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INDUSTRY PROGRESS TOWARDS A NEXT-GEN
OSS FOR A VIRTUALIZED NETWORK
James Crawshaw, Senior Analyst, Heavy Reading
Nobody knew OSS could be so complicated
“There is so much change happening on so
many levels within OSS that every one of us is
a freshly-minted incompetent, no matter how
much prior competence we may’ve built up.”
Ryan Jeffery, passionateaboutoss.com
This is not Ryan Jeffery
I wouldn’t start from here
A Transformational Journey – Marmota Monax
Packet switching
Virtualization Intelligent network
Digitalization
Telco NFV Hyperbole Wave
Source: Zenoss
Cloud is disruptive
Source: Economist
SDN + NFV + 5G + IoT + OTT = Hagwalah
Source: YouTube
Resistance (to change) is futile
“I’ve been involved in
telecom operations for
decades, and I’ve learned
that there is nothing in
networking as inertial as
OSS/BSS.”
Tom Nolle, President of CIMI Corp.
Source: spiritandpeople.com
Silo mentality
How IT
people see
each other
Source: Cognizant
Hierarchies
And this is
how
hierarchies
work within
departments
Source: Swisscom
Why are we doing this again?
The Impact of OTT on Telecom ARPU
WhatsApp, Viber, and Apple’s
iMessage represent >80% of all
messaging traffic
Skype accounts for >33% of all
international voice traffic
minutes
CSPs take lion’s share of industry revenue
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Semiconductors Network Equipment Wireline & Wireless
Operators
Content Distribution
(cable & satellite)
Content Creators /
Aggregators
Device Manufacturers
Revenue($bn)
2010
2015
Surprise!
Source: World Economic Forum/Accenture analysis based on data from S&P Capital IQ
Revenue growth drive by mobile-first world
Source: AID & International Development Forum
But telco margins have declined
Source: World Economic Forum/Accenture analysis based on data from S&P Capital IQ
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Semiconductors Network Equipment Wireline & Wireless
Operators
Content Distribution
(cable & satellite)
Content Creators /
Aggregators
Device Manufacturers
EBITDAmargin
2010
2015
Ouch!
Margin decline may reflect traffic growth
China Unicom’s public
Internet traffic growth
accelerated in 2015 and
2016.
Mobile Internet traffic
in China grew 140% in
1H17
Source: China Unicom
Traffic growth but no ARPU uplift
Source: 3Austria
However, CSPs still take majority of industry EBITDA
Source: World Economic Forum/Accenture analysis based on data from S&P Capital IQ
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Semiconductors Network Equipment Wireline & Wireless
Operators
Content Distribution
(cable & satellite)
Content Creators /
Aggregators
Device Manufacturers
EBITDA($bn)
2010
2015
Because we have the
bulk of the physical
assets and capital
employed!
EBITDA share of the industry has nonetheless fallen
Source: World Economic Forum/Accenture analysis based on data from S&P Capital IQ
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Semiconductors Network Equipment Wireline & Wireless
Operators
Content Distribution
(cable & satellite)
Content Creators /
Aggregators
Device Manufacturers
EBITDAshare
2010
2015
Woe is me!
Decline reflects position in pyramid of digital needs
Telecom, Just Eat
Twitter
Facebook
MOOCs
Bitdefender
OK, how do we do this then?
To V or Not to V(irtualize)
Difficulty to virtualize
Costsavingsthroughvirtualization
Source: Heavy Reading graphic adapted from NFV by Medamana & Siracusa
Media processing
Core router
DSLAM
Wireline access
Edge router
Wireless access
C-RAN
EMS, NMS
IMS
Appliances e.g. firewall
Gateways
CPE – home & biz
Control plane elements e.g. DNS
What Rostelecom has virtualized
Enterprise application TTM has fallen from > 1 year to < 2 months
Source: Rostelecom
A common information model is the solution
Source: ETSI
Making snowflakes from Lego
All your problems can be solved with APIs
Source: TMForum
“In the future it is all
going to be about
APIs and
interoperability
between the various
tools involved, which
is something open
source has always
been better at than
proprietary solutions.
The traditional OSS
vendors that
recognize this will
likely survive.”
- Patrick Moore,
Itential
Open source makes all your problems disappear
Source: Linux Foundation
Is ONAP the holy grail?
• Do CSPs just download the ONAP code and find a friendly systems
integrator to get it working?
• Shannon & Yates (AT&T) admit that “the effectiveness of ONAP will be
governed by the effectiveness of the policies and analytics that define the
control loops”.
• They go on to say that “a ‘bad’ control loop, introduced either accidentally
or maliciously, could have a significant negative impact on network and
service”. Service designers and operators will be responsible for setting
appropriate policies and implementing “guard rails” to prevent policy
conflicts leading to unintended negative consequences.
• NFV may reduce the need for tier 1 support rushing to central offices to
replace faulty equipment but it will increase the need for tier 3 skills such
as mapping alarm correlations, scripting policies, training AI agents,
troubleshooting VNF errors and debugging software-based problems.
The Unified Theory of OSS
re: ONAP, OSM and so on
The emperor has no clothes. Teams of tailors
are busy sewing, but we're not much past
the Borat swimsuit level of coverage. There's
still a lot of Grand Unified System stuff going
on here while the small mammals of Ansible
and Chef are doing little things well. Which
method will win out is TBD [to be decided].
Anonymous Coward, The Register
ONAP Community Members by Company
Source: AT&T
The generosity of Intel
• Network Builders Program
• Workshops driven by Intel Network
• RFI/RFP inputs from Intel
• Samples to conduct POCs
• Free of Charge Consultancy
Source: Turkcell
Can vendors redeem themselves?
Source: Dilbert
OSS Vendors – Heavy Reading Mystic Square™
Light Reading Revenue ($m)
HeavyReadingRevenue($m)
Up & coming Winners
Losers Bonkers
A
J
I
H
G F
ED
C
B
Names have been
changed to protect the
innocent
Operationalizing SDN and NFV Networks
• Activation – enabled via an intuitive portal with pre-defined templates for
service definition & composition, service activation, modification, etc.
• Provisioning - based on standard protocols such as NETCONF/YANG and
TOSCA to enable end-to-end chaining of functions from multiple vendors.
Must include support for rollback.
• Inventory management - inventory needs to be considered at the service,
application and resource level (container/VM, server, etc.). Repository
needed to track license usage and VNF versions. Automated discovery
needed to establish real-time topology view.
• DevOps – need to automate testing and deployment of changes across
multiple environments. Feedback from operations on production networks
is rolled into subsequent product sprints.
• Service assurance – see panel 3
Integrate with OSS and gradually replace
• Most CSPs will extend their existing OSS for hybrid network/services.
• Given that legacy/physical network function/devices will continue to be
used for the foreseeable future CSPs will have to manage hybrid (part
physical, part virtualized) networks. Hence existing OSS will need to be
extended (in some way) to work together with the new management and
orchestration systems that support NFV.
• Shannon and Yates write that “to be able to relate end-to-end service
measurements with VNF and PNFs, we must have detailed end-to-end
service paths … these can be nontrivial to obtain”.
• They go on to note that “change management [and troubleshooting]
activities will need to be coordinated across [physical and virtual]
domains”.
• In fact, Shannon and Yates see the scope for ONAP to manage PNFs and
hence “it can enable legacy OSSs and BSSs to be retired”.
And the answer is … 42

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Industry progress towards a next gen oss for a virtualized network

  • 1. INDUSTRY PROGRESS TOWARDS A NEXT-GEN OSS FOR A VIRTUALIZED NETWORK James Crawshaw, Senior Analyst, Heavy Reading
  • 2. Nobody knew OSS could be so complicated “There is so much change happening on so many levels within OSS that every one of us is a freshly-minted incompetent, no matter how much prior competence we may’ve built up.” Ryan Jeffery, passionateaboutoss.com This is not Ryan Jeffery
  • 3. I wouldn’t start from here
  • 4. A Transformational Journey – Marmota Monax Packet switching Virtualization Intelligent network Digitalization
  • 5. Telco NFV Hyperbole Wave Source: Zenoss
  • 7. SDN + NFV + 5G + IoT + OTT = Hagwalah Source: YouTube
  • 8. Resistance (to change) is futile “I’ve been involved in telecom operations for decades, and I’ve learned that there is nothing in networking as inertial as OSS/BSS.” Tom Nolle, President of CIMI Corp. Source: spiritandpeople.com
  • 9. Silo mentality How IT people see each other Source: Cognizant
  • 10. Hierarchies And this is how hierarchies work within departments Source: Swisscom
  • 11. Why are we doing this again?
  • 12. The Impact of OTT on Telecom ARPU WhatsApp, Viber, and Apple’s iMessage represent >80% of all messaging traffic Skype accounts for >33% of all international voice traffic minutes
  • 13. CSPs take lion’s share of industry revenue - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 Semiconductors Network Equipment Wireline & Wireless Operators Content Distribution (cable & satellite) Content Creators / Aggregators Device Manufacturers Revenue($bn) 2010 2015 Surprise! Source: World Economic Forum/Accenture analysis based on data from S&P Capital IQ
  • 14. Revenue growth drive by mobile-first world Source: AID & International Development Forum
  • 15. But telco margins have declined Source: World Economic Forum/Accenture analysis based on data from S&P Capital IQ 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Semiconductors Network Equipment Wireline & Wireless Operators Content Distribution (cable & satellite) Content Creators / Aggregators Device Manufacturers EBITDAmargin 2010 2015 Ouch!
  • 16. Margin decline may reflect traffic growth China Unicom’s public Internet traffic growth accelerated in 2015 and 2016. Mobile Internet traffic in China grew 140% in 1H17 Source: China Unicom
  • 17. Traffic growth but no ARPU uplift Source: 3Austria
  • 18. However, CSPs still take majority of industry EBITDA Source: World Economic Forum/Accenture analysis based on data from S&P Capital IQ - 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Semiconductors Network Equipment Wireline & Wireless Operators Content Distribution (cable & satellite) Content Creators / Aggregators Device Manufacturers EBITDA($bn) 2010 2015 Because we have the bulk of the physical assets and capital employed!
  • 19. EBITDA share of the industry has nonetheless fallen Source: World Economic Forum/Accenture analysis based on data from S&P Capital IQ 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Semiconductors Network Equipment Wireline & Wireless Operators Content Distribution (cable & satellite) Content Creators / Aggregators Device Manufacturers EBITDAshare 2010 2015 Woe is me!
  • 20. Decline reflects position in pyramid of digital needs Telecom, Just Eat Twitter Facebook MOOCs Bitdefender
  • 21. OK, how do we do this then?
  • 22. To V or Not to V(irtualize) Difficulty to virtualize Costsavingsthroughvirtualization Source: Heavy Reading graphic adapted from NFV by Medamana & Siracusa Media processing Core router DSLAM Wireline access Edge router Wireless access C-RAN EMS, NMS IMS Appliances e.g. firewall Gateways CPE – home & biz Control plane elements e.g. DNS
  • 23. What Rostelecom has virtualized Enterprise application TTM has fallen from > 1 year to < 2 months Source: Rostelecom
  • 24. A common information model is the solution Source: ETSI
  • 26. All your problems can be solved with APIs Source: TMForum “In the future it is all going to be about APIs and interoperability between the various tools involved, which is something open source has always been better at than proprietary solutions. The traditional OSS vendors that recognize this will likely survive.” - Patrick Moore, Itential
  • 27. Open source makes all your problems disappear Source: Linux Foundation
  • 28. Is ONAP the holy grail? • Do CSPs just download the ONAP code and find a friendly systems integrator to get it working? • Shannon & Yates (AT&T) admit that “the effectiveness of ONAP will be governed by the effectiveness of the policies and analytics that define the control loops”. • They go on to say that “a ‘bad’ control loop, introduced either accidentally or maliciously, could have a significant negative impact on network and service”. Service designers and operators will be responsible for setting appropriate policies and implementing “guard rails” to prevent policy conflicts leading to unintended negative consequences. • NFV may reduce the need for tier 1 support rushing to central offices to replace faulty equipment but it will increase the need for tier 3 skills such as mapping alarm correlations, scripting policies, training AI agents, troubleshooting VNF errors and debugging software-based problems.
  • 29. The Unified Theory of OSS re: ONAP, OSM and so on The emperor has no clothes. Teams of tailors are busy sewing, but we're not much past the Borat swimsuit level of coverage. There's still a lot of Grand Unified System stuff going on here while the small mammals of Ansible and Chef are doing little things well. Which method will win out is TBD [to be decided]. Anonymous Coward, The Register ONAP Community Members by Company Source: AT&T
  • 30. The generosity of Intel • Network Builders Program • Workshops driven by Intel Network • RFI/RFP inputs from Intel • Samples to conduct POCs • Free of Charge Consultancy Source: Turkcell
  • 31. Can vendors redeem themselves? Source: Dilbert
  • 32. OSS Vendors – Heavy Reading Mystic Square™ Light Reading Revenue ($m) HeavyReadingRevenue($m) Up & coming Winners Losers Bonkers A J I H G F ED C B Names have been changed to protect the innocent
  • 33. Operationalizing SDN and NFV Networks • Activation – enabled via an intuitive portal with pre-defined templates for service definition & composition, service activation, modification, etc. • Provisioning - based on standard protocols such as NETCONF/YANG and TOSCA to enable end-to-end chaining of functions from multiple vendors. Must include support for rollback. • Inventory management - inventory needs to be considered at the service, application and resource level (container/VM, server, etc.). Repository needed to track license usage and VNF versions. Automated discovery needed to establish real-time topology view. • DevOps – need to automate testing and deployment of changes across multiple environments. Feedback from operations on production networks is rolled into subsequent product sprints. • Service assurance – see panel 3
  • 34. Integrate with OSS and gradually replace • Most CSPs will extend their existing OSS for hybrid network/services. • Given that legacy/physical network function/devices will continue to be used for the foreseeable future CSPs will have to manage hybrid (part physical, part virtualized) networks. Hence existing OSS will need to be extended (in some way) to work together with the new management and orchestration systems that support NFV. • Shannon and Yates write that “to be able to relate end-to-end service measurements with VNF and PNFs, we must have detailed end-to-end service paths … these can be nontrivial to obtain”. • They go on to note that “change management [and troubleshooting] activities will need to be coordinated across [physical and virtual] domains”. • In fact, Shannon and Yates see the scope for ONAP to manage PNFs and hence “it can enable legacy OSSs and BSSs to be retired”.
  • 35. And the answer is … 42