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION
as well as magnitude of these problems. The following are some of these key issues due to which
the need for project formulation becomes inevitable.
1. Selection of Appropriate Technology:
The project necessarily requires technology to be adopted. The entrepreneur faces great
difficulty in the selection of appropriate technology for the project. The problem may be in
relation with development of new technology or selection of suitable and adequate technology
out of technologies available. In highly industrialized economies, modern technologies have
been developed. But these may not be suitable for small and medium projects or in case of
developing economies. There may be a case that good technology is available but resources are
not adequate enough. Another problem may be the requirement of skilled manpower. This
clearly indicates that the project needs to be thoroughly examined as regards these factors. It is
not possible without project formulation.
2. Influence of External Economies:
Any project cannot function in isolation and it requires the support of external economies. The
dependency of the project in question on other projects or industry may be with respect to:
a) Supply of raw material
b) Requirements of power and its supply
c) Supply of tools, spare parts
d) Ancillary enterprises for supply of technical, financial or managerial services
e) Complex network of communication and transport facilities
The direct costs are the basic costs of the project. But, in the case of developing countries the
above stated ancillary costs are also considered. In developed countries or advanced industrial
environment, this basic cost is not required as it is contributed in terms of external economies.
3. Non-availability of Technical Manpower:
The successful execution requires availability of appropriate and technically qualified
personnel. The project formulation duly analyses this aspect of project so that a technically
infeasible project may be abandoned at very initial stage.
4. Resource Mobilisation:
The resource mobilization refers to the ability to gather various resources to accomplish the
desired goals. The mobilization may be very easy and feasible at the very initial level of the
project. But it is required continuously throughout the project. The project formulation takes
into account this aspect also.
5. Legal Scenario:
The Government policies require being adhered compulsorily. The basic problem, faced in
most of the countries, is non-availability of consolidated and detailed information. In India
“Ministry of Industrial Development” has issued a compendium in the name of “Guidelines for
Industries”. This compendium covers the following aspects:
a) Industrial Policy
b) Licensing policy and procedures, if any
c) Guidelines for foreign collaboration
d) Import and export control orders
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BUSINESS
ECONOMICS
PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS
MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION
e) Present status of capacities
f) Possibility of further development
5. Significance of Project Formulation
The huge projects require assistance from the financial Institutions. The funding becomes hassle-
free in case of well-formulated projects. The most viable way of selling a project idea to financing
agency requires allocation of resource constraints to various projects with due consideration of
relative importance and viability. It can be made possible in an effective manner through project
formulation. The project report, prepared after due project formulation, will be of great assistance.
6. Elements of Project Formulation
In order to take the most effective project decision, project formulation is required. This exercise
of project formulation usually contains the following elements:
1. Feasibility analysis
2. Techno-economic analysis
3. Project Design and Network analysis
4. Input analysis Financial analysis
5. Social Cost-benefit analysis
6. Project appraisal
6.1 Feasibility Analysis
Feasibility analysis is a process undertaken to determine whether the project idea is worth
proceeding with or not. It evaluates the future of the project idea within the limitations imposed by
the environment upon it and also the constraints of the implementing body. Generally, the outcome
of the study can give a positive result under which the decision to proceed with the project is taken
otherwise the project can be abandoned. Sometimes, the data is not sufficient to arrive at any
decision and in that case further information is collected till a decision can be reached. The
feasibility analysis consists of three stages. These are pre-feasibility study, feasibility study and
Project report. It has been discussed in detail in Module 6 (Feasibility Studies).
6.2 Techno-Economic Analysis
It is concerned with finding out the demand potential of the project and the right technology
required attaining the objective of the project. It is important to analyse whether the economy will
absorb the output. The technology would mean the project design, the methodology and the process
required. Thus it is to be understood in a broader sense. This analysis consists of two important
segments. The first segment is related with ascertainment of maximum project output whereas the
purpose of second segment is the selection of optimal strategy to achieve the output.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
BUSINESS
ECONOMICS
PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS
MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION
6.3 Project Design and Network Analysis
It is related with the flow of various individual activities and their inter-relationship in order to
complete the project. It identifies activities which can be started and also the activities which can
be taken up simultaneously. It is generally depicted in the form of a network diagram. .
6.4 Input Analysis
After all the analysis the next step is to find out all the resources that are required to complete the
project. These resources form the inputs of the project. It also identifies all the different phases
where the resources are required.
6.5 Financial Analysis
The estimates about the financial costs of the project and the revenue generated by it so as to
determine whether it will be profitable to undertake the project or not is termed as financial
analysis.
The following norms are adopted by Financial Institutions in the examination of financial
feasibility of project:
1. Cost estimates of the project are to be examined whether such costs are realistic and
escalation is taken into account.
2. Time and cost over-runs should be considered.
3. Sources of finance i.e. debt-equity ratio, financing of fixed assets, financing of working
capital, promoters contribution towards share capital, etc. debt equity ratio of 2:1 should
be maintained.
4. Financial viability i.e. profitability, sensitivity analysis, cash flow are to be examined
thoroughly.
5. IRR should be worked out.
6. Interest coverage ratio should be calculated.
7. The level at which the project is likely to break-even is also examined.
8. Loan repayment schedule is drawn up as per financial projections. Repayment should be
made out of internal resources.
9. In case of existing company, the impact of new project on the level of production, net
earnings, borrowings, costs, etc. is to be seen.
10. Unsecured loans from promoters are allowed only in restricted circumstances and with a
condition that they should not withdraw the amount without permission of the financial
institutions.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
BUSINESS
ECONOMICS
PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS
MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION
6.6 Social Cost-benefit analysis
The concept of social cost–benefit analysis (SCBA) has been introduced by the French
economist Jules Dupuit. Social Cost benefit Analysis is a systematic evaluation technique for
long-term decision making in capital projects appraisal. It is an analytical tool in decision making
which enables a systematic comparison to be made between the social costs and related social
benefits with due emphasis on technical and other feasibility studies but focusing more on social
impact. In the context of planned economies, the social costs benefit analysis aids in evaluating
individual projects within the planning framework.
In addition to technical, commercial and financial viability of the project, it should also be
socially desirable. The following are the indicators of social desirability of a project:
a) Employment potential
b) Value added per employee
c) Value added per rupee of capital
d) Capital output ratio
e) Cost benefit ratio
f) Social cost benefit analysis (SCBA)
g) Area development
h) Foreign exchange benefit to the country
It must be emphasized that, there can be no definite principle which can be universally applied to
convert commercial costs and benefits into social costs and benefits. However, the following two
principal approaches are suggested for SCBA:
It deals with the estimation of social costs and social benefits. This analysis is undertaken to
ascertain the impact of the project on the society as a whole. Greater emphasis is laid on social
objectives in this analysis with lesser profit motive. The projects aimed at the development of the
society will give secondary importance to the profitability of the project, keeping in view the social
objectives as primary.
6.6.1 UNIDO Approach
This approach focuses on consumption as the final goal of all investments and therefore the benefit
and costs relating to a project are determined in terms of impact on consumption.
6.6.2 Little-Mirrlees Approach
The Little-Mirrlees approach determines the benefits and costs of projects in terms of investment.
The social costs and benefits are measured in terms of international prices. Apart from above, some
financial institutions like IDBI, IFCI and ICICI are following simplified version of L-M approach:
economic rate of return, effective rate of protection and domestic resource test. All these
approaches have been discussed in detail in subsequent modules.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
BUSINESS
ECONOMICS
PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS
MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION
6.7 Project Appraisal
The term project appraisal refers to the process of assessing whether to proceed with the project or
nor in a systematic manner. It is related with calculating the feasibility and viability of the project.
While appraising a project economic, technical, marketing and financial feasibility is generally
checked. A feasibility report is then prepared based on which the decision is taken whether to
proceed with the project or not. The types of appraisal can be
 Technical
 Commercial
 Financial
 Economic
 Management
7. Project Formulation vs. Detailed Project Report
The Project Formulation is totally different from Detailed Project Report. The difference lies in the
basic purpose and the timings of the preparation of the two documents. The following are the major
points of differences between the two:
1. Pre and Post investment Decision: Project formulation is an investing process and is
undertaken to find out and to present relevant facts before taking the decision. Project
formulation enables the decision maker to take decision to accept or reject the project. For
the same purposes, the PF examines the project idea from the stand point of its objectives,
social impacts and financial and technical viability.
The detailed project report, on the other hand, is post investment decision. It involves the
preparationof detailed specifications and design, engineering drawings, site investigation,
foundations design and process design as well as time schedules for project
implementation.
2. Purpose: Project formulation forms the basis on which the decision of investment is to be
taken. It is considered with PIR (Pre-investment report). On the other hand, Detailed
Project Report (DPR) is a detailed work plan for the implementation of the project.
3. Contents: The elements of Project formulation are feasibility analysis, techno-economic
analysis, project design and network analysis, input analysis, financial analysis, social cost
benefit analysis and project appraisal. Whereas the contents of DPR include general
information, promoter’s details, marketing and selling arrangements, technical
arrangements, environmental aspects, schedule of implementation, etc.
Thus, project formulation always precedes detailed project report.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
BUSINESS
ECONOMICS
PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS
MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION
8. Steps in Appraisal Process Adopted by Planning Commission
The Planning Commission (Now Niti Ayog) follows specific approach for project Appraisal. In
this regard, the Project Appraisal passes through following three stages:
1. Project formulation
2. Feasibility Study
3. Detailed project Report (DPR)
The investment proposals in the first two stages are handled by Public Investment Board in order
to arrive at a decision. The examination and clearance of Detailed Project Report are referred by
financial advisers in consultation with concerned administrative ministries. It may result into
revision in cost estimates. Due to this revision the difference arises as regards the amounts approved
at the stage of investment decision by PIB. It is important to note that if the revised cost estimates
exceeds by more than 20% of the amount approved, then the matter is again referred to the board.
STAGE 1:
a) First of all the priority and position of the investment proposal in the context of the five
year/ Annual plan is considered at preliminary and broad level.
b) The smooth functioning of this process requires close association of administrative ministry
with the planning commission because formulation stage should necessarily be considered
before the preparation of plans.
c) If foreign exchange implications of the project are serious, then the department of economic
affairs is also consulted.
d) Thereafter, a feasibility report is prepared considering the views of
 Concerned agencies
 Administrative Ministry
 Public Investment Board
 Plan Finance of planning Commission
 Project Approval Wing of Planning commission.
e) The feasibility report is prepared if the board directs so.
STAGE 2:
a) This stage is concerned with feasibility study.
b) In first stage, feasibility report is prepared on direction of Public Investment Board. The
administrative ministry marks comments on the feasibility report prepared under stage 1.
The multiple copies of the report are made and these are sent to the concerned financial
adviser in the department concerned.
c) The financial adviser forwards these copies of feasibility report to the following
departments:
 Plan Finance and project appraisal wing in Department of Expenditure
 Bureau of Public Enterprises
 Department of Economic Affairs
 Planning Commission
 Any other agency deemed necessary.
d) The comments, to be made by above agencies, consider various important issues like:
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
BUSINESS
ECONOMICS
PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS
MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION
 Advisability of plan funds, desirability of diversion of plan funds to new projects from
those already on hand.
 The economic benefits of the project as distinct from financial returns.
 The advisability of undertaking the project in the public sector or joint sector or
private sector.
 Project's contribution to the social and economic objectives of the country.
 The plant capacity and investment timing in the light of demand and supply balance
including export possibilities.
 Crucial assumptions in the feasibility report which are likely to affect the performance
of the commissioned project in relation to the claims made thereon in the feasibility report.
STAGE 3:
a) The comments are received by Financial Adviser from all concerned departments as listed
above. A report is also prepared by Financial Adviser incorporating these comments.
b) This report is forwarded to the Plan Finance and project Approval Wing (PFAP) in
Department of expenditure.
c) The PFAP prepares a final report after due consideration of essential points and notes
obtained from different agencies.
d) This final report is to be examined by PIB as regards the Financial and economic
characteristics of the proposed investment.
e) The Final decision is taken by the board. The board may decide
 To go ahead with the proposed investment or
 To drop it or
 To modify it.
9. Environmental Impact Analysis (Development in Project Formulation)
9.1 History of EIA
The growing environmental awareness in 1960 leads to evolvement of EIA. In order to have more
objective decision making, the EIA included technical evaluation. If we consider the case of the
United States, then the formal status was given to EIA in 1969 and a new Act was enacted as
National Environmental Policy Act.
9.1 Concept of EIA
In respect of any project, policy, plan or program, then impact on the environment may be positive
or negative. The decision to continue or to go further with the proposed action depends upon it.
Environmental impact assessment (EIA) is the formal systematic procedure which is used in order
to trace the consequences of project or plan on the environment. This assessment may be done for
present or proposed action.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
BUSINESS
ECONOMICS
PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS
MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION
9.2 Definition of EIA
The International Association for Impact Assessment (IAIA) defines an environmental impact
assessment as "the process of identifying, predicting, evaluating and mitigating the biophysical,
social, and other relevant effects of development proposals prior to major decisions being taken
and commitments made." The basic purpose of EIA is to ensure that the project is environmental
friendly and it will not impact the environment adversely.
9.3 Methods of EIA
The methods of EIA may be general or industry specific. Some of these are following:
a) EIA for Industrial products - The impact of industrial products on the environment should
be identified and measured. For this PLCA i.e. Product environmental life cycle analysis
method is generally used. This method considers the activities related with:
 The extraction of raw materials
 Ancillary materials
 The equipment
 The production, use, disposal and ancillary equipment.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
BUSINESS
ECONOMICS
PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS
MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION
b) EIA for Genetically Modified Plants - The specific methods available for these plants are
GMP-RAM and INOVA.
c) EIA where impacts cannot be quantified - In order to apply EIA, there is a need to measure
data and estimate values of impact indicators. But in some cases, like landscape quality,
lifestyle quality, social acceptance, etc., the quantification is not possible. And also, the
information from similar EIA cannot be received. In such cases, approximate reasoning
methods (i.e. fuzzy logic), expert judgment, community sentiment, etc. are usually employed.
An alternative arithmetic approach and software like TDEIA are also available.
10. Summary
 The very first stage in life cycle of project is project formulation
 Project formulation is a step by step investigation and development of the project where
each step is for further development of project idea.
 A project formulation exercise undertaken at right time in a right manner mitigates the
rigorousness as well as magnitude of these problems.
 The huge projects require assistance from the financial Institutions. The funding becomes
hassle-free in case of well-formulated projects
 In order to take the most effective project decision, project formulation is required. This
exercise of project formulation usually contains elements like : Feasibility analysis ,
Techno-economic analysis , Project Design and Network analysis, Input analysis Financial
analysis , Social Cost-benefit analysis and Project appraisal
 Environmental impact assessment (EIA) is the formal systematic procedure which is used
in order to trace the consequences of project or plan on the environment. This assessment
may be done for present or proposed action.

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Project Formulation Guide

  • 1. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ BUSINESS ECONOMICS PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION Subject BUSINESS ECONOMICS Paper No and Title 16: PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS Module No and Title 5: PROJECT FORMULATION Module Tag BSE_P16_M5
  • 2. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ BUSINESS ECONOMICS PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Learning Outcomes 2. Introduction 3. Concept of Project Formulation 4. Need for Project Formulation 5. Significance of Project Formulation 6. Elements of Project Formulation 6.1. Feasibility Analysis 6.2. Techno-Economic Analysis 6.3. Project Design and Network Analysis 6.4. Input Analysis 6.5. Financial Analysis 6.6. Social Cost- Benefit Analysis 6.7. Project Appraisal 7. Project Formulation vs. Detailed Project Report 8. Environmental Impact Analysis (EIA) 8.1. History of EIA 8.2. Concept of EIA 8.3. Definition of EIA 8.4. Methods of EIA 9. Steps in appraisal process adopted by planning commission 10. Summary
  • 3. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ BUSINESS ECONOMICS PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION 1. Learning Outcomes After studying this module, you shall be able to  Know the concept of Project Formulation  Learn the significance of Project Formulation  Identify the elements of Project Formulation  Evaluate the common errors in Project Formulation  Identify difference between Project Formulation and DPR  Understand Environmental Impact Analysis 2. Introduction The entrepreneur faces number of problems while establishing new project. These problems may be in relation to the formalities and procedures to be completed, technical requirements or even financial constraints also. There is a need to set the boundaries or the limit of the work intended to be performed under the proposed project. In fact, the project is required to be given the precise meaning. It definitely prevents the confusion, conflict or duplication of various aspects related with the project. The very first stage in life cycle of project is project formulation. This module discusses the need, significance and elements of project formulation. Now-a-days the impact on environment needs to be analysed compulsorily. The Environment Impact Analysis has also been included in this module. 3. Concept of Project Formulation Project formulation is a step by step investigation and development of the project where each step is for further development of project idea. It is a control mechanism which provides for restricting expenditure on project development. So, it enables to control the expenditure and if at any step there are signs of anything going wrong or if weakness is observed in the project at any stage of investigation, the project may even be called off. Project formulation is the systematic development of a project idea for the eventual objective of arriving at an investment decision. It has the built-in mechanism of ringing the danger bell at the earliest possible stage of resource utilization. 4. Need for Project Formulation In the process of establishment of a new project, number of problems is faced by the entrepreneur. The resources are scarce and alternative uses are available for these. That is why step-by-step investigation and development of project idea are required. Following are some of the problems that make the entrepreneur to undergo a lot of harassment, frustration and disappointment. But a project formulation exercise undertaken at right time in a right manner mitigates the rigorousness
  • 4. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ BUSINESS ECONOMICS PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION as well as magnitude of these problems. The following are some of these key issues due to which the need for project formulation becomes inevitable. 1. Selection of Appropriate Technology: The project necessarily requires technology to be adopted. The entrepreneur faces great difficulty in the selection of appropriate technology for the project. The problem may be in relation with development of new technology or selection of suitable and adequate technology out of technologies available. In highly industrialized economies, modern technologies have been developed. But these may not be suitable for small and medium projects or in case of developing economies. There may be a case that good technology is available but resources are not adequate enough. Another problem may be the requirement of skilled manpower. This clearly indicates that the project needs to be thoroughly examined as regards these factors. It is not possible without project formulation. 2. Influence of External Economies: Any project cannot function in isolation and it requires the support of external economies. The dependency of the project in question on other projects or industry may be with respect to: a) Supply of raw material b) Requirements of power and its supply c) Supply of tools, spare parts d) Ancillary enterprises for supply of technical, financial or managerial services e) Complex network of communication and transport facilities The direct costs are the basic costs of the project. But, in the case of developing countries the above stated ancillary costs are also considered. In developed countries or advanced industrial environment, this basic cost is not required as it is contributed in terms of external economies. 3. Non-availability of Technical Manpower: The successful execution requires availability of appropriate and technically qualified personnel. The project formulation duly analyses this aspect of project so that a technically infeasible project may be abandoned at very initial stage. 4. Resource Mobilisation: The resource mobilization refers to the ability to gather various resources to accomplish the desired goals. The mobilization may be very easy and feasible at the very initial level of the project. But it is required continuously throughout the project. The project formulation takes into account this aspect also. 5. Legal Scenario: The Government policies require being adhered compulsorily. The basic problem, faced in most of the countries, is non-availability of consolidated and detailed information. In India “Ministry of Industrial Development” has issued a compendium in the name of “Guidelines for Industries”. This compendium covers the following aspects: a) Industrial Policy b) Licensing policy and procedures, if any c) Guidelines for foreign collaboration d) Import and export control orders
  • 5. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ BUSINESS ECONOMICS PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION e) Present status of capacities f) Possibility of further development 5. Significance of Project Formulation The huge projects require assistance from the financial Institutions. The funding becomes hassle- free in case of well-formulated projects. The most viable way of selling a project idea to financing agency requires allocation of resource constraints to various projects with due consideration of relative importance and viability. It can be made possible in an effective manner through project formulation. The project report, prepared after due project formulation, will be of great assistance. 6. Elements of Project Formulation In order to take the most effective project decision, project formulation is required. This exercise of project formulation usually contains the following elements: 1. Feasibility analysis 2. Techno-economic analysis 3. Project Design and Network analysis 4. Input analysis Financial analysis 5. Social Cost-benefit analysis 6. Project appraisal 6.1 Feasibility Analysis Feasibility analysis is a process undertaken to determine whether the project idea is worth proceeding with or not. It evaluates the future of the project idea within the limitations imposed by the environment upon it and also the constraints of the implementing body. Generally, the outcome of the study can give a positive result under which the decision to proceed with the project is taken otherwise the project can be abandoned. Sometimes, the data is not sufficient to arrive at any decision and in that case further information is collected till a decision can be reached. The feasibility analysis consists of three stages. These are pre-feasibility study, feasibility study and Project report. It has been discussed in detail in Module 6 (Feasibility Studies). 6.2 Techno-Economic Analysis It is concerned with finding out the demand potential of the project and the right technology required attaining the objective of the project. It is important to analyse whether the economy will absorb the output. The technology would mean the project design, the methodology and the process required. Thus it is to be understood in a broader sense. This analysis consists of two important segments. The first segment is related with ascertainment of maximum project output whereas the purpose of second segment is the selection of optimal strategy to achieve the output.
  • 6. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ BUSINESS ECONOMICS PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION 6.3 Project Design and Network Analysis It is related with the flow of various individual activities and their inter-relationship in order to complete the project. It identifies activities which can be started and also the activities which can be taken up simultaneously. It is generally depicted in the form of a network diagram. . 6.4 Input Analysis After all the analysis the next step is to find out all the resources that are required to complete the project. These resources form the inputs of the project. It also identifies all the different phases where the resources are required. 6.5 Financial Analysis The estimates about the financial costs of the project and the revenue generated by it so as to determine whether it will be profitable to undertake the project or not is termed as financial analysis. The following norms are adopted by Financial Institutions in the examination of financial feasibility of project: 1. Cost estimates of the project are to be examined whether such costs are realistic and escalation is taken into account. 2. Time and cost over-runs should be considered. 3. Sources of finance i.e. debt-equity ratio, financing of fixed assets, financing of working capital, promoters contribution towards share capital, etc. debt equity ratio of 2:1 should be maintained. 4. Financial viability i.e. profitability, sensitivity analysis, cash flow are to be examined thoroughly. 5. IRR should be worked out. 6. Interest coverage ratio should be calculated. 7. The level at which the project is likely to break-even is also examined. 8. Loan repayment schedule is drawn up as per financial projections. Repayment should be made out of internal resources. 9. In case of existing company, the impact of new project on the level of production, net earnings, borrowings, costs, etc. is to be seen. 10. Unsecured loans from promoters are allowed only in restricted circumstances and with a condition that they should not withdraw the amount without permission of the financial institutions.
  • 7. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ BUSINESS ECONOMICS PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION 6.6 Social Cost-benefit analysis The concept of social cost–benefit analysis (SCBA) has been introduced by the French economist Jules Dupuit. Social Cost benefit Analysis is a systematic evaluation technique for long-term decision making in capital projects appraisal. It is an analytical tool in decision making which enables a systematic comparison to be made between the social costs and related social benefits with due emphasis on technical and other feasibility studies but focusing more on social impact. In the context of planned economies, the social costs benefit analysis aids in evaluating individual projects within the planning framework. In addition to technical, commercial and financial viability of the project, it should also be socially desirable. The following are the indicators of social desirability of a project: a) Employment potential b) Value added per employee c) Value added per rupee of capital d) Capital output ratio e) Cost benefit ratio f) Social cost benefit analysis (SCBA) g) Area development h) Foreign exchange benefit to the country It must be emphasized that, there can be no definite principle which can be universally applied to convert commercial costs and benefits into social costs and benefits. However, the following two principal approaches are suggested for SCBA: It deals with the estimation of social costs and social benefits. This analysis is undertaken to ascertain the impact of the project on the society as a whole. Greater emphasis is laid on social objectives in this analysis with lesser profit motive. The projects aimed at the development of the society will give secondary importance to the profitability of the project, keeping in view the social objectives as primary. 6.6.1 UNIDO Approach This approach focuses on consumption as the final goal of all investments and therefore the benefit and costs relating to a project are determined in terms of impact on consumption. 6.6.2 Little-Mirrlees Approach The Little-Mirrlees approach determines the benefits and costs of projects in terms of investment. The social costs and benefits are measured in terms of international prices. Apart from above, some financial institutions like IDBI, IFCI and ICICI are following simplified version of L-M approach: economic rate of return, effective rate of protection and domestic resource test. All these approaches have been discussed in detail in subsequent modules.
  • 8. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ BUSINESS ECONOMICS PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION 6.7 Project Appraisal The term project appraisal refers to the process of assessing whether to proceed with the project or nor in a systematic manner. It is related with calculating the feasibility and viability of the project. While appraising a project economic, technical, marketing and financial feasibility is generally checked. A feasibility report is then prepared based on which the decision is taken whether to proceed with the project or not. The types of appraisal can be  Technical  Commercial  Financial  Economic  Management 7. Project Formulation vs. Detailed Project Report The Project Formulation is totally different from Detailed Project Report. The difference lies in the basic purpose and the timings of the preparation of the two documents. The following are the major points of differences between the two: 1. Pre and Post investment Decision: Project formulation is an investing process and is undertaken to find out and to present relevant facts before taking the decision. Project formulation enables the decision maker to take decision to accept or reject the project. For the same purposes, the PF examines the project idea from the stand point of its objectives, social impacts and financial and technical viability. The detailed project report, on the other hand, is post investment decision. It involves the preparationof detailed specifications and design, engineering drawings, site investigation, foundations design and process design as well as time schedules for project implementation. 2. Purpose: Project formulation forms the basis on which the decision of investment is to be taken. It is considered with PIR (Pre-investment report). On the other hand, Detailed Project Report (DPR) is a detailed work plan for the implementation of the project. 3. Contents: The elements of Project formulation are feasibility analysis, techno-economic analysis, project design and network analysis, input analysis, financial analysis, social cost benefit analysis and project appraisal. Whereas the contents of DPR include general information, promoter’s details, marketing and selling arrangements, technical arrangements, environmental aspects, schedule of implementation, etc. Thus, project formulation always precedes detailed project report.
  • 9. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ BUSINESS ECONOMICS PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION 8. Steps in Appraisal Process Adopted by Planning Commission The Planning Commission (Now Niti Ayog) follows specific approach for project Appraisal. In this regard, the Project Appraisal passes through following three stages: 1. Project formulation 2. Feasibility Study 3. Detailed project Report (DPR) The investment proposals in the first two stages are handled by Public Investment Board in order to arrive at a decision. The examination and clearance of Detailed Project Report are referred by financial advisers in consultation with concerned administrative ministries. It may result into revision in cost estimates. Due to this revision the difference arises as regards the amounts approved at the stage of investment decision by PIB. It is important to note that if the revised cost estimates exceeds by more than 20% of the amount approved, then the matter is again referred to the board. STAGE 1: a) First of all the priority and position of the investment proposal in the context of the five year/ Annual plan is considered at preliminary and broad level. b) The smooth functioning of this process requires close association of administrative ministry with the planning commission because formulation stage should necessarily be considered before the preparation of plans. c) If foreign exchange implications of the project are serious, then the department of economic affairs is also consulted. d) Thereafter, a feasibility report is prepared considering the views of  Concerned agencies  Administrative Ministry  Public Investment Board  Plan Finance of planning Commission  Project Approval Wing of Planning commission. e) The feasibility report is prepared if the board directs so. STAGE 2: a) This stage is concerned with feasibility study. b) In first stage, feasibility report is prepared on direction of Public Investment Board. The administrative ministry marks comments on the feasibility report prepared under stage 1. The multiple copies of the report are made and these are sent to the concerned financial adviser in the department concerned. c) The financial adviser forwards these copies of feasibility report to the following departments:  Plan Finance and project appraisal wing in Department of Expenditure  Bureau of Public Enterprises  Department of Economic Affairs  Planning Commission  Any other agency deemed necessary. d) The comments, to be made by above agencies, consider various important issues like:
  • 10. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ BUSINESS ECONOMICS PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION  Advisability of plan funds, desirability of diversion of plan funds to new projects from those already on hand.  The economic benefits of the project as distinct from financial returns.  The advisability of undertaking the project in the public sector or joint sector or private sector.  Project's contribution to the social and economic objectives of the country.  The plant capacity and investment timing in the light of demand and supply balance including export possibilities.  Crucial assumptions in the feasibility report which are likely to affect the performance of the commissioned project in relation to the claims made thereon in the feasibility report. STAGE 3: a) The comments are received by Financial Adviser from all concerned departments as listed above. A report is also prepared by Financial Adviser incorporating these comments. b) This report is forwarded to the Plan Finance and project Approval Wing (PFAP) in Department of expenditure. c) The PFAP prepares a final report after due consideration of essential points and notes obtained from different agencies. d) This final report is to be examined by PIB as regards the Financial and economic characteristics of the proposed investment. e) The Final decision is taken by the board. The board may decide  To go ahead with the proposed investment or  To drop it or  To modify it. 9. Environmental Impact Analysis (Development in Project Formulation) 9.1 History of EIA The growing environmental awareness in 1960 leads to evolvement of EIA. In order to have more objective decision making, the EIA included technical evaluation. If we consider the case of the United States, then the formal status was given to EIA in 1969 and a new Act was enacted as National Environmental Policy Act. 9.1 Concept of EIA In respect of any project, policy, plan or program, then impact on the environment may be positive or negative. The decision to continue or to go further with the proposed action depends upon it. Environmental impact assessment (EIA) is the formal systematic procedure which is used in order to trace the consequences of project or plan on the environment. This assessment may be done for present or proposed action.
  • 11. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ BUSINESS ECONOMICS PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION 9.2 Definition of EIA The International Association for Impact Assessment (IAIA) defines an environmental impact assessment as "the process of identifying, predicting, evaluating and mitigating the biophysical, social, and other relevant effects of development proposals prior to major decisions being taken and commitments made." The basic purpose of EIA is to ensure that the project is environmental friendly and it will not impact the environment adversely. 9.3 Methods of EIA The methods of EIA may be general or industry specific. Some of these are following: a) EIA for Industrial products - The impact of industrial products on the environment should be identified and measured. For this PLCA i.e. Product environmental life cycle analysis method is generally used. This method considers the activities related with:  The extraction of raw materials  Ancillary materials  The equipment  The production, use, disposal and ancillary equipment.
  • 12. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ BUSINESS ECONOMICS PAPER NO. 16 : PROJECT APPRAISAL AND IMPACT ANALYSIS MODULE NO. 5 : PROJECT FORMULATION b) EIA for Genetically Modified Plants - The specific methods available for these plants are GMP-RAM and INOVA. c) EIA where impacts cannot be quantified - In order to apply EIA, there is a need to measure data and estimate values of impact indicators. But in some cases, like landscape quality, lifestyle quality, social acceptance, etc., the quantification is not possible. And also, the information from similar EIA cannot be received. In such cases, approximate reasoning methods (i.e. fuzzy logic), expert judgment, community sentiment, etc. are usually employed. An alternative arithmetic approach and software like TDEIA are also available. 10. Summary  The very first stage in life cycle of project is project formulation  Project formulation is a step by step investigation and development of the project where each step is for further development of project idea.  A project formulation exercise undertaken at right time in a right manner mitigates the rigorousness as well as magnitude of these problems.  The huge projects require assistance from the financial Institutions. The funding becomes hassle-free in case of well-formulated projects  In order to take the most effective project decision, project formulation is required. This exercise of project formulation usually contains elements like : Feasibility analysis , Techno-economic analysis , Project Design and Network analysis, Input analysis Financial analysis , Social Cost-benefit analysis and Project appraisal  Environmental impact assessment (EIA) is the formal systematic procedure which is used in order to trace the consequences of project or plan on the environment. This assessment may be done for present or proposed action.