InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu
Indian automotive sector
snapshot
18th
November 2010
| Version : IA_auto_sector_V3.3 | Click here for latest updates
India's Automotive sector snapshot | Nov. 2010 | 2InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu
Private vehicles market potential
No vehicle
Car
Motorbike
Bicycle
Vehicle ownership in India, 2010
Compiled from various sources
Only 1 % of Indian
households own a
private car,
10 % a motorbike
Very low saturation, coupled with high disposable income growth and distribution, point to a large potential for private vehicles.
200820072006200520042003200220012000
400
600
800
1000
1200
GDP (US$), India, 1990-2008
Source : United Nations
• 83000 millionaires (in USD) in India in 2009, up 20% from 2008
• India's growth expected to overtake China's before 2015
• Per capita income expected to overtake UK, US, by 2040
CAGR :
12.1 %
1985 1995 2005 2015 2025
« Globals » : > € 80k
« Strivers » : € 40k - 80k
« Seekers » : € 15k - 40k
« Aspirers » : € 7k - 15k
« Deprived » : < € 7k
Household annual income,
2010, PPPPopulation in income bracket
India's Automotive sector snapshot | Nov. 2010 | 3InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu
Trends, vehicle type distribution
2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
0
2 000 000
4 000 000
6 000 000
8 000 000
10 000 000
12 000 000
14 000 000
Total vehicles sales - India
Source : SIAM, November 2010
2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
0
500 000
1 000 000
1 500 000
2 000 000
2 500 000
Passenger vehicles sales trends - India
Source : SIAM, November 2010
Passenger Vehicles
1 949 776
Commercial Vehicles
531 195
Three Wheelers
440 368
Two Wheelers
9 371 231
Sales by vehicle type - India - FY 2009-2010
Source : SIAM, November 2010
CAGR :
13.7%
CAGR :
10.3%
The Indian automotive sector has witnessed
healthy growth for the past 7 years, and the
industry considers this to be sustainable for
another 10 years at least.
Car sales grow faster thant other categories,
but motorcycles still accounts for 75% of the
market today.
India's Automotive sector snapshot | Nov. 2010 | 4InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu
Market shares distribution (cars only)
The 4 largest players (Maruti, Hyundai,
Tata, Mahindra) hold 83% of market
shares.
The next 4 (GM, Honda, Toyota, Ford)
hold 12%
95% of the market is in the hands of 8
manufacturers (none of which are
European...)
Maruti Suzuki
45%
Hyundai
16%
Tata
14%
Mahindra
8%
GM
4%
Honda
3%
Toyota
3%
Ford
2%
Fiat
1%
Skoda
1%
Others
2%
Market shares distribution
Source : SIAM, 12/2009
India's Automotive sector snapshot | Nov. 2010 | 5InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu
European cars : manufacturing and marketing set-up
= European brands dealers
= population density > 250
= European brands dealers
= wealthiest areas
35
BMW 17 CKD / SKD (Chennai)
14
62
38
FIAT 110
Some European manufacturers set-up
Dealerships Manufacturing
Mercedes CKD / SKD (Pune)
Audi CKD / SKD (Pune)
Skoda CKD / SKD (Pune)
Volkswagen CKD / SKD (Pune)
CKD / SKD (Pune)
Import duty on complete cars
(« CBU ») = 100%
Import duty on SKD and CKD
parts = 10%
Except for luxury
vehicles (low volumes,
less rivalry), the route to
the Indian market for
foreign manufacturers is
either the KD model or
complete localisation.
India's Automotive sector snapshot | Nov. 2010 | 6InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu
Main automotive industry clusters
Mumbai - Pune – Nasik –
Aurangabad - Gujarat
(non exhaustive)
Chennai – Bangalore -
Hyderabad
(non exhaustive)
NCR – Punjab – Rajasthan -
Madhya Pradesh
(non exhaustive)
India's Automotive sector snapshot | Nov. 2010 | 7InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu
Some decisions facing foreign Tier 1 and 2 entrants
Which location ?
Northern cluster ?
(Suzuki, Honda...)
Western cluster ?
(EU manufacturers)
Southern cluster ?
(Ford, Hyundai...)
Alone ?
With a local partner ?Local assembly ?
Transaction =
sale of components
+ +
Direct export ?
Transaction =
sale of products
+ +
Local manufacturing ?
Transaction = Sale /
licensing of know-how
+ +
+ -
● Could create a
competitor
● Partner choice
conditions success
● ….
● Faster ramp-up
● Lower investment
● Access to partner's
network
● ….
+ -
● Slower ramp-up
● HR and finance
hungry
● ….
● Total control
● No revenue sharing
● Gain precise
market knowledge
● ….
India's Automotive sector snapshot | Nov. 2010 | 8InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu
33, avenue Philippe Auguste
75011 Paris
France
Tel : +33 1 44 64 10 35
Fax : +33 1 44 64 10 36
www.inalliance.eu
info@inalliance.eu
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InAlliance Consulting, specialists of the Indian market
Direct links to further information :

InAlliance Consulting : Indian Automotive Sector snapshot

  • 1.
    InAlliance Consulting |www.inalliance.eu Indian automotive sector snapshot 18th November 2010 | Version : IA_auto_sector_V3.3 | Click here for latest updates
  • 2.
    India's Automotive sectorsnapshot | Nov. 2010 | 2InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu Private vehicles market potential No vehicle Car Motorbike Bicycle Vehicle ownership in India, 2010 Compiled from various sources Only 1 % of Indian households own a private car, 10 % a motorbike Very low saturation, coupled with high disposable income growth and distribution, point to a large potential for private vehicles. 200820072006200520042003200220012000 400 600 800 1000 1200 GDP (US$), India, 1990-2008 Source : United Nations • 83000 millionaires (in USD) in India in 2009, up 20% from 2008 • India's growth expected to overtake China's before 2015 • Per capita income expected to overtake UK, US, by 2040 CAGR : 12.1 % 1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 « Globals » : > € 80k « Strivers » : € 40k - 80k « Seekers » : € 15k - 40k « Aspirers » : € 7k - 15k « Deprived » : < € 7k Household annual income, 2010, PPPPopulation in income bracket
  • 3.
    India's Automotive sectorsnapshot | Nov. 2010 | 3InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu Trends, vehicle type distribution 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 0 2 000 000 4 000 000 6 000 000 8 000 000 10 000 000 12 000 000 14 000 000 Total vehicles sales - India Source : SIAM, November 2010 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 0 500 000 1 000 000 1 500 000 2 000 000 2 500 000 Passenger vehicles sales trends - India Source : SIAM, November 2010 Passenger Vehicles 1 949 776 Commercial Vehicles 531 195 Three Wheelers 440 368 Two Wheelers 9 371 231 Sales by vehicle type - India - FY 2009-2010 Source : SIAM, November 2010 CAGR : 13.7% CAGR : 10.3% The Indian automotive sector has witnessed healthy growth for the past 7 years, and the industry considers this to be sustainable for another 10 years at least. Car sales grow faster thant other categories, but motorcycles still accounts for 75% of the market today.
  • 4.
    India's Automotive sectorsnapshot | Nov. 2010 | 4InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu Market shares distribution (cars only) The 4 largest players (Maruti, Hyundai, Tata, Mahindra) hold 83% of market shares. The next 4 (GM, Honda, Toyota, Ford) hold 12% 95% of the market is in the hands of 8 manufacturers (none of which are European...) Maruti Suzuki 45% Hyundai 16% Tata 14% Mahindra 8% GM 4% Honda 3% Toyota 3% Ford 2% Fiat 1% Skoda 1% Others 2% Market shares distribution Source : SIAM, 12/2009
  • 5.
    India's Automotive sectorsnapshot | Nov. 2010 | 5InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu European cars : manufacturing and marketing set-up = European brands dealers = population density > 250 = European brands dealers = wealthiest areas 35 BMW 17 CKD / SKD (Chennai) 14 62 38 FIAT 110 Some European manufacturers set-up Dealerships Manufacturing Mercedes CKD / SKD (Pune) Audi CKD / SKD (Pune) Skoda CKD / SKD (Pune) Volkswagen CKD / SKD (Pune) CKD / SKD (Pune) Import duty on complete cars (« CBU ») = 100% Import duty on SKD and CKD parts = 10% Except for luxury vehicles (low volumes, less rivalry), the route to the Indian market for foreign manufacturers is either the KD model or complete localisation.
  • 6.
    India's Automotive sectorsnapshot | Nov. 2010 | 6InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu Main automotive industry clusters Mumbai - Pune – Nasik – Aurangabad - Gujarat (non exhaustive) Chennai – Bangalore - Hyderabad (non exhaustive) NCR – Punjab – Rajasthan - Madhya Pradesh (non exhaustive)
  • 7.
    India's Automotive sectorsnapshot | Nov. 2010 | 7InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu Some decisions facing foreign Tier 1 and 2 entrants Which location ? Northern cluster ? (Suzuki, Honda...) Western cluster ? (EU manufacturers) Southern cluster ? (Ford, Hyundai...) Alone ? With a local partner ?Local assembly ? Transaction = sale of components + + Direct export ? Transaction = sale of products + + Local manufacturing ? Transaction = Sale / licensing of know-how + + + - ● Could create a competitor ● Partner choice conditions success ● …. ● Faster ramp-up ● Lower investment ● Access to partner's network ● …. + - ● Slower ramp-up ● HR and finance hungry ● …. ● Total control ● No revenue sharing ● Gain precise market knowledge ● ….
  • 8.
    India's Automotive sectorsnapshot | Nov. 2010 | 8InAlliance Consulting | www.inalliance.eu 33, avenue Philippe Auguste 75011 Paris France Tel : +33 1 44 64 10 35 Fax : +33 1 44 64 10 36 www.inalliance.eu info@inalliance.eu | Accueil | Notre mission | Notre approche | Pourquoi choisir InAlliance ? | Références | Autres panoramas sectoriels | | Home | Our mission | Our approach | Why choose InAlliance ? | References | Other sector snapshots | | Home | La nostra missione | Il nostro approcio | Perchè scegliere InAlliance ? | Referenze | Altri documenti utili | InAlliance Consulting, specialists of the Indian market Direct links to further information :