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Introduction to the WCRF International 
Continuous Update Project 
Dr Rachel Thompson 
Head of Research Interpretation/ Head CUP Secretariat 
6 December 2014, UICC World Cancer Congress, Melbourne
Underlying principles 
 
Exposures include diet, nutrition and physical activity 
 
Cancers with some evidence of link with above 
 
Identify causal exposures - protective or adverse 
 
Use most robust methods for systematically reviewing 
evidence on epidemiology 
 
Epidemiological evidence of a link needs to be supported by 
biological mechanisms 
 
Transparency
Protocol 
(peer 
review) 
4 Mar 2011 
Search for 
papers & 
add to 
database 
Analyses & 
prepare 
report (peer 
review) 
5 Dec 2012 
Draft 
discussion 
paper and 
call with 
Panel leads 
3 April 2013 
Panel 
meeting 
decisions 
25 June 
2013 
CUP Report 
(signed off 
by Panel) 
PUBLISH 
4 Sept 2013 
Imperial College London Secretariat Panel Secretariat
Grading criteria 
Predefined requirements for 
 
Number and types of studies 
 
Quality of exposure and outcome assessment 
 
Heterogeneity within and between study types 
 
Exclusion of chance, bias or confounding 
 
Biological gradient 
 
Evidence of mechanisms 
 
Size of effect
Grading the evidence 
Decreases risk Increases risk 
Strong evidence Convincing 
Probable 
Limited 
evidence 
Limited - 
suggestive 
Limited – no 
conclusion 
Strong evidence Substantial 
effect on risk 
unlikely 
Basis for recommendations
Changes to conclusions for strong evidence since 2007 
(except prostate cancer) 
Change Exposure Cancer From To 
Stronger Foods containing 
fibre 
Colorectum Probable 
decreased 
Convincing 
decreased 
New conclusion Coffee Endometrium No conclusion Probable 
decreased 
New conclusion Glycaemic load Endometrium No conclusion Probable 
increased 
New conclusion Body fatness Ovary No conclusion Probable 
increased 
No conclusion Foods containing 
folate 
Pancreas Probable 
decreased 
No conclusion
Summary 
of strong 
evidence 
on diet, 
nutrition, 
physical 
activity 
and 
cancer
Mechanisms 
 
Second Expert Report – mechanisms in the form of narrative 
reviews (not systematic reviews) 
 
No existing systematic method similar to that followed for 
epidemiological studies for the Continuous Update Project 
 
Advisory group led by Steve Hursting identified concepts and 
initial work 
 
Working with University of Bristol to develop methodology for 
systematically reviewing mechanistic studies (human/animal/cell 
lines)
Publications timetable 
Year Publication 
2010 Breast 
2011 Colorectum 
2012 Pancreas 
2013-14 Endometrium, ovary, breast cancer survivors, prostate 
2015 Liver, bladder, kidney, gallbladder 
2015-16 Stomach, oesophagus, lung 
2016-17 Mouth, pharynx, larynx, nasopharynx, breast, colorectum 
2017 Review Recommendations for Cancer Prevention
For further information 
Rachel Thompson 
Head of Research Interpretation 
r.thompson@wcrf.org 
@wcrfint 
facebook.com/wcrfint 
www.wcrf.org

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Introduction to World Cancer Research Fund International’s Continuous Update Project (CUP)

  • 1. Introduction to the WCRF International Continuous Update Project Dr Rachel Thompson Head of Research Interpretation/ Head CUP Secretariat 6 December 2014, UICC World Cancer Congress, Melbourne
  • 2. Underlying principles  Exposures include diet, nutrition and physical activity  Cancers with some evidence of link with above  Identify causal exposures - protective or adverse  Use most robust methods for systematically reviewing evidence on epidemiology  Epidemiological evidence of a link needs to be supported by biological mechanisms  Transparency
  • 3. Protocol (peer review) 4 Mar 2011 Search for papers & add to database Analyses & prepare report (peer review) 5 Dec 2012 Draft discussion paper and call with Panel leads 3 April 2013 Panel meeting decisions 25 June 2013 CUP Report (signed off by Panel) PUBLISH 4 Sept 2013 Imperial College London Secretariat Panel Secretariat
  • 4. Grading criteria Predefined requirements for  Number and types of studies  Quality of exposure and outcome assessment  Heterogeneity within and between study types  Exclusion of chance, bias or confounding  Biological gradient  Evidence of mechanisms  Size of effect
  • 5. Grading the evidence Decreases risk Increases risk Strong evidence Convincing Probable Limited evidence Limited - suggestive Limited – no conclusion Strong evidence Substantial effect on risk unlikely Basis for recommendations
  • 6. Changes to conclusions for strong evidence since 2007 (except prostate cancer) Change Exposure Cancer From To Stronger Foods containing fibre Colorectum Probable decreased Convincing decreased New conclusion Coffee Endometrium No conclusion Probable decreased New conclusion Glycaemic load Endometrium No conclusion Probable increased New conclusion Body fatness Ovary No conclusion Probable increased No conclusion Foods containing folate Pancreas Probable decreased No conclusion
  • 7. Summary of strong evidence on diet, nutrition, physical activity and cancer
  • 8. Mechanisms  Second Expert Report – mechanisms in the form of narrative reviews (not systematic reviews)  No existing systematic method similar to that followed for epidemiological studies for the Continuous Update Project  Advisory group led by Steve Hursting identified concepts and initial work  Working with University of Bristol to develop methodology for systematically reviewing mechanistic studies (human/animal/cell lines)
  • 9. Publications timetable Year Publication 2010 Breast 2011 Colorectum 2012 Pancreas 2013-14 Endometrium, ovary, breast cancer survivors, prostate 2015 Liver, bladder, kidney, gallbladder 2015-16 Stomach, oesophagus, lung 2016-17 Mouth, pharynx, larynx, nasopharynx, breast, colorectum 2017 Review Recommendations for Cancer Prevention
  • 10. For further information Rachel Thompson Head of Research Interpretation r.thompson@wcrf.org @wcrfint facebook.com/wcrfint www.wcrf.org