Epidemiological evidence linking food, nutrition, 
physical activity and prostate cancer risk: results 
from the Continuous Update Project 
World Cancer Congress, Saturday 6 December 2014 
Michael Leitzmann 
Dept. of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, University of Regensburg 
Continuous Update Project Panel member
Incidence 
Mortality 
GLOBOCAN 2012 (IARC) 
http://globocan.iarc.fr 
Prostate cancer incidence and mortality
Prostate cancer incidence Prostate cancer mortality 
Sub-Saharan Africa 
Middle East & North Africa 
East & Central Asia 
India 
China 
Oceania 
Latin America 
& the Caribbean 
North America 
Europe 
Sub-Saharan Africa 
Middle East & 
North Africa 
East & 
Central Asia 
India 
China 
Oceania 
Europe 
North America 
Latin America 
& the Caribbean 
World Cancer Report (IARC 2014)
FOOD, NUTRITION, PHYSICAL ACTIVITY, 
AND CANCER OF THE PROSTATE 
Level of evidence 
Convincing 
Probable 
Limited-suggestive 
DECREASES RISK INCREASES RISK 
Limited-no conclusion 
Substantial effect on risk 
unlikely 
Foods containing lycopene 
Foods containing selenium 
Selenium 
Diets high in calcium 
Pulses (legumes) 
Foods containing vitamin E 
Alpha-tocopherol 
Processed meat 
Milk and dairy products 
Cereals (grains) and their products; dietary fibre; potatoes; non-starchy vegetables; 
fruits; meat; poultry; fish; eggs; total fat; plant oils; sugar (sucrose); sugary foods and 
drinks; coffee; tea; alcohol; carbohydrate; protein; vitamin A; retinol; thiamin; 
riboflavin; niacin; vitamin C; vitamin D; gamma-tocopherol; vitamin supplements; 
multivitamins; iron; phosphorus; zinc; other carotenoids; physical activity; energy 
expenditure; vegetarian diets; Seventh-day Adventist diets; body fatness; abdominal 
fatness; birth weight; energy intake 
Beta-carotene
DIET, NUTRITION, PHYSICAL ACTIVITY 
AND PROSTATE CANCER 
Convincing 
Probable 
Limited-suggestive 
DECREASES RISK INCREASES RISK 
Limited-no 
conclusion 
Substantial effect 
on risk unlikely 
Body fatness (advanced prostate cancer) 
Adult attained height 
Dairy products 
Diets high in calcium 
Low plasma alpha-tocopherol concentrations 
Low plasma selenium concentrations 
Beta-carotene 
STRONG 
EVIDENCE 
LIMITED 
EVIDENCE 
STRONG 
EVIDENCE 
Cereals (grains) and their products, dietary fibre, potatoes, non-starchy vegetables, 
fruits, pulses (legumes), processed meat, red meat, poultry, fish, eggs, total fat, 
saturated fatty acids, monounsaturated fatty acids, polyunsaturated fatty acids, plant 
oils, sugar (sucrose), sugary foods and drinks, coffee, tea, alcoholic drinks, 
carbohydrate, protein, vitamin A, retinol, alpha carotene, lycopene, folate, thiamin, 
riboflavin, niacin, vitamin C, vitamin D, vitamin E supplements, gamma tocopherol, 
multivitamins, selenium supplements, iron, phosphorus, calcium supplements, zinc, 
protein, physical activity, energy expenditure, vegetarian diets, Seventh-day 
Adventist diets, individual dietary patterns, body fatness (non-advanced prostate 
cancer), birth weight, energy intake
Prostate Cancer Report 2014 
Published 19 November 2014 
Prospective studies Randomized controlled trials 
0 200 400 600 800 
Breast 
Colorectal 
Prostate 
Lung 
Stomach 
Pancreas 
Liver 
Bladder 
Endometrial 
Ovary 
Kidney 
Oesophageal 
Polyps 
Gallbladder 
2005 SLR 
CUP 
0 10 20 30 40 50 
Polyps 
Lung 
Stomach 
Prostate 
Colorectal 
Breast 
Bladder 
Pancreas 
Endometrial 
Kidney 
Ovary 
Oesophageal 
Liver 
Gallbladder 
Report available at: http://www.wcrf.org/int/research-we-fund/continuous-update-project-findings-reports/ 
prostate-cancer 
104 papers included 
in the report
Body fatness and prostate cancer 
BMI Waist circumference Waist to hip ratio 
RR=1.08 (1.04-1.12) Studies: 23 
RR=0.99 (0.90-1.09) 
Studies: 4 
RR=0.95 (0.92-0.98) Studies: 14 
Non-advanced Advanced 
RR=1.12 (1.04-1.21) 
Studies: 4 
RR=1.01 (0.90-1.12) 
Studies: 4 
RR=1.15 (1.03-1.28) 
Studies: 4 
RR = Risk Ratio
Obesity-related detection biases and biologic mechanisms contributing to the 
association between obesity and aggressive prostate cancer 
Allott et al., Eur Urol. 2013;63(5):800–9
RR=1.04 (1.02-1.06) Studies: 19 
Non-advanced Advanced 
Height and prostate cancer 
RR = Risk Ratio RR=1.03 (1.01-1.05) Studies: 10
Total dairy and prostate cancer 
Fatal Advanced Non-advanced Total 
RR=1.07 (1.02-1.11) Studies: 15 
RR=1.09 (1.00-1.18) Studies: 8 
RR=0.97 (0.91-1.05) Studies: 10 
RR=1.11 (0.92-1.33) Studies: 5 
RR = Risk Ratio
Total calcium and prostate cancer 
RR=1.01 (0.98-1.03) Studies: 6 
Advanced Non-advanced 
RR=1.03 (0.99-1.07) Studies: 7 
Fatal Total 
RR=1.02 (1.01-1.04) Studies: 9 
RR=1.11 (1.02-1.21) Studies: 2 
RR = Risk Ratio
Dairy calcium and non-dairy calcium and prostate cancer 
Dairy calcium Non-dairy calcium 
RR=1.03 (1.00-1.07) Studies: 2 
Non- 
Advanced advanced 
RR=1.05 (0.96-1.15) Studies: 2 
Fatal Total 
RR=1.06 (1.02-1.09) Studies: 6 
RR=1.05 (0.69-1.60) Studies: 2 
RR=0.97 (0.79-1.20) Studies: 2 
advanced 
Non-Advanced 
RR=1.09 (0.89-1.34) Studies: 2 
Total 
RR=0.97 (0.90-1.04) Studies: 4 
RR = Risk Ratio
Dietary and supplemental calcium and prostate cancer 
Dietary calcium Supplemental calcium 
RR=1.07 (1.03-1.12) Studies: 7 
Advanced Non-advanced 
RR=1.02 (0.93-1.12) Studies: 10 
Total 
RR=1.05 (1.02-1.09) Studies: 15 
RR=0.99 (0.96-1.02) Studies: 4 
Advanced Non-advanced 
RR=1.01 (0.94-1.09) Studies: 5 
Fatal Total 
RR=0.99 (0.96-1.01) Studies: 4 
RR=1.29 (1.08-1.54) Studies: 2 
RR = Risk Ratio
Proposed relationship between dietary calcium and prostate cancer 
Giovannucci et al., Cancer Res 1998;58:442-7
Challenges in epidemiologic studies of diet and prostate cancer 
 Changing spectrum of prostate cancer cases due to screening 
for elevated Prostate Specific Antigen 
 Enrichment of cases with early disease 
 Misclassification of exposure 
 Assessment only in middle age 
 Variation in study quality
Future directions in epidemiologic studies of diet and prostate cancer 
 Tailor hypotheses that are testable using early stage disease 
 Use appropriate study populations 
 Select appropriate cases 
 Conduct analyses by type of case 
 Elucidate mechanisms 
Methodology for systematically reviewing mechanisms - Continuous 
Update Project Request For Application: 
http://www.wcrf.org/int/research-we-fund/continuous-update-project-cup/ 
work-mechanisms
Summary 
 
Prostate cancer is the second most common cancer worldwide 
 
Strong evidence that greater body fatness (marked by BMI, waist-circumference, and 
waist-hip ratio) is probably a cause of advanced prostate cancer 
 
Strong evidence that developmental factors leading to greater linear growth (marked by 
adult attained height) are probably a cause of prostate cancer 
 
Limited evidence that diets high in calcium or higher consumption of dairy products 
increases the risk of prostate cancer 
 
More evidence needed on characterising mechanisms that underpin the association 
between calcium and prostate cancer risk 
 
A recent paper on dairy products, calcium, and prostate cancer risk by the Continuous 
Update Project research team in the AJCN: doi: 10.3945/ ajcn.113.067157 
 
More information in the prostate cancer report: /www.wcrf.org/int/research-we-fund/ 
continuous-update-project-findings-reports/prostate-cancer
For further information 
Michael Leitzmann – Continuous Update Project Panel member 
Dept. of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, University of Regensburg 
Michael.Leitzmann@ukr.de 
@wcrfint 
facebook.com/wcrfint 
www.wcrf.org

Epidemiological evidence linking food, nutrition, physical activity and prostate cancer risk: results from the CUP

  • 1.
    Epidemiological evidence linkingfood, nutrition, physical activity and prostate cancer risk: results from the Continuous Update Project World Cancer Congress, Saturday 6 December 2014 Michael Leitzmann Dept. of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, University of Regensburg Continuous Update Project Panel member
  • 2.
    Incidence Mortality GLOBOCAN2012 (IARC) http://globocan.iarc.fr Prostate cancer incidence and mortality
  • 3.
    Prostate cancer incidenceProstate cancer mortality Sub-Saharan Africa Middle East & North Africa East & Central Asia India China Oceania Latin America & the Caribbean North America Europe Sub-Saharan Africa Middle East & North Africa East & Central Asia India China Oceania Europe North America Latin America & the Caribbean World Cancer Report (IARC 2014)
  • 4.
    FOOD, NUTRITION, PHYSICALACTIVITY, AND CANCER OF THE PROSTATE Level of evidence Convincing Probable Limited-suggestive DECREASES RISK INCREASES RISK Limited-no conclusion Substantial effect on risk unlikely Foods containing lycopene Foods containing selenium Selenium Diets high in calcium Pulses (legumes) Foods containing vitamin E Alpha-tocopherol Processed meat Milk and dairy products Cereals (grains) and their products; dietary fibre; potatoes; non-starchy vegetables; fruits; meat; poultry; fish; eggs; total fat; plant oils; sugar (sucrose); sugary foods and drinks; coffee; tea; alcohol; carbohydrate; protein; vitamin A; retinol; thiamin; riboflavin; niacin; vitamin C; vitamin D; gamma-tocopherol; vitamin supplements; multivitamins; iron; phosphorus; zinc; other carotenoids; physical activity; energy expenditure; vegetarian diets; Seventh-day Adventist diets; body fatness; abdominal fatness; birth weight; energy intake Beta-carotene
  • 5.
    DIET, NUTRITION, PHYSICALACTIVITY AND PROSTATE CANCER Convincing Probable Limited-suggestive DECREASES RISK INCREASES RISK Limited-no conclusion Substantial effect on risk unlikely Body fatness (advanced prostate cancer) Adult attained height Dairy products Diets high in calcium Low plasma alpha-tocopherol concentrations Low plasma selenium concentrations Beta-carotene STRONG EVIDENCE LIMITED EVIDENCE STRONG EVIDENCE Cereals (grains) and their products, dietary fibre, potatoes, non-starchy vegetables, fruits, pulses (legumes), processed meat, red meat, poultry, fish, eggs, total fat, saturated fatty acids, monounsaturated fatty acids, polyunsaturated fatty acids, plant oils, sugar (sucrose), sugary foods and drinks, coffee, tea, alcoholic drinks, carbohydrate, protein, vitamin A, retinol, alpha carotene, lycopene, folate, thiamin, riboflavin, niacin, vitamin C, vitamin D, vitamin E supplements, gamma tocopherol, multivitamins, selenium supplements, iron, phosphorus, calcium supplements, zinc, protein, physical activity, energy expenditure, vegetarian diets, Seventh-day Adventist diets, individual dietary patterns, body fatness (non-advanced prostate cancer), birth weight, energy intake
  • 6.
    Prostate Cancer Report2014 Published 19 November 2014 Prospective studies Randomized controlled trials 0 200 400 600 800 Breast Colorectal Prostate Lung Stomach Pancreas Liver Bladder Endometrial Ovary Kidney Oesophageal Polyps Gallbladder 2005 SLR CUP 0 10 20 30 40 50 Polyps Lung Stomach Prostate Colorectal Breast Bladder Pancreas Endometrial Kidney Ovary Oesophageal Liver Gallbladder Report available at: http://www.wcrf.org/int/research-we-fund/continuous-update-project-findings-reports/ prostate-cancer 104 papers included in the report
  • 7.
    Body fatness andprostate cancer BMI Waist circumference Waist to hip ratio RR=1.08 (1.04-1.12) Studies: 23 RR=0.99 (0.90-1.09) Studies: 4 RR=0.95 (0.92-0.98) Studies: 14 Non-advanced Advanced RR=1.12 (1.04-1.21) Studies: 4 RR=1.01 (0.90-1.12) Studies: 4 RR=1.15 (1.03-1.28) Studies: 4 RR = Risk Ratio
  • 8.
    Obesity-related detection biasesand biologic mechanisms contributing to the association between obesity and aggressive prostate cancer Allott et al., Eur Urol. 2013;63(5):800–9
  • 9.
    RR=1.04 (1.02-1.06) Studies:19 Non-advanced Advanced Height and prostate cancer RR = Risk Ratio RR=1.03 (1.01-1.05) Studies: 10
  • 10.
    Total dairy andprostate cancer Fatal Advanced Non-advanced Total RR=1.07 (1.02-1.11) Studies: 15 RR=1.09 (1.00-1.18) Studies: 8 RR=0.97 (0.91-1.05) Studies: 10 RR=1.11 (0.92-1.33) Studies: 5 RR = Risk Ratio
  • 11.
    Total calcium andprostate cancer RR=1.01 (0.98-1.03) Studies: 6 Advanced Non-advanced RR=1.03 (0.99-1.07) Studies: 7 Fatal Total RR=1.02 (1.01-1.04) Studies: 9 RR=1.11 (1.02-1.21) Studies: 2 RR = Risk Ratio
  • 12.
    Dairy calcium andnon-dairy calcium and prostate cancer Dairy calcium Non-dairy calcium RR=1.03 (1.00-1.07) Studies: 2 Non- Advanced advanced RR=1.05 (0.96-1.15) Studies: 2 Fatal Total RR=1.06 (1.02-1.09) Studies: 6 RR=1.05 (0.69-1.60) Studies: 2 RR=0.97 (0.79-1.20) Studies: 2 advanced Non-Advanced RR=1.09 (0.89-1.34) Studies: 2 Total RR=0.97 (0.90-1.04) Studies: 4 RR = Risk Ratio
  • 13.
    Dietary and supplementalcalcium and prostate cancer Dietary calcium Supplemental calcium RR=1.07 (1.03-1.12) Studies: 7 Advanced Non-advanced RR=1.02 (0.93-1.12) Studies: 10 Total RR=1.05 (1.02-1.09) Studies: 15 RR=0.99 (0.96-1.02) Studies: 4 Advanced Non-advanced RR=1.01 (0.94-1.09) Studies: 5 Fatal Total RR=0.99 (0.96-1.01) Studies: 4 RR=1.29 (1.08-1.54) Studies: 2 RR = Risk Ratio
  • 14.
    Proposed relationship betweendietary calcium and prostate cancer Giovannucci et al., Cancer Res 1998;58:442-7
  • 15.
    Challenges in epidemiologicstudies of diet and prostate cancer  Changing spectrum of prostate cancer cases due to screening for elevated Prostate Specific Antigen  Enrichment of cases with early disease  Misclassification of exposure  Assessment only in middle age  Variation in study quality
  • 16.
    Future directions inepidemiologic studies of diet and prostate cancer  Tailor hypotheses that are testable using early stage disease  Use appropriate study populations  Select appropriate cases  Conduct analyses by type of case  Elucidate mechanisms Methodology for systematically reviewing mechanisms - Continuous Update Project Request For Application: http://www.wcrf.org/int/research-we-fund/continuous-update-project-cup/ work-mechanisms
  • 17.
    Summary  Prostatecancer is the second most common cancer worldwide  Strong evidence that greater body fatness (marked by BMI, waist-circumference, and waist-hip ratio) is probably a cause of advanced prostate cancer  Strong evidence that developmental factors leading to greater linear growth (marked by adult attained height) are probably a cause of prostate cancer  Limited evidence that diets high in calcium or higher consumption of dairy products increases the risk of prostate cancer  More evidence needed on characterising mechanisms that underpin the association between calcium and prostate cancer risk  A recent paper on dairy products, calcium, and prostate cancer risk by the Continuous Update Project research team in the AJCN: doi: 10.3945/ ajcn.113.067157  More information in the prostate cancer report: /www.wcrf.org/int/research-we-fund/ continuous-update-project-findings-reports/prostate-cancer
  • 18.
    For further information Michael Leitzmann – Continuous Update Project Panel member Dept. of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, University of Regensburg Michael.Leitzmann@ukr.de @wcrfint facebook.com/wcrfint www.wcrf.org

Editor's Notes

  • #7 Additional slide on SLR
  • #19 Added CUP Panel membership. Added email address.