SlideShare a Scribd company logo
LSTM for time series
prediction
Wie?
• Howest - Kortrijk
• Research Lab van MCT
• Internet of Things IT Bachelor
– Machine Learning & data
architectuur sinds 2015
– Deep Learning sinds 2017
• Huidige Tracks:
– Smart Tech & AI
– AI Engineer
Eerste generatie Smart Tech & AI
Juni 2019
Postgraduate ‘Applied AI’
3 semesters – launch January 2019 – different
tracks – practice oriented
www.howest.be/aiacademy
Sci-Fi?
6
Recommendation systems
Personalized recommendations
Collaborative filtering
Real-time notifications
Website personalisation
Conversational AI
Tech Support Agents
Chatbots
Task-Oriented Dialog Agents
(TODA)
Future: Cross-domain agents &
general purpose AI
DoNotPay - https://donotpay-search-master.herokuapp.com/
When not to use machine learning
Easy problems
Very few samples
The effect of “special”
variables
Problems suited for a machine learning
approach?
Problems without human experts
Problems with human experts but
very hard to program
Problems where it can be
programmed, but it’s not cost
effective to implement
Sufficient amount of data
Problems suited for a machine learning
approach?
Problems without human experts
Problems with human experts but ve
Problems where it can be programme
effective to implement
Sufficient amount of data
Problems suited for a machine learning
approach?
Problems without human experts
Problems with human experts but
very hard to program
Problems where it can be
programmed, but it’s not cost
effective to implement
Sufficient amount of data
Problems suited for a machine learning
approach?
Problems without human experts
Problems with human experts but
very hard to program
Problems where it can be
programmed, but it’s not cost
effective to implement
Sufficient amount of data
Problems suited for a machine learning
approach?
Problems without human
experts
Problems with human experts
but very hard to program
Problems where it can be
programmed, but it’s not cost
effective to implement
Sufficient amount of data
Data
Performance
Traditional machine
learning
Small neural networks
Medium neural networks
Deep learning
Deep learning or machine learning?
Do you trust a black box?
https://blogs.sas.com/content/subconsciousmusings/2017/04/12/machine-learning-algorithm-use/
Dense neural network
Input layer hidden
layer
hidden
layer
hidden
layer
output
layer
Convolutional neural network (CNN)
CNN: image classification
CNN: object detection
Real-time: YOLO
https://pjreddie.com/darknet/yolo/
Transfer learning
Long Short Term Memory (LSTM)
27
LSTM: natural language processing
LSTM: Time Series Prediction
Data preparation
• Feature engineering
• Raw data  Input
– Text
– Images
– Numerical data
• Dimensionality reduction
Data preparation
• Feature engineering
• Raw data  Input
– Text
– Images
– Numerical data
• Dimensionality reduction
•Stemming,…  TFIDF
•Resolution (MNIST 28x28)
•RGB from 0 to 1
https://bigsnarf.wordpress.com/2016/11/17/t-sne-attack-data/
Data preparation
• Feature engineering
• Raw data  Input
– Text
– Images
– Numerical data
• Dimensionality reduction
• PCA
• t-SNE
https://bigsnarf.wordpress.com/2016/11/17/t-sne-attack-data/
Raw data
• One CSV file per minute
(+40k/month)
• 500k lines (BENELUX)
• SegmentID; Traveltime in ms
LSTM
http://colah.github.io/posts/2015-08-Understanding-LSTMs/
Long Short Term Memory (SimpleRNN,GRU)
Ideal for time series data
8 weight matrices to optimize compared to 1 for Dense
Model predicts only next minute
LSTM one to many
LSTM one to many residual
Model predicts only change for next minute
Evaluate
Evaluate
Error ±1 std dev
You can’t buy intelligence
Successful outcome is not guaranteed
Bouw uw netwerk uit met bedrijven
die op hetzelfde probleem werken
Maar geen concurrent zijn
MCT Research
• Machine Learning & Artificial intelligence
• Optimaal gebruik maken van
Azure/AWS/GCP
• Snelheid van AI implementatie & precisie
opdrijven
• Data Analytics
• Meest efficiënte data architectuur
• Stresstesting
• Wat kan jouw applicatie aan?
• 11 Jaar
• 80+ bedrijven
• 16 Projecten
The future of exercising (tetra dossier)
WIE BOUWT MEE AAN DE FITNESS VAN DE
TOEKOMST?
MIXED REALITY, AI, SENSOREN EN PRODUCTONTWERP
MEER INFO:
eefje.battel@howest.be
LSTM for time series
prediction

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