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Our Next President
The document discusses factors that make predicting primary outcomes difficult, such as unpredictable campaigns and external events. It then examines potential Republican candidates for 2012, including Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee, Tim Pawlenty, John Huntsman Jr., and Bobby Jindal. A prediction scenario has Mitt Romney winning the nomination after Huckabee wins Iowa and Romney wins Super Tuesday primaries. The economy and President Obama's approval ratings are discussed, concluding that barring significant downturn, Obama will likely win re-election in 2012 given his charisma and a recovering economy.
