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LATIN AMERICA
UPDATE
July 2020
www.nuricumbo.com
How integrated is North America?How integrated is North America?
Automotive Industry continues to be
the Crown Jewel
Automotive Industry continues to be
the Crown Jewel
Trade Corridors have been establishedTrade Corridors have been established
Energy sector is one of the most dynamicEnergy sector is one of the most dynamic
Illegal Immigration from Mexico has declinedIllegal Immigration from Mexico has declined
Correlation of U.S. Arms Sales and
Homicides in Mexico is quite clear
Correlation of U.S. Arms Sales and
Homicides in Mexico is quite clear
Some in the U.S. are benefitting
from Arms Sales to Latin America
Some in the U.S. are benefitting
from Arms Sales to Latin America
Some paradigms will continue to be brokenSome paradigms will continue to be broken
WE ARE NURICUMBO + PARTNERS
OUR VALUE PROPOSITION:
professional experience.
OUR VALUE PROPOSITION:
 Highly experienced consultants.
 High degree of flexibility.
 Ideal to tackle those important but not
urgent tasks that otherwise never get
done.
 Able to support in the resolution of
special or confidential projects.
 Important specialization in Finance and
Accounting projects.
 More than 50 multidisciplinary
consultants. Average of 15 to 20 years of
professional experience.
We are Nuricumbo + PartnersWe are Nuricumbo + Partners
SOME EXAMPLES:SOME EXAMPLES:
 Interim C-Level Executives.
 Financial Due Diligence for M&A.
 Part-Time CFOs.
 Comisarios / Consejeros.
 Interim Project Teams.
 Specialized Training Programs.
 Debt/Equity Solutions.
 Fintech Trusts (Fideicomisos)
 Process Improvement
 Special Audits (Forensic, Compliance, etc.)
How do we help some of our clientsHow do we help some of our clients
More Information: contacto@nuricumbo.com / www.nuricumbo.com
First-hand knowledge of
business environment
Our business DNA is Mexico. Our Firm
has extensive experience working
with multionationalsand local
companies all across the country.40+
1
20+
Translators of local
language and culture
We can facilitate productive
cooperation between parent and
subsidiary. We understand
corporate requirements as well as
local business practices.
We can be your eyes and
ears in the field
Taking the correct business
decisions is never easy. We can
provide you with the business
intelligence you need to be
successful in Mexico.
ROME
Do you need support with your operations in Mexico?
Mexic City
Multi-disciplinary consultants
Average years of work experience
Objective: Supporting your Company
What can we do for your company
- Interim Management - Fraud Investigations
- Financial Due Diligence - Business Process Outsourcing
- Debt/Equity Solutions - Trust Management
- Tax Advice - Special Audits
Interim Teams for Latam
YOUR TRUSTED BUSINESS ADVISORS
What can we bring to the table:
- Consultants with more than 20 years of
experience.
- Fully bilingual.
- Expert knowledge of business
practices in the region.
- Flexible business model.
- We all have worked for multinationals
operating in Latam.
WE CAN PROVIDE EFFECTIVE AND
EXPERIENCED INTERIM TEAMS TO TACKLE
SPECIAL OR CONFIDENTIAL PROJECTS IN
LATIN AMERICA.
Our consultants bring additional capacity
in order to tackle projects and initiatives
in the region, without having to distract
your internal resources from other
priorities.
1
4
Our typical projects include Financial or
Operational Audits, Business Process
Assessments, Process Improvement,
System Implementations, Anti-Corruption
Initiatives, Forensic Investigations, Interim
Management Positions, among others.
Complete Profiles
Armando NuricumboRodrigo Llanos
Miguel Amador
Guillermo Lagos
Former CFOFormer Investment Banking
Former Controller / Auditor
Former CEO
Jesus Bush
PWC. IPG. Bombardier. RGP.
25 years of experience.
Valmex. Inverlat. Arka.
35 years of experience.
Whirlpool. Banco Azteca.
35 years of experience.
EY. Smurfit. Maxcom. Devlyn.
30 years of experience.
3M. Imperial Chemical. IMEF
30 years of experience.
Some of our talented consultants
Alejandro Rico
Tax Partner
KPMG. Confies.
25 years of experience.
Jose Trevino
Former NAFTA Negotiator
Colmex. Comce. Cancham.
35 years of experience.
Angel Hernandez
Former CFO
Ingram. Dresser. TRW.
35 years of experience.
Roberto Fernandez
Former CIO
AT&T Capital. CIT. Alta.
30 years of experience.
Enrique Ugarte
Former VP
ProMexico. CCE. Edomex.
35 years of experience.
Former CIO
Marisol Baca
Former VP Administration
CFE. BID. Real Financiera.
25 years of experience.
José A. Ventura
Former CFO
PWC. Truper. BristolMyers.
30 years of experience.
LATIN AMERICA OVERVIEW
$5.49 $5.34 $5.47
$0.00
$1.50
$3.00
$4.50
$6.00
April May June
Brazil
Exchange RatesExchange Rates
$3,963.61 $3,730.76 $3,758.06
$0.00
$1,500.00
$3,000.00
$4,500.00
April May June
Colombia
$24.17 $22.18 $22.99
$0.00
$10.00
$20.00
$30.00
April May June
Mexico
$3.38 $3.43 $3.54
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
April May June
Peru
Source: Bloomberg, 2020.
*USD / PEN
*USD / MXN
*USD / CLP
*USD / BRL
*USD / COP
$835.53 $806.47 $821.24
$0.00
$200.00
$400.00
$600.00
April May June
Chile
*USD / CLP
$66.83 $68.53 $70.46
$0.00
$25.00
$50.00
$75.00
April May June
Argentina
*USD / ARS
Source: Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Chile, Mexico and Peru Central Banks, 2020.
48.40% 45.60% 43.40%
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
March April May
Argentina
Inflation RateInflation Rate
3.31%
2.46%
2.05%
0.00%
1.50%
3.00%
4.50%
March April May
Brazil
3.51%
2.85%
2.19%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
April May June
Colombia
3.40%
2.80% 2.60%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
April May June
Chile
2.15%
2.84%
3.30%
0.00%
1.50%
3.00%
4.50%
April May June
Mexico
1.87% 1.78% 1.60%
0.00%
0.90%
1.80%
2.70%
April May June
Peru
$43,545 $42,748 $43,219
$0
$15,000
$30,000
$45,000
$60,000
April May June
Argentina
International ReservesInternational Reserves
$362,460 $343,165 $339,317
$0
$120,000
$240,000
$360,000
$480,000
March April May
Brazil
$53,863 $56,362 $56,584
$0
$18,000
$36,000
$54,000
$72,000
April May June
Colombia
$36,885 $36,756 $36,361
$0
$13,000
$26,000
$39,000
$52,000
April May June
Chile
$186,655 $187,316 $188,942
$0
$60,000
$120,000
$180,000
$240,000
April May June
Mexico
$73,632 $73,439 $71,450
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
April May June
Peru
*Million U.S. Dollars
*Million U.S. Dollars
*Million U.S. Dollars
*Million U.S. Dollars
*Million U.S. Dollars
*Million U.S. Dollars
Source: Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Chile, Mexico and Peru Central Banks, 2020.
32,742.84
37,824.73 38,686.69
0
12,000
24,000
36,000
48,000
April May June
Argentina
Capital MarketsCapital Markets
80,505.90 87,402.60 95,055.80
0
30,000
60,000
90,000
120,000
April May June
Brazil
1,142.04 1,095.84 1,111.80
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
April May June
Colombia
14,779.28 15,580.85 16,878.00
0
7,000
14,000
21,000
April May June
Peru
36,470.11 36,122.73 37,716.43
0
15,000
30,000
45,000
April May June
Mexico
3,977.56 3,647.60 3,959.02
0
1,200
2,400
3,600
4,800
April May June
Chile
*IPSA:IND
*MEXBOL:IND
*SPBLPGPT:IND
*MERVAL:IND
*IBOV:IND
*COLCAP:IND
Source: Bloomberg, 2020.
Foreign Direct InvestmetForeign Direct Investmet
$11,517 $12,162
$6,244.42
$0
$4,000
$8,000
$12,000
2017 2018 2019
Argentina
$67,583 $61,223
$78,559
$0
$30,000
$60,000
$90,000
2017 2018 2019
Brazil
$13,836
$11,010
$14,493
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
2017 2018 2019
Colombia
$11,942
$6,856 $7,160
$0
$4,000
$8,000
$12,000
2016 2017 2018
Chile
$32,091 $31,604 $28,882
$0
$12,000
$24,000
$36,000
2017 2018 2019
Mexico
$6,863 $6,769 $6,175
$0
$3,000
$6,000
$9,000
2016 2017 2018
Peru
*U.S. Dollars at Current Prices in Millions
Source: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, UNCTAD, 2018 - 2019.
Credit RatingsCredit Ratings
Argentina
RD
(26 May 2020)
Source: Fitch Ratings, 2020
Brazil
BB-
With NEGATIVE Outlook
(5 May 2020)
Colombia
BBB-
With NEGATIVE Outlook
(1 April 2020)
Chile
A-
With NEGATIVE Outlook
(12 March 2020)
Mexico
BBB-
With STABLE Outlook
(15 April 2020)
Peru
BBB+
With STABLE Outlook
(3 June 2020)
Credit RatingsCredit Ratings
Argentina
Ca
With NEGATIVE Outlook
(3 April 2020)
Source: Moody’s, 2020.
Brazil
Ba2
With STABLE Outlook
(15 May 2020)
Colombia
Baa2
With STABLE Outlook
(23 May 2019)
Chile
A1
With STABLE Outlook
(26 Julio 2018)
Mexico
Baa1
With NEGATIVE Outlook
(17 April 2020)
Peru
A3
With STABLE Outlook
(25 Jun 2019)
Credit RatingsCredit Ratings
Argentina
SD
(7 July 2020)
Source: Standard & Poor’s, 2020.
Brazil
BB-
With STABLE Outlook
(6 April 2020)
Colombia
BBB-
With NEGATIVE Outlook
(26 March 2020)
Chile
A+
With NEGATIVE Outlook
(27 April 2020)
Mexico
BBB
With NEGATIVE Outlook
(26 March 2020)
Peru
BBB+
With STABLE Outlook
(4 May 2020)
Country PresidentsCountry Presidents
Argentina
President: Alberto Fernandez
Birth: 2 April 1959
In office since: 10 December 2019
Political Party: Frente de Todos
Brazil
President: Jair Bolsonaro
Birth: 21 March 1955
In office since: 1 January 2019
Political Party: PSL
Colombia
President: Iván Duque Márquez
Birth: 1 Agosto 1976
In office since: 7 Agosto 2018
Political Party: Centro Democrático
Chile
President: Sebastián Piñera E.
Birth: 1 December 1949
In office since: 11 March 2018
Political Party: Independent
Mexico
President: Andrés Manuel López O.
Birth: 13 November 1953
In office since: 1 December 2018
Political Party: Morena
Peru
President: Martín Vizcarra
Birth: 22 Marzo 1963
In office since: 23 March 2018
Political Party: Peruanos por el Kambio
Land AreaLand Area
Source: The World Bank, 2018.
2,736,690
8,358,140
1,109,500
743,532
1,943,950
1,280,000
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
8,000,000
9,000,000
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Note: Kilometers
Ease of Doing Business IndexEase of Doing Business Index
126 124
67
59 60
76
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2019.
Note: 1 = Most Business-friendly Regulations
Population GrowthPopulation Growth
1.0%
0.8%
1.5%
1.4%
1.1%
1.7%
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2018.
Note: Annual Percentage
Total PopulationTotal Population
44,938.7
211,049.5
50,339.4
18,952.0
127,575.5
32,510.5
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2019.
Note: (i) Thousands; (ii) Total Inhabitants
Urban PopulationUrban Population
92%
87%
81%
88%
80% 78%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2019.
Note: Percentage of Total Population
Poverty Headcount RatioPoverty Headcount Ratio
1.0%
4.4%
4.1%
0.3%
1.7%
2.6%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2017 - 2018.
Note: (i) At US$1.90 / Day; (ii) Percentage of Population
Exports of Goods and ServicesExports of Goods and Services
17.3%
14.3%
15.9%
28.2%
39.1%
24.2%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2019.
Note: Percentage of GDP
Foreign Direct InvestmentForeign Direct Investment
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
6,244
78,559
14,493
6,082
28,881
6,487
Source: The World Bank, 2018 - 2019.
Note: (i) Net Inflows; (ii) BoP, Current Million US$
Gross Domestic ProductGross Domestic Product
$449,663.5
$1,839,758.0
$323,802.8 $282,318.2
$1,258,286.7
$226,848.1
$0
$300,000
$600,000
$900,000
$1,200,000
$1,500,000
$1,800,000
$2,100,000
$2,400,000
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2019.
Note: Millions, Current US$
GDP Per CapitaGDP Per Capita
$22,816.5
$15,258.9 $15,643.7
$25,155.0
$20,410.7
$13,380.4
$0.0
$5,000.0
$10,000.0
$15,000.0
$20,000.0
$25,000.0
$30,000.0
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2019.
Note: (i) PPP; (ii) Current International $
GDP GrowthGDP Growth
-2.2%
1.1%
3.3%
1.1%
-0.1%
2.2%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2019.
Note: Annual Percentage
Gross SavingsGross Savings
17%
12%
15%
19%
23%
20%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2018 - 2019.
Note: Percentage of GDP
Personal RemittancesPersonal Remittances
$0.0
$10,000.0
$20,000.0
$30,000.0
$40,000.0
$535.2 $3,295.5
$6,769.9
$65.7
$38,628.6
$3,326.0
Source: The World Bank, 2019.
Note: (i) Received; (ii) Millions, Current US$
Total ReservesTotal Reserves
$45,215.6
$356,886.4
$52,652.7
$40,655.5
$183,056.1
$67,711.5
$0.0
$50,000.0
$100,000.0
$150,000.0
$200,000.0
$250,000.0
$300,000.0
$350,000.0
$400,000.0
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2018.
Note: (i) Includes Gold; (ii) Millions, Current US$
RevenueRevenue
18%
29%
22% 22%
19% 19%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2018.
Note: (i) Excluding Grants; (ii) Percentage of GDP
Government Expenditure on EducationGovernment Expenditure on Education
5.5%
6.2%
4.5%
5.4%
4.9%
3.7%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2015 - 2018.
Note: Percentage of GDP
Labor ForceLabor Force
Source: The World Bank, 2019.
20,772.7
106,500.8
26,787.9
9,557.9
57,142.2
18,864.9
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Note: Thousands
Labor Force (Female)Labor Force (Female)
43.0% 43.6% 42.9% 42.2%
37.8%
45.7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2019.
Note: Percentage of Total Labor Force
UnemploymentUnemployment
9.8%
12.1%
9.7%
7.1%
3.4% 3.3%
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2019.
Note: (i) Percentage of Total Labor Force; (ii) Modeled ILO Estimate
Energy UseEnergy Use
Source: The World Bank, 2014 - 2015.
2,030
1,496
724
2,006
1,537
790
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Note: Kg of Oil Equivalent per Capita
Renewable Electricity OutputRenewable Electricity Output
28.1%
74.0%
68.2%
43.6%
15.4%
52.7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2015.
Note: Percentage of Total Electricity Output
Population Living in SlumsPopulation Living in Slums
17%
22%
13%
9%
11%
34%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2005 - 2014.
Note: Percentage of Urban Population
External Debt StocksExternal Debt Stocks
56.1%
30.3%
42.3%
38.0%
31.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2018.
Note: Percentage of GNI
Bank Capital to Assets RatioBank Capital to Assets Ratio
13.3%
10.1%
17.0%
8.4%
11.0%
12.5%
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
18%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2018 - 2019.
Note: Percentage
Bank Nonperforming Loans
to Total Gross Loans
Bank Nonperforming Loans
to Total Gross Loans
5.6%
3.1%
4.2%
1.9%
2.1%
3.3%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2018 - 2019.
Note: Percentage
Deposit Interest RateDeposit Interest Rate
47.3%
5.4% 4.5%
2.5% 3.5% 2.6%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2016 - 2019.
Note: Percentage
Lending Interest RateLending Interest Rate
67.3%
37.5%
11.8%
4.2%
8.5%
17.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2016 - 2019.
Note: Percentage
Listed Domestic CompaniesListed Domestic Companies
Source: The World Bank, 2019.
91
324
66
203
139
196
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Note: Total
Market Capitalization of Listed Domestic
Companies
Market Capitalization of Listed Domestic
Companies
$39,393.54
$1,187,361.69
$132,040.28
$203,791.65
$413,618.82
$98,964.96
$0.0
$200,000.0
$400,000.0
$600,000.0
$800,000.0
$1,000,000.0
$1,200,000.0
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2019.
Note: (i) Millions; (ii) Current US$
Strength of Legal Rights IndexStrength of Legal Rights Index
Source: The World Bank, 2019.
2 2
11
4
10
7
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Note: 0 = Weak to 12 = Strong
Military ExpenditureMilitary Expenditure
2.1%
3.9%
11.6%
7.4%
2.1%
5.6%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru
Source: The World Bank, 2018.
Note: Percentage of General Government Expenditure
We care about your business priorities.
Let’s talk!
E-mail: contacto@nuricumbo.com
Mobile/Whatsapp: + 52 (155) 5453 6309
Skype: nuricua
Twitter: @a_nuricumbo
Office: Montes Urales 424
Lomas de Chapultepec, CDMX
Please visit our website

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Our Newsletter. Mexico & Latin America. July 2020.

  • 2. How integrated is North America?How integrated is North America?
  • 3. Automotive Industry continues to be the Crown Jewel Automotive Industry continues to be the Crown Jewel
  • 4. Trade Corridors have been establishedTrade Corridors have been established
  • 5. Energy sector is one of the most dynamicEnergy sector is one of the most dynamic
  • 6. Illegal Immigration from Mexico has declinedIllegal Immigration from Mexico has declined
  • 7. Correlation of U.S. Arms Sales and Homicides in Mexico is quite clear Correlation of U.S. Arms Sales and Homicides in Mexico is quite clear
  • 8. Some in the U.S. are benefitting from Arms Sales to Latin America Some in the U.S. are benefitting from Arms Sales to Latin America
  • 9. Some paradigms will continue to be brokenSome paradigms will continue to be broken
  • 10. WE ARE NURICUMBO + PARTNERS
  • 11. OUR VALUE PROPOSITION: professional experience. OUR VALUE PROPOSITION:  Highly experienced consultants.  High degree of flexibility.  Ideal to tackle those important but not urgent tasks that otherwise never get done.  Able to support in the resolution of special or confidential projects.  Important specialization in Finance and Accounting projects.  More than 50 multidisciplinary consultants. Average of 15 to 20 years of professional experience. We are Nuricumbo + PartnersWe are Nuricumbo + Partners
  • 12. SOME EXAMPLES:SOME EXAMPLES:  Interim C-Level Executives.  Financial Due Diligence for M&A.  Part-Time CFOs.  Comisarios / Consejeros.  Interim Project Teams.  Specialized Training Programs.  Debt/Equity Solutions.  Fintech Trusts (Fideicomisos)  Process Improvement  Special Audits (Forensic, Compliance, etc.) How do we help some of our clientsHow do we help some of our clients
  • 13. More Information: contacto@nuricumbo.com / www.nuricumbo.com First-hand knowledge of business environment Our business DNA is Mexico. Our Firm has extensive experience working with multionationalsand local companies all across the country.40+ 1 20+ Translators of local language and culture We can facilitate productive cooperation between parent and subsidiary. We understand corporate requirements as well as local business practices. We can be your eyes and ears in the field Taking the correct business decisions is never easy. We can provide you with the business intelligence you need to be successful in Mexico. ROME Do you need support with your operations in Mexico? Mexic City Multi-disciplinary consultants Average years of work experience Objective: Supporting your Company What can we do for your company - Interim Management - Fraud Investigations - Financial Due Diligence - Business Process Outsourcing - Debt/Equity Solutions - Trust Management - Tax Advice - Special Audits
  • 14. Interim Teams for Latam YOUR TRUSTED BUSINESS ADVISORS What can we bring to the table: - Consultants with more than 20 years of experience. - Fully bilingual. - Expert knowledge of business practices in the region. - Flexible business model. - We all have worked for multinationals operating in Latam. WE CAN PROVIDE EFFECTIVE AND EXPERIENCED INTERIM TEAMS TO TACKLE SPECIAL OR CONFIDENTIAL PROJECTS IN LATIN AMERICA. Our consultants bring additional capacity in order to tackle projects and initiatives in the region, without having to distract your internal resources from other priorities. 1 4 Our typical projects include Financial or Operational Audits, Business Process Assessments, Process Improvement, System Implementations, Anti-Corruption Initiatives, Forensic Investigations, Interim Management Positions, among others.
  • 15. Complete Profiles Armando NuricumboRodrigo Llanos Miguel Amador Guillermo Lagos Former CFOFormer Investment Banking Former Controller / Auditor Former CEO Jesus Bush PWC. IPG. Bombardier. RGP. 25 years of experience. Valmex. Inverlat. Arka. 35 years of experience. Whirlpool. Banco Azteca. 35 years of experience. EY. Smurfit. Maxcom. Devlyn. 30 years of experience. 3M. Imperial Chemical. IMEF 30 years of experience. Some of our talented consultants Alejandro Rico Tax Partner KPMG. Confies. 25 years of experience. Jose Trevino Former NAFTA Negotiator Colmex. Comce. Cancham. 35 years of experience. Angel Hernandez Former CFO Ingram. Dresser. TRW. 35 years of experience. Roberto Fernandez Former CIO AT&T Capital. CIT. Alta. 30 years of experience. Enrique Ugarte Former VP ProMexico. CCE. Edomex. 35 years of experience. Former CIO Marisol Baca Former VP Administration CFE. BID. Real Financiera. 25 years of experience. José A. Ventura Former CFO PWC. Truper. BristolMyers. 30 years of experience.
  • 17. $5.49 $5.34 $5.47 $0.00 $1.50 $3.00 $4.50 $6.00 April May June Brazil Exchange RatesExchange Rates $3,963.61 $3,730.76 $3,758.06 $0.00 $1,500.00 $3,000.00 $4,500.00 April May June Colombia $24.17 $22.18 $22.99 $0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 April May June Mexico $3.38 $3.43 $3.54 $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 April May June Peru Source: Bloomberg, 2020. *USD / PEN *USD / MXN *USD / CLP *USD / BRL *USD / COP $835.53 $806.47 $821.24 $0.00 $200.00 $400.00 $600.00 April May June Chile *USD / CLP $66.83 $68.53 $70.46 $0.00 $25.00 $50.00 $75.00 April May June Argentina *USD / ARS
  • 18. Source: Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Chile, Mexico and Peru Central Banks, 2020. 48.40% 45.60% 43.40% 0.00% 20.00% 40.00% 60.00% March April May Argentina Inflation RateInflation Rate 3.31% 2.46% 2.05% 0.00% 1.50% 3.00% 4.50% March April May Brazil 3.51% 2.85% 2.19% 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% April May June Colombia 3.40% 2.80% 2.60% 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% April May June Chile 2.15% 2.84% 3.30% 0.00% 1.50% 3.00% 4.50% April May June Mexico 1.87% 1.78% 1.60% 0.00% 0.90% 1.80% 2.70% April May June Peru
  • 19. $43,545 $42,748 $43,219 $0 $15,000 $30,000 $45,000 $60,000 April May June Argentina International ReservesInternational Reserves $362,460 $343,165 $339,317 $0 $120,000 $240,000 $360,000 $480,000 March April May Brazil $53,863 $56,362 $56,584 $0 $18,000 $36,000 $54,000 $72,000 April May June Colombia $36,885 $36,756 $36,361 $0 $13,000 $26,000 $39,000 $52,000 April May June Chile $186,655 $187,316 $188,942 $0 $60,000 $120,000 $180,000 $240,000 April May June Mexico $73,632 $73,439 $71,450 $0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 April May June Peru *Million U.S. Dollars *Million U.S. Dollars *Million U.S. Dollars *Million U.S. Dollars *Million U.S. Dollars *Million U.S. Dollars Source: Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Chile, Mexico and Peru Central Banks, 2020.
  • 20. 32,742.84 37,824.73 38,686.69 0 12,000 24,000 36,000 48,000 April May June Argentina Capital MarketsCapital Markets 80,505.90 87,402.60 95,055.80 0 30,000 60,000 90,000 120,000 April May June Brazil 1,142.04 1,095.84 1,111.80 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 April May June Colombia 14,779.28 15,580.85 16,878.00 0 7,000 14,000 21,000 April May June Peru 36,470.11 36,122.73 37,716.43 0 15,000 30,000 45,000 April May June Mexico 3,977.56 3,647.60 3,959.02 0 1,200 2,400 3,600 4,800 April May June Chile *IPSA:IND *MEXBOL:IND *SPBLPGPT:IND *MERVAL:IND *IBOV:IND *COLCAP:IND Source: Bloomberg, 2020.
  • 21. Foreign Direct InvestmetForeign Direct Investmet $11,517 $12,162 $6,244.42 $0 $4,000 $8,000 $12,000 2017 2018 2019 Argentina $67,583 $61,223 $78,559 $0 $30,000 $60,000 $90,000 2017 2018 2019 Brazil $13,836 $11,010 $14,493 $0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 2017 2018 2019 Colombia $11,942 $6,856 $7,160 $0 $4,000 $8,000 $12,000 2016 2017 2018 Chile $32,091 $31,604 $28,882 $0 $12,000 $24,000 $36,000 2017 2018 2019 Mexico $6,863 $6,769 $6,175 $0 $3,000 $6,000 $9,000 2016 2017 2018 Peru *U.S. Dollars at Current Prices in Millions Source: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, UNCTAD, 2018 - 2019.
  • 22. Credit RatingsCredit Ratings Argentina RD (26 May 2020) Source: Fitch Ratings, 2020 Brazil BB- With NEGATIVE Outlook (5 May 2020) Colombia BBB- With NEGATIVE Outlook (1 April 2020) Chile A- With NEGATIVE Outlook (12 March 2020) Mexico BBB- With STABLE Outlook (15 April 2020) Peru BBB+ With STABLE Outlook (3 June 2020)
  • 23. Credit RatingsCredit Ratings Argentina Ca With NEGATIVE Outlook (3 April 2020) Source: Moody’s, 2020. Brazil Ba2 With STABLE Outlook (15 May 2020) Colombia Baa2 With STABLE Outlook (23 May 2019) Chile A1 With STABLE Outlook (26 Julio 2018) Mexico Baa1 With NEGATIVE Outlook (17 April 2020) Peru A3 With STABLE Outlook (25 Jun 2019)
  • 24. Credit RatingsCredit Ratings Argentina SD (7 July 2020) Source: Standard & Poor’s, 2020. Brazil BB- With STABLE Outlook (6 April 2020) Colombia BBB- With NEGATIVE Outlook (26 March 2020) Chile A+ With NEGATIVE Outlook (27 April 2020) Mexico BBB With NEGATIVE Outlook (26 March 2020) Peru BBB+ With STABLE Outlook (4 May 2020)
  • 25. Country PresidentsCountry Presidents Argentina President: Alberto Fernandez Birth: 2 April 1959 In office since: 10 December 2019 Political Party: Frente de Todos Brazil President: Jair Bolsonaro Birth: 21 March 1955 In office since: 1 January 2019 Political Party: PSL Colombia President: Iván Duque Márquez Birth: 1 Agosto 1976 In office since: 7 Agosto 2018 Political Party: Centro Democrático Chile President: Sebastián Piñera E. Birth: 1 December 1949 In office since: 11 March 2018 Political Party: Independent Mexico President: Andrés Manuel López O. Birth: 13 November 1953 In office since: 1 December 2018 Political Party: Morena Peru President: Martín Vizcarra Birth: 22 Marzo 1963 In office since: 23 March 2018 Political Party: Peruanos por el Kambio
  • 26. Land AreaLand Area Source: The World Bank, 2018. 2,736,690 8,358,140 1,109,500 743,532 1,943,950 1,280,000 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 8,000,000 9,000,000 Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Note: Kilometers
  • 27. Ease of Doing Business IndexEase of Doing Business Index 126 124 67 59 60 76 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2019. Note: 1 = Most Business-friendly Regulations
  • 28. Population GrowthPopulation Growth 1.0% 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 1.1% 1.7% 0% 1% 1% 2% 2% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2018. Note: Annual Percentage
  • 29. Total PopulationTotal Population 44,938.7 211,049.5 50,339.4 18,952.0 127,575.5 32,510.5 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2019. Note: (i) Thousands; (ii) Total Inhabitants
  • 30. Urban PopulationUrban Population 92% 87% 81% 88% 80% 78% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2019. Note: Percentage of Total Population
  • 31. Poverty Headcount RatioPoverty Headcount Ratio 1.0% 4.4% 4.1% 0.3% 1.7% 2.6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2017 - 2018. Note: (i) At US$1.90 / Day; (ii) Percentage of Population
  • 32. Exports of Goods and ServicesExports of Goods and Services 17.3% 14.3% 15.9% 28.2% 39.1% 24.2% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2019. Note: Percentage of GDP
  • 33. Foreign Direct InvestmentForeign Direct Investment - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 6,244 78,559 14,493 6,082 28,881 6,487 Source: The World Bank, 2018 - 2019. Note: (i) Net Inflows; (ii) BoP, Current Million US$
  • 34. Gross Domestic ProductGross Domestic Product $449,663.5 $1,839,758.0 $323,802.8 $282,318.2 $1,258,286.7 $226,848.1 $0 $300,000 $600,000 $900,000 $1,200,000 $1,500,000 $1,800,000 $2,100,000 $2,400,000 Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2019. Note: Millions, Current US$
  • 35. GDP Per CapitaGDP Per Capita $22,816.5 $15,258.9 $15,643.7 $25,155.0 $20,410.7 $13,380.4 $0.0 $5,000.0 $10,000.0 $15,000.0 $20,000.0 $25,000.0 $30,000.0 Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2019. Note: (i) PPP; (ii) Current International $
  • 36. GDP GrowthGDP Growth -2.2% 1.1% 3.3% 1.1% -0.1% 2.2% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2019. Note: Annual Percentage
  • 37. Gross SavingsGross Savings 17% 12% 15% 19% 23% 20% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2018 - 2019. Note: Percentage of GDP
  • 38. Personal RemittancesPersonal Remittances $0.0 $10,000.0 $20,000.0 $30,000.0 $40,000.0 $535.2 $3,295.5 $6,769.9 $65.7 $38,628.6 $3,326.0 Source: The World Bank, 2019. Note: (i) Received; (ii) Millions, Current US$
  • 40. RevenueRevenue 18% 29% 22% 22% 19% 19% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2018. Note: (i) Excluding Grants; (ii) Percentage of GDP
  • 41. Government Expenditure on EducationGovernment Expenditure on Education 5.5% 6.2% 4.5% 5.4% 4.9% 3.7% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2015 - 2018. Note: Percentage of GDP
  • 42. Labor ForceLabor Force Source: The World Bank, 2019. 20,772.7 106,500.8 26,787.9 9,557.9 57,142.2 18,864.9 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Note: Thousands
  • 43. Labor Force (Female)Labor Force (Female) 43.0% 43.6% 42.9% 42.2% 37.8% 45.7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2019. Note: Percentage of Total Labor Force
  • 44. UnemploymentUnemployment 9.8% 12.1% 9.7% 7.1% 3.4% 3.3% 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2019. Note: (i) Percentage of Total Labor Force; (ii) Modeled ILO Estimate
  • 45. Energy UseEnergy Use Source: The World Bank, 2014 - 2015. 2,030 1,496 724 2,006 1,537 790 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Note: Kg of Oil Equivalent per Capita
  • 46. Renewable Electricity OutputRenewable Electricity Output 28.1% 74.0% 68.2% 43.6% 15.4% 52.7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2015. Note: Percentage of Total Electricity Output
  • 47. Population Living in SlumsPopulation Living in Slums 17% 22% 13% 9% 11% 34% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2005 - 2014. Note: Percentage of Urban Population
  • 48. External Debt StocksExternal Debt Stocks 56.1% 30.3% 42.3% 38.0% 31.3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2018. Note: Percentage of GNI
  • 49. Bank Capital to Assets RatioBank Capital to Assets Ratio 13.3% 10.1% 17.0% 8.4% 11.0% 12.5% 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2018 - 2019. Note: Percentage
  • 50. Bank Nonperforming Loans to Total Gross Loans Bank Nonperforming Loans to Total Gross Loans 5.6% 3.1% 4.2% 1.9% 2.1% 3.3% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2018 - 2019. Note: Percentage
  • 51. Deposit Interest RateDeposit Interest Rate 47.3% 5.4% 4.5% 2.5% 3.5% 2.6% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2016 - 2019. Note: Percentage
  • 52. Lending Interest RateLending Interest Rate 67.3% 37.5% 11.8% 4.2% 8.5% 17.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2016 - 2019. Note: Percentage
  • 53. Listed Domestic CompaniesListed Domestic Companies Source: The World Bank, 2019. 91 324 66 203 139 196 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Note: Total
  • 54. Market Capitalization of Listed Domestic Companies Market Capitalization of Listed Domestic Companies $39,393.54 $1,187,361.69 $132,040.28 $203,791.65 $413,618.82 $98,964.96 $0.0 $200,000.0 $400,000.0 $600,000.0 $800,000.0 $1,000,000.0 $1,200,000.0 Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2019. Note: (i) Millions; (ii) Current US$
  • 55. Strength of Legal Rights IndexStrength of Legal Rights Index Source: The World Bank, 2019. 2 2 11 4 10 7 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Note: 0 = Weak to 12 = Strong
  • 56. Military ExpenditureMilitary Expenditure 2.1% 3.9% 11.6% 7.4% 2.1% 5.6% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% Argentina Brazil Colombia Chile Mexico Peru Source: The World Bank, 2018. Note: Percentage of General Government Expenditure
  • 57. We care about your business priorities. Let’s talk! E-mail: contacto@nuricumbo.com Mobile/Whatsapp: + 52 (155) 5453 6309 Skype: nuricua Twitter: @a_nuricumbo Office: Montes Urales 424 Lomas de Chapultepec, CDMX Please visit our website