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Opening Keynote - Phil Hare, Pöyry - UKCCSRC Strathclyde Biannual 8-9 September 2015
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Opening Keynote - Phil Hare, Pöyry - UKCCSRC Strathclyde Biannual 8-9 September 2015
1.
SEEING IS BELIEVING? UKCCSRC,
Glasgow 8 September 2015 Phil Hare, Director
2.
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY DELIVERING ON PROMISES
OF COST REDUCTION… TUESDAY 8TH SEPTEMBER CCS IN THE UK - SEEING IS BELIEVING 2
3.
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY TUESDAY 8TH SEPTEMBER CCS
IN THE UK - SEEING IS BELIEVING 3 The road so far… Future cost evolution Source: Fraunhofer Institute Source: Pöyry, BNEF, IRENA, EPA, NREL, Black & Veatch, DOE, DECC, STA PHOTOVOLTAICS…
4.
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY TUESDAY 8TH SEPTEMBER CCS
IN THE UK - SEEING IS BELIEVING 4 BATTERIES… Li-ion cells (€/kWh, 2014 money) Source: Pöyry, BNEF, EIA, Navigant, McKinsey, Tesla, Nature Climate Change
5.
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY CFD AUCTION ROUND
1 TUESDAY 8TH SEPTEMBER CCS IN THE UK - SEEING IS BELIEVING 5
6.
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY OFFSHORE WIND… TUESDAY 8TH
SEPTEMBER CCS IN THE UK - SEEING IS BELIEVING 6
7.
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY FIRM PROMISE…OR ASPIRATION? TUESDAY
8TH SEPTEMBER CCS IN THE UK - SEEING IS BELIEVING 7
8.
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY CCS… TUESDAY 8TH SEPTEMBER CCS
IN THE UK - SEEING IS BELIEVING 8
9.
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY COST REDUCTION TASK
FORCE SET EXPECTATIONS TUESDAY 8TH SEPTEMBER CCS IN THE UK - SEEING IS BELIEVING 9
10.
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PUTTING FLESH ON
THE BONES – ROLL OUT SCENARIOS TUESDAY 8TH SEPTEMBER CCS IN THE UK - SEEING IS BELIEVING 10 20252020/2021 2030 1 Mt 9 Mt 36 Mt 5 Mt 2 Mt 6 Mt 16 Mt 17 Mt Shoreline terminals Storage only EOR fields New offshore pipelines New onshore pipelines Re-use offshore pipelines Re-use onshore pipelines Goldeneye 5/42 aquifer Captain aquifer Teesside – St. Fergus trunk pipeline Feeder 10 EOR field 1 (2022) EOR field 2 (2025) EOR field 3 EOR field 4 EOR field 5 CNS aquifer 2 New parallel onshore pipeline New over-sized trunk pipeline Existing over-sized Goldeneye pipeline 20252020/2021 2030 1 Mt 5 Mt 11 Mt 2 Mt 8 Mt 29 Mt Shoreline terminals Storage only EOR fields New offshore pipelines New onshore pipelines Re-use offshore pipelines Re-use onshore pipelines Goldeneye 5/42 aquifer Captain aquifer (2022)Feeder 10 Existing over-sized Goldeneye pipeline SNS aquifer 2 CNS aquifer 2 Potential EOR development New over-sized trunk pipeline 20252020/2021 2030 1 Mt 5 Mt 9 Mt 2 Mt 6 Mt 13 Mt Shoreline terminals Storage only EOR fields New offshore pipelines New onshore pipelines Re-use offshore pipelines Re-use onshore pipelines Goldeneye 5/42 aquifer Captain aquifer Feeder 10 CNS aquifer 2 5 Mt 9 Mt 5 Mt 2 Mt 12 Mt SNS aquifer 2 SNS aquifer 3 EIS hydrocarbon Potential EOR development New over-sized trunk pipeline Existing over-sized Goldeneye pipeline Strike prices for concentrated Concentrated Balanced CO2-EOR
11.
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY CCC WORK FOLLOWED
UP TUESDAY 8TH SEPTEMBER CCS IN THE UK - SEEING IS BELIEVING 11
12.
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY TUESDAY 8TH SEPTEMBER CCS
IN THE UK - SEEING IS BELIEVING 12 DELIVERING COST REDUCTION Fewer projects, faster timescales…how can/should research efforts support this?
13.
www.poyry.comCOPYRIGHT©PÖYRY