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Lecture 1
What is Macroeconomics and How
Macroeconomists Think?
Macroeconomic Theory-II (ECON-304)
MSc Economics, 2nd
Dr. Muhammad Ayyoub
Assistant Professor
Department of Economics
University of Sahiwal, Pakistan
June 26, 2020
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 1 / 29
Overview
1 Learning requisites and outcomes
2 Macroeconomics and its key variables
3 How macroeconomists think?
4 Some basic concepts and definitions
5 Conclusion
6 Tasks for home
7 Readings and references
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 2 / 29
Learning Outcomes
Some Learning Requisites
Learning Outcome
• The students are expected to learn about:
what is macroeconomics?
basic concepts and definitions of macroeconomics
the major schools of macroeconomics
hence, recapping the foundations of
Macroeconomics
Learning Requisites
• Introductory economics courses at Bachelor’s level
• Macroeconomic Theory-I course at semester 1 level of
MSc Economics
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 3 / 29
Recap
Economics: Alfred Marshall’s Viewpoint
• Economics is the study of mankind in the
ordinary business of life.
• It examines that part of individual and social
actions which
is most closely connected with the attainment
and with the use of the material requisites of
well-being.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 4 / 29
Recap (Cont’d)
Major Branches of Economics
• Theoretical Economics
Microeconomics
Macroeconomics
• Applied Economics
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 5 / 29
Macroeconomics?
Economics
• Economics is the study of mankind in the
ordinary business of life.
Macroeconomics
• “Ordinary business of life” in the aggregate.
• The behavior of the economy as a whole.
What are the key variables?
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 6 / 29
Key Macroeconomic
Variables?
• total output in the economy (Y)
• the aggregate price level (P)
• interest rates (i, r)
• wage rates (w)
• employment and unemployment (N)
• foreign exchange rates (ex)
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 7 / 29
Subject Matter of
Macroeconomics
The subject matter of macroeconomics includes:
• factors that determine the levels of
macroeconomic variables.
• factors that determine how these variables
change over time.
for example, the rate of growth of output, the inflation
rate,
changing unemployment in the periods of expansion.
• appreciation or depreciation in foreign
exchange rates.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 8 / 29
Key Questions in
Macroeconomics
• What determines the cyclical behavior of output
and employment? What causes recessions?
• What are the determinants of inflation? What role
do macroeconomic policies play in determining
inflation?
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 9 / 29
Key Questions in
Macroeconomics (Cont’d)
• What relationship exists between inflation and
unemployment?
• What determines the growth rate over periods of
one or two decades? Over longer periods such
as a century?
• What are the effects of the deficits and debt on
the stability of exchange rates?
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 10 / 29
Macroeconomics? (Cont’d)
Macroeconomics is policy oriented. It answers the
questions like:
• To what degree can government policies affect
output and employment?
• To what degree is inflation the result of
unfortunate government policies?
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 11 / 29
Macroeconomics? (Cont’d)
Macroeconomics is policy oriented. It answers the
questions like:
• What government policies are optimal in the
sense of achieving the most desirable behavior
of aggregate variables?
• Should government policy attempt to achieve a
target level for foreign exchange rates?
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 12 / 29
The Business of
Macroeconomists?
• To disagree on policy questions, and to provide a
plan for better future economic performance.
• There are fundamental differences among
schools of macroeconomics.
• To examine different macroeconomic theories
and the policy conclusions that follow from those
theories.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 13 / 29
The Business of
Macroeconomists? (Cont’d)
• To isolate key issues that divide
macroeconomists and to explain the theoretical
basis for each position.
• How each theory explains the macroeconomic
events?
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 14 / 29
The Schools of
Macroeconomics1
• Classical economics
• Keynesian economics
• Monetarism
• New classical economics
• Real business cycle theory
• New Keynesian theory
1
Lecture 2 of this course explains the Schools of Macroeconomics in
detail.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 15 / 29
Some Definitions and Concepts
Output and Employment
• GDP (gross domestic product) is the measure of
all currently produced final goods and services.
• Unemployment rate is the number of
unemployed persons expressed as a
percentage of the labor force.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 16 / 29
Inflation & Deflation
• Inflation is the increase in the general level of
prices.
• Price index is a measure of the aggregate price
level relative to a chosen base year.
• CPIa
is the measure of the retail prices of a fixed
“market basket” of several thousand goods and
services purchased by households.
• PPIb
measures the wholesale prices of
approximately 3,000 items.
a
Consumer price index.
b
Producer price index.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 17 / 29
Deficits & Surpluses
• Federal budget deficit is the federal government
tax revenues (incomes) minus outlays
(expenditures).
• The excess of imports over exports is called trade
deficit.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 18 / 29
Aggregate Demand
• The sum of the demands for current output by
each buying sector of the economy:
households,
businesses,
the government,
and foreign purchasers of exports.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 19 / 29
Supply of Money and Monetary
Policy
• Monetary Policy is the central bank’s use of
control of:a
money supply
interest rates
to influence the level of economic activity.
• Money: whatever is commonly accepted as:
payment in exchange for goods and services
payment of debts and taxes
a
e.g. State Bank of Pakistan.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 20 / 29
Fiscal Policy
• Fiscal policy is the setting of the federal budget:
comprises decisions on government spending
and taxation.
• It is the use of government revenue collection
(e.g. taxes or tax cuts) and expenditure (e.g.
spending) to influence a country’s economy.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 21 / 29
Full Employment
• Full employment is a situation in which everyone
who wants a job can have work hours they need
on fair wages.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 22 / 29
Wage-Price Flexibility
& Vice Versa
• The classical theory proposes that all markets
re-equilibrate because of adjustments in prices
and wages which are flexible.
• For example, if an excess in the labor force or
products exist, the wage or price of these will
adjust to absorb the excess.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 23 / 29
Summary of Today’s Session
• The term macroeconomics was first used by the
Norwegian economist Ragnar Frisch in 1933.
• Macroeconomics is the younger sibling of the
economics family.
• Its subject matter is the behavior of the economy
as a whole.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 24 / 29
Summary of Today’s Session
(Cont’d)
• In this lecture, I have tried to introduce the
definition, variables and the challenges of
macroeconomics.
• Important concepts and related definitions are
introduced.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 25 / 29
Just Google It
Learn by Yourself
• What is Reaganomics (and Trumpnomics)?
• Is there any linkages between the Great
Depression of 1930s and the economics of
COVID-19?
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 26 / 29
Suggested Reading Material
Chapter 1: Richard T. Froyen (8th Edition)
Macroeconomics: Theories and Policies
Pearson Education, Inc.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 27 / 29
Questions/Queries
You can send your questions at:
m.ayyoub@uosahaiwal.edu.pk
Your queries would be entertained
within one working day.
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 28 / 29
Thank you for your attention!
M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 29 / 29

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Introduction to Macroeconomics

  • 1. Lecture 1 What is Macroeconomics and How Macroeconomists Think? Macroeconomic Theory-II (ECON-304) MSc Economics, 2nd Dr. Muhammad Ayyoub Assistant Professor Department of Economics University of Sahiwal, Pakistan June 26, 2020 M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 1 / 29
  • 2. Overview 1 Learning requisites and outcomes 2 Macroeconomics and its key variables 3 How macroeconomists think? 4 Some basic concepts and definitions 5 Conclusion 6 Tasks for home 7 Readings and references M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 2 / 29
  • 3. Learning Outcomes Some Learning Requisites Learning Outcome • The students are expected to learn about: what is macroeconomics? basic concepts and definitions of macroeconomics the major schools of macroeconomics hence, recapping the foundations of Macroeconomics Learning Requisites • Introductory economics courses at Bachelor’s level • Macroeconomic Theory-I course at semester 1 level of MSc Economics M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 3 / 29
  • 4. Recap Economics: Alfred Marshall’s Viewpoint • Economics is the study of mankind in the ordinary business of life. • It examines that part of individual and social actions which is most closely connected with the attainment and with the use of the material requisites of well-being. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 4 / 29
  • 5. Recap (Cont’d) Major Branches of Economics • Theoretical Economics Microeconomics Macroeconomics • Applied Economics M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 5 / 29
  • 6. Macroeconomics? Economics • Economics is the study of mankind in the ordinary business of life. Macroeconomics • “Ordinary business of life” in the aggregate. • The behavior of the economy as a whole. What are the key variables? M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 6 / 29
  • 7. Key Macroeconomic Variables? • total output in the economy (Y) • the aggregate price level (P) • interest rates (i, r) • wage rates (w) • employment and unemployment (N) • foreign exchange rates (ex) M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 7 / 29
  • 8. Subject Matter of Macroeconomics The subject matter of macroeconomics includes: • factors that determine the levels of macroeconomic variables. • factors that determine how these variables change over time. for example, the rate of growth of output, the inflation rate, changing unemployment in the periods of expansion. • appreciation or depreciation in foreign exchange rates. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 8 / 29
  • 9. Key Questions in Macroeconomics • What determines the cyclical behavior of output and employment? What causes recessions? • What are the determinants of inflation? What role do macroeconomic policies play in determining inflation? M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 9 / 29
  • 10. Key Questions in Macroeconomics (Cont’d) • What relationship exists between inflation and unemployment? • What determines the growth rate over periods of one or two decades? Over longer periods such as a century? • What are the effects of the deficits and debt on the stability of exchange rates? M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 10 / 29
  • 11. Macroeconomics? (Cont’d) Macroeconomics is policy oriented. It answers the questions like: • To what degree can government policies affect output and employment? • To what degree is inflation the result of unfortunate government policies? M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 11 / 29
  • 12. Macroeconomics? (Cont’d) Macroeconomics is policy oriented. It answers the questions like: • What government policies are optimal in the sense of achieving the most desirable behavior of aggregate variables? • Should government policy attempt to achieve a target level for foreign exchange rates? M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 12 / 29
  • 13. The Business of Macroeconomists? • To disagree on policy questions, and to provide a plan for better future economic performance. • There are fundamental differences among schools of macroeconomics. • To examine different macroeconomic theories and the policy conclusions that follow from those theories. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 13 / 29
  • 14. The Business of Macroeconomists? (Cont’d) • To isolate key issues that divide macroeconomists and to explain the theoretical basis for each position. • How each theory explains the macroeconomic events? M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 14 / 29
  • 15. The Schools of Macroeconomics1 • Classical economics • Keynesian economics • Monetarism • New classical economics • Real business cycle theory • New Keynesian theory 1 Lecture 2 of this course explains the Schools of Macroeconomics in detail. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 15 / 29
  • 16. Some Definitions and Concepts Output and Employment • GDP (gross domestic product) is the measure of all currently produced final goods and services. • Unemployment rate is the number of unemployed persons expressed as a percentage of the labor force. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 16 / 29
  • 17. Inflation & Deflation • Inflation is the increase in the general level of prices. • Price index is a measure of the aggregate price level relative to a chosen base year. • CPIa is the measure of the retail prices of a fixed “market basket” of several thousand goods and services purchased by households. • PPIb measures the wholesale prices of approximately 3,000 items. a Consumer price index. b Producer price index. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 17 / 29
  • 18. Deficits & Surpluses • Federal budget deficit is the federal government tax revenues (incomes) minus outlays (expenditures). • The excess of imports over exports is called trade deficit. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 18 / 29
  • 19. Aggregate Demand • The sum of the demands for current output by each buying sector of the economy: households, businesses, the government, and foreign purchasers of exports. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 19 / 29
  • 20. Supply of Money and Monetary Policy • Monetary Policy is the central bank’s use of control of:a money supply interest rates to influence the level of economic activity. • Money: whatever is commonly accepted as: payment in exchange for goods and services payment of debts and taxes a e.g. State Bank of Pakistan. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 20 / 29
  • 21. Fiscal Policy • Fiscal policy is the setting of the federal budget: comprises decisions on government spending and taxation. • It is the use of government revenue collection (e.g. taxes or tax cuts) and expenditure (e.g. spending) to influence a country’s economy. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 21 / 29
  • 22. Full Employment • Full employment is a situation in which everyone who wants a job can have work hours they need on fair wages. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 22 / 29
  • 23. Wage-Price Flexibility & Vice Versa • The classical theory proposes that all markets re-equilibrate because of adjustments in prices and wages which are flexible. • For example, if an excess in the labor force or products exist, the wage or price of these will adjust to absorb the excess. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 23 / 29
  • 24. Summary of Today’s Session • The term macroeconomics was first used by the Norwegian economist Ragnar Frisch in 1933. • Macroeconomics is the younger sibling of the economics family. • Its subject matter is the behavior of the economy as a whole. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 24 / 29
  • 25. Summary of Today’s Session (Cont’d) • In this lecture, I have tried to introduce the definition, variables and the challenges of macroeconomics. • Important concepts and related definitions are introduced. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 25 / 29
  • 26. Just Google It Learn by Yourself • What is Reaganomics (and Trumpnomics)? • Is there any linkages between the Great Depression of 1930s and the economics of COVID-19? M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 26 / 29
  • 27. Suggested Reading Material Chapter 1: Richard T. Froyen (8th Edition) Macroeconomics: Theories and Policies Pearson Education, Inc. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 27 / 29
  • 28. Questions/Queries You can send your questions at: m.ayyoub@uosahaiwal.edu.pk Your queries would be entertained within one working day. M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 28 / 29
  • 29. Thank you for your attention! M. Ayyoub (UoS,PK) Introduction to Macroeconomics June 26, 2020 29 / 29