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James Malone
E: james@factbio.com
T: @jamesmalone
It’s 2017
The world’s gone mad
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
for
Metadata formats are the new
data formats
• There are scores of bio-metadata efforts that
are not overlapping but actually kinda are
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
BIOCONTAINERS
Turns out I was wrong
• Last few years have only strengthened my
view I was wrong
• In 2012 ICBO I was invited to sit on the
discussion panel
• Competition turns out not be good thing –
the bad stuff never goes away
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Ontology developers need users more
than users need ontology developers
Bad Good
Sectarianism Competition
Subjective discrimination Scientific evidence
Telling users they’re doing it wrong Listening to users
Alienating communities Encouraging discussion (even
when we don’t agree)
Philosophy Philosophy
Pepsi Coca Cola
THE GOOD, THE BAD, AND THE FUNDING
My ICBO 2012 panel slide
Bad Good
Mappings between standards Standards
Schisms in clinical data world Clinical adoption of ontologies
High barriers to entry Helping share open data
Ownership credit Community credit
Complexities in applying
common framework*
Common framework
Talks that don’t mention
metadata standards
Talks about metadata
standards
My ICBO 2017 version
Clinic icon by ibrandify / Freepik
Past is prologue
• 1960 – MeSH first published
• 1965 – SNOMED born
• 1969 – ICD6 published
• 1994 – ICD10 came into use by WHO
• 1997 – Enterprise Vocabulary Services (EVS) Project was launched
• 1997 – Skynet becomes self-aware
• 1998 – Gene Ontology born
• 1999 – SNOMED-CT born
• 2001 – OBO born
• 2003 – NCI Thesaurus OWL published
• 2003 – Human Disease Ontology (then just disease ontology) born
• 2004 – Mammalian Phenotype ontology released
• 2004 – First ChEBI released
• 2005 – NCBO becomes NIH National Centre for Biomedical Computing
• c2006 – OBO Foundry established
• 2008 – First EFO development
• 2009 – First ICBO
• 2009-2017 – Rapid growth of new OBO bio-ontologies from 60 to 155
• 2017 – 20th Bio-ontologies meet at ISMB
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Historical Perspective
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Bodenreider and Robert Stevens (2007) Bio-ontologies: current trends and future
directions. Brief Bioinform. 2006 Sep; 7(3): 256–274.
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Still growing?
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Ontologies
Ontology
Normalised
(accounting for all citations)
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
0
5000000
10000000
15000000
20000000
25000000
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Total citations
Total cit
0
0.002
0.004
0.006
0.008
0.01
0.012
0.014
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Count
Count
Have we won yet?
• How do we measure success?
• The Gene Ontology is now seen as an everyday ‘tool’
– Embedded in many analysis tools
– Literature mining, tagging articles
– Gene set enrichment
• It has penetration: I have many conversations with
clinicians talking about GO Codes or enrichment but
not nothing about ‘ontologies’
• It has no competitor
• Is a de facto standard for gene function annotation
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
HPO not won yet..
• …but is probably 2-0 up at half-time
• HPO being adopted by major clinical projects
• Opportunity remains for other bio-ontologies..
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
What about biggest areas?
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
https://report.nih.gov/categorical_spending.aspx
$M
$1,000M
$2,000M
$3,000M
$4,000M
$5,000M
$6,000M
$7,000M
$8,000M
Neurosciences Cancer Infectious
Diseases
Women's
Health
Brain Disorders Rare Diseases Pediatric Aging
FY 2013Actual
FY 2014Actual
FY 2015Actual
FY 2016Actual
FY 2017Estimated
FY 2018Estimated
Spendinginmillions
• Disease remains huge spend area
“Which disease standard should
I use?”
Clinical
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Disease
Disease
Disease
Disease
Disease
Disease
Disease
Disease
Disease
Disease
CDISC stepping up clinical
standards
14 September, 2017
SNOMED CT in NHS
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
With modest grant funding, what Open
Bio-ontologies have done is remarkable
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
• Protégé and OBO-Edit are excellent tools
• These are organisations backing the Allotrope efforts in data models and
ontologies
• Think of what could be achieved if they invested in OBO
• Question: why has this happened?
Format Wars
• “A format war describes competition between
mutually incompatible proprietary formats that
compete for the same market” (Wikipedia)
• What we think of as ‘best’ technically may not
be what the users think of as ‘best’
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
• Better quality
picture and sound,
seen as less
important than
length of storage
• Large and
unwieldy, prone
to damage if not
handled carefully
• Supporting tools
lacking,
improving slowly
Winning the war
• Crossing pre-clinical and clinical is possible -
HPO and GO prove this can happen
• But there is a schism in disease resources
• What can bio-ontologies offer that other
terminologies can not?
• What are our major challenges and how can
we overcome them?
• Where are our new opportunity areas?
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Lessons from getting people to
adopt ontologies
• EFO is an application ontology built for
application focused use cases
• It works because it looks like people’s data,
• i.e. it has a lot of common terms across
multiple areas
• EFO is really a ‘method’ for generating an
application ontology
• We need tools that replicate and enact this
method for applications
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
EFO knows
words, it has the
best words
Tech lessons from EFO
• Testing works – ROBOT tool now
invaluable
• Diffs can be ‘informative’, gets us closer to
sort CI we see in soft development
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Tech lessons from EFO
• Combining lots of bits of ontologies
(especially manually) is complex and can
easily go wrong
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Application driven approach in
other areas
• Two approaches in Cellular Phenotype ontologies
• Familiar modes of access are key
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Fully automated GO x PATO User driven on request
Use helps – an authority saying
‘use this one’ helps more
Open Targets Platform www.opentargets.org
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Still plenty of existing challenges
- Engaging end users
Apr 2017Ontologies in Agriculture..
Where now?
We’re open – but requesting
terms can be challenging
Apr 2017Ontologies in Agriculture..
Barriers
to entry
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Exposing ontologies to users
• Class descriptions in
ontologies can be hard to
consume
• User should not see
that…
• …but how then can they
evaluate the fitness and
correctness of the class?
• Accessibility barrier – also
barrier to engagement?
ICBO 2017 14 September, 2017
How do we validate our models?
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
• Validation by expert is crucial
• Integration tests?
Familiar modes of access (Part II)
- making consumption easier
Ontologies in Agriculture.. 14 September, 2017
Challenges - Self-organisation,
self-publishing
• June Nature article highlighted abuse in taxa creation
• Self-publication considered ‘enough’ for name to be accepted
• As bio-ontologists we are creating knowledge
• As it is adopted and used with data, it becomes ‘truth’
• Who is our independent governance body?
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Challenges - Mapping between
standards is not enough
ICBO 2017 14 September, 2017
• Error prone
• Ignores underlying mess
New challenges:
Self-reporting
• “Biologists” producing data will not be
scientists
• They will be patients, healthy subjects
• How do we get them to use ontologies?
• Simpler schema exist – schema.org
success is build on its simplicity
• Are we doomed to always ‘curate later’?
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
New challenges: Supporting trust
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
• What does fake data look like?
• Do we have a role in helping spot it?
New challenges: Surviving the AI
Bubble
• Lot of really exciting AI advances in last couple of
years
• In 1980s second “AI winter” hit – huge expectations
led to inevitable disillusionment
• One of biggest unsolved issue with ‘deep learning’
remains the opaque nature of decision making model
• “Why has the model made that decision?”
• This will become critical if AI is to penetrate
biomedicine
• Do we have a role as ontologists, semanticists,
curators?
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Old and new challenges: FAIR
Data
• FAIR principles are being touted wildly as the
signpost of good practice in open research
• Ontology use is being widely encouraged…
• ..but FAIR is agnostic to which
• In one sense this adds to our initial problems –
competing standards, schisms in metadata
• I’d like to see FAIR endorse some preferred
standards
• Cf. CDISC
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Standards and “Standards”
• Bio-ontologies are currently “standards”, which is to say they are de
facto standards but not really standards
• Ensuring people go to ‘source’ requires centres of authority
• We need to be able to answer the question ‘which ontology should I
use?’
• It is the single most asked question I get from academics and
industry alike
• There are many valid answers:
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
It has the terms in you need
It is used by other people
you collaborate with
It’s the one your funders
mandate
It’s the one authorities
mandate
It integrates with other
ontologies
It is actively
developed
I started using an ontology
by mistake and now I’m
trapped - help me
Why use an ontology?
• “Rule 0 – Use a certified standard”
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Standards work
• De facto standards –
– Adoption by independent major organisations or
communities
– HMTL in early 90s
• De jure standard –
– Independently audited and verified
– Guarantee that level of quality is reached
– HTML after 1995
• Where would be if HTML had not become an official
standard for marking up web pages
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
One OBO Standard, ontology
• OBO has been a huge success story as a
collaborative, community effort with little
direct funding
• OBO vision is a set of interconnected, non-
overlapping ontologies
• I think we’re close to that vision
• Time to think about OBO as one ontology
and not 50 separate ontologies
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Final thoughts
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
14 September, 2017
Summing up
• Bio-ontologies moving from de facto to full standard –
could we see an OBO ISO?
• Need to become more aggressive in pushing our bio-
ontologies into other use – CDISC, FAIR, Foundations
such as Allotrope
• Push for endorsement
• Pushing bio-ontologies into new application areas
• Open bio-ontologies should move from self-organised,
self-regulated to self-organised, independently-
regulated
• Appreciate how far this community has come and the
amazing work that has been achieved so far
Acknowledgements
Tony Stephenson
Nicholas Piano
Amy Tang
Richard Holland
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
Robert Stevens
Simon Jupp
Chris Mungall
Melissa Haendel
Helen Parkinson
Phillip Lord
Anna Farne-Malone
Emma Hastings
Drashtti Vasant
Mélanie Courtot
Frank Gibson
Alan Ruttenberg
14 September, 2017ICBO 2017

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Malone icbo2017 keynote

  • 2. It’s 2017 The world’s gone mad 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 for
  • 3. Metadata formats are the new data formats • There are scores of bio-metadata efforts that are not overlapping but actually kinda are 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 BIOCONTAINERS
  • 4. Turns out I was wrong • Last few years have only strengthened my view I was wrong • In 2012 ICBO I was invited to sit on the discussion panel • Competition turns out not be good thing – the bad stuff never goes away 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 5. Ontology developers need users more than users need ontology developers Bad Good Sectarianism Competition Subjective discrimination Scientific evidence Telling users they’re doing it wrong Listening to users Alienating communities Encouraging discussion (even when we don’t agree) Philosophy Philosophy Pepsi Coca Cola THE GOOD, THE BAD, AND THE FUNDING My ICBO 2012 panel slide
  • 6. Bad Good Mappings between standards Standards Schisms in clinical data world Clinical adoption of ontologies High barriers to entry Helping share open data Ownership credit Community credit Complexities in applying common framework* Common framework Talks that don’t mention metadata standards Talks about metadata standards My ICBO 2017 version Clinic icon by ibrandify / Freepik
  • 7. Past is prologue • 1960 – MeSH first published • 1965 – SNOMED born • 1969 – ICD6 published • 1994 – ICD10 came into use by WHO • 1997 – Enterprise Vocabulary Services (EVS) Project was launched • 1997 – Skynet becomes self-aware • 1998 – Gene Ontology born • 1999 – SNOMED-CT born • 2001 – OBO born • 2003 – NCI Thesaurus OWL published • 2003 – Human Disease Ontology (then just disease ontology) born • 2004 – Mammalian Phenotype ontology released • 2004 – First ChEBI released • 2005 – NCBO becomes NIH National Centre for Biomedical Computing • c2006 – OBO Foundry established • 2008 – First EFO development • 2009 – First ICBO • 2009-2017 – Rapid growth of new OBO bio-ontologies from 60 to 155 • 2017 – 20th Bio-ontologies meet at ISMB 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 8. Historical Perspective 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 Bodenreider and Robert Stevens (2007) Bio-ontologies: current trends and future directions. Brief Bioinform. 2006 Sep; 7(3): 256–274.
  • 9. 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 Still growing? 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Ontologies Ontology
  • 10. Normalised (accounting for all citations) 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 0 5000000 10000000 15000000 20000000 25000000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Total citations Total cit 0 0.002 0.004 0.006 0.008 0.01 0.012 0.014 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Count Count
  • 11. Have we won yet? • How do we measure success? • The Gene Ontology is now seen as an everyday ‘tool’ – Embedded in many analysis tools – Literature mining, tagging articles – Gene set enrichment • It has penetration: I have many conversations with clinicians talking about GO Codes or enrichment but not nothing about ‘ontologies’ • It has no competitor • Is a de facto standard for gene function annotation 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 12. HPO not won yet.. • …but is probably 2-0 up at half-time • HPO being adopted by major clinical projects • Opportunity remains for other bio-ontologies.. 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 13. What about biggest areas? 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 https://report.nih.gov/categorical_spending.aspx $M $1,000M $2,000M $3,000M $4,000M $5,000M $6,000M $7,000M $8,000M Neurosciences Cancer Infectious Diseases Women's Health Brain Disorders Rare Diseases Pediatric Aging FY 2013Actual FY 2014Actual FY 2015Actual FY 2016Actual FY 2017Estimated FY 2018Estimated Spendinginmillions • Disease remains huge spend area
  • 14. “Which disease standard should I use?” Clinical 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 Disease Disease Disease Disease Disease Disease Disease Disease Disease Disease
  • 15. CDISC stepping up clinical standards 14 September, 2017
  • 16. SNOMED CT in NHS 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 17. With modest grant funding, what Open Bio-ontologies have done is remarkable 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 • Protégé and OBO-Edit are excellent tools • These are organisations backing the Allotrope efforts in data models and ontologies • Think of what could be achieved if they invested in OBO • Question: why has this happened?
  • 18. Format Wars • “A format war describes competition between mutually incompatible proprietary formats that compete for the same market” (Wikipedia) • What we think of as ‘best’ technically may not be what the users think of as ‘best’ 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 • Better quality picture and sound, seen as less important than length of storage • Large and unwieldy, prone to damage if not handled carefully • Supporting tools lacking, improving slowly
  • 19. Winning the war • Crossing pre-clinical and clinical is possible - HPO and GO prove this can happen • But there is a schism in disease resources • What can bio-ontologies offer that other terminologies can not? • What are our major challenges and how can we overcome them? • Where are our new opportunity areas? 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 20. Lessons from getting people to adopt ontologies • EFO is an application ontology built for application focused use cases • It works because it looks like people’s data, • i.e. it has a lot of common terms across multiple areas • EFO is really a ‘method’ for generating an application ontology • We need tools that replicate and enact this method for applications 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 EFO knows words, it has the best words
  • 21. Tech lessons from EFO • Testing works – ROBOT tool now invaluable • Diffs can be ‘informative’, gets us closer to sort CI we see in soft development 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 22. Tech lessons from EFO • Combining lots of bits of ontologies (especially manually) is complex and can easily go wrong 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 23. Application driven approach in other areas • Two approaches in Cellular Phenotype ontologies • Familiar modes of access are key 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 Fully automated GO x PATO User driven on request
  • 24. Use helps – an authority saying ‘use this one’ helps more Open Targets Platform www.opentargets.org 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 25. Still plenty of existing challenges - Engaging end users Apr 2017Ontologies in Agriculture.. Where now?
  • 26. We’re open – but requesting terms can be challenging Apr 2017Ontologies in Agriculture..
  • 28. Exposing ontologies to users • Class descriptions in ontologies can be hard to consume • User should not see that… • …but how then can they evaluate the fitness and correctness of the class? • Accessibility barrier – also barrier to engagement? ICBO 2017 14 September, 2017
  • 29. How do we validate our models? 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 • Validation by expert is crucial • Integration tests?
  • 30. Familiar modes of access (Part II) - making consumption easier Ontologies in Agriculture.. 14 September, 2017
  • 31. Challenges - Self-organisation, self-publishing • June Nature article highlighted abuse in taxa creation • Self-publication considered ‘enough’ for name to be accepted • As bio-ontologists we are creating knowledge • As it is adopted and used with data, it becomes ‘truth’ • Who is our independent governance body? 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 32. Challenges - Mapping between standards is not enough ICBO 2017 14 September, 2017 • Error prone • Ignores underlying mess
  • 33. New challenges: Self-reporting • “Biologists” producing data will not be scientists • They will be patients, healthy subjects • How do we get them to use ontologies? • Simpler schema exist – schema.org success is build on its simplicity • Are we doomed to always ‘curate later’? 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 34. New challenges: Supporting trust 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 • What does fake data look like? • Do we have a role in helping spot it?
  • 35. New challenges: Surviving the AI Bubble • Lot of really exciting AI advances in last couple of years • In 1980s second “AI winter” hit – huge expectations led to inevitable disillusionment • One of biggest unsolved issue with ‘deep learning’ remains the opaque nature of decision making model • “Why has the model made that decision?” • This will become critical if AI is to penetrate biomedicine • Do we have a role as ontologists, semanticists, curators? 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 36. Old and new challenges: FAIR Data • FAIR principles are being touted wildly as the signpost of good practice in open research • Ontology use is being widely encouraged… • ..but FAIR is agnostic to which • In one sense this adds to our initial problems – competing standards, schisms in metadata • I’d like to see FAIR endorse some preferred standards • Cf. CDISC 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 37. Standards and “Standards” • Bio-ontologies are currently “standards”, which is to say they are de facto standards but not really standards • Ensuring people go to ‘source’ requires centres of authority • We need to be able to answer the question ‘which ontology should I use?’ • It is the single most asked question I get from academics and industry alike • There are many valid answers: 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 It has the terms in you need It is used by other people you collaborate with It’s the one your funders mandate It’s the one authorities mandate It integrates with other ontologies It is actively developed I started using an ontology by mistake and now I’m trapped - help me
  • 38. Why use an ontology? • “Rule 0 – Use a certified standard” 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 39. Standards work • De facto standards – – Adoption by independent major organisations or communities – HMTL in early 90s • De jure standard – – Independently audited and verified – Guarantee that level of quality is reached – HTML after 1995 • Where would be if HTML had not become an official standard for marking up web pages 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 40. One OBO Standard, ontology • OBO has been a huge success story as a collaborative, community effort with little direct funding • OBO vision is a set of interconnected, non- overlapping ontologies • I think we’re close to that vision • Time to think about OBO as one ontology and not 50 separate ontologies 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017
  • 42. 14 September, 2017 Summing up • Bio-ontologies moving from de facto to full standard – could we see an OBO ISO? • Need to become more aggressive in pushing our bio- ontologies into other use – CDISC, FAIR, Foundations such as Allotrope • Push for endorsement • Pushing bio-ontologies into new application areas • Open bio-ontologies should move from self-organised, self-regulated to self-organised, independently- regulated • Appreciate how far this community has come and the amazing work that has been achieved so far
  • 43. Acknowledgements Tony Stephenson Nicholas Piano Amy Tang Richard Holland 14 September, 2017ICBO 2017 Robert Stevens Simon Jupp Chris Mungall Melissa Haendel Helen Parkinson Phillip Lord Anna Farne-Malone Emma Hastings Drashtti Vasant Mélanie Courtot Frank Gibson Alan Ruttenberg

Editor's Notes

  1. Robotic panda abducting a patient?
  2. While competition is good, generally, in ontology world the ontologies that are not as good never go away. Ever.
  3. Disease terminologies remain heavily contested
  4. At end of 2016, CDISC was deemed mandatory by FDA for submitting clinical data to them
  5. A casual user, or someone with other priorities is unlikely to spend the time to break this barrier to entry.
  6. http://www.nature.com/news/taxonomy-anarchy-hampers-conservation-1.22064