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Environment Group

Presentation Of Findings From A Statewide
     Survey Of 600 Likely 2010 General
           Election Voters In Ohio


                                            1
Key Findings
• A Large Majority Believe Global Warming Constitutes A Serious
  Threat
• A Solid Majority, Across Most Demographic Groups, Favor Action
  To Reduce Carbon Emissions
• A Large Plurality Believe That Reducing Global Warming Will
  Create New Jobs
• Over Two-Thirds Support The Combined Proposal To Reduce
  Emissions And Require Clean Energy Sources
• Most Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A Member
  Who Voted For A Clean Energy Plan
• Most Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A Member
  For Supporting An Emissions Cap




                                                              2
Methodology

• 600 Likely 2010 General Election
  Voters In Ohio

• Interviews Conducted August 12-
  16th, 2009

• Margin Of Error +/- 4.0% Overall,
  Higher For Subgroups

                                      3
A Large Majority Believe Global Warming
                 Constitutes A Serious Threat
       Only Republicans And Conservatives Are Divided On Its Severity
 Generally speaking, how serious of a threat do you think global                       Serious   Not
warming is today – very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious,
   or not serious at all – or don’t you have an opinion on this?      Democrat ID       81%      17%
                                                                      Independent ID    57%      42%
                                                                      Republican ID     39%      58%
                                                        60%           Liberal           81%      17%
   Serious         26% Very                                           Moderate          65%      33%
                                                                      Conservative      40%      58%
                                                                      Young Women       68%      32%
                                                                      Young Men         50%      48%
                                                                      Older Women       60%      37%
                                          38%                         Older Men         65%      33%
Not Serious        22% Not at all                                     HS or Less        60%      36%
                                                                      Some College      63%      36%
                                                                      College+          58%      41%
                                                                      Cleveland         62%      37%
                                                                      Cincinnati        56%      43%
                         2%
      DK                                                              Columbus          64%      32%
                                                                      Dayton            64%      34%
                                                                      Toledo            55%      46%
              0%        20%      40%       60%       80%      100%
                                                                      Rest of State     55%      44%

                                                                                                       4
A Solid Majority, Across Most Demographic
   Groups, Favor Action To Reduce Carbon Emissions
       Do you favor or oppose the United States taking
       action to reduce it emissions of gases like carbon                           Favor   Oppose
              dioxide that cause global warming?                   Democrat ID      85%      7%
                                                                   Independent ID   67%      24%
                                                                   Republican ID    55%      38%
                                                                   Liberal          87%      6%
                                                      70%
                                                                   Moderate         72%      16%
    Favor 43% Strongly
                                                                   Conservative     55%      38%
                                                                   Young Women      80%      15%
                                                                   Young Men        67%      24%
                                                                   Older Women      70%      23%
                            22%
                                                                   Older Men        62%      27%
   Oppose 16%                                                      HS or Less       66%      23%
                                                                   Some College     69%      22%
                                                                   College+         74%      21%
                                                                   Cleveland        71%      21%
Undecided/          8%                                             Cincinnati       72%      23%
       Dk                                                          Columbus         65%      24%
                                                                   Dayton           78%      19%
                                                                   Toledo           73%      23%
         0%       20%       40%       60%       80%         100%   Rest of State    63%      24%

                                                                                                     5
A Large Plurality Believe That Reducing Global
                  Warming Will Create New Jobs
 Which comes closer to your point of view:                                                                  No
     Efforts to reduce global warming will create new American jobs                        Create   Cost   Affect
     Efforts to reduce global warming will cost American jobs             Democrat ID      66%      15%    11%
     Efforts to reduce global warming will not affect American jobs       Independent ID   41%      26%    16%
                                                                          Republican ID    29%      46%    16%
                                                                          Liberal          67%      13%    12%
      29% strong                                47%                       Moderate         48%      21%    16%
                                                                          Conservative     31%      46%    14%
                                                                          Young Women      45%      30%    15%
                                                                          Young Men        49%      32%    14%
     23%                     29%
                                                              +18         Older Women      45%      27%    13%
                                                                          Older Men        49%      25%    14%
                                                                          HS or Less       42%      26%    14%
     8%           14%                                                     Some College     50%      30%    11%
                                                                          College+         49%      31%    16%
                                                                          Cleveland        49%      27%    16%
                                                                          Cincinnati       38%      34%    14%
               11%                                                        Columbus         49%      30%    11%
                        (darker shading=stronger intensity)
                                                                          Dayton           51%      15%    20%
                                                                          Toledo           52%      27%    14%
0%               20%              40%                60%            80%
                                                                          Rest of State    40%      39%    7%
                                                                                                                    6
Over Two-Thirds Support The Combined Proposal To
Reduce Emissions And Require Clean Energy Sources
Congress is considering an energy plan that has two key
   parts. One part would require factories and power                       Favor   Oppose
   companies to reduce their emissions of the carbon      Democrat ID      85%      9%
pollution that causes global warming by 17% by the year
   2020 and by 80% by the year 2050. The other part       Independent ID   64%      24%
would require power companies to generate 15% of their    Republican ID    53%      36%
power from clean energy sources like wind and solar by    Liberal          91%      4%
the year 2025. Would you favor/oppose this entire plan?
                                                          Moderate         70%      19%
                                                          Conservative     50%      39%
                                                          Young Women      77%      14%
 Favor   46% strong                             68%
                                                          Young Men        63%      27%
                                                          Older Women      68%      22%
                                                          Older Men        66%      26%
                                            +46           HS or Less       71%      18%
Oppose   16%           22%                                Some College     68%      24%
                                                          College+         67%      24%
                                                          Cleveland        70%      22%
                                                          Cincinnati       63%      25%
Undec.
                9%                                        Columbus         62%      28%
                                                          Dayton           84%      8%
                                                          Toledo           66%      24%
     0%        20%        40%        60%        80%       Rest of State    68%      23%

                                                                                            7
Most Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A
   Member Who Voted For A Clean Energy Plan
How would you feel about your member of Congress                          More   Less
if they voted for a plan to require power companies
 to generate 25% of their power from clean energy        Democrat ID      75%    7%
    sources like wind and solar by the year 2025?        Independent ID   56%    17%
                                                         Republican ID    44%    26%
                                                         Liberal          78%    3%
      More                                  59%          Moderate         63%    15%
                   38% Much
  Favorable                                              Conservative     41%    27%
                                                         Young Women      63%    15%
                                                         Young Men        56%    17%
                                                         Older Women      61%    15%
      Less                    16%                        Older Men        57%    20%
               12%                                       HS or Less       57%    15%
 Favorable
                                                         Some College     59%    16%
                                                         College+         61%    17%
                                                         Cleveland        59%    16%
                                25%                      Cincinnati       64%    17%
       No
                                                         Columbus         59%    21%
Difference
                                                         Dayton           68%    6%
                                                         Toledo           55%    15%
              0%      20%     40%     60%   80%   100%   Rest of State    48%    21%

                                                                                        8
Most Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A
      Member For Supporting An Emissions Cap
  How would you feel about your member of Congress                          More   Less
    if they voted for a plan to require factories and
      power plants to reduce their global warming          Democrat ID      74%    7%
           pollution by 80% by the year 2050               Independent ID   49%    19%
                                                           Republican ID    32%    35%
       More                                                Liberal          76%    5%
   Favorable
                                              53%          Moderate         57%    15%
                     34% Much
                                                           Conservative     32%    36%
                                                           Young Women      57%    10%
                                                           Young Men        50%    23%
                                                           Older Women      52%    22%
       Less                     20%                        Older Men        52%    26%
  Favorable      14% Much                                  HS or Less       53%    16%
                                                           Some College     54%    21%
                                                           College+         53%    22%
                                                           Cleveland        52%    20%
                                  27%                      Cincinnati       56%    20%
No Difference                                              Columbus         50%    26%
                                                           Dayton           64%    8%
                                                           Toledo           48%    21%
                0%      20%     40%     60%   80%   100%   Rest of State    48%    21%

                                                                                          9
Ohio Poll

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Ohio Poll

  • 1. Environment Group Presentation Of Findings From A Statewide Survey Of 600 Likely 2010 General Election Voters In Ohio 1
  • 2. Key Findings • A Large Majority Believe Global Warming Constitutes A Serious Threat • A Solid Majority, Across Most Demographic Groups, Favor Action To Reduce Carbon Emissions • A Large Plurality Believe That Reducing Global Warming Will Create New Jobs • Over Two-Thirds Support The Combined Proposal To Reduce Emissions And Require Clean Energy Sources • Most Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A Member Who Voted For A Clean Energy Plan • Most Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A Member For Supporting An Emissions Cap 2
  • 3. Methodology • 600 Likely 2010 General Election Voters In Ohio • Interviews Conducted August 12- 16th, 2009 • Margin Of Error +/- 4.0% Overall, Higher For Subgroups 3
  • 4. A Large Majority Believe Global Warming Constitutes A Serious Threat Only Republicans And Conservatives Are Divided On Its Severity Generally speaking, how serious of a threat do you think global Serious Not warming is today – very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not serious at all – or don’t you have an opinion on this? Democrat ID 81% 17% Independent ID 57% 42% Republican ID 39% 58% 60% Liberal 81% 17% Serious 26% Very Moderate 65% 33% Conservative 40% 58% Young Women 68% 32% Young Men 50% 48% Older Women 60% 37% 38% Older Men 65% 33% Not Serious 22% Not at all HS or Less 60% 36% Some College 63% 36% College+ 58% 41% Cleveland 62% 37% Cincinnati 56% 43% 2% DK Columbus 64% 32% Dayton 64% 34% Toledo 55% 46% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Rest of State 55% 44% 4
  • 5. A Solid Majority, Across Most Demographic Groups, Favor Action To Reduce Carbon Emissions Do you favor or oppose the United States taking action to reduce it emissions of gases like carbon Favor Oppose dioxide that cause global warming? Democrat ID 85% 7% Independent ID 67% 24% Republican ID 55% 38% Liberal 87% 6% 70% Moderate 72% 16% Favor 43% Strongly Conservative 55% 38% Young Women 80% 15% Young Men 67% 24% Older Women 70% 23% 22% Older Men 62% 27% Oppose 16% HS or Less 66% 23% Some College 69% 22% College+ 74% 21% Cleveland 71% 21% Undecided/ 8% Cincinnati 72% 23% Dk Columbus 65% 24% Dayton 78% 19% Toledo 73% 23% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Rest of State 63% 24% 5
  • 6. A Large Plurality Believe That Reducing Global Warming Will Create New Jobs Which comes closer to your point of view: No Efforts to reduce global warming will create new American jobs Create Cost Affect Efforts to reduce global warming will cost American jobs Democrat ID 66% 15% 11% Efforts to reduce global warming will not affect American jobs Independent ID 41% 26% 16% Republican ID 29% 46% 16% Liberal 67% 13% 12% 29% strong 47% Moderate 48% 21% 16% Conservative 31% 46% 14% Young Women 45% 30% 15% Young Men 49% 32% 14% 23% 29% +18 Older Women 45% 27% 13% Older Men 49% 25% 14% HS or Less 42% 26% 14% 8% 14% Some College 50% 30% 11% College+ 49% 31% 16% Cleveland 49% 27% 16% Cincinnati 38% 34% 14% 11% Columbus 49% 30% 11% (darker shading=stronger intensity) Dayton 51% 15% 20% Toledo 52% 27% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Rest of State 40% 39% 7% 6
  • 7. Over Two-Thirds Support The Combined Proposal To Reduce Emissions And Require Clean Energy Sources Congress is considering an energy plan that has two key parts. One part would require factories and power Favor Oppose companies to reduce their emissions of the carbon Democrat ID 85% 9% pollution that causes global warming by 17% by the year 2020 and by 80% by the year 2050. The other part Independent ID 64% 24% would require power companies to generate 15% of their Republican ID 53% 36% power from clean energy sources like wind and solar by Liberal 91% 4% the year 2025. Would you favor/oppose this entire plan? Moderate 70% 19% Conservative 50% 39% Young Women 77% 14% Favor 46% strong 68% Young Men 63% 27% Older Women 68% 22% Older Men 66% 26% +46 HS or Less 71% 18% Oppose 16% 22% Some College 68% 24% College+ 67% 24% Cleveland 70% 22% Cincinnati 63% 25% Undec. 9% Columbus 62% 28% Dayton 84% 8% Toledo 66% 24% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Rest of State 68% 23% 7
  • 8. Most Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A Member Who Voted For A Clean Energy Plan How would you feel about your member of Congress More Less if they voted for a plan to require power companies to generate 25% of their power from clean energy Democrat ID 75% 7% sources like wind and solar by the year 2025? Independent ID 56% 17% Republican ID 44% 26% Liberal 78% 3% More 59% Moderate 63% 15% 38% Much Favorable Conservative 41% 27% Young Women 63% 15% Young Men 56% 17% Older Women 61% 15% Less 16% Older Men 57% 20% 12% HS or Less 57% 15% Favorable Some College 59% 16% College+ 61% 17% Cleveland 59% 16% 25% Cincinnati 64% 17% No Columbus 59% 21% Difference Dayton 68% 6% Toledo 55% 15% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Rest of State 48% 21% 8
  • 9. Most Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A Member For Supporting An Emissions Cap How would you feel about your member of Congress More Less if they voted for a plan to require factories and power plants to reduce their global warming Democrat ID 74% 7% pollution by 80% by the year 2050 Independent ID 49% 19% Republican ID 32% 35% More Liberal 76% 5% Favorable 53% Moderate 57% 15% 34% Much Conservative 32% 36% Young Women 57% 10% Young Men 50% 23% Older Women 52% 22% Less 20% Older Men 52% 26% Favorable 14% Much HS or Less 53% 16% Some College 54% 21% College+ 53% 22% Cleveland 52% 20% 27% Cincinnati 56% 20% No Difference Columbus 50% 26% Dayton 64% 8% Toledo 48% 21% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Rest of State 48% 21% 9