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Gold Coast accommodation
 and the tourism industry
Gold Coast Hotels
        (excluding motels/serviced apts)
  Occupancy peaked in 2007 at 72.9%

  Room nights sold peaked in 2007 at
 1.69 million

  Supply peaked in 2007 at 25,550 rooms
Source: ABS/Dransfield
Gold Coast Accommodation
             (hotels/motels/serviced apts)
  Occupancy peaked in 2007 at 70.7%

  RevPAR peaked in 2007 at $92.28per
  night

  Room nights sold peaked in 2007 at
  3.38 million
Source: ABS/Dransfield
Gold Coast
          Accommodation 2009
  Avg occupancy fell to 62.8%

  RevPAR fell to $80.58 per night

  Room nights sold fell to 3.16million

Source: ABS/Dransfield
Gross Avg. Annual Income per Hotel Room ($)
                      2008      2009       Change
Gold Coast            $42,985    $40,522      -6%
Cairns & TNQ          $36,137    $28,200      -22%
Brisbane              $55,730    $51,165      -8%
Queensland            $42,572    $39,457      -7%


Hotel Occupancy Rates (%)
                      2006      2007          2008   2009
Gold Coast            70.8      72.9          71.5   69.9
Cairns & TNQ          67.3      64.2          60.9   53.1
Brisbane              81.3      81.5          77.8   75.1
Queensland            69.0      69.3          67.9   64.2

 Source: ABS 8635.0
Change in Gold Coast Hotel Room
 Rates & Occupancy 1999-2009
                                                        occupancy % point change

                                                        room rate % change
20.0



                                                  7.3          8.0
10.0                 6.0    6.0                                       6.0
        2.7                                             5.0
                                          4.0
                                   2.0
                                                  5.0                        0.0    -0.1
 0.0                                                                  3.0
                     1.8                                2.3
                                   -0.2   0.4                  0.3
              -5.0          -0.6
                                                                             -1.9   -2.2

-10.0




-20.0
          1999       2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009




        Source: ABS 8635.0
Gold Coast Accommodation
The Gold Coast reached its cyclical peak
in 2007, ahead of Australia as a whole
A low performing year in 2008, due to
GFC, which avoided oversupply but
constrained short-term growth
Forecasts indicate recovery from 2010
Soul & Hilton will bring 319 rooms to the
market by 2012
Gold Coast Hotels
           2017 Forecast
                     2017 Forecast   Change 2009-17

  Occupancy             67.6%            +4.8%

  RevPAR             $117.49/night    +$34.50/night

  Room nights sold    4.10million       +940,360




Source: Dransfield
Return on Investment
     Business Type (AUST)              ROI 1998-2004
     Tourism Businesses                   11.8% pa
     All Businesses                       14.9%pa


    (AEC Group, National Tourism Investment Strategy, 2006)


The tourism industry has been saved by
technology and innovation
  Low cost airfares and accommodation
  packaging
  Online booking and virtual tours
International Visitor Arrivals to Australia and Shocks to Growth

                      6                                                                                                            30

                                                                                                                                   25
                      5
                                 LHS, Arrivals                                                                  RHS % chg
                                                                                                                                   20
Arrivals (millions)




                      4
                                                                                                       Sydney Olympics             15




                                                                                                                                         % change
                      3                                                                                                            10

                                                                                                                                   5
                      2
                                                                                                                                   0
                      1                                      Asian Financial Crisis                                                -5
                                     Pilots' Strike                                          Sept 11     Bali  SARS
                                                                                                       Bombing           GFC
                      0                                                                                                            -10
                          1981            1985        1989          1993              1997       2001           2005        2009




                      Sources: ABS Overseas Arrivals & Departures (ABS Cat 3401.0)
Domestic Visitors
                               QLD Regions 2000-09
      1,000,000
                                                                                              Brisbane -0.6%pa
           900,000
                                                                                                  Gold Coast 3.3%pa
           800,000

           700,000
                                                                                              TNQ 0.7%pa
Visitors




           600,000

           500,000

           400,000
                                                                                            Sunshine Coast 0.9%pa
           300,000

           200,000
                                                                                              Whitsundays 0.7%pa
           100,000

                0
                      2000        2001        2002        2003     2004      2005   2006   2007     2008     2009

                                                                    Year Ended

                Source: Tourism Research Australia , Tourism QLD
International Visitors QLD
                            Regions 2000-09
           6,000,000

                                                                                                    Brisbane 2.4%pa
           5,000,000
Visitors




           4,000,000                                                                           Gold Coast -0.5%pa


           3,000,000                                                                Sunshine Coast 2.7%pa


           2,000,000                                                                            TNQ -2.0%pa


           1,000,000                                                                           Whitsundays 0.7%pa


                  0
                         2000        2001        2002       2003    2004     2005   2006     2007     2008     2009
                                                                    Year Ended
                 Source: Tourism Research Australia , Tourism QLD
Domestic Visitor Nights
                                             QLD Regions 2000-2009
                                     20000

                                     18000

                                     16000
                                                                                                          Gold Coast 0.7%pa

                                     14000                                                    Brisbane 3.7%pa
    Visitor Nights p.a. * ('000's)




                                     12000

                                     10000                                                          Sunshine Coast 2.7%pa
                                     8000
                                                                                                                  TNQ 0.6%pa
                                     6000

                                     4000
                                                                                                              Whitsundays -0.3%pa
                                     2000

                                         0
                                             98/99




                                                     00/01




                                                                 02/03




                                                                                      04/05




                                                                                                      06/07




                                                                                                                      08/09
                                                                         Year Ended


* Visitor nights include all commercial accommodation premises, not visiting
                      friends or relatives, not children <14
             Source: Tourism Research Australia , Tourism QLD
International Visitor Nights
                                     QLD Regions 2000-2009
                                 18,000,000
                                                                                                                Brisbane 8.8%pa
                                 16,000,000

                                 14,000,000
Visitor Nights p.a. * ('000's)




                                 12,000,000

                                 10,000,000
                                                                                                          Gold Coast 3.3%pa
                                  8,000,000

                                  6,000,000
                                                                                                                TNQ 1.2%pa
                                  4,000,000
                                                                                                   Sunshine Coast 5.3%pa
                                  2,000,000
                                                                                                          Whitsundays 2.7%pa
                                         0
                                              2000   2001   2002   2003    2004     2005   2006   2007   2008   2009


                                                                             Year Ended
      * Visitor nights include all commercial accommodation premises, not visiting
                            friends or relatives, not children <14
                   Source: Tourism Research Australia , Tourism QLD
Accommodation Type Used ‘09
                                Domestic Visitors           International Visitors
Friends & relatives                     26%                         16%
Hotel, motel, resort,                   37%                         49%
motor inn
Rented house/apt/flat                   17%                         12%
Serviced apartment                      10%                          8%
Caravan park, camp                       4%                          3%
ground
Backpackers                              1%                         10%


 Source: NVS,IVS, Tourism QLD, Tourism Research Australia
Gold Coast Airport
           Int’l Arrivals
Net international inbound capacity for 2010 up
four flights per week to total of 44 per week
Additions from Auckland (Pacific Blue) Kuala
Lumpur (Air Asia X)
35% increase on 2009 weekly international
inbound seat capacity to a record high of 10,840
Gold Coast Town Plan - North
Gold Coast Town Plan - South
Gold Coast Town Plan
 The Plan does not have tourism precincts
 This increases the land value to the
 highest use, which is residential
 Only distinct precinct in the Plan is an eco-
 tourism area in East Coomera but it is
 outside the development footprint in the
 SEQ Regional Plan
Conclusions
 Gold Coast accommodation and tourism
 operators need to see increasing tourists,
 both domestic & international
 The industry recovery is expected from 2010
 onwards
 Further Federal & local funding is needed to
 assist in tourism promotion
Also in the Latest Midwood Report

 Population trends & forecasts
 Non-residential building trends
 Dwelling activity (approvals, commencements)
 New apartment sales/stock survey QLD-wide
 Regional tourism and accommodation trends
 House & Unit price movements
 General property & tourism market commentary
Website:
www.midwoodaustralia.com

  Annual Subscription:
     $375 (incl.GST)
  Includes four quarterly
reports and on-line access

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Gold Coast Hotel Stats

  • 1. Gold Coast accommodation and the tourism industry
  • 2. Gold Coast Hotels (excluding motels/serviced apts) Occupancy peaked in 2007 at 72.9% Room nights sold peaked in 2007 at 1.69 million Supply peaked in 2007 at 25,550 rooms Source: ABS/Dransfield
  • 3. Gold Coast Accommodation (hotels/motels/serviced apts) Occupancy peaked in 2007 at 70.7% RevPAR peaked in 2007 at $92.28per night Room nights sold peaked in 2007 at 3.38 million Source: ABS/Dransfield
  • 4. Gold Coast Accommodation 2009 Avg occupancy fell to 62.8% RevPAR fell to $80.58 per night Room nights sold fell to 3.16million Source: ABS/Dransfield
  • 5. Gross Avg. Annual Income per Hotel Room ($) 2008 2009 Change Gold Coast $42,985 $40,522 -6% Cairns & TNQ $36,137 $28,200 -22% Brisbane $55,730 $51,165 -8% Queensland $42,572 $39,457 -7% Hotel Occupancy Rates (%) 2006 2007 2008 2009 Gold Coast 70.8 72.9 71.5 69.9 Cairns & TNQ 67.3 64.2 60.9 53.1 Brisbane 81.3 81.5 77.8 75.1 Queensland 69.0 69.3 67.9 64.2 Source: ABS 8635.0
  • 6. Change in Gold Coast Hotel Room Rates & Occupancy 1999-2009 occupancy % point change room rate % change 20.0 7.3 8.0 10.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 2.7 5.0 4.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 3.0 1.8 2.3 -0.2 0.4 0.3 -5.0 -0.6 -1.9 -2.2 -10.0 -20.0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: ABS 8635.0
  • 7. Gold Coast Accommodation The Gold Coast reached its cyclical peak in 2007, ahead of Australia as a whole A low performing year in 2008, due to GFC, which avoided oversupply but constrained short-term growth Forecasts indicate recovery from 2010 Soul & Hilton will bring 319 rooms to the market by 2012
  • 8. Gold Coast Hotels 2017 Forecast 2017 Forecast Change 2009-17 Occupancy 67.6% +4.8% RevPAR $117.49/night +$34.50/night Room nights sold 4.10million +940,360 Source: Dransfield
  • 9. Return on Investment Business Type (AUST) ROI 1998-2004 Tourism Businesses 11.8% pa All Businesses 14.9%pa (AEC Group, National Tourism Investment Strategy, 2006) The tourism industry has been saved by technology and innovation Low cost airfares and accommodation packaging Online booking and virtual tours
  • 10. International Visitor Arrivals to Australia and Shocks to Growth 6 30 25 5 LHS, Arrivals RHS % chg 20 Arrivals (millions) 4 Sydney Olympics 15 % change 3 10 5 2 0 1 Asian Financial Crisis -5 Pilots' Strike Sept 11 Bali SARS Bombing GFC 0 -10 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 Sources: ABS Overseas Arrivals & Departures (ABS Cat 3401.0)
  • 11. Domestic Visitors QLD Regions 2000-09 1,000,000 Brisbane -0.6%pa 900,000 Gold Coast 3.3%pa 800,000 700,000 TNQ 0.7%pa Visitors 600,000 500,000 400,000 Sunshine Coast 0.9%pa 300,000 200,000 Whitsundays 0.7%pa 100,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year Ended Source: Tourism Research Australia , Tourism QLD
  • 12. International Visitors QLD Regions 2000-09 6,000,000 Brisbane 2.4%pa 5,000,000 Visitors 4,000,000 Gold Coast -0.5%pa 3,000,000 Sunshine Coast 2.7%pa 2,000,000 TNQ -2.0%pa 1,000,000 Whitsundays 0.7%pa 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year Ended Source: Tourism Research Australia , Tourism QLD
  • 13. Domestic Visitor Nights QLD Regions 2000-2009 20000 18000 16000 Gold Coast 0.7%pa 14000 Brisbane 3.7%pa Visitor Nights p.a. * ('000's) 12000 10000 Sunshine Coast 2.7%pa 8000 TNQ 0.6%pa 6000 4000 Whitsundays -0.3%pa 2000 0 98/99 00/01 02/03 04/05 06/07 08/09 Year Ended * Visitor nights include all commercial accommodation premises, not visiting friends or relatives, not children <14 Source: Tourism Research Australia , Tourism QLD
  • 14. International Visitor Nights QLD Regions 2000-2009 18,000,000 Brisbane 8.8%pa 16,000,000 14,000,000 Visitor Nights p.a. * ('000's) 12,000,000 10,000,000 Gold Coast 3.3%pa 8,000,000 6,000,000 TNQ 1.2%pa 4,000,000 Sunshine Coast 5.3%pa 2,000,000 Whitsundays 2.7%pa 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year Ended * Visitor nights include all commercial accommodation premises, not visiting friends or relatives, not children <14 Source: Tourism Research Australia , Tourism QLD
  • 15. Accommodation Type Used ‘09 Domestic Visitors International Visitors Friends & relatives 26% 16% Hotel, motel, resort, 37% 49% motor inn Rented house/apt/flat 17% 12% Serviced apartment 10% 8% Caravan park, camp 4% 3% ground Backpackers 1% 10% Source: NVS,IVS, Tourism QLD, Tourism Research Australia
  • 16. Gold Coast Airport Int’l Arrivals Net international inbound capacity for 2010 up four flights per week to total of 44 per week Additions from Auckland (Pacific Blue) Kuala Lumpur (Air Asia X) 35% increase on 2009 weekly international inbound seat capacity to a record high of 10,840
  • 17. Gold Coast Town Plan - North
  • 18. Gold Coast Town Plan - South
  • 19. Gold Coast Town Plan The Plan does not have tourism precincts This increases the land value to the highest use, which is residential Only distinct precinct in the Plan is an eco- tourism area in East Coomera but it is outside the development footprint in the SEQ Regional Plan
  • 20. Conclusions Gold Coast accommodation and tourism operators need to see increasing tourists, both domestic & international The industry recovery is expected from 2010 onwards Further Federal & local funding is needed to assist in tourism promotion
  • 21. Also in the Latest Midwood Report Population trends & forecasts Non-residential building trends Dwelling activity (approvals, commencements) New apartment sales/stock survey QLD-wide Regional tourism and accommodation trends House & Unit price movements General property & tourism market commentary
  • 22. Website: www.midwoodaustralia.com Annual Subscription: $375 (incl.GST) Includes four quarterly reports and on-line access