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GROWTH IN PURE ENERGY
Nordic Energy Summit, 20th March 2014
Christian Rynning-Tønnesen, CEO, Statkraft
Growth in consumption – dependent on region
2
Power demand 2000 -2012
Climate change
3
Egham, UK, February 2014
EU’s climate and energy targets
 Agreed EU targets for 2020
- 20 % GHG-reduction
- 20 % renewables consumption
- 20 % energy efficiency
 Proposed EU targets for 2030
- 40 % GHG-reductions
- 27 % renewables consumption
 EU ambition for 2050
- 80-95 % GHG reduction
4
Germany’s plan: «Energiewende»
Switch from coal and nuclear to renewables
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050
Conventional
Renewables
5
Power production in Germany 2005-2050, TWh per year
Source: DLR and
Fraunhofer IWES
Coal prices lower than gas prices
66
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Combined Cycle Gas Turbine Coal
Variable operating costs (€/MWh)
EEX power price,
base, Germany 2014
CO2 costs
Fuel costs
Variable OpEx
Solar PV in Germany
7
Feed-in tariff Feb. 2014
Flat packed solar power
8
Changes in EU electricity generation 2013
9
-10000
-5000
0
5000
10000
New
Decommissioned
MW
Source: EWEA
Wind PV Gas Coal Biomass Hydro CSP Fuel oil Nuclear
Power prices in Europe
10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
€/MWh
Nordic System Price Germany - Phelix
A German summer week 2022
Source: Agora Energiwende
Biomasse baseload
Biomasse CHP
Bioigas
Biomethane
Hydropower
Onshore wind
Offshore wind
Photovoltaic
Conventional
Power demand
Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
GW
National capacity mechanisms
implemented
12
Existing capacity market
Planned capacity market
Global investments in renewables
and fossil electricity
13 Source: UNEP Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investments 2011, 2012 and 2013
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2010 2011 2012
Renewables incl. large hydro Fossil Fuel
$bn
14
ABOUT STATKRAFT
Blåsjø, March 2014
2013:
Statkraft at a glance
Peru
163 MW
(+ project)
Chile
94 MW
Turkey
20 MW
(+ projects)
Nepal 21 MW
Philippines
179 MW
Brazil
77 MW
Panama
(project)
Zambia
7 MW
Norway
12 518 MW Sweden
1 315 MW Finland
66 MW
UK
273 MW
Laos 100 MW
Germany
2 692 MW
India
82 MW
Installed capacity*
17 600 MW
Power production*
56 TWh
97%
renewable
energy
3 600
employees
AGUA IMARA
SN POWER
STATKRAFT
Includes: - Statkraft’s share of installed capacity
- Statkraft SF’s share of installed capacity in Laos
Albania
(project)
Statkraft financial development 1992-2013
16
-
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
45 000
50 000
1992 -93 -94 -95 -96 -97 -98 -99 2000 -01 -02 -03 -04 -05 -06 -07 -08 -09 -10 -11 -12 -13
NOK million.
Gross
revenues
EBITDA
1992-2003: Statkraft SF – From Income Statement (unadjusted)
2004-2013: Statkraft AS – Underlying figures – Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items
10 042
402 278
507 132
1 584
-501
3
458
640
Nordic
Hydropower
Continental Energy
and Trading
International
Hydropower
Wind
Power
District
Heating
Industrial
Ownership
Others/
eliminations
Underlying* EBITDA Share of profit from associates
2013 Segment financials
17
* Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items
NOK million
Underlying* EBITDA and Share of profit from associates
District Heating
Statkraft’s ambition:
Leading international company in pure energy
European Flexible Generation
Wind Power
Hydropower in Emerging Markets
Trading and OriginationInvestments directed to
1) Regulated income in Europe
2) Growth in emerging markets
18
Nordic hydropower
19
Germany’s largest operator of renewable energy
 Direct sales of 8.700 MW in Germany
- 5000 MW is remote controlled
 Markets share: 25% of German wind
power
 Statkraft turns local power production
into a big virtual renewable power
plant
8 700 MW – market access
5 000 MW – remote control
20
Strengthening International Hydropower
21
1st April 2014:
Statkraft to integrate South
America and South Asia
New SN Power to focus on
South East Asia, Africa and
Central America
Statkraft SN Power
Alltwalis
Stamåsen
Mörttjärnberget
Björkhöjden
Ögonfägnaden
Hitra
Smøla
Onshore and offshore wind power
in the Nordics and UK
 In operation/under construction
- Norway: 244 MW
- Sweden: 525 MW
- UK: 460 MW
 Licensed/under development
- Onshore: Norway 735 MW
Sweden 290 MW
UK ~ 50 MW
- Offshore: Dudgeon 402 MW
Dogger Bank 7200 MW
Em
Tollarpabjär
Dudgeon
Sheringham Shoal
Dogger Bank
Berry Burn
Baillie
Kjøllefjord
22
23
Innovation in Statkraft
R&D programs Exploration activities
 Future Hydro Power
 Competitive Wind Power
 Energy from Biomass
 Consequences of Climate
Change
 Distributed energy
 Solar PV
 Energy Storage – battery
 Biofuel
24

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Nordic energy summit 2014

  • 1. GROWTH IN PURE ENERGY Nordic Energy Summit, 20th March 2014 Christian Rynning-Tønnesen, CEO, Statkraft
  • 2. Growth in consumption – dependent on region 2 Power demand 2000 -2012
  • 4. EU’s climate and energy targets  Agreed EU targets for 2020 - 20 % GHG-reduction - 20 % renewables consumption - 20 % energy efficiency  Proposed EU targets for 2030 - 40 % GHG-reductions - 27 % renewables consumption  EU ambition for 2050 - 80-95 % GHG reduction 4
  • 5. Germany’s plan: «Energiewende» Switch from coal and nuclear to renewables 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050 Conventional Renewables 5 Power production in Germany 2005-2050, TWh per year Source: DLR and Fraunhofer IWES
  • 6. Coal prices lower than gas prices 66 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Combined Cycle Gas Turbine Coal Variable operating costs (€/MWh) EEX power price, base, Germany 2014 CO2 costs Fuel costs Variable OpEx
  • 7. Solar PV in Germany 7 Feed-in tariff Feb. 2014
  • 9. Changes in EU electricity generation 2013 9 -10000 -5000 0 5000 10000 New Decommissioned MW Source: EWEA Wind PV Gas Coal Biomass Hydro CSP Fuel oil Nuclear
  • 10. Power prices in Europe 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 €/MWh Nordic System Price Germany - Phelix
  • 11. A German summer week 2022 Source: Agora Energiwende Biomasse baseload Biomasse CHP Bioigas Biomethane Hydropower Onshore wind Offshore wind Photovoltaic Conventional Power demand Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun GW
  • 12. National capacity mechanisms implemented 12 Existing capacity market Planned capacity market
  • 13. Global investments in renewables and fossil electricity 13 Source: UNEP Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investments 2011, 2012 and 2013 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2010 2011 2012 Renewables incl. large hydro Fossil Fuel $bn
  • 15. 2013: Statkraft at a glance Peru 163 MW (+ project) Chile 94 MW Turkey 20 MW (+ projects) Nepal 21 MW Philippines 179 MW Brazil 77 MW Panama (project) Zambia 7 MW Norway 12 518 MW Sweden 1 315 MW Finland 66 MW UK 273 MW Laos 100 MW Germany 2 692 MW India 82 MW Installed capacity* 17 600 MW Power production* 56 TWh 97% renewable energy 3 600 employees AGUA IMARA SN POWER STATKRAFT Includes: - Statkraft’s share of installed capacity - Statkraft SF’s share of installed capacity in Laos Albania (project)
  • 16. Statkraft financial development 1992-2013 16 - 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 35 000 40 000 45 000 50 000 1992 -93 -94 -95 -96 -97 -98 -99 2000 -01 -02 -03 -04 -05 -06 -07 -08 -09 -10 -11 -12 -13 NOK million. Gross revenues EBITDA 1992-2003: Statkraft SF – From Income Statement (unadjusted) 2004-2013: Statkraft AS – Underlying figures – Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items
  • 17. 10 042 402 278 507 132 1 584 -501 3 458 640 Nordic Hydropower Continental Energy and Trading International Hydropower Wind Power District Heating Industrial Ownership Others/ eliminations Underlying* EBITDA Share of profit from associates 2013 Segment financials 17 * Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items NOK million Underlying* EBITDA and Share of profit from associates
  • 18. District Heating Statkraft’s ambition: Leading international company in pure energy European Flexible Generation Wind Power Hydropower in Emerging Markets Trading and OriginationInvestments directed to 1) Regulated income in Europe 2) Growth in emerging markets 18
  • 20. Germany’s largest operator of renewable energy  Direct sales of 8.700 MW in Germany - 5000 MW is remote controlled  Markets share: 25% of German wind power  Statkraft turns local power production into a big virtual renewable power plant 8 700 MW – market access 5 000 MW – remote control 20
  • 21. Strengthening International Hydropower 21 1st April 2014: Statkraft to integrate South America and South Asia New SN Power to focus on South East Asia, Africa and Central America Statkraft SN Power
  • 22. Alltwalis Stamåsen Mörttjärnberget Björkhöjden Ögonfägnaden Hitra Smøla Onshore and offshore wind power in the Nordics and UK  In operation/under construction - Norway: 244 MW - Sweden: 525 MW - UK: 460 MW  Licensed/under development - Onshore: Norway 735 MW Sweden 290 MW UK ~ 50 MW - Offshore: Dudgeon 402 MW Dogger Bank 7200 MW Em Tollarpabjär Dudgeon Sheringham Shoal Dogger Bank Berry Burn Baillie Kjøllefjord 22
  • 23. 23 Innovation in Statkraft R&D programs Exploration activities  Future Hydro Power  Competitive Wind Power  Energy from Biomass  Consequences of Climate Change  Distributed energy  Solar PV  Energy Storage – battery  Biofuel
  • 24. 24