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What Do We Really Know?
 Examining Research into
  K-12 Online Learning

      Michael K. Barbour
        Assistant Professor
      Wayne State University
2
Literature Reviews
1. Rice (2006)
  – Journal of Research on Technology in
     Education


1. Barbour & Reeves (2009)
  – Computers and Education

1. Cavanaugh, Barbour, & Clark (2009)
  – International Review of Research in Open
What does the literature say?
• “based upon the personal experiences of
  those involved in the practice of virtual
  schooling” (Cavanaugh et al., 2009)

• described the literature as generally falling
  into one of two general categories: the
  potential benefits of and challenges facing K-
  12 online learning (Barbour & Reeves, 2009)
What about research?
• “a paucity of research exists when
  examining high school students enrolled
  in virtual schools, and the research base
  is smaller still when the population of
  students is further narrowed to the
  elementary grades”

                               (Rice, 2006)
What does the research say?
1. Comparisons of student performance based upon
   delivery model (i.e., classroom vs. online)
2. Studies examining the qualities and characteristics
   of the teaching/learning experience
   – characteristics of
   – supports provided to
   – issues related to isolation of online learners (Rice, 2006)

1. Effectiveness of virtual schooling
2. Student readiness and retention issues (Cavanaugh
   et al., 2009)
So, what does the student
performance research say?
Student Performance
• performance of virtual
  and classroom students
  in Alberta were similar
  in English and Social
  Studies courses, but
  that classroom students
  performed better
  overall in all other
  subject areas (Ballas &
  Belyk, 2000)
Student Performance
• over half of the students who
  completed FLVS courses
  scored an A in their course and
  only 7% received a failing
  grade (Bigbie & McCarroll,
  2000)

• students in the six virtual
  schools in three different
  provinces performed no worse
  than the students from the
  three conventional schools
  (Barker & Wendel, 2001)
Student Performance
• FLVS students performed
  better on a non-mandatory
  assessment tool than students
  from the traditional classroom
  (Cavanaugh et al., 2005)

• FLVS students performed
  better on an assessment of
  algebraic understanding than
  their classroom counterparts
  (McLeod et al., 2005)
Barbour & Mulcahy (2008)
Barbour & Mulcahy (2009)
Let’s look a little closer...
Students and Student Performance
Ballas &      performance of virtual and    participation rate in the
Belyk, 2000   classroom students similar    assessment among virtual
              in English & Social Studies   students ranged from 65% to
              courses, but classroom        75% compared to 90% to
              students performed better     96% for the classroom-based
              in all other subject areas    students


Bigbie &      over half of the students     between 25% and 50% of
McCarroll,    who completed FLVS            students had dropped out
2000          courses scored an A in        of their FLVS courses over
              their course and only 7%      the previous two-year
              received a failing grade      period
Students and Student Performance
Cavanaugh et FLVS students performed      speculated that the virtual
al., 2005    better on a non-             school students who did
             mandatory assessment         take the assessment may
             tool than students from      have been more
             the traditional classroom    academically motivated and
                                          naturally higher achieving
                                          students

McLeod et    FLVS students performed      results of the student
al., 2005    better on an assessment      performance were due to
             of algebraic understanding   the high dropout rate in
             than their classroom         virtual school courses
             counterparts
Student Performance and Students



So are we really
comparing apples to
apples?
The Students
• the vast majority of VHS
  Global Consortium students
  in their courses were
  planning to attend a
  four-year college (Kozma,
  Zucker & Espinoza, 1998)


• “VHS courses are
  predominantly designated as
  ‘honors,’ and students
  enrolled are mostly college
  bound” (Espinoza et al., 1999)
The Students

The preferred characteristics
include the highly motivated,
self-directed, self-disciplined,
independent learner who
could read and write well,
and who also had a strong
interest in or ability with
technology (Haughey &
Muirhead, 1999)
The Students
• “only students with a high
  need to control and structure
  their own learning may
  choose distance formats
  freely” (Roblyer & Elbaum,
  2000)

• IVHS students were “highly
  motivated, high achieving,
  self-directed and/or who liked
  to work independently” (Clark
  et al., 2002)
The Students
• the typical online student
  was an A or B student
  (Mills, 2003)

• 45% of the students who
  participated in e-learning
  opportunities in Michigan
  were “either advanced
  placement or
  academically advanced”
  students (Watkins, 2005)
But does this represent all of
    our online students?
Student Reality???
• two courses with the highest enrollment of online
  students in the US are Algebra I & Algebra II
  (Patrick, 2007)
• largest proportion of growth in K–12 online
  learning enrollment is with full-time cyber schools
  (Watson et al., 2008)
• many cyber schools have a higher percentage of
  students classified as “at-risk” (Klein, 2006)
• at-risk students are as those who might otherwise
  drop out of traditional schools (Rapp, Eckes &
  Plurker, 2006)
Literature
indicates K-12
online learning
students are...
Reality of most or
a large segment
K-12 online
learning
students?
Mulcahy, Dibbon and Norberg (2008)
• study of rural schooling in
  three schools on the south
  coast of the Labrador

• found two had a higher
  percentage of students
  enrolled in basic-level courses

• speculated because the only
  way students could do
  academic course at their
  school was online, some
  students specifically chose the
  basic stream to avoid taking an
  online course
Enrollment - English Language Arts
Enrollment - Mathematics
Problem With Student
 Performance Studies
Cavanaugh (2001)
• Allen & Thompson (1995)      • Libler (1991)
• Blanton et al. (1997)        • Martin & Rainey (1993)
• Burkman (1994)               • McBride (1990)
• Center for Applied Special   • Riel (1990)
                               • Rudolf (1986)
  Technology (1996)
                               • Ryan (1996)
• Erickson (1992)
                               • Sisung (1992)
• Gray (1996)
                               • Smith (1990)
• Hinnant (1994)
                               • Wick (1997)
Problem of Effect Sizes




Reverse
Effects
Problem of Effect Sizes



Developmental
Effects
Problem of Effect Sizes

    Teacher
    Effects
Problem of Effect Sizes


                    Zone of
                    Desired Effects
Synthesis of Meta-Analysis
• Cavanaugh (2001) - 16 studies
  – +0.147 in favor of K-12 distance education

• Cavanaugh et al. (2004) - 14 studies
  – -0.028 for K-12 distance education

• Means et al. (2009) - 46 studies (5 on K-12)
  – +0.24 favoring online over face-to-face
  – +0.35 favoring blended over face-to-face*
Results of Interest
• Second and third chance programs (d=0.50)
• Matching style of learning (d=0.40)
• Computer assisted instruction (d=0.37)
• Decreasing disruptive behavior (d=0.34)
• Programmed instruction (d=0.24)
• Individualized instruction (d=0.23)
• Class size (d=0.21)
• Charter schools (d=0.20)
• Web-based learning (d=0.18)
• Home-school programs (d=0.16)
• Teacher training (d=0.11)
• Teacher subject matter knowledge (d=0.09)
• Distance education (d=0.09)
• Student control over learning (d=0.04)
                                              35
Results to Consider
•   Self-reported grades (d=1.44)
•   Piagetian programs (d=1.28)
•   Providing formative evaluation (d=0.90)
•   Micro teaching (d=0.88)
•   Acceleration (d=0.88)
•   Classroom behavioral (d=0.80)
•   Comprehensive interventions for learning disabled students (d=0.78)
•   Teacher clarity (d=0.75)
•   Reciprocal teaching (d=0.74)
•   Providing feedback (d=0.73)
•   Teacher-student relationships (d=0.72)
•   Spaced vs. mass practice (d=0.71)
•   Meta-cognitive strategies (d=0.69)
•   Prior achievement (d=0.67)
•   Vocabulary programs (d=0.67
What about the other research?
Problematic Research
Online         7 principles of    Interviews with teachers and course
Course         effective online   developers at a single virtual school,
Design         course content     with no verification of whether the
               for adolescent     interviewees’ perceptions were actually
Barbour        learners           effective or any student input at all for
(2005; 2007)                      that matter.


Online         37 best            Interviews with teachers at a single
Teaching       practices in       virtual school selected by the virtual
               asynchronous       school itself. Their teachers’ beliefs
DiPietro et    online teaching    were not validated through observation
al. (2008)                        of the teaching or student performance.
Is there a better way?
Design-Based Research




                   Reeves (2006)
Virtual High School Global Consortium
 • first annual evaluation
   – Kozma, Zucker &
     Espinoza, 1998

 • focused specifically on
   the seven goals set by
   VHS
 • identified five areas to
   focus on for future
   practice
Virtual High School Global Consortium
 • second annual
   evaluation
   – Espinoza, Dove, Zucker
     & Kozma, 1999

 • again focused
   specifically on the
   seven goals set by VHS
 • identified three areas
   to focus on for future
   practice
Virtual High School Global Consortium
 • third annual evaluation
   – Kozma, Zucker,
     Espinoza, McGhee,
     Yarnall & Zalles, 2000

 • re-examined status of
   last year’s evaluation
   finding
 • focused upon only one
   of the seven goals set
   by VHS
Virtual High School Global Consortium
 • content-specific
   investigations
   – Yamashiro & Zucker, 1999


 • examined quality of
   netcourses offered by
   VHS
 • developed standards for
   future course
   development
Virtual High School Global Consortium
 • content-specific
   investigations
   – Elbaum, McIntyre &
     Smith, 2002

 • seventeen essential
   elements for online
   teaching
 • written by VHS staff
Virtual High School Global Consortium
 • final evaluation
   – Zucker & Kozma, 2003


 • examined students,
   teachers,
   administrators
   perceptions of the
   program
 • outlined successes and
   areas to focus on for
   future years
The Challenge

Whether online
 learning can
 be suitable for
 all K-12
 students?
 (Mulcahy, 2002)
United States
• 40,000 - 50,000 in 2001
• ~4,000,000 in 2010

Canada
• 10,000 - 15,000 in 1999
• ~185,000 in 2010
United States - 7.2% of all
 students

Canada - 4.2% of all
  students
Your
Questions
  and
Comments
Assistant Professor
     Wayne State University, USA
        mkbarbour@gmail.com
   http://www.michaelbarbour.com
http://virtualschooling.wordpress.com

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MUN 2011 - What Do We Really Know? Examining Research into K-12 Online Learning

  • 1. What Do We Really Know? Examining Research into K-12 Online Learning Michael K. Barbour Assistant Professor Wayne State University
  • 2. 2
  • 3. Literature Reviews 1. Rice (2006) – Journal of Research on Technology in Education 1. Barbour & Reeves (2009) – Computers and Education 1. Cavanaugh, Barbour, & Clark (2009) – International Review of Research in Open
  • 4. What does the literature say? • “based upon the personal experiences of those involved in the practice of virtual schooling” (Cavanaugh et al., 2009) • described the literature as generally falling into one of two general categories: the potential benefits of and challenges facing K- 12 online learning (Barbour & Reeves, 2009)
  • 5. What about research? • “a paucity of research exists when examining high school students enrolled in virtual schools, and the research base is smaller still when the population of students is further narrowed to the elementary grades” (Rice, 2006)
  • 6. What does the research say? 1. Comparisons of student performance based upon delivery model (i.e., classroom vs. online) 2. Studies examining the qualities and characteristics of the teaching/learning experience – characteristics of – supports provided to – issues related to isolation of online learners (Rice, 2006) 1. Effectiveness of virtual schooling 2. Student readiness and retention issues (Cavanaugh et al., 2009)
  • 7. So, what does the student performance research say?
  • 8. Student Performance • performance of virtual and classroom students in Alberta were similar in English and Social Studies courses, but that classroom students performed better overall in all other subject areas (Ballas & Belyk, 2000)
  • 9. Student Performance • over half of the students who completed FLVS courses scored an A in their course and only 7% received a failing grade (Bigbie & McCarroll, 2000) • students in the six virtual schools in three different provinces performed no worse than the students from the three conventional schools (Barker & Wendel, 2001)
  • 10. Student Performance • FLVS students performed better on a non-mandatory assessment tool than students from the traditional classroom (Cavanaugh et al., 2005) • FLVS students performed better on an assessment of algebraic understanding than their classroom counterparts (McLeod et al., 2005)
  • 13. Let’s look a little closer...
  • 14. Students and Student Performance Ballas & performance of virtual and participation rate in the Belyk, 2000 classroom students similar assessment among virtual in English & Social Studies students ranged from 65% to courses, but classroom 75% compared to 90% to students performed better 96% for the classroom-based in all other subject areas students Bigbie & over half of the students between 25% and 50% of McCarroll, who completed FLVS students had dropped out 2000 courses scored an A in of their FLVS courses over their course and only 7% the previous two-year received a failing grade period
  • 15. Students and Student Performance Cavanaugh et FLVS students performed speculated that the virtual al., 2005 better on a non- school students who did mandatory assessment take the assessment may tool than students from have been more the traditional classroom academically motivated and naturally higher achieving students McLeod et FLVS students performed results of the student al., 2005 better on an assessment performance were due to of algebraic understanding the high dropout rate in than their classroom virtual school courses counterparts
  • 16. Student Performance and Students So are we really comparing apples to apples?
  • 17. The Students • the vast majority of VHS Global Consortium students in their courses were planning to attend a four-year college (Kozma, Zucker & Espinoza, 1998) • “VHS courses are predominantly designated as ‘honors,’ and students enrolled are mostly college bound” (Espinoza et al., 1999)
  • 18. The Students The preferred characteristics include the highly motivated, self-directed, self-disciplined, independent learner who could read and write well, and who also had a strong interest in or ability with technology (Haughey & Muirhead, 1999)
  • 19. The Students • “only students with a high need to control and structure their own learning may choose distance formats freely” (Roblyer & Elbaum, 2000) • IVHS students were “highly motivated, high achieving, self-directed and/or who liked to work independently” (Clark et al., 2002)
  • 20. The Students • the typical online student was an A or B student (Mills, 2003) • 45% of the students who participated in e-learning opportunities in Michigan were “either advanced placement or academically advanced” students (Watkins, 2005)
  • 21. But does this represent all of our online students?
  • 22. Student Reality??? • two courses with the highest enrollment of online students in the US are Algebra I & Algebra II (Patrick, 2007) • largest proportion of growth in K–12 online learning enrollment is with full-time cyber schools (Watson et al., 2008) • many cyber schools have a higher percentage of students classified as “at-risk” (Klein, 2006) • at-risk students are as those who might otherwise drop out of traditional schools (Rapp, Eckes & Plurker, 2006)
  • 24. Reality of most or a large segment K-12 online learning students?
  • 25. Mulcahy, Dibbon and Norberg (2008) • study of rural schooling in three schools on the south coast of the Labrador • found two had a higher percentage of students enrolled in basic-level courses • speculated because the only way students could do academic course at their school was online, some students specifically chose the basic stream to avoid taking an online course
  • 26. Enrollment - English Language Arts
  • 28. Problem With Student Performance Studies
  • 29. Cavanaugh (2001) • Allen & Thompson (1995) • Libler (1991) • Blanton et al. (1997) • Martin & Rainey (1993) • Burkman (1994) • McBride (1990) • Center for Applied Special • Riel (1990) • Rudolf (1986) Technology (1996) • Ryan (1996) • Erickson (1992) • Sisung (1992) • Gray (1996) • Smith (1990) • Hinnant (1994) • Wick (1997)
  • 30. Problem of Effect Sizes Reverse Effects
  • 31. Problem of Effect Sizes Developmental Effects
  • 32. Problem of Effect Sizes Teacher Effects
  • 33. Problem of Effect Sizes Zone of Desired Effects
  • 34. Synthesis of Meta-Analysis • Cavanaugh (2001) - 16 studies – +0.147 in favor of K-12 distance education • Cavanaugh et al. (2004) - 14 studies – -0.028 for K-12 distance education • Means et al. (2009) - 46 studies (5 on K-12) – +0.24 favoring online over face-to-face – +0.35 favoring blended over face-to-face*
  • 35. Results of Interest • Second and third chance programs (d=0.50) • Matching style of learning (d=0.40) • Computer assisted instruction (d=0.37) • Decreasing disruptive behavior (d=0.34) • Programmed instruction (d=0.24) • Individualized instruction (d=0.23) • Class size (d=0.21) • Charter schools (d=0.20) • Web-based learning (d=0.18) • Home-school programs (d=0.16) • Teacher training (d=0.11) • Teacher subject matter knowledge (d=0.09) • Distance education (d=0.09) • Student control over learning (d=0.04) 35
  • 36. Results to Consider • Self-reported grades (d=1.44) • Piagetian programs (d=1.28) • Providing formative evaluation (d=0.90) • Micro teaching (d=0.88) • Acceleration (d=0.88) • Classroom behavioral (d=0.80) • Comprehensive interventions for learning disabled students (d=0.78) • Teacher clarity (d=0.75) • Reciprocal teaching (d=0.74) • Providing feedback (d=0.73) • Teacher-student relationships (d=0.72) • Spaced vs. mass practice (d=0.71) • Meta-cognitive strategies (d=0.69) • Prior achievement (d=0.67) • Vocabulary programs (d=0.67
  • 37. What about the other research?
  • 38. Problematic Research Online 7 principles of Interviews with teachers and course Course effective online developers at a single virtual school, Design course content with no verification of whether the for adolescent interviewees’ perceptions were actually Barbour learners effective or any student input at all for (2005; 2007) that matter. Online 37 best Interviews with teachers at a single Teaching practices in virtual school selected by the virtual asynchronous school itself. Their teachers’ beliefs DiPietro et online teaching were not validated through observation al. (2008) of the teaching or student performance.
  • 39. Is there a better way?
  • 40. Design-Based Research Reeves (2006)
  • 41.
  • 42. Virtual High School Global Consortium • first annual evaluation – Kozma, Zucker & Espinoza, 1998 • focused specifically on the seven goals set by VHS • identified five areas to focus on for future practice
  • 43. Virtual High School Global Consortium • second annual evaluation – Espinoza, Dove, Zucker & Kozma, 1999 • again focused specifically on the seven goals set by VHS • identified three areas to focus on for future practice
  • 44. Virtual High School Global Consortium • third annual evaluation – Kozma, Zucker, Espinoza, McGhee, Yarnall & Zalles, 2000 • re-examined status of last year’s evaluation finding • focused upon only one of the seven goals set by VHS
  • 45. Virtual High School Global Consortium • content-specific investigations – Yamashiro & Zucker, 1999 • examined quality of netcourses offered by VHS • developed standards for future course development
  • 46. Virtual High School Global Consortium • content-specific investigations – Elbaum, McIntyre & Smith, 2002 • seventeen essential elements for online teaching • written by VHS staff
  • 47. Virtual High School Global Consortium • final evaluation – Zucker & Kozma, 2003 • examined students, teachers, administrators perceptions of the program • outlined successes and areas to focus on for future years
  • 48. The Challenge Whether online learning can be suitable for all K-12 students? (Mulcahy, 2002)
  • 49. United States • 40,000 - 50,000 in 2001 • ~4,000,000 in 2010 Canada • 10,000 - 15,000 in 1999 • ~185,000 in 2010
  • 50. United States - 7.2% of all students Canada - 4.2% of all students
  • 52. Assistant Professor Wayne State University, USA mkbarbour@gmail.com http://www.michaelbarbour.com http://virtualschooling.wordpress.com

Editor's Notes

  1. Benefits = Expanding educational access; Providing high-quality learning opportunities; and Allowing for educational choice Challenges = Student readiness issues and retention issues
  2. American Journal of Distance Education (United States) - 8 US Journal of Distance Education (Canada) - 4 Cdn / 1 Aus Distance Education (Australia) - 2 Aus / 4 US Journal of Distance Learning (New Zealand) - 1 NZ / 1 Cdn / 1 US-Cdn Last five years - 24 articles out of a total of 262 related to K-12 distance education
  3. Common link between both assessments is the pre-occupation of researchers with comparing student performance in an effort to show the effectiveness of online
  4. As research into comparing student performance between face-to-face and online environments is both the common theme and, by far, the dominant theme... Let ’ s take a closer look at this body of research.
  5. Canadian province of Alberta - online students do as well as classroom students in Social Studies and English, classroom students better in other areas
  6. In their two-year evaluation, Bigbie and McCarrol found that more than 50% of Florida Virtual students get As in their courses and very few students failed I n examining 6 virtual schools in 3 Canadian provinces, Barker and Wendel found that online and classroom students performed the same
  7. In a NCREL funded study, Cavanaugh and her colleagues found online students in Florida performed better than classroom students Similarly in another NCREL funded study, McLeod and his colleagues found online students in Florida performed better in algebra
  8. But does this tell really tell the full story???
  9. Ballas & Belyk had dramatically differing participation rates - how would the 20%-30% missing from the online group have scored? Bigbie & McCarroll had a significant drop-out rate in the online courses - how would the results have differed had those students stayed enrolled?
  10. Cavanaugh and her colleagues speculated that the online students were simply better students McLeod and his colleagues speculated their results were due to the fact that weaker students had dropped out of the online course
  11. Let ’ s examine who the literature says is enrolled in K-12 online learning...
  12. First year evaluation of VHS - majority are planning to attend a four year college Second year evaluation - most are honors students and college bound
  13. Highly motivated, self-directed, self-disciplined, independent learners who could read and write well, and had a strong interest in or ability with technology
  14. need to control and structure their learning highly motivated, high achieving, self-directed, independent workers
  15. A or B students half are academically advanced or AP students
  16. However, is that really the description of all K-12 online learning students?
  17. Supplemental - algebra Full-time - higher proportion of at-risk students
  18. The research is based upon the best and the brightest.
  19. However, we know from practice that this does not reflect all or even the majority of K-12 online learners. So the population of students the research focuses on is one of the main limitations of the usefulness (and even the believability) of much of that research.
  20. Another problem is what we measure... 1. Correlation does not equal causality 2. Single studies measure if there is a difference between two groups beyond chance Need for meta-analysis...
  21. A K-12 online learning example from earlier Cathy took 16 individual studies and combined the results to determine an overall effect size.
  22. Things that hurt student learning
  23. 0.15 - The amount a student would increase simply from being a year older and a year wiser / maturity
  24. 0.25 - The amount student learning increases based upon an average teacher
  25. 0.40 - The magic number... If it doesn ’ t reach beyond 0.4, it likely isn ’ t worth it. Some scholars have argued as high as 0.6 or 0.8. Recall earlier I mentioned three different meta-analysis related to K-12 online learning.
  26. Cavanaugh (2001) - developmental effects Cavanaugh et al. (2004) - reverse effects Means et al. (2009) - online = teacher effects & blended = developmental effects + teacher effects
  27. In fact, if you look at many of the factors that proponents of K-12 online learning trumpet, most have little impact on student learning beyond what an average teacher and the normal process of aging would have. So, what do Hattie ’ s findings tell us?
  28. Good teachers and the act of teaching well can have significant impacts Some design and delivery lessons applicable to K-12 online learning: direct instruction, mastery learning, worked examples, concept mapping, setting goals But this is just the research on student performance, what about the other research?
  29. Most of the remainder research is also problematic - primarily due to methodological limitations and overreaching Barbour - principles of effective online course design based upon interviews with teachers at a single virtual school DiPietro et al. - best practice in online teaching based upon interviews with teachers at a single virtual school
  30. Which naturally leads to the question of how should we be doing educational research when it comes to K-12 online learning?
  31. Begins with the involvement of the local stakeholders in identifying the challenges to be addressed and the interventions to be used. In addition to trying to solve the local problem, there is a focus on the development of theory to explain what occurs in the local context. Finally, there are multiple cycles of analysis and revisions to ensure that changes become part of the routine of those involved in the system. Probably the only example or closest example of DBR in the K-12 online learning field is the Virtual High School Global Consortium.