Supporters of U.S. Senate Republican candidate Luke Messer say the race is wide open, despite the fact their top rival, Todd Rokita, was a former statewide office holder.
A Tale of Two Kyles: How Ad Data Exposed My ID TheftKyle J. Britt
In 2010 my identity was stolen. I first realized it thanks to a targeted ad. But ever since then, my identity is tangled up with another real Kyle Britt. You wouldn’t believe how hard that is to fix.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of January 2016. It finds that most Americans view the country as headed in the wrong direction and are dissatisfied with the way things are going in Washington. For Republicans, national security has become the top issue over jobs and the economy. The Republican nomination race features 17 candidates narrowing to 12, with Trump and Cruz leading in early polling but many Republicans still undecided. The Democratic race shows Clinton leading Sanders nationally but the early states of Iowa and New Hampshire are close contests. The document outlines the upcoming primary calendar and debates schedule while analyzing voters' views of the campaigns.
Public Opinion Landscape – Election 2016 – Iowa CaucusesSarah Bonn
The document provides an overview of polling data and analysis related to the 2016 Iowa caucuses for both Republicans and Democrats. For Republicans, polls show Donald Trump and Ted Cruz leading ahead of the caucuses, with Marco Rubio gaining momentum. For Democrats, Hillary Clinton maintains a narrow lead over Bernie Sanders that has been shrinking in recent weeks. Factors like voter turnout, undecided voters, and momentum shifts could impact the final results.
Donald Trump's first 100 days in office saw mixed public opinion reactions to his actions and policies. His approval ratings declined over his first 100 days, making him the first president in the last 60 years to attain a net disapproval. Specific policies like the travel ban and attempts to repeal the Affordable Care Act faced intense public scrutiny and disapproval. However, the public supported his Supreme Court nomination of Neil Gorsuch and strike on Syria, while being more cautious about investigations into Russian interference and ties to Trump's campaign.
1. The document outlines the digital, mail, phone, and canvassing efforts of a campaign across several elections that focused on reducing the influence of money in politics.
2. The campaign found that over 10% of voters in these elections identified money in politics as their top issue and that these "issue voters" were evenly split between Democratic, Republican, and Independent.
3. The campaign was successful at reaching and persuading voters, with their ads influencing at least 20% of voters and up to 60% in some districts. Support for their candidates among issue voters exceeded other groups by double digits.
Three predictors correctly predicted the electoral vote breakdown: Nate Silver of the New York Times, who predicted 332-206; Markos Moulitsas of Daily Kos; and Drew Linzer, a political science professor. They receive the title of "Best Ever". Jamelle Bouie of The American Prospect came closest to correctly predicting the popular vote of 50.4% to 48.2% although he incorrectly predicted Florida going to Obama. The predictors who got the electoral vote correct are highlighted on their websites.
From raising over $10 million from over 50,000 people, to backing reform candidates in eight races, we've come a long way since May 1, 2014.
This report attempts to document exactly how far.
A Tale of Two Kyles: How Ad Data Exposed My ID TheftKyle J. Britt
In 2010 my identity was stolen. I first realized it thanks to a targeted ad. But ever since then, my identity is tangled up with another real Kyle Britt. You wouldn’t believe how hard that is to fix.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US presidential election as of January 2016. It finds that most Americans view the country as headed in the wrong direction and are dissatisfied with the way things are going in Washington. For Republicans, national security has become the top issue over jobs and the economy. The Republican nomination race features 17 candidates narrowing to 12, with Trump and Cruz leading in early polling but many Republicans still undecided. The Democratic race shows Clinton leading Sanders nationally but the early states of Iowa and New Hampshire are close contests. The document outlines the upcoming primary calendar and debates schedule while analyzing voters' views of the campaigns.
Public Opinion Landscape – Election 2016 – Iowa CaucusesSarah Bonn
The document provides an overview of polling data and analysis related to the 2016 Iowa caucuses for both Republicans and Democrats. For Republicans, polls show Donald Trump and Ted Cruz leading ahead of the caucuses, with Marco Rubio gaining momentum. For Democrats, Hillary Clinton maintains a narrow lead over Bernie Sanders that has been shrinking in recent weeks. Factors like voter turnout, undecided voters, and momentum shifts could impact the final results.
Donald Trump's first 100 days in office saw mixed public opinion reactions to his actions and policies. His approval ratings declined over his first 100 days, making him the first president in the last 60 years to attain a net disapproval. Specific policies like the travel ban and attempts to repeal the Affordable Care Act faced intense public scrutiny and disapproval. However, the public supported his Supreme Court nomination of Neil Gorsuch and strike on Syria, while being more cautious about investigations into Russian interference and ties to Trump's campaign.
1. The document outlines the digital, mail, phone, and canvassing efforts of a campaign across several elections that focused on reducing the influence of money in politics.
2. The campaign found that over 10% of voters in these elections identified money in politics as their top issue and that these "issue voters" were evenly split between Democratic, Republican, and Independent.
3. The campaign was successful at reaching and persuading voters, with their ads influencing at least 20% of voters and up to 60% in some districts. Support for their candidates among issue voters exceeded other groups by double digits.
Three predictors correctly predicted the electoral vote breakdown: Nate Silver of the New York Times, who predicted 332-206; Markos Moulitsas of Daily Kos; and Drew Linzer, a political science professor. They receive the title of "Best Ever". Jamelle Bouie of The American Prospect came closest to correctly predicting the popular vote of 50.4% to 48.2% although he incorrectly predicted Florida going to Obama. The predictors who got the electoral vote correct are highlighted on their websites.
From raising over $10 million from over 50,000 people, to backing reform candidates in eight races, we've come a long way since May 1, 2014.
This report attempts to document exactly how far.
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US elections. It discusses the races for President, Senate, and House. For the presidency, Democrats will attempt to retain the White House while Republicans will seek to win it. Control of the Senate is also at stake with Democrats needing to gain 5 seats. Public opinion polling shows most Americans feel the country is on the wrong track. The Republican and Democratic nomination races are also previewed and analyzed through current polling data and priorities for each party.
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - Iowa CaucusesGloverParkGroup
The document provides information on the Iowa caucuses from several recent polls and surveys. For Republicans, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz are leading in Iowa according to prediction markets and polls, though Marco Rubio is gaining momentum. For Democrats, Hillary Clinton maintains a narrow lead over Bernie Sanders in Iowa, though Sanders' support has been growing. The outcomes in Iowa could depend on factors like voter turnout and any last-minute shifts in support.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US elections that were held on November 8, 2016. It summarizes the key races and metrics heading into election day. For the presidency, national polls showed Hillary Clinton with a small lead over Donald Trump. For control of Congress, Republicans led in the House while races for the Senate were very close with some key battleground states that could determine party control. Overall voter dissatisfaction with the direction of the country was high according to polls.
With candidates from coast to coast discussing manufacturing, how can we increase our influence?
He will address trends for the coming fall elections and review micro and macro political issues which will impact candidates from the courthouse to the White House. From NAM’s Election Center website, to our Manufacturing Works site, to issue advocacy programs, to the NAM Award and Dialogue programs, there are many powerful opportunities to partner.
Ned loves talking politics; is our political pundit and knows how manufacturing fits into the picture. He has saved time for Q&A.
Question-order and third party candidate support in the 2016 presidential ele...SSRS Market Research
This document discusses research on the effects of question order in 2016 presidential election polls when including the Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson as an option. It finds that Johnson's support was modestly higher when the 3-way question including him was asked after the standard 2-way question between Clinton and Trump. However, the effects were small and there is no evidence that question order undermined Johnson's candidacy overall or that education level moderated the effects. Disaffected voters who supported a major candidate they were unfavorable towards were somewhat more likely to shift to Johnson with a 3-way question after 2-way. The research suggests asking only a multi-candidate question may be preferable.
An Indiana statewide survey of 1,000 registered voters found Governor Mike Pence's approval ratings have declined since April, with more voters disapproving than approving of his job performance. Pence is in a statistical tie with potential Democratic challengers Glenda Ritz and John Gregg in hypothetical 2016 matchups. College-educated women, in particular, strongly disapprove of Pence and support Ritz and Gregg over him. The survey also found continued majority support for adding sexual orientation and gender identity protections to Indiana's civil rights law, which could become a key issue in the 2016 gubernatorial election.
This document summarizes the results of a poll of 400 likely Republican primary voters in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District. The poll shows Jim Banks leading with 29.3% support, followed closely by Kip Tom at 23.3% and Liz Brown at 21.8%. The differences are within the margin of error. While Banks and Tom have stronger levels of support, one-fifth of voters for each of the front-runners are unsure how strong their support is. The candidates have similar levels of support across gender and religious attendance. A majority of voters feel political tone does not impact their involvement, though Brown's supporters are less likely to feel this way.
This document summarizes the results of a survey that tested Americans' knowledge of pop culture figures versus civic figures. The survey found that more adults knew the name of Lamar Odom's spouse than the current Speaker of the House. It also found that most adults knew the President is Commander-in-Chief, but slightly more knew that Simon Cowell is no longer a judge on American Idol. A vast majority of adults knew that George Washington is the "Father of our Country." The survey also found that more adults associate the word "winning" with Tiger Woods than with Charlie Sheen. Finally, the survey found that few adults over 34 are learning anything from the TV show "Jersey Shore."
Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010App Development
This document summarizes the key findings of a national survey of 1,000 voters conducted on November 2, 2010. It finds that independents, Christian conservatives, Tea Party supporters, those who identify as pro-life, married voters, voters with children, and fathers strongly supported Republican candidates in the 2010 midterm elections. A majority of voters said their vote was a message opposing President Obama. Christian conservatives and Tea Party supporters said their vote most strongly opposed Obama. Most voters believe members of Congress are ignoring the country's religious heritage. Christian conservatives believe restoring moral values is most important to getting the country back on track, while Tea Party supporters are split between reducing spending and restoring moral values.
Demetrius Snell Jr. is a Republican political commentator and analyst who has appeared on Al-Jazeera and AJ Stream discussing the 2016 US Presidential election from a Republican perspective. He has a background in secondary English education and international politics. Some of his recent commentary includes segments on the disunity within the Republican party over Donald Trump's campaign and efforts by Republican strategists to stop Trump's momentum as the Republican frontrunner. He holds a Bachelor's degree in Secondary English Education from Florida Memorial University.
The Chicago Tribune provided minimal and dry coverage of the 2012 election that focused on potential Republican candidates and how current issues might impact President Obama's re-election chances. In contrast, Politico, Daily Kos, and Huffington Post featured more extensive election coverage with differing tones. Politico favored Republican candidates while Daily Kos and Huffington Post were more critical of Republicans and less supportive of Obama.
A survey of 1,000 Americans who plan to watch the 2018 Super Bowl found that:
- Pizza, nachos, and chips are the most popular foods to eat during the game.
- Nearly two-thirds of Americans prefer to watch the Super Bowl at home with a small group of friends and family who care about which team wins.
- Facebook and YouTube are the preferred platforms for viewing Super Bowl commercials before the game starts.
Social media buzz around U.S elections 2012 - 3 Rachana Khanzode
Barack Obama maintained the highest share of conversation on social media at 27% for the week, with his stance against the SOPA bill contributing to mostly positive sentiment. Mitt Romney saw a rise in discussion to second highest at 25%, focused on his tax returns and donations. Negative buzz was highest for Rick Santorum due to alleged racist remarks by his staffer.
Categorisation of the data allows us to finely analyse exactly what impact a specific event is having on the online conversation about and perception of a specific party or politician - be it an external world event or an internal policy decision. With enough data, predictive models can be built to project the probable impact of internal decisions. This type of analysis provides intelligent, real-time feedback and is a powerful strategic tool.
We can compare the affinities of the individuals who have contributed to a particular conversation to the affinities of a different group of people. What this means is that we can identify similarities in the interests of two chosen groups as well as find what interests differentiate them from each other.
The document analyzes social media conversation comparing the Democratic Alliance (DA) party to other parties in South Africa from 2013-2016. It finds that:
1) The largest spikes in positivity towards the DA came when a relationship with Agang was announced and when Mmusi Maimane became the new leader.
2) During the 2016 local elections, conversation about the DA increased significantly while negativity remained low, marking a positive time for the party.
3) The DA was most frequently compared favorably to the ANC, while the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) received more favorable comparisons at certain points like local election results.
Democrats should begin discussing the possibility of impeaching President Trump in order to hold Republicans accountable for their failure to properly investigate Trump's potential wrongdoings, according to the author. The author argues that Trump may have already violated his constitutional duty by engaging in schemes that benefit his businesses. Republicans in Congress are prioritizing investigations into leaks over investigating Trump's ties to Russia. The author concludes that if Republicans will not act as a check on the president, then voters must do so in the 2018 election.
American Public Opinion Landscape – International AffairsGloverParkGroup
Majorities of Americans disapprove of President Obama's handling of foreign policy issues and think the US should take a less active role in solving world problems. Specifically, seven in ten Americans have an unfavorable view of Russia and Putin, and see Russia as a serious threat. On ISIS, majorities believe the US is losing the fight and things are going badly in Iraq and Syria. Americans support air strikes over ground troops against ISIS but are worried military action could lead to a larger war. Opinion on the Iran nuclear deal varies depending on question wording, and most Americans have little confidence Iran or the US will uphold the agreement. A majority of Americans have heard a lot about the refugee crisis and think the US should do
I put together this presentation for my local Meetup to show attendees the marketing lessons I gleaned from this past 2016 presidential election.
The good, the bad, and the ugly.
This is NOT about politics. It's about how the two main candidates (Trump and Clinton) SOLD their vision.
Or how they didn't. Or how one did better than the other and consequently moved more people in the battleground states to win.
I won't tell you here - look at the presentation and tell me what you think.
This document is the December 29, 2014 issue of "The Cheat Sheet", a newsletter published by the Antelope Club in Indianapolis. It lists and briefly summarizes the top 10 news stories of 2014 in Indiana, including Governor Pence's chief of staff resigning, the high murder rate in Indianapolis, the state treasurer's race, former Superintendent Tony Bennett remaining in the news, a legislator exiting due to ethics issues, conflicts between the State Board of Education and Superintendent Glenda Ritz, an Indianan's execution by ISIS impacting the state, large Republican gains in the 2014 elections, and Indianapolis Mayor Greg Ballard deciding not to seek a third term.
The document discusses several topics in Indiana politics, including speculation that Governor Eric Holcomb may not seek re-election and may instead be offered a position as U.S. Ambassador to Italy. It also discusses the split among Indiana House Democrats over whether to pursue impeachment against Attorney General Curtis Hill and analyzes voter turnout data suggesting that lack of turnout among Democratic voters contributed to Joe Donnelly's Senate loss. Additionally, it provides various notes on other races and political figures around the state.
The document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US elections. It discusses the races for President, Senate, and House. For the presidency, Democrats will attempt to retain the White House while Republicans will seek to win it. Control of the Senate is also at stake with Democrats needing to gain 5 seats. Public opinion polling shows most Americans feel the country is on the wrong track. The Republican and Democratic nomination races are also previewed and analyzed through current polling data and priorities for each party.
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - Iowa CaucusesGloverParkGroup
The document provides information on the Iowa caucuses from several recent polls and surveys. For Republicans, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz are leading in Iowa according to prediction markets and polls, though Marco Rubio is gaining momentum. For Democrats, Hillary Clinton maintains a narrow lead over Bernie Sanders in Iowa, though Sanders' support has been growing. The outcomes in Iowa could depend on factors like voter turnout and any last-minute shifts in support.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2016 US elections that were held on November 8, 2016. It summarizes the key races and metrics heading into election day. For the presidency, national polls showed Hillary Clinton with a small lead over Donald Trump. For control of Congress, Republicans led in the House while races for the Senate were very close with some key battleground states that could determine party control. Overall voter dissatisfaction with the direction of the country was high according to polls.
With candidates from coast to coast discussing manufacturing, how can we increase our influence?
He will address trends for the coming fall elections and review micro and macro political issues which will impact candidates from the courthouse to the White House. From NAM’s Election Center website, to our Manufacturing Works site, to issue advocacy programs, to the NAM Award and Dialogue programs, there are many powerful opportunities to partner.
Ned loves talking politics; is our political pundit and knows how manufacturing fits into the picture. He has saved time for Q&A.
Question-order and third party candidate support in the 2016 presidential ele...SSRS Market Research
This document discusses research on the effects of question order in 2016 presidential election polls when including the Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson as an option. It finds that Johnson's support was modestly higher when the 3-way question including him was asked after the standard 2-way question between Clinton and Trump. However, the effects were small and there is no evidence that question order undermined Johnson's candidacy overall or that education level moderated the effects. Disaffected voters who supported a major candidate they were unfavorable towards were somewhat more likely to shift to Johnson with a 3-way question after 2-way. The research suggests asking only a multi-candidate question may be preferable.
An Indiana statewide survey of 1,000 registered voters found Governor Mike Pence's approval ratings have declined since April, with more voters disapproving than approving of his job performance. Pence is in a statistical tie with potential Democratic challengers Glenda Ritz and John Gregg in hypothetical 2016 matchups. College-educated women, in particular, strongly disapprove of Pence and support Ritz and Gregg over him. The survey also found continued majority support for adding sexual orientation and gender identity protections to Indiana's civil rights law, which could become a key issue in the 2016 gubernatorial election.
This document summarizes the results of a poll of 400 likely Republican primary voters in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District. The poll shows Jim Banks leading with 29.3% support, followed closely by Kip Tom at 23.3% and Liz Brown at 21.8%. The differences are within the margin of error. While Banks and Tom have stronger levels of support, one-fifth of voters for each of the front-runners are unsure how strong their support is. The candidates have similar levels of support across gender and religious attendance. A majority of voters feel political tone does not impact their involvement, though Brown's supporters are less likely to feel this way.
This document summarizes the results of a survey that tested Americans' knowledge of pop culture figures versus civic figures. The survey found that more adults knew the name of Lamar Odom's spouse than the current Speaker of the House. It also found that most adults knew the President is Commander-in-Chief, but slightly more knew that Simon Cowell is no longer a judge on American Idol. A vast majority of adults knew that George Washington is the "Father of our Country." The survey also found that more adults associate the word "winning" with Tiger Woods than with Charlie Sheen. Finally, the survey found that few adults over 34 are learning anything from the TV show "Jersey Shore."
Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010App Development
This document summarizes the key findings of a national survey of 1,000 voters conducted on November 2, 2010. It finds that independents, Christian conservatives, Tea Party supporters, those who identify as pro-life, married voters, voters with children, and fathers strongly supported Republican candidates in the 2010 midterm elections. A majority of voters said their vote was a message opposing President Obama. Christian conservatives and Tea Party supporters said their vote most strongly opposed Obama. Most voters believe members of Congress are ignoring the country's religious heritage. Christian conservatives believe restoring moral values is most important to getting the country back on track, while Tea Party supporters are split between reducing spending and restoring moral values.
Demetrius Snell Jr. is a Republican political commentator and analyst who has appeared on Al-Jazeera and AJ Stream discussing the 2016 US Presidential election from a Republican perspective. He has a background in secondary English education and international politics. Some of his recent commentary includes segments on the disunity within the Republican party over Donald Trump's campaign and efforts by Republican strategists to stop Trump's momentum as the Republican frontrunner. He holds a Bachelor's degree in Secondary English Education from Florida Memorial University.
The Chicago Tribune provided minimal and dry coverage of the 2012 election that focused on potential Republican candidates and how current issues might impact President Obama's re-election chances. In contrast, Politico, Daily Kos, and Huffington Post featured more extensive election coverage with differing tones. Politico favored Republican candidates while Daily Kos and Huffington Post were more critical of Republicans and less supportive of Obama.
A survey of 1,000 Americans who plan to watch the 2018 Super Bowl found that:
- Pizza, nachos, and chips are the most popular foods to eat during the game.
- Nearly two-thirds of Americans prefer to watch the Super Bowl at home with a small group of friends and family who care about which team wins.
- Facebook and YouTube are the preferred platforms for viewing Super Bowl commercials before the game starts.
Social media buzz around U.S elections 2012 - 3 Rachana Khanzode
Barack Obama maintained the highest share of conversation on social media at 27% for the week, with his stance against the SOPA bill contributing to mostly positive sentiment. Mitt Romney saw a rise in discussion to second highest at 25%, focused on his tax returns and donations. Negative buzz was highest for Rick Santorum due to alleged racist remarks by his staffer.
Categorisation of the data allows us to finely analyse exactly what impact a specific event is having on the online conversation about and perception of a specific party or politician - be it an external world event or an internal policy decision. With enough data, predictive models can be built to project the probable impact of internal decisions. This type of analysis provides intelligent, real-time feedback and is a powerful strategic tool.
We can compare the affinities of the individuals who have contributed to a particular conversation to the affinities of a different group of people. What this means is that we can identify similarities in the interests of two chosen groups as well as find what interests differentiate them from each other.
The document analyzes social media conversation comparing the Democratic Alliance (DA) party to other parties in South Africa from 2013-2016. It finds that:
1) The largest spikes in positivity towards the DA came when a relationship with Agang was announced and when Mmusi Maimane became the new leader.
2) During the 2016 local elections, conversation about the DA increased significantly while negativity remained low, marking a positive time for the party.
3) The DA was most frequently compared favorably to the ANC, while the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) received more favorable comparisons at certain points like local election results.
Democrats should begin discussing the possibility of impeaching President Trump in order to hold Republicans accountable for their failure to properly investigate Trump's potential wrongdoings, according to the author. The author argues that Trump may have already violated his constitutional duty by engaging in schemes that benefit his businesses. Republicans in Congress are prioritizing investigations into leaks over investigating Trump's ties to Russia. The author concludes that if Republicans will not act as a check on the president, then voters must do so in the 2018 election.
American Public Opinion Landscape – International AffairsGloverParkGroup
Majorities of Americans disapprove of President Obama's handling of foreign policy issues and think the US should take a less active role in solving world problems. Specifically, seven in ten Americans have an unfavorable view of Russia and Putin, and see Russia as a serious threat. On ISIS, majorities believe the US is losing the fight and things are going badly in Iraq and Syria. Americans support air strikes over ground troops against ISIS but are worried military action could lead to a larger war. Opinion on the Iran nuclear deal varies depending on question wording, and most Americans have little confidence Iran or the US will uphold the agreement. A majority of Americans have heard a lot about the refugee crisis and think the US should do
I put together this presentation for my local Meetup to show attendees the marketing lessons I gleaned from this past 2016 presidential election.
The good, the bad, and the ugly.
This is NOT about politics. It's about how the two main candidates (Trump and Clinton) SOLD their vision.
Or how they didn't. Or how one did better than the other and consequently moved more people in the battleground states to win.
I won't tell you here - look at the presentation and tell me what you think.
This document is the December 29, 2014 issue of "The Cheat Sheet", a newsletter published by the Antelope Club in Indianapolis. It lists and briefly summarizes the top 10 news stories of 2014 in Indiana, including Governor Pence's chief of staff resigning, the high murder rate in Indianapolis, the state treasurer's race, former Superintendent Tony Bennett remaining in the news, a legislator exiting due to ethics issues, conflicts between the State Board of Education and Superintendent Glenda Ritz, an Indianan's execution by ISIS impacting the state, large Republican gains in the 2014 elections, and Indianapolis Mayor Greg Ballard deciding not to seek a third term.
The document discusses several topics in Indiana politics, including speculation that Governor Eric Holcomb may not seek re-election and may instead be offered a position as U.S. Ambassador to Italy. It also discusses the split among Indiana House Democrats over whether to pursue impeachment against Attorney General Curtis Hill and analyzes voter turnout data suggesting that lack of turnout among Democratic voters contributed to Joe Donnelly's Senate loss. Additionally, it provides various notes on other races and political figures around the state.
If you love the latest gossip, rumor, and blatant political innuendo when it comes to Indiana politics, then you will love this free edition of The Cheat Sheet.
Bob Menendez is named the winner of the year for 2008 for his successful political career and influence both nationally as the new chair of the Senate Democratic campaign committee and in New Jersey where he helped incumbent Frank Lautenberg defeat a primary challenge. Joe Ferriero, the powerful Bergen County Democratic chair, is named the loser of the year after being indicted on corruption charges which have weakened his political standing. Frank Lautenberg is named the politician of the year for winning re-election to the Senate at age 84 by avoiding debates and relying on the support of Bob Menendez.
Every political election — city, local, state, national — makes for good visual coverage. Get in on the action. Take viewers where they could not ordinarily go. Get to know the politicians. Get to know the issues.
The document summarizes survey data from 2013 to 2016 that shows American voters are experiencing a political revolution against the established political order. Key findings include:
- Voters believe the country is in decline and the American Dream may not be attainable for future generations.
- They see a rigged political system dominated by special interests over ordinary citizens.
- Both Democratic and Republican parties are seen as too beholden to special interests to create meaningful change.
- There is strong support for independent candidates and a potential third party that truly represents voters.
- A hypothetical independent "Candidate Smith" outperforms all current candidates in polls, showing demand for an alternative to the status quo parties.
The summary analyzes the key points from the document, which previews the first Republican presidential primary debate of the 2024 election cycle.
1) Former President Donald Trump will not attend the debate and will instead conduct a counter-programming interview with Tucker Carlson, continuing his narrative as an outsider despite being a former president.
2) The debate will likely avoid directly attacking Trump due to his popularity among GOP voters, instead focusing on issues like the economy and culture wars.
3) The debate location in Wisconsin emphasizes the importance of winning Midwestern swing states, though hardline positions may not appeal to general election voters.
4) No candidate has emerged from Trump's shadow, and this debate may
The document summarizes recent political news and polling in Indiana. It finds that Governor Eric Holcomb has strong approval ratings, with 54% approval overall and 40% among blacks. However, Attorney General Curtis Hill has low approval ratings and 60% of voters have no opinion of him. The document also discusses potential 2020 Democratic candidates for governor and a possible primary challenge to Republican Congressman Jim Banks.
The document summarizes James Comey's testimony about his interactions with President Trump and draws comparisons to the Watergate scandal. It discusses how Comey's firing and subsequent leaked memos have sparked the Russia investigation. While similarities exist to Watergate, key differences include today's polarized media environment and continued support for Trump among Republicans. The investigation continues to uncover information as the June 23rd deadline approaches for documents to be handed over to the Senate panel.
This paper explores whether racial prejudice affected the results of the 2016 Republican primary elections. The author uses regression analysis to examine the relationship between the percentage of votes Donald Trump received in each state and various measures of racism, including hate crime rates, numbers of hate groups, and racially charged Google searches. The analysis found that Trump performed better in states with higher levels of hate crimes and more hate groups per capita. This suggests that racial prejudice may have contributed to Trump's success in the 2016 Republican primaries.
IB Global Politics Engagement Activity Mark Scheme Criterion NarcisaBrandenburg70
IB Global Politics Engagement Activity Mark Scheme
Criterion A: Introduction (4 marks)
Comments
0
The work does not meet a standard described by the descriptors below
1-2
The political issue raised by the engagement is implied but not explicitly identified. There is some limited explanation of why the student chose this engagement. There is some limited explanation of why the student chose this engagement. There is some link between the engagement and course content.
3-4
The political issue explored through the engagement is clearly and explicitly identified. There is a clear explanation of why this engagement and political issue are of interest to the student. There is a clear link between the engagement and political issue on one hand and course content on the other hand.
Criterion B: Explanation of the Engagement (4 marks)
Comments
0
The work does not meet a standard described by the descriptors below
1-2
There is a description of the engagement and of what the student actually did. There is some limited explanation of what the student learned about global politics from undertaking the engagement
3-4
The description of the engagement and of what the student actually did is clear and relevant for their chosen political issue. There is a clear explanation of the ways in which the student’s experiences informed his or her understanding of the political issue
Criterion C: Analysis of the Issue (6 marks)
Comments
0
The work does not meet a standard described by the descriptors below
1-2
There is some attempt at analysis of the political issue but the response is largely descriptive. Few of the main points are justified
3-4
There is some critical analysis of the political issue but this analysis lacks depth. The response is more descriptive than analytical. Some of the main points are justified
5-6
The political issue is explored in depth, using the key concepts of the course where relevant, and the response contains clear critical analysis. All, or nearly all, of the main points are justified
Criterion D: Synthesis & Analysis (6 marks)
Comments
0
The work does not meet a standard described by the descriptors below
1-2
There are limited links between ideas. There are no conclusions, or the conclusions are not relevant
3-4
There are some links between the student’s experiences and more theoretical perspectives on the political issue. Conclusions are stated but are not entirely consistent with the evidence presented. Multiple perspectives are acknowledged where relevant
5-6
The student’s experiences and more theoretical perspectives are synthesized so that an integrated and rich treatment of the political issues ensues. Conclusions are clearly stated, balanced and consistent with the evidence presented. There is evidence of evaluation of the political issue from multiple perspectives
Total Score /20 Points x 3= 60 sum
...
This is shortened version of a presentation that I was asked to give to a prospective political campaigning group in 2010, for I won contracts to conduct all polling for several hotly contested races, all of which I helped them win in the 2010 campaign cycle. It also includes representative clients that we have served, including not only political clients but also corporate and nonprofit brands.
peer 1November 6th 2018 will be the House of Representatives e.docxbartholomeocoombs
peer 1
November 6
th
2018 will be the House of Representatives elections in the United States where about 435 congressional districts will take on election. This will mark 116
th
United States congress serving the country if won. Republicans evidently has more senators and House of Representatives and this puts them in more advantage positions to win congress election in 2018. Ultimately, democrats are in serious disadvantage and future is not bright for them.
Nevertheless Democrats need 25 seats to defend and that comes from states won by president Trump. Democrats to win back Senate control requires 3 seats net gain and chance of this happening is remotely slim because Republicans number. However, after witnessing Trump and Hilary election makes me realize that anything is possible at the last minute. It is not how you started but finishing the race and winning at the end.
Evidently Republicans has 52 seats of senators while democrats hold only 46 seats which make them defensive of 25 seats. Also 241 seats of House of Representatives belong to Republicans and 194 seats for Democrats. Even with this figures, democrats are still optimistic that history has it that congress seats can be lost in the midterm election. For example in 1934 after Franklin D Roosevelt first election in 1932, Democrats gained 9 seats and republicans gained 8 seats in 2002 following George W bush 2000 presidential election. Bottom line is, anything is possible therefore it is too early to predict the winner or the loser.
Obama care brought some controversy among the political parties because Republicans want it to be replaced. They believe it’s not affordable for middle classes and working class American as opposed to initial plan. Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell made it clear that Obama care will be replaced. Kentucky senator was also adamant that Obama care will be replaced even without cooperation of the Democrats.
President Trump, senate and House of Representatives has Obama care on the top of agenda and they are now cautiously optimistic it’s a done deal replacing Obama care. They see this as a federal government controlling individual healthcare but Obama care on the other hand saw that as helping people getting injured in order to take care of their health. We know that majority of uninsured people don’t seek preventive care until it’s too late leading to careless death.
My honest opinion as a healthcare professional that worked in a hospital for 13 years, insurance coverage is very important. Like old saying, prevention is better than sure. I have personally seen people come through ER with glucose level of 400 and blood pressures of 190/100 making them a walking time bomb wanting to explode. Some people don’t make it alive because it was too late, but some are lucky to live to tell you because they are uninsured and no regular checkup put them in great danger. At the end of the day, if people don’t want Obama care fair enough but let government .
Framing rape culture: Media coverage of sexual assault in the United States a...Shelley Blundell
Media framing of sexual assault influences public perception of the crime. To date, most media coverage of sexual assault places the victim at the center of his or her victimization, and often implies that the victim was complicit in his/her own victimization. Facts-based, unbiased media coverage has the ability to both change public perception and influence public policy. Media coverage examples from both the United States and South Africa are compared and contrasted to support the latter statement.
This email chain discusses a purported "Cleveland Deal" made before the 2016 Republican National Convention between Paul Ryan, Mike Pence, and Donald Trump. It claims that Ryan and Pence pushed for Pence to be Trump's running mate in exchange for allowing the nomination process to proceed without rules changes. This would have given Trump the nomination, but allowed Ryan and Pence to influence Trump's cabinet and policy positions. The email discusses evidence for a hastily created "Pence-Ryan 2016" campaign website and domain registration as proof that Ryan and Pence planned to "hijack" the election if Trump lost support in October.
Similar to Messer Internal Poll Says GOP Senate Primary is a Toss Up (20)
Here is Gabe Whitley's response to my defamation lawsuit for him calling me a rapist and perjurer in court documents.
You have to read it to believe it, but after you read it, you won't believe it. And I included eight examples of defamatory statements/
Another Day, Another Default Judgment Against Gabe WhitleyAbdul-Hakim Shabazz
Another default judgment has been entered against 7th Congressional District candidate Gabe Whitley. I lose count of how many default judgments have been entered against him.
Court Denies Rust Request for an Injunction to stay on the ballotAbdul-Hakim Shabazz
A Marion County Judge has denied a request by John Rust to get back on the ballot. Rust says he will appeal his decision all the way to the U.S. Supreme Court.
Gabe Whitley Election Complaint Against Abdul-Hakim ShabazzAbdul-Hakim Shabazz
7th DIstrict Republican Congressional Candidate Gabriel Whitley has filed a complaint with the Marion County Election Board against Abdul-Hakim Shabazz. You have to read it to believe it. And check the dates where the alleged activity took place.
Happy Valentine's Day from all of us here at Indy Politics!
We love all of our readers. In fact, we love you guys so much that we have a gift for you: a complimentary Cheat Sheet.
Center Township Constable Denise Paul Hatch has been arrested.
She was arrested February 8.
Hatch has been charged with two felonies and a misdemeanor. The felonies are official misconduct and attempting assisting a criminal. She was also charged with attempting resisting law enforcement.
This document lists various candidates running for elected office in Indiana who have filed to be on the 2024 primary ballot. It includes candidates for federal offices like US President, US Senator, and US Representative. It also includes candidates for state legislative offices like State Senator and State Representative. Additionally, it includes candidates for local county offices like judges, sheriffs, auditors, recorders, treasurers, surveyors, commissioners, and council members across different counties in Indiana. The primary election will take place on May 7, 2024.
7th CD Candidate Makes Sexist Remark Regarding Trump Civil TrialAbdul-Hakim Shabazz
Republican Congressional candidate Gabriel Whitley has posted a sexist remark in the Donald Trump defamation case. In it, he insinuates, the Trump lost his case because he had a female attorney.
This document lists over 200 candidates running for federal, state, and local offices in Indiana in the 2024 primary election. It provides each candidate's name, party affiliation, office sought, and filing date. The offices included are US Senator, US Representative, state senator and representative, judgeships, and various county-level positions such as auditor, recorder, treasurer, commissioner, and council member.
This document lists over 200 Democratic candidates who have filed to run for various federal, state, and local offices in Indiana for the 2024 primary election. It includes candidates for US Senator, US Representative, state senator and representative, judgeships, and county-level offices like auditor, recorder, treasurer, commissioner, and council member in over 15 counties across Indiana. The candidates are grouped by office category and include their name, party affiliation, office sought, and date filed.
Common Cause of Indiana has field an amicus brief before the Indiana Supreme Court in the matter involving a Marion County judge's ruling that requiring an individual to vote in two consecutive primaries or get their county chairman's permission to be on the ballot was unconstitutional.
This document lists over 100 candidates who have filed to run for various federal, state, and local offices in Indiana for the 2024 primary election. It provides each candidate's name, party affiliation, office sought, and date filed. The offices included are US Senator, US Representative, state senator and representative, judgeships, and numerous county-level positions such as auditor, recorder, treasurer, commissioner, and council member.
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
An astonishing, first-of-its-kind, report by the NYT assessing damage in Ukraine. Even if the war ends tomorrow, in many places there will be nothing to go back to.
El Puerto de Algeciras continúa un año más como el más eficiente del continente europeo y vuelve a situarse en el “top ten” mundial, según el informe The Container Port Performance Index 2023 (CPPI), elaborado por el Banco Mundial y la consultora S&P Global.
El informe CPPI utiliza dos enfoques metodológicos diferentes para calcular la clasificación del índice: uno administrativo o técnico y otro estadístico, basado en análisis factorial (FA). Según los autores, esta dualidad pretende asegurar una clasificación que refleje con precisión el rendimiento real del puerto, a la vez que sea estadísticamente sólida. En esta edición del informe CPPI 2023, se han empleado los mismos enfoques metodológicos y se ha aplicado un método de agregación de clasificaciones para combinar los resultados de ambos enfoques y obtener una clasificación agregada.
Essential Tools for Modern PR Business .pptxPragencyuk
Discover the essential tools and strategies for modern PR business success. Learn how to craft compelling news releases, leverage press release sites and news wires, stay updated with PR news, and integrate effective PR practices to enhance your brand's visibility and credibility. Elevate your PR efforts with our comprehensive guide.
Acolyte Episodes review (TV series) The Acolyte. Learn about the influence of the program on the Star Wars world, as well as new characters and story twists.
Messer Internal Poll Says GOP Senate Primary is a Toss Up
1. MEMORANDUM
To: Interested Parties
From: Wes Anderson & Kayla Dunlap
Date: July 19, 2017
Re: Indiana Statewide Survey
KEY FINDINGS
Below are several highlights from our recent Indiana statewide survey conducted for Congressman
Luke Messer. This survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was fielded July 10th
through the 12th
and was stratified to reflect historic voting trends.
President Trump
In case it was ever in question, President Trump remains extremely popular among GOP primary voters
as 82% say they have a favorable opinion of him while only 15% say they have an unfavorable opinion.
More importantly perhaps is the fact that nearly 6 in 10 (57%) say they are “very” favorable of the
President. Trump’s job approval is equally as strong at 83/13 approve.
2018 Senate Race
For both Luke Messer and Todd Rokita, the story on image is one of lack of definition. Messer currently
sits +16 at 22% favorable to 6% unfavorable while Rokita is +24 at 31/7 favorable. From a geographical
perspective, given Rokita’s past run as Secretary of State, one would expect him to have a bigger
statewide presence, especially in the Indianapolis Market, but that’s simply not the case as his positives
only outperform Messer’s in the Indianapolis Market by 7 points. This leaves Messer and Rokita tied at
23% on 7-way primary ballot while the other 5 candidates fail to break 10% combined. On the two way
ballot, Messer edges out Rokita by 1 point, 27-26 respectively.
Image Ratings Luke Messer Todd Rokita
Favorable 22% 31%
Unfavorable 6% 7%
Ballot Test
Messer Rokita Henderson Hurt Takami Hill Braun Undecided
23% 23% 1% 1% 1% 4% 2% 45%
Ballot Test
Messer Rokita Undecided
27% 26% 48%
Rokita’s Attacks
In response to Rokita’s recent personal attacks on Messer, we decided to throw a few questions on to
measure their impact. In short, the Rokita attacks simply fail to sway Indiana’s GOP primary electorate.
In fact, if he’s not careful, they could come back to bite him. In a head to head on Messer’s decision to
move his family to Washington DC, 80% backed Messer saying that children deserve a “full-time father”
who lives in the same house while only 9% said it made him too much of an “insider.” Additionally,
when they were asked about the attack on Messer’s wife, 57% said that it is unfair to attack her for her
legal career just because her husband is in Congress while only 30% believed the attack was fair.
2. Conclusion
Bottom line, the primary is a jump-ball. While the data suggests it’s likely to be a dog fight, it also
suggests that Todd Rokita’s early personal attacks on Luke Messer and his family are very likely to
backfire among Indiana’s primary electorate.
METHODOLOGY
The following statewide survey was conducted by OnMessage Inc. in Indiana. Telephone interviews were conducted on July 10-12,
2017. This survey consists of 400 likely GOP primary voters and was stratified to reflect historic voter trends. The margin of error is
+/-4.90%
ABOUT US
Wes Anderson is a leading GOP pollster with 20 years of experience in opinion research. As a founding partner, Wes now leads the
polling divisions of OnMessage Inc. and OnMessage Sports, providing political and corporate clients with a full spectrum of
quantitative and qualitative opinion research products. You can read more about Wes Anderson at onmessageinc.com.