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Medical
Statistics
PUP 4001
L Taylor
Demographics
– http://www.indexmundi.com/united_kingdom/demographics_profile.html
– What is health care statistics?
Health statistics are numbers about some aspect of health. Statistics
about births, deaths, marriages, and divorces are sometimes called
"vital statistics." Researchers use statistics to see patterns of diseases
in groups of people.
L Taylor
General Fertility
GFR
GFR=Number of Birth
Number of women aged 15-44 X
1000
A few births may occur to women outside
these ages
IVF!!!
L Taylor
Birth Rate (per thousand)
Crude Birth Rate=
Number of births that year
Total population that year X 1000
(total population includes men, women and
children)
L Taylor
Perinatal Mortality Rate-
PNMR
Per thousand
Perinatal deaths are :- (stillbirths; foetal deaths
after the 28th week of pregnancy and deaths
under 1 week post natal)
PNMR= Number of perinatal deaths
Number of live and stillbirths X 1000
(Used as a measure of safety and efficiency of
maternity services)
L Taylor
Infant Mortality Rate-IMR
(used as a key indicator of health status
within societies)
IMR= Deaths of infants under 1 year
Number of live births X 1000
L Taylor
Infant Mortality Rate 2010
4.6 per 1000 births
http://www.google.co.uk/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bnc
L Taylor
Crude Death Rates
 CDR= Number of Deaths
 Total population x 1000
 (not very useful)
 (other factors such as age have to be
considered)
13.11.01 L Taylor
Standardised Mortality
Ratio SMR
 Population A relative to a standard
population. This would be done by
calculating the age specific death rates
for the standard population and
comparing them with those ages in
population A.
13.11.01 L Taylor
Incidence Rate
Of a disease over a period of time
Incidence=
Number of New cases over the period
Population at Risk
L Taylor
Prevalence Rate
Of a disease at a point in time
Prevalence Rate=
Total number of cases at that time
Population at Risk
L Taylor
SMR
SMR= Number of Deaths in Population A
Sum for all age groups of population
in age group x in population A
X
Age specific death rate for this group
in standard population
13.11.01 L Taylor
SMR
 Measures the death rate taking into
account differences in age structure. The
death rate of a selected population at a
given time is taken as the baseline and
death rates for specific age bands are
calculated.
L Taylor
SMR
 Some tables of results include the numbers of deaths for each area in a
given time- period. The numbers of deaths by themselves though do not
provide information which would allow the mortality of a particular area
to be measured for comparison purposes. To provide this information,
the population of each area is also needed in order to calculate a
mortality rate. The simplest form of mortality rate divides the total
number of deaths for an area by the population of that area. These
crude rates can however be misleading as the age structures of
populations can differ widely. This is especially true at ward-level where
some areas may have a very young age structure and others may have
a population which is predominately elderly. As mortality rates generally
increase with age the crude death rates of the latter type of area could
be expected to be worse than an area with a younger population
structure.
13.11.01 L Taylor
SMR
 Some tables of results include the numbers of deaths for each area in a
given time- period. The numbers of deaths by themselves though do not
provide information which would allow the mortality of a particular area
to be measured for comparison purposes. To provide this information,
the population of each area is also needed in order to calculate a
mortality rate. The simplest form of mortality rate divides the total
number of deaths for an area by the population of that area. These
crude rates can however be misleading as the age structures of
populations can differ widely. This is especially true at ward-level where
some areas may have a very young age structure and others may have
a population which is predominately elderly. As mortality rates generally
increase with age the crude death rates of the latter type of area could
be expected to be worse than an area with a younger population
structure.
13.11.01 L Taylor
SMR
SMR = Observed x 100
Expected
13.11.01 L Taylor
SMR: Naidoo and Wills 95
 The SMR for any subsequent year is then the
number of deaths actually occuring as a % of the
deaths which would have been expected to occur
 if the population’s age-specific mortality
experience had remained at it’s baseline level.
 The SMR is therefore an attempt to measure the
underlying trend of death rates.
13.11.01 L Taylor
Why bother?
Monitoring and surveillance of health and disease
Finding causes of disease or factors associated with early death or
disease
Detecting disease
Preventing early death or disease
Evaluating treatments
13.11.01 L Taylor
Further Reading
How to read a paper: Statistics for the non-statistician. I:
Different types of data need different statistical tests
BMJ 1997; 315 doi: 10.1136/bmj.315.7104.364
(Published 9 August 1997)
Cite this as: BMJ 1997;315:364
L Taylor

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Medical stats

  • 2. Demographics – http://www.indexmundi.com/united_kingdom/demographics_profile.html – What is health care statistics? Health statistics are numbers about some aspect of health. Statistics about births, deaths, marriages, and divorces are sometimes called "vital statistics." Researchers use statistics to see patterns of diseases in groups of people. L Taylor
  • 3. General Fertility GFR GFR=Number of Birth Number of women aged 15-44 X 1000 A few births may occur to women outside these ages IVF!!! L Taylor
  • 4. Birth Rate (per thousand) Crude Birth Rate= Number of births that year Total population that year X 1000 (total population includes men, women and children) L Taylor
  • 5. Perinatal Mortality Rate- PNMR Per thousand Perinatal deaths are :- (stillbirths; foetal deaths after the 28th week of pregnancy and deaths under 1 week post natal) PNMR= Number of perinatal deaths Number of live and stillbirths X 1000 (Used as a measure of safety and efficiency of maternity services) L Taylor
  • 6. Infant Mortality Rate-IMR (used as a key indicator of health status within societies) IMR= Deaths of infants under 1 year Number of live births X 1000 L Taylor
  • 7. Infant Mortality Rate 2010 4.6 per 1000 births http://www.google.co.uk/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bnc L Taylor
  • 8. Crude Death Rates  CDR= Number of Deaths  Total population x 1000  (not very useful)  (other factors such as age have to be considered) 13.11.01 L Taylor
  • 9. Standardised Mortality Ratio SMR  Population A relative to a standard population. This would be done by calculating the age specific death rates for the standard population and comparing them with those ages in population A. 13.11.01 L Taylor
  • 10. Incidence Rate Of a disease over a period of time Incidence= Number of New cases over the period Population at Risk L Taylor
  • 11. Prevalence Rate Of a disease at a point in time Prevalence Rate= Total number of cases at that time Population at Risk L Taylor
  • 12. SMR SMR= Number of Deaths in Population A Sum for all age groups of population in age group x in population A X Age specific death rate for this group in standard population 13.11.01 L Taylor
  • 13. SMR  Measures the death rate taking into account differences in age structure. The death rate of a selected population at a given time is taken as the baseline and death rates for specific age bands are calculated. L Taylor
  • 14. SMR  Some tables of results include the numbers of deaths for each area in a given time- period. The numbers of deaths by themselves though do not provide information which would allow the mortality of a particular area to be measured for comparison purposes. To provide this information, the population of each area is also needed in order to calculate a mortality rate. The simplest form of mortality rate divides the total number of deaths for an area by the population of that area. These crude rates can however be misleading as the age structures of populations can differ widely. This is especially true at ward-level where some areas may have a very young age structure and others may have a population which is predominately elderly. As mortality rates generally increase with age the crude death rates of the latter type of area could be expected to be worse than an area with a younger population structure. 13.11.01 L Taylor
  • 15. SMR  Some tables of results include the numbers of deaths for each area in a given time- period. The numbers of deaths by themselves though do not provide information which would allow the mortality of a particular area to be measured for comparison purposes. To provide this information, the population of each area is also needed in order to calculate a mortality rate. The simplest form of mortality rate divides the total number of deaths for an area by the population of that area. These crude rates can however be misleading as the age structures of populations can differ widely. This is especially true at ward-level where some areas may have a very young age structure and others may have a population which is predominately elderly. As mortality rates generally increase with age the crude death rates of the latter type of area could be expected to be worse than an area with a younger population structure. 13.11.01 L Taylor
  • 16. SMR SMR = Observed x 100 Expected 13.11.01 L Taylor
  • 17. SMR: Naidoo and Wills 95  The SMR for any subsequent year is then the number of deaths actually occuring as a % of the deaths which would have been expected to occur  if the population’s age-specific mortality experience had remained at it’s baseline level.  The SMR is therefore an attempt to measure the underlying trend of death rates. 13.11.01 L Taylor
  • 18. Why bother? Monitoring and surveillance of health and disease Finding causes of disease or factors associated with early death or disease Detecting disease Preventing early death or disease Evaluating treatments 13.11.01 L Taylor
  • 19. Further Reading How to read a paper: Statistics for the non-statistician. I: Different types of data need different statistical tests BMJ 1997; 315 doi: 10.1136/bmj.315.7104.364 (Published 9 August 1997) Cite this as: BMJ 1997;315:364 L Taylor