The document provides an overview of India's economy through a series of slides presented by Mohan Guruswamy. It discusses India's large and diverse population, its growing economy that became the third largest in the world in PPP terms, and its continued economic growth despite some recent tapering. It also examines India's regional imbalances, poverty levels, and other economic challenges while highlighting the country's potential for continued growth through expanding its large workforce and a growing middle class.
How people can be used as resource.Initiaves of government .programs of governement.quality of population in terms of health and education.rising population of india an asset of rthe country how? hurdles in making rising population an asset . conclusion
How people can be used as resource.Initiaves of government .programs of governement.quality of population in terms of health and education.rising population of india an asset of rthe country how? hurdles in making rising population an asset . conclusion
MEET INDIA - Paris presentation -Mohan Guruswamyavidas
Modern India now has over 2000 ethnic groups. Modern Indian languages have evolved from all the world’s four language families. Indo-European, Dravidian, Austro-Asiatic and Tibeto-Burman. India has 1652 individual mother tongues. 30 languages are spoken by over a million each, and 122 by over 10,000 each.
India has almost 1.2 billion people, and the Union of India consists of 32 States and Union Territories. The biggest of these is Uttar Pradesh with a population of 199.6 million or 16.49% of India’s. It is as big as Brazil. The smallest political unit is Lakshadweep which has just 64,000 (0.01%)
In late 2012 India became the world’s third largest economy in PPP terms and has grown at an average rate of over 7.4% during 2004-14 and GDP from about $750 bn to $2 trl. Between 2008-11 it grew at more than 9%. In consonance with global trends India’s growth also has tapered off these past two years.
Clearly it’s a country of great heterogeneity, complexity and promise. Its diversity makes it unsuitable for any other form of government but a very raucous DEMOCRACY.
MTBiz is for you if you are looking for contemporary information on business, economy and especially on banking industry of Bangladesh. You would also find periodical information on Global Economy and Commodity Markets.
Analysis Of Food Crops Sector In Central JavaAJHSSR Journal
ABSTRACT: Indonesia is an archipelagic country where half of the total land area has the potential to be an
agricultural area, but only 46.17 percent has been cultivated. Indonesia or particularly Central Java area should
have been a national food barn, however, rice imports is still continue to be carried out to meet the food needs of
the population. Furthermore, This study not only finding out the backward and forward linkage, but also
calculates the impact of the output multiplier and multiplier effects of the food crop sector in Central Java. This
study also trying to determine the end of the food crop sector's demand changes to the output of other sectors.
The method used is descriptive quantitative, which is an elaboration of the approach to analysis of Central Java
input output 88 sectors in 2008 and 2013 which were aggregated into 24 sectors. The results showed that the
food crop sub-sector in 2008 and 2013 had a low backward linkage and high forward linkages, however, this
subsector only depends on a number of sectors. Flow on impact in output and income was much lower if
compared to the other sectors, such as rice mill industry sector. The proportion of the final demand for the food
crop sector fell by more than 10 percent both directly and indirectly.
KEYWORDS: Input Output,backward and forward linkage, multiplier effect
Clearly global warning is inevitable and hence water problems in the sub-continent will get further exacerbated.
We can only hope to mitigate effects by early and meaningful co-operation.
We suffer from a knowledge deficit about the state of the glaciers and on changing monsoon patterns.
We know even less about our groundwater resources. Aquifers have no borders.
What can be done together?
MEET INDIA - Paris presentation -Mohan Guruswamyavidas
Modern India now has over 2000 ethnic groups. Modern Indian languages have evolved from all the world’s four language families. Indo-European, Dravidian, Austro-Asiatic and Tibeto-Burman. India has 1652 individual mother tongues. 30 languages are spoken by over a million each, and 122 by over 10,000 each.
India has almost 1.2 billion people, and the Union of India consists of 32 States and Union Territories. The biggest of these is Uttar Pradesh with a population of 199.6 million or 16.49% of India’s. It is as big as Brazil. The smallest political unit is Lakshadweep which has just 64,000 (0.01%)
In late 2012 India became the world’s third largest economy in PPP terms and has grown at an average rate of over 7.4% during 2004-14 and GDP from about $750 bn to $2 trl. Between 2008-11 it grew at more than 9%. In consonance with global trends India’s growth also has tapered off these past two years.
Clearly it’s a country of great heterogeneity, complexity and promise. Its diversity makes it unsuitable for any other form of government but a very raucous DEMOCRACY.
MTBiz is for you if you are looking for contemporary information on business, economy and especially on banking industry of Bangladesh. You would also find periodical information on Global Economy and Commodity Markets.
Analysis Of Food Crops Sector In Central JavaAJHSSR Journal
ABSTRACT: Indonesia is an archipelagic country where half of the total land area has the potential to be an
agricultural area, but only 46.17 percent has been cultivated. Indonesia or particularly Central Java area should
have been a national food barn, however, rice imports is still continue to be carried out to meet the food needs of
the population. Furthermore, This study not only finding out the backward and forward linkage, but also
calculates the impact of the output multiplier and multiplier effects of the food crop sector in Central Java. This
study also trying to determine the end of the food crop sector's demand changes to the output of other sectors.
The method used is descriptive quantitative, which is an elaboration of the approach to analysis of Central Java
input output 88 sectors in 2008 and 2013 which were aggregated into 24 sectors. The results showed that the
food crop sub-sector in 2008 and 2013 had a low backward linkage and high forward linkages, however, this
subsector only depends on a number of sectors. Flow on impact in output and income was much lower if
compared to the other sectors, such as rice mill industry sector. The proportion of the final demand for the food
crop sector fell by more than 10 percent both directly and indirectly.
KEYWORDS: Input Output,backward and forward linkage, multiplier effect
Clearly global warning is inevitable and hence water problems in the sub-continent will get further exacerbated.
We can only hope to mitigate effects by early and meaningful co-operation.
We suffer from a knowledge deficit about the state of the glaciers and on changing monsoon patterns.
We know even less about our groundwater resources. Aquifers have no borders.
What can be done together?
India’s Adivasi problem at Claws - Presentation by Mohan Guruswamyavidas
India's War on India
Adivasi is an umbrella term for a heterogeneous set of ethnic
and tribal groups believed to be the aboriginal people of India.
They form about 7% of Indian population. In the past, most tribals were able to cover most of the shortfall with foods gathered from the forests. Forest degradation and curtailed forest access has reduced the availability of natural foods, compelling these communities, to depend more on purchased foods to meet their minimum
survival needs. This has lead to unrest.
THIS IS A TRANSCRIPT OF A TALK GIVEN AT A CONFERENCE ON CENTRAL ASIA AT JAMIA MILLIA SPONSORED BY THE MEA.
Is India going to be the new China? If I had to terminate this discussion I would say no because the gap is huge and open now. It might be very difficult because the kind of political consensus in the last few years that we have and the way we conduct our internal affairs and manage our economy. China is the world’s largest GDP now in terms of PPP terms. It is almost 19 trillion dollars which is astounding. If you project this to 2050 you would be looking at over 60 trillion and an Indian GDP would be 45 trillion.
We are entering a period of exponential growth. It is another thing that wealth does not get distributed in China and India. It is concentrated in a few hands. China has slowed down and I will discuss it later. It has posted per Capita GDP of almost below 8000. This is India here. 8 trillion dollars in PPP terms. That is where a little controversy when PM Modi suddenly started quoting PPP figures. It always sounds much bigger then the normal GDP which is. In GDP terms we are now third in terms of PPP just below USA. China is first. This is how we strike up in the world. China is almost three times our size and United States and this how the world is going to transit.
This is what excites people, excites people who are looking for investment opportunities in India, excites people like me who are not going to be around 2050 to see if we have made the tryst to destiny. What is being projected is our GDP of 3.7 billion of 2009 will move on to 43 trillion in 2050. US becomes smaller than India. The complete ranking in the world will change. If you look at United Kingdom it will be no. 10, Italy will be no. 15, Saudi Arabia 19, Russia is no. 6. The top two countries will be Asian countries. This is the projected growth on the other side. Vietnam will be no. 1, India will be no. 2, Nigeria will be no. 3. It is all unbelievable.
When I was doing my dissertation in 1984 I had proposed to my supervisor that I would do my work on future projection on economies. Lotus had just introduced spreadsheets and you could put in numbers and have different growth rates and come out with astounding figures. One day I was playing around in the computation lab in the Kennedy School of government at Harvard and I was putting in the figures in the computer. I was getting astounding results for 25 years, 30 years, 50 years. Some of it looked like real at that time. So when I proposed it to my supervisor who was a famous economist, he asked me not to do this and do something practical. You think India and China will actually reach the top , dominating the world and making the big noise? Forget it.... it is not going to happen or going to happen in my lifetime. So I did my dissertation on the Presidential decision making which is a totally different subject. I wish I had done it then. I would have been a famous man....
The Indian Rupee is facing the biggest crisis since independence. Here is a study that attempts to understand what led to this and how the citizens can resurrect themselves from this.
The following is a short and simple powerpoint presentation on the topic of $5 Trillion Economy of India made for the subject "Indian Economy" which falls under BBA course.
Advantages And Disadvantages Of Overpopulation
Essay On Growth Of India
Country Comparison: China and India Essay
India s Development And Growth Essay
Essay on World Population
Pros And Cons Of Poverty In India
Overpopulation in India
Obstacles Of Christian Growth
Population and Family Planning Policy in India
Essay India’s Aging Population
Essay on Geography of India
The Population Growth Rate In India Essay
India A Developing Country
Effects Of Population Growth Of India
Short Essay on History of India
The Environmental Problems in India
India’s on its way to being the world’s most populous country. The current population contributes to 17% of the global population.
According to the final report of the National Commission on Population (NCP) on population projections dated July 2020, India’s population is expected to grow by 25% (reference to 2011), to 1.52 billion by 2036.
Essay India’s Aging Population
Essay On Growth Of India
India Essays
India A Developing Country
Essay On Expo 2020
Essay On Nationalism In India
Essay on Geography of India
Migrant Workers Essay
India is the 2nd most populous country in the world, with over 1.3 billion people.India’s population is large and growing.people contribute significantly to diverse areas and sectors of the economy—like agriculture, service industry, construction and other industries.our huge population of young people, a majority of whom are hardworking and enterprising, have made India a nation that finds respect worldwide.the government must realize that people are the biggest asset of a nation and provide suitable opportunities to them for turning them into valuable assets.
Sino-Indian Relations and the Elephant in the Roomavidas
India and China exist in different orbits of the world economy. A slowed down China now growing at 7% still adds $490 billion to global growth, while a speeded up India, now growing at 7%, adds a mere $160 billion.
Even when the rate of Indian growth exceeds China’s by a big margin, it will be a long time before it adds more to global growth than China. Although the Chinese economy does not compete directly with India’s, the effect the former imposes on the global economy will influence the Indian economy.
Hence, whether a slowing Chinese economy will really create more opportunities for the Indian economy needs rethinking.
Mohan Guruswamy's presentation at a recent seminar on how to respond to another state sponsored terrorist attack from Pakistan. A tit for tat reaction may not dissuade Pakistan from more of it, but the GOI owes it to the Indian public to get satisfaction. Turning the other cheek is not policy.
Mastering the Concepts Tested in the Databricks Certified Data Engineer Assoc...SkillCertProExams
• For a full set of 760+ questions. Go to
https://skillcertpro.com/product/databricks-certified-data-engineer-associate-exam-questions/
• SkillCertPro offers detailed explanations to each question which helps to understand the concepts better.
• It is recommended to score above 85% in SkillCertPro exams before attempting a real exam.
• SkillCertPro updates exam questions every 2 weeks.
• You will get life time access and life time free updates
• SkillCertPro assures 100% pass guarantee in first attempt.
Collapsing Narratives: Exploring Non-Linearity • a micro report by Rosie WellsRosie Wells
Insight: In a landscape where traditional narrative structures are giving way to fragmented and non-linear forms of storytelling, there lies immense potential for creativity and exploration.
'Collapsing Narratives: Exploring Non-Linearity' is a micro report from Rosie Wells.
Rosie Wells is an Arts & Cultural Strategist uniquely positioned at the intersection of grassroots and mainstream storytelling.
Their work is focused on developing meaningful and lasting connections that can drive social change.
Please download this presentation to enjoy the hyperlinks!
This presentation, created by Syed Faiz ul Hassan, explores the profound influence of media on public perception and behavior. It delves into the evolution of media from oral traditions to modern digital and social media platforms. Key topics include the role of media in information propagation, socialization, crisis awareness, globalization, and education. The presentation also examines media influence through agenda setting, propaganda, and manipulative techniques used by advertisers and marketers. Furthermore, it highlights the impact of surveillance enabled by media technologies on personal behavior and preferences. Through this comprehensive overview, the presentation aims to shed light on how media shapes collective consciousness and public opinion.
Announcement of 18th IEEE International Conference on Software Testing, Verif...
MEET INDIA - A SHORT CONDUCTED TOUR OF THE WORLD'S MOST COMPLEX AND AMONG ITS FASTEST GROWING ECONOMIES.Sener
1. A SHORT CONDUCTED TOUR OF THE WORLD’S MOST
COMPLEX AND AMONG ITS FASTEST GROWING
ECONOMIES.
MOHAN GURUSWAMY
Meet India!
Mohan Guruswamy June 17, 2014
1
2. Modern India now has over 2000 ethnic groups. Modern Indian languages have
evolved from all the world’s four language families. Indo-European, Dravidian, Austro-
Asiatic and Tibeto-Burman. India has 1652 individual mother tongues. The 2001
Census tells us that 30 languages are spoken by over a million each, and 122 by
over 10,000 each.
India has almost 1.2 billion people, and the Union of India consists of 32 States and
Union Territories. The biggest of these is Uttar Pradesh with a population of 199.6 million
or 16.49% of India’s. It is as big as Brazil. The smallest political unit is Lakshadweep which
has just 64,000 (0.01%). Quite clearly the omnibus term India, incidentally derived from
the name of a river that hardly flows through it, masks a diversity of nations.
In late 2012 India became the world’s third largest economy in PPP terms and has
grown at an average rate of over 7% since 2000. Between 2008-11 it grew at more than 9%.
In consonance with global trends India’s growth also has tapered off these past two years.
Clearly it’s a country of great heterogeneity and complexity. Its diversity makes it
unsuitable for any other form of government but DEMOCRACY.
Meet India!
June 17, 2014
2
Mohan Guruswamy
3. The once and future world?
Major world economies from 0-2005.
June 17, 2014Mohan Guruswamy
3
4. A history of World GDP’s (1990 $ PPP)
June 17, 2014Mohan Guruswamy
4
5. The brave new world to come!
June 17, 2014
5
Mohan Guruswamy
7. June 17, 2014Mohan Guruswamy 7
The world at the end of the current decade.
8. -WORLD GDP over the past 12 months was about $65 trillion. In the year
to September 2013, global output will be about $10 trillion bigger,
according to the IMF's projections.*
-But where will that next $10 trillion be added? That depends on the size of
a country's economy, its growth rate and the appreciation of its real
exchange rate. Focusing on any one of those things, to the exclusion of the
others, can be a misleading guide to a market's potential.
-For example, China's economy in 2013 will still be smaller than America's.
But because it is growing so fast, it will add $1.65 trillion compared to
America's $1.43 trillion. Japan—a slow-growing economy—will contribute
$410 billion, less than Russia ($698 billion) or Brazil ($461 billion). But
because Japan is so big, it will still contribute more than India ($392
billion).
Where will the next $10 trillion of GDP come from?
June 17, 2014
8
Mohan Guruswamy
19. June 17, 2014Mohan Guruswamy 19
China’s aging problem.
It will get old before it gets rich.
Life expectancy has more than doubled from 35 in 1949 to 75 today, a
miraculous achievement. Meanwhile, the fertility rate has plummeted to 1.5 or
lower, far below the 2.1 needed to keep a population stable.
Cai Fang, a demographer at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, says the
country will have moved from labour surplus to labour shortage at the fastest
pace in history.
In 2011, its workforce shrank for the first time, years before anyone had
predicted.
Japan reached a similar turning point in about 1990. Ominously for China, that
was just before its economy sank into two stagnant decades. By then, its living
standards were already at nearly 90 per cent of US levels. In purchasing power
parity terms, China’s per capita income is still below 20 per cent.
“There’s now no doubt,” says Professor Cai. “China will be old before it is rich.”
23. What are India’s grim realities?
June 17, 2014Mohan Guruswamy
23
Reality 1. 62% of agricultural land is rainfed. 64.8% of
the population is linked to agriculture for livelihood
either as cultivators or as agricultural laborers. Rural
workforce in 2001 about 250 mn.
Reality 2. In 2001, 260.3 mn or 26.1% below poverty line
of 2400 calories per day or Rs. 328 per month (rural) and
Rs.454 per month (urban).
Reality 3. 83.5% of all households (176.5 mn) below
median per capita of Rs.17,736 per annum. Income
inequality –Gini increasing.
24. What are India’s grim realities? - 2
June 17, 2014Mohan Guruswamy
24
Reality 4. Regional imbalances growing.
Reality 5. 34.6% illiterate.
Reality 6. Employment in organized sector stagnating
at around 31 mn for past 5 years. Government
employs 19.3 mn or 69%, while PSU’s & Pvt. Sector
employs only 10.65 mn.
Reality 7. Government capital expenditure for
development now down to less than 15% of budget.
38. Railways as an Economic Driver.
June 17, 2014Mohan Guruswamy
38
39. The four critical areas to focus on are fiscal belt-tightening, improving
the business climate, complementing anti-inflation efforts and
sustaining the improvement in the current account deficit.
The deficit is forecast to come in at around 4.6% in the 2013-2014
financial year ended in March 2014, down from 4.9% in 2012-2013 and
5.8% in 2011-2012.
India recorded a Current Account Deficit of 1.70% of GDP in 2013. The
CAD/GDP ratio in India averaged -1.45% from 1980 until 2013, reaching
an all time high of 1.50% in 2003 and a record low of -4.70% in 2012. .
If the government chooses to expedite capital spending to orchestrate a
cyclical turn in the investment cycle and boost long-term growth, the
short-term casualty will be the Debt/GDP ratio,
Improving the business climate should be the anchor of the new
government's agenda.
June 17, 2014Mohan Guruswamy 39
The Immediate Economic Priorities.
40. Political Economy Constraints.
• The Modi government will be driven by its economic and
development agenda.
• India is straining to expand its domestic Savings/GDP ratio, which
has been declining in the past few years.
• It has evolved into a high subsidy regime in the past decade and it
will be difficult to roll back on this, given the nature of mandate of
the Modi government. But it will have to bite the bullet now.
• It will seek closer relationships with countries it can realize capital
inflows. Only two countries are capable of meeting India’s needs with
capital and technology. Japan and China. But Japan is not entirely a
free agent.
• India’s traditional strategic autonomy considerations will condition
it not to get into any strategic relationships.
• While the USA is an important player in geo-strategic terms, it is not
capable of the volumes of investment India needs. The USA is
habituated to being intrusive.
June 17, 2014Mohan Guruswamy 40
42. Cost of Big Ticket Expansion & Modernization Plans till 2024.
India’s largest city is Mumbai, with a population of 12.5 million, closely
followed by Delhi, with a population of 11 million. Overall, there are more
than 50 urban areas in India with a population of more than one million
people. Water and sanitation modernization. $50 billion.
New cities program. $300 billion
The National perspective plan envisions about 150 million acre feet (MAF)
of water storage along with building inter-links. These storages and the
interlinks will add nearly 170 million acre feet of water for beneficial uses
in India, enabling irrigation over an additional area of 35 million hectares,
generation of 40,000 MW capacity hydro power, flood control and other
benefits. Cost $60 billion.
4000 kms of high speed railway network. $ 120 billion.
Capital expenditure on Defence. $150 billion.
Expansion and modernization of highway and road network. $120 billion.
Additional 150,000 MW of power generation capacity. $800 billion.
TOTAL: Over $1.6 trillion
June 17, 2014
42
Mohan Guruswamy
45. Political options available to the BJP.
• It is capable of hard decisions, both because of the
temperament of Modi, but because it is a right of center
and market friendly government.
• It will be driven by its economic and development
priorities, and hence most likely to compromise for these
goals.
• It can reset India-China relations.
• It will reset India-Japan relations.
June 17, 2014Mohan Guruswamy
45