This document outlines several trends affecting the global environment and society, including rising global populations and resource demand, economic growth and shifts in global power, an aging population, technological changes and their impacts on businesses and work, evolving consumer values and behaviors, issues of inequality, debt, and social cohesion, and the need to balance economic and social progress with environmental sustainability. It discusses the implications and opportunities of these complex, interrelated trends for governments, businesses, and society.

2. • More from less
• Going, going ... gone?
• The silk highway
• Forever young
• Virtually here
• Great expectations

3. • More people
• A bigger world economy
• Global water scarcity
• Increasing domestic water demand
• Increasing energy consumption
• Increasing global energy demand
• Energy investment

4. • Increasing carbon emissions & new
markets
• Global food demand & supply
challenges
• Higher & more volatile food prices
• Increased biofuel production
• Resource conflicts
• Declining mineral ore grades & the rise
of recycling

5. • Implications • Opportunities
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6. • Biodiversity decline
• No signs of slowing
• Habitat fragmentation
• Deforestation
• Increasing the number of protected areas

7. • Efforts towards the protection of critical
biodiversity sites are increasing
• Climate change impact
• Extent of climate change impacts
• Emissions & climate change forecast
• Impact of climate change on biodiversity

8. • Implications • Opportunities
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10. • The shifting hotspot of world economic activity
• Near term growth forecasts for world regions
• The rise of China
• Building a new world economy with BRICS
• A growing middle class
• Strong economic ties with Asia
• Investment into Australia
• Tourism as a growth export industry for
Australia

11. • Highs & possible future lows of global
commodity prices
• Economic growth in China forecast to slow –
but a soft landing likely
• Rise of industrialisation & steel use to slow in
China
• Will India pick up the slack?
• Increasing commodity supply from developing
countries
• The Switzerland of Asia?

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14. • A new demographic profile
• The situation in Japan
• The whole world is getting older
• Longer life spans
• Retirement savings gap
• Changed retirement models

15. • Lifestyle related illnesses
• Diabetes on the rise
• Fitness trend
• Healthcare expenditure
• Staying active

16. • Implications • Opportunities
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18. • The rise of the digital world can change
business models
• Structural change in the retail sector fuelled by
online competition
• The rise of internet enabled micro-transaction
• A consumer trend – collaborative consumption

19. • The potential demand for teleworking
• The “Anywhere Working City”
• From offices to open plan, to activity based
to...?
• Background operations
• Freelancing models
• Offshoring
• Virtual crime & cyber security threats

20. • Implications • Opportunities
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22. • Moving upwards through Maslow’s hierarchy
• Declining relative material consumption
• Education spending is on the rise
• Australians have increased spending on culture &
entertainment
• Innovative personalisation
• Tourism bounced back from the global financial downturn
• Retail turnover is growing in the experience oriented sectors &
contracting in the products oriented sectors
• Rising importance of moral and ethical dimensions for
consumers

23. • Humans are complex and income growth & class ascendancy
can be associated with negative behaviours
• Loneliness & single person households
• The expectation for face-to-face interaction
• The expectation for fewer but stronger social relations
• Basic (not great) expectations for billions of people
• The millennium development goals
• Heading in the right direction, but still so far to go

24. • Implications • Opportunities
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27. • Large levels of government debt internationally
 Reduced policy options
 Currency wars, inflationary pressures
• Shifting government priorities – consumer
directed care, mutual obligation, decline of the
welfare society
• Shifting global power & centres of influence, oil
& energy

28. • Implications • Opportunities
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30. • Tribalism – more connected to tighter groups (not
necessarily geographic) social media, nationalism
• Relative decline of the middle class
• Younger for longer – baby boomers last generation to
die? Refuse to act old, high baby boomers, ageing,
• Gen Y, centennials have different attitudes –
immediacy, short termism, entitlement, lacking the
scarcity fears of immediate post war boomers
• More pressured society – depression, drug & alcohol
dependency on the rise

31. • Implications • Opportunities
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33. • More sophisticated consumers – higher
expectations, better informed, increased
comparison shopping, more likely to
challenge
• Reverse consolidation – fragmenting
markets, rise of
specialists, niches, personalisation
• Involved through technology

34. • Opportunities
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• Implications
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