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Business Strategy for Cleantech (MEPC)


      Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
         Cleantech (MEPC)
Case Study Objectives



                  What Differentiated Offering can be made by
                 Mahindra EPC ?


Reforming          How should Mahindra EPC become the
Mahindra           preferred player for solar power developers?
   EPC

                 How should Mahindra EPC scale up the
                 business ?




                                                                  2
                                                                      [8]
                  Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Research Methodology

        Qualitative

              •   Telephonic interview with Company executives from Rays Power
                  Infra, FirstGreen Consulting, MINDA NexGentech
              •   Discussion with Professors at IIM Ranchi
              •   Secondary research from internet and databases (ISI Emerging,
                  Proquest, EBSCO & Indiastat, CRISIL)


        Quantitative

              • On field survey (2 MW Solar Plant)
              • Technical associates Ltd. , Sandauli, Barabanki, U.P.
              • EPC Contractor was Mahindra EPC


        Critical & Action Oriented

              • Cost – Benefit analysis for Solar park (300 MW)
              • Gujarat case study Analysis


                                                                                  3
Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi                 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
About NSM
                                         EPC in
                                          India
Traversing The Mahindra EPC Value




                                         Objectives
               Chain




                                           Case
                                         Recommen
                                           dations
                                           Appendix
                                          [8]
                                          [8]
                                        4
             Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Roles of an EPC




                                                                                                               About NSM
                        Regulatory Authority                          Utility/PPA



        Financing
                                                  Project Developer                    Project Consultant




                                                                                                             EPC in
                                                                                                              India
   Institutions/Banks


          Module/Equipment                              EPC                        BoS Suppliers
              Supplier                                Company




                                                                                                             Objectives
                                                                                                               Case
                                         Consulting             Consulting




                                                                                                             Recommen
                                                                                                               dations
          Vendors for                 Solar Offerings          Cliental Offering        Operation &
         Procurement               (On-Grid + Off-Grid)            & Access             Maintenance



                                                           Data




                                                                                                               Appendix
                                                        Accumulate

Source: Interactions with PV developers and industry experts
                                                                                                              [8]
                                                                                                              [8]
                                                                                                            5
                                          Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
The Mahindra Advantage




                                                                                                           About NSM
Track record of executing successful projects                        On-time completion
   • Jodhpur – 5MW (completed)                                        record is a critical
   • Lucknow – 2MW (completed)                                        factor for project




                                                                                                         EPC in
   • Jodhpur – 33MW (under construction)




                                                                                                          India
                                                                          financing
   • Bikaner – 23 MW (under construction)




                                                                                                         Objectives
                                                                                                           Case
                                                          Synergies with Mahindra sister companies
                                                             • Mahindra Construction Equipment:
                Potential mutual                                For construction equipment
                cost-optimization                            • MaCE: Engineering Consulting
                                                             • Mahindra Logistics: Logistics support




                                                                                                         Recommen
                                                                                                           dations
                                                             • Mahindra Finance: Currently, primarily
                                                                in rural financing



Mahindra Group’s financial strength to avoid stoppage of work due to




                                                                                                           Appendix
                          working capital
                                                                                                          [8]
                                                                                                          [8]
                                                                                                        6
                                        Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
EPC Companies Are Facing
                Several Challenges




                                                                                               About NSM
                                   Solar technology is not considered for project finance
                                    funding – Substantial fund requirement with limited
                                                       banking facility




                                                                                             EPC in
                                                                                              India
                                     Competitive bidding drove prices for grid-connected
  Issues                            solar energy to INR7.49 – Race for cost reduction has
                                                led to compromise in quality
   With
 Solar EPC




                                                                                             Objectives
                                                                                               Case
Companies                             New technology – Shortage of skilled manpower



                                          Financial closure, land procurement and




                                                                                             Recommen
                                       development reduces project execution time –




                                                                                               dations
                                                   Compromising quality


                                      Grid connectivity is delayed sometimes by as long
                                        as 12 months in certain cases – losses for EPC
                                                           contractor




                                                                                               Appendix
                                                                                              [8]
                                                                                              [8]
                                                                                            7
                     Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Case Study Objectives




                                                                      About NSM
                  How should Mahindra EPC scale up the




                                                                    EPC in
                                                                     India
                 business?


Reforming




                                                                      Objective-1
                    How should Mahindra EPC become the
Mahindra            preferred player for solar power developers?
   EPC




                                                                    Recommen
                 What Differentiated Offering can be made by




                                                                      dations
                 Mahindra EPC?




                                                                      Appendix
                                                                     [8]
                                                                     [8]
                                                                   8
                   Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
About NSM
            Recommendation 1




                                       EPC in
                                        India
 Mahindra EPC should consider
backward integration to optimize




                                         Objective-1
    cost and be future-ready




                                       Recommen
                                        dation - 1
                                          Appendix
                                        [8]
                                        [8]
                                      9
           Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Analyzing the scope of vertical
                     integration for cost optimization




                                                                                                                                             About NSM
Forward Integration: Already existing in the form of                                           No Scope
              Mahindra Solar One.

   Backward Integration

Domestic Content Requirement




                                                                                                                                           EPC in
                                                                                                                                            India
Anti-Dumping Duties
                                                                                             Opportunities




                                                                                                                                             Objective-1
Market for INR1.6 worth modules by 2022



     Indian Suppliers to EPC Companies
                                  Solar
                Moser Baer        Semiconductor




                                                                                                                                           Recommen
                                                                                                                                            dation - 1
                                                                                                    Mahindra EPC
            Topsun Solar         Titan Energy                                                         generating
                                                                                                    synergies from
         IndoSolar      PLG Power                                                                      backward
                                                                                                      integration
                BEL     BHEL      Lanco Solar




                                                                                                                                              Appendix
        Source: Expert Interviews, Lanco, India Solar Compass, BridgeToIndia, October 2012 edition; Indian solar manufacturers ask for
        anti-dumping duties of up to 200%, PV Magazine; Business Today
                                                                                                                                            [8]
                                                                                                                                            [8]
                                                                                                                                         10
                                                 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Threat from existing Module
                                Manufacturers




                                                                                                                                             About NSM
  Backward Integration

                 Modules                             Inverters                   Balance of Systems

                                                   Inverters used in solar              Used to account for only 10-
                China dominates 70%                  plants are same as                    15% of the total cost




                                                                                                                                           EPC in
                of the global module                    used in other




                                                                                                                                            India
                       market                       conventional power                  With recent decline in other
                                                           plants                          cost components BoS
                                                                                        contribution is touching 40%

                  Costs have fallen                 Existing players have
                                                                                       Does not make much sense in
                down by more than                   been in the industry
                                                                                        investing resources in this
                half in last two years                   for decades




                                                                                                                                             Objective-1
                                                                                        activity as components are
                                                                                        diverse (civil costs, cables,
                                                                                          labor component, steel
                                                       Very difficult to
                                                                                        structures) and difficult to
                Looks to be a difficult              compete with such
                                                                                                 consolidate
                solution at this point                existing players in
                       in time                      terms of technology
                                                        as well as cost




                                                                                                                                           Recommen
                                                                                                                                            dation - 1
Threat from local module manufacturers entering EPC space
• Vikram Solar – Projects pipeline of 40MW for module supply and EPC under batch two of phase
   one of the NSM and the Gujarat Solar Policy.
• Lanco Solar – Providing EPC for Gas Authority of India Ltd. (GAIL), is expected to use its own
   modules.




                                                                                                                                              Appendix
        Source: Expert Interviews, Lanco, India Solar Compass, BridgeToIndia, October 2012 edition; Indian solar manufacturers ask for
        anti-dumping duties of up to 200%, PV Magazine; Business Today
                                                                                                                                            [8]
                                                                                                                                            [8]
                                                                                                                                         11
                                                 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
MEPC: Wait for Clarity on Regulatory
                      Front and go for Phased Integration




                                                                                                                    About NSM
                              Poly Silicon           Ingot & Wafer                Cells                Module

Margins                  ~ 50%                    ~20%                     >10%                   ~7-10%




                                                                                                                  EPC in
                                                                                                                   India
Investments              US $ 0.75                US $ 0.5 to 0.75         ~ US $ 1               ~US $
                         million/MW               million /MW              million/MW             100k/MW

Optimum Scale of         700 – 1000 MW            80 – 100 MW              30 – 50 MW             10 – 20 MW
Investment               ($560 - $800             ($45 - $60               ($30 - $ 50 million)   ($1 - $2




                                                                                                                    Objective-1
                         million)                 million)                                        million)

Project timeline         2.5-3 years              1-2 years                ~ 1 year               4-6 months

Cost Drivers             Electricity,             CAPEX, Raw               Raw materials,         Raw
                         CAPEX                    materials &              R&D                    materials




                                                                                                                  Recommen
                                                                                                                   dation - 1
                                                  Consumables

                       Decent margins, provides entry
                       point for future expansion, low
                           CAPEX, smaller project




                                                                                                                     Appendix
                                   timelines

          Source: Solar PV Manufacturing, EAI
                                                                                                                   [8]
                                                                                                                   [8]
                                                                                                                12
                                                Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Case Study Objectives




                                                                     About NSM
                 How should Mahindra EPC scale up the




                                                                   EPC in
                                                                    India
                business?


Reforming




                                                                     Objective-2
                  How should Mahindra EPC become the
Mahindra          preferred player for solar power developers?
   EPC




                                                                   Recommen
                What Differentiated Offering can be made by




                                                                     dations
                Mahindra EPC?




                                                                     Appendix
                                                                    [8]
                                                                    [8]
                                                                 13
                  Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
About NSM
     Recommendation 2




                                  EPC in
                                   India
OFF-GRID & ON-GRID




                                    Objective-2
 A Franchise Model




                                  Recommen
                                   dation - 2
                                     Appendix
                                   [8]
                                   [8]
                                14
     Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Current Market is Dominated by
                          Local Players




                                                                                                           About NSM
                                         Current Allocation under Phase 1 – Batch 2
                                                      Total capacity: 340 MW


• As Per JNNSM, Batch II - Phase I                                     50
  data, The major EPC contracts were




                                                                                                         EPC in
                                                                                      50




                                                                                                          India
  raked up by the Local EPC Players.           185
                                                                                      35
                                                                               20
• Mahindra acquired only 14.7% of the




                                                                                                           Objective-2
  total contracts.
                                           Mahindra     Welspun       Azure         L&T    Others



  Reasons Quoted By Clients For Low Turnover Of Contracts




                                                                                                         Recommen
                    For Mahindra EPC




                                                                                                          dation - 2
                                Perceived Stringent                      Perceived loss of
Lack Of Local Presence Of
                                 Processes Affects                      bargaining power by
      Mahindra EPC
                                  Approachability                           developers




                                                                                                            Appendix
                                                                                                         [8]
                                                                                                         [8]
                                                                                                    15
Leveraging Mahindra’s Off grid
      for On-grid Solution




                                                                   About NSM
                          Huge demand of
                               SEZs
   Regions
lacking in grid                                      Telecom




                                                                 EPC in
 connectivity                                         Towers




                                                                  India
                          Sales center




                                                                   Objective-2
           OFF-GRID
          ADVANTAGE

                                        OFFSETTING ON-




                                                                 Recommen
                                                                  dation -2
                                       GRID DISADVANTAGE




    Franchisee Model: Regional Sales Offices




                                                                   Appendix
Common outlet for Off-Grid & On-Grid Sales Support
                                                                  [8]
                                                                  [8]
                                                               16
                      Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
About NSM
         Recommendation 3




                                      EPC in
                                       India
Big Data Meets Solar Energy




                                        Objective-2
                                      Recommen
                                       dation -3
                                        Appendix
                                       [8]
                                       [8]
                                    17
         Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Lack of Information made Solar
          Investments Risky in Phase 1




                                                                               About NSM
                         Without a proven track
                                record
Reverse bidding
leading to under                                     High interest




                                                                             EPC in
                                                                              India
 pricing of bids                                     rate in India
                              Risky
                           Investments




                                                                               Objective-2
                         Lack of Information on




                                                                             Recommen
                                                                              dation -3
Project Development         Project Deployment       Project Performance




                                                                               Appendix
                   Banks were reluctant to lend funds                         [8]
                                                                           18
                                                                              [8]
                          Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Data Monitoring: A Value-added
                      Service




                                                                                                    About NSM
                                                       Absence of
                                                       data in pre-
                                     Delayed




                                                                                                  EPC in
                                                        bid stage




                                                                                                   India
                                     Financial
Lack of data                          Closure


                                                 Long lead in
                                                  equipment




                                                                                                    Objective-2
                                                 procurement




                                                                                                  Recommen
                                                                                                   dation -3
                           Urgent need for data monitoring and
                          data accumulation – maintaining a Solar
                                     data depository




                                                                                                    Appendix
     •   Data would be accumulated directly from the solar plants
     •   Value added services to the clients – Long term relationship with prospective client
     •   Easier loan sanctions – Scientifically estimated bid for solar tenders                    [8]
                                                                                                   [8]
     •   Data can be sold to other solar plants for analysis                                    19
                                  Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Advantages of Data repository




                                                                                                                About NSM
                                                EPC
        System
      Components
                                System                      System
                                                                                         O&M
                              Installation               Commissioning




                                                                                                              EPC in
                                                                                                               India
  Data Model :                                                                         Contractor
  •   Proposal Preparation                                        Maintenance
  •   On-site Equipment                                            Services
      Provision
  •   Web Portal                                                         Accurately & timely




                                                                                                                Objective-2
      Customization                                                      Information about
  •   Support &
                                      Data Repository                        Plant Status
      Maintenance

                                                                                        Data Industry
                                                                                      Solar Plant Base
                                                             Security




                                                                                                              Recommen
                                                                                                               dation -3
Maintenance                  Solar Plant                     Related
& Upgrades                   Monitoring                       Events



              Solar Plant                    Insurance                           Security
                Owner                        Company                            Company




                                                                                                                Appendix
                                                                                                              [8]
                                                                                                              [8]
                                                                                                         31
Roles of an EPC




                                                                                                 About NSM
               Regulatory Authority                   Utility/PPA



     Financing
                                 Project Developer                      Project Consultant




                                                                                               EPC in
                                                                                                India
Institutions/Banks


    Module/Equipment                    EPC                         BoS Suppliers
        Supplier                      Company




                                                                                               Objectives
                                                                                                 Case
                          Consulting             Consulting




                                                                                               Recommen
                                                                                                 dations
     Vendors for        Solar Offerings         Cliental Offering        Operation &
    Procurement       (On-Grid + Off-Grid)          & Access             Maintenance



                                          Data




                                                                                                 Appendix
                                       Accumulate
                                                                                                [8]
                                                                                                [8]
                                                                                             21
                           Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Case Study Objectives




                                                                     About NSM
                 How should Mahindra EPC scale up the




                                                                   EPC in
                                                                    India
                business?


Reforming




                                                                     Objective-3
                  How should Mahindra EPC become the
Mahindra          preferred player for solar power developers?
   EPC




                                                                   Recommen
                What Differentiated Offering can be made by




                                                                     dations
                Mahindra EPC?




                                                                     Appendix
                                                                    [8]
                                                                    [8]
                                                                 22
                   Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
About NSM
    Recommendation 4




                                EPC in
                                 India
C(‘onsulting)EPC




                                  Objective-3
Thinking Ahead




                                Recommen
                                 dation-4
                                  Appendix
                                 [8]
                                 [8]
                              23
   Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
CEPC over EPC




                                                                                                       About NSM
CEPC : Consulting, Engineering, Procurement & Construction




                                                                                                     EPC in
                    • Ensures early entry for Mahindra along the value chain




                                                                                                      India
                    • Better relationship with the clients
                    • The same team can be further expanded to convert clients for REC




                                                                                                       Objective-3
 REC brings scores of business opportunities:

                                                                             By PPA
                                                                                       Through




                                                                                                     Recommen
                                                                                       Allotment




                                                                                                      dation-4
                                       State Govt.          Meet RPO
    Central          Imposed
                                       and captive
  Government                                                Requirement
                        RPO              Power                                By REC
                                                                                       Through
                                                                                       Trading




                                                                                                       Appendix
         Source: Renewable Energy certificate registry of India Website
                                                                                                      [8]
                                                                                                      [8]
                                                                                                   24
                                                  Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Opportunity Assessment &
                                               Challenges




                                                                                                                                  About NSM
State            2010‐11   2011‐12   2012‐13   2013‐14   2014‐15     2015‐16
Kerala           27.4      29.1      31.0      66.5      71.1        75.7
Gujarat          109.8     237.7     515.5     695.1     894.9       1115.1
Maharashtra      159.6     181.0     192.9     411.4     436.9       462.4
Uttar Pradesh    98.0      214.0     466.9     629.9     811.4       1011.3
Bihar            17.3      20.2      23.3      52.6      58.6        64.7                     • Penalties imposed on States




                                                                                                                                EPC in
                                                                                                                                 India
Haryana          47.8      52.1      56.7      61.4      66.1        70.8                       for not complying with
Delhi
Punjab
                 39.9
                 67.0
                           86.3
                           146.0
                                     139.9
                                     238.4
                                               203.5
                                               341.0
                                                         275.5
                                                         455.3
                                                                     330.7
                                                                     581.1
                                                                                        1       obligated RPO’s
Rajasthan        66.2      142.4     230.1     330.4     442.6       566.6
Karnataka        73.0      157.6     255.9     374.9     510.8       663.6
Andhra pradesh   121.6     266.5     437.2     639.4     869.8       1128.4




                                                                                                                                  Objective-3
West Bengal      53.9      114.9     184.2     268.6     364.6       472.0                    • Bankability of products
Madhya Pradesh   62.2      133.7     216.0     312.7     421.7       543.0                      without PPA in question
Chhattisgarh     26.5      58.0      95.1      140.0     191.4       249.4              2
Total            1467      2780      4550      6740      8729        10980




                                                                                                                                Recommen
                                                                                              • For a Market driven




                                                                                                                                 dation-4
             Requirement of Solar                                                               phenomenon feasibility is
             capacity in MW in                                                          3       difficult to access.
             different states of the
             country to meet the RPO.




                                                                                                                                  Appendix
                      Source: Renewable Energy certificate registry of India Website
                                                                                                                                 [8]
                                                                                                                                 [8]
                                                                                                                              25
                                                                   Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
About NSM
          Recommendation 5




                                      EPC in
                                       India
       Solar Parks




                                        Objective-3
Ready To Sell Power Plants




                                      Recommen
                                       dation-5
                                        Appendix
                                       [8]
                                       [8]
                                    26
         Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Current Issues With Staggered
                 Power Plants under JNNSM




                                                          About NSM
 Targeted Capacity by




                                                        EPC in
                                                         India
2022 in National Solar
Mission : 20,000 MW




                                                          Objective-3
  Average Capacity
 targeted per State :
      690 MW




                                                        Recommen
                                                         dation-5
For an average 5 MW
  Plant, Number Of
Plants per State : 138




                                                          Appendix
    Source: MNRE website
                                                         [8]
                                                         [8]
                                                      27
                           Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Surmounting The Challenges




                                                                                                        About NSM
                              A New Model For Mahindra EPC

Construct Big Solar Parks of 300MW capacity and sublet them in modules of




                                                                                                      EPC in
                             5-10-20 MW to SPVs




                                                                                                       India
                                                                                                        Objective-3
                                                                                                      Recommen
                                                                                                       dation-5
                                 CONNECTING TO THE      WATER AVAILABILITY   GAS, SEWERAGE, ROADS
          LAND AVAILABILITY
                                       GRID                   ISSUE               AND FENCING




                                                                                                        Appendix
                                                                                                       [8]
                                                                                                       [8]
                                                                                                    28
                                     Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Cost – Benefit analysis of Solar
                                  park (300 MW)




                                                                                                                                                       About NSM
                                                                                                    EPC Installation Cost

• Mahindra would be the sole ONM                                             7
                                                                             6




                                                  EPC setup cost (Crs INR)
  contractor                                                                 5
                                                                                      Cost is INR 6.36 crores/MW
     — Reduced cost (Man power                                               4
        per MW would reduce)                                                 3




                                                                                                                                                     EPC in
                                                                                                                                                      India
                                                                             2
• Over and above ONM                                                         1
  contract, cost reduction of 24.6%                                          0
  per 5 MW setup




                                                                                                                                                       Objective-3
          Cost for 5 MW plant – INR 4,138 lakhs                                              Cost for 300 MW plant – INR 3,121 lakhs for 5 MW
                               1%

                             5%                                                                                       4% 1%
                        8%                                                                                          5%




                                                                                                                                                     Recommen
                                                                                                                                                      dation-5
                   9%                                                                                               6%
                                                                                 Reduction in overall
                                                                                        cost

                                         77%                                                                                    84%

 Solar Plant




                                                                                                                                                       Appendix
 Civil works
 Evacuation Cost                                                                                    Assuming current tariffs, break-even can be
 Preliminary and Preoperative Expenses
 Land
                                                                                                    achieved by selling 134 MW in a 300 MW setup
                                                                                                                                                      [8]
                                                                                                                                                      [8]
                 For a solar park, all other costs exceptIguanas, IIM Ranchi significantly reduced                                                 29
                                                   Team ‘Solar Plant’ with get
Cost Benefit sheet for Solar Parks in Rajasthan




                                                                                                                                                                                                        About NSM
       Total Savings                        24.57%
       Break Even point (no. of 5 MW plant)     27
                                                                                                                                                         Synergy - Cost reduction
       Break Even point (MW)                               134                            Margins                                                        for Modules
                                                                                           Only 5% for cost reduction
       Barren land cost (Lakhs INR)                            2                                 for developer                                                          75%
       Land requirement for 1 MW (Acre)                        4
                                                                                                                                                         Cost savings in Civil,




                                                                                                                                                                                                      EPC in
       Cost savings in Civil, Evacuation                                                                                                                 Evacuation and




                                                                                                                                                                                                       India
       and preliminary costs                               50%                                                                                           preliminary costs                      50%

                    Break Even analysis                                  Total cost for 5 MW                                           Total Cost for 300 MW
       Cost (Lakhs INR)                                                        Components (Lakhs INR)
                                                                                         Cost                                                 Components (Lakhs INR)
                                                                                                                                                        Cost
       Fixed costs turnkey                                                     Land and Infrastructure                      40                Land and Infrastructure                   2400
       Land and Infrastructure                                40               Civil and General Works                389.895                 Civil and General Works               11696.85
       Civil and General Works                           389.895               Solar Plant                               3180                 Solar Plant                             157350




                                                                                                                                                                                                        Objective-3
       Evacuation Cost                                    312.75               Evacuation Cost                          312.75                Evacuation Cost                          9382.5
       Preliminary and Preoperative Expenses              215.45               Preliminary and Preoperative Expenses    215.45                Preliminary and Preoperative Expenses 6463.5
       Total fixed costs turnkey                         958.095               Total                                 4,138.10                 Total                              1,87,292.85
       Margin for Solar plant                                159
                Total returns for 5 MW plant            1117.095                                                                              Effective Cost for 5 MW              3,121.55


       Fixed Cost                                       29942.85
                                                                     Solar Plant Cost for 1 MW                                      Solar Plant Cost for 300 MW
       Break Even Point                             26.80421092               Components (Lakhs INR)
                                                                                         Cost                                                 Components (Lakhs INR)
                                                                                                                                                         Cost
       Total Power (MW)                             134.0210546               Polysilicon                                  40                 Polysilicon                             12000




                                                                                                                                                                                                      Recommen
                                                                              Wafer                                        50                 Wafer                                   15000




                                                                                                                                                                                                       dation-5
                                                                              Cell                                         30                 Cell                                     9000
                                                                              Module                                       70                 Module                                  21000
                                                                              Inverter                                     30                 Inverter                                 6750
                                                                              Other                                       260                 Other                                   58500
                                                                              Installation                                156                 Installation                            35100
                                                                              Total                                       636                 Total                                1,57,350


                                                                   Sensitivity
                                                                    Analysis                                              Synergy - Cost Reduction
                                                                                  65.0%                               70.00%             75.0%     80%                                85.0%




                                                                                                                                                                                                        Appendix
                                                                       40.0%     32.17%                               29.48%            26.78% 24.09%                                21.40%
                                               Cost savings in
                                                                      45.00%     31.06%                               28.37%            25.67% 22.98%                                20.29%
                                               Civil, Evacuation
                                               and preliminary
                                                      costs
                                                                         50%
                                                                       55.0%
                                                                       60.0%
                                                                                 29.95%
                                                                                 28.85%
                                                                                 27.74%
                                                                                                                      27.26%
                                                                                                                      26.15%
                                                                                                                      25.04%
                                                                                                                                        24.57% 21.87%
                                                                                                                                        23.46% 20.76%
                                                                                                                                        22.35% 19.65%
                                                                                                                                                                                     19.18%
                                                                                                                                                                                     18.07%
                                                                                                                                                                                     16.96%
                                                                                                                                                                                                     [8]
                                                                                                                                                                                                     [8]
                                                                                                                                                                                                  30
Proposed Process For Solar Plant




                                                                                                              About NSM
                                  CERTAINTY TO DEVELOPER




                                                                                                            EPC in
                                                                                                             India
                                                                 Construct          Automatic loss of
                                                                immediately            allocation
                                No Financial Closure        following Financial




                                                                                                              Objective-3
                                                                  Closure                 When
Rapid In-Principle                    leads to
Allocation Process                                                     but         not constructed in a
                                 Automatic Loss of                                      reasonable
                                    Allocation             Site Clearance if the        timeframe
                                                               project is not
                                                                completed.




                                                                                                            Recommen
                                                                                                             dation-5
                                 BENEFITS TO Mahindra EPC




                                                                                                              Appendix
         Source: NREL Website
                                                                                                             [8]
                                                                                                             [8]
                                                                                                          31
                                            Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Executive Summary




                                                          About NSM
             Big Data

Short Term




                                                        EPC in
                                                         India
                Off grid and On grid




                                                          Objective-3
                   ‘C’onsulting EPC
Med- Term

                        Backward Integration




                                                        Recommen
                                                         dation-5
Long Term                  Solar Parks




                                                          Appendix
                                                         [8]
                                                         [8]
                                                      32
                           Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Thank you for your time and attention!


      Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
         Cleantech (MEPC)
Recommen
                                                      [8]
                                                      [8]




            EPC in
About NSM                Objective              Appendix
             India                     dation
                                                   34
                     Appendix




                                                           Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Opportunity Assessment




                                                                        About NSM
  Grid                       RPO-




                                                                      EPC in
                                                                       India
 Parity                      REC




                                                                      Objectives
                                                                        Case
Telecom
                              Land
 Sector




                                                                      Recommen
                                                                        dations
                                                                        Appendix
     Source: Bridge to India, as in                                   [8]
     October 2012
                                                                 35
                                      Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
About NSM
Targets For Solar Energy Production Under JNNSM

            Target Fixed and Achievements Made for Development of Solar Energy under Jawaharlal Nehru
                                             National Solar Mission




                                                                                                                                        EPC in
                                                                                                                                         India
Application                PhaseI (2010-          Achievement             Achievement             Phase II (2013- Phase III (2017-
Segment                    13E)                   (2010-11)               (2011-12)               17E)            21E)
On-Grid                    1,100 MW               802 MW                  1,152 MW                4,000 - 10,000 MW
                                                                                                                  20,000 MW




                                                                                                                                        Objectives
Off-Grid                   200 MW                 41 MW                   118 MW                  1,000 MW        2,000 MW




                                                                                                                                          Case
Solar Collectors           7 mm m2                4.5 mm m2               5.5 mm m2               15 mm m2           20 mm m2

   Targets For Solar Energy Production Under JNSM
            12                                                                  Conventional Tariff (base)         Solar Power cost




                                                                                                                                        Recommen
                                                                                                                                          dations
            10
             8
 INR/Unit




             6                                                                                                      Grid Parity
             4                                                                                                     expected by
                                                                                                                     2018-19




                                                                                                                                          Appendix
             2
             0
                 2010-11    2011-12      2012-13     2013-14      2014-15      2015-16       2016-17   2017-18   2018-19   2019-20
                                                                                                                                         [8]
                                                                                                                                         [8]
                                                                                                                                      36
                           Source: Bridge to India, as in October 2012 Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
                                                                Team
Diversification In Emerging Markets: Why The Conventional




                                                                                                                             About NSM
                 Definition And Strategy May Not Be Applicable
               Diversification in                        Diversification is justified if
              Developed Markets                          •    The company is the best owner of the business
        In developed markets, unrelated                  •    There is a synergy between existing and new




                                                                                                                           EPC in
                                                                                                                            India
        diversification is thought to be                      businesses
        value destroying
                                                         Diversification is justified because
         Diversification In Emerging                     •    Large conglomerates typically have the resources and




                                                                                                                             Objective
                                                              relationships needed to navigate the maze of
                  Markets
                                                              government regulations
        Emerging markets have different                  •    Large conglomerates are more attractive to potential
        dynamics as         compared to                       managers because they offer greater career
        developed markets and thus                            development opportunities




                                                                                                                           Recommen
        diversification and synergy have                 •    Large conglomerates have economic benefits that don’t




                                                                                                                             dation
        different connotations                                exist in the developed world, especially in infra sector



        The diversification decision should not be based on the synergies only. Mahindra




                                                                                                                             Appendix
          EPC can diversify based on the opportunities available
                                                                                                                            [8]
                                                                                                                            [8]
                                                                                                                         37
Source: McKinsey on Finance Number 42, Winter 2012   Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
About NSM
   Further reduction in bid prices is not sustainable at current interest rates
            Sensitivity analysis of project IRR with Tariff and Interest Rates

                                                              Interest Rate




                                                                                                           EPC in
                                                                                                            India
                                         13%      12%          11%          10%        9%       8%

                                  7.5     9.20%    9.70%        10.30%        10.90%   11.50%   12.10%
                                  7.75   10.00%   10.60%        11.20%        11.70%   12.30%   13.00%




                                                                                                             Objective
                                   8     10.80%   11.40%        12.00%        12.60%   13.20%   13.90%
               Tariff (Rs/unit)




                                  8.25   11.60%   12.20%        12.80%        13.40%   14.10%   14.80%
                                  8.5    12.40%   13.00%        13.60%        14.30%   15.00%   15.70%




                                                                                                           Recommen
                                  8.75   13.30%   13.90%        14.50%        15.20%   15.90%   16.60%




                                                                                                             dation
                                   9     14.60%   15.00%        15.70%        16.40%   17.20%   17.90%
                                  9.25   14.90%   15.50%        16.20%        17.00%   17.70%   18.50%
                                  9.5    15.70%   16.40%        17.10%        17.90%   18.70%   19.50%




                                                                                                             Appendix
                                                                                                            [8]
                                                                                                            [8]
                                                                                                         38
Source: Crisil Research                                 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
CEPC for Renewable Energy Certificates




                                                                About NSM
 A picture of the portal which is used to trade REC’s :




                                                              EPC in
                                                               India
                                                                Objective
                                                              Recommen
                                                                dation
                                                                Appendix
                                                               [8]
                                                               [8]
                                                            39
                                 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
About NSM
         Current State
         Power Deficit
         Magnifies the




                                                                                      EPC in
                                                                                       India
         role Of Solar
         Farms in This
            Regard




                                                                                        Objective
                                                                                      Recommen
                                                                                        dation
                                                                                        Appendix
                                                                                       [8]
                                                                                       [8]
                                                                                    40
Source: IndiaStat.com, electrical power datasheet’2011
                                                         Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Gujarat Case Study




                                                                                                                        About NSM
     Lost Opportunity:

 •       963MW of solar PPAs had been executed but only 175 MW could meet the deadline of Dec
         31, 2011 for achieving COD




                                                                                                                      EPC in
                                                                                                                       India
 •       128 MW awaiting transmission connectivity – no deemed generation in PPAs
 •       Also failed to forecast volatility of solar panel prices




                                                                                                                        Objective
     Risks that were ignored or not
     appreciated:                                                EPC Risks identified:
     •     Failure to achieve financial closure                  •    Land aggregation




                                                                                                                      Recommen
     •     Logistics issues were not appreciated -               •    R&R and local community sensitivities




                                                                                                                        dation
           land aggregation and transmission                     •    Land registration and conversion
     •     Completely overlooked the significant                 •    Financing
           financial impact on retail tariffs
                                                                 •    Technology and Execution risks were minimal




                                                                                                                        Appendix
                                                                                                                       [8]
                                                                                                                       [8]
                                                                                                                    41
                                                  Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
DCR : A Proven Model




                                                      About NSM
                                                    EPC in
                                                     India
                                                      Objective
                                                    Recommen
                                                      dation
                                                      Appendix
                                                     [8]
                                                     [8]
                                                  42
                       Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Solar Related Data Collection Data to a Parametr... forhttp://www.iasdm.org/journals/index.php/ijaec/article/view/39
                                   Collection Model      Enhanced Efficiency




                                                                                                                                                                             About NSM
    IJAEC - Linking Detailed Solar




               HOME        ABOUT   LOG IN       REGISTER    NEWS AND EVENTS       SEARCH      CURRENT ISSUE       ALL ISSUES     AEC FORUM
                                                                                                                                                 USER




                                                                                                                                                                           EPC in
                                                                                                                                                                            India
               Home > Linking Detailed Solar Collection Data to a Parametric Model for Accurate Performance Analysis Throughout the Design
               Process                                                                                                                           Username
                                                                                                                                                 Password
                  Title:             Linking Detailed Solar Collection Data to a Parametric Model for Accurate                                      Remember me

                                                                                                                                                  Log In
                                     Performance Analysis Throughout the Design Process
                                                                                                                                                 JOURNAL INFO
                  Authors:           Anton C. Harfmann (School of Architecture and Interior Design, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio
                                     45221, United States).                                                                                          Editorial Board
                                                                                                                                                     Contact Us
                  Issue:             Vol 1, No 1 (2012)




                                                                                                                                                                             Objective
                  Pages:             37-46                                                                                                       READERS

                  Section:           Research Paper                                                                                                  Make a Search
                                                                                                                                                     View Contents
                  DOI:               10.7492/IJAEC.2012.004                                                                                          Recommend to a
                                                                                                                                                     Friend/Library
                  Citation:          Anton C. Harfmann (2012). "Linking Detailed Solar Collection Data to a Parametric Model for Accurate
                                     Performance Analysis Throughout the Design Process." International Journal of Architecture, Engineering
                                                                                                                                                 AUTHORS
                                     and Construction, 1(1), 37-46.
                                                                                                                                                     Submit an Article
                  Publisher:         International Association for Sustainable Development and Management (IASDM)
                                                                                                                                                     Guide for Authors
                  Abstract:          The paper summarizes the efforts of an elective design studio in which a parametric model was linked to
                                     detailed energy output data in order to provide accurate feedback about building performance                EDITORS




                                                                                                                                                                           Recommen
                                     throughout the entire process of design. Photovoltaic collection data was downloaded from the National
                                                                                                                                                     Guide for Editors
                                     Renewable Energy Laboratories (NREL) and linked directly to alternative configurations of designs




                                                                                                                                                                             dation
                                                                                                                                                     Invitation for
                                     produced in SolidWorks. Microsoft Excel provided the direct link between the model and data where               English Language
                                     students were able to augment the SolidWorks Excel output to include calculations that referenced the           Editors
                                     NREL data. The program from the 2009 Solar Decathlon competition served as the program for the
                                     investigation and provided a constraint-rich environment for developing parametric models. The class        REVIEWERS
                                     also utilized morphological analysis to identify 13 different forms to develop and analyze. The resulting
                                                                                                                                                     Guide for
                                     parametric models and analysis provided a focused introduction to design methods, parametric
                                                                                                                                                     Reviewers
                                     modeling and solar energy design.

                  Keywords:          Parametric model, PVWATTS calculator, SolidWorks Excel output, building performance.

                  Full Text:         PDF HTML




                                                                                                                                                                             Appendix
               Copyright © 2011 - 2012 by IASDM                                                                                                  Disclaimer                 [8]
                                                                                                                                                                            [8]
                                                                                                                                                                         43
                                                                              Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Cost Efficiency




                                                                                  About NSM
                                                                                EPC in
                                                                                 India
                                                         BOS Cost Reduction




                                                                                  Objective
                                                                                Recommen
                                                                                  dation
        Operation Cost Reduction




                                                                                  Appendix
                                                                                 [8]
                                                                                 [8]
                                                                              44
                              Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
Other Recommendations




                                                                                             About NSM
•   Mahindra EPC can tie up with foreign companies to acquire new technologies and
    build competencies in the domestic market




                                                                                           EPC in
                                                                                            India
•   Mahindra EPC can experiment with new BoS in initial years. Role of BoS can be a
    crucial one for plant efficiency

•   Mahindra EPC can also look for EPC opportunities abroad to develop a comprehensive




                                                                                             Objective
    domestic strategy with learnings from foreign exposure.

•   Mahindra EPC can experiment with the best EPC models prevailing globally –
    LSTK, BoS-EPC, etc. – to finalize upon the best EPC model for India.




                                                                                           Recommen
                                                                                             dation
                                                                                             Appendix
                                                                                            [8]
                                                                                            [8]
                                                                                         45
                                       Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi

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Mahindra War Room 2012 Grand Finale

  • 1. Business Strategy for Cleantech (MEPC) Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi Cleantech (MEPC)
  • 2. Case Study Objectives What Differentiated Offering can be made by Mahindra EPC ? Reforming How should Mahindra EPC become the Mahindra preferred player for solar power developers? EPC How should Mahindra EPC scale up the business ? 2 [8] Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 3. Research Methodology Qualitative • Telephonic interview with Company executives from Rays Power Infra, FirstGreen Consulting, MINDA NexGentech • Discussion with Professors at IIM Ranchi • Secondary research from internet and databases (ISI Emerging, Proquest, EBSCO & Indiastat, CRISIL) Quantitative • On field survey (2 MW Solar Plant) • Technical associates Ltd. , Sandauli, Barabanki, U.P. • EPC Contractor was Mahindra EPC Critical & Action Oriented • Cost – Benefit analysis for Solar park (300 MW) • Gujarat case study Analysis 3 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 4. About NSM EPC in India Traversing The Mahindra EPC Value Objectives Chain Case Recommen dations Appendix [8] [8] 4 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 5. Roles of an EPC About NSM Regulatory Authority Utility/PPA Financing Project Developer Project Consultant EPC in India Institutions/Banks Module/Equipment EPC BoS Suppliers Supplier Company Objectives Case Consulting Consulting Recommen dations Vendors for Solar Offerings Cliental Offering Operation & Procurement (On-Grid + Off-Grid) & Access Maintenance Data Appendix Accumulate Source: Interactions with PV developers and industry experts [8] [8] 5 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 6. The Mahindra Advantage About NSM Track record of executing successful projects On-time completion • Jodhpur – 5MW (completed) record is a critical • Lucknow – 2MW (completed) factor for project EPC in • Jodhpur – 33MW (under construction) India financing • Bikaner – 23 MW (under construction) Objectives Case Synergies with Mahindra sister companies • Mahindra Construction Equipment: Potential mutual For construction equipment cost-optimization • MaCE: Engineering Consulting • Mahindra Logistics: Logistics support Recommen dations • Mahindra Finance: Currently, primarily in rural financing Mahindra Group’s financial strength to avoid stoppage of work due to Appendix working capital [8] [8] 6 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 7. EPC Companies Are Facing Several Challenges About NSM Solar technology is not considered for project finance funding – Substantial fund requirement with limited banking facility EPC in India Competitive bidding drove prices for grid-connected Issues solar energy to INR7.49 – Race for cost reduction has led to compromise in quality With Solar EPC Objectives Case Companies New technology – Shortage of skilled manpower Financial closure, land procurement and Recommen development reduces project execution time – dations Compromising quality Grid connectivity is delayed sometimes by as long as 12 months in certain cases – losses for EPC contractor Appendix [8] [8] 7 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 8. Case Study Objectives About NSM How should Mahindra EPC scale up the EPC in India business? Reforming Objective-1 How should Mahindra EPC become the Mahindra preferred player for solar power developers? EPC Recommen What Differentiated Offering can be made by dations Mahindra EPC? Appendix [8] [8] 8 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 9. About NSM Recommendation 1 EPC in India Mahindra EPC should consider backward integration to optimize Objective-1 cost and be future-ready Recommen dation - 1 Appendix [8] [8] 9 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 10. Analyzing the scope of vertical integration for cost optimization About NSM Forward Integration: Already existing in the form of No Scope Mahindra Solar One. Backward Integration Domestic Content Requirement EPC in India Anti-Dumping Duties Opportunities Objective-1 Market for INR1.6 worth modules by 2022 Indian Suppliers to EPC Companies Solar Moser Baer Semiconductor Recommen dation - 1 Mahindra EPC Topsun Solar Titan Energy generating synergies from IndoSolar PLG Power backward integration BEL BHEL Lanco Solar Appendix Source: Expert Interviews, Lanco, India Solar Compass, BridgeToIndia, October 2012 edition; Indian solar manufacturers ask for anti-dumping duties of up to 200%, PV Magazine; Business Today [8] [8] 10 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 11. Threat from existing Module Manufacturers About NSM Backward Integration Modules Inverters Balance of Systems Inverters used in solar Used to account for only 10- China dominates 70% plants are same as 15% of the total cost EPC in of the global module used in other India market conventional power With recent decline in other plants cost components BoS contribution is touching 40% Costs have fallen Existing players have Does not make much sense in down by more than been in the industry investing resources in this half in last two years for decades Objective-1 activity as components are diverse (civil costs, cables, labor component, steel Very difficult to structures) and difficult to Looks to be a difficult compete with such consolidate solution at this point existing players in in time terms of technology as well as cost Recommen dation - 1 Threat from local module manufacturers entering EPC space • Vikram Solar – Projects pipeline of 40MW for module supply and EPC under batch two of phase one of the NSM and the Gujarat Solar Policy. • Lanco Solar – Providing EPC for Gas Authority of India Ltd. (GAIL), is expected to use its own modules. Appendix Source: Expert Interviews, Lanco, India Solar Compass, BridgeToIndia, October 2012 edition; Indian solar manufacturers ask for anti-dumping duties of up to 200%, PV Magazine; Business Today [8] [8] 11 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 12. MEPC: Wait for Clarity on Regulatory Front and go for Phased Integration About NSM Poly Silicon Ingot & Wafer Cells Module Margins ~ 50% ~20% >10% ~7-10% EPC in India Investments US $ 0.75 US $ 0.5 to 0.75 ~ US $ 1 ~US $ million/MW million /MW million/MW 100k/MW Optimum Scale of 700 – 1000 MW 80 – 100 MW 30 – 50 MW 10 – 20 MW Investment ($560 - $800 ($45 - $60 ($30 - $ 50 million) ($1 - $2 Objective-1 million) million) million) Project timeline 2.5-3 years 1-2 years ~ 1 year 4-6 months Cost Drivers Electricity, CAPEX, Raw Raw materials, Raw CAPEX materials & R&D materials Recommen dation - 1 Consumables Decent margins, provides entry point for future expansion, low CAPEX, smaller project Appendix timelines Source: Solar PV Manufacturing, EAI [8] [8] 12 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 13. Case Study Objectives About NSM How should Mahindra EPC scale up the EPC in India business? Reforming Objective-2 How should Mahindra EPC become the Mahindra preferred player for solar power developers? EPC Recommen What Differentiated Offering can be made by dations Mahindra EPC? Appendix [8] [8] 13 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 14. About NSM Recommendation 2 EPC in India OFF-GRID & ON-GRID Objective-2 A Franchise Model Recommen dation - 2 Appendix [8] [8] 14 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 15. Current Market is Dominated by Local Players About NSM Current Allocation under Phase 1 – Batch 2 Total capacity: 340 MW • As Per JNNSM, Batch II - Phase I 50 data, The major EPC contracts were EPC in 50 India raked up by the Local EPC Players. 185 35 20 • Mahindra acquired only 14.7% of the Objective-2 total contracts. Mahindra Welspun Azure L&T Others Reasons Quoted By Clients For Low Turnover Of Contracts Recommen For Mahindra EPC dation - 2 Perceived Stringent Perceived loss of Lack Of Local Presence Of Processes Affects bargaining power by Mahindra EPC Approachability developers Appendix [8] [8] 15
  • 16. Leveraging Mahindra’s Off grid for On-grid Solution About NSM Huge demand of SEZs Regions lacking in grid Telecom EPC in connectivity Towers India Sales center Objective-2 OFF-GRID ADVANTAGE OFFSETTING ON- Recommen dation -2 GRID DISADVANTAGE Franchisee Model: Regional Sales Offices Appendix Common outlet for Off-Grid & On-Grid Sales Support [8] [8] 16 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 17. About NSM Recommendation 3 EPC in India Big Data Meets Solar Energy Objective-2 Recommen dation -3 Appendix [8] [8] 17 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 18. Lack of Information made Solar Investments Risky in Phase 1 About NSM Without a proven track record Reverse bidding leading to under High interest EPC in India pricing of bids rate in India Risky Investments Objective-2 Lack of Information on Recommen dation -3 Project Development Project Deployment Project Performance Appendix Banks were reluctant to lend funds [8] 18 [8] Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 19. Data Monitoring: A Value-added Service About NSM Absence of data in pre- Delayed EPC in bid stage India Financial Lack of data Closure Long lead in equipment Objective-2 procurement Recommen dation -3 Urgent need for data monitoring and data accumulation – maintaining a Solar data depository Appendix • Data would be accumulated directly from the solar plants • Value added services to the clients – Long term relationship with prospective client • Easier loan sanctions – Scientifically estimated bid for solar tenders [8] [8] • Data can be sold to other solar plants for analysis 19 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 20. Advantages of Data repository About NSM EPC System Components System System O&M Installation Commissioning EPC in India Data Model : Contractor • Proposal Preparation Maintenance • On-site Equipment Services Provision • Web Portal Accurately & timely Objective-2 Customization Information about • Support & Data Repository Plant Status Maintenance Data Industry Solar Plant Base Security Recommen dation -3 Maintenance Solar Plant Related & Upgrades Monitoring Events Solar Plant Insurance Security Owner Company Company Appendix [8] [8] 31
  • 21. Roles of an EPC About NSM Regulatory Authority Utility/PPA Financing Project Developer Project Consultant EPC in India Institutions/Banks Module/Equipment EPC BoS Suppliers Supplier Company Objectives Case Consulting Consulting Recommen dations Vendors for Solar Offerings Cliental Offering Operation & Procurement (On-Grid + Off-Grid) & Access Maintenance Data Appendix Accumulate [8] [8] 21 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 22. Case Study Objectives About NSM How should Mahindra EPC scale up the EPC in India business? Reforming Objective-3 How should Mahindra EPC become the Mahindra preferred player for solar power developers? EPC Recommen What Differentiated Offering can be made by dations Mahindra EPC? Appendix [8] [8] 22 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 23. About NSM Recommendation 4 EPC in India C(‘onsulting)EPC Objective-3 Thinking Ahead Recommen dation-4 Appendix [8] [8] 23 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 24. CEPC over EPC About NSM CEPC : Consulting, Engineering, Procurement & Construction EPC in • Ensures early entry for Mahindra along the value chain India • Better relationship with the clients • The same team can be further expanded to convert clients for REC Objective-3 REC brings scores of business opportunities: By PPA Through Recommen Allotment dation-4 State Govt. Meet RPO Central Imposed and captive Government Requirement RPO Power By REC Through Trading Appendix Source: Renewable Energy certificate registry of India Website [8] [8] 24 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 25. Opportunity Assessment & Challenges About NSM State 2010‐11 2011‐12 2012‐13 2013‐14 2014‐15 2015‐16 Kerala 27.4 29.1 31.0 66.5 71.1 75.7 Gujarat 109.8 237.7 515.5 695.1 894.9 1115.1 Maharashtra 159.6 181.0 192.9 411.4 436.9 462.4 Uttar Pradesh 98.0 214.0 466.9 629.9 811.4 1011.3 Bihar 17.3 20.2 23.3 52.6 58.6 64.7 • Penalties imposed on States EPC in India Haryana 47.8 52.1 56.7 61.4 66.1 70.8 for not complying with Delhi Punjab 39.9 67.0 86.3 146.0 139.9 238.4 203.5 341.0 275.5 455.3 330.7 581.1 1 obligated RPO’s Rajasthan 66.2 142.4 230.1 330.4 442.6 566.6 Karnataka 73.0 157.6 255.9 374.9 510.8 663.6 Andhra pradesh 121.6 266.5 437.2 639.4 869.8 1128.4 Objective-3 West Bengal 53.9 114.9 184.2 268.6 364.6 472.0 • Bankability of products Madhya Pradesh 62.2 133.7 216.0 312.7 421.7 543.0 without PPA in question Chhattisgarh 26.5 58.0 95.1 140.0 191.4 249.4 2 Total 1467 2780 4550 6740 8729 10980 Recommen • For a Market driven dation-4 Requirement of Solar phenomenon feasibility is capacity in MW in 3 difficult to access. different states of the country to meet the RPO. Appendix Source: Renewable Energy certificate registry of India Website [8] [8] 25 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 26. About NSM Recommendation 5 EPC in India Solar Parks Objective-3 Ready To Sell Power Plants Recommen dation-5 Appendix [8] [8] 26 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 27. Current Issues With Staggered Power Plants under JNNSM About NSM Targeted Capacity by EPC in India 2022 in National Solar Mission : 20,000 MW Objective-3 Average Capacity targeted per State : 690 MW Recommen dation-5 For an average 5 MW Plant, Number Of Plants per State : 138 Appendix Source: MNRE website [8] [8] 27 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 28. Surmounting The Challenges About NSM A New Model For Mahindra EPC Construct Big Solar Parks of 300MW capacity and sublet them in modules of EPC in 5-10-20 MW to SPVs India Objective-3 Recommen dation-5 CONNECTING TO THE WATER AVAILABILITY GAS, SEWERAGE, ROADS LAND AVAILABILITY GRID ISSUE AND FENCING Appendix [8] [8] 28 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 29. Cost – Benefit analysis of Solar park (300 MW) About NSM EPC Installation Cost • Mahindra would be the sole ONM 7 6 EPC setup cost (Crs INR) contractor 5 Cost is INR 6.36 crores/MW — Reduced cost (Man power 4 per MW would reduce) 3 EPC in India 2 • Over and above ONM 1 contract, cost reduction of 24.6% 0 per 5 MW setup Objective-3 Cost for 5 MW plant – INR 4,138 lakhs Cost for 300 MW plant – INR 3,121 lakhs for 5 MW 1% 5% 4% 1% 8% 5% Recommen dation-5 9% 6% Reduction in overall cost 77% 84% Solar Plant Appendix Civil works Evacuation Cost Assuming current tariffs, break-even can be Preliminary and Preoperative Expenses Land achieved by selling 134 MW in a 300 MW setup [8] [8] For a solar park, all other costs exceptIguanas, IIM Ranchi significantly reduced 29 Team ‘Solar Plant’ with get
  • 30. Cost Benefit sheet for Solar Parks in Rajasthan About NSM Total Savings 24.57% Break Even point (no. of 5 MW plant) 27 Synergy - Cost reduction Break Even point (MW) 134 Margins for Modules Only 5% for cost reduction Barren land cost (Lakhs INR) 2 for developer 75% Land requirement for 1 MW (Acre) 4 Cost savings in Civil, EPC in Cost savings in Civil, Evacuation Evacuation and India and preliminary costs 50% preliminary costs 50% Break Even analysis Total cost for 5 MW Total Cost for 300 MW Cost (Lakhs INR) Components (Lakhs INR) Cost Components (Lakhs INR) Cost Fixed costs turnkey Land and Infrastructure 40 Land and Infrastructure 2400 Land and Infrastructure 40 Civil and General Works 389.895 Civil and General Works 11696.85 Civil and General Works 389.895 Solar Plant 3180 Solar Plant 157350 Objective-3 Evacuation Cost 312.75 Evacuation Cost 312.75 Evacuation Cost 9382.5 Preliminary and Preoperative Expenses 215.45 Preliminary and Preoperative Expenses 215.45 Preliminary and Preoperative Expenses 6463.5 Total fixed costs turnkey 958.095 Total 4,138.10 Total 1,87,292.85 Margin for Solar plant 159 Total returns for 5 MW plant 1117.095 Effective Cost for 5 MW 3,121.55 Fixed Cost 29942.85 Solar Plant Cost for 1 MW Solar Plant Cost for 300 MW Break Even Point 26.80421092 Components (Lakhs INR) Cost Components (Lakhs INR) Cost Total Power (MW) 134.0210546 Polysilicon 40 Polysilicon 12000 Recommen Wafer 50 Wafer 15000 dation-5 Cell 30 Cell 9000 Module 70 Module 21000 Inverter 30 Inverter 6750 Other 260 Other 58500 Installation 156 Installation 35100 Total 636 Total 1,57,350 Sensitivity Analysis Synergy - Cost Reduction 65.0% 70.00% 75.0% 80% 85.0% Appendix 40.0% 32.17% 29.48% 26.78% 24.09% 21.40% Cost savings in 45.00% 31.06% 28.37% 25.67% 22.98% 20.29% Civil, Evacuation and preliminary costs 50% 55.0% 60.0% 29.95% 28.85% 27.74% 27.26% 26.15% 25.04% 24.57% 21.87% 23.46% 20.76% 22.35% 19.65% 19.18% 18.07% 16.96% [8] [8] 30
  • 31. Proposed Process For Solar Plant About NSM CERTAINTY TO DEVELOPER EPC in India Construct Automatic loss of immediately allocation No Financial Closure following Financial Objective-3 Closure When Rapid In-Principle leads to Allocation Process but not constructed in a Automatic Loss of reasonable Allocation Site Clearance if the timeframe project is not completed. Recommen dation-5 BENEFITS TO Mahindra EPC Appendix Source: NREL Website [8] [8] 31 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 32. Executive Summary About NSM Big Data Short Term EPC in India Off grid and On grid Objective-3 ‘C’onsulting EPC Med- Term Backward Integration Recommen dation-5 Long Term Solar Parks Appendix [8] [8] 32 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 33. Thank you for your time and attention! Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi Cleantech (MEPC)
  • 34. Recommen [8] [8] EPC in About NSM Objective Appendix India dation 34 Appendix Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 35. Opportunity Assessment About NSM Grid RPO- EPC in India Parity REC Objectives Case Telecom Land Sector Recommen dations Appendix Source: Bridge to India, as in [8] October 2012 35 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 36. About NSM Targets For Solar Energy Production Under JNNSM Target Fixed and Achievements Made for Development of Solar Energy under Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission EPC in India Application PhaseI (2010- Achievement Achievement Phase II (2013- Phase III (2017- Segment 13E) (2010-11) (2011-12) 17E) 21E) On-Grid 1,100 MW 802 MW 1,152 MW 4,000 - 10,000 MW 20,000 MW Objectives Off-Grid 200 MW 41 MW 118 MW 1,000 MW 2,000 MW Case Solar Collectors 7 mm m2 4.5 mm m2 5.5 mm m2 15 mm m2 20 mm m2 Targets For Solar Energy Production Under JNSM 12 Conventional Tariff (base) Solar Power cost Recommen dations 10 8 INR/Unit 6 Grid Parity 4 expected by 2018-19 Appendix 2 0 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 [8] [8] 36 Source: Bridge to India, as in October 2012 Iguanas, IIM Ranchi Team
  • 37. Diversification In Emerging Markets: Why The Conventional About NSM Definition And Strategy May Not Be Applicable Diversification in Diversification is justified if Developed Markets • The company is the best owner of the business In developed markets, unrelated • There is a synergy between existing and new EPC in India diversification is thought to be businesses value destroying Diversification is justified because Diversification In Emerging • Large conglomerates typically have the resources and Objective relationships needed to navigate the maze of Markets government regulations Emerging markets have different • Large conglomerates are more attractive to potential dynamics as compared to managers because they offer greater career developed markets and thus development opportunities Recommen diversification and synergy have • Large conglomerates have economic benefits that don’t dation different connotations exist in the developed world, especially in infra sector The diversification decision should not be based on the synergies only. Mahindra Appendix EPC can diversify based on the opportunities available [8] [8] 37 Source: McKinsey on Finance Number 42, Winter 2012 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 38. About NSM Further reduction in bid prices is not sustainable at current interest rates Sensitivity analysis of project IRR with Tariff and Interest Rates Interest Rate EPC in India 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7.5 9.20% 9.70% 10.30% 10.90% 11.50% 12.10% 7.75 10.00% 10.60% 11.20% 11.70% 12.30% 13.00% Objective 8 10.80% 11.40% 12.00% 12.60% 13.20% 13.90% Tariff (Rs/unit) 8.25 11.60% 12.20% 12.80% 13.40% 14.10% 14.80% 8.5 12.40% 13.00% 13.60% 14.30% 15.00% 15.70% Recommen 8.75 13.30% 13.90% 14.50% 15.20% 15.90% 16.60% dation 9 14.60% 15.00% 15.70% 16.40% 17.20% 17.90% 9.25 14.90% 15.50% 16.20% 17.00% 17.70% 18.50% 9.5 15.70% 16.40% 17.10% 17.90% 18.70% 19.50% Appendix [8] [8] 38 Source: Crisil Research Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 39. CEPC for Renewable Energy Certificates About NSM A picture of the portal which is used to trade REC’s : EPC in India Objective Recommen dation Appendix [8] [8] 39 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 40. About NSM Current State Power Deficit Magnifies the EPC in India role Of Solar Farms in This Regard Objective Recommen dation Appendix [8] [8] 40 Source: IndiaStat.com, electrical power datasheet’2011 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 41. Gujarat Case Study About NSM Lost Opportunity: • 963MW of solar PPAs had been executed but only 175 MW could meet the deadline of Dec 31, 2011 for achieving COD EPC in India • 128 MW awaiting transmission connectivity – no deemed generation in PPAs • Also failed to forecast volatility of solar panel prices Objective Risks that were ignored or not appreciated: EPC Risks identified: • Failure to achieve financial closure • Land aggregation Recommen • Logistics issues were not appreciated - • R&R and local community sensitivities dation land aggregation and transmission • Land registration and conversion • Completely overlooked the significant • Financing financial impact on retail tariffs • Technology and Execution risks were minimal Appendix [8] [8] 41 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 42. DCR : A Proven Model About NSM EPC in India Objective Recommen dation Appendix [8] [8] 42 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 43. Solar Related Data Collection Data to a Parametr... forhttp://www.iasdm.org/journals/index.php/ijaec/article/view/39 Collection Model Enhanced Efficiency About NSM IJAEC - Linking Detailed Solar HOME ABOUT LOG IN REGISTER NEWS AND EVENTS SEARCH CURRENT ISSUE ALL ISSUES AEC FORUM USER EPC in India Home > Linking Detailed Solar Collection Data to a Parametric Model for Accurate Performance Analysis Throughout the Design Process Username Password Title: Linking Detailed Solar Collection Data to a Parametric Model for Accurate Remember me Log In Performance Analysis Throughout the Design Process JOURNAL INFO Authors: Anton C. Harfmann (School of Architecture and Interior Design, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio 45221, United States). Editorial Board Contact Us Issue: Vol 1, No 1 (2012) Objective Pages: 37-46 READERS Section: Research Paper Make a Search View Contents DOI: 10.7492/IJAEC.2012.004 Recommend to a Friend/Library Citation: Anton C. Harfmann (2012). "Linking Detailed Solar Collection Data to a Parametric Model for Accurate Performance Analysis Throughout the Design Process." International Journal of Architecture, Engineering AUTHORS and Construction, 1(1), 37-46. Submit an Article Publisher: International Association for Sustainable Development and Management (IASDM) Guide for Authors Abstract: The paper summarizes the efforts of an elective design studio in which a parametric model was linked to detailed energy output data in order to provide accurate feedback about building performance EDITORS Recommen throughout the entire process of design. Photovoltaic collection data was downloaded from the National Guide for Editors Renewable Energy Laboratories (NREL) and linked directly to alternative configurations of designs dation Invitation for produced in SolidWorks. Microsoft Excel provided the direct link between the model and data where English Language students were able to augment the SolidWorks Excel output to include calculations that referenced the Editors NREL data. The program from the 2009 Solar Decathlon competition served as the program for the investigation and provided a constraint-rich environment for developing parametric models. The class REVIEWERS also utilized morphological analysis to identify 13 different forms to develop and analyze. The resulting Guide for parametric models and analysis provided a focused introduction to design methods, parametric Reviewers modeling and solar energy design. Keywords: Parametric model, PVWATTS calculator, SolidWorks Excel output, building performance. Full Text: PDF HTML Appendix Copyright © 2011 - 2012 by IASDM Disclaimer [8] [8] 43 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 44. Cost Efficiency About NSM EPC in India BOS Cost Reduction Objective Recommen dation Operation Cost Reduction Appendix [8] [8] 44 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi
  • 45. Other Recommendations About NSM • Mahindra EPC can tie up with foreign companies to acquire new technologies and build competencies in the domestic market EPC in India • Mahindra EPC can experiment with new BoS in initial years. Role of BoS can be a crucial one for plant efficiency • Mahindra EPC can also look for EPC opportunities abroad to develop a comprehensive Objective domestic strategy with learnings from foreign exposure. • Mahindra EPC can experiment with the best EPC models prevailing globally – LSTK, BoS-EPC, etc. – to finalize upon the best EPC model for India. Recommen dation Appendix [8] [8] 45 Team Iguanas, IIM Ranchi