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2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development (2012 1st JCESD)




      Low-Level Wind Variability over
the Indochina Peninsula during Boreal Winter

       Sirapong Sooktawee, Usa Humphries, Atsamon Limsakul,
                     and Prungchan Wongwises
Introduction
The flooding in southern Thailand probably resulted from
the Asian Winter Monsoon (S. Limjirakan and A. Limsakul,
2011).

Winter monsoon is a one of major climate features
influencing the Indochina peninsula, but less of studies
than studies focussing on summer monsoon.

During winter season, East Asian Winter Monsoon
(EAWM) is important climate feature.

Low-level wind (850 hPa) can be used to represent winter
monsoon (He J., et al., 2007)

                                                                                       2
                       The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
Study Domain
The study area
representing Indochina
peninsula (IDP) is a
domain of 5-30°N, 90-
110°E

The domain consists of
Cambodia, Laos,
Myanmar, Thailand,
 Viet Nam, and some
territory of Malaysia.




KH: Cambodia, LA: Laos, MM: Myanmar, MY: Malaysia,
TH: Thailand, and VN: Viet Nam
                                                                                           3
                           The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
Data of the Study
 Monthly Japanese 25-year reanalysis (JRA-25) data (Dec-Jan-Feb) with 1.25°×
 1.25° horizontal resolution of 32 years (1979-2010) at 850 hPa level was used
 for analysis of the study.

 National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for
 Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis data with 2.5°× 2.5°
 horizontal resolution (1957-2010) was used to ensure representativeness of
 JRA-25 data set.




JRA-25                                                                            NCEP/NCAR




                                                                                               4
                               The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
Boreal winter climatology of
low-level wind (850 hPa wind)




                                5
Methodology
Vector Empirical Orthogonal Function (VEOF)
is used to decompose orthogonal modes in
terms of time and space.
     Hardy et al. (1978) succeeded to decompose surface wind
from observation representing mesoscale region.
     Wu et al. (2006), (2008) apply the method to distinct modes
of monsoon.


Pearson correlation was used to investigate
relation of temporal variation to East Asian
winter monsoon (EAWM) indices.

                                                                                        6
                        The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
Procedure of Analysis
   Determine anomalies of zonal ( u′) and meridional (v′ )winds

              Form a complex number from u′ and v′


                        Construct a data matrix

                          Analyze by VEOF


     Eigenvectors                        Principal components (PCs)
    (Spatial pattern)                        (Temporal variation)


Real part    Imaginary part              Real part              Imaginary part
                                                                                            7
                            The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
Modes of Low-Level Wind
• The first eigenvector (VEOF1) and the second eigenvector (VEOF2)
  accounting for 46.58% and 13.77% of variance, respectively, that is
  60.35% of the total.

                                        Real part (zonal) of PC1




                                        Imaginary part (meridional) of PC1




                                             Positive phase               Negative phase
                                                                                                 8
                                 The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
Mean Low-Level Wind Fields
   The circulation during boreal winter in 1998 (negative
   phases) exhibits stronger southwesterlies over northern
   part of Thailand, Laos, and Viet Nam than the circulation
   (positive phases) in 1999




a negative phase year (1998)               a positive phase year (1999)
                                                                                           9
                           The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
Composite Analysis for Anomalies




 positive phase                                 negative phase
                                                                                 10
                  The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
Relation between PC1 and EAWM




                            Correlation coefficients show weak
                            correlations to EAWM indices




                                                                          11
           The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
Conclusions
  VEOF can use to decompose variability of winter monsoon over the
IDP.

  From composite analysis, positive (negative) phase of anomalous
zonal and meridional wind show strengthening on northeasterlies
(southwesterlies) perhaps related to more (less) influence of EAWM
on the Indochina peninsular.

 The variability of winter monsoon over the IDP shows interannual
variation.

 The correlation coefficients of PC1s to TII and TAI indices are weak.

 Influences of other climate modes on the Indochina peninsula and
mechanism are required to investigate further.


                                                                                            12
                             The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
Acknowledgements
   The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and the Central Research Institute of
Electric Power Industry (CRIEPI)

   Assoc. Prof. Dr. Lin Wang, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of
Sciences and his group

  The Physical Sciences Division (PSD) of the Earth System Research Laboratory
(ESRL), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

  The National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)

  The Joint Graduate School of Energy and Environment (JGSEE) and the Center of
Excellence on Energy Technology and Environment (CEE)



                         Thank You for
                         Your Attention
                                                                                                 13
                                  The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development

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Low-Level Wind Variability over the Indochina Peninsula during Boreal Winter

  • 1. 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development (2012 1st JCESD) Low-Level Wind Variability over the Indochina Peninsula during Boreal Winter Sirapong Sooktawee, Usa Humphries, Atsamon Limsakul, and Prungchan Wongwises
  • 2. Introduction The flooding in southern Thailand probably resulted from the Asian Winter Monsoon (S. Limjirakan and A. Limsakul, 2011). Winter monsoon is a one of major climate features influencing the Indochina peninsula, but less of studies than studies focussing on summer monsoon. During winter season, East Asian Winter Monsoon (EAWM) is important climate feature. Low-level wind (850 hPa) can be used to represent winter monsoon (He J., et al., 2007) 2 The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
  • 3. Study Domain The study area representing Indochina peninsula (IDP) is a domain of 5-30°N, 90- 110°E The domain consists of Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Thailand, Viet Nam, and some territory of Malaysia. KH: Cambodia, LA: Laos, MM: Myanmar, MY: Malaysia, TH: Thailand, and VN: Viet Nam 3 The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
  • 4. Data of the Study Monthly Japanese 25-year reanalysis (JRA-25) data (Dec-Jan-Feb) with 1.25°× 1.25° horizontal resolution of 32 years (1979-2010) at 850 hPa level was used for analysis of the study. National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis data with 2.5°× 2.5° horizontal resolution (1957-2010) was used to ensure representativeness of JRA-25 data set. JRA-25 NCEP/NCAR 4 The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
  • 5. Boreal winter climatology of low-level wind (850 hPa wind) 5
  • 6. Methodology Vector Empirical Orthogonal Function (VEOF) is used to decompose orthogonal modes in terms of time and space. Hardy et al. (1978) succeeded to decompose surface wind from observation representing mesoscale region. Wu et al. (2006), (2008) apply the method to distinct modes of monsoon. Pearson correlation was used to investigate relation of temporal variation to East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) indices. 6 The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
  • 7. Procedure of Analysis Determine anomalies of zonal ( u′) and meridional (v′ )winds Form a complex number from u′ and v′ Construct a data matrix Analyze by VEOF Eigenvectors Principal components (PCs) (Spatial pattern) (Temporal variation) Real part Imaginary part Real part Imaginary part 7 The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
  • 8. Modes of Low-Level Wind • The first eigenvector (VEOF1) and the second eigenvector (VEOF2) accounting for 46.58% and 13.77% of variance, respectively, that is 60.35% of the total. Real part (zonal) of PC1 Imaginary part (meridional) of PC1 Positive phase Negative phase 8 The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
  • 9. Mean Low-Level Wind Fields The circulation during boreal winter in 1998 (negative phases) exhibits stronger southwesterlies over northern part of Thailand, Laos, and Viet Nam than the circulation (positive phases) in 1999 a negative phase year (1998) a positive phase year (1999) 9 The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
  • 10. Composite Analysis for Anomalies positive phase negative phase 10 The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
  • 11. Relation between PC1 and EAWM Correlation coefficients show weak correlations to EAWM indices 11 The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
  • 12. Conclusions VEOF can use to decompose variability of winter monsoon over the IDP. From composite analysis, positive (negative) phase of anomalous zonal and meridional wind show strengthening on northeasterlies (southwesterlies) perhaps related to more (less) influence of EAWM on the Indochina peninsular. The variability of winter monsoon over the IDP shows interannual variation. The correlation coefficients of PC1s to TII and TAI indices are weak. Influences of other climate modes on the Indochina peninsula and mechanism are required to investigate further. 12 The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development
  • 13. Acknowledgements The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and the Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry (CRIEPI) Assoc. Prof. Dr. Lin Wang, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences and his group The Physical Sciences Division (PSD) of the Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) The National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) The Joint Graduate School of Energy and Environment (JGSEE) and the Center of Excellence on Energy Technology and Environment (CEE) Thank You for Your Attention 13 The 2012 1st Journal Conference on Environmental Science and Development