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Mega Ships:
A threat to your supply chain?
1	
  
Agenda
•  Introduction to Participants
•  Mega container vessels, history on the market
•  Market developments.
•  Trends which effect the supply chain.
•  How to respond to these trends?
2	
  
•  Commercial Container transport existing almost 60 years.
•  Container demand has been growing
10% year on year far above the
6% growth rate of global trade.
•  Transport capacity per ship grew
from 4,000 to 15,000 TEU over a
period of only 15 years.
•  The Economic crisis in 2008 disrupted
the traditional container market and forced carriers to think differently.
History
3	
  
The	
  first	
  dedicated	
  vessel	
  capable	
  of	
  transpor7ng	
  
600	
  containers	
  started	
  service	
  in	
  November	
  1955	
  	
  
between	
  North	
  Vancouver,	
  Bri7sh	
  Columbia,	
  and	
  
Skagway,	
  Alaska.	
  
	
  
Vessel Extension
4	
  
Main Container Ports Before
the Mega Vessels arrived
5	
  
Market Developments
over the last few years
•  New vessels developed to adjust to new Service network.
•  Rapid introduction of larger cost efficient vessels
•  Large overcapacity on Main routes
•  Reduction of ports to call
•  Effects on service network
–  2de Sues channel
–  New Panama Channel April 2016
–  US west coast ports upgrade.
6	
  
Trends which effect the
supply chain:
•  Mega Ships have a negative impact on supply chain operations.
–  Congestion and Trans-shipments
–  Transit time increase
–  Risk on disruption increases.
–  Responsiveness to disruption is poor.
•  Mega Ships have disrupted the supplier market.
–  Carriers overinvested to maintain market position.
–  Competition between carriers will be reduced.
–  Joint efforts needed to reduce huge overcapacity.
•  Mega Ships do not reduce the total supply chain cost.
–  Cost reductions on the Sea-leg will be minimized by cost increase on
terminal handling and regional transport.
7	
  
Transport Risks on Sea
8	
  
•  10,000	
  containers	
  go	
  overboard	
  
yearly.	
  (0.002%)	
  
•  On	
  average	
  20	
  cargo	
  vessels	
  are	
  lost	
  
every	
  year.	
  
	
  
Ø  This	
  is	
  0.03%	
  of	
  a	
  commercial	
  
fleet	
  of	
  85,000	
  vessels.	
  
•  Approximately	
  2,000	
  lives	
  are	
  lost.	
  
	
  
How to respond to these
trends?
•  Adjust network to main ports?
•  Extend the sea transport leg with additional transshipments?
•  Risk reduction with alternative routing contracted?
•  Safety Stock adjustments?
•  Container tracking and tracing?
9	
  
Carrier alliances
10	
  
Closing
11	
  

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IGNITE 2015 EU - Mega Ships: A Threat to Your Supply Chain?

  • 1. Mega Ships: A threat to your supply chain? 1  
  • 2. Agenda •  Introduction to Participants •  Mega container vessels, history on the market •  Market developments. •  Trends which effect the supply chain. •  How to respond to these trends? 2  
  • 3. •  Commercial Container transport existing almost 60 years. •  Container demand has been growing 10% year on year far above the 6% growth rate of global trade. •  Transport capacity per ship grew from 4,000 to 15,000 TEU over a period of only 15 years. •  The Economic crisis in 2008 disrupted the traditional container market and forced carriers to think differently. History 3   The  first  dedicated  vessel  capable  of  transpor7ng   600  containers  started  service  in  November  1955     between  North  Vancouver,  Bri7sh  Columbia,  and   Skagway,  Alaska.    
  • 5. Main Container Ports Before the Mega Vessels arrived 5  
  • 6. Market Developments over the last few years •  New vessels developed to adjust to new Service network. •  Rapid introduction of larger cost efficient vessels •  Large overcapacity on Main routes •  Reduction of ports to call •  Effects on service network –  2de Sues channel –  New Panama Channel April 2016 –  US west coast ports upgrade. 6  
  • 7. Trends which effect the supply chain: •  Mega Ships have a negative impact on supply chain operations. –  Congestion and Trans-shipments –  Transit time increase –  Risk on disruption increases. –  Responsiveness to disruption is poor. •  Mega Ships have disrupted the supplier market. –  Carriers overinvested to maintain market position. –  Competition between carriers will be reduced. –  Joint efforts needed to reduce huge overcapacity. •  Mega Ships do not reduce the total supply chain cost. –  Cost reductions on the Sea-leg will be minimized by cost increase on terminal handling and regional transport. 7  
  • 8. Transport Risks on Sea 8   •  10,000  containers  go  overboard   yearly.  (0.002%)   •  On  average  20  cargo  vessels  are  lost   every  year.     Ø  This  is  0.03%  of  a  commercial   fleet  of  85,000  vessels.   •  Approximately  2,000  lives  are  lost.    
  • 9. How to respond to these trends? •  Adjust network to main ports? •  Extend the sea transport leg with additional transshipments? •  Risk reduction with alternative routing contracted? •  Safety Stock adjustments? •  Container tracking and tracing? 9