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Strategic Analysis of PepsiCo

           Dominant Logic
David Bright, Terra Christensen, Nicholas Papas,
            Arc Sims, Derrick Smith
Introduction
 Methods
 Areas of concern
  • Growth opportunities and competition
 Recommendations
  • Acquisition
Company Overview

2001
 Total Revenue $27 Billion
 Net Income $2.7 Billion
 ROS 9.8%
 ROE 32.8%
Company Overview
                           Quaker
 Three                     Oats
                             7%
  divisions
                                    Pepsi
  • Pepsi                            39%

  • Frito-Lay
  • Quaker Oats
                  Frito-
                   Lay
                   54%
Beverages Industry Overview

 Non-Dairy, Non-Alcoholic
 Pressures from
  • Buyers
  • Competitors
 Other information
  • Entrants
Snack Food Industry Overview

 Salty, Grain-Based
 Pressures from
  • Buyers
  • Substitutes
  • Competitors
 Other information
  • Entrants
Competitive Positioning
 Differentiation Strategy
  •   Product packaging
  •   Product manufacturing
  •   Product innovations
  •   Marketing
Core Competency
 Branding/Marketing
 Product Innovation
Diversification Strategy
 Recent efforts
  • Acquisitions
  • Divestitures
  • Joint Ventures
Strategic Conclusions

 Current strategies are working
 Areas of concern
  • Growth rates (domestic and abroad)
  • High competition
  • Over diversified
Alternatives
 Divestiture
 Acquisition
 R&D
Divestiture
 Quaker Oats
  • Appears to be poor fit
  • Acquired for Gatorade
Research and Development

 Be innovator
  • Develop unique brand extensions
  • Lead development of unique preservatives,
    additives, and packaging technology
Acquisition
 Jones Soda
  • Growing specialty, premium soda market
    niche
  • Fits with PepsiCo’s core competency
  • Can possibly be acquired for $10M
  • NPV of $19M, with potential for nearly
    $50M
Recommended Alternative

 Acquire Interstate Bakeries
  Corporation
  • Portfolio of bread, bakery goods, and
    sugary snack foods,which uses many of the
    same distribution channels
  • Recognizable, segment leading brands with
    Hostess and Dolly Madison
Recommended Alternative—Financials
IBC Present Value Calculations
Realistic Assumptions
amounts in $ millions
                                   Actual <--------------------------Estimated--------------------------->
                                12/31/01 12/31/02 12/31/03 12/31/04 12/31/05 12/31/06
Sales                                3,496     3,531        3,566        3,602      3,638         3,674
Cost of Goods Sold                  (1,653)   (1,670)      (1,686)      (1,703)    (1,720)       (1,737)
Selling, Delivery and Administrative(1,586)   (1,190)         (892)       (901)      (910)         (919)
Depreciation & Amortization           (111)     (112)         (113)       (114)      (116)         (117)
Interest Expense                       (47)       (47)         (47)        (47)        (47)          (47)
Net Income Before Taxes                 99       513           828         836        845           854
Taxes                                  (39)     (179)         (290)       (293)      (296)         (299)
Net Income Before Taxes                 60       333           538         544        549           555

12/31/05 Terminal Value                                                               3,938
Total Cash Flows                                     333        538         544       4,487
Discounted Cash Flows                                290        406         357       2,557
Present Value of Cash Flows            3,609
Thank you

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Pepsi strategy

  • 1. Strategic Analysis of PepsiCo Dominant Logic David Bright, Terra Christensen, Nicholas Papas, Arc Sims, Derrick Smith
  • 2. Introduction  Methods  Areas of concern • Growth opportunities and competition  Recommendations • Acquisition
  • 3. Company Overview 2001  Total Revenue $27 Billion  Net Income $2.7 Billion  ROS 9.8%  ROE 32.8%
  • 4. Company Overview Quaker  Three Oats 7% divisions Pepsi • Pepsi 39% • Frito-Lay • Quaker Oats Frito- Lay 54%
  • 5. Beverages Industry Overview  Non-Dairy, Non-Alcoholic  Pressures from • Buyers • Competitors  Other information • Entrants
  • 6. Snack Food Industry Overview  Salty, Grain-Based  Pressures from • Buyers • Substitutes • Competitors  Other information • Entrants
  • 7. Competitive Positioning  Differentiation Strategy • Product packaging • Product manufacturing • Product innovations • Marketing
  • 9. Diversification Strategy  Recent efforts • Acquisitions • Divestitures • Joint Ventures
  • 10. Strategic Conclusions  Current strategies are working  Areas of concern • Growth rates (domestic and abroad) • High competition • Over diversified
  • 12. Divestiture  Quaker Oats • Appears to be poor fit • Acquired for Gatorade
  • 13. Research and Development  Be innovator • Develop unique brand extensions • Lead development of unique preservatives, additives, and packaging technology
  • 14. Acquisition  Jones Soda • Growing specialty, premium soda market niche • Fits with PepsiCo’s core competency • Can possibly be acquired for $10M • NPV of $19M, with potential for nearly $50M
  • 15. Recommended Alternative  Acquire Interstate Bakeries Corporation • Portfolio of bread, bakery goods, and sugary snack foods,which uses many of the same distribution channels • Recognizable, segment leading brands with Hostess and Dolly Madison
  • 16. Recommended Alternative—Financials IBC Present Value Calculations Realistic Assumptions amounts in $ millions Actual <--------------------------Estimated---------------------------> 12/31/01 12/31/02 12/31/03 12/31/04 12/31/05 12/31/06 Sales 3,496 3,531 3,566 3,602 3,638 3,674 Cost of Goods Sold (1,653) (1,670) (1,686) (1,703) (1,720) (1,737) Selling, Delivery and Administrative(1,586) (1,190) (892) (901) (910) (919) Depreciation & Amortization (111) (112) (113) (114) (116) (117) Interest Expense (47) (47) (47) (47) (47) (47) Net Income Before Taxes 99 513 828 836 845 854 Taxes (39) (179) (290) (293) (296) (299) Net Income Before Taxes 60 333 538 544 549 555 12/31/05 Terminal Value 3,938 Total Cash Flows 333 538 544 4,487 Discounted Cash Flows 290 406 357 2,557 Present Value of Cash Flows 3,609

Editor's Notes

  1. Quaker acquired in 2001. Include the Gatorade sports drink brand. Analyzed only two of the 3 divisions. Pepsi in the non-dairy, non-alcoholic beverage industry and Frito-Lay in the salty grain-based snack food industry.
  2. Examples such as coating both sides of the potato chip, special potato etc.
  3. Resources include brand equity, celebrity endorsements, institutional knowledge, propretiary knowledge Capablities special manufacturing process, keep and build brands.
  4. Sobe, Quaker Oats Tricon Starbucks, NFL, lipton, suntory, empersa polar
  5. Ready-to-eat meal industry is competitive and PepsiCo does not have experience in it Recall experience with TriCon Need to monitor whether Quaker Oats meets financial performance metrics
  6. Olestra as a possible disruptive technology. Pouring cans for doritos etc.
  7. Growing specialty, premium soda market niche Existing brand recognition in select markets with loyal customer base Product development and branding fits with PepsiCo’s core competency Can be acquired for $10M NPV of $19M, with potential for nearly $50M