Measures of Dispersion and Variability: Range, QD, AD and SD
Groupthink
1.
2. DEFINITION
PHENOMENON THAT OCCURS WHEN MEMBERS OF A COHESIVE GROUP ARE
CONCERNED WITH QUICKLY REACHING A CONSENSUS IN THEIR DECISION MAKING
WITHOUT CRITICALLY ANALYZING AND EVALUATING IDEAS.
3. ATTACK ON PEARL HARBOR
• WHAT HAPPENED?
• WAS A SURPRISE, PREEMPTIVE MILITARY
STRIKE BY THE IMPERIAL JAPANESE
NAVY AIR SERVICE UPON THE UNITED
STATES
• THE ATTACK LED TO THE UNITED
STATES' FORMAL ENTRY INTO WORLD
WAR II THE NEXT DAY.
• 68 KILLED
35 WOUNDED
4. Illusions of invulnerability
creating excessive optimism
and encouraging risk taking
Rationalizing warnings that
might challenge the group’s
assumptions.
SYMPTOMPS OF GROUPTHINK
5. Ignore that
had a tendency to launch attack before
declaring war
• The military confirmed his theory that aircrafts
attacking from the Pacific would be undetected &
would break havoc on the harbor.
• Despite these results, the military refused to
reexamine their defenses
• US underestimated Japanese intentions and
continued sending scrap iron, and other raw
materials to Japan.
• 9 years before the bombing, Admiral Frank
Schofield anticipated a possible attack from
Hawaii to Pacific