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Market Analysis
On Medicine Segment
Of Health Care Industry
Presented By
Vartika Bisht
Health Care Industry
45 51.7
59.5
68.4 72.8
81.3
100
160
280
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2014 2015 2017F 2018F
Healthcare Sector Growth Trend
(US$)
• Healthcare industry is growing at a tremendous
pace owing to its strengthening coverage, services
and increasing expenditure by public as well private
players
• During 2008-20, the market is expected to record a
CAGR of 17 per cent
• The total industry size currently is USD100 and is
expected to touch USD160 billion by 2017 and
USD280 billion by 2020
• As per the Ministry of Health, development of 50
technologies has been targeted in the FY16, for the
treatment of disease like Cancer and TB
• Per capita healthcare expenditure is estimated at a
CAGR of 11.3 per cent during FY 2008–15E to US$
91 billion by 2015
• Greater penetration of health insurance and rise in
economic prosperity aided the rise in healthcare
spending
Segments of HealthCare Industry
Health Care
Hospitals
Private
Hospitals
Government
Hospitals
Pharmaceuticals
Formulations
API/Bulk Drugs
Medical
Equipment
Diagnostics
Medical
Insurance
71%
13%
9%
4%3%
Expenditure on Various Segments
Hospitals
Pharmaceuticals
Medical Equipment and
Supplies
Medical Insurance
Diagnostics
Pharmaceuticals
Pharmaceutical
Industry
Active
Pharmaceutical
Ingredients (API)
Branded
Generics
Contract Research
and Manufacturing
Services (CRAMS)
Formulation
Chronic
Acute
Biosimilars
• India is expected to be the third largest
global generic API merchant market by
2016, with a 7.2 per cent market share
• CRAMS industry is estimated to reach
USD18 billion in 2018, up from USD7.6–
7.8 billion in 2013
• Largest exporter of formulations in
terms of volume, with 14 per cent
market share and 12th in terms of
export value
• Domestic market size in formulations
currently valued at USD11.2 billion
• Biosimilar’s sector is expected to touch
USD1.4 billion by 2016 from USD580
million in 2013
Pharmaceutical Sector
6
12
20
55
2005 2013 2015 2020F
Revenue of Indian
Pharmaceutical Sector (USD
Billion)
• The Indian pharmaceuticals market increased at a CAGR of
12.79 per cent in 2015 from USD 6 billion in 2005, and is
expected to expand at a CAGR of 15.92 per cent to USD55
billion by 2020
• By 2020, India is likely to be among the top three
pharmaceutical markets by incremental growth and sixth
largest market globally in absolute size
• India’s cost of production is significantly lower than that of
the US and almost half of that of Europe. It gives a
competitive edge to India over others.
• Increase in the size of middle class households coupled with
the improvement in medical infrastructure and increase in
the penetration of health insurance in the country will also
influence in the growth of pharmaceuticals sector.
Segments of Pharma Market
71%
19%
10%
Revenue Share of Pharmaceutical
Sub-Segments
Generic Drugs
OTC Medicines
Patented Drugs
• With 71 per cent of market share (in terms of
revenues), generic drugs form the largest segment
of the Indian pharmaceutical sector
• Over the Counter (OTC) medicines and Patented
drugs constitute 19 per cent and 10 per cent,
respectively, of total market revenues of USD20
billion
16%
13%
11%
8%9%
7%
7%
29%
Indian Pharmaceutical Market
Segments
Anti-Infectice
Cardiovascular
Gastro-Intestinal
Vitamins & Mineral
Respiratory
Pain/Analgesic
Anti-Diabetic
• Anti-infective drugs command the largest share (16
per cent) in the Indian pharma market
• The cardiovascular segment represents 13 per cent
of the market share; its contribution is likely to rise
due to the growing number of cardiac cases in India
• Top five segments contribute nearly 57 per cent to
the total drugs consumption
Import and Export in Pharmaceuticals
2
3
4
5 5
7
9
10
8
0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.2
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
Trade Data of Indian Pharmaceutical Sector
Exports Imports
• In terms of value, exports of pharmaceutical products increased at a CAGR of 26.1** per cent to USD10.1
billion during FY06–13
• During the same period, imports of pharmaceutical products rose at a CAGR of 25.4** per cent to USD1.8
billion
Market Share of Top Players
1.66
1.61
1.55
1.17
0.8
DR REDDY RUPIN CIPLA AURBINDO CADILA
Revenue of Leading Companies (USD
Million)
• Dr. Reddy’s has the largest share (24.45 per
cent) in the Indian pharmaceutical market, with
sales of USD1.66 billion during March 2015
• Lupin has the second largest share of 23.71 per
cent in the Indian pharmaceutical market with
sales of USD1.61 billion.
• Cipla, with a revenue base of USD 1.55 billion
for March 2015 sales, ranks third in the market
• Aurobindo ranks fourth in the market, with a
revenue base of USD 1.17 billion for March
2015 sales
• While these top four companies garnered 20
per cent market share, top 10 companies
comprise nearly 39 per cent of the market share
Porter’s Five Force Analysis
Competitive
Rivalry
(High)
Threat of
New
Entrants
(Low)
Threat of
Substitute
Products
(Low)
Bargaining
Power of
Suppliers
(Medium)
Bargaining
Power of
Customers
(High)
Competitive Rivalry
• Growth opportunities for pharma companies are expected to grow in
next few years, with many drugs going off-patent in the US and other
countries, thus increasing competition
• Indian pharma companies will face competition from big pharma
companies, backed by huge financial muscle
Threat of New Entrants
• Strict government regulations
thwart entry of new players
• Difficult to survive because of
high gestation period
Substitute Products
• Threat to substitute products is
low; however, homeopathy
and Ayurvedic medicines can
act as substitute
Bargaining Power of
Suppliers
• Difficult-to-manufacture APIs
such as steroids, sex hormones
and peptides give bargaining
power to suppliers. However,
generic APIs do not have much
of that power
Bargaining Power of
Customers
• Generic drugs offer a cost
effective alternative to drugs
innovators and significant
savings to customers
• Biosimilars offer significant
cost saving for insurance
Growth Drivers
Growth
Drivers
Demand
Side
Drivers
Policy
Support
Supply
Side
Drivers
• Accessibility of drugs to greatly improve
• Increasing penetration of health insurance
• Growing number of stress related diseases
due to change in lifestyle
• Better diagnostic facilities
• Cost advantage
• India a major
manufacturing hub for
generics
• 546 sites registered at
USFDA
• Increasing penetration of
chemists
• Reduction in approval
time for new facilities
• Focus on specialised
pharma education
• Improved accessibility
for BPL people
• Exemptions to drugs
manufactured through
indigenous R&D from
price control under
NPPP-2012
Appendix
Thank You
Sources Used
• IBEF August 2015 Report on Pharmaceutical and Healthcare Industry
• Dun & Bradsheet, TechSci Rese
• PwC, McKinsey, TechSci Research
• Business Monitor International, FCCI Indian Pharma
• All Indian Origin Chemists & Distributors
• Department of Commerce India, Planning Commission
• All Indian Origin Chemists & Distributors
• Pharmaceutical Export Promotion Council

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Market analysis of medicine segment in health care

  • 1. Market Analysis On Medicine Segment Of Health Care Industry Presented By Vartika Bisht
  • 2. Health Care Industry 45 51.7 59.5 68.4 72.8 81.3 100 160 280 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2014 2015 2017F 2018F Healthcare Sector Growth Trend (US$) • Healthcare industry is growing at a tremendous pace owing to its strengthening coverage, services and increasing expenditure by public as well private players • During 2008-20, the market is expected to record a CAGR of 17 per cent • The total industry size currently is USD100 and is expected to touch USD160 billion by 2017 and USD280 billion by 2020 • As per the Ministry of Health, development of 50 technologies has been targeted in the FY16, for the treatment of disease like Cancer and TB • Per capita healthcare expenditure is estimated at a CAGR of 11.3 per cent during FY 2008–15E to US$ 91 billion by 2015 • Greater penetration of health insurance and rise in economic prosperity aided the rise in healthcare spending
  • 3. Segments of HealthCare Industry Health Care Hospitals Private Hospitals Government Hospitals Pharmaceuticals Formulations API/Bulk Drugs Medical Equipment Diagnostics Medical Insurance 71% 13% 9% 4%3% Expenditure on Various Segments Hospitals Pharmaceuticals Medical Equipment and Supplies Medical Insurance Diagnostics
  • 4. Pharmaceuticals Pharmaceutical Industry Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (API) Branded Generics Contract Research and Manufacturing Services (CRAMS) Formulation Chronic Acute Biosimilars • India is expected to be the third largest global generic API merchant market by 2016, with a 7.2 per cent market share • CRAMS industry is estimated to reach USD18 billion in 2018, up from USD7.6– 7.8 billion in 2013 • Largest exporter of formulations in terms of volume, with 14 per cent market share and 12th in terms of export value • Domestic market size in formulations currently valued at USD11.2 billion • Biosimilar’s sector is expected to touch USD1.4 billion by 2016 from USD580 million in 2013
  • 5. Pharmaceutical Sector 6 12 20 55 2005 2013 2015 2020F Revenue of Indian Pharmaceutical Sector (USD Billion) • The Indian pharmaceuticals market increased at a CAGR of 12.79 per cent in 2015 from USD 6 billion in 2005, and is expected to expand at a CAGR of 15.92 per cent to USD55 billion by 2020 • By 2020, India is likely to be among the top three pharmaceutical markets by incremental growth and sixth largest market globally in absolute size • India’s cost of production is significantly lower than that of the US and almost half of that of Europe. It gives a competitive edge to India over others. • Increase in the size of middle class households coupled with the improvement in medical infrastructure and increase in the penetration of health insurance in the country will also influence in the growth of pharmaceuticals sector.
  • 6. Segments of Pharma Market 71% 19% 10% Revenue Share of Pharmaceutical Sub-Segments Generic Drugs OTC Medicines Patented Drugs • With 71 per cent of market share (in terms of revenues), generic drugs form the largest segment of the Indian pharmaceutical sector • Over the Counter (OTC) medicines and Patented drugs constitute 19 per cent and 10 per cent, respectively, of total market revenues of USD20 billion 16% 13% 11% 8%9% 7% 7% 29% Indian Pharmaceutical Market Segments Anti-Infectice Cardiovascular Gastro-Intestinal Vitamins & Mineral Respiratory Pain/Analgesic Anti-Diabetic • Anti-infective drugs command the largest share (16 per cent) in the Indian pharma market • The cardiovascular segment represents 13 per cent of the market share; its contribution is likely to rise due to the growing number of cardiac cases in India • Top five segments contribute nearly 57 per cent to the total drugs consumption
  • 7. Import and Export in Pharmaceuticals 2 3 4 5 5 7 9 10 8 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.2 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 Trade Data of Indian Pharmaceutical Sector Exports Imports • In terms of value, exports of pharmaceutical products increased at a CAGR of 26.1** per cent to USD10.1 billion during FY06–13 • During the same period, imports of pharmaceutical products rose at a CAGR of 25.4** per cent to USD1.8 billion
  • 8. Market Share of Top Players 1.66 1.61 1.55 1.17 0.8 DR REDDY RUPIN CIPLA AURBINDO CADILA Revenue of Leading Companies (USD Million) • Dr. Reddy’s has the largest share (24.45 per cent) in the Indian pharmaceutical market, with sales of USD1.66 billion during March 2015 • Lupin has the second largest share of 23.71 per cent in the Indian pharmaceutical market with sales of USD1.61 billion. • Cipla, with a revenue base of USD 1.55 billion for March 2015 sales, ranks third in the market • Aurobindo ranks fourth in the market, with a revenue base of USD 1.17 billion for March 2015 sales • While these top four companies garnered 20 per cent market share, top 10 companies comprise nearly 39 per cent of the market share
  • 9. Porter’s Five Force Analysis Competitive Rivalry (High) Threat of New Entrants (Low) Threat of Substitute Products (Low) Bargaining Power of Suppliers (Medium) Bargaining Power of Customers (High) Competitive Rivalry • Growth opportunities for pharma companies are expected to grow in next few years, with many drugs going off-patent in the US and other countries, thus increasing competition • Indian pharma companies will face competition from big pharma companies, backed by huge financial muscle Threat of New Entrants • Strict government regulations thwart entry of new players • Difficult to survive because of high gestation period Substitute Products • Threat to substitute products is low; however, homeopathy and Ayurvedic medicines can act as substitute Bargaining Power of Suppliers • Difficult-to-manufacture APIs such as steroids, sex hormones and peptides give bargaining power to suppliers. However, generic APIs do not have much of that power Bargaining Power of Customers • Generic drugs offer a cost effective alternative to drugs innovators and significant savings to customers • Biosimilars offer significant cost saving for insurance
  • 10. Growth Drivers Growth Drivers Demand Side Drivers Policy Support Supply Side Drivers • Accessibility of drugs to greatly improve • Increasing penetration of health insurance • Growing number of stress related diseases due to change in lifestyle • Better diagnostic facilities • Cost advantage • India a major manufacturing hub for generics • 546 sites registered at USFDA • Increasing penetration of chemists • Reduction in approval time for new facilities • Focus on specialised pharma education • Improved accessibility for BPL people • Exemptions to drugs manufactured through indigenous R&D from price control under NPPP-2012
  • 11. Appendix Thank You Sources Used • IBEF August 2015 Report on Pharmaceutical and Healthcare Industry • Dun & Bradsheet, TechSci Rese • PwC, McKinsey, TechSci Research • Business Monitor International, FCCI Indian Pharma • All Indian Origin Chemists & Distributors • Department of Commerce India, Planning Commission • All Indian Origin Chemists & Distributors • Pharmaceutical Export Promotion Council