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China Outbound Private Equity..
                    Identifying Attractive Global Consumer Brands..


                                     Apr 2012
BY:
BY: KC YOON & MATT BRANDT
GLOBAL CHINA CAPITAL, SHENZHEN
Email: kcyoon07@gmail.com
       mbbrandt@gmail.com




                                      CONFIDENTIAL
“Upwards” Growth in Chinese
Consumption ..Driven
Primarily by Unique Segment
of Mass-Affluent
   Mass-
Consumers..




          CONFIDENTIAL
Source:         McKinsey 2012: Chinese Consumers 2020

Growth of Chinese




                                       170M Mass-Affluent Base by
   Middle-Class
300M+ Households
                     Mass-Affluent
                        >50%




                                                 2020
 Urbanization and
 Growth of Cities
>200 cities over 1M
                       2nd/3rd Tier
                   Cities New Growth
                          Areas
                                       >60% Urban Pop. Across
                                             400+ cities


   Impact of the
     Internet-
    900M users         Mobile &
                      Ecommerce
                     New Channels



                                                                    Source: iResearch report 2009
                                                                                                    CONFIDENTIAL
Unique Characteristics &
Needs of China’s Mass
Affluent - Create Market
Opportunity for Range of
Consumer Brands & Services




          CONFIDENTIAL
Unique Behavior Drives   Increasing Urban Household Discretionary
 Consumption Pattern                   Consumption




                            2020: 80% of
                           Urban Chinese
                         Household Spend on
                           Non-necessities                  >US$3.5 trillion
                                                              Spend by
                                                               2020!!
                            Chinese men
                         play significant role
                              in driving
                            consumption


                                                 CONFIDENTIAL
Market Segments that Fulfill the Following          Attractive
         Categories of Consumer Needs                     Market
                                                         Segment!
 Affordable Luxury for
                           Fashion
  the Young Affluent                                                      Significant
                          Apparel &
                                                                            Market
                         Accessories
 “Premium” Products
   to Pamper/Show
        Status            QSR Food                                           High
                           Services                                         Growth
    Services for the
   Urban Consumer
                           Personal
                                                                           Attractive
                           Devices
 Online Services with                                                      Margins
  Access to Brands
                           Education
    Services that           Services                                       Defensible
 Enhances Career &                                                          - Brand,
   Job Prospects                                                           Tech, Svc
                          Health Food
 Services to maintain      & Snacks
“Health”+ “Well-being”
                                                             Examples of successful
                                                           Consumer brands & services
                                                             targeting Mass-Affluent
                                                  CONFIDENTIAL
Attractive , High Growth
Potential Consumer Market
Segments – Future Demand
from China’s Mass Affluent
Consumers




          CONFIDENTIAL
Consumer Goods & Products

Mass Affluent       Rationale                              Potential          Domestic                 Value of Foreign          Remarks
Consumption                                                 Market            Industry                 Brands
  Segment

Fashion Apparel,    •   Trade up strong                  RMB 1.3 trillion     •   Fragmented           •   Established Global    Attractive
Accessories &       •   Willingness to try new brands    (2020e)                  market                   luxury brands         Segment for
Sportswear          •   Large share of spend                                  •   No clear leader;     •   Global distribution   foreign brands
Brands & Retail     •   Increased casual time; niche                          •   Few luxury-status
                        activities                                                domestic brands

Personal Care &     •   3rd largest & growing market     RMB 255 billion      •   Limited local        •   Strong marketing      Regulatory
Cosmetics           •   Trade-up strong                  (2015e)                  brands               •   R&D & Hi-tech in      hurdles key
                    •   Chinese men also big                                  •   TCM-based                products              obstacle to
                        consumers of personal care                                products             •   High safety           market entry
                                                                                  upcoming                 standards

Processed           •   Increased concerns about food    Largest global       •   Fragmented           •   Advanced              Chinese Govt
Foods, (snacks,         quality &safety makes foreign    market for               industry- many           processing tech       encouraging
diary, health           brands attractive                dietary                  small food           •   High QC & safety      foreign co help
food & drinks,      •   Wealthy consumers willingness    supplements              processing co.           standards             upgrade
                        to spend on healthy well-being                        •   Food safety          •   Premium branding      domestic
organic food),                                           (2020e)
                    •   Snacking is increasing                                    issues                   eg, wines, health     industry
Vitamins &                                                                                                 supplements
Nutraceutical

Personal            •    Display of personal wealth &                         •   Fast cheap copy-     •   Global brand status   Apple’s
Devices –               status                                                    cats                 •   Worldwide service     iphone/ipad
recreational,       •   Younger generation tech savvy                         •   Increasing               support               good case of
                    •   Music, online gaming, online                              innovativeness       •   Leading edge          foreign brand
entertainment,
                        entertainment integral part of                            e.g. mobile phone        technology            winner
communications
                        Chinese social live

Consumer            •   Urban living- seek convenience                        •   Strong domestic      •   New technology
appliances                                                                        brands exist for     •   Cutting edge
                                                                                  general appliance        appliance design

      List is not meant to be exhaustive but represents major opportunities
                                                                                                  CONFIDENTIAL
Consumer Services

Mass Affluent        Rationale                           Potential           Domestic                 Value of Foreign       Remarks
Consumption                                               Market             Industry                 Brands
  Segment

Education &          •   Chinese traditional focus &    RMB 900+             • Fragmented &           • Education            Chinese Govt
Knowledge                willingness to pay for         billion (2015e)        open market              technology           keen on
Services                 education                                           • Strength in            • Innovative           improving
                     •   Significant spend size                                distribution and         teaching methods     education
                                                                               operations                                    standards
Food Services        •   Urbanisation trend 750M        Fast Food            • Fragmented             • Brand & Marketing    Foreign QSR
& QSR Brands             middle-class consumers         market RMB             market; few            • Consistency          i.e. KFC are
                         2020 – dining-out rate still   400 billion            nationwide             • Strong QC &          leading brands
                         low vs. global                 (2015e)                domestic QSR             management
                     •   Clean dining & safe food                              chains                   system
Hospitality,         •   China top tourism              2X Number of         • Service quality &      • Established          Potential for
Leisure & Travel         destination by 2020            hotel rooms            standards not yet        hospitality brands   mid-scale brand
Services (Hotels,    •   Chinese spending more          (2020e)                global par             • Strong service
Amusement                time on leisure activities                          • Fragmented,              culture, talent &
Parks, Car                                                                     dominated by             management
rentals, sporting                                                              non-branded 2-3          system
events, etc)                                                                   star operators
Mobile & Web-        •   Internet-savvy population      eCommerce            • Dominated by           • Access to global     Combination of
based Services       •   eCommerce market rising        RMB 1.5                domestic industry        supply chain &       foreign network
(inc.eCommerce)          exponentially                  trillion (2013e)       leaders                  source of goods      with domestic
                     •   Online gaming                                                                                       operations
Consumer             •   Upgrade of healthcare                               • Upgrade of             • Advanced
Healthcare               system                                                service in               healthcare mgt
                     •   Increasing elderly                                    progress               • Hi-tech
                         population
     List is not meant to be exhaustive but represents major opportunities
                                                                                                  CONFIDENTIAL
Market                                    Foreign
                                                 Growth                                     Brand
                                                                                           Value-
                                                Potential       Market     Domestic         added
                                                                 size       Brand
                                                                         Competitiveness




Market             Fashion      Personal      Food &         Personal    Consumer        Edu &          Food     Hospitality   Mobile &    Health
Segment vs         Apparel        Care       Beverage         Device     Appliance     Knowledge       Service    Service       Web         care
Screen                                                                                  Service                                Service    service
Criterion

Market Size           4            3             4              3            4              4            3           4            4         4


Growth                4            3             3              4            3              4            3           3            4         3
Potential

Opportunity           4            3             4              3            3              4            4           4            2         4
W Domestic
Competition

Foreign               5            5             5              5            3              4            5           5            3         5
Brand
Value-add

                     17            14           16             15           13             16            15         16           13         16

            Assessment Rating : 1 to 5 (5 being strongest)

                                                                         Most Attractive
                                                                           Segments

                                                                                                     CONFIDENTIAL
Analysis of Segment to
Further Identify Specific
Sector Targets - Premium
Positioning due to Brand,
Technology or Unique Service




          CONFIDENTIAL
Brand

                       Fashion Apparel,
                   Accessories & Sportswear              1


           Attractiveness & Value of Foreign
                        Brands                                         Market Opportunity
    Brand story & history (esp. European brands)
    Strong design and material technology content
    Bring brand management skills
    Established fashion design & output cycle
    linked to global fashion trends
    Established global marketing & distribution
    network
    Strong links to global media and entertainment
    industry




               Impact on Domestic Market

O Fashion houses start to build & own portfolio of
  brands                                                BCG’s Analysis of brands with niche market potential

O Closer interaction and collaboration between brands
                                                               Global brands continue to enter the
within China’s domestic fashion industry                       Chinese market- Recent cases- GAP
O    China’s fashion industry slowly integrates into           (2011), A&F (2012), IZOD (Licensed)
     global fashion ecosystem as original brands


                                                                     CONFIDENTIAL
Fashion Apparel,
                Accessories & Sportswear       2


               Target Market Segments

•Female  lingerie
•Female/male office wear
•Female/male premium casualwear
•Sports performance brands
•Board, surf and street wear brands
•Fast Fashion – Premium
•Mass-premium accessories- Fashion jewellery




                                                   CONFIDENTIAL
Brand

                               Industry-
                   Food & Food Industry-
                     related Products                  1                                          Technology




          Attractiveness & Value of Foreign
                       Brands                                        Market Opportunity
  Global branding brings consumer confidence
  in China
  Advanced food processing technology
  Higher quality control & food safety
  management standards
  Access to foreign food production resources          Food 2020 Report

  Established global marketing & distribution
  network




              Impact on Domestic Market

O Consolidation of domestic food processing industry
O Demise of weak brands
                                                        Deloitte market analysis 2010
O Upgrade in overall food industry technology, QC &          Chinese companies have been
   Food safety standards                                  actively investing in agro-production
O Consumers gain access to wider choice of packaged        resources, food brands esp. in the
   & processed food                                                    diary sector


                                                                   CONFIDENTIAL
Industry-
                   Food & Food Industry-
                     related Products      2


                Target Market Segments

•Dairy products esp Milk Powder
•Organic food
•Nutraceutical food supplements
•Health, Energy Drinks & Juices
•Snacks- chocolate; nut-related snacks
•Wine & Premium Beers




                                               CONFIDENTIAL
Service
                 Educational & Knowledge                                                                 Expertise

                         Services                        1
                                                                                                         Technology



          Attractiveness & Value of Foreign
                       Brands                                       Market Opportunity

  Bring world-class teaching methodologies;
  educational programs & technology
  Access to educational talent
  Access to global business leaders for
  management education
  Established global marketing & distribution
  network
  Strong links to global education ecosystem                                    C
                                                             BDA market analysis 2010
                                                             China’s (2010-2020) plan for education reform
                                                                 will significantly increase the student
                                                              throughput through the system (see below)

              Impact on Domestic Market

O Consolidation to create industry leaders- nationwide
  education service provider
O Inflow of global educational methods & teaching              Pearson PLc recent acquisition of
   technology into the market                                    Chinese English Educational
                                                               Provider Global Education & Tech
                                                                    Group (NASDAQ:GEDU)



                                                                   CONFIDENTIAL
Educational & Knowledge
                         Services                      2


                Target Market Segments

•Kindergarten-pre-school  + K-12 Tutoring
•Service-industry focused higher & professional
education
•Creative Media & IT training
•Business Management Education & Seminars
•Education Tools & technology + e-learning platforms




                                                           CONFIDENTIAL
Service
                                                                                           Expertise
                   Hospitality & Leisure
                  Hospitality , Recreational
                          Services                  1
                     & Leisure Services                                                        Brand




          Attractiveness & Value of Foreign
                       Brands                                  Market Opportunity
  Global hotel management knowhow &
  technology
  Strong service & talent grooming culture
  Global marketing & distribution network
  Brand familiar to foreign visitors/tourists to
  China




             Impact on Domestic Market

O Consolidate non-branded fragmented players into   Thayar Lodging Group Report 2010
  larger nationwide branded chains
O Upgrade overall industry service standards
                                                        Recent several cases of acquisitions
                                                        of foreign hotels & resort brands by
                                                                domestic companies




                                                             CONFIDENTIAL
Hospitality, Recreational &
                    Leisure Services                     2


               Target Market Segments

•Mid-scale Hotel Brands
•Themed Resort Chains
•Theme Parks
•Beauty & Spa Brands
•Service providers/Media platform in the global travel
ecosystem
•Fitness Clubs & Sports Academy




                                                             CONFIDENTIAL
Service
                                                                                               Expertise

                    Consumer Healthcare           1                                            Technology




          Attractiveness & Value of Foreign
                       Brands                              Market Opportunity
  Hi-tech Innovative technology
  Significant R&D invested
  Well-designed & ergonomically superior
  High quality and reliability
  Better service level provider
  Global after-sales support




              Impact on Domestic Market
                                                  Target is that by 2020 Universal healthcare will
O Improve overall standard and accessibility to        be available to all Chinese citizens
   healthcare
O Bring mobility to healthcare
                                                       Investment interests from foreign
                                                         players in Chinese healthcare
                                                                    industry




                                                          CONFIDENTIAL
Consumer Healthcare                 2


                Target Market Segments

•DIY  Healthcare personal devices
•In-home Monitoring/Homecare Network
•Online healthcare services
•Lifestyle health services i.e. cosmetic surgery, TCM
acupuncture, massage therapy, dental
•OTC Drug retail
•Mobile healthcare eg. iphone-based apps




                                                            CONFIDENTIAL
CONFIDENTIAL

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China Outbound M&A Opportunities- Identifying Attractive Global Consumer Brands

  • 1. China Outbound Private Equity.. Identifying Attractive Global Consumer Brands.. Apr 2012 BY: BY: KC YOON & MATT BRANDT GLOBAL CHINA CAPITAL, SHENZHEN Email: kcyoon07@gmail.com mbbrandt@gmail.com CONFIDENTIAL
  • 2. “Upwards” Growth in Chinese Consumption ..Driven Primarily by Unique Segment of Mass-Affluent Mass- Consumers.. CONFIDENTIAL
  • 3. Source: McKinsey 2012: Chinese Consumers 2020 Growth of Chinese 170M Mass-Affluent Base by Middle-Class 300M+ Households Mass-Affluent >50% 2020 Urbanization and Growth of Cities >200 cities over 1M 2nd/3rd Tier Cities New Growth Areas >60% Urban Pop. Across 400+ cities Impact of the Internet- 900M users Mobile & Ecommerce New Channels Source: iResearch report 2009 CONFIDENTIAL
  • 4. Unique Characteristics & Needs of China’s Mass Affluent - Create Market Opportunity for Range of Consumer Brands & Services CONFIDENTIAL
  • 5. Unique Behavior Drives Increasing Urban Household Discretionary Consumption Pattern Consumption 2020: 80% of Urban Chinese Household Spend on Non-necessities >US$3.5 trillion Spend by 2020!! Chinese men play significant role in driving consumption CONFIDENTIAL
  • 6. Market Segments that Fulfill the Following Attractive Categories of Consumer Needs Market Segment! Affordable Luxury for Fashion the Young Affluent Significant Apparel & Market Accessories “Premium” Products to Pamper/Show Status QSR Food High Services Growth Services for the Urban Consumer Personal Attractive Devices Online Services with Margins Access to Brands Education Services that Services Defensible Enhances Career & - Brand, Job Prospects Tech, Svc Health Food Services to maintain & Snacks “Health”+ “Well-being” Examples of successful Consumer brands & services targeting Mass-Affluent CONFIDENTIAL
  • 7. Attractive , High Growth Potential Consumer Market Segments – Future Demand from China’s Mass Affluent Consumers CONFIDENTIAL
  • 8. Consumer Goods & Products Mass Affluent Rationale Potential Domestic Value of Foreign Remarks Consumption Market Industry Brands Segment Fashion Apparel, • Trade up strong RMB 1.3 trillion • Fragmented • Established Global Attractive Accessories & • Willingness to try new brands (2020e) market luxury brands Segment for Sportswear • Large share of spend • No clear leader; • Global distribution foreign brands Brands & Retail • Increased casual time; niche • Few luxury-status activities domestic brands Personal Care & • 3rd largest & growing market RMB 255 billion • Limited local • Strong marketing Regulatory Cosmetics • Trade-up strong (2015e) brands • R&D & Hi-tech in hurdles key • Chinese men also big • TCM-based products obstacle to consumers of personal care products • High safety market entry upcoming standards Processed • Increased concerns about food Largest global • Fragmented • Advanced Chinese Govt Foods, (snacks, quality &safety makes foreign market for industry- many processing tech encouraging diary, health brands attractive dietary small food • High QC & safety foreign co help food & drinks, • Wealthy consumers willingness supplements processing co. standards upgrade to spend on healthy well-being • Food safety • Premium branding domestic organic food), (2020e) • Snacking is increasing issues eg, wines, health industry Vitamins & supplements Nutraceutical Personal • Display of personal wealth & • Fast cheap copy- • Global brand status Apple’s Devices – status cats • Worldwide service iphone/ipad recreational, • Younger generation tech savvy • Increasing support good case of • Music, online gaming, online innovativeness • Leading edge foreign brand entertainment, entertainment integral part of e.g. mobile phone technology winner communications Chinese social live Consumer • Urban living- seek convenience • Strong domestic • New technology appliances brands exist for • Cutting edge general appliance appliance design List is not meant to be exhaustive but represents major opportunities CONFIDENTIAL
  • 9. Consumer Services Mass Affluent Rationale Potential Domestic Value of Foreign Remarks Consumption Market Industry Brands Segment Education & • Chinese traditional focus & RMB 900+ • Fragmented & • Education Chinese Govt Knowledge willingness to pay for billion (2015e) open market technology keen on Services education • Strength in • Innovative improving • Significant spend size distribution and teaching methods education operations standards Food Services • Urbanisation trend 750M Fast Food • Fragmented • Brand & Marketing Foreign QSR & QSR Brands middle-class consumers market RMB market; few • Consistency i.e. KFC are 2020 – dining-out rate still 400 billion nationwide • Strong QC & leading brands low vs. global (2015e) domestic QSR management • Clean dining & safe food chains system Hospitality, • China top tourism 2X Number of • Service quality & • Established Potential for Leisure & Travel destination by 2020 hotel rooms standards not yet hospitality brands mid-scale brand Services (Hotels, • Chinese spending more (2020e) global par • Strong service Amusement time on leisure activities • Fragmented, culture, talent & Parks, Car dominated by management rentals, sporting non-branded 2-3 system events, etc) star operators Mobile & Web- • Internet-savvy population eCommerce • Dominated by • Access to global Combination of based Services • eCommerce market rising RMB 1.5 domestic industry supply chain & foreign network (inc.eCommerce) exponentially trillion (2013e) leaders source of goods with domestic • Online gaming operations Consumer • Upgrade of healthcare • Upgrade of • Advanced Healthcare system service in healthcare mgt • Increasing elderly progress • Hi-tech population List is not meant to be exhaustive but represents major opportunities CONFIDENTIAL
  • 10. Market Foreign Growth Brand Value- Potential Market Domestic added size Brand Competitiveness Market Fashion Personal Food & Personal Consumer Edu & Food Hospitality Mobile & Health Segment vs Apparel Care Beverage Device Appliance Knowledge Service Service Web care Screen Service Service service Criterion Market Size 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 Growth 4 3 3 4 3 4 3 3 4 3 Potential Opportunity 4 3 4 3 3 4 4 4 2 4 W Domestic Competition Foreign 5 5 5 5 3 4 5 5 3 5 Brand Value-add 17 14 16 15 13 16 15 16 13 16 Assessment Rating : 1 to 5 (5 being strongest) Most Attractive Segments CONFIDENTIAL
  • 11. Analysis of Segment to Further Identify Specific Sector Targets - Premium Positioning due to Brand, Technology or Unique Service CONFIDENTIAL
  • 12. Brand Fashion Apparel, Accessories & Sportswear 1 Attractiveness & Value of Foreign Brands Market Opportunity Brand story & history (esp. European brands) Strong design and material technology content Bring brand management skills Established fashion design & output cycle linked to global fashion trends Established global marketing & distribution network Strong links to global media and entertainment industry Impact on Domestic Market O Fashion houses start to build & own portfolio of brands BCG’s Analysis of brands with niche market potential O Closer interaction and collaboration between brands Global brands continue to enter the within China’s domestic fashion industry Chinese market- Recent cases- GAP O China’s fashion industry slowly integrates into (2011), A&F (2012), IZOD (Licensed) global fashion ecosystem as original brands CONFIDENTIAL
  • 13. Fashion Apparel, Accessories & Sportswear 2 Target Market Segments •Female lingerie •Female/male office wear •Female/male premium casualwear •Sports performance brands •Board, surf and street wear brands •Fast Fashion – Premium •Mass-premium accessories- Fashion jewellery CONFIDENTIAL
  • 14. Brand Industry- Food & Food Industry- related Products 1 Technology Attractiveness & Value of Foreign Brands Market Opportunity Global branding brings consumer confidence in China Advanced food processing technology Higher quality control & food safety management standards Access to foreign food production resources Food 2020 Report Established global marketing & distribution network Impact on Domestic Market O Consolidation of domestic food processing industry O Demise of weak brands Deloitte market analysis 2010 O Upgrade in overall food industry technology, QC & Chinese companies have been Food safety standards actively investing in agro-production O Consumers gain access to wider choice of packaged resources, food brands esp. in the & processed food diary sector CONFIDENTIAL
  • 15. Industry- Food & Food Industry- related Products 2 Target Market Segments •Dairy products esp Milk Powder •Organic food •Nutraceutical food supplements •Health, Energy Drinks & Juices •Snacks- chocolate; nut-related snacks •Wine & Premium Beers CONFIDENTIAL
  • 16. Service Educational & Knowledge Expertise Services 1 Technology Attractiveness & Value of Foreign Brands Market Opportunity Bring world-class teaching methodologies; educational programs & technology Access to educational talent Access to global business leaders for management education Established global marketing & distribution network Strong links to global education ecosystem C BDA market analysis 2010 China’s (2010-2020) plan for education reform will significantly increase the student throughput through the system (see below) Impact on Domestic Market O Consolidation to create industry leaders- nationwide education service provider O Inflow of global educational methods & teaching Pearson PLc recent acquisition of technology into the market Chinese English Educational Provider Global Education & Tech Group (NASDAQ:GEDU) CONFIDENTIAL
  • 17. Educational & Knowledge Services 2 Target Market Segments •Kindergarten-pre-school + K-12 Tutoring •Service-industry focused higher & professional education •Creative Media & IT training •Business Management Education & Seminars •Education Tools & technology + e-learning platforms CONFIDENTIAL
  • 18. Service Expertise Hospitality & Leisure Hospitality , Recreational Services 1 & Leisure Services Brand Attractiveness & Value of Foreign Brands Market Opportunity Global hotel management knowhow & technology Strong service & talent grooming culture Global marketing & distribution network Brand familiar to foreign visitors/tourists to China Impact on Domestic Market O Consolidate non-branded fragmented players into Thayar Lodging Group Report 2010 larger nationwide branded chains O Upgrade overall industry service standards Recent several cases of acquisitions of foreign hotels & resort brands by domestic companies CONFIDENTIAL
  • 19. Hospitality, Recreational & Leisure Services 2 Target Market Segments •Mid-scale Hotel Brands •Themed Resort Chains •Theme Parks •Beauty & Spa Brands •Service providers/Media platform in the global travel ecosystem •Fitness Clubs & Sports Academy CONFIDENTIAL
  • 20. Service Expertise Consumer Healthcare 1 Technology Attractiveness & Value of Foreign Brands Market Opportunity Hi-tech Innovative technology Significant R&D invested Well-designed & ergonomically superior High quality and reliability Better service level provider Global after-sales support Impact on Domestic Market Target is that by 2020 Universal healthcare will O Improve overall standard and accessibility to be available to all Chinese citizens healthcare O Bring mobility to healthcare Investment interests from foreign players in Chinese healthcare industry CONFIDENTIAL
  • 21. Consumer Healthcare 2 Target Market Segments •DIY Healthcare personal devices •In-home Monitoring/Homecare Network •Online healthcare services •Lifestyle health services i.e. cosmetic surgery, TCM acupuncture, massage therapy, dental •OTC Drug retail •Mobile healthcare eg. iphone-based apps CONFIDENTIAL