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Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Problem and Customer Definition
Kazuaki Oda
Hult Prize Hokkaido University, 6th November, 2022
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
#SerialEntrepreneur #Professor #Consultant
#Investor #Athlete #Mathematics #KeynoteSpeaker,,
-K Consulting Co., Ltd (CEO)
-Nagoya University (Visiting Professor)
-SLOGAN Inc.(Co-Founder & Executive Fellow) *IPO(2021)
-IIT Kharagpur, IISc, Indian Institutes of Management,
IIT Hyderabad, National University of Singapore,
Institut Teknologi Bandung, University of Indonesia,,,
(Guest Lecturer)
Kazuaki ODA (織田一彰)
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Please keep in mind
Always think and talk
with a “Number”
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
<Today’s Topics>
(1)What is an “Innovation”?
(2)What We Do For Innovations
(3)Business Opportunities
(4)Product and Customer
(5)Pitch Presentation
“Problem and Customer Definition”
@Hult Prize Hokkaido University (2022)
Kazuaki ODA
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Thomas Alva Edison
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(Examples of Innovations)
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(Examples of Innovations)
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The Inventions of The Human
-Language
-Fire
-Agriculture
-Currency
-Electricity
-Telephone
-Car/Train/Plane
-Medicine
-Metal(Iron/Copper/Aluminum,,,)
-Paper/Book
-Music/Art
・・・
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Four Greatest Inventions of China
(四大发明)
-Compass(罗盘)
-Gunpowder(火药)
-Papermaking(造纸)
-Woodblock Printing(木版印刷)
Three Greatest Inventions of Europe
-Nautical Compass
-Gunpowder
-Printing Press
Great inventions changed our life
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The Three Sacred Treasure(三種の神器)
in Modern JAPAN
<SHOWA(1)>
-Refrigerator
-(Mono-color) TV
-Washing Machine
<SHOWA(2)>
-Color TV
-Cooler(Air Conditioner)
-Car
<What technology solved>
Rescue from starvation
A large increase in human population
Increase in travel distance
Health and lifespan of people
Rise of civilization and culture
Stable livelihood
<Tragedy caused by technology>
Development of war weapons
Increase in the economic disparity
Increasing competition
Destruction of nature and environment
Waste of resources
Loss of mental calmness
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Myth of Innovations
-They are science/engineering based
-Heroine/Hero can make it
-Suddenly it happens
-Found by educated people
-Planned by organizations
Innovations are not so difficult!(1)
“S Trap”
Innovations are not so difficult!(2)
“Laundry Ball”
Innovations are not so difficult!(3)
“Laundry Net”
Innovations are not so difficult!(4)
“Vertical Farm”
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“Innovations” are waiting next to us!
(Tips by Prof ODA)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
<Today’s Topics>
(1)What is an “Innovation”?
(2)What We Do For Innovations
(3)Business Opportunities
(4)Product and Customer
(5)Pitch Presentation
“Problem and Customer Definition”
@Hult Prize Hokkaido University (2022)
Kazuaki ODA
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
What are SDG’s?
(Sustainable Development Goals)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
There are so still many issues in the world
poverty, rising inequalities, disparities of opportunity,
wealth and power, gender inequality, unemployment,
global health threats, natural disasters, spiraling conflict,
violent extremism, terrorism, humanitarian crises,
natural resource depletion, environmental degradation,
desertification, drought, land degradation, freshwater
scarcity and loss of biodiversity, climate change,,,
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(1) End poverty in all its forms everywhere
(2) End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture
(3) Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages
(4) Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all
(5) Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls
(6) Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all
(7) Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all
(8) Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and productive employment and
decent work for all
(9) Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization and foster innovation
(10) Reduce inequality within and among countries
(11) Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable
(12) Ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns
(13) Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts*
(14) Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development
(15) Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems, sustainably manage forests,
combat desertification, and halt and reverse land degradation and halt biodiversity loss
(16) Promote peaceful and inclusive societies for sustainable development, provide access to justice for all
and build effective, accountable and inclusive institutions at all levels
(17) Strengthen the means of implementation and revitalize the Global Partnership for Sustainable
Development
17 Sustainable Development Goals
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Why SDG’s?
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Why SDG’s?
Because it has NOT been sustainable
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Why has it NOT been sustainable?
Greedy capitalism/Short-term goals/
No social objective/No government…
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Capital market
(資本経済)
Why SDG’s?
The gap of two systems is too big to coexist!
Real economy
(実体経済)
-SDG’s
(Sustainable development goals)
-ESG investment
(Environment/Social/Governance)
-NPO
(Non-profit organization)
-NGO
(Non-government organization)
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NPO of Deep Tech “hello tomorrow”
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Deep Technologies(“Deep Tech”)
Artificial intelligence
Biotechnology
Drones
Blockchain
Advanced materials
Quantum computing
Electronics
Robotics
Nano-technology
Energy
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New IT city of Vietnam, DaNang
Danang University of Technology
(Vietnam)
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China’s Startup Ecosystem at Shenzhen
EV-bus and EV-taxi in Shenzhen
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Big Cites of China, Beijing/Shanghai!
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Indonesia’s Big City, Jakarta
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GoJek Headquarter at Jakarta, Indonesia
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India’s IT center, Hyderabad
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Rakuten India Headquarter, Bangalore
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German Accelerator (Singapore)
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Google Asia Pacific Headquarter(Singapore)
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<Today’s Topics>
(1)What is an “Innovation”?
(2)What We Do For Innovations
(3)Business Opportunities
(4)Product and Customer
(5)Pitch Presentation
“Problem and Customer Definition”
@Hult Prize Hokkaido University (2022)
Kazuaki ODA
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
What make The Innovations?
-Pain(=Need)>Want
-Funding
-Trial and Error
-Technology(R&D)
-Team and Leadership
-Marketing
etc.
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
“Business Opportunity Principle”
Pain >>> Want
Social issues
(natural disasters,
poverty, inequality,,,)
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“Business Opportunity Principle”
Pain >>> Want
Social issues
(natural disasters,
poverty, inequality,,,)
Business Opportunity
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“Any problem is an opportunity”
(Tips by Prof ODA)
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There are some approaches
to find business opportunities
(1) Imagination
(2) Brainstorming
(3) Analogy
(4) Copying
* Bathing, Horse riding, Toilets may be good!
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
There are some approaches
to find business opportunities
(1) Imagination
(2) Brainstorming
(3) Analogy
(4) Copying
* Bathing, Horse riding, Toilets may be good
=>Right hemisphere(右脳)
=>Left hemisphere(左脳)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
“Stay foolish!”
We can learn from the legend!
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GROUP WORK(15 min)
-Pick up your interest(s) apart from SDG’s topics.
-Show us how to solve them.
(2 min presentation)
* Only “FOOOOOlISH” ideas can be accepted!
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
<Today’s Topics>
(1)What is an “Innovation”?
(2)What We Do For Innovations
(3)Business Opportunities
(4)Product and Customer
(5)Pitch Presentation
“Problem and Customer Definition”
@Hult Prize Hokkaido University (2022)
Kazuaki ODA
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
What is your TARGET market?
(どのマーケットを取りに行くか?)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Product design and marketing are
as important as inventions
(Tips by Prof ODA)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
・Can You Predict the Future Market?
-Size is big enough? (How many use the product?)
-How can people come to use the product?
-People are ready to use it?(good time?)
Product Design and Marketing
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Can You Predict the Future Market?
-Size is big enough? (How many use the product?)
-How can people come to use the product?
-People are ready to use it?(good time?)
Product Design and Marketing
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Nobody knows the future markets!
(誰も未来の市場については知らない)
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<“Marketing” Principle>
マーケティングの原則
Market size = Product * Customer
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<Extreme Simple “Marketing” Questions>
マーケティング究極の3つの問い
(1)”Who” pays(誰が)
(2) to “What”(何に対して)
(3)”How much”(いくら払う)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
<Extreme Simple “Marketing” Questions>
マーケティング究極の3つの問い
(1)”Who” pays(誰が)
(2) to “What”(何に対して)
(3)”How much”(いくら払う)
Customer
Product
$
$
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(1)”Who” pays(誰が)
Customer $
”Who” is this person?(コレは誰?)
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Take time to know “exactly”
what our customers are!
(Tips by Prof ODA)
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Market size is simulated mainly
by the number of users!
(Tips by Prof ODA)
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(Work) *10 min.
How much is the annual sales of
“McDonald’s Japan”?
* Answer in JPY or USD
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(Work) *10 min.
How much is the annual sales of
“McDonald’s Japan”?
* Answer in JPY or USD
<Answer>
2B USD = 3000億円!
<=0.7M USD*3000(1億円/店*3000店)
0.7M(1億円)<=5USD(750円) * #persons
#persons=120mil * 30% *frequency
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(Work) How big is it?
* Answer in USD
Annual sales of McDonald’s Japan?
GDP(Gross Domestic Product of JAPAN)?
Annual revenue of NTT?
Market capitalization of Apple?
??
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(Work) How big is it?
* Answer in USD
Annual sales of McDonald’s Japan 2B USD
GDP(Gross Domestic Product of JAPAN) 4T USD
Annual revenue of NTT 80B USD
Market capitalization of Apple 2.5T USD
??
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(Ref) Number, Number, Number!!!
World GDP = 96T USD(1.4京円)
JAPAN’s GDP = 4T USD(600兆円)
TOYOTA’s revenue =0.2T USD(30兆円)
Rakuten’s revenue = 10B USD(1.5兆円)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
63
(Ref) GDP rankings by country (bil.USD)(2019、IMF)
1 USA 21,433
3 Japan 5,080
4 Germany 3,862
6 UK 2,831
2 China 14,732
7 France 2,716
8 Italy 2,001
9 Brazil 1,839
10 Canada 1,736
5 India 2,869
(Ref) GDP Projections by country(2050) bil. USD
GoldmanSachs(2007) PwC(2017) The Economist (2015)
China 70,710 China 49,853 China 105,916
USA 38,514 USA 34,102 USA 70,913
India 37,668 India 28,021 India 63,842
Brazil 11,366 Indonesia 7,275 Indonesia 15,432
Mexico 9,340 Japan 6,779 Japan 11,367
Russia 8,580 Brazil 6,532 Germany 11,334
Indonesia 7,010 Germany 6,138 Brazil 10,334
Japan 6,677 Mexico 5,563 Mexico 9,826
UK 5,133 UK 5,369 UK 9,812
Germany 5,024 Russia 5,127 France 9,671
Population by country(2019)
1 China 1.44
2 India 1.37
4 Indonesia 0.27
6 Brasil 0.21
3 US 0.33
7 Nigeria 0.20
8 Bangladesh 0.16
9 Russia 0.15
10 Mexico 0.13
5 Pakistan 0.22
(Billion)
www.worldpopulationreview.com
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Where Is It in Company Growth Curve?
CompanyValue
(Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Time
Potential Size
Present Size
Present Stage Matured Point
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Where Is It in Company Growth Curve?
Company
Value
(Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Time
Potential Size
Present Size
Present Stage Matured Point
<=Market Size = Product * Customer
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Time
Company
Value
$50M
$10M
$1B
$300M
Series A
Series C、D、、
IPO (Initial Public Offering )
Secondary Public Offering
Series B
Fund Raising ( by Issuing Stocks)
Pre IPO Growth Post IPO Growth
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
FUNDING must be done
to have a good team and a product
(Tips by Prof ODA)
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Let us study another Math question!
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(Question)
You draw 10% lotteries 10 times.
Then what is the probability
that you win at least once till the end?
(1) 25%
(2) 45%
(3) 65%
(4) 85%
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
(1) 25%
(2) 45%
(3) 65%
(4) 85%
(Question)
You draw the lotteries 10 times.
Then what is the probability
that you win at least once till the end?
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Mathematics tells us…
0
20
40
60
80
100
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Probability(%) of winning in
1/10 lottery with N times trial
Trial(N) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Probability(%) 10 19 27 34 41 47 52 57 61 65 69 72 75 77 79 81 83 85 86 88
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Take your time and take a “trial and error” approach.
(Tips by Prof ODA)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
<Today’s Topics>
(1)What is an “Innovation”?
(2)What We Do For Innovations
(3)Business Opportunities
(4)Product and Customer
(5)Pitch Presentation
“Problem and Customer Definition”
@Hult Prize Hokkaido University (2022)
Kazuaki ODA
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
In a “Pitch” presentation,
select messages into 3!
(1) Background
(2) Service
(3) Business Model
(Tips by Prof ODA)
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<Background(背景)>
-No.1 share in communication
-New service added to infrastructure
-New business opportunity in a new era
、、、
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Ex. Info of pitch presentation
(1) Background
Lots of children do NOT access to the net
(2) Service
“Completely free internet access
(3) Business Model
“All companies pay “Children tax”
* Monthly 300JPY for 1 employee
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“Be Ambitious!” by Dr. Clark
Thank You !!
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<facebook>
http://facebook.com/kazuaki.oda(follow)
http://facebook.com/kazuaki.oda2(friendship)
<Linkedin>
https://www.linkedin.com/in/kazuaki-oda
Kazuaki Oda(織田一彰)
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Problem and Customer Definition at Hult Prize Hokkaido univ.

  • 1. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Problem and Customer Definition Kazuaki Oda Hult Prize Hokkaido University, 6th November, 2022
  • 2. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. #SerialEntrepreneur #Professor #Consultant #Investor #Athlete #Mathematics #KeynoteSpeaker,, -K Consulting Co., Ltd (CEO) -Nagoya University (Visiting Professor) -SLOGAN Inc.(Co-Founder & Executive Fellow) *IPO(2021) -IIT Kharagpur, IISc, Indian Institutes of Management, IIT Hyderabad, National University of Singapore, Institut Teknologi Bandung, University of Indonesia,,, (Guest Lecturer) Kazuaki ODA (織田一彰)
  • 3. Copyright© K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Please keep in mind Always think and talk with a “Number”
  • 4. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <Today’s Topics> (1)What is an “Innovation”? (2)What We Do For Innovations (3)Business Opportunities (4)Product and Customer (5)Pitch Presentation “Problem and Customer Definition” @Hult Prize Hokkaido University (2022) Kazuaki ODA
  • 5. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Thomas Alva Edison
  • 6. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (Examples of Innovations)
  • 7. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (Examples of Innovations)
  • 8. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. The Inventions of The Human -Language -Fire -Agriculture -Currency -Electricity -Telephone -Car/Train/Plane -Medicine -Metal(Iron/Copper/Aluminum,,,) -Paper/Book -Music/Art ・・・
  • 9. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Four Greatest Inventions of China (四大发明) -Compass(罗盘) -Gunpowder(火药) -Papermaking(造纸) -Woodblock Printing(木版印刷) Three Greatest Inventions of Europe -Nautical Compass -Gunpowder -Printing Press Great inventions changed our life
  • 10. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. The Three Sacred Treasure(三種の神器) in Modern JAPAN <SHOWA(1)> -Refrigerator -(Mono-color) TV -Washing Machine <SHOWA(2)> -Color TV -Cooler(Air Conditioner) -Car
  • 11. <What technology solved> Rescue from starvation A large increase in human population Increase in travel distance Health and lifespan of people Rise of civilization and culture Stable livelihood <Tragedy caused by technology> Development of war weapons Increase in the economic disparity Increasing competition Destruction of nature and environment Waste of resources Loss of mental calmness
  • 12. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Myth of Innovations -They are science/engineering based -Heroine/Hero can make it -Suddenly it happens -Found by educated people -Planned by organizations
  • 13. Innovations are not so difficult!(1) “S Trap”
  • 14. Innovations are not so difficult!(2) “Laundry Ball”
  • 15. Innovations are not so difficult!(3) “Laundry Net”
  • 16. Innovations are not so difficult!(4) “Vertical Farm”
  • 17. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. “Innovations” are waiting next to us! (Tips by Prof ODA)
  • 18. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <Today’s Topics> (1)What is an “Innovation”? (2)What We Do For Innovations (3)Business Opportunities (4)Product and Customer (5)Pitch Presentation “Problem and Customer Definition” @Hult Prize Hokkaido University (2022) Kazuaki ODA
  • 19. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. What are SDG’s? (Sustainable Development Goals)
  • 20. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. There are so still many issues in the world poverty, rising inequalities, disparities of opportunity, wealth and power, gender inequality, unemployment, global health threats, natural disasters, spiraling conflict, violent extremism, terrorism, humanitarian crises, natural resource depletion, environmental degradation, desertification, drought, land degradation, freshwater scarcity and loss of biodiversity, climate change,,,
  • 21. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (1) End poverty in all its forms everywhere (2) End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture (3) Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages (4) Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all (5) Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls (6) Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all (7) Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all (8) Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and productive employment and decent work for all (9) Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization and foster innovation (10) Reduce inequality within and among countries (11) Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable (12) Ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns (13) Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts* (14) Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development (15) Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems, sustainably manage forests, combat desertification, and halt and reverse land degradation and halt biodiversity loss (16) Promote peaceful and inclusive societies for sustainable development, provide access to justice for all and build effective, accountable and inclusive institutions at all levels (17) Strengthen the means of implementation and revitalize the Global Partnership for Sustainable Development 17 Sustainable Development Goals
  • 22. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Why SDG’s?
  • 23. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Why SDG’s? Because it has NOT been sustainable
  • 24. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Why has it NOT been sustainable? Greedy capitalism/Short-term goals/ No social objective/No government…
  • 25. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Capital market (資本経済) Why SDG’s? The gap of two systems is too big to coexist! Real economy (実体経済) -SDG’s (Sustainable development goals) -ESG investment (Environment/Social/Governance) -NPO (Non-profit organization) -NGO (Non-government organization)
  • 26. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. NPO of Deep Tech “hello tomorrow”
  • 27. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Deep Technologies(“Deep Tech”) Artificial intelligence Biotechnology Drones Blockchain Advanced materials Quantum computing Electronics Robotics Nano-technology Energy
  • 28. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. New IT city of Vietnam, DaNang Danang University of Technology (Vietnam)
  • 29. Copyright© K Consulting All Rights Reserved. China’s Startup Ecosystem at Shenzhen
  • 30. EV-bus and EV-taxi in Shenzhen
  • 31. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Big Cites of China, Beijing/Shanghai!
  • 32. Copyright© K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Indonesia’s Big City, Jakarta
  • 33. Copyright© K Consulting All Rights Reserved. GoJek Headquarter at Jakarta, Indonesia
  • 34. Copyright© K Consulting All Rights Reserved. India’s IT center, Hyderabad
  • 35. Copyright© K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Rakuten India Headquarter, Bangalore
  • 36. Copyright© K Consulting All Rights Reserved. German Accelerator (Singapore)
  • 37. Copyright© K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Google Asia Pacific Headquarter(Singapore)
  • 38. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <Today’s Topics> (1)What is an “Innovation”? (2)What We Do For Innovations (3)Business Opportunities (4)Product and Customer (5)Pitch Presentation “Problem and Customer Definition” @Hult Prize Hokkaido University (2022) Kazuaki ODA
  • 39. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. What make The Innovations? -Pain(=Need)>Want -Funding -Trial and Error -Technology(R&D) -Team and Leadership -Marketing etc.
  • 40. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. “Business Opportunity Principle” Pain >>> Want Social issues (natural disasters, poverty, inequality,,,)
  • 41. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. “Business Opportunity Principle” Pain >>> Want Social issues (natural disasters, poverty, inequality,,,) Business Opportunity
  • 42. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. “Any problem is an opportunity” (Tips by Prof ODA)
  • 43. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. There are some approaches to find business opportunities (1) Imagination (2) Brainstorming (3) Analogy (4) Copying * Bathing, Horse riding, Toilets may be good!
  • 44. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. There are some approaches to find business opportunities (1) Imagination (2) Brainstorming (3) Analogy (4) Copying * Bathing, Horse riding, Toilets may be good =>Right hemisphere(右脳) =>Left hemisphere(左脳)
  • 45. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. “Stay foolish!” We can learn from the legend!
  • 46. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. GROUP WORK(15 min) -Pick up your interest(s) apart from SDG’s topics. -Show us how to solve them. (2 min presentation) * Only “FOOOOOlISH” ideas can be accepted!
  • 47. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <Today’s Topics> (1)What is an “Innovation”? (2)What We Do For Innovations (3)Business Opportunities (4)Product and Customer (5)Pitch Presentation “Problem and Customer Definition” @Hult Prize Hokkaido University (2022) Kazuaki ODA
  • 48. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. What is your TARGET market? (どのマーケットを取りに行くか?)
  • 49. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Product design and marketing are as important as inventions (Tips by Prof ODA)
  • 50. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. ・Can You Predict the Future Market? -Size is big enough? (How many use the product?) -How can people come to use the product? -People are ready to use it?(good time?) Product Design and Marketing
  • 51. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Can You Predict the Future Market? -Size is big enough? (How many use the product?) -How can people come to use the product? -People are ready to use it?(good time?) Product Design and Marketing
  • 52. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Nobody knows the future markets! (誰も未来の市場については知らない)
  • 53. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <“Marketing” Principle> マーケティングの原則 Market size = Product * Customer
  • 54. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <Extreme Simple “Marketing” Questions> マーケティング究極の3つの問い (1)”Who” pays(誰が) (2) to “What”(何に対して) (3)”How much”(いくら払う)
  • 55. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <Extreme Simple “Marketing” Questions> マーケティング究極の3つの問い (1)”Who” pays(誰が) (2) to “What”(何に対して) (3)”How much”(いくら払う) Customer Product $ $
  • 56. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (1)”Who” pays(誰が) Customer $ ”Who” is this person?(コレは誰?)
  • 57. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Take time to know “exactly” what our customers are! (Tips by Prof ODA)
  • 58. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Market size is simulated mainly by the number of users! (Tips by Prof ODA)
  • 59. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (Work) *10 min. How much is the annual sales of “McDonald’s Japan”? * Answer in JPY or USD
  • 60. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (Work) *10 min. How much is the annual sales of “McDonald’s Japan”? * Answer in JPY or USD <Answer> 2B USD = 3000億円! <=0.7M USD*3000(1億円/店*3000店) 0.7M(1億円)<=5USD(750円) * #persons #persons=120mil * 30% *frequency
  • 61. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (Work) How big is it? * Answer in USD Annual sales of McDonald’s Japan? GDP(Gross Domestic Product of JAPAN)? Annual revenue of NTT? Market capitalization of Apple? ??
  • 62. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (Work) How big is it? * Answer in USD Annual sales of McDonald’s Japan 2B USD GDP(Gross Domestic Product of JAPAN) 4T USD Annual revenue of NTT 80B USD Market capitalization of Apple 2.5T USD ??
  • 63. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (Ref) Number, Number, Number!!! World GDP = 96T USD(1.4京円) JAPAN’s GDP = 4T USD(600兆円) TOYOTA’s revenue =0.2T USD(30兆円) Rakuten’s revenue = 10B USD(1.5兆円)
  • 64. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. 63 (Ref) GDP rankings by country (bil.USD)(2019、IMF) 1 USA 21,433 3 Japan 5,080 4 Germany 3,862 6 UK 2,831 2 China 14,732 7 France 2,716 8 Italy 2,001 9 Brazil 1,839 10 Canada 1,736 5 India 2,869
  • 65. (Ref) GDP Projections by country(2050) bil. USD GoldmanSachs(2007) PwC(2017) The Economist (2015) China 70,710 China 49,853 China 105,916 USA 38,514 USA 34,102 USA 70,913 India 37,668 India 28,021 India 63,842 Brazil 11,366 Indonesia 7,275 Indonesia 15,432 Mexico 9,340 Japan 6,779 Japan 11,367 Russia 8,580 Brazil 6,532 Germany 11,334 Indonesia 7,010 Germany 6,138 Brazil 10,334 Japan 6,677 Mexico 5,563 Mexico 9,826 UK 5,133 UK 5,369 UK 9,812 Germany 5,024 Russia 5,127 France 9,671
  • 66. Population by country(2019) 1 China 1.44 2 India 1.37 4 Indonesia 0.27 6 Brasil 0.21 3 US 0.33 7 Nigeria 0.20 8 Bangladesh 0.16 9 Russia 0.15 10 Mexico 0.13 5 Pakistan 0.22 (Billion) www.worldpopulationreview.com
  • 67. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Where Is It in Company Growth Curve? CompanyValue (Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ) Time Potential Size Present Size Present Stage Matured Point
  • 68. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Where Is It in Company Growth Curve? Company Value (Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ) Time Potential Size Present Size Present Stage Matured Point <=Market Size = Product * Customer
  • 69. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Time Company Value $50M $10M $1B $300M Series A Series C、D、、 IPO (Initial Public Offering ) Secondary Public Offering Series B Fund Raising ( by Issuing Stocks) Pre IPO Growth Post IPO Growth
  • 70. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. FUNDING must be done to have a good team and a product (Tips by Prof ODA)
  • 71. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Let us study another Math question!
  • 72. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (Question) You draw 10% lotteries 10 times. Then what is the probability that you win at least once till the end? (1) 25% (2) 45% (3) 65% (4) 85%
  • 73. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (1) 25% (2) 45% (3) 65% (4) 85% (Question) You draw the lotteries 10 times. Then what is the probability that you win at least once till the end?
  • 74. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Mathematics tells us… 0 20 40 60 80 100 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Probability(%) of winning in 1/10 lottery with N times trial Trial(N) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Probability(%) 10 19 27 34 41 47 52 57 61 65 69 72 75 77 79 81 83 85 86 88
  • 75. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Take your time and take a “trial and error” approach. (Tips by Prof ODA)
  • 76. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <Today’s Topics> (1)What is an “Innovation”? (2)What We Do For Innovations (3)Business Opportunities (4)Product and Customer (5)Pitch Presentation “Problem and Customer Definition” @Hult Prize Hokkaido University (2022) Kazuaki ODA
  • 77. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. In a “Pitch” presentation, select messages into 3! (1) Background (2) Service (3) Business Model (Tips by Prof ODA)
  • 78. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <Background(背景)> -No.1 share in communication -New service added to infrastructure -New business opportunity in a new era 、、、
  • 79. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Ex. Info of pitch presentation (1) Background Lots of children do NOT access to the net (2) Service “Completely free internet access (3) Business Model “All companies pay “Children tax” * Monthly 300JPY for 1 employee
  • 80. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. “Be Ambitious!” by Dr. Clark Thank You !!
  • 81. Copyright© K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <facebook> http://facebook.com/kazuaki.oda(follow) http://facebook.com/kazuaki.oda2(friendship) <Linkedin> https://www.linkedin.com/in/kazuaki-oda Kazuaki Oda(織田一彰) Facebook WhatsApp Linkedin