THREATS AND CHALLENGES
TO INDIAS NATIONAL SECURITY
BY BRIG HEMANT MAHAJAN YUDHA SEVA MEDAL
CONVENTIONAL WARS
WMD
MARITIME
NON TRADITIONAL
TERRORISM
CYBER WAR
WATER WARS
INDIAN DIASPORA
ENERGY SECURITY
TRADE WAR,ECONOMIC SUBVERSION
India and the Indian Ocean: Certain Issues relating to Non-Traditional SecurityNilendra Kumar
Indian Ocean plays a pivotal role in the global trade and economics and its strategic significance is also steadily increasing. Certain major aspects concerning non traditional security need in depth study and adoption of corrective measures by the Indian Ocean ring countries where India has to take a lead.
Bearing in mind the particular importance Russia attaches to its relations with India, the Russian International Affairs Council has arranged a series of expert workshops dedicated to specific areas of bilateral relations. The following postulates represent the preliminary results of this work. The key objective here is to test some hypotheses related to developing cooperation between Russia and India. We address readers anticipating some sort of feedback. Taking into account readers’ comments and proposals a final version of the postulates will be subsequently prepared and published.
India and the Indian Ocean: Certain Issues relating to Non-Traditional SecurityNilendra Kumar
Indian Ocean plays a pivotal role in the global trade and economics and its strategic significance is also steadily increasing. Certain major aspects concerning non traditional security need in depth study and adoption of corrective measures by the Indian Ocean ring countries where India has to take a lead.
Bearing in mind the particular importance Russia attaches to its relations with India, the Russian International Affairs Council has arranged a series of expert workshops dedicated to specific areas of bilateral relations. The following postulates represent the preliminary results of this work. The key objective here is to test some hypotheses related to developing cooperation between Russia and India. We address readers anticipating some sort of feedback. Taking into account readers’ comments and proposals a final version of the postulates will be subsequently prepared and published.
India Bangladesh Relations: Synergy & Issues DevakiNandan6
It is All about India Bangladesh relations, what's are the main issues including geostrategic importance to mutual security concern. Is Bangladesh worried about big brother syndrome or it is like friendship.
strategic importance of indian ocean.pptxMahamAaqil2
What makes the Indian Ocean so strategically important?
The Indian Ocean is a vast theater, stretching from the Strait of Malacca and western coast of Australia in the East to the Mozambique Channel in
the West. It encompasses the Persian Gulf and the Arabian Sea in the North, all the way down to the southern Indian Ocean.
Indian Ocean Initiative
Along the coasts of this huge geographic expanse are countries that are home to some 2.7 billion people. The Indian Ocean’s key subregions are
South Asia, the Middle East, the eastern coast of Africa, and the islands dotting the ocean from Sri Lanka in the East to the Comoros Archipelago
in the West.
The region’s size and diversity explains its geoeconomic importance. Its regional forum, the Indian Ocean Rim Association, includes countries as
politically and socially different as Australia, Indonesia, Iran, and South Africa, leading to striking new power dynamics. From resource-rich Africa
and the energy-dense Middle East to South Asia’s labor markets and manufacturing industries, the stability of the Indian Ocean is crucial to the
global economy.
Why are countries vying for control over the Indian Ocean?
While it may be difficult today for one nation to control the entire expanse of the Indian Ocean the way the British, French, or Portuguese empires
did during the colonial period, the strategic significance of the Indian Ocean remains the same. In fact, the advent of the Indo-Pacific—the new
geopolitical framework that includes both the Indian and Pacific Oceans—has pushed the Indian Ocean back into the spotlight after a period with
no serious great power competition in the region, following the end of the Cold War.
The importance of trade and the sheer scope of its many subregions make the Indian Ocean critical in terms of military and strategic engagement.
It is a vital trading hub, connecting the Middle East to Southeast and East Asia, as well as Europe and the Americas. Any disruption along its
trading routes will impact the entire globe’s energy security, let alone that of significant economies like China, Japan, and South Korea, which
depend on energy imported primarily via the Malacca strait.
3/19/23, 12:41 PM What Is Happening in the Indian Ocean? - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
https://carnegieendowment.org/2021/03/03/what-is-happening-in-indian-ocean-pub-83948#:~:text=The importance of trade and,as Europe and the Americas. 2/4
At the heart of the geopolitical struggle in the Indian Ocean is the ability to sustain a military presence near the key choke points connecting its
trade routes. Such a presence gives countries the power to protect and disrupt these valuable maritime channels—known as Sea Lines of
Communications (SLOC) protection and SLOC interdiction in naval terms—during times of peace and war.
Which parts of the Indian Ocean are most contested?
Of the world’s seven key choke points for oil transportation, three are in the Indian Ocean.
Act East policy - Under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi the new government of India has made its relations with East Asian neighbours a foreign policy priority at a time when the United States has engaged in a "pivot to Asia".
A talk given to post-graduate students of Osaka University and Royal Canadian Military College. Military strategy as part of Asia-Pacific stability was discussed.
Myanmar drew the international spotlight when the world leaders including Prime Minister Modi, President Obama attended the ASEAN and East Asian Summit in Naypidaw last year on11 November.
Can we again revalidate the Swarna Bhumi - Bharat Bhumi natural links.
India shares 1700-km boundary with Myanmar, yet the absence of it in India’s foreign policy priorities has been a strange but serious omission. It is difficult to imagine how India’s otherwise astute leaders then allowed Burma to slide into seclusion and accepting Chinese hegemony to India’s detriment.
past security policies of Pakistan during its formative phase.Geo strategics environment of Pakistan during its formation.objectives of Pakistan policy.Afghan war and Pakistan policies.
This is a slide-set that I had used for a workshop conducted by the Indian School of Business on the Indo-Pacific on July 30, 2021.
It discusses the evolution of the US Indo-Pacific strategy and China's perceptions and policy responses.
China’s recent moves, including its aggression in the South China Sea and transgressions and deadly clashes across the Line of Actual Control (LAC), may prove to be the tipping point that makes India join Quadrilateral Security Group that will have far-reaching implications for regional and global security.
Sir Creek : Media & Current Affairs : Student CollaborationAli Haider Saeed
An illustration of student-teacher collaborative discussion model in the subject of Media & Current Affairs during the Fall session 2020, Students engaged in the discussion on Indo-Pak Relations, featuring Sir Creek issue.
India Bangladesh Relations: Synergy & Issues DevakiNandan6
It is All about India Bangladesh relations, what's are the main issues including geostrategic importance to mutual security concern. Is Bangladesh worried about big brother syndrome or it is like friendship.
strategic importance of indian ocean.pptxMahamAaqil2
What makes the Indian Ocean so strategically important?
The Indian Ocean is a vast theater, stretching from the Strait of Malacca and western coast of Australia in the East to the Mozambique Channel in
the West. It encompasses the Persian Gulf and the Arabian Sea in the North, all the way down to the southern Indian Ocean.
Indian Ocean Initiative
Along the coasts of this huge geographic expanse are countries that are home to some 2.7 billion people. The Indian Ocean’s key subregions are
South Asia, the Middle East, the eastern coast of Africa, and the islands dotting the ocean from Sri Lanka in the East to the Comoros Archipelago
in the West.
The region’s size and diversity explains its geoeconomic importance. Its regional forum, the Indian Ocean Rim Association, includes countries as
politically and socially different as Australia, Indonesia, Iran, and South Africa, leading to striking new power dynamics. From resource-rich Africa
and the energy-dense Middle East to South Asia’s labor markets and manufacturing industries, the stability of the Indian Ocean is crucial to the
global economy.
Why are countries vying for control over the Indian Ocean?
While it may be difficult today for one nation to control the entire expanse of the Indian Ocean the way the British, French, or Portuguese empires
did during the colonial period, the strategic significance of the Indian Ocean remains the same. In fact, the advent of the Indo-Pacific—the new
geopolitical framework that includes both the Indian and Pacific Oceans—has pushed the Indian Ocean back into the spotlight after a period with
no serious great power competition in the region, following the end of the Cold War.
The importance of trade and the sheer scope of its many subregions make the Indian Ocean critical in terms of military and strategic engagement.
It is a vital trading hub, connecting the Middle East to Southeast and East Asia, as well as Europe and the Americas. Any disruption along its
trading routes will impact the entire globe’s energy security, let alone that of significant economies like China, Japan, and South Korea, which
depend on energy imported primarily via the Malacca strait.
3/19/23, 12:41 PM What Is Happening in the Indian Ocean? - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
https://carnegieendowment.org/2021/03/03/what-is-happening-in-indian-ocean-pub-83948#:~:text=The importance of trade and,as Europe and the Americas. 2/4
At the heart of the geopolitical struggle in the Indian Ocean is the ability to sustain a military presence near the key choke points connecting its
trade routes. Such a presence gives countries the power to protect and disrupt these valuable maritime channels—known as Sea Lines of
Communications (SLOC) protection and SLOC interdiction in naval terms—during times of peace and war.
Which parts of the Indian Ocean are most contested?
Of the world’s seven key choke points for oil transportation, three are in the Indian Ocean.
Act East policy - Under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi the new government of India has made its relations with East Asian neighbours a foreign policy priority at a time when the United States has engaged in a "pivot to Asia".
A talk given to post-graduate students of Osaka University and Royal Canadian Military College. Military strategy as part of Asia-Pacific stability was discussed.
Myanmar drew the international spotlight when the world leaders including Prime Minister Modi, President Obama attended the ASEAN and East Asian Summit in Naypidaw last year on11 November.
Can we again revalidate the Swarna Bhumi - Bharat Bhumi natural links.
India shares 1700-km boundary with Myanmar, yet the absence of it in India’s foreign policy priorities has been a strange but serious omission. It is difficult to imagine how India’s otherwise astute leaders then allowed Burma to slide into seclusion and accepting Chinese hegemony to India’s detriment.
past security policies of Pakistan during its formative phase.Geo strategics environment of Pakistan during its formation.objectives of Pakistan policy.Afghan war and Pakistan policies.
This is a slide-set that I had used for a workshop conducted by the Indian School of Business on the Indo-Pacific on July 30, 2021.
It discusses the evolution of the US Indo-Pacific strategy and China's perceptions and policy responses.
China’s recent moves, including its aggression in the South China Sea and transgressions and deadly clashes across the Line of Actual Control (LAC), may prove to be the tipping point that makes India join Quadrilateral Security Group that will have far-reaching implications for regional and global security.
Sir Creek : Media & Current Affairs : Student CollaborationAli Haider Saeed
An illustration of student-teacher collaborative discussion model in the subject of Media & Current Affairs during the Fall session 2020, Students engaged in the discussion on Indo-Pak Relations, featuring Sir Creek issue.
For millennia, the Himalayas constituted a strategic frontier between two dissimilar civilisations. In this presentation, Nitin Pai argues that nuclear weapons are the new Himalayas and the India-China contest has gone beyond the mountains, to the Oceans and beyond. Presented at Bangalore International Centre in June 2010.
Welcome to the Program Your Destiny course. In this course, we will be learning the technology of personal transformation, neuroassociative conditioning (NAC) as pioneered by Tony Robbins. NAC is used to deprogram negative neuroassociations that are causing approach avoidance and instead reprogram yourself with positive neuroassociations that lead to being approach automatic. In doing so, you change your destiny, moving towards unlocking the hypersocial self within, the true self free from fear and operating from a place of personal power and love.
2. There can be four dangersfour dangers to a State;
That which is of external origin and internal abetment;
That which is of internal origin and external abetment;
That which is of external origin and external abetment;
That which is of internal origin and internal abetment
Of these four kinds of dangers, internal dangersinternal dangers should be
got rid of first; for it is the internal troublesinternal troubles, like the fear
from a lurking snake, that are more serious than external
trouble
Kautilya, 321 – 296 BC
3. ````
- Dr Manmohan Singh, PM- Dr Manmohan Singh, PM
``Our neighbourhood provides the biggest
infrastructure for perpetrating terrorism, religiousperpetrating terrorism, religious
extremismextremism and drug-traffickingdrug-trafficking the world over ”
``Our neighbourhood provides the biggest
infrastructure for perpetrating terrorism, religiousperpetrating terrorism, religious
extremismextremism and drug-traffickingdrug-trafficking the world over ”
4. ““ War is only a continuance ofWar is only a continuance of
the state policy by other means.the state policy by other means.
But war must always serve theBut war must always serve the
larger ends of policy and notlarger ends of policy and not
become an end in itself. Thebecome an end in itself. The
statesman’s objective muststatesman’s objective must
always be the betterment of thealways be the betterment of the
state as a result of war and notstate as a result of war and not
the defeat and destruction of thethe defeat and destruction of the
enemy.”enemy.”
………………………… KAUTILYAKAUTILYA
5. INDIA’S STRATEGIC CHALLENGES TODAY
SECURITY
DIPLOMATIC
&
POLITICAL
ECONOMIC
TECH
SOCIO-
CULTURAL
INTERNAL
EXTERNAL
6. REGIONAL SECURITY SCAN
GEOGRAPHICAL SALIENCE OF INDIA
TRENDS IN ASIA
INDO-PAK RELATIONS
INDO-CHINA RELATIONS
AFGHANISTAN
SRILANKA
MYANMAR
NEPAL AND BHUTAN
BANGLADESH
INDIAN OCEAN REGION
ENERGY SECURITY
DOMESTIC INTERNAL THREATS
10. PRESENT SITUATION
• RELIGIOUS FUNAMENTALISM
• ARMY & ISI SUPREME
• EXTENSION KAYANI
• CONFRONT INDIA TO DIVERT ATTENTION
11. LONG TERM
• CHINA MAY PROTECT PAK
• PAK WILL CONTINUE CONFLICT
• MAJOR INDO PAK WAR UNLIKELY
• MUTUAL ACCOMODATION WITH CERTAIN ISSUES
OUTSTANDING
• BORDER UNREST WILL CONTINUE
• RESTRICTED WAR ?
12. SINO – INDIAN MATRIX
• THE KEY ELEMENTS OF INDIAN STRAT
THE POLICY OF REGIONAL ENCIRCLEMENT
THE CHINESE ARMS EXPORTS IN THE REGION
DEVP OF MYANMAR & OTHERS AS A STRAT BASE
INDIA PERCIEVED AS A STRAT COMPETITOR
MIL MODERNISATION
UNRESOLVED LAC - A FESTERING PROBLEM
13. SINO – INDIAN MATRIX
• ENHANCED MIL CAPABILITY IN TAR
• FRUCTIFICATION OF CHINESE MIL THREAT
• CHINA – TO BE FACTORED AS A LONG TERM THREAT IN
OUR STRAT CALCULUS
•
14. SINO- INDIA RELATIONS
IRRITANTS
FLIGHT OF DALAI LAMA TO INDIA WITH FOLLOWERS IN MARCH
1959
BORDER DISPUTE
ENCOURAGING DISSENSION AMONG NEIGHBOURS
TACIT SUPPORT TO INSURGENCY IN NORTH EAST
COLLUSIVE SUPPORT TO PAKISTAN
KEEP INDIA IN ITS PLACE
PRESENT STATUS
BILATERAL TRADE INCREASED
STRENGTHEN MILITARY COOPERATION
UNLIKELY TO FLEX MUSCLES TILL MODERNIZATION OF ARMED
FORCES AND ECONOMIC REBUILDING COMPLETED
16. AFGHANISTAN
• CORRELATION BETWEEN RISE OF TALIBAN AND
KASHMIR PROBLEM, PAKISTAN CARD
• THE PROSPECTS OF STABILITY IN AFGHANISTAN
• NO CLASH OF INTEREST BETWEEN THE TWO
COUNTRIES
• USA WITHDRAWL ?.
AFGANISTAN
17. SRI LANKA
• INDIA PERCIEVED AS THE ONLY THREAT !
• TAMIL RESETTLEMENT
• WAR CRIMES
• SL - A KEY TO INDIA’S SECURITY IN THE INDIAN OCEAN
• US CHINA- SL LGS AGREEMENT AND DEVP OF
HAMBANTOTA AS A CHINESE NAVAL BASE
• THE INDIAN FOREIGN POLICY TO BE DIRECTED AT
MAINTAINING TERRITORIAL INTEGRITY AND
SOVEREIGNTY OF SL
SRI LANKA
18. MYANMAR
• CHINESE THREAT TO BRAHMAPUTRA VALLEY
THROUGH MYANMAR
• DRUGS, REFUGEES ,SINO-MYANMAR SECURITY LINK
AND DEF COOP
• PROJECTED THREAT TO INDIAN MARITIME INTERESTS
ON ITS’ EASTERN SEA FLANK
• ASSIST MYANMAR TO BECOME A DEMOCRACY
• REALPOLITIK AND NOT IDEALISM AS THE BULWARK OF
FOREIGN POLICY TOWARDS MYANMAR
MYANMAR
19. NEPAL
• INDO-NEPAL TREATY
• CULTURAL CONGRUITY ( A POSITIVE FACTOR)
• NEPALESE POPULATION( 8 MILLION)- A STRONG
INTEREST GROUP
• INDIAN STAKES IN POLITICAL STABILITY OF NEPAL
• CHINA LED DEVP OF INFRASTRUCTURE IN NEPAL
• NEED TO PROJECT AND HONEST DESIRE FOR
REGIONAL COOP AND SOLIDARITY
• PRACHANDA FACTOR
NEPAL
20. BHUTAN
• CHINESE ATTEMPTS TO MAKE INROADS IN TO BHUTAN
• CHINA KEEN ON DEVELOPING ROADS LEADING TO
BHUTNESE BORDER
• NEPALESE PROBLEM IN BHUTAN AN , AN ADDL VECTOR
IN DESTABILISATION OF BHUTAN
• MILITANT CAMPS BHUTAN
21. BANGLADESH
• THE PERSISTING IRIITANTS CORD AND ILLEGAL
IMMIGRATION
• VULNERABILITY OF SILIGURI CORRIDO
• IMPROVING ECONOMY , POSSIBILITY OF
RADICALISATION OF SOCIETY AND RISE OF ISLAMIC
FUNDAMENTALISM
• CHINESE DOCTRINE OF ENCIRCLEMENT COULD EXPLOIT
THE PREVAILING IRRITANTS AND THE UNRESOLVED
BILATERAL DISPUTES
BANGLA DESH
22. INDIAN OCEAN REGION
• INDIA’S GEO- STRAT LOC IN THE INDIAN (BOTH , STR
AND VULNERABILITY) .
• INDIAN OCEAN NOT A ZONE OF PEACE – VITAL US AND
CHINESE INTERESTS INTER ALIA OTHER REGIONAL
PLAYERS , LIE HEREIN.
• INDIA NEEDS A STRONG MARITIME CAPABILITY TO
SAFEGUARD ITS’ INTERESTS IN THE INDIAN OCEAN.
24. NATURE OF EXTERNAL THREATSNATURE OF EXTERNAL THREATS
CONVENTIONAL WARSCONVENTIONAL WARS
WMDWMD
MARITIMEMARITIME
NON TRADITIONALNON TRADITIONAL
– TERRORISMTERRORISM
– CYBER WARCYBER WAR
– WATER WARSWATER WARS
– INDIAN DIASPORAINDIAN DIASPORA
– ENERGY SECURITYENERGY SECURITY
– TRADE WAR,ECONOMIC SUBVERSIONTRADE WAR,ECONOMIC SUBVERSION
29. SHORT-TERM THREAT
• UNRESOLVED TERRITORIAL AND
BOUNDARY DISPUTE.
• UN-DEMARCATED/UN-DELINEATED LINE
OF ACTUAL CONTROL (LAC).
30. INDIA-CHINA BORDERINDIA-CHINA BORDER
INDIA
CHINA
PAK
NEPAL
MYANMAR
BHUTAN
TOTAL LENGTH - 4056 KM
EASTERN SECTOR - 1326 KM
HP
UP
MIDDLE SECTOR - 554 KM
WESTERN SECTOR - 2176 KM
LAC - 520 KM
ALP
SIKKIM
BANGLADESH
5180 SQ KM AREA
CEDED BY PAK TO
CHINA IN 1963
POK
J&K
PAKISTAN ILLEGALLY CEDED 5,180 SQ KM AREA IN
PAKISTAN OCCUPIED KASHMIR TO CHINA IN 1963.
31. SHORT-TERM THREAT
• UNRESOLVED TERRITORIAL AND
BOUNDARY DISPUTE.
• UN-DEMARCATED/UN-DELINEATED LINE
OF ACTUAL CONTROL (LAC).
• BORDER CONFLICT, THOUGH
IMPROBABLE, CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
(“WANG DUNG” AND “NATHU LA” TYPE
INCIDENTS REMAIN LIKELY.)
• CHINA-PAKISTAN NUCLEAR, MISSILE AND
MILITARY HARDWARE NEXUS IS A THREAT-
IN-BEING.
32. LONG-TERM THREATLONG-TERM THREAT
•CHINA IS GRADUALLY ENLARGING
ITS SPHERE OF INFLUENCE
TOWARDS SOUTH EAST ASIA AND
BAY OF BENGAL.
•CHINA IS ENGAGED IN STRATEGIC
ENCIRCLEMENT AND
CONTAINMENT OF INDIA --
POTENTIAL SOURCE OF
COMPETITION AND CONFLICT.
34. String of PearlsString of Pearls
CHINA’S STRING OF PEARLS
GWADAR
HAMBANTOTA
CHITTAGONG
HANIGYI HAINAN IS
WOODY IS
35. LONG-TERM THREATLONG-TERM THREAT
•GROWING MILITARY ASYMMETRY
INCLUDING NUCLEAR CAPABILITY.
•UPGRADATION OF
INFRASTRUCTURE IN TIBET TO
SUSTAIN EMPLOYMENT OF
LARGER FORCES CONTINUING.
36. LONG-TERM THREATLONG-TERM THREAT
•GROWING MILITARY ASYMMETRY
INCLUDING NUCLEAR CAPABILITY.
•UPGRADATION OF
INFRASTRUCTURE IN TIBET TO
SUSTAIN EMPLOYMENT OF
LARGER FORCES CONTINUING.
DEDUCTION: CHINA MAY
EVENTUALLY ATTEMPT TO
FORCE MILITARY SOLUTION
TO BOUNDARY DISPUTE
AFTER CONSOLIDATING
MILITARILY AND RESOLVING
TAIWAN ISSUE.
39. THREAT FROM PAKISTAN
• NUCLEAR-ARMED PAKISTAN REMAINS INDIA’S
MAJOR MILITARY THREAT IN IMMEDIATE FUTURE.
(QUANTUM OF THREAT HAS RECEDED.)
• PAKISTAN ARMY’S STATED AIM:
–WREST KASHMIR FROM INDIA THROUGH
PROXY WAR AND POLITICAL, DIPLOMATIC
OFFENSIVE. (MILITARY MEANS?)
–CONTAIN INDIA IN COLLUSION WITH CHINA TO
PREVENT INDIA FROM EMERGING AS A
SOUTHERN ASIAN POWER.
–DESTABILISE AND WEAKEN INDIA INTERNALLY.
40. PAK
INDIA
PAKISTAN ARMY
HOLDING DIVISIONS - 11
STRIKE DIVISIONS - 10
(INCLUDING ARMOURED)
PAKISTAN ARMY
HOLDING DIVISIONS - 11
STRIKE DIVISIONS - 10
(INCLUDING ARMOURED)
LOC OF STRIKE
FORMATION
LOC OF HOLDING
FORMATION
LEGEND
PESHAWAR
MANGLA
MULTAN
QUETTA
41. THREAT FROM PAKISTAN
• TO OFFSET CONVENTIONAL ASYMMETRY,
PAKISTAN ARMY IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE
TO RESORT TO LIC, INCLUDING ACTS OF
TERRORISM, TO ENSURE INDIAN ARMY
REMAINS COMMITTED IN COUNTER-
INSURGENCY OPERATIONS.
• EMPLOY ISI TO SPAWN MADRASA
CULTURE AND CREATE A
COMMUNAL/SECTARIAN DIVIDE.
42. INDIA
ITBP
NEPAL
BANGLADESH
SRI LANKA
MAHARASHTRA SMUGGLING
&GUJARAT OF ARMS/RDX
AP LINKS WITH COMMUNAL
ELEMENTS
UNSAFE BODERS
UP ASSIST FUNDAMENTALIST
ORGANISATIONS ALONG INDO-NEPAL
BORDER
NE TRAINING, SUPPORT TO
ULFA, NSCN (IM) AND PLA
LTTE TRAINING, ARMS, TERRORIST MOV BY SEA
ISI
LINKAGES
43. THREAT FROM PAKISTAN
•FIND NEW MEANS TO DESTABILISE
INDIA AND ITS ECONOMY –
CIRCULATION OF FAKE CURRENCY.
•LAUNCH CYBERWAR TO DISRUPT
INDIAN NETWORKS.
45. PROXY WAR
• Pak Army-ISI real threat to peace and
stability between India and Pakistan.
• Pak strategy of irregular warfare since
independence (Razakars 1947-48, Op Gibraltar 1965, Proxy war
since 1989, Kargil intrusions 1999) – Quranic concept of
war.
• Failure of Indian state to integrate J&K being
exploited by Pak Army-ISI. Hence, internal
security challenge with external linkage.
46. PRESENT SITUATION
•ISI has succeeded in maintaining pool of
about 1,500 terrorists in J&K. (Including sleeper cells.)
• 45 terrorist training camps are functional
across LoC; 2,000 more ready for deployment.
Remaining roots of
militancy/ terrorism
are mostly in POK
and Pakistan.
47. The army dictates the
country’s Kashmir and
nuclear policies and will
decide whether the
present peace process
will be allowed to go
forward.
48. The real threat to
peace and stability
between India and
Pakistan is the
PAKISTAN ARMY &
ISI.
49. EMERGING SECURITY CHALLENGESEMERGING SECURITY CHALLENGES
• COASTAL SECURITY GROSSLY
NEGLECTED -- SLOCs, POACHING IN EEZ,
PIRACY.
• MASS MIGRATIONS FROM NEIGHBOURING
COUNTRIES.
• ENVIRONMENT SECURITY GAINING
PROMINENCE -- FORESTS, MARINE
RESOURCES.
• SECURITY CONCERNS OF INDIAN
DIASPORA.
• ANTI INDIAN ACTIVITIES IN
US,CANADA,EUROPE
Kautilya’s insightful forebodings tell us, that the security paradigm, in substantial terms has remain unchanged even though intensities may have varied.
Even in those early times, Kautilya spoke of the nuances of the current catchphrase Asymmetric Warfare
PM extolling the threat of Naxalism as also other complexities in our neighbourhood
FOR EXAMPLE, HAINAN ISLAND, WITH ITS RECENTLY UPGRADED MILITARY FACILITIES, INCLUDING THE KILO CLASS SUBMARINE BASE, WOULD BE A ‘PEARL’. SIMILARLY, THE UPGRADED AIRSTRIP ON WOODY ISLAND, LOCATED IN THE PARACEL ISLANDS, SOME 300 NM EAST OF VIETNAM, IS ANOTHER ‘PEARL’. THE CHINESE-ASSISTED, CONTAINER-SHIPPING FACILITY IN CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH, IS YET ANOTHER ‘PEARL’, AS IS THE CONSTRUCTION OF A DEEP-WATER PORT IN SITTWE, MYANMAR, AND, THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE GWADAR DEEP SEA PORT ON PAKISTAN’S MAKRAN COAST.
CHENGDU MR HAS FOUR MIL DISTRICTS.
LANZHOU MR HAS FIVE MIL DISTRICTS.
PLA STR IN TAR IS 94000 TPS NOT INCL ABOUT 15000 PERS EMP ON LGS DUTIES
KNOWN PLA DPLY IS AS FOLLOWS :-
WESTERN SECT . (ALI MSD AND AKSAI CHIN AREA). 2 x BD REGT, ONE MOT INF BN AND ONE INF BN.
CENTRAL SECT. OPP NEPAL SIKKIM AND BHUTAN. 3 x INDEP BD REGTS AND 4 x INDEP BD BNS.
EASTERN SECT. OPP ALP. MAJ PLA FORCES DPLY IN THIS SECT THESE COMPRISE OF 2 x INDEP MTN BDES, 3 x INDEP BD REGTS AND 3 x INDEP INF BNS.
RES. RES FORCES EARMARKED FOR OPS IN TIBET ARE 13 GP ARMY CHENGDU MR , 21/47 GP ARMY AND TWO INDEP INF DIVS FROM LANZHOU MR (8-9 DIVS).
IN ADDITION THE RECENTLY ORG 15 AIRBORNE ARMY (3 DIVS) IS CAPABLE OF UNDERTAKING AIRBORNE OPS WITHIN 19 HRS OF THE WARNING.
EXISTING INFRASTRUCTURE CAPABLE OF SUSTAINING 20-21 DIVS. ON BEING UPGRADED TO SUSTAIN 30 - 31 DIVS.
