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SALES OPPORTUNITY
SCORING
DataDrivenSalesManagement.com
Swayne Hill, 2012




                                Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Sales Opportunity Scoring
Marketing scores Leads, why doesn’t
Sales score Opportunities?




                                      Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Sales Opportunity Scoring
By Scoring Sales Opportunities against
a Model Sales Cycle we…

1.    Streamline CRM Systems
2.    Triangulate Sales Forecasts
3.    Provide Deal-Level Coaching
4.    Monitor Risk/Exceptions




                                     Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
How to Create a Scoring System
Consider This:                   Do This:

•    What are your ideal         1.  List the most impactful
     sales circumstances?            sales-cycle attributes
•    Is this ‘Ideal’ different   2.  Profile attributes
     for each line of                according to impact on
     business?                       winning to create a
•    Has this ‘Ideal’                Model?
     changed over time?          3.  Press this new Scoring
                                     System into action
                                 4.  Plan to revisit
                                     assumptions regularly

                                               Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
MOST IMPACTFUL
ATTRIBUTES
Top 10 Most Impactful Sales-Cycle Attributes




                                          Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
1. Size
By knowing the size/scale of the business we’re
selling into, we anticipate the complexity and
potential deal value
•  Size might be defined by Annual Revenue,
   Employee Count, etc.




                                      Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
2. Industry
In our case, success probability is more tied to
Business Model but Industry is a good proxy and
more readily available

                           Examples
                           •  Financial Services
                           •  Tech
                           •  Media
                           •  Manufacturing


                                      Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
3. Business Goals
                    By understanding the
                    top-level business
                    goals, we can infer the
                    investment climate
                    Examples:
                    •  Growth
                    •  Profitability
                    •  Market Share
                    •  Acquisition Roll-Up

                                Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
4. Maturity/Readiness
How clear is the prospect on the ‘problem’ and
its impact on the business?
                            Example:
                              •  Is the pain intolerable to
                                 the right people?
                              •  How long have they
                                 had systems in place?
                              •  How’s the relationship
                                 between IT & the
                                 Business?

                                         Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
5. Compelling Event
Is there a forcing-function, some event or deadline
imposed on the buyer (not you) that drives
urgency?

If it’s well-corroborated
and the prospect is close
to the ‘sweet spot’, this is
often the most important
attribute


                                       Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
6. Primary Buying Agenda
We encounter three different buying agendas,
some turn out to be more likely to succeed than
others due to…

•  Perceived competition
•  Scope of buying group
•  Strategic v. tactical
 problems



                                      Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
7. Pro-Services Attached
In our business, actively managing a transformation
project is critical to success
•  Is the value of professional services understood
   and embraced?
•  Do they have people who WANT control and have
   the skills to TAKE control over the project?




                                        Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
8. Decision-Maker Profile

              By understanding the profile of
              our decision-maker, we know
              how to position the value of
              solutions

              •  Are we actively engaged with
                 the real decision-maker?
              •  Is the decision-maker a
                 ‘cowboy’, ‘student of the
                 game’ or a ‘data jockey’?

                                 Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
9. Buying Experience
If our decision-maker is new or has little
experience running a buying process, they often
underestimate the effort to get a deal over the line

On the other hand, if
they have too many
battle-scars, they may
be ultra-conservative
and not push their own
organization hard
enough
                                        Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
10. Corroboration
By double-checking the facts, we gain confidence
in our view of the buying process

It does matter at what
level of the org, we do
the fact-checking…
•  Higher up
•  Same level
•  Lower down

                                     Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
ATTRIBUTE VALUE/SCORE
PROFILE


                Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Ideal Sales Circumstance
Decision-maker is engaged,
a ‘student of the game’ and
a practiced buyer             High state of readiness
                              with solution deadlines
                              driven from above

  Blended App/Tools buying
  agenda with 30% services
  attach

                                 Medium-large sized high-
                                 technology company
Key situational details          focused on growth
corroborated from above


                                        Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Assign Scores to Attribute Values
Attribute                                   Attribute Value : Score
1. Size                                       S:2, M:10, L:7, XL:2
2. Industry                             FS:4, Tech:10, Media:8, Other:2
3. Business Goals                        Growth:10, Margin:2, Blend:7
4. Readiness                                    Low:1, High:10
5. Compelling Event                                Y:10, N:0
6. Primary Buying Agenda               App:8, Tool:4, Service:6, Blend:10
7. Pro-Services Attach                  0%:0, 20%:8, 30%:10, >30%:4
8. Decision-Maker Profile                SOTG:10, Cowboy:5, Other:2
9. Decision-Maker Buying Experience     None:0, Practiced:10, Expert:5
10. Corroboration                     Higher:10, Lower:3, Same:8, None:0

                                                        Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Weight the Attributes

                        Weight sales-cycle
                        attributes according
                         to relative impact
                        on the probability of
                           winning – don’t
                        worry about getting
                          it perfect, adjust
                                 later
                                 Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Weight the Attributes
Attribute                   Weight         Attribute Value : Score
1. Size                      .05             S:2, M:10, L:7, XL:2
2. Industry                  .05       FS:4, Tech:10, Media:8, Other:2
3. Business Goals            .10        Growth:10, Margin:2, Blend:7
4. Readiness                 .10               Low:1, High:10
5. Compelling Event          .20                  Y:10, N:0
6. Primary Buying Agenda     .10      App:8, Tool:4, Service:6, Blend:10
7. Pro-Services Attach       .05       0%:0, 20%:8, 30%:10, >30%:4
8. Decision-Maker Profile    .10        SOTG:10, Cowboy:5, Other:2
9. Decision-Maker Buying
                             .15       None:0, Practiced:10, Expert:5
Experience
10. Corroboration            .10     Higher:10, Lower:3, Same:8, None:0
                                                        Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
PRESS SCORING SYSTEM
INTO ACTION


               Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Example
                                  Possible Values               Sample                  Weighted
Attribute                                                                    Score
                                   (Benchmark)                 Prospect                  Score
1. Size                          S:2, M:10, L:7, XL:2            XL             2            1.0

2. Vertical                 FS:4, Tech:10, Media:8, Other:2     Media           8            4.0

3. Business Conditions       Growth:10, Margin:2, Blend:7       Blend           7            7.0

4. Maturity/Readiness               Low:1, High:10               High          10           10.0

5. Compelling Event                    Y:10, N:0                 None           0            0.0
                            App:8, Tool:4, Service:6, Blend:
6. Primary Buying Agenda                                         App            8            8.0
                                           10
7. Pro Services Attach       0:0, 20%:8, 30%:10, >30%:4          30%           10            5.0

8. Decision-Maker Profile    SOTG:10, Cowboy:5, Other:2         Other           2            2.0
9. Decision-Maker Buying
                              None:0, Some:10, Expert:5         Some            5            7.5
Experience
                             Higher:10, Lower:3, Same:8,
10. Corroboration                                               Same            8            8.0
                                       None:0
                                                                               60           52.5

                                                                        Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Streamline CRM System
•  Recording deal details in the CRM system is a
 pain in the ass for sales reps. By focusing on the
 data that really matters, we minimized the admin
 overhead for reps AND we got richer, more useful
 data at the same time.




                                       Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Triangulate Sales Forecast
•  We always consider three data sources before forecasting
   next period sales – what the Sales Reps say, what the
   over-rides look like and what the data says.
•  Creating a scoring system based on the sales cycle model
   gives us that third leg of the stool – what the data says.




                                              Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Provide Deal-Level Coaching
             By exploring the gaps between
             Win Probability on a particular
             deal – the ‘Weighted Score’
             and Forecast Probability, the
             subjective probability
             associated to the stage we’re
             in, we focus a Sales Rep’s
             attention on the high-impact
             activities that would bring a
             deal closer to the model
                                Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Create Risk/Exception Reports
                   Not all of the information
                   we need is available at
                   the beginning of the
                   cycle. If the information
                   does not unfold as it
                   should OR we are not
                   converging on the Model
                   Sales Cycle, the system
                   triggers risk-alerts so
                   we’re not blind-sided at
                   quarter-end.

                               Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
REVISITING
ASSUMPTIONS


              Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Watch For New Patterns
Every quarter, we re-evaluate the assumptions in the Model
– top attributes and weightings and adjust accordingly.




                                            Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
Sales Opportunity Scoring
By setting up a Sales Opportunity Scoring System
we’ve increased our win rate, reduced admin time
and given our team more reaction time




                                     Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
SALES OPPORTUNITY
SCORING
Swayne Hill, 2012
DataDrivenSalesManagement.com




                                Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012

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How to Create a Sales Opportunity Scoring System

  • 2. Sales Opportunity Scoring Marketing scores Leads, why doesn’t Sales score Opportunities? Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 3. Sales Opportunity Scoring By Scoring Sales Opportunities against a Model Sales Cycle we… 1.  Streamline CRM Systems 2.  Triangulate Sales Forecasts 3.  Provide Deal-Level Coaching 4.  Monitor Risk/Exceptions Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 4. How to Create a Scoring System Consider This: Do This: •  What are your ideal 1.  List the most impactful sales circumstances? sales-cycle attributes •  Is this ‘Ideal’ different 2.  Profile attributes for each line of according to impact on business? winning to create a •  Has this ‘Ideal’ Model? changed over time? 3.  Press this new Scoring System into action 4.  Plan to revisit assumptions regularly Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 5. MOST IMPACTFUL ATTRIBUTES Top 10 Most Impactful Sales-Cycle Attributes Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 6. 1. Size By knowing the size/scale of the business we’re selling into, we anticipate the complexity and potential deal value •  Size might be defined by Annual Revenue, Employee Count, etc. Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 7. 2. Industry In our case, success probability is more tied to Business Model but Industry is a good proxy and more readily available Examples •  Financial Services •  Tech •  Media •  Manufacturing Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 8. 3. Business Goals By understanding the top-level business goals, we can infer the investment climate Examples: •  Growth •  Profitability •  Market Share •  Acquisition Roll-Up Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 9. 4. Maturity/Readiness How clear is the prospect on the ‘problem’ and its impact on the business? Example: •  Is the pain intolerable to the right people? •  How long have they had systems in place? •  How’s the relationship between IT & the Business? Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 10. 5. Compelling Event Is there a forcing-function, some event or deadline imposed on the buyer (not you) that drives urgency? If it’s well-corroborated and the prospect is close to the ‘sweet spot’, this is often the most important attribute Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 11. 6. Primary Buying Agenda We encounter three different buying agendas, some turn out to be more likely to succeed than others due to… •  Perceived competition •  Scope of buying group •  Strategic v. tactical problems Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 12. 7. Pro-Services Attached In our business, actively managing a transformation project is critical to success •  Is the value of professional services understood and embraced? •  Do they have people who WANT control and have the skills to TAKE control over the project? Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 13. 8. Decision-Maker Profile By understanding the profile of our decision-maker, we know how to position the value of solutions •  Are we actively engaged with the real decision-maker? •  Is the decision-maker a ‘cowboy’, ‘student of the game’ or a ‘data jockey’? Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 14. 9. Buying Experience If our decision-maker is new or has little experience running a buying process, they often underestimate the effort to get a deal over the line On the other hand, if they have too many battle-scars, they may be ultra-conservative and not push their own organization hard enough Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 15. 10. Corroboration By double-checking the facts, we gain confidence in our view of the buying process It does matter at what level of the org, we do the fact-checking… •  Higher up •  Same level •  Lower down Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 16. ATTRIBUTE VALUE/SCORE PROFILE Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 17. Ideal Sales Circumstance Decision-maker is engaged, a ‘student of the game’ and a practiced buyer High state of readiness with solution deadlines driven from above Blended App/Tools buying agenda with 30% services attach Medium-large sized high- technology company Key situational details focused on growth corroborated from above Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 18. Assign Scores to Attribute Values Attribute Attribute Value : Score 1. Size S:2, M:10, L:7, XL:2 2. Industry FS:4, Tech:10, Media:8, Other:2 3. Business Goals Growth:10, Margin:2, Blend:7 4. Readiness Low:1, High:10 5. Compelling Event Y:10, N:0 6. Primary Buying Agenda App:8, Tool:4, Service:6, Blend:10 7. Pro-Services Attach 0%:0, 20%:8, 30%:10, >30%:4 8. Decision-Maker Profile SOTG:10, Cowboy:5, Other:2 9. Decision-Maker Buying Experience None:0, Practiced:10, Expert:5 10. Corroboration Higher:10, Lower:3, Same:8, None:0 Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 19. Weight the Attributes Weight sales-cycle attributes according to relative impact on the probability of winning – don’t worry about getting it perfect, adjust later Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 20. Weight the Attributes Attribute Weight Attribute Value : Score 1. Size .05 S:2, M:10, L:7, XL:2 2. Industry .05 FS:4, Tech:10, Media:8, Other:2 3. Business Goals .10 Growth:10, Margin:2, Blend:7 4. Readiness .10 Low:1, High:10 5. Compelling Event .20 Y:10, N:0 6. Primary Buying Agenda .10 App:8, Tool:4, Service:6, Blend:10 7. Pro-Services Attach .05 0%:0, 20%:8, 30%:10, >30%:4 8. Decision-Maker Profile .10 SOTG:10, Cowboy:5, Other:2 9. Decision-Maker Buying .15 None:0, Practiced:10, Expert:5 Experience 10. Corroboration .10 Higher:10, Lower:3, Same:8, None:0 Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 21. PRESS SCORING SYSTEM INTO ACTION Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 22. Example Possible Values Sample Weighted Attribute Score (Benchmark) Prospect Score 1. Size S:2, M:10, L:7, XL:2 XL 2 1.0 2. Vertical FS:4, Tech:10, Media:8, Other:2 Media 8 4.0 3. Business Conditions Growth:10, Margin:2, Blend:7 Blend 7 7.0 4. Maturity/Readiness Low:1, High:10 High 10 10.0 5. Compelling Event Y:10, N:0 None 0 0.0 App:8, Tool:4, Service:6, Blend: 6. Primary Buying Agenda App 8 8.0 10 7. Pro Services Attach 0:0, 20%:8, 30%:10, >30%:4 30% 10 5.0 8. Decision-Maker Profile SOTG:10, Cowboy:5, Other:2 Other 2 2.0 9. Decision-Maker Buying None:0, Some:10, Expert:5 Some 5 7.5 Experience Higher:10, Lower:3, Same:8, 10. Corroboration Same 8 8.0 None:0 60 52.5 Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 23. Streamline CRM System •  Recording deal details in the CRM system is a pain in the ass for sales reps. By focusing on the data that really matters, we minimized the admin overhead for reps AND we got richer, more useful data at the same time. Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 24. Triangulate Sales Forecast •  We always consider three data sources before forecasting next period sales – what the Sales Reps say, what the over-rides look like and what the data says. •  Creating a scoring system based on the sales cycle model gives us that third leg of the stool – what the data says. Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 25. Provide Deal-Level Coaching By exploring the gaps between Win Probability on a particular deal – the ‘Weighted Score’ and Forecast Probability, the subjective probability associated to the stage we’re in, we focus a Sales Rep’s attention on the high-impact activities that would bring a deal closer to the model Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 26. Create Risk/Exception Reports Not all of the information we need is available at the beginning of the cycle. If the information does not unfold as it should OR we are not converging on the Model Sales Cycle, the system triggers risk-alerts so we’re not blind-sided at quarter-end. Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 27. REVISITING ASSUMPTIONS Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 28. Watch For New Patterns Every quarter, we re-evaluate the assumptions in the Model – top attributes and weightings and adjust accordingly. Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 29. Sales Opportunity Scoring By setting up a Sales Opportunity Scoring System we’ve increased our win rate, reduced admin time and given our team more reaction time Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012
  • 30. SALES OPPORTUNITY SCORING Swayne Hill, 2012 DataDrivenSalesManagement.com Copyright Swayne Hill, 2012