SlideShare a Scribd company logo
RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 1
IFGL Refractories (IFGL) Ltd
Scrip Code Industry CMP Recommendation Add on Dips Sequential Targets Time Horizon
IFGREFEQNR Refractories 144.8 Buy at CMP and add on declines 127-134 178-204 2-3 quarters
IFGL is a manufacturer of specialised refractories and operating systems for the steel and iron industry. It manufactures
specialized refractory for flow control of steel and treatment of quality thereof. The Kolkata headquartered company promoted
by S K Bajoria Group now has eight manufacturing plants across the globe (in China, UK, Germany, India and USA).
Triggers
 Large Player in Key Consumable for Steel
 Diversified Presence and products to help the company
 Incremental capacity to drive earnings
 Available at discounted valuations than competitors
Risks/Concerns
 Dependence on raw material imports from China
 Rising prices of the inputs like crude oil, alumina, magnesia
 Any slowdown in the global as well as local economy
 Foreign exchange risks
Conclusion and Recommendation
At the current market price (of Rs 144.8) the company is trading at 7.0x its FY15E consolidated EPS of Rs 20.5 and 5.7x its FY16E
consolidated EPS of Rs 25.5. We value the company at 7.0.x-8.0x its FY16E EPS to arrive at our sequential target price of Rs 178
and RS 204. We feel investors could buy the stock at CMP and add on dips to Rs.127-134 band (5-5.25x FY16E EPS) for the above
target price in 2-3 quarters.
Financial Summary (Consolidated)
Particulars (Rs in Cr) FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E
Total Operating Income 471.0 603.9 671.2 777.6 867.7 1085.3
Operating Profit 42.7 75.2 58.1 109.6 125.0 154.1
OPM (%) 9.1 12.5 8.7 14.1 14.4 14.2
Other Income 4.7 2.6 4.5 3.4 4.0 4.5
Reported Profit After Tax before MI 24.3 39.8 25.4 65.8 73.1 90.1
Reported Profit After Tax after MI 24.3 39.9 28.2 64.0 71.1 88.1
PATM (%) 5.2 6.6 4.2 8.2 8.2 8.1
EPS (Rs.) 7.0 11.5 8.2 18.5 20.5 25.5
(Source: Company, HDFCSec)
RETAIL RESEARCH
STOCK NOTE July 15, 2014
Price Chart
08 15 22 29 F 12 19 26 M 13 21 27 A 11 22 30 M 15 22 29 J 12 19 26 J 10
220
210
200
190
180
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
1-532133.IFGL REFRACT .BSE - 14/07/14 Trend7
Daily
Stock Details
BSE Code 532133
NSE Code IFGLREFRAC
Bloomberg IFGL:IN
Price (Rs) as on 14 July,
2014 144.8
Equity Capital (Rs Cr) 34.6
Face Value (Rs) 10
Eq. Shares O/s (Cr) 3.46
Market Cap (Rs.) 501.0
Book Value (Rs) 90.87
Avg. Volume (52 Week) 17352
52 wk H/L (Rs) 182/23.45
Shareholding Pattern
(As on March, 31 2014)
Promoters 71.30
Institutions 1.05
Non Institutions 27.65
Total 100
Zececa Mehta
Research Analyst
zececa.mehta@hdfcsec.com
RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 2
Company Profile
IFGL is a manufacturer of specialised refractories and operating systems for the steel and iron industry. It manufactures
specialized refractory for flow control of steel and treatment of quality thereof. The company is also engaged in manufacturing
of foundry ceramic fillers for dentistry, orthopedic and ophthalmic segments. The company has a technical collaboration with
Krosaki Harima Corporation of Japan, a subsidiary of Nippon Steel Corporation. IFGL is specialised in manufacturing slide gate
refractories and continuous casting refractories.
IFGL acquired several facilities internationally to access the new market and technology in the past. The Kolkata headquartered
company promoted by S K Bajoria Group now has eight manufacturing plants across the globe (in China, UK, Germany, India and
USA) and is present in more than 50% of the global markets and has a distribution and service network over 50 countries. In
India, the company has facilities in Rourkela, in Odisa, and Kandla, in Gujarat.
It has a 100% holding in its three subsidiaries Monocon Group, Hofmann Ceramic and EI Ceramics, while it has set up IFGL
Exports (51% stake by IFGL) with a technical collaboration with Krosaki Harima, Japan, which is into manufacturing of continuous
casting refractories at Kandla Special Economic Zone, Gujarat. IFGL has long term relationships with large steel companies, like
Tata Steel Europe, Essar Steel, JSPL, SAIL etc.
RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 3
Acquisitions
In 2005, IFGL acquired the UK-based Monocon Holdings Ltd and its subsidiaries in the US, UK, China, Brazil (Monotec) and
Taiwan. While the Taiwanese unit was closed down in 2007-08 and Brazil unit was shut down in Jan 2013, the other four (2 in
China, 1 in UK and 1 in USA) are in operation.
In July, 2008 Hoffman Group with manufacturing facilities in Germany and Czech Republic for products like Foundry Ceramics –
Casting Filters, Feeders, SiC Chill Plates, Pouring System and Monoblock Stopper, High Grade fire proof refractory shapes and
Drawing tools and Tread Guides was acquired. Currently the company has one manufacturing facility in Germany.
In September, 2010 IFGL acquired EI Ceramics LLC and CUSC International Limited (CUSC), both Cincinnati, Ohio based
companies engaged in manufacture of Isostatically Pressed Continuous Casting Refractories. CUSC was a kind of an ancilliary unit
which provided services like raw material, warehousing, packaging, etc to EI Ceramics and now it has been merged into EI
Ceramics which is the other plant of IFGL which is operational in USA.
The main vision of the company for these acquisitions was to bring along new products and technologies, venture into new
markets and increase its customer base by tapping the new customers.
Industry
Refractories
Refractories are those materials which can sustain high temperature without degrading or softening. The size of the Indian
refractory industry has been pegged at Rs 2,300-2,500 crore (that of the world is pegged at $1 billion) and is stated to be
growing at 8-10 per cent per annum. Refractories are consumed by the iron and steel, nonferrous, cement, copper, glass,
aluminum, fertilizer, thermal power plants and petro-chemical industries etc., which are witnessing robust growth. The fortunes
of the refractory industry are considerably linked to the growth of iron and steel sector, which consumes a massive 75% of the
refractories produced. This is followed by the cement industry consuming about 12%, non-ferrous industry consuming about 5-
6%, glass industry consuming about 3% and balance in other industries.
India accounts for around 4% of the total refractory production. Asia account for 30% of the total production whereas China is a
biggest consumer of refractories due to increasing steel production. However, China is able to suffice its domestic demand due
to availability of raw materials and is not dependent on the imports. In China, due to the easy availability of critical raw
materials, prices of refractories there are at a big discount over what they cost in India (that is why many companies are setting
up their refractories manufacturing facilities in China). Though there is a cost advantage in China, India has a long tradition of
making refractories in many types and shapes. Also India is doing a good job as a total refractory solutions provider. This is an
area where many Chinese suppliers are found wanting.
RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 4
Steel
India has become the second best in terms of growth amongst the top ten steel producing countries in the world and a net
exporter of steel during 2013–14. Steel production in India recorded a growth rate of 4.8 per cent in February 2014 over
February 2013. The total market value of the Indian steel sector stood at US$ 57.8 billion in 2011 and is expected to touch US$
95.3 billion by 2016. The infrastructure sector is India’s largest steel consumer, thereby attracting investments from several
global players. Owing to this connection with core infrastructure segments of the economy, the steel industry is of high priority
right now.
India needs investment of US$ 210 billion over the next decade to achieve the steel production capacity of 300 million tonnes
per annum (MTPA) by 2025 from the current 90 MT. Also with the expansion of capacities by SAIL, Vizag Steel, JSPL, etc the
capacity of the Indian Steel industry would expand further by 40 MT in the next 3-4 years time frame.
The future of the Indian steel industry is bright. The government plans to increase infrastructure spending from the current 5 %
GDP to 10 % by 2017, and the country is committed to investing US$ 1 trillion in infrastructure during the 12th Five-Year plan.
Shareholding pattern
Particulars (%) Mar-14 Dec-13 Sep-13 Jun-13 Mar-13
Indian Promoters 56.83 56.83 56.83 56.83 56.83
Foreign JV Partners 14.47 14.47 14.47 14.47 14.47
FIIs 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mutual Funds 0.03 1.19 1.20 1.20 1.20
FIs/Banks 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02
Corporate 9.15 8.61 7.60 7.46 7.36
Public & Others 18.50 17.88 18.88 19.02 19.12
Totals 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
(Source: Company, HDFCSec)
Triggers
Large Player in Key Consumable for Steel:
IFGL is into the manufacture of Refractories. Refractory is a term given to a class of materials which are produced from non-
metallic minerals and possess capability to withstand heat and pressure. These are products that confer properties like high
temperature insulation, resistance to corrosive and erosive action of hot gases, liquids and solids at high temperatures in various
kilns, furnaces, driers, gasifiers and reformers. Refractories act as the key consumables for the steel industry. Since the steel
industry has been seeing a constant growth over the last few years and continues to be growing further there is a continuous
flow of demand for IFGL’s products.
A couple of years back, the global slowdown had impacted the performance of all sectors worldwide and steel was not an
exception. In FY09, the performance of IFGL was impacted to the slowdown across the globe and its margins were hit. However,
now, the steel industry in developed economies likes the US and Europe seems to be coming out of woods and the management
RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 5
expects the same trend to get reflected in the domestic markets as well along with a renewed focus of the new business friendly
government.
Diversified Presence and products to help the company:
IFGL has highly efficient facilities located in India, UK, US, China, and Germany giving it a strategic presence. This acts as one of
the major advantages for the company as it is able to cater to customers in different parts of the world from their varied
locations and also is able to tap a wider range of countries because of its strong presence in these countries. In India, IFGL has
locational advantage from the plant in Odisha as major steel players like SAIL, Tata Steel, RINL, Essar Steel, Bhushan Steel, JSPL,
JSW Steel, Ispat, Mittal and POSCO have their plants located in close proximity to the IFGL plant. SAIL, Vizag Steel, Jindal Steel
and Power are some of the major customers of IFGL, including Arcelor-Mittal.
The logistics cost is one of the major cost for these companies, so to have plants set up in areas where the demand is there,
would save a lot of cost for the company.
Incremental capacity to drive earnings
Out of IFGL’s subsidiaries, there is an expansion plan in two manufacturing units. IFGL is going to double the capacities of two of
its facilities in Kandla, Gujarat (in Phase 1 and Phase 2) and Ohio, USA in the next one-year period. Both these facilities
manufacture isostatically pressed continuous casting refractories (for which the technology will be used of its Japanese JV
partner). With this capacity augmentation plan, the capacity of the Kandla plant will go up from 72,000 pieces per annum to
144,000 pieces per annum by the end of FY2015 (Phase 1). It is doubling its capacity of the US facility too which currently has a
capacity to manufacture 80,000 pieces per annum and which is expected to commence from Q1FY2016. This expansion will cost
about $1.5-2.0 million and would be funded through internal accruals. We expect both the incremental capacities to potentially
add revenues of around Rs 150-200 crore after expansion and full utilisation and the Kandla facility could earn a better margin.
For Phase 2 of the Kandla plant expansion, the capacity would be further expanded by 80,000 pieces per annum but the cost of
this expansion would be around $2.5-3 million. The increase in the expansion cost, viz a viz the cost of Phase 1 is high, as the
company feels that they may need different kind of equipments as more than just debottle-necking is required in this phase.
Final decision on Phase 2 expansion will be taken in FY16.
Spare capacity also to drive in revenues:
Apart from the expansion at Kandla and Ohio, the company does have some spare capacity at the Rourkela plant (India) and
plants at China, UK and Germany. This spare capacity can give IFGL 25-30% rise in its revenues going forward, without any
capacity expansion.
Expansion won’t hamper financial ratios:
The capital expenditure (capex) required for the incremental capacity is not significant (Rs15-20 crore) being a brown field
expansion at the existing facilities of Gujarat and USA. Considering a debt repayment scheduled ahead, the debt of the company
RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 6
is likely to remain largely the same. Therefore, we believe the ongoing expansion would drive the earnings growth and improve
the return ratios in the future.
Strong financials delivery and optimistic management commentary:
IFGL exhibited a very strong result (on a consolidated basis) in FY2014 with a rise of 16% YoY in the topline at Rs 777.6 crore and
by more than a doubling of its net profit (127% up YoY) to Rs64 crore. This was backed by a significant margin expansion of 544
basis points YoY to arrive at the OPM of 14.1%, owing to a lower raw material cost. Also, at the standalone level, interest cost
has reduced substantially by 43% to Rs 2.3 crore in FY14 as compared to Rs 4.1 crore in FY13.
For FY14, the company’s overseas subsidiaries did well, particularly the ones in UK and USA to register an increase in income of
Rs 69 crore to register a revenue of Rs 444.46 crore (up by 18% YoY), an increase in PBT of Rs 29 crore to reach to Rs 50.76 crore
(up by 133% YoY) and an increase in PAT by Rs 24 crore to Rs 38.26 crore (up by 168% YoY). Also, IFGL Exports Ltd (Indian
subsidiary at Kandla) performed satisfactorily with income growing by 244% YoY (for 11 months in FY13 as Kandla operation
started in May 2012) to Rs 31 crore and to record a PBT of Rs 3.5 crore against a loss of Rs 5.73 crore in FY13 (11 months)
During the post-Q4FY14 result conference call, the company’s management sounded confident to sustain such a margin level
going forward. The management aims to sustain the margin at around 14%. Further, the management shared that they had
managed to gain market share during FY2014 and expects the domestic revenues to improve, as the overall market is expected
to expand with the commissioning of the steel capacities by major players like Jindal Steel and Power Ltd (JSPL) and Steel
Authority of India Ltd (SAIL).
Out of the core management team of IFGL, since Oct 2009, Mr. Gian Carlo as been associated with the company. He was a
former president and CEO of Vesuvius (now Vesuvius plc.) and was instrumental in steering Vesuvius from US$ 100 million
company to over US$ 1 billion company. This further gives us confidence that IFGL can keep growing in the coming years.
Healthy cash generation and return ratios, trend augurs well:
IFGL managed to generate a free cash of Rs30 crore due to the timely repayment of debt in FY14 and we expect the trend to
continue in FY15 and FY16, given the minimal capex plan lined up. Hence, we expect the balance sheet to strengthen as the
debt-equity ratio is likely to come down in the future from the current 0.3x. The return on net worth (RoNW) was around 15-
20% in the past, except in the case of FY2013, which in our view is likely to remain firm.
Available at discounted valuations than competitors:
Companies
FY13
Total
Revenue
(Rs in Cr)
PAT
(Rs in Cr)
EPS
(Rs)
CMP as
on
140714
(Rs)
PE P/BV EV/EBITDA Debt/Equity Mkt
Cap/Sales
IFGL Refractories 671.2 28.2 8.2 144.0 4.2 0.5 3.6 0.2 0.2
RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 7
Vesuvius India* 601.8 65.2 31.3 678.0 14.2 2.3 7.0 0.0 1.4
Orient Refractories 359.9 41.4 3.3 88.0 11.2 1.7 7.0 0.0 1.2
*December ending company (Source: Capitaline)
For IFGL, the direct competitors are as given above in the table. Vesuvius India Limited is a subsidiary of Vesuvius Group Limited;
U.K. the company manufactures Continuous Casting Refractories including slide gate equipments and porous plugs, monolithics,
pre-cast shapes, taphole clay and crucibles for non-ferrous industry.
RHI AG (an Austria based company is a globally operating supplier of high-grade refractory products, systems and services)
during March 2013 acquired 69.6% stake in Orient Refractories Ltd for a value of € 50 million. RHI paid consideration (of ~ Rs 350
cr) valuing the acquiree at ~13 times its 9MFY13 PAT and ~1.7x Mcap to sales. Currently IFGL is available at 7.8x P/E and 0.6x
Mcap to sales.
Both the above companies have the backing of a global parent and thus have updated technology. As far as IFGL is concerned,
the company formed a technical and financial joint venture with Krosaki Harima Corp. of Japan which is a subsidiary if Nippon
Steel Corp., Japan. This company is also specialized in continuous casting refractories and hence their technology can be used by
the company. The Kandla plant is also being expanded in this same type of refractories.
Vesuvius India is the market leader in the refractory industry so a premium valuation is justified. But, IFGL is trading at a
significant discount than both, Vesuvius and Orient Refractories even though its financials are as strong as the peers. The MNC
nametag and the difference in technology prowess do not warrant such a large difference in valuation. As per FY13, its P/BV is at
just 0.5x which is far lower than 2.3x and 1.7x that of Vesuvius and Orient respectively. Even in EV/EBITDA terms, IFGL is just at
3.6 times than 7 times of both the peers.
Partnership with Nippon Steel Group for Technology backed by its own R&D:
IFGL Refractories has a partnership with Krosaki Harima Corporation which is a subsidiary of Nippon Steel Group for Technology,
Japan. This enables the company to command a stronger foothold in the industry in terms of superior technology when
compared to other local peers. Global giants like Vesuvius and the recent acquirer, RHI AG group, have similar strong
technologies. This shows the capability of IFGL to produce competitive technologically superior products and have a strong
market share across segments. Technologies imported from time to time have been successfully absorbed. Changes were made,
wherever necessary, in imported technologies with consent of the collaborators to suit Indian conditions in IFGL’s own R&D.
Technology enhancement in Steel industry, beneficial for IFGL:
In Industries like steel with better technology used for production, the consumption of refractories is going down. Initially where
to make 1 tonne of steel, 30 kg of refractory was used but now it’s down to about 12 kg. In some new generation steel mills, the
consumption is just about 7-8 kg of refractory. This however is advantageous for IFGL as it makes specialized refractories and
can cater to such requirements. So if a steel manufacturing unit which is using advanced technology, it would need specialized
refractories which are costly. This will help IFGL to earn better margins due to a better realization commanded by these high
RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 8
tech refractories. Impact on demand in terms of volumes is also not expected to be large in the back ground of steel capacity
expansion plans.
Diversifying into Bio Ceramic Production:
IFGL has diversified its business into Bio Ceramics. Ceramics used for the repair and reconstruction of diseased or damaged parts
of the musculo-skeletal system, are termed as bio ceramics. Applications include replacements for hips, knees, teeth, tendons
and ligaments and repair for periodontal disease, maxillofacial reconstruction, augmentation and stabilization of jaw bone,
spinal fusion and bone repair after tumor surgery. This is a relatively new and different segment of business which the company
has pursued for last 2-3 years. As this is a specialized business, it will take some time for it to stabilize.
Risks/Concerns
 The Refractory industry is dependent on raw material imports from China which are critical for manufacturing of
refractories. This results in high cost of production as compared to China where the raw material is readily available. For
this reason many refractory players, including IFGL, have set their shops in China due to easy availability of critical raw
materials at prices bearing a big discount over what they cost in India.
 In the event of continued high prices for crude oil and other petroleum products and hardening of the coal prices, the
prices of the inputs of the refractory industry are increasing. Though the company takes price increases, it comes into
effect with a lag of 1-2 months.
 The business can be affected by the slowdown in the global as well as local economy. The company had faced some
trouble during 2009 when the global economy was in slumps.
 As India sales contribute to just about 20% to the consolidated revenues of IFGL; there is a risk of currency fluctuations.
Strengthening of the rupee and/or euro can hit its revenues and affect the topline and bottomline as the company does
not hedge.
Conclusion and Recommendation
IFGL Refractories is small (in comparison with its peers) but a growing company. Given the expansion at plants without any
significant capex, backing of technological support of the Japanese partner, diversification in products offered and the markets
tapped in, improving global economy and the emphasis on infrastructure by the new Government along with capacity expansion
plans by some steel manufacturing companies in India, we believe that the company has the potential to grow at a fast pace in
the next two years. Also the discounted valuation as compared to its peers gives us confidence that there could be a re-rating
due for IFGL.
At the current market price (of Rs 144.8) the company is trading at 7.0x its FY15E consolidated EPS of Rs 20.5 and 5.7x its FY16E
consolidated EPS of Rs 25.5. We value the company at 7.0.x-8.0x its FY16E EPS to arrive at our target price of Rs 178 and RS 204.
We feel investors could buy the stock at CMP and add on dips to Rs.127-134 band (5-5.25x FY16E EPS) for the above target price
in 2-3 quarters.
RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 9
Particulars (Rs in Cr) FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E
Total Operating Income 471.0 603.9 671.2 777.6 867.7 1085.3
Operating Profit 42.7 75.2 58.1 109.6 125.0 154.1
OPM (%) 9.1 12.5 8.7 14.1 14.4 14.2
Other Income 4.7 2.6 4.5 3.4 4.0 4.5
Reported Profit After Tax before MI 24.3 39.8 25.4 65.8 73.1 90.1
Reported Profit After Tax after MI 24.3 39.9 28.2 64.0 71.1 88.1
PATM (%) 5.2 6.6 4.2 8.2 8.2 8.1
EPS (Rs.) 7.0 11.5 8.2 18.5 20.5 25.5
(Source: Company, HDFCSec, E: Estimates)
Financials
Quarterly (Consolidated)
Particulars (Rs cr) Q4FY14 Q4FY13 % chg Q3FY14 % chg FY14 FY13 % chg
Income from Operations 200.3 164.1 22.1% 194.7 2.9% 777.6 671.2 15.9%
Other Operating Income 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Income 200.3 164.1 22.1% 194.7 2.9% 777.6 671.2 15.9%
Consumables and Spares consumed 98.5 84.9 16.0% 97.5 1.0% 377.8 352.3 7.3%
Employee Expenses 28.1 26.4 6.6% 29.4 -4.4% 109.7 98.7 11.2%
Work and Consultancy expenses 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other Expenses 45.5 43.9 3.8% 40.7 12.0% 180.5 162.1 11.3%
Total Expenditure 172.1 155.1 10.9% 167.5 2.7% 668.0 613.0 9.0%
Operating Profit 28.2 8.9 216.4% 27.2 3.6% 109.6 58.1 88.6%
Other Income 1.2 0.8 44.4% 0.6 91.8% 3.4 4.5 -25.8%
PBIDT 29.4 9.7 202.1% 27.8 5.6% 113.0 62.7 80.3%
Interest 1.6 1.5 1.9 7.0 8.0
PBDT 27.8 8.2 239.4% 25.9 7.3% 106.1 54.7 93.8%
Depreciation 4.3 3.3 28.9% 4.6 -7.2% 15.5 13.4 15.5%
PBT 23.6 4.9 382.6% 21.3 10.5% 90.6 41.3 119.2%
Tax (including DT & FBT) 7.0 3.1 6.8 24.8 16.0
Reported Profit After Tax 16.6 1.8 816.6% 14.5 14.2% 65.8 25.4 159.2%
Less: Minority Interest/ Share in profit 0.8 -0.4 0.3 1.8 -2.8
Reported Profit After Tax after MI 15.8 2.2 629.2% 14.3 10.4% 64.0 28.2 126.9%
EPS (Rs.) 4.6 0.6 629.2% 4.1 10.4% 18.5 8.2 126.9%
Equity 34.6 34.6 34.6 34.6 34.6
bps bps bps
OPM (%) 14.09 5.44 864.94 13.98 10.40 14.10 8.66 543.67
PATM (%) 7.86 1.32 654.54 7.32 53.94 8.23 4.20 402.83
(Source: Company, HDFCSec, E: Estimates)
RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 10
Profit & Loss (Consolidated)
Particulars FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E
Income from Operations 471.0 603.9 671.2 777.6 867.7 1085.3
Other Operating Income 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Operating Income 471.0 603.9 671.2 777.6 867.7 1085.3
Raw material consumed 247.0 303.8 352.3 377.8 422.6 531.8
Employee expense 66.1 84.3 98.7 109.7 120.6 144.3
Other Expenses 115.4 140.6 162.1 180.5 199.6 255.0
Total Operating Expenses 428.4 528.7 613.0 668.0 742.8 931.2
Operating Profit 42.7 75.2 58.1 109.6 125.0 154.1
Other Income 4.7 2.6 4.5 3.4 4.0 4.5
EBITDA 47.4 77.8 62.7 113.0 129.0 158.6
Interest 6.0 6.8 8.0 7.0 9.0 10.0
Depreciation 8.7 12.9 13.4 15.5 17.0 19.0
PBT 32.7 58.2 41.3 90.6 103.0 129.6
Tax (including FBT & DT) 8.4 18.3 16.0 24.8 29.9 39.5
Adjusted PAT 24.3 39.8 25.4 65.8 73.1 90.1
Less: Minority Interest/ Share in profit 0.0 0.0 -2.8 1.8 2.0 2.0
Reported PAT 24.3 39.9 28.2 64.0 71.1 88.1
(Source: Company, HDFCSec, E: Estimates)
Balance Sheet (Consolidated)
Particulars (Rs in Cr) FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E
Equity & Liabilities
Shareholders’ Funds 175.7 221.9 245.5 329.0 377.8 467.1
Share Capital 34.6 34.6 34.6 34.6 34.6 34.6
Warrant Allotment 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5
Reserves & Surplus 126.6 172.8 196.4 279.9 328.7 418.0
Share application money pending allotment 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Non-Current Liabilities 74.3 75.8 68.4 57.6 58.3 57.9
Long Term borrowings 69.7 63.8 53.9 40.5 37.3 32.8
Deferred Tax Liabilities (Net) 4.0 4.8 6.5 7.4 9.4 11.4
Other Long Term Liabilities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Long Term Provisions 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Current Liabilities 136.2 156.2 166.0 187.1 196.6 207.2
RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 11
Short Term Borrowings 44.4 49.0 60.3 57.7 54.2 47.7
Trade Payables 73.5 72.9 79.9 96.2 105.8 118.5
Other Current Liabilities 12.9 19.4 16.6 21.0 23.1 25.8
Short Term Provisions 5.5 14.9 9.3 12.3 13.5 15.1
Total Equity & Liabilities 386.2 453.9 480.0 573.7 632.7 732.1
Assets
Non-Current Assets 182.7 227.5 234.2 260.7 282.3 316.8
Fixed Assets 179.9 225.6 232.4 258.8 280.3 314.7
Gross Block 167.9 215.9 239.5 259.8 283.3 316.7
Depreciation 88.6 104.6 119.7 135.2 152.2 171.2
Net Block (Tangible Assets) 79.3 111.4 119.8 124.6 131.1 145.5
Intangible Assets 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Capital Work-in-Progress 2.1 4.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Goodwill On Consolidation 98.1 109.4 110.6 134.2 149.2 169.2
Non Current Investments 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Long -term Loans and Advances 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.5
Other Non-Current Assets 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
Current Assets 203.5 226.3 245.8 313.0 350.4 415.3
Current Investments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Inventories 70.2 85.5 84.8 103.4 121.0 144.0
Trade Receivables 109.6 113.4 142.7 165.8 194.0 230.9
Cash & Cash Equivalents 9.8 19.5 11.3 30.7 25.4 29.5
Short Term Loans & Advances 4.5 2.8 4.2 9.5 9.9 10.9
Other Current Assets 9.5 5.2 2.9 3.6 0.0 0.0
Total Assets 386.2 453.9 480.0 573.7 632.7 732.1
(Source: Company, HDFCSec, E: Estimates)
Key Ratios (Consolidated)
Particulars FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E
No of Equity Shares 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5
Current Market Price 144.8 144.8 144.8 144.8 144.8 144.8
Market Capitalization 501.0 501.0 501.0 501.0 501.0 501.0
Enterprise Value 605.4 594.3 603.9 568.6 567.1 552.0
FD EPS 7.0 11.5 8.2 18.5 20.5 25.5
RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 12
Cash EPS (PAT + Depreciation) 9.5 15.3 12.0 23.0 25.5 30.9
PE(x) 20.6 12.6 17.8 7.8 7.0 5.7
Book Value (Rs.) 50.8 64.1 71.0 95.1 109.2 135.0
P/BV (x) 2.9 2.3 2.0 1.5 1.3 1.1
OPM (%) 9.1 12.5 8.7 14.1 14.4 14.2
PBT (%) 6.9 9.6 6.2 11.6 11.9 11.9
NPM (%) 5.2 6.6 4.2 8.2 8.2 8.1
ROCE (%) 13.3 19.0 13.4 22.3 23.9 25.5
RONW (%) 13.8 18.0 11.5 19.5 18.8 18.9
Debt-Equity 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2
Current Ratio 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0
Mcap/Sales(x) 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5
EV/EBITDA 12.8 7.6 9.6 5.0 4.4 3.5
(Source: Company, HDFCSec, E: Estimates)
1 Year Forward PE Chart
RETAIL RESEARCH Tel: (022) 3075 3400 Fax: (022) 2496 5066 Corporate Office
HDFC securities Limited, I Think Techno Campus, Building - B, "Alpha", Office Floor 8, Near Kanjurmarg Station, Opp. Crompton Greaves, Kanjurmarg (East), Mumbai 400 042 Phone: (022) 3075 3400 Fax: (022)
2496 5066 Website: www.hdfcsec.com Email: hdfcsecretailresearch@hdfcsec.com
Disclaimer: This document has been prepared by HDFC Securities Limited and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to
others. It should not be considered to be taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security. The information contained herein is from sources believed reliable. We do not represent that it is accurate or
complete and it should not be relied upon as such. We may have from time to time positions or options on, and buy and sell securities referred to herein. We may from time to time solicit from, or perform investment
banking, or other services for, any company mentioned in this document. This report is intended for non-Institutional Clients

More Related Content

What's hot

Park Avenue Brand Extension Analysis
Park Avenue Brand Extension AnalysisPark Avenue Brand Extension Analysis
Park Avenue Brand Extension Analysis
Sameer Mathur
 
Shoppers stop
Shoppers stopShoppers stop
Shoppers stop
SANKET PHALDESAI
 
glass industry
glass industryglass industry
glass industry
Naresh_kalal
 
Retail Merchandising Strategy for Fashion Merchandise
Retail Merchandising Strategy for Fashion MerchandiseRetail Merchandising Strategy for Fashion Merchandise
Retail Merchandising Strategy for Fashion Merchandise
VISHWA VARUN
 
Types of retailing done
Types of retailing doneTypes of retailing done
Types of retailing doneSumit Malhotra
 
Kannan Departmental Store-retail visit
Kannan Departmental Store-retail visitKannan Departmental Store-retail visit
Kannan Departmental Store-retail visit
Ranjani Balu
 
Croma retail visit
Croma  retail visitCroma  retail visit
Croma retail visit
Ronak Modi
 
croma vs reliance digital
croma vs reliance digitalcroma vs reliance digital
croma vs reliance digital
Aliya .
 
ITC summer-internship_report
ITC  summer-internship_reportITC  summer-internship_report
ITC summer-internship_report
Home
 
Malabar Gold 78
Malabar Gold 78Malabar Gold 78
Malabar Gold 78MOHD ARISH
 
A Winter Project Report on Production Department Analysis of "Italia Ceramics...
A Winter Project Report on Production Department Analysis of "Italia Ceramics...A Winter Project Report on Production Department Analysis of "Italia Ceramics...
A Winter Project Report on Production Department Analysis of "Italia Ceramics...
Bhavik Parmar
 
How we created the RELIANCE DIGITAL retail business and brand
How we created the RELIANCE DIGITAL retail business and brand  How we created the RELIANCE DIGITAL retail business and brand
How we created the RELIANCE DIGITAL retail business and brand PESHWA ACHARYA
 
Competition Track project ( Max Retail )
Competition Track project  ( Max Retail )Competition Track project  ( Max Retail )
Competition Track project ( Max Retail )Akash Jaiswal
 
Presentation on Croma
Presentation on CromaPresentation on Croma
Presentation on Croma
Ranjit Achary
 
Kinnow Harvesting, GRADING AND PRIMARY PROCESSING
Kinnow   Harvesting, GRADING AND PRIMARY PROCESSINGKinnow   Harvesting, GRADING AND PRIMARY PROCESSING
Kinnow Harvesting, GRADING AND PRIMARY PROCESSING
jaisingh277
 
Pantaloons marketing mix
Pantaloons marketing mixPantaloons marketing mix
Pantaloons marketing mix
Amaresh Prusty
 
A project on consumer preference over branded jewellery and non branded jwell...
A project on consumer preference over branded jewellery and non branded jwell...A project on consumer preference over branded jewellery and non branded jwell...
A project on consumer preference over branded jewellery and non branded jwell...
Projects Kart
 
ceramic industry project report of zealtop ceramic by bhavik khakhkhar
ceramic industry project report of zealtop ceramic by bhavik khakhkharceramic industry project report of zealtop ceramic by bhavik khakhkhar
ceramic industry project report of zealtop ceramic by bhavik khakhkhar
Bhavik khakhkhar
 

What's hot (20)

Park Avenue Brand Extension Analysis
Park Avenue Brand Extension AnalysisPark Avenue Brand Extension Analysis
Park Avenue Brand Extension Analysis
 
Shoppers stop
Shoppers stopShoppers stop
Shoppers stop
 
glass industry
glass industryglass industry
glass industry
 
Retail Merchandising Strategy for Fashion Merchandise
Retail Merchandising Strategy for Fashion MerchandiseRetail Merchandising Strategy for Fashion Merchandise
Retail Merchandising Strategy for Fashion Merchandise
 
Types of retailing done
Types of retailing doneTypes of retailing done
Types of retailing done
 
Kannan Departmental Store-retail visit
Kannan Departmental Store-retail visitKannan Departmental Store-retail visit
Kannan Departmental Store-retail visit
 
Planogram
PlanogramPlanogram
Planogram
 
Croma retail visit
Croma  retail visitCroma  retail visit
Croma retail visit
 
croma vs reliance digital
croma vs reliance digitalcroma vs reliance digital
croma vs reliance digital
 
ITC summer-internship_report
ITC  summer-internship_reportITC  summer-internship_report
ITC summer-internship_report
 
Malabar Gold 78
Malabar Gold 78Malabar Gold 78
Malabar Gold 78
 
A Winter Project Report on Production Department Analysis of "Italia Ceramics...
A Winter Project Report on Production Department Analysis of "Italia Ceramics...A Winter Project Report on Production Department Analysis of "Italia Ceramics...
A Winter Project Report on Production Department Analysis of "Italia Ceramics...
 
How we created the RELIANCE DIGITAL retail business and brand
How we created the RELIANCE DIGITAL retail business and brand  How we created the RELIANCE DIGITAL retail business and brand
How we created the RELIANCE DIGITAL retail business and brand
 
Steve madden2
Steve madden2Steve madden2
Steve madden2
 
Competition Track project ( Max Retail )
Competition Track project  ( Max Retail )Competition Track project  ( Max Retail )
Competition Track project ( Max Retail )
 
Presentation on Croma
Presentation on CromaPresentation on Croma
Presentation on Croma
 
Kinnow Harvesting, GRADING AND PRIMARY PROCESSING
Kinnow   Harvesting, GRADING AND PRIMARY PROCESSINGKinnow   Harvesting, GRADING AND PRIMARY PROCESSING
Kinnow Harvesting, GRADING AND PRIMARY PROCESSING
 
Pantaloons marketing mix
Pantaloons marketing mixPantaloons marketing mix
Pantaloons marketing mix
 
A project on consumer preference over branded jewellery and non branded jwell...
A project on consumer preference over branded jewellery and non branded jwell...A project on consumer preference over branded jewellery and non branded jwell...
A project on consumer preference over branded jewellery and non branded jwell...
 
ceramic industry project report of zealtop ceramic by bhavik khakhkhar
ceramic industry project report of zealtop ceramic by bhavik khakhkharceramic industry project report of zealtop ceramic by bhavik khakhkhar
ceramic industry project report of zealtop ceramic by bhavik khakhkhar
 

Viewers also liked

Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code - ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 Katalyst Wealth Alpha...
Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code - ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 Katalyst Wealth Alpha...Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code - ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 Katalyst Wealth Alpha...
Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code - ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 Katalyst Wealth Alpha...Katalyst Wealth
 
The technological properties of refractory
The technological properties of refractory The technological properties of refractory
The technological properties of refractory Ahmed Abd Elmegeed
 
A presentation on furnaces and refractories by stead fast engineers
A presentation on furnaces and refractories by stead fast engineersA presentation on furnaces and refractories by stead fast engineers
A presentation on furnaces and refractories by stead fast engineers
steadfast123
 
Refractory materials
Refractory materialsRefractory materials
Refractory materials
Jatin Garg
 
Perfect manner
Perfect mannerPerfect manner
Perfect manner
pwpathirana
 
Refractories industry in india
Refractories industry in indiaRefractories industry in india
Refractories industry in indiaRanjan Kotian
 

Viewers also liked (6)

Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code - ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 Katalyst Wealth Alpha...
Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code - ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 Katalyst Wealth Alpha...Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code - ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 Katalyst Wealth Alpha...
Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code - ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 Katalyst Wealth Alpha...
 
The technological properties of refractory
The technological properties of refractory The technological properties of refractory
The technological properties of refractory
 
A presentation on furnaces and refractories by stead fast engineers
A presentation on furnaces and refractories by stead fast engineersA presentation on furnaces and refractories by stead fast engineers
A presentation on furnaces and refractories by stead fast engineers
 
Refractory materials
Refractory materialsRefractory materials
Refractory materials
 
Perfect manner
Perfect mannerPerfect manner
Perfect manner
 
Refractories industry in india
Refractories industry in indiaRefractories industry in india
Refractories industry in india
 

Similar to IFGL Refractories: Buy at CMP and add on declines

Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 katalyst wealth alpha r...
Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 katalyst wealth alpha r...Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 katalyst wealth alpha r...
Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 katalyst wealth alpha r...
Katalyst Wealth
 
HZL Initiating Coverage
HZL Initiating CoverageHZL Initiating Coverage
HZL Initiating CoverageVatsal Shah
 
Dsg steel
Dsg steelDsg steel
Dsg steel
Deepak R Gorad
 
Financial analysis of steel industry ( JSW)
Financial analysis of steel industry ( JSW) Financial analysis of steel industry ( JSW)
Financial analysis of steel industry ( JSW)
Unitedworld School Of Business
 
CORPORATE PRESENTATION 2013
CORPORATE PRESENTATION 2013CORPORATE PRESENTATION 2013
CORPORATE PRESENTATION 2013
JINDAL STEEL AND POWER LTD
 
Steeling
SteelingSteeling
Steeling
Sumesh Sekhar
 
challengesfuturescenarioofsteelindustry-1-140117132902-phpapp01.pdf
challengesfuturescenarioofsteelindustry-1-140117132902-phpapp01.pdfchallengesfuturescenarioofsteelindustry-1-140117132902-phpapp01.pdf
challengesfuturescenarioofsteelindustry-1-140117132902-phpapp01.pdf
GdAshish
 
A study of electronic data storage steel factory in mumbai
A study of electronic data storage steel factory in mumbaiA study of electronic data storage steel factory in mumbai
A study of electronic data storage steel factory in mumbai
Dinesh Jogdand
 
Saral Gyan Hidden Gem July 2012
Saral Gyan Hidden Gem July 2012Saral Gyan Hidden Gem July 2012
Saral Gyan Hidden Gem July 2012SaralGyanTeam
 
Hindalco industries
Hindalco industriesHindalco industries
Hindalco industriesvibhach
 
Moulding success in green foundries through Mitigation of Green house gases
Moulding success in green foundries through Mitigation of Green house gasesMoulding success in green foundries through Mitigation of Green house gases
Moulding success in green foundries through Mitigation of Green house gasesDinesh Dass
 
Steel Industry In India
Steel Industry In IndiaSteel Industry In India
Steel Industry In IndiaRavi K Tiwari
 
tata export finance
tata export financetata export finance
tata export finance
VihaanVadnere
 
Indian Copper Outlook
Indian Copper Outlook Indian Copper Outlook
Indian Copper Outlook
Jagdishchandra Laddha
 
Aluminium Foil, Food Packaging Foil Manufacturing Plant, Detailed Project Rep...
Aluminium Foil, Food Packaging Foil Manufacturing Plant, Detailed Project Rep...Aluminium Foil, Food Packaging Foil Manufacturing Plant, Detailed Project Rep...
Aluminium Foil, Food Packaging Foil Manufacturing Plant, Detailed Project Rep...
Ajjay Kumar Gupta
 
Case study of Strategic management
Case study of Strategic managementCase study of Strategic management
Case study of Strategic management
AnishaJain54
 
Challenges & future scenario of steel industry 1
Challenges & future scenario of steel industry  1Challenges & future scenario of steel industry  1
Challenges & future scenario of steel industry 1
GS Dhir
 

Similar to IFGL Refractories: Buy at CMP and add on declines (20)

Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 katalyst wealth alpha r...
Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 katalyst wealth alpha r...Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 katalyst wealth alpha r...
Orient Refractories Ltd (NSE Code ORIENTREF) - Jan'14 katalyst wealth alpha r...
 
Drgorad sm project
Drgorad sm projectDrgorad sm project
Drgorad sm project
 
Chapter 1(1)
Chapter 1(1)Chapter 1(1)
Chapter 1(1)
 
HZL Initiating Coverage
HZL Initiating CoverageHZL Initiating Coverage
HZL Initiating Coverage
 
Dsg steel
Dsg steelDsg steel
Dsg steel
 
Dsg steel
Dsg steelDsg steel
Dsg steel
 
Financial analysis of steel industry ( JSW)
Financial analysis of steel industry ( JSW) Financial analysis of steel industry ( JSW)
Financial analysis of steel industry ( JSW)
 
CORPORATE PRESENTATION 2013
CORPORATE PRESENTATION 2013CORPORATE PRESENTATION 2013
CORPORATE PRESENTATION 2013
 
Steeling
SteelingSteeling
Steeling
 
challengesfuturescenarioofsteelindustry-1-140117132902-phpapp01.pdf
challengesfuturescenarioofsteelindustry-1-140117132902-phpapp01.pdfchallengesfuturescenarioofsteelindustry-1-140117132902-phpapp01.pdf
challengesfuturescenarioofsteelindustry-1-140117132902-phpapp01.pdf
 
A study of electronic data storage steel factory in mumbai
A study of electronic data storage steel factory in mumbaiA study of electronic data storage steel factory in mumbai
A study of electronic data storage steel factory in mumbai
 
Saral Gyan Hidden Gem July 2012
Saral Gyan Hidden Gem July 2012Saral Gyan Hidden Gem July 2012
Saral Gyan Hidden Gem July 2012
 
Hindalco industries
Hindalco industriesHindalco industries
Hindalco industries
 
Moulding success in green foundries through Mitigation of Green house gases
Moulding success in green foundries through Mitigation of Green house gasesMoulding success in green foundries through Mitigation of Green house gases
Moulding success in green foundries through Mitigation of Green house gases
 
Steel Industry In India
Steel Industry In IndiaSteel Industry In India
Steel Industry In India
 
tata export finance
tata export financetata export finance
tata export finance
 
Indian Copper Outlook
Indian Copper Outlook Indian Copper Outlook
Indian Copper Outlook
 
Aluminium Foil, Food Packaging Foil Manufacturing Plant, Detailed Project Rep...
Aluminium Foil, Food Packaging Foil Manufacturing Plant, Detailed Project Rep...Aluminium Foil, Food Packaging Foil Manufacturing Plant, Detailed Project Rep...
Aluminium Foil, Food Packaging Foil Manufacturing Plant, Detailed Project Rep...
 
Case study of Strategic management
Case study of Strategic managementCase study of Strategic management
Case study of Strategic management
 
Challenges & future scenario of steel industry 1
Challenges & future scenario of steel industry  1Challenges & future scenario of steel industry  1
Challenges & future scenario of steel industry 1
 

More from IndiaNotes.com

Fce glaxo smithkline_12aug15
Fce glaxo smithkline_12aug15Fce glaxo smithkline_12aug15
Fce glaxo smithkline_12aug15IndiaNotes.com
 
GSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across India
GSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across IndiaGSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across India
GSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across India
IndiaNotes.com
 
GSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across India
GSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across IndiaGSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across India
GSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across India
IndiaNotes.com
 
Hester Biosciences gets manufacturing licence for 2 additional poultry vaccines
Hester Biosciences gets manufacturing licence for 2 additional poultry vaccinesHester Biosciences gets manufacturing licence for 2 additional poultry vaccines
Hester Biosciences gets manufacturing licence for 2 additional poultry vaccines
IndiaNotes.com
 
Vidhi Dyestuffs: To keep its growth story in the coming quarters also
Vidhi Dyestuffs: To keep its growth story in the coming quarters alsoVidhi Dyestuffs: To keep its growth story in the coming quarters also
Vidhi Dyestuffs: To keep its growth story in the coming quarters also
IndiaNotes.com
 
Apollo Tyres approves further expansion of the Truck & Bus radial tyre capacity
Apollo Tyres approves further expansion of the Truck & Bus radial tyre capacityApollo Tyres approves further expansion of the Truck & Bus radial tyre capacity
Apollo Tyres approves further expansion of the Truck & Bus radial tyre capacity
IndiaNotes.com
 
Grasim Industries reports improved performance in Q1FY16
Grasim Industries reports improved performance in Q1FY16Grasim Industries reports improved performance in Q1FY16
Grasim Industries reports improved performance in Q1FY16
IndiaNotes.com
 
Cummins India: No interest burden being free from long-term or short-term debt
Cummins India: No interest burden being free from long-term or short-term debtCummins India: No interest burden being free from long-term or short-term debt
Cummins India: No interest burden being free from long-term or short-term debt
IndiaNotes.com
 
Buy Makers Laboratories, company growing rapidly with strong thrust on brande...
Buy Makers Laboratories, company growing rapidly with strong thrust on brande...Buy Makers Laboratories, company growing rapidly with strong thrust on brande...
Buy Makers Laboratories, company growing rapidly with strong thrust on brande...
IndiaNotes.com
 
Buy Multibase India, globalisation of the auto component sector to benefit th...
Buy Multibase India, globalisation of the auto component sector to benefit th...Buy Multibase India, globalisation of the auto component sector to benefit th...
Buy Multibase India, globalisation of the auto component sector to benefit th...
IndiaNotes.com
 
Capital First: Long-term credit rating is rated highly at AA+ by CARE
Capital First: Long-term credit rating is rated highly at AA+ by CARECapital First: Long-term credit rating is rated highly at AA+ by CARE
Capital First: Long-term credit rating is rated highly at AA+ by CARE
IndiaNotes.com
 
Orient Cement: Best placed to benefit from demand revival in AP & Telengana r...
Orient Cement: Best placed to benefit from demand revival in AP & Telengana r...Orient Cement: Best placed to benefit from demand revival in AP & Telengana r...
Orient Cement: Best placed to benefit from demand revival in AP & Telengana r...
IndiaNotes.com
 
Canara Bank's operating performance to improve in remaining 9MFY16E
Canara Bank's operating performance to improve in remaining 9MFY16ECanara Bank's operating performance to improve in remaining 9MFY16E
Canara Bank's operating performance to improve in remaining 9MFY16E
IndiaNotes.com
 
Nirmal lupin 06_aug15
Nirmal lupin 06_aug15Nirmal lupin 06_aug15
Nirmal lupin 06_aug15
IndiaNotes.com
 
Buy Jenburkt Pharmaceuticals; government's amended FDI policy to cover medica...
Buy Jenburkt Pharmaceuticals; government's amended FDI policy to cover medica...Buy Jenburkt Pharmaceuticals; government's amended FDI policy to cover medica...
Buy Jenburkt Pharmaceuticals; government's amended FDI policy to cover medica...
IndiaNotes.com
 
Hexaware Technologies adds 9 clients in Q2CY15, Buy
Hexaware Technologies adds 9 clients in Q2CY15, BuyHexaware Technologies adds 9 clients in Q2CY15, Buy
Hexaware Technologies adds 9 clients in Q2CY15, Buy
IndiaNotes.com
 
Nirmal pi industries_03_aug15
Nirmal pi industries_03_aug15Nirmal pi industries_03_aug15
Nirmal pi industries_03_aug15
IndiaNotes.com
 
Indoco Remedies: Weak domestic growth offsets export revenues in Q1FY16; Hold
Indoco Remedies: Weak domestic growth offsets export revenues in Q1FY16; HoldIndoco Remedies: Weak domestic growth offsets export revenues in Q1FY16; Hold
Indoco Remedies: Weak domestic growth offsets export revenues in Q1FY16; Hold
IndiaNotes.com
 
Fce thermax 31_jul15
Fce thermax 31_jul15Fce thermax 31_jul15
Fce thermax 31_jul15
IndiaNotes.com
 
PI Industries: Custom synthesis exports deliver growth of ~26% in Q1FY16; Buy
PI Industries: Custom synthesis exports deliver growth of ~26% in Q1FY16; BuyPI Industries: Custom synthesis exports deliver growth of ~26% in Q1FY16; Buy
PI Industries: Custom synthesis exports deliver growth of ~26% in Q1FY16; Buy
IndiaNotes.com
 

More from IndiaNotes.com (20)

Fce glaxo smithkline_12aug15
Fce glaxo smithkline_12aug15Fce glaxo smithkline_12aug15
Fce glaxo smithkline_12aug15
 
GSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across India
GSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across IndiaGSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across India
GSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across India
 
GSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across India
GSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across IndiaGSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across India
GSK Consumer: Horlicks strengthens its position as No.1 brand across India
 
Hester Biosciences gets manufacturing licence for 2 additional poultry vaccines
Hester Biosciences gets manufacturing licence for 2 additional poultry vaccinesHester Biosciences gets manufacturing licence for 2 additional poultry vaccines
Hester Biosciences gets manufacturing licence for 2 additional poultry vaccines
 
Vidhi Dyestuffs: To keep its growth story in the coming quarters also
Vidhi Dyestuffs: To keep its growth story in the coming quarters alsoVidhi Dyestuffs: To keep its growth story in the coming quarters also
Vidhi Dyestuffs: To keep its growth story in the coming quarters also
 
Apollo Tyres approves further expansion of the Truck & Bus radial tyre capacity
Apollo Tyres approves further expansion of the Truck & Bus radial tyre capacityApollo Tyres approves further expansion of the Truck & Bus radial tyre capacity
Apollo Tyres approves further expansion of the Truck & Bus radial tyre capacity
 
Grasim Industries reports improved performance in Q1FY16
Grasim Industries reports improved performance in Q1FY16Grasim Industries reports improved performance in Q1FY16
Grasim Industries reports improved performance in Q1FY16
 
Cummins India: No interest burden being free from long-term or short-term debt
Cummins India: No interest burden being free from long-term or short-term debtCummins India: No interest burden being free from long-term or short-term debt
Cummins India: No interest burden being free from long-term or short-term debt
 
Buy Makers Laboratories, company growing rapidly with strong thrust on brande...
Buy Makers Laboratories, company growing rapidly with strong thrust on brande...Buy Makers Laboratories, company growing rapidly with strong thrust on brande...
Buy Makers Laboratories, company growing rapidly with strong thrust on brande...
 
Buy Multibase India, globalisation of the auto component sector to benefit th...
Buy Multibase India, globalisation of the auto component sector to benefit th...Buy Multibase India, globalisation of the auto component sector to benefit th...
Buy Multibase India, globalisation of the auto component sector to benefit th...
 
Capital First: Long-term credit rating is rated highly at AA+ by CARE
Capital First: Long-term credit rating is rated highly at AA+ by CARECapital First: Long-term credit rating is rated highly at AA+ by CARE
Capital First: Long-term credit rating is rated highly at AA+ by CARE
 
Orient Cement: Best placed to benefit from demand revival in AP & Telengana r...
Orient Cement: Best placed to benefit from demand revival in AP & Telengana r...Orient Cement: Best placed to benefit from demand revival in AP & Telengana r...
Orient Cement: Best placed to benefit from demand revival in AP & Telengana r...
 
Canara Bank's operating performance to improve in remaining 9MFY16E
Canara Bank's operating performance to improve in remaining 9MFY16ECanara Bank's operating performance to improve in remaining 9MFY16E
Canara Bank's operating performance to improve in remaining 9MFY16E
 
Nirmal lupin 06_aug15
Nirmal lupin 06_aug15Nirmal lupin 06_aug15
Nirmal lupin 06_aug15
 
Buy Jenburkt Pharmaceuticals; government's amended FDI policy to cover medica...
Buy Jenburkt Pharmaceuticals; government's amended FDI policy to cover medica...Buy Jenburkt Pharmaceuticals; government's amended FDI policy to cover medica...
Buy Jenburkt Pharmaceuticals; government's amended FDI policy to cover medica...
 
Hexaware Technologies adds 9 clients in Q2CY15, Buy
Hexaware Technologies adds 9 clients in Q2CY15, BuyHexaware Technologies adds 9 clients in Q2CY15, Buy
Hexaware Technologies adds 9 clients in Q2CY15, Buy
 
Nirmal pi industries_03_aug15
Nirmal pi industries_03_aug15Nirmal pi industries_03_aug15
Nirmal pi industries_03_aug15
 
Indoco Remedies: Weak domestic growth offsets export revenues in Q1FY16; Hold
Indoco Remedies: Weak domestic growth offsets export revenues in Q1FY16; HoldIndoco Remedies: Weak domestic growth offsets export revenues in Q1FY16; Hold
Indoco Remedies: Weak domestic growth offsets export revenues in Q1FY16; Hold
 
Fce thermax 31_jul15
Fce thermax 31_jul15Fce thermax 31_jul15
Fce thermax 31_jul15
 
PI Industries: Custom synthesis exports deliver growth of ~26% in Q1FY16; Buy
PI Industries: Custom synthesis exports deliver growth of ~26% in Q1FY16; BuyPI Industries: Custom synthesis exports deliver growth of ~26% in Q1FY16; Buy
PI Industries: Custom synthesis exports deliver growth of ~26% in Q1FY16; Buy
 

IFGL Refractories: Buy at CMP and add on declines

  • 1. RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 1 IFGL Refractories (IFGL) Ltd Scrip Code Industry CMP Recommendation Add on Dips Sequential Targets Time Horizon IFGREFEQNR Refractories 144.8 Buy at CMP and add on declines 127-134 178-204 2-3 quarters IFGL is a manufacturer of specialised refractories and operating systems for the steel and iron industry. It manufactures specialized refractory for flow control of steel and treatment of quality thereof. The Kolkata headquartered company promoted by S K Bajoria Group now has eight manufacturing plants across the globe (in China, UK, Germany, India and USA). Triggers  Large Player in Key Consumable for Steel  Diversified Presence and products to help the company  Incremental capacity to drive earnings  Available at discounted valuations than competitors Risks/Concerns  Dependence on raw material imports from China  Rising prices of the inputs like crude oil, alumina, magnesia  Any slowdown in the global as well as local economy  Foreign exchange risks Conclusion and Recommendation At the current market price (of Rs 144.8) the company is trading at 7.0x its FY15E consolidated EPS of Rs 20.5 and 5.7x its FY16E consolidated EPS of Rs 25.5. We value the company at 7.0.x-8.0x its FY16E EPS to arrive at our sequential target price of Rs 178 and RS 204. We feel investors could buy the stock at CMP and add on dips to Rs.127-134 band (5-5.25x FY16E EPS) for the above target price in 2-3 quarters. Financial Summary (Consolidated) Particulars (Rs in Cr) FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E Total Operating Income 471.0 603.9 671.2 777.6 867.7 1085.3 Operating Profit 42.7 75.2 58.1 109.6 125.0 154.1 OPM (%) 9.1 12.5 8.7 14.1 14.4 14.2 Other Income 4.7 2.6 4.5 3.4 4.0 4.5 Reported Profit After Tax before MI 24.3 39.8 25.4 65.8 73.1 90.1 Reported Profit After Tax after MI 24.3 39.9 28.2 64.0 71.1 88.1 PATM (%) 5.2 6.6 4.2 8.2 8.2 8.1 EPS (Rs.) 7.0 11.5 8.2 18.5 20.5 25.5 (Source: Company, HDFCSec) RETAIL RESEARCH STOCK NOTE July 15, 2014 Price Chart 08 15 22 29 F 12 19 26 M 13 21 27 A 11 22 30 M 15 22 29 J 12 19 26 J 10 220 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 1-532133.IFGL REFRACT .BSE - 14/07/14 Trend7 Daily Stock Details BSE Code 532133 NSE Code IFGLREFRAC Bloomberg IFGL:IN Price (Rs) as on 14 July, 2014 144.8 Equity Capital (Rs Cr) 34.6 Face Value (Rs) 10 Eq. Shares O/s (Cr) 3.46 Market Cap (Rs.) 501.0 Book Value (Rs) 90.87 Avg. Volume (52 Week) 17352 52 wk H/L (Rs) 182/23.45 Shareholding Pattern (As on March, 31 2014) Promoters 71.30 Institutions 1.05 Non Institutions 27.65 Total 100 Zececa Mehta Research Analyst zececa.mehta@hdfcsec.com
  • 2. RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 2 Company Profile IFGL is a manufacturer of specialised refractories and operating systems for the steel and iron industry. It manufactures specialized refractory for flow control of steel and treatment of quality thereof. The company is also engaged in manufacturing of foundry ceramic fillers for dentistry, orthopedic and ophthalmic segments. The company has a technical collaboration with Krosaki Harima Corporation of Japan, a subsidiary of Nippon Steel Corporation. IFGL is specialised in manufacturing slide gate refractories and continuous casting refractories. IFGL acquired several facilities internationally to access the new market and technology in the past. The Kolkata headquartered company promoted by S K Bajoria Group now has eight manufacturing plants across the globe (in China, UK, Germany, India and USA) and is present in more than 50% of the global markets and has a distribution and service network over 50 countries. In India, the company has facilities in Rourkela, in Odisa, and Kandla, in Gujarat. It has a 100% holding in its three subsidiaries Monocon Group, Hofmann Ceramic and EI Ceramics, while it has set up IFGL Exports (51% stake by IFGL) with a technical collaboration with Krosaki Harima, Japan, which is into manufacturing of continuous casting refractories at Kandla Special Economic Zone, Gujarat. IFGL has long term relationships with large steel companies, like Tata Steel Europe, Essar Steel, JSPL, SAIL etc.
  • 3. RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 3 Acquisitions In 2005, IFGL acquired the UK-based Monocon Holdings Ltd and its subsidiaries in the US, UK, China, Brazil (Monotec) and Taiwan. While the Taiwanese unit was closed down in 2007-08 and Brazil unit was shut down in Jan 2013, the other four (2 in China, 1 in UK and 1 in USA) are in operation. In July, 2008 Hoffman Group with manufacturing facilities in Germany and Czech Republic for products like Foundry Ceramics – Casting Filters, Feeders, SiC Chill Plates, Pouring System and Monoblock Stopper, High Grade fire proof refractory shapes and Drawing tools and Tread Guides was acquired. Currently the company has one manufacturing facility in Germany. In September, 2010 IFGL acquired EI Ceramics LLC and CUSC International Limited (CUSC), both Cincinnati, Ohio based companies engaged in manufacture of Isostatically Pressed Continuous Casting Refractories. CUSC was a kind of an ancilliary unit which provided services like raw material, warehousing, packaging, etc to EI Ceramics and now it has been merged into EI Ceramics which is the other plant of IFGL which is operational in USA. The main vision of the company for these acquisitions was to bring along new products and technologies, venture into new markets and increase its customer base by tapping the new customers. Industry Refractories Refractories are those materials which can sustain high temperature without degrading or softening. The size of the Indian refractory industry has been pegged at Rs 2,300-2,500 crore (that of the world is pegged at $1 billion) and is stated to be growing at 8-10 per cent per annum. Refractories are consumed by the iron and steel, nonferrous, cement, copper, glass, aluminum, fertilizer, thermal power plants and petro-chemical industries etc., which are witnessing robust growth. The fortunes of the refractory industry are considerably linked to the growth of iron and steel sector, which consumes a massive 75% of the refractories produced. This is followed by the cement industry consuming about 12%, non-ferrous industry consuming about 5- 6%, glass industry consuming about 3% and balance in other industries. India accounts for around 4% of the total refractory production. Asia account for 30% of the total production whereas China is a biggest consumer of refractories due to increasing steel production. However, China is able to suffice its domestic demand due to availability of raw materials and is not dependent on the imports. In China, due to the easy availability of critical raw materials, prices of refractories there are at a big discount over what they cost in India (that is why many companies are setting up their refractories manufacturing facilities in China). Though there is a cost advantage in China, India has a long tradition of making refractories in many types and shapes. Also India is doing a good job as a total refractory solutions provider. This is an area where many Chinese suppliers are found wanting.
  • 4. RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 4 Steel India has become the second best in terms of growth amongst the top ten steel producing countries in the world and a net exporter of steel during 2013–14. Steel production in India recorded a growth rate of 4.8 per cent in February 2014 over February 2013. The total market value of the Indian steel sector stood at US$ 57.8 billion in 2011 and is expected to touch US$ 95.3 billion by 2016. The infrastructure sector is India’s largest steel consumer, thereby attracting investments from several global players. Owing to this connection with core infrastructure segments of the economy, the steel industry is of high priority right now. India needs investment of US$ 210 billion over the next decade to achieve the steel production capacity of 300 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) by 2025 from the current 90 MT. Also with the expansion of capacities by SAIL, Vizag Steel, JSPL, etc the capacity of the Indian Steel industry would expand further by 40 MT in the next 3-4 years time frame. The future of the Indian steel industry is bright. The government plans to increase infrastructure spending from the current 5 % GDP to 10 % by 2017, and the country is committed to investing US$ 1 trillion in infrastructure during the 12th Five-Year plan. Shareholding pattern Particulars (%) Mar-14 Dec-13 Sep-13 Jun-13 Mar-13 Indian Promoters 56.83 56.83 56.83 56.83 56.83 Foreign JV Partners 14.47 14.47 14.47 14.47 14.47 FIIs 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mutual Funds 0.03 1.19 1.20 1.20 1.20 FIs/Banks 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 Corporate 9.15 8.61 7.60 7.46 7.36 Public & Others 18.50 17.88 18.88 19.02 19.12 Totals 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 (Source: Company, HDFCSec) Triggers Large Player in Key Consumable for Steel: IFGL is into the manufacture of Refractories. Refractory is a term given to a class of materials which are produced from non- metallic minerals and possess capability to withstand heat and pressure. These are products that confer properties like high temperature insulation, resistance to corrosive and erosive action of hot gases, liquids and solids at high temperatures in various kilns, furnaces, driers, gasifiers and reformers. Refractories act as the key consumables for the steel industry. Since the steel industry has been seeing a constant growth over the last few years and continues to be growing further there is a continuous flow of demand for IFGL’s products. A couple of years back, the global slowdown had impacted the performance of all sectors worldwide and steel was not an exception. In FY09, the performance of IFGL was impacted to the slowdown across the globe and its margins were hit. However, now, the steel industry in developed economies likes the US and Europe seems to be coming out of woods and the management
  • 5. RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 5 expects the same trend to get reflected in the domestic markets as well along with a renewed focus of the new business friendly government. Diversified Presence and products to help the company: IFGL has highly efficient facilities located in India, UK, US, China, and Germany giving it a strategic presence. This acts as one of the major advantages for the company as it is able to cater to customers in different parts of the world from their varied locations and also is able to tap a wider range of countries because of its strong presence in these countries. In India, IFGL has locational advantage from the plant in Odisha as major steel players like SAIL, Tata Steel, RINL, Essar Steel, Bhushan Steel, JSPL, JSW Steel, Ispat, Mittal and POSCO have their plants located in close proximity to the IFGL plant. SAIL, Vizag Steel, Jindal Steel and Power are some of the major customers of IFGL, including Arcelor-Mittal. The logistics cost is one of the major cost for these companies, so to have plants set up in areas where the demand is there, would save a lot of cost for the company. Incremental capacity to drive earnings Out of IFGL’s subsidiaries, there is an expansion plan in two manufacturing units. IFGL is going to double the capacities of two of its facilities in Kandla, Gujarat (in Phase 1 and Phase 2) and Ohio, USA in the next one-year period. Both these facilities manufacture isostatically pressed continuous casting refractories (for which the technology will be used of its Japanese JV partner). With this capacity augmentation plan, the capacity of the Kandla plant will go up from 72,000 pieces per annum to 144,000 pieces per annum by the end of FY2015 (Phase 1). It is doubling its capacity of the US facility too which currently has a capacity to manufacture 80,000 pieces per annum and which is expected to commence from Q1FY2016. This expansion will cost about $1.5-2.0 million and would be funded through internal accruals. We expect both the incremental capacities to potentially add revenues of around Rs 150-200 crore after expansion and full utilisation and the Kandla facility could earn a better margin. For Phase 2 of the Kandla plant expansion, the capacity would be further expanded by 80,000 pieces per annum but the cost of this expansion would be around $2.5-3 million. The increase in the expansion cost, viz a viz the cost of Phase 1 is high, as the company feels that they may need different kind of equipments as more than just debottle-necking is required in this phase. Final decision on Phase 2 expansion will be taken in FY16. Spare capacity also to drive in revenues: Apart from the expansion at Kandla and Ohio, the company does have some spare capacity at the Rourkela plant (India) and plants at China, UK and Germany. This spare capacity can give IFGL 25-30% rise in its revenues going forward, without any capacity expansion. Expansion won’t hamper financial ratios: The capital expenditure (capex) required for the incremental capacity is not significant (Rs15-20 crore) being a brown field expansion at the existing facilities of Gujarat and USA. Considering a debt repayment scheduled ahead, the debt of the company
  • 6. RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 6 is likely to remain largely the same. Therefore, we believe the ongoing expansion would drive the earnings growth and improve the return ratios in the future. Strong financials delivery and optimistic management commentary: IFGL exhibited a very strong result (on a consolidated basis) in FY2014 with a rise of 16% YoY in the topline at Rs 777.6 crore and by more than a doubling of its net profit (127% up YoY) to Rs64 crore. This was backed by a significant margin expansion of 544 basis points YoY to arrive at the OPM of 14.1%, owing to a lower raw material cost. Also, at the standalone level, interest cost has reduced substantially by 43% to Rs 2.3 crore in FY14 as compared to Rs 4.1 crore in FY13. For FY14, the company’s overseas subsidiaries did well, particularly the ones in UK and USA to register an increase in income of Rs 69 crore to register a revenue of Rs 444.46 crore (up by 18% YoY), an increase in PBT of Rs 29 crore to reach to Rs 50.76 crore (up by 133% YoY) and an increase in PAT by Rs 24 crore to Rs 38.26 crore (up by 168% YoY). Also, IFGL Exports Ltd (Indian subsidiary at Kandla) performed satisfactorily with income growing by 244% YoY (for 11 months in FY13 as Kandla operation started in May 2012) to Rs 31 crore and to record a PBT of Rs 3.5 crore against a loss of Rs 5.73 crore in FY13 (11 months) During the post-Q4FY14 result conference call, the company’s management sounded confident to sustain such a margin level going forward. The management aims to sustain the margin at around 14%. Further, the management shared that they had managed to gain market share during FY2014 and expects the domestic revenues to improve, as the overall market is expected to expand with the commissioning of the steel capacities by major players like Jindal Steel and Power Ltd (JSPL) and Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL). Out of the core management team of IFGL, since Oct 2009, Mr. Gian Carlo as been associated with the company. He was a former president and CEO of Vesuvius (now Vesuvius plc.) and was instrumental in steering Vesuvius from US$ 100 million company to over US$ 1 billion company. This further gives us confidence that IFGL can keep growing in the coming years. Healthy cash generation and return ratios, trend augurs well: IFGL managed to generate a free cash of Rs30 crore due to the timely repayment of debt in FY14 and we expect the trend to continue in FY15 and FY16, given the minimal capex plan lined up. Hence, we expect the balance sheet to strengthen as the debt-equity ratio is likely to come down in the future from the current 0.3x. The return on net worth (RoNW) was around 15- 20% in the past, except in the case of FY2013, which in our view is likely to remain firm. Available at discounted valuations than competitors: Companies FY13 Total Revenue (Rs in Cr) PAT (Rs in Cr) EPS (Rs) CMP as on 140714 (Rs) PE P/BV EV/EBITDA Debt/Equity Mkt Cap/Sales IFGL Refractories 671.2 28.2 8.2 144.0 4.2 0.5 3.6 0.2 0.2
  • 7. RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 7 Vesuvius India* 601.8 65.2 31.3 678.0 14.2 2.3 7.0 0.0 1.4 Orient Refractories 359.9 41.4 3.3 88.0 11.2 1.7 7.0 0.0 1.2 *December ending company (Source: Capitaline) For IFGL, the direct competitors are as given above in the table. Vesuvius India Limited is a subsidiary of Vesuvius Group Limited; U.K. the company manufactures Continuous Casting Refractories including slide gate equipments and porous plugs, monolithics, pre-cast shapes, taphole clay and crucibles for non-ferrous industry. RHI AG (an Austria based company is a globally operating supplier of high-grade refractory products, systems and services) during March 2013 acquired 69.6% stake in Orient Refractories Ltd for a value of € 50 million. RHI paid consideration (of ~ Rs 350 cr) valuing the acquiree at ~13 times its 9MFY13 PAT and ~1.7x Mcap to sales. Currently IFGL is available at 7.8x P/E and 0.6x Mcap to sales. Both the above companies have the backing of a global parent and thus have updated technology. As far as IFGL is concerned, the company formed a technical and financial joint venture with Krosaki Harima Corp. of Japan which is a subsidiary if Nippon Steel Corp., Japan. This company is also specialized in continuous casting refractories and hence their technology can be used by the company. The Kandla plant is also being expanded in this same type of refractories. Vesuvius India is the market leader in the refractory industry so a premium valuation is justified. But, IFGL is trading at a significant discount than both, Vesuvius and Orient Refractories even though its financials are as strong as the peers. The MNC nametag and the difference in technology prowess do not warrant such a large difference in valuation. As per FY13, its P/BV is at just 0.5x which is far lower than 2.3x and 1.7x that of Vesuvius and Orient respectively. Even in EV/EBITDA terms, IFGL is just at 3.6 times than 7 times of both the peers. Partnership with Nippon Steel Group for Technology backed by its own R&D: IFGL Refractories has a partnership with Krosaki Harima Corporation which is a subsidiary of Nippon Steel Group for Technology, Japan. This enables the company to command a stronger foothold in the industry in terms of superior technology when compared to other local peers. Global giants like Vesuvius and the recent acquirer, RHI AG group, have similar strong technologies. This shows the capability of IFGL to produce competitive technologically superior products and have a strong market share across segments. Technologies imported from time to time have been successfully absorbed. Changes were made, wherever necessary, in imported technologies with consent of the collaborators to suit Indian conditions in IFGL’s own R&D. Technology enhancement in Steel industry, beneficial for IFGL: In Industries like steel with better technology used for production, the consumption of refractories is going down. Initially where to make 1 tonne of steel, 30 kg of refractory was used but now it’s down to about 12 kg. In some new generation steel mills, the consumption is just about 7-8 kg of refractory. This however is advantageous for IFGL as it makes specialized refractories and can cater to such requirements. So if a steel manufacturing unit which is using advanced technology, it would need specialized refractories which are costly. This will help IFGL to earn better margins due to a better realization commanded by these high
  • 8. RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 8 tech refractories. Impact on demand in terms of volumes is also not expected to be large in the back ground of steel capacity expansion plans. Diversifying into Bio Ceramic Production: IFGL has diversified its business into Bio Ceramics. Ceramics used for the repair and reconstruction of diseased or damaged parts of the musculo-skeletal system, are termed as bio ceramics. Applications include replacements for hips, knees, teeth, tendons and ligaments and repair for periodontal disease, maxillofacial reconstruction, augmentation and stabilization of jaw bone, spinal fusion and bone repair after tumor surgery. This is a relatively new and different segment of business which the company has pursued for last 2-3 years. As this is a specialized business, it will take some time for it to stabilize. Risks/Concerns  The Refractory industry is dependent on raw material imports from China which are critical for manufacturing of refractories. This results in high cost of production as compared to China where the raw material is readily available. For this reason many refractory players, including IFGL, have set their shops in China due to easy availability of critical raw materials at prices bearing a big discount over what they cost in India.  In the event of continued high prices for crude oil and other petroleum products and hardening of the coal prices, the prices of the inputs of the refractory industry are increasing. Though the company takes price increases, it comes into effect with a lag of 1-2 months.  The business can be affected by the slowdown in the global as well as local economy. The company had faced some trouble during 2009 when the global economy was in slumps.  As India sales contribute to just about 20% to the consolidated revenues of IFGL; there is a risk of currency fluctuations. Strengthening of the rupee and/or euro can hit its revenues and affect the topline and bottomline as the company does not hedge. Conclusion and Recommendation IFGL Refractories is small (in comparison with its peers) but a growing company. Given the expansion at plants without any significant capex, backing of technological support of the Japanese partner, diversification in products offered and the markets tapped in, improving global economy and the emphasis on infrastructure by the new Government along with capacity expansion plans by some steel manufacturing companies in India, we believe that the company has the potential to grow at a fast pace in the next two years. Also the discounted valuation as compared to its peers gives us confidence that there could be a re-rating due for IFGL. At the current market price (of Rs 144.8) the company is trading at 7.0x its FY15E consolidated EPS of Rs 20.5 and 5.7x its FY16E consolidated EPS of Rs 25.5. We value the company at 7.0.x-8.0x its FY16E EPS to arrive at our target price of Rs 178 and RS 204. We feel investors could buy the stock at CMP and add on dips to Rs.127-134 band (5-5.25x FY16E EPS) for the above target price in 2-3 quarters.
  • 9. RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 9 Particulars (Rs in Cr) FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E Total Operating Income 471.0 603.9 671.2 777.6 867.7 1085.3 Operating Profit 42.7 75.2 58.1 109.6 125.0 154.1 OPM (%) 9.1 12.5 8.7 14.1 14.4 14.2 Other Income 4.7 2.6 4.5 3.4 4.0 4.5 Reported Profit After Tax before MI 24.3 39.8 25.4 65.8 73.1 90.1 Reported Profit After Tax after MI 24.3 39.9 28.2 64.0 71.1 88.1 PATM (%) 5.2 6.6 4.2 8.2 8.2 8.1 EPS (Rs.) 7.0 11.5 8.2 18.5 20.5 25.5 (Source: Company, HDFCSec, E: Estimates) Financials Quarterly (Consolidated) Particulars (Rs cr) Q4FY14 Q4FY13 % chg Q3FY14 % chg FY14 FY13 % chg Income from Operations 200.3 164.1 22.1% 194.7 2.9% 777.6 671.2 15.9% Other Operating Income 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total Income 200.3 164.1 22.1% 194.7 2.9% 777.6 671.2 15.9% Consumables and Spares consumed 98.5 84.9 16.0% 97.5 1.0% 377.8 352.3 7.3% Employee Expenses 28.1 26.4 6.6% 29.4 -4.4% 109.7 98.7 11.2% Work and Consultancy expenses 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Other Expenses 45.5 43.9 3.8% 40.7 12.0% 180.5 162.1 11.3% Total Expenditure 172.1 155.1 10.9% 167.5 2.7% 668.0 613.0 9.0% Operating Profit 28.2 8.9 216.4% 27.2 3.6% 109.6 58.1 88.6% Other Income 1.2 0.8 44.4% 0.6 91.8% 3.4 4.5 -25.8% PBIDT 29.4 9.7 202.1% 27.8 5.6% 113.0 62.7 80.3% Interest 1.6 1.5 1.9 7.0 8.0 PBDT 27.8 8.2 239.4% 25.9 7.3% 106.1 54.7 93.8% Depreciation 4.3 3.3 28.9% 4.6 -7.2% 15.5 13.4 15.5% PBT 23.6 4.9 382.6% 21.3 10.5% 90.6 41.3 119.2% Tax (including DT & FBT) 7.0 3.1 6.8 24.8 16.0 Reported Profit After Tax 16.6 1.8 816.6% 14.5 14.2% 65.8 25.4 159.2% Less: Minority Interest/ Share in profit 0.8 -0.4 0.3 1.8 -2.8 Reported Profit After Tax after MI 15.8 2.2 629.2% 14.3 10.4% 64.0 28.2 126.9% EPS (Rs.) 4.6 0.6 629.2% 4.1 10.4% 18.5 8.2 126.9% Equity 34.6 34.6 34.6 34.6 34.6 bps bps bps OPM (%) 14.09 5.44 864.94 13.98 10.40 14.10 8.66 543.67 PATM (%) 7.86 1.32 654.54 7.32 53.94 8.23 4.20 402.83 (Source: Company, HDFCSec, E: Estimates)
  • 10. RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 10 Profit & Loss (Consolidated) Particulars FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E Income from Operations 471.0 603.9 671.2 777.6 867.7 1085.3 Other Operating Income 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total Operating Income 471.0 603.9 671.2 777.6 867.7 1085.3 Raw material consumed 247.0 303.8 352.3 377.8 422.6 531.8 Employee expense 66.1 84.3 98.7 109.7 120.6 144.3 Other Expenses 115.4 140.6 162.1 180.5 199.6 255.0 Total Operating Expenses 428.4 528.7 613.0 668.0 742.8 931.2 Operating Profit 42.7 75.2 58.1 109.6 125.0 154.1 Other Income 4.7 2.6 4.5 3.4 4.0 4.5 EBITDA 47.4 77.8 62.7 113.0 129.0 158.6 Interest 6.0 6.8 8.0 7.0 9.0 10.0 Depreciation 8.7 12.9 13.4 15.5 17.0 19.0 PBT 32.7 58.2 41.3 90.6 103.0 129.6 Tax (including FBT & DT) 8.4 18.3 16.0 24.8 29.9 39.5 Adjusted PAT 24.3 39.8 25.4 65.8 73.1 90.1 Less: Minority Interest/ Share in profit 0.0 0.0 -2.8 1.8 2.0 2.0 Reported PAT 24.3 39.9 28.2 64.0 71.1 88.1 (Source: Company, HDFCSec, E: Estimates) Balance Sheet (Consolidated) Particulars (Rs in Cr) FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E Equity & Liabilities Shareholders’ Funds 175.7 221.9 245.5 329.0 377.8 467.1 Share Capital 34.6 34.6 34.6 34.6 34.6 34.6 Warrant Allotment 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 Reserves & Surplus 126.6 172.8 196.4 279.9 328.7 418.0 Share application money pending allotment 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Non-Current Liabilities 74.3 75.8 68.4 57.6 58.3 57.9 Long Term borrowings 69.7 63.8 53.9 40.5 37.3 32.8 Deferred Tax Liabilities (Net) 4.0 4.8 6.5 7.4 9.4 11.4 Other Long Term Liabilities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Long Term Provisions 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 Current Liabilities 136.2 156.2 166.0 187.1 196.6 207.2
  • 11. RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 11 Short Term Borrowings 44.4 49.0 60.3 57.7 54.2 47.7 Trade Payables 73.5 72.9 79.9 96.2 105.8 118.5 Other Current Liabilities 12.9 19.4 16.6 21.0 23.1 25.8 Short Term Provisions 5.5 14.9 9.3 12.3 13.5 15.1 Total Equity & Liabilities 386.2 453.9 480.0 573.7 632.7 732.1 Assets Non-Current Assets 182.7 227.5 234.2 260.7 282.3 316.8 Fixed Assets 179.9 225.6 232.4 258.8 280.3 314.7 Gross Block 167.9 215.9 239.5 259.8 283.3 316.7 Depreciation 88.6 104.6 119.7 135.2 152.2 171.2 Net Block (Tangible Assets) 79.3 111.4 119.8 124.6 131.1 145.5 Intangible Assets 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Capital Work-in-Progress 2.1 4.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Goodwill On Consolidation 98.1 109.4 110.6 134.2 149.2 169.2 Non Current Investments 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Long -term Loans and Advances 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.5 Other Non-Current Assets 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 Current Assets 203.5 226.3 245.8 313.0 350.4 415.3 Current Investments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Inventories 70.2 85.5 84.8 103.4 121.0 144.0 Trade Receivables 109.6 113.4 142.7 165.8 194.0 230.9 Cash & Cash Equivalents 9.8 19.5 11.3 30.7 25.4 29.5 Short Term Loans & Advances 4.5 2.8 4.2 9.5 9.9 10.9 Other Current Assets 9.5 5.2 2.9 3.6 0.0 0.0 Total Assets 386.2 453.9 480.0 573.7 632.7 732.1 (Source: Company, HDFCSec, E: Estimates) Key Ratios (Consolidated) Particulars FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E No of Equity Shares 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 Current Market Price 144.8 144.8 144.8 144.8 144.8 144.8 Market Capitalization 501.0 501.0 501.0 501.0 501.0 501.0 Enterprise Value 605.4 594.3 603.9 568.6 567.1 552.0 FD EPS 7.0 11.5 8.2 18.5 20.5 25.5
  • 12. RETAIL RESEARCH Page | 12 Cash EPS (PAT + Depreciation) 9.5 15.3 12.0 23.0 25.5 30.9 PE(x) 20.6 12.6 17.8 7.8 7.0 5.7 Book Value (Rs.) 50.8 64.1 71.0 95.1 109.2 135.0 P/BV (x) 2.9 2.3 2.0 1.5 1.3 1.1 OPM (%) 9.1 12.5 8.7 14.1 14.4 14.2 PBT (%) 6.9 9.6 6.2 11.6 11.9 11.9 NPM (%) 5.2 6.6 4.2 8.2 8.2 8.1 ROCE (%) 13.3 19.0 13.4 22.3 23.9 25.5 RONW (%) 13.8 18.0 11.5 19.5 18.8 18.9 Debt-Equity 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 Current Ratio 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0 Mcap/Sales(x) 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 EV/EBITDA 12.8 7.6 9.6 5.0 4.4 3.5 (Source: Company, HDFCSec, E: Estimates) 1 Year Forward PE Chart RETAIL RESEARCH Tel: (022) 3075 3400 Fax: (022) 2496 5066 Corporate Office HDFC securities Limited, I Think Techno Campus, Building - B, "Alpha", Office Floor 8, Near Kanjurmarg Station, Opp. Crompton Greaves, Kanjurmarg (East), Mumbai 400 042 Phone: (022) 3075 3400 Fax: (022) 2496 5066 Website: www.hdfcsec.com Email: hdfcsecretailresearch@hdfcsec.com Disclaimer: This document has been prepared by HDFC Securities Limited and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others. It should not be considered to be taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security. The information contained herein is from sources believed reliable. We do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. We may have from time to time positions or options on, and buy and sell securities referred to herein. We may from time to time solicit from, or perform investment banking, or other services for, any company mentioned in this document. This report is intended for non-Institutional Clients