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Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Matching it up:
working arrangements and job satisfaction
Katarzyna Bech-Wysocka
FAME|GRAPE and Warsaw School of Economics
Magdalena Smyk
FAME|GRAPE and Warsaw School of Economics
Joanna Tyrowicz
University of Regensburg, FAME| GRAPE and IZA
Lucas van der Velde
FAME|GRAPE and Warsaw School of Economics
Baltic Economic Conference
June 2023
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Introduction
Motivation
Ambiguity haunts empirical work on job satisfaction and flexibility
Wheatley (2017): correlations positive for M and negative for W
Bellmann and Hübler (2020): patterns for JS unclear, correlations with WLB negative.
Hayman (2009): correlations with FWC and WFC lower
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Introduction
Motivation
Ambiguity haunts empirical work on job satisfaction and flexibility
Wheatley (2017): correlations positive for M and negative for W
Bellmann and Hübler (2020): patterns for JS unclear, correlations with WLB negative.
Hayman (2009): correlations with FWC and WFC lower
Workers offered flexibility are happy
(Atkinson et al. 2011, Bloom et al. 2015, O’Connor and Cech 2018, Hamplová 2019)
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Introduction
Motivation
Ambiguity haunts empirical work on job satisfaction and flexibility
Wheatley (2017): correlations positive for M and negative for W
Bellmann and Hübler (2020): patterns for JS unclear, correlations with WLB negative.
Hayman (2009): correlations with FWC and WFC lower
Workers offered flexibility are happy
(Atkinson et al. 2011, Bloom et al. 2015, O’Connor and Cech 2018, Hamplová 2019)
(Some) People lack boundary management strategies and suffer when forced to set them
(Lee et al. 2002, Kossek et al. 2004, Bainbridge and Townsend 2020)
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Contribution
Our contribution
Flexibility enactment theory → match between a person and work arrangements
1 Inclination to specific working arrangements (WA) is:
individual,
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Contribution
Our contribution
Flexibility enactment theory → match between a person and work arrangements
1 Inclination to specific working arrangements (WA) is:
individual, potentially time-varying,
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Contribution
Our contribution
Flexibility enactment theory → match between a person and work arrangements
1 Inclination to specific working arrangements (WA) is:
individual, potentially time-varying, and unobservable
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Contribution
Our contribution
Flexibility enactment theory → match between a person and work arrangements
1 Inclination to specific working arrangements (WA) is:
individual, potentially time-varying, and unobservable
2 Machine learning to uncover latent link between JS and WA ...
3 ... and obtain counterfactual levels of JS ...
4 thus identify individuals who are (mis)matched
Hypotheses
H1 Ability to actively manage boundaries is higher for women and parents.
H2 Overall job satisfaction with NWAs is higher than in a scenario eliminating NWAs.
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Methodology
Method
Link between NWAs and JS is ambiguous and endogeneous
ML methods: unarbitrary model of JS using
individual and household characteristics
job characteristics
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Methodology
Method
Link between NWAs and JS is ambiguous and endogeneous
ML methods: unarbitrary model of JS using
individual and household characteristics
job characteristics
Strategy:
Build a model of job satisfaction for the reference group (NWA = 0).
Obtain counterfactual JS for each individual with NWA: as if a given individual had no NWA
Compare the actual and the counterfactual levels of job satisfaction:
∆JSi = Factual JSi − Counterfactual JSi
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Methodology
Method
Link between NWAs and JS is ambiguous and endogeneous
ML methods: unarbitrary model of JS using
individual and household characteristics
job characteristics
Strategy:
Build a model of job satisfaction for the reference group (NWA = 0).
Obtain counterfactual JS for each individual with NWA: as if a given individual had no NWA
Compare the actual and the counterfactual levels of job satisfaction:
∆JSi = Factual JSi − Counterfactual JSi
Only consider counterfactuals when NWA is removed. Selection bias if opposite
considered.
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Data
European Working Conditions Survey
Spans 1991-2015; every five years
some necessary variables only available from the third wave: 2001-2015
36 countries (expanding), approx. 1000 workers
utilize responses for salaried workers, aged between 18 and 65 years of age, employed within private entities
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Data
European Working Conditions Survey
Spans 1991-2015; every five years
some necessary variables only available from the third wave: 2001-2015
36 countries (expanding), approx. 1000 workers
utilize responses for salaried workers, aged between 18 and 65 years of age, employed within private entities
Broad range of individual and HH characteristics:
gender, age, education, HH-structure, tenure, health, occupation, industry
Rich data on work characteristics:
temporary/permanent, (long) hours, work on weekends, commute, direct hazards, discomfort (tedious tasks, etc), wearing
protective gear, hours fit schedules, supportive colleagues, enough timeto finish tasks, etc.
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Data
European Working Conditions Survey
Spans 1991-2015; every five years
some necessary variables only available from the third wave: 2001-2015
36 countries (expanding), approx. 1000 workers
utilize responses for salaried workers, aged between 18 and 65 years of age, employed within private entities
Broad range of individual and HH characteristics:
gender, age, education, HH-structure, tenure, health, occupation, industry
Rich data on work characteristics:
temporary/permanent, (long) hours, work on weekends, commute, direct hazards, discomfort (tedious tasks, etc), wearing
protective gear, hours fit schedules, supportive colleagues, enough timeto finish tasks, etc.
Measuring JS: 4-level categorical variable
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Data
Job satisfaction across countries in waves in EWCS
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Data
European Working Conditions Survey
Spans 1991-2015; every five years
some necessary variables only available from the third wave: 2001-2015
36 countries (expanding), approx. 1000 workers
utilize responses for salaried workers, aged between 18 and 65 years of age, employed within private entities
Broad range of individual and HH characteristics:
gender, age, education, HH-structure, tenure, health, occupation, industry
Rich data on work characteristics:
temporary/permanent, (long) hours, work on weekends, commute, direct hazards, discomfort (tedious tasks, etc), wearing
protective gear, hours fit schedules, supportive colleagues, enough timeto finish tasks, etc.
Measuring JS: 4-level categorical variable
Six non-standard working arrangements (NWAs): varying hours, nights, long hours,
Sundays, long & varying hours, Sundays & nights
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Data
NWAs across countries in EWCS
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Data
Descriptive statistics
Variable
Full
sample
Reference
group
Varying
hours
Nights
Long
hours
Sundays
Long &
varying h.
Sundays
& nights
% satisfied with their job 82.9 85.1 84.6 75.5 81.0 78.3 83.7 76.2
Personal characteristics:
% of women 40.4 46.1 46.4 23.7 27.7 52.0 20.3 25.6
% of single hh 10.3 10.2 11.5 10.3 9.5 9.4 11.6 10.0
% of hh with a child aged¡7 yo 12.3 12.0 12.8 13.1 12.2 11.6 14.0 12.2
% of hh with an elder member 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.8 1.1 1.6 1.8 2.2
Job characteristics:
% working part-time 11.2 11.8 18.5 6.8 4.0 17.5 2.8 7.9
% working on Saturdays 37.6 23.1 30.9 35.8 33.8 89.7 33.5 90.7
% report hours fit schedules 81.9 89.5 86.4 74.7 78.4 71.6 71.1 58.1
% report supportive colleagues 92.7 92.5 91.1 92.4 95.1 92.6 93.2 93.2
% report enough time for tasks 92.8 94.1 93.6 93.5 89.6 92.4 88.1 91.9
% with long commute 29.7 27.0 30.6 28.1 36.2 26.3 40.6 32.0
hazardous conditions (count) 3.03 2.95 2.67 4.00 3.23 3.19 2.78 3.53
NWAs:
% working in varying hours 11.9 0 100 0 0 0 0 0
% working nights 3.6 0 0 100 0 0 0 0
% working in long hours 8.1 0 0 0 100 0 0 0
% working on Sundays 8.4 0 0 0 0 100 0 0
% working long&varying hours 8.7 0 0 0 0 0 100 0
% working on Sunday nights 8.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 100
Observations 56 107 28 378 6 312 1 728 4 461 5 577 4 408 5 243
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Results
ML works: true vs model JS in the sample
ML - Random Forest
Counterfactual JS
Parametric (Probit)
Counterfactual JS
Factual JS 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
Cell % Cell % Cell % Cell % Cell % Cell % Cell % Cell %
very satisfied (1) 15.6 3.9 1.8 1.2 2.3 20.7 0.0 0.0
satisfied (2) 11.2 35.0 10.0 6.3 1.8 58.7 0.2 0.0
dissatisfied (3) 1.2 1.5 8.1 1.4 0.1 13.0 0.2 0.0
very dissatisfied (4) 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.4 0.0 2.6 0.2 0.0
N 8 302 11 094 5 932 3 050 1 218 26 965 187 8
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Results
Does taking away NWAs improve job satisfaction?
We estimate a probability of mismatch in working arrangements in M1 and intensity of
mismatch in M2, obtained through a counterfactual experiment of taking away NWA.
Improvement(Y /N)i = β0 + βw × woman + βp × parent + γi woman × parent + δX + i (M1)
∆JSi = β0 + βw × woman + βp × parent + γi woman × parent + δX + i (M2)
Example 1: dissatisfied to very satisfied = 4 - 1 = 3
Example 2: very satisfied to dissatisfied = 1 - 4 = -3
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Results
Does taking away NWAs improve job satisfaction?
Varying hours Nights Long hours Sundays
Logit OLogit Logit OLogit Logit OLogit Logit OLogit
woman (βw ) -0.08 -0.12** -0.13 -0.19*** -0.29*** -0.32*** -0.01 -0.03
(0.07) (0.06) (0.10) (0.09) (0.06) (0.06) (0.07) (0.05)
parent (βp) -0.22** -0.26*** -0.19* -0.28*** -0.08 -0.12 -0.31*** -0.31***
(0.13) (0.11) (0.13) (0.11) (0.11) (0.09) (0.14) (0.09)
woman × parent (γ) -0.01 0.04 -0.54 0.01 0.09 0.10 0.15 0.17
(0.19) (0.13) (0.43) (0.25) (0.19) (0.17) (0.18) (0.13)
Observations 6 312 1 728 4 461 5 577
Long  varying hours Sundays  nights All NWA samples
Logit OLogit Logit OLogit Logit OLogit
woman (βw ) -0.30*** -0.31*** 0.01 -0.01 -0.12*** -0.15***
(0.08) (0.07) (0.05) (0.06) (0.03) (0.03)
parent (βp) -0.41*** -0.25*** -0.21*** -0.20*** -0.25*** -0.23***
(0.09) (0.08) (0.07) (0.06) (0.05) (0.04)
woman × parent (γ) 0.41** 0.23 0.37*** 0.29* 0.13*** 0.14***
(0.24) (0.16) (0.19) (0.19) (0.07) (0.06)
Observations 4 407 5 243 27 729
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Results
Mismatch in working arrangements across countries
We obtain aggregate level indicators. Classify workers into:
actual and counterfactual job satisfactions are the same – indifferent
a worker is just as well off with and without NWA
job satisfaction is higher in actual than in counterfactual – matched
a worker is better of keeping NWA and would lose from having standard working arrangements
job satisfaction is lower in actual than in counterfactual – mismatched
a worker would benefit from changing from NWA to standard working arrangements
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Results
Mismatch in working arrangements across countries
-.6
-.4
-.2
0
.2
.4
.6
Austria
Belgium
Bulgaria
Cyprus
Czech
Republic
Denmark
Estonia
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Ireland
Italy
Latvia
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Malta
Netherlands
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Slovakia
Slovenia
Spain
Sweden
United
Kingdom
Women: Men:
taking away NWA raises JS taking away NWA raises JS
taking away NWA reduces JS taking away NWA reduces JS
net change net change
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Results
Mismatch in working arrangements across countries
-.6
-.4
-.2
0
.2
.4
.6
Austria
Belgium
Bulgaria
Cyprus
Czech
Republic
Denmark
Estonia
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Ireland
Italy
Latvia
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Malta
Netherlands
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Slovakia
Slovenia
Spain
Sweden
United
Kingdom
Parents: Non-parents:
taking away NWA raises JS taking away NWA raises JS
taking away NWA reduces JS taking away NWA reduces JS
net change net change
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Conclusions
Implications of our study
We build on flexibility enactment theory and study match between workers and WA, focusing
on flexibility:
On the individual level: women and parents would not benefit from a change in working
arrangements.
On the country level: across countries, there is substantial room for improvement in job
satisfaction from reallocating the workers across working conditions.
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Conclusions
Implications of our study
We build on flexibility enactment theory and study match between workers and WA, focusing
on flexibility:
On the individual level: women and parents would not benefit from a change in working
arrangements.
On the country level: across countries, there is substantial room for improvement in job
satisfaction from reallocating the workers across working conditions.
BUT no one-size-fits-all policy is likely to be successful in raising the job satisfaction of all
workers.
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
Conclusions
Questions or suggestions?
Thank you!
w: grape.org.pl
t: grape org
f: grape.org
e: k.bech@grape.org.pl
Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction
References
References I
Atkinson, C., Lucas, R. and Hall, L.: 2011, Flexible working and happiness in the nhs, Employee Relations 33, 88–105.
Bainbridge, H. T. and Townsend, K.: 2020, The effects of offering flexible work practices to employees with unpaid caregiving
responsibilities for elderly or disabled family members, Human Resource Management 59(5), 483–495.
Bellmann, L. and Hübler, O.: 2020, Working from home, job satisfaction and work–life balance–robust or heterogeneous links?,
International Journal of Manpower .
Bloom, N., Liang, J., Roberts, J. and Ying, Z. J.: 2015, Does working from home work? evidence from a chinese experiment,
The Quarterly Journal of Economics 130(1), 165–218.
Hamplová, D.: 2019, Does work make mothers happy?, Journal of Happiness Studies 20(2), 471–497.
Hayman, J. R.: 2009, Flexible work arrangements: Exploring the linkages between perceived usability of flexible work schedules
and work/life balance, Community, work  family 12(3), 327–338.
Kossek, E. E., Lautsch, B. A. and Eaton, S. C.: 2004, Chapter 12: Flexibility enactment theory: Implications of flexibility type,
control, and boundary management for work-family effectiveness, Work and Life Integration: Organizational, Cultural and
Individual Perspectives, Psychology Press.
Lee, M. D., MacDermid, S. M., Williams, M. L., Buck, M. L. and Leiba-O’Sullivan, S.: 2002, Contextual factors in the success
of reduced-load work arrangements among managers and professionals, Human Resource Management 41(2), 209–223.
O’Connor, L. T. and Cech, E. A.: 2018, Not just a mothers’ problem: The consequences of perceived workplace flexibility bias
for all workers, Sociological Perspectives 61(5), 808–829.
Wheatley, D.: 2017, Employee satisfaction and use of flexible working arrangements, Work, Employment and Society
31(4), 567–585.

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Matching it up

  • 1. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Katarzyna Bech-Wysocka FAME|GRAPE and Warsaw School of Economics Magdalena Smyk FAME|GRAPE and Warsaw School of Economics Joanna Tyrowicz University of Regensburg, FAME| GRAPE and IZA Lucas van der Velde FAME|GRAPE and Warsaw School of Economics Baltic Economic Conference June 2023
  • 2. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Introduction Motivation Ambiguity haunts empirical work on job satisfaction and flexibility Wheatley (2017): correlations positive for M and negative for W Bellmann and Hübler (2020): patterns for JS unclear, correlations with WLB negative. Hayman (2009): correlations with FWC and WFC lower
  • 3. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Introduction Motivation Ambiguity haunts empirical work on job satisfaction and flexibility Wheatley (2017): correlations positive for M and negative for W Bellmann and Hübler (2020): patterns for JS unclear, correlations with WLB negative. Hayman (2009): correlations with FWC and WFC lower Workers offered flexibility are happy (Atkinson et al. 2011, Bloom et al. 2015, O’Connor and Cech 2018, Hamplová 2019)
  • 4. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Introduction Motivation Ambiguity haunts empirical work on job satisfaction and flexibility Wheatley (2017): correlations positive for M and negative for W Bellmann and Hübler (2020): patterns for JS unclear, correlations with WLB negative. Hayman (2009): correlations with FWC and WFC lower Workers offered flexibility are happy (Atkinson et al. 2011, Bloom et al. 2015, O’Connor and Cech 2018, Hamplová 2019) (Some) People lack boundary management strategies and suffer when forced to set them (Lee et al. 2002, Kossek et al. 2004, Bainbridge and Townsend 2020)
  • 5. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Contribution Our contribution Flexibility enactment theory → match between a person and work arrangements 1 Inclination to specific working arrangements (WA) is: individual,
  • 6. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Contribution Our contribution Flexibility enactment theory → match between a person and work arrangements 1 Inclination to specific working arrangements (WA) is: individual, potentially time-varying,
  • 7. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Contribution Our contribution Flexibility enactment theory → match between a person and work arrangements 1 Inclination to specific working arrangements (WA) is: individual, potentially time-varying, and unobservable
  • 8. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Contribution Our contribution Flexibility enactment theory → match between a person and work arrangements 1 Inclination to specific working arrangements (WA) is: individual, potentially time-varying, and unobservable 2 Machine learning to uncover latent link between JS and WA ... 3 ... and obtain counterfactual levels of JS ... 4 thus identify individuals who are (mis)matched Hypotheses H1 Ability to actively manage boundaries is higher for women and parents. H2 Overall job satisfaction with NWAs is higher than in a scenario eliminating NWAs.
  • 9. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Methodology Method Link between NWAs and JS is ambiguous and endogeneous ML methods: unarbitrary model of JS using individual and household characteristics job characteristics
  • 10. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Methodology Method Link between NWAs and JS is ambiguous and endogeneous ML methods: unarbitrary model of JS using individual and household characteristics job characteristics Strategy: Build a model of job satisfaction for the reference group (NWA = 0). Obtain counterfactual JS for each individual with NWA: as if a given individual had no NWA Compare the actual and the counterfactual levels of job satisfaction: ∆JSi = Factual JSi − Counterfactual JSi
  • 11. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Methodology Method Link between NWAs and JS is ambiguous and endogeneous ML methods: unarbitrary model of JS using individual and household characteristics job characteristics Strategy: Build a model of job satisfaction for the reference group (NWA = 0). Obtain counterfactual JS for each individual with NWA: as if a given individual had no NWA Compare the actual and the counterfactual levels of job satisfaction: ∆JSi = Factual JSi − Counterfactual JSi Only consider counterfactuals when NWA is removed. Selection bias if opposite considered.
  • 12. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Data European Working Conditions Survey Spans 1991-2015; every five years some necessary variables only available from the third wave: 2001-2015 36 countries (expanding), approx. 1000 workers utilize responses for salaried workers, aged between 18 and 65 years of age, employed within private entities
  • 13. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Data European Working Conditions Survey Spans 1991-2015; every five years some necessary variables only available from the third wave: 2001-2015 36 countries (expanding), approx. 1000 workers utilize responses for salaried workers, aged between 18 and 65 years of age, employed within private entities Broad range of individual and HH characteristics: gender, age, education, HH-structure, tenure, health, occupation, industry Rich data on work characteristics: temporary/permanent, (long) hours, work on weekends, commute, direct hazards, discomfort (tedious tasks, etc), wearing protective gear, hours fit schedules, supportive colleagues, enough timeto finish tasks, etc.
  • 14. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Data European Working Conditions Survey Spans 1991-2015; every five years some necessary variables only available from the third wave: 2001-2015 36 countries (expanding), approx. 1000 workers utilize responses for salaried workers, aged between 18 and 65 years of age, employed within private entities Broad range of individual and HH characteristics: gender, age, education, HH-structure, tenure, health, occupation, industry Rich data on work characteristics: temporary/permanent, (long) hours, work on weekends, commute, direct hazards, discomfort (tedious tasks, etc), wearing protective gear, hours fit schedules, supportive colleagues, enough timeto finish tasks, etc. Measuring JS: 4-level categorical variable
  • 15. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Data Job satisfaction across countries in waves in EWCS
  • 16. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Data European Working Conditions Survey Spans 1991-2015; every five years some necessary variables only available from the third wave: 2001-2015 36 countries (expanding), approx. 1000 workers utilize responses for salaried workers, aged between 18 and 65 years of age, employed within private entities Broad range of individual and HH characteristics: gender, age, education, HH-structure, tenure, health, occupation, industry Rich data on work characteristics: temporary/permanent, (long) hours, work on weekends, commute, direct hazards, discomfort (tedious tasks, etc), wearing protective gear, hours fit schedules, supportive colleagues, enough timeto finish tasks, etc. Measuring JS: 4-level categorical variable Six non-standard working arrangements (NWAs): varying hours, nights, long hours, Sundays, long & varying hours, Sundays & nights
  • 17. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Data NWAs across countries in EWCS
  • 18. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Data Descriptive statistics Variable Full sample Reference group Varying hours Nights Long hours Sundays Long & varying h. Sundays & nights % satisfied with their job 82.9 85.1 84.6 75.5 81.0 78.3 83.7 76.2 Personal characteristics: % of women 40.4 46.1 46.4 23.7 27.7 52.0 20.3 25.6 % of single hh 10.3 10.2 11.5 10.3 9.5 9.4 11.6 10.0 % of hh with a child aged¡7 yo 12.3 12.0 12.8 13.1 12.2 11.6 14.0 12.2 % of hh with an elder member 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.8 1.1 1.6 1.8 2.2 Job characteristics: % working part-time 11.2 11.8 18.5 6.8 4.0 17.5 2.8 7.9 % working on Saturdays 37.6 23.1 30.9 35.8 33.8 89.7 33.5 90.7 % report hours fit schedules 81.9 89.5 86.4 74.7 78.4 71.6 71.1 58.1 % report supportive colleagues 92.7 92.5 91.1 92.4 95.1 92.6 93.2 93.2 % report enough time for tasks 92.8 94.1 93.6 93.5 89.6 92.4 88.1 91.9 % with long commute 29.7 27.0 30.6 28.1 36.2 26.3 40.6 32.0 hazardous conditions (count) 3.03 2.95 2.67 4.00 3.23 3.19 2.78 3.53 NWAs: % working in varying hours 11.9 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 % working nights 3.6 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 % working in long hours 8.1 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 % working on Sundays 8.4 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 % working long&varying hours 8.7 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 % working on Sunday nights 8.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 Observations 56 107 28 378 6 312 1 728 4 461 5 577 4 408 5 243
  • 19. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Results ML works: true vs model JS in the sample ML - Random Forest Counterfactual JS Parametric (Probit) Counterfactual JS Factual JS 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 Cell % Cell % Cell % Cell % Cell % Cell % Cell % Cell % very satisfied (1) 15.6 3.9 1.8 1.2 2.3 20.7 0.0 0.0 satisfied (2) 11.2 35.0 10.0 6.3 1.8 58.7 0.2 0.0 dissatisfied (3) 1.2 1.5 8.1 1.4 0.1 13.0 0.2 0.0 very dissatisfied (4) 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.4 0.0 2.6 0.2 0.0 N 8 302 11 094 5 932 3 050 1 218 26 965 187 8
  • 20. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Results Does taking away NWAs improve job satisfaction? We estimate a probability of mismatch in working arrangements in M1 and intensity of mismatch in M2, obtained through a counterfactual experiment of taking away NWA. Improvement(Y /N)i = β0 + βw × woman + βp × parent + γi woman × parent + δX + i (M1) ∆JSi = β0 + βw × woman + βp × parent + γi woman × parent + δX + i (M2) Example 1: dissatisfied to very satisfied = 4 - 1 = 3 Example 2: very satisfied to dissatisfied = 1 - 4 = -3
  • 21. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Results Does taking away NWAs improve job satisfaction? Varying hours Nights Long hours Sundays Logit OLogit Logit OLogit Logit OLogit Logit OLogit woman (βw ) -0.08 -0.12** -0.13 -0.19*** -0.29*** -0.32*** -0.01 -0.03 (0.07) (0.06) (0.10) (0.09) (0.06) (0.06) (0.07) (0.05) parent (βp) -0.22** -0.26*** -0.19* -0.28*** -0.08 -0.12 -0.31*** -0.31*** (0.13) (0.11) (0.13) (0.11) (0.11) (0.09) (0.14) (0.09) woman × parent (γ) -0.01 0.04 -0.54 0.01 0.09 0.10 0.15 0.17 (0.19) (0.13) (0.43) (0.25) (0.19) (0.17) (0.18) (0.13) Observations 6 312 1 728 4 461 5 577 Long varying hours Sundays nights All NWA samples Logit OLogit Logit OLogit Logit OLogit woman (βw ) -0.30*** -0.31*** 0.01 -0.01 -0.12*** -0.15*** (0.08) (0.07) (0.05) (0.06) (0.03) (0.03) parent (βp) -0.41*** -0.25*** -0.21*** -0.20*** -0.25*** -0.23*** (0.09) (0.08) (0.07) (0.06) (0.05) (0.04) woman × parent (γ) 0.41** 0.23 0.37*** 0.29* 0.13*** 0.14*** (0.24) (0.16) (0.19) (0.19) (0.07) (0.06) Observations 4 407 5 243 27 729
  • 22. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Results Mismatch in working arrangements across countries We obtain aggregate level indicators. Classify workers into: actual and counterfactual job satisfactions are the same – indifferent a worker is just as well off with and without NWA job satisfaction is higher in actual than in counterfactual – matched a worker is better of keeping NWA and would lose from having standard working arrangements job satisfaction is lower in actual than in counterfactual – mismatched a worker would benefit from changing from NWA to standard working arrangements
  • 23. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Results Mismatch in working arrangements across countries -.6 -.4 -.2 0 .2 .4 .6 Austria Belgium Bulgaria Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom Women: Men: taking away NWA raises JS taking away NWA raises JS taking away NWA reduces JS taking away NWA reduces JS net change net change
  • 24. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Results Mismatch in working arrangements across countries -.6 -.4 -.2 0 .2 .4 .6 Austria Belgium Bulgaria Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom Parents: Non-parents: taking away NWA raises JS taking away NWA raises JS taking away NWA reduces JS taking away NWA reduces JS net change net change
  • 25. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Conclusions Implications of our study We build on flexibility enactment theory and study match between workers and WA, focusing on flexibility: On the individual level: women and parents would not benefit from a change in working arrangements. On the country level: across countries, there is substantial room for improvement in job satisfaction from reallocating the workers across working conditions.
  • 26. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Conclusions Implications of our study We build on flexibility enactment theory and study match between workers and WA, focusing on flexibility: On the individual level: women and parents would not benefit from a change in working arrangements. On the country level: across countries, there is substantial room for improvement in job satisfaction from reallocating the workers across working conditions. BUT no one-size-fits-all policy is likely to be successful in raising the job satisfaction of all workers.
  • 27. Matching it up: working arrangements and job satisfaction Conclusions Questions or suggestions? Thank you! w: grape.org.pl t: grape org f: grape.org e: k.bech@grape.org.pl
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