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Pushed into necessity?
Pushed into necessity?
Labor market inequality and entrepreneurship of a disadvantaged group
Work in progress.
EARHART Project funded by Norway Grants (2019/34/H/HS4/00481)
Magdalena Smyk and Joanna Tyrowicz
FAME|GRAPE
April 2022
Pushed into necessity?
Motivation
Pushed into necessity?
Long standing debate: disadvantaged workers and self-employment
mixed evidence, rarely direct
aspirations vs. lack of alternatives
Methodological constraints
usually cannot observe that someone was “discriminated against”...
... prior to becoming self-employed
Story behind “discrimination” – can arguments work?
no: clients’ taste + co-workers’ taste
yes: statistical
Pushed into necessity?
Motivation
Preview of results
Our contribution
1 Theoretical framework
2 Empirical test
⇒ estimates available for gender employment & wage gaps (GEG, GWG)
Intuitions ⇒ hypotheses
Greater labor market inequality amplifies the prevalence of self-employment
among women (out of necessity)
Wage inequality may operate weaker than employment inequality
We find:
positive & robust effect of GEG on (necessity) female entrepreneurship
lack of the link between GWG and female self-employment
puzzling: small positive effect on aspirational self-employment
Pushed into necessity?
Motivation
Structure of the talk
1 Motivation
2 Insights & theory
3 Method
4 Data
5 Model
6 Results
7 Conclusions
Pushed into necessity?
Insights & theory
Insights from earlier studies
Unemployment as push factor to entrepreneurship
positive - lower opportunity costs (Evans and Jovanovic 1989, Blanchflower and
Meyer 1994)
negative - lack of physical capital (Johansson 2000, Hurst and Lusardi 2004)
Entrepreneurship among women
different types of products and services (Coleman 2000, Verheul et al. 2006,
Orser et al. 2006)
enhancing women’s relative power in the household (returns from education,
children development, work-life balance; Minniti and Naude 2010)
gendered institutions - women react stronger to institutional barriers (Estrin and
Mickiewicz 2011)
education, empowerment, unadjusted wage gap (Kobeissi 2010) ⇒ similarities vs
differences
Pushed into necessity?
Insights & theory
How to conceptualize
Extend the model by Fonseca et al (2001)
π - SE payoff, ω - work payoff, K - start-up cost and α - distribution of
enterpreneurial skill
Individuals may have a gender ⇒ women are disadvantaged in employment /
wages (but not productivity): ω(1 − γ).
m and w - costs of being self-employed, also gender-specific.
For becoming self-employed:
M: (α − m)π − K > ω ⇒ Sm =
ω + K
π
+ m,
W: (α − w)π − K > ω(1 − γ) ⇒ Sw =
(1 − γ)ω + K
π
+ w
This yields a gap in self-employment by gender
ew − em = −1/γ ∗ π/ω + 1/(w − m)
Pushed into necessity?
Insights & theory
How to conceptualize
Extend the model by Fonseca et al (2001)
π - SE payoff, ω - work payoff, K - start-up cost and α - distribution of
enterpreneurial skill
Individuals may have a gender ⇒ women are disadvantaged in employment /
wages (but not productivity): ω(1 − γ).
m and w - costs of being self-employed, also gender-specific.
For becoming self-employed:
M: (α − m)π − K > ω ⇒ Sm =
ω + K
π
+ m,
W: (α − w)π − K > ω(1 − γ) ⇒ Sw =
(1 − γ)ω + K
π
+ w
”Frequency” of choosing self-employment for women:
ew = −1/γ ∗ π/ω + 1/(w − m) + em
If γ (so GEG or GWG) ↑ ⇒ ew ↑
Pushed into necessity?
Method
What do we do
1 GEM: separate self-employment out of necessity and aspirational self-employment
2 Indicators of gender wage gap and employment gap adjusted for individual
characteristics
3 Use theoretical model for econometric specification
4 Multi-level regression (following Estrin and coauthors)
Pushed into necessity?
Method
How to measure gender inequality?
Own collection of individual-level labor market data:
two restrictions: hourly wage and individual characteristics (gender, age and
wage)
sources: LFS’s, EUROSTAT, IPUMS, LISSY, LSMS, ISSP,
Nopo (2008) decomposition to obtain employment and wage gaps
max: 54 countries, 17 years (after matching with GEM)
Pushed into necessity?
Method
Data on entrepreneurship and self-employment
Global Entrepreneurship Monitor
Adult Population Survey - representative for working population
At least two thousand respondents from each participating country (100+)
Questions (among others) on entrepreneurship activities, aspirations and plans
Three parts of the survey:
new firms ⇒ someone who has just established a firm
established firms ⇒ characteristics
business plans for the future ⇒ aspirations
Pushed into necessity?
Data
Matching between GEM and our data sources
GEM and GEG/GWG data available for diverse countries / years
Exact matching: that same year & country in both
Yields: 52 countries for GEG and 49 countries for GWG
If exact unavailable, inexact matching: +/- 5 years of GEM data relative to
GEG/GWG data
Yields: 54 countries for GEG and 51 countries for GWG
Pushed into necessity?
Model
From theory to data
SELF-EMPLOYED LOGIT LOGIT LOGIT
WOMEN (1) clustered MULITLEVEL
MIXED EFF
GEG<t−5;t+5> 1.2826*** 1.2826*** 1.3253***
(0.0197) (0.0956) (0.0878)
Age 1.1291*** 1.1291*** 1.1323***
(0.0015) (0.0053) (0.0015)
Age2
0.9986*** 0.9986*** 0.9986***
(0.0000) (0.0001) (0.0000)
Tertiary education 1.1354*** 1.1354*** 1.1642***
(0.0070) (0.0230) (0.0075)
Knows Entrepreneur 2.5631*** 2.5631*** 2.5918***
(0.0154) (0.0440) (0.0159)
Business Angel 1.8626*** 1.8626*** 1.8600***
(0.0249) (0.0823) (0.0251)
Share of SE men 1.0409*** 1.0409*** 1.0386***
(0.0006) (0.0032) (0.0028)
Share of aspirational SE 1.0158*** 1.0158*** 1.0253***
(0.0013) (0.0060) (0.0066)
Constant 0.0035*** 0.0035*** 0.0032***
(0.0001) (0.0004) (0.0002)
Observations 934,119 934,119 934,119
Number of groups 556
Log Likelihood -377966.01 -377966.01 -374150.68
LR test statistic (χ2
) 7630.66
LR test p-value 0.0000
Pushed into necessity?
Results
Self-employment of women and gender inequality on the labor market
Self-Employed Early-stage SE due to
(all categories) (all) Necessity Aspirations
(1) (2) (3) (4)
GEG<t−5;t+5> 1.3253*** 1.5742*** 3.1102*** 1.1655**
(0.0878) (0.1150) (0.3808) (0.0852)
Obs. 934,119 934,119 934,119 934,119
No. of groups 556 556 556 556
GEG<t> 1.3991*** 1.5482*** 2.8872*** 1.1522*
(0.1011) (0.1236) (0.3882) (0.0937)
Obs. 858,493 858,493 858,493 858,493
No. of groups 497 497 497 497
GWG<t−5;t+5> 1.2129 0.9662 1.2602 1.0985
(0.1786) (0.1684) (0.3833) (0.1852)
Obs. 905,667 905,667 905,667 905,667
No. of groups 552 552 552 552
GWG<t> 1.0185 0.9718 1.3103 0.9986
(0.1897) (0.2051) (0.4732) (0.2101)
Obs. 751,582 751,582 751,582 751,582
No. of groups 429 429 429 429
Pushed into necessity?
Conclusions
Conclusions
Robust evidence for link between GEG and self-employment among women,
especially necessity driven
Weak evidence for aspirations
Lack of the link for GWG
Robustness checks
several different definitions of self-employment
different estimation methods
Pushed into necessity?
Conclusions
Thank you!
msmyk@grape.org.pl

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ENTIME_GEM___GAP.pdf

  • 1. Pushed into necessity? Pushed into necessity? Labor market inequality and entrepreneurship of a disadvantaged group Work in progress. EARHART Project funded by Norway Grants (2019/34/H/HS4/00481) Magdalena Smyk and Joanna Tyrowicz FAME|GRAPE April 2022
  • 2. Pushed into necessity? Motivation Pushed into necessity? Long standing debate: disadvantaged workers and self-employment mixed evidence, rarely direct aspirations vs. lack of alternatives Methodological constraints usually cannot observe that someone was “discriminated against”... ... prior to becoming self-employed Story behind “discrimination” – can arguments work? no: clients’ taste + co-workers’ taste yes: statistical
  • 3. Pushed into necessity? Motivation Preview of results Our contribution 1 Theoretical framework 2 Empirical test ⇒ estimates available for gender employment & wage gaps (GEG, GWG) Intuitions ⇒ hypotheses Greater labor market inequality amplifies the prevalence of self-employment among women (out of necessity) Wage inequality may operate weaker than employment inequality We find: positive & robust effect of GEG on (necessity) female entrepreneurship lack of the link between GWG and female self-employment puzzling: small positive effect on aspirational self-employment
  • 4. Pushed into necessity? Motivation Structure of the talk 1 Motivation 2 Insights & theory 3 Method 4 Data 5 Model 6 Results 7 Conclusions
  • 5. Pushed into necessity? Insights & theory Insights from earlier studies Unemployment as push factor to entrepreneurship positive - lower opportunity costs (Evans and Jovanovic 1989, Blanchflower and Meyer 1994) negative - lack of physical capital (Johansson 2000, Hurst and Lusardi 2004) Entrepreneurship among women different types of products and services (Coleman 2000, Verheul et al. 2006, Orser et al. 2006) enhancing women’s relative power in the household (returns from education, children development, work-life balance; Minniti and Naude 2010) gendered institutions - women react stronger to institutional barriers (Estrin and Mickiewicz 2011) education, empowerment, unadjusted wage gap (Kobeissi 2010) ⇒ similarities vs differences
  • 6. Pushed into necessity? Insights & theory How to conceptualize Extend the model by Fonseca et al (2001) π - SE payoff, ω - work payoff, K - start-up cost and α - distribution of enterpreneurial skill Individuals may have a gender ⇒ women are disadvantaged in employment / wages (but not productivity): ω(1 − γ). m and w - costs of being self-employed, also gender-specific. For becoming self-employed: M: (α − m)π − K > ω ⇒ Sm = ω + K π + m, W: (α − w)π − K > ω(1 − γ) ⇒ Sw = (1 − γ)ω + K π + w This yields a gap in self-employment by gender ew − em = −1/γ ∗ π/ω + 1/(w − m)
  • 7. Pushed into necessity? Insights & theory How to conceptualize Extend the model by Fonseca et al (2001) π - SE payoff, ω - work payoff, K - start-up cost and α - distribution of enterpreneurial skill Individuals may have a gender ⇒ women are disadvantaged in employment / wages (but not productivity): ω(1 − γ). m and w - costs of being self-employed, also gender-specific. For becoming self-employed: M: (α − m)π − K > ω ⇒ Sm = ω + K π + m, W: (α − w)π − K > ω(1 − γ) ⇒ Sw = (1 − γ)ω + K π + w ”Frequency” of choosing self-employment for women: ew = −1/γ ∗ π/ω + 1/(w − m) + em If γ (so GEG or GWG) ↑ ⇒ ew ↑
  • 8. Pushed into necessity? Method What do we do 1 GEM: separate self-employment out of necessity and aspirational self-employment 2 Indicators of gender wage gap and employment gap adjusted for individual characteristics 3 Use theoretical model for econometric specification 4 Multi-level regression (following Estrin and coauthors)
  • 9. Pushed into necessity? Method How to measure gender inequality? Own collection of individual-level labor market data: two restrictions: hourly wage and individual characteristics (gender, age and wage) sources: LFS’s, EUROSTAT, IPUMS, LISSY, LSMS, ISSP, Nopo (2008) decomposition to obtain employment and wage gaps max: 54 countries, 17 years (after matching with GEM)
  • 10. Pushed into necessity? Method Data on entrepreneurship and self-employment Global Entrepreneurship Monitor Adult Population Survey - representative for working population At least two thousand respondents from each participating country (100+) Questions (among others) on entrepreneurship activities, aspirations and plans Three parts of the survey: new firms ⇒ someone who has just established a firm established firms ⇒ characteristics business plans for the future ⇒ aspirations
  • 11. Pushed into necessity? Data Matching between GEM and our data sources GEM and GEG/GWG data available for diverse countries / years Exact matching: that same year & country in both Yields: 52 countries for GEG and 49 countries for GWG If exact unavailable, inexact matching: +/- 5 years of GEM data relative to GEG/GWG data Yields: 54 countries for GEG and 51 countries for GWG
  • 12. Pushed into necessity? Model From theory to data SELF-EMPLOYED LOGIT LOGIT LOGIT WOMEN (1) clustered MULITLEVEL MIXED EFF GEG<t−5;t+5> 1.2826*** 1.2826*** 1.3253*** (0.0197) (0.0956) (0.0878) Age 1.1291*** 1.1291*** 1.1323*** (0.0015) (0.0053) (0.0015) Age2 0.9986*** 0.9986*** 0.9986*** (0.0000) (0.0001) (0.0000) Tertiary education 1.1354*** 1.1354*** 1.1642*** (0.0070) (0.0230) (0.0075) Knows Entrepreneur 2.5631*** 2.5631*** 2.5918*** (0.0154) (0.0440) (0.0159) Business Angel 1.8626*** 1.8626*** 1.8600*** (0.0249) (0.0823) (0.0251) Share of SE men 1.0409*** 1.0409*** 1.0386*** (0.0006) (0.0032) (0.0028) Share of aspirational SE 1.0158*** 1.0158*** 1.0253*** (0.0013) (0.0060) (0.0066) Constant 0.0035*** 0.0035*** 0.0032*** (0.0001) (0.0004) (0.0002) Observations 934,119 934,119 934,119 Number of groups 556 Log Likelihood -377966.01 -377966.01 -374150.68 LR test statistic (χ2 ) 7630.66 LR test p-value 0.0000
  • 13. Pushed into necessity? Results Self-employment of women and gender inequality on the labor market Self-Employed Early-stage SE due to (all categories) (all) Necessity Aspirations (1) (2) (3) (4) GEG<t−5;t+5> 1.3253*** 1.5742*** 3.1102*** 1.1655** (0.0878) (0.1150) (0.3808) (0.0852) Obs. 934,119 934,119 934,119 934,119 No. of groups 556 556 556 556 GEG<t> 1.3991*** 1.5482*** 2.8872*** 1.1522* (0.1011) (0.1236) (0.3882) (0.0937) Obs. 858,493 858,493 858,493 858,493 No. of groups 497 497 497 497 GWG<t−5;t+5> 1.2129 0.9662 1.2602 1.0985 (0.1786) (0.1684) (0.3833) (0.1852) Obs. 905,667 905,667 905,667 905,667 No. of groups 552 552 552 552 GWG<t> 1.0185 0.9718 1.3103 0.9986 (0.1897) (0.2051) (0.4732) (0.2101) Obs. 751,582 751,582 751,582 751,582 No. of groups 429 429 429 429
  • 14. Pushed into necessity? Conclusions Conclusions Robust evidence for link between GEG and self-employment among women, especially necessity driven Weak evidence for aspirations Lack of the link for GWG Robustness checks several different definitions of self-employment different estimation methods
  • 15. Pushed into necessity? Conclusions Thank you! msmyk@grape.org.pl