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International Journal of Engineering Science Invention
ISSN (Online): 2319 – 6734, ISSN (Print): 2319 – 6726
www.ijesi.org ||Volume 5 Issue 3|| March 2016 || PP.45-61
www.ijesi.org 45 | Page
Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s important results
1
Dr.Earnest Lazarus Piriya kumar, 2
R. Deepa,
1
Associate Professor, Department of Mathematics, Tranquebar Bishop Manickam Lutheran College, Porayar,
India.
2
Assistant Professor, Department of Mathematics, E.G.S. Pillay Engineering College, Nagapattinam,
Tamilnadu, India.
ABSTRACT :In this paper an attempt is made to transform Kolomogrov Maximal inequality, Koronecker
Lemma, Loeve’s Lemma and Kolomogrov’s strong law of large numbers for independent, identically distributive
fuzzy Random variables. The applications of this results is extensive and could produce intensive insights on
Fuzzy Random variables.
Keywords :Fuzzy Random Variables, Fuzzy Real Number, Fuzzy distribution function, Strong law of Large
Numbers.
I. Introduction
The theory of fuzzy random variables and fuzzy stochastic processes has received much attention in
recent years [1-12]. Prompted for studying law of large numbers for fuzzy random variables is both theoretical
since of major concern in fuzzy stochastic theory as in the case of classical probability theory would be the
different limit theorems for sequences of fuzzy random variables and practically since they are applicable to
statistical analysis when samples or prior information are fuzzy. The concept of fuzzy random variables was
introduced by Kwakernack [4] and Puri and Ralesea [6].
In order to make fuzzy random variables applicable to statistical analysis for imprecise data, we need to
come up with weak law of large numbers, strong law of large numbers and Kolomogorov inequalities. In the
present paper we have deduced Kolomogrov maximal inequality, Kronecker’s lemma, and Loeve’s Lemma.
2. Preliminaries
In this section, we describe some basic concepts of fuzzy numbers. Let R denote the real line. A fuzzy
number is a fuzzy set 𝑢 : 𝑅 → [0, 1] with the following properties.
1) 𝑢 is normal, i.e. there exists 𝑥 ∈ 𝑅 such that 𝑢 (𝑥) = 1.
2) 𝑢 is upper semicontinuous.
3) Supp𝑢 = 𝑐𝑙{𝑥 ∈ 𝑅 ∶ 𝑢 𝑥 > 0} is compact.
rights reserved.
4) 𝑢 is a convex fuzzy set, i.e. 𝑢 𝜆𝑥 + 1 − 𝜆 𝑦 ≥ min (𝑢(x)), 𝑢 (y)) for x, y, ∈ R and 𝜆 ∈ [0, 1].
Let F(R) be the family of all fuzzy numbers. For a fuzzy set 𝑢, if we define.
𝑥: 𝑢 𝑥 ≥ ∝ , 0 < ∝ ≤ 1,
𝐿 𝑎 𝑢 =
Supp 𝑢 ∝ = 0
Then it follows that 𝑢 is a fuzzy number if and only if 𝐿1 𝑢 ≠ ∅ and 𝐿 𝑎 𝑢 is a closed bounded interval
for each 𝜆 ∈ [0, 1].
From this characterization of fuzzy numbers, a fuzzy number 𝑢 is a completely determined by the end
points of the intervals 𝐿 𝑎 𝑢 = [𝑢 𝑥
–
,𝑢 𝑥
+
].
3. Fuzzy Random Variables:
Throughout this paper, (Ω, 𝐴, 𝑃) denotes a complete probability space.
Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s…
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If 𝑥 : Ω → 𝐹(𝑅) is a fuzzy number valued function and B is a subset of R, then 𝑋–1
(𝐵) denotes the fuzzy subset
of 𝛺 defined by
𝑋–1
𝐵 𝜔 = Sup 𝑥∈𝐵 𝑋(𝜔)(𝑥)
for every 𝜔 ∈ 𝛺. The function 𝑋 : Ω → 𝐹(𝑅) is called a fuzzy random variable if for every closed subset B or
R, the fuzzy set 𝑋–1
𝐵 is measurable when consider as a function from 𝛺 to [0,1]. If we denote 𝑋(𝜔) =
{ 𝑋𝑥
–
(𝜔), 𝑋𝑥
–1
(𝜔) 0 ≤ ∝ ≤ 1 , then it is a well-known that 𝑋is a fuzzy random variable if and only if for each
∝ ∈ [0, 1]. 𝑋𝑥
–
and 𝑋𝑥
+
are random variable in the usual sense (for details, see Ref.[11]). Hence, if 𝜎 𝑋 is the
smallest 𝜎 − field which makes 𝑋is a consistent with 𝜎({𝑋𝑥
–
,𝑋𝑥
+
|0 ≤ ∝ ≤ 1}). This enables us to define the
concept of independence of fuzzy random variables as in the case of classical random variables.
4. Fuzzy Random Variable and its Distribution Function and Exception
Given a real number, x, we can induce a fuzzy number 𝑢 with membership function 𝜉𝑥 (r) such that 𝜉 𝑥
(x) < 1 for r ≠ x (i.e. the membership function has a unique global maximum at x). We call 𝑢 as a fuzzy real
number induced by the real member 𝑥.
A set of all fuzzy real numbers induced by the real number system the relation ~ on ℱℝ as 𝑥–1
~ 𝑥–2
if
and only if 𝑥–1
and 𝑥–2
are induce same real number x. Then ~ is an equivalence relation, which equivalence
classes [𝑥 ] = {𝑎 | 𝑎~ 𝑥 }. The quotient set ℱℝ/ ~ is the equivalence classes. Then the cardinality of ℱℝ/~ is
equal to the real number system ℝ since the map ℝ → ℱℝ/ ~ by x → [𝑥 ] is Necall ℱℝ/ ~ as the fuzzy real
number system.
Fuzzy real number system (ℱℝ/ ~ )Rconsists of canonical fuzzy real number we call ℱℝ/ ~ )R as the
canonical fuzzy real number system be a measurable space and ℝ, ℬ be a Borel measurable space. ℘(𝐑) (Power
set of R) be a set-valued function. According to is called a fuzzy-valued function if {(x, y) : y∈f(x)} is ℳ x ℬ.
f(x) is called a fuzzy-valued function if f : X → ℱ (the set of all numbers). If 𝑓 is a fuzzy-valued function then
𝑓𝑥 is a set-valued function [0, 1]. 𝑓 is called (fuzzy-valued) measurable if and only if 𝑓𝑥 is (set-urable for all ∝∈
[0,1].
Make fuzzy random variables more tractable mathematically, we strong sense of measurability for
fuzzy-valued functions. 𝑓(x) be a closed-fuzzy-valued function defined on X. From Wu wing two statements are
equivalent.
𝑓∝
𝑈
(x) are (real-valued) measurable for all ∝ ∈ [0, 1].
fuzzy-valued) measurable and one of 𝑓∝
𝐿
𝑥 and 𝑓∝
𝑈
(𝑥) is (real-value) measurable for all ∝∈ [0,1].
A fuzzy random variable called strongly measurable if one of the above two conditions is easy to see
that the strong measurability implies measurability. 𝜇) be a measure space and (ℝ, ℬ) be a Borel measurable
space. ℘(ℝ) be a set-valued function. For K ⊆ R the inverse image of f.
= { x ∈ 𝑋 ∶ 𝑓 𝑥 ⋂ 𝐾 ≠ ∅ }
u) be a complete 𝜎–finite measure space. From Hiai and Umehaki ing two statements are equivalent.
Borel set K ⊆ ℝ, f–1
(K) is measurable (i.e. f–1
(K) ∈ ℳ), y∈ 𝑓 𝑥 is ℳ x ℬ - measurable.
If 𝑥 is a canonical fuzzy real number then 𝑥1
–𝐿
= 𝑥1
𝑈
, Let 𝑋be a fuzzy random variable. 𝑥∝
𝐿
and 𝑥∝
𝑈
are random
variables for all x and 𝑥1
𝑈
. Let F(x) be a continuous distribution function of a random variable X. Let 𝑥∝
–𝐿
and
𝑥∝
𝑈
have the same distribution function F(x) for all ∝∈ [0,1]. For any fuzzy observation 𝑥 of fuzzy random
variable 𝑋 (𝑋 (𝜔) = 𝑥 ), the ∝-level set 𝑥 ∝ is 𝑥 ∝ = [𝑥∝
𝐿
, 𝑥∝
𝑈
]. We can see that 𝑥∝
𝐿
and𝑥∝
𝑈
are the
observations of 𝑥∝
𝐿
and 𝑥∝
𝑈
, respectively. 𝑥∝
𝐿
(𝜔) = 𝑥∝
𝐿
and 𝑥∝
𝑈
(𝜔) = 𝑥∝
𝑈
are continuous with respect to ∝ for
fixed 𝜔. Thus 𝑥∝
𝐿
, 𝑥∝
𝑈
is continuously shrinking with respect to ∝. Since [𝑥∝
𝐿
, 𝑥∝
𝑈
] is the disjoint union of [𝑥∝
𝐿
,
𝑥∝
𝐿
] and (𝑥1
𝐿
, 𝑥∝
𝑈
] (note that 𝑥1
𝐿
= 𝑥1
𝑈
), for any real number x ∈ [𝑥1
𝐿
, 𝑥∝
𝑈
], we have x = 𝑥𝛽
𝐿
or F (𝑥𝛽
𝑈
) with x. If we
construct an interval
Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s…
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A∝ = [min { inf∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥𝛽
𝐿
), inf∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥𝛽
𝐿
) }
max {sup∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥𝛽
𝐿
), sup∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥𝛽
𝐿
)}]
then this interval will contain all of the distributions. (values) associated with each of x ∈ [𝑥∝
𝐿
, 𝑥∝
𝑈
], We denote
𝐹 𝑥 the fuzzy distribution function of fuzzy random variable 𝑋 . Then we define the membership function of
𝐹(𝑥) for any fixed 𝑥by
𝜉 𝐹(𝑥) (r) = sup0≤∝≤1 ∝ | A , (r)
via the form of “Resolution Identity” . we also say that the fuzzy distribution function 𝐹(𝑥) is induced by the
distribution function F(x). Since F(x) is continuous .we can rewrite Aα as
A∝ = [min { inf∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥𝛽
𝐿
), min∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥𝛽
𝐿
) }
max {max∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥𝛽
𝐿
), max∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥 𝛽
𝐿
)}]
In order to discuss the convergence in distribution for fuzzy random variables in Section 4, we need to claim
𝐹(𝑥) is a closed-fuzzy-valued function. First of all, we need the following proposition,
We shall discuss the strong and weak convergence in distribution for fuzzy random variables in this section. We
propose the following definition.
Definition 3.1 Let 𝑋 and {𝑥 𝑛 } be fuzzy random variables defined on the same probability space (Ω 𝒜 𝒫 ).
i) We say that {𝑋 𝑛 } converges in distribution to 𝑋level-vise if (𝑥 𝑛 ) 𝛼
𝐿
and (𝑥 𝑛 ) 𝛼
𝑈
converge in distribution to 𝑋 𝛼
𝐿
and 𝑋 𝛼
𝑈
respectively for all α. Let (𝑥) and 𝐹(𝑥) be the respective fuzzy distribution functions of 𝑋 𝛼
and 𝑋.
We say that {𝑋 𝛼 }converges in distribution to 𝑋 strongly if
lim
𝑛→∝
𝐹 𝑛
𝑥
𝑠
𝐹 𝑥
ii) We say that {𝑋 𝑛 } converges in distribution to 𝑋weakly if
lim
𝑛→∝
𝐹 𝑛
𝑥
𝑤
𝐹 𝑥
From the uniqueness of convergence in distribution for usual random variables.We conclude that the above
three kinds of convergence have the unique limits.
5. MAIN RESULTS
THEOREM 5.1 (KOLMOGOROU CONVERGENCE THEOREM)
Let {Xn} be independent fuzzy random variables with
EXn = 0 and 𝜎𝑛
2
= E𝑋 𝑛
2
<∝, n > 1
If E𝑋 𝑛
2∞
𝑛=1 <∝ then 𝑋 𝑛
∞
𝑛=1 converges a.s.
Proof : For ∈ > 0
∈2
P [| 𝑚
𝑘=𝑛 ∝∈(0,1 ∝[ ( (Xk)∝ – v (𝑋 𝑘 )∝
+
] ≥ ∈ | ]
≤ 𝑚
𝑘=𝑛 E ( ∝∈(0,1] ∝[ ((Xk
2
)∝
–
) v (Xk
2
)∝
+
]
<∈3
if m, n ≥ no
Therefore
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P [| 𝑚
𝑘=𝑛 ∝∈(0,1] α [(Xk )∝
–
– v (𝑋 𝑘)∝
+
] ≥ ∈ ] ≤ ∈
i.e.
P [| ∝∈(0,1] α [(Sm )∝
–
– (𝑆 𝑛–1)∝
–
V (Sm )∝
–
] ≥ ∈ ]
≤ ∈
if m,n ≥ n0
i.e, {Sn} is a calculcy sequence in probability.
@ Sn
𝑃
→ S Say. Hence by Levys Theorem
Sn S a.s.
i.e. ∞
𝑛=1 Xn conveyes a.s.
Definition 5.1:
Two sequences of Fuzzy random variables {Xn}
and {Yn} are said to be tail equivalent if
∞
𝑛=1 P (Xn≠ Yn ) < α
THEOREM 5.2 :
Suppose that {𝑋 𝑛 } 𝑛=1
𝛼
be a sequence of independent fuzzy random variables.
Let
𝑋 𝑛
1
=
𝑋 𝑛 𝑖𝑓 𝑋 𝑛 ≤ 1
0 𝑖𝑓 𝑋 𝑛 > 1
for all n ≥ 1
Then the series 𝑋 𝑛 converges a.s. if the following series converges.
(a) ∞
𝑛=1 P (w : | 𝑋 𝑛 𝑤 / > 1 ) <∞
(b) ∞
𝑛=1 E (𝑋 𝑛
1
) ) converges and
(c) ∞
𝑛=1 𝜎𝑋 𝑛
1
2
<α
Proof
Suppose that the three conditions hold. Because of byKolmogorov Khintchic theorem.
∞
𝑛=1 ∝[((Xn
1
)∝
–
– E(𝑋 𝑛
1
)∝) v ((Xn
1
)∝
+
– E (Xn
1
)∝
+
) ]
Conveys a.s. Then (if) implies
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∞
𝑛=1 ((Xn
1
)∝
–
v (Xn
1
)∝
+
converges a.s.
By (a) and Borel Can telli lemma
P ( | ∝∝∈(0,1] [(Xn )∝
–
v (Xn )∝
+
] > 1 i.o. ) = 0
So | ∝∝∈(0,1] [(Xn )∝
–
v (Xn )∝
+
] | ≤ 1 a.s.
Thus
∞
𝑛=1 ∝∝∈(0,1] [(Xn )∝
–
v (Xn )∝
+
] Converges a.s.
Conversely
if 𝑛 ∝∈(0,1] ∝[(Xn )∝
–
v (Xn )∝
+
]
Converges a.s. then the fuzzy random variables
Xn 0 a.s.
Hence P ( | ∝∈(0,1] ∝ ( Xn ∝
–
v (Xn )∝
+
) > 1 i.o. ) = 0
This implies (a) byBorel Zero one law. Now
{𝑋 𝑛 } 𝑛=1
∞
and {𝑋 𝑛 } 𝑛=1
∞
are tail equivalent sequences
So it is clear that ∞
𝑛=1 ∝∝∈ 0,1 [(Xn
1
)∝
–
v (Xn
1
)∝
+
]
converges a.s. when ∞
𝑛=1 ∝∝∈ 0,1 [(Xn )∝
–
v (Xn )∝
+
]
converges a.s.
Now[ ∝∈(0,1] ∝ [(Xn
1
)∝
–
v (Xn
1
)∝
+
] 𝑛=1
∞
is a sequence
of uniformly bounded indepdent fuzzy random variables
Let 𝑆 𝑛
1
= 𝑛
𝑗=1 ∝∈(0,1] α ((Xj
1
)∝
–
– v (Xj
1
)∝
+
)
Since ∞
𝑗=1 ∝∈(0,1] α [(Xn
1
)∝
–
– (Xn )∝
–
)] converges a.s.
lim 𝑛→∞ 𝑃( Sup 𝑚≥𝑛 | ∝∈(0,1] α [((Sm
1
)∝
–
– (Sn
1
)∝
–
) V ((Sm
1
)∝
+
– (Sm
1
)∝
+
) ≥ ∈] = 0
By the lower bound of Kolmogovovs inequality
P (Sup 𝑚≥𝑛 | ∝∈(0,1] α [((Sm
1
)∝
–
– (Sn
1
)∝
–
) V ((Sm
1
)∝
+
– (Sm )∝
+
) ≥ ∈
≥ 1 –
(2+∈)2
𝜎
Xj
1
2∞
𝑗=1
Now if
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𝜎Xj
2∞
𝑗=1 = ∞, then we have
P (Sup 𝑚≥𝑛 | ∝∈(0,1] α [((Sm
1
)∝
–
– (Sn
1
)∝ )–
V ((Sm
1
)∝
+
– (Sm
1
)∝
+
) ≥ ∈ ) = 1
This contradicts the contention (1)
So 𝜎Xj
2∞
𝑗=1 <∞ proving (c)
The Khintchine – Kolmogoroves theorem implies
1
𝑛 ∝∈(0,1] α ((Xn
1
)∝
–
– E(Xn
1
)∝
–
)) V ((Xn
1
)∝
+
– E(Xn
1
)∝
+
))
converges a.s.
Now Since 𝑋 𝑛
1∞
𝑗=1 converges a.s.
We have (𝑋 𝑛
1∞
𝑛=1 ) convergent proving (b)
THEOREM 5. 3 (KOLMOGOROVS INEQUALITY)
Let X1 X2 . . . . . . Xn . . . . be independent fuzzy random variables and
E(𝑋𝑖
2
)<∞, i ≥ 1. If Sn = 𝑋𝑖
𝑛
𝑖=1 and
∈> 0 then
a) ∈2
P (max1≤𝑘≥𝑛 ∝∈(0,1] α | ((S 𝑘 )∝
–
– E(S 𝑘 )∝
–
) | V | ((S 𝑘 )∝
+
– E(S 𝑘 )∝
+
|) ≥ ∈ ≤ 𝜎𝑘
2∞
𝑘=1
and if moreover
∝∈(0,1] α [ | (X 𝑘 )
–
– (X 𝑘 )+
| ≤ C < ∞ a.s.
then
b) 1–
(2+∈)2
𝜎 𝑘
2𝑛
𝑘=1
≤P (max1≤𝑘≥𝑛 ∝∈(0,1] α (|(S 𝑘 )∝
–
– E(S 𝑘 )∝
–
| V | ((S 𝑘 )∝
+
– E(S 𝑘 )∝
+
|) ≥ ∈
Proof :
We assume EXk =0 , k ≥ 1.
Define a fuzzy random variables + by
+
1𝑠𝑡 𝑘, 𝑛 ≥ 𝑘 ≥ 1
𝑛 + 1 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑤𝑖𝑠𝑒
such that 𝑆𝑘
2
≥ ∈2
if there is such a k.
Then (max 𝑘≤𝑛 ∝∈(0,1] α [(S 𝑘 )∝
–
–V(S 𝑘 )∝
+
] ≥ ∈] = [ t ≤ n ] and [t = k] ∈ −𝐵(x1x2. .xk)
Hence
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[𝑡=𝑘] ∝∈(0,1] α [(S 𝑘 )∝
–
((S 𝑛 )∝
–
– (S 𝑘 )∝
–
) V (S 𝑘 )∝
+
((S 𝑛 )∝
–
– (S 𝑘 )∝
+
)) d P
= E ∝∈(0,1] α [(S 𝑘 )∝
–
𝐼𝑡=𝑘 ((S 𝑛 )∝
–
– (S 𝑘 )∝
–
) V ((S 𝑛 )∝
+
– (S 𝑘 )∝
+
)]
= E [ Sk 𝐼[𝑡=𝑘] E (((S 𝑛 )∝
–
– (S 𝑘 )∝
–
) V ((S 𝑛 )∝
+
– (S 𝑛 )∝
+
)]
= 0
Therefore,
[𝑡=𝑘]
(S 𝑛 )∝
2
d P
= [𝑡=𝑘]
((S 𝑘 )∝
–
+ ((S 𝑛 )∝
–
– (S 𝑘 )∝
–
)2
V ((S 𝑘 )∝
+
+ ((S 𝑛 )∝
+
– (S 𝑘 )∝
+2
) d P
= [𝑡=𝑘]
((S 𝑘 )∝
–2
+ ((S 𝑛 )∝
–
– (S 𝑘 )∝
–
)2
V ((S 𝑘 )∝
+2
+ ((S 𝑛 )∝
+
– (S 𝑛 )∝
+2
)
+2 ((S 𝑛 )∝
–
– (S 𝑘 )∝
–
) (S 𝑘 )∝
–
) V (S 𝑛 )∝
+
– (S 𝑘 )∝
+
– (S 𝑘 )∝
+
) d P
= [𝑡=𝑘]
(S 𝑘 )∝
–2
– (S 𝑘 )∝
+2
) d P
≥∈2
P(t = k) (5.1)
Therefore
∈2
P (t≤n) = ∈2 𝑛
1 P (t = k)
≤ 𝑛
𝑘=1 [𝑡=𝑘]
(S 𝑘
–
)∝
2
V (S 𝑛
+
)∝
2
) d P
= [𝑡≤𝑛]
(S 𝑘
–
)∝
2
V (S 𝑛
+
)∝
2
) d P
= (S 𝑛
–
)∝
2
V (S 𝑛
+
)∝
2
) d P
= E (S 𝑛
2
) ( 5.2)
But
ES 𝑛
2
= 𝑛
𝑘=1 E (X 𝑘
–
)∝
2
V (X 𝑘
+
)∝
2
)
Let X1 X2 . . . . . . Xn . . . . be independents.
𝜎𝑘
2
𝑛
𝑘=1
So from (3) and (1)
∈2
P [max 1≤𝑘≤𝑛 S 𝑘 ≥ ∈ ] ≤ 𝜎𝑘
2𝑛
𝑘=1
Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s…
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To prove the lower bound of Kolmogorovs inequality let fk = I [t>k]. Then fk Sk and Xk+1 are independent
for k = 0, 1, . . . n-1.
Now [t>k] = [t ≤ k]c
∈ B, (x1 . . . xk) since
[t ≤ k] ∈ B, (x1 . . . xk). Therefore
E (fk Sk Xk+1) = E (fk Sk)
E (Xk+1) = 0
Now
= E ((S 𝑘
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑘−1)∝
–
V (S 𝑘
+
)∝
2
+ (f 𝑘−1)∝
+
)
= E ((S 𝑘
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑘−1)∝
–
V (S 𝑘
+
)∝
2
+ (f 𝑘−1
+
)∝
2
)
= E ((S 𝑘−1
–
)∝ (f 𝑘−1
–
)∝ V (S 𝑘–1
+
)∝ + (f 𝑘−1
+
)∝
+ (X 𝑘
–
)∝ (f 𝑘−1
–
)∝ V (X 𝑘
+
)∝ + (f 𝑘−1
+
)∝ )2
= E ((S 𝑘−1
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑘−1
–
)∝ V (S 𝑘–1
+
)∝
2
+ (f 𝑘−1
+
)∝ )
+ E ((X 𝑘
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑘−1
–
)∝ V (X 𝑘
+
)∝
2
+ (f 𝑘−1
+
)∝ )
= E ((S 𝑘−1
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑘−1
–
)∝ V (S 𝑘–1
+
)∝
2
(f 𝑘−1)∝
+
)
+ E ((X 𝑘
–
)∝
2
V (X 𝑘
+
)∝
2
E ((f 𝑘−1
–
)∝ V (f 𝑘−1
+
)∝ )
= E ((S 𝑘−1
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑘−1
–
)∝ V (S 𝑘–1
+
)∝
2
+ (f 𝑘−1
+
)∝ )
+ E ((X 𝑘
–
)∝
2
E (f 𝑘−1
–
)∝ VE ((X 𝑘
+
)∝
2
E(f 𝑘−1
+
)∝ )
= E ((S 𝑘−1
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑘−1
–
)∝ V (S 𝑘–1
+
)∝
2
+ (f 𝑘−1
+
)∝ )
+ E ((X 𝑘
–
)∝
2
V (X 𝑘
+
)∝
2
) P (t > k-1) (5.3)
Again
E ((S 𝑘
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑘−1
–
)∝ V (S 𝑘
+
)∝
2
+ (f 𝑘−1
+
)∝ )
+ E ((S 𝑘
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑘
–
)∝ V (S 𝑘
+
)∝
2
) (f 𝑘
+
)∝ )
+ E ((S 𝑘
–
)∝
2
I [𝑡=𝑘] V (S 𝑘
+
)∝
2
) I [𝑡=𝑘] (5.4)
Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s…
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From (5.3) and (5.4)
E ((S 𝑘–1
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑘−1
–
)∝ V (S 𝑘−1
+
)∝
2
+ (f 𝑘−1
+
)∝ )
+ E ((X 𝑘
–
)∝
2
V (X 𝑘
+
)∝
2
) P (t > k-1)
= E ((S 𝑘
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑘−1
–
)∝ V (S 𝑘
+
)∝
2
) (f 𝑘−1
+
)∝ )
= E ((S 𝑘
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑘
–
)∝ V (S 𝑘
+
)∝
2
) (f 𝑘
+
)∝
+ E ((S 𝑘
–
)∝
2
I [𝑡=𝑘] V (S 𝑘
+
)∝
2
) I [𝑡=𝑘]
Since | (X 𝑘
–
)∝ V (X 𝑘
+
)∝ | ≤ C for all K
and | (X 𝑘
–
)∝ – E (X 𝑘
–
)∝ V (X 𝑘
+
)∝ – E (X 𝑘
+
)∝ | ≤ 2C
E ((S 𝑘–1
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑘−1)∝ V (S 𝑘−1
+
)∝
2
+ (f 𝑘−1)∝ )
+ E ((X 𝑘
–
)∝
2
P (t ≥ k) V (X 𝑘
+
)∝
2
) P (t ≥ k)
≤ E ((S 𝑘
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑘 )∝ V (S 𝑘
+
)∝
2
(f 𝑘
–1
)∝ )
+ (∈ +2C)2
P (t ≥ k) (5.5)
Summing over (6) for k=1 to n and after cancellation we get
𝑛
𝑘=1 E ((X 𝑘
–
)2
V (X 𝑘
+
) 2
) P (t ≥ k)
≤ E ((S 𝑘
–
)∝
2
(f 𝑛
–
)∝ V (S 𝑛
+
)∝
2
) (f 𝑛
+
)∝ )
+ (∈ +2C)2
P (t ≤ n)
Now 𝑆 𝑛
2
𝑓𝑛
2
≤ ∈2
By definition of t
and P(t > n) < P(t ≥ k) if k ≥ n imply
𝑛
𝑘=1 E ((X 𝑘
–
) 𝛼
2
P(t ≥ k) V E ((X 𝑘
+
) 𝛼
2
P(t ≥ n)
≤ ∈2
E ((f 𝑛
–
)∝ V (f 𝑛
+
)∝ )
+ (∈ +2C)2
P (t ≤ n)
Or
𝑛
𝑘=1 E ((X 𝑘
–
) 𝛼
2
V ((X 𝑘
+
) 𝛼
2
P(t > n)
≤ ∈2
P(t > n) + (∈ +2C)2
P (t ≤ n)
≤ (∈ +2C)2
P (t ≤ n) + (∈ +2C)2
P (t > n)
Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s…
www.ijesi.org 54 | Page
= (∈ +2C)2
Hence
1 – P (t ≤ n) ≤ (∈ +2C)2
/ 𝑛
𝑘=1 E ((X 𝑘
–
) 𝛼
2
V ((X 𝑘
+
) 𝛼
2
=
(∈+2C)2
𝜎 𝑘
2𝑛
𝑘=1
implies P (t ≤ n) ≥ 1 – (∈ +2C)2
/ 𝑛
1 𝜎𝑘
2
LEMMA 5.1 : (KRONECKER’S LEMMA)
For sequences {an} and {bn} of fuzzy real numbers and ∞
1 an converges
and bn↑
1
bn
𝑛
𝑘=1 bk ak→ 0 as n → ∞
Proof : Since ∞
1 an converges Sn = 𝑛
1 ak S (say)
1
bn
𝑛
𝑘=1 [(b 𝑘
–
)∝ (a 𝑘
–
)∝ V (b 𝑘
+
)∝ (a 𝑘
+
)∝
=
1
bn
𝑛
𝑘=1 [(b 𝑘
–
)∝ ((S 𝑘
–
)∝ – (S 𝑘−1
–
)∝
– (b 𝑘
+
)∝ ((S 𝑘
+
)∝ – (S 𝑘−1
+
)∝ )]
=
1
bn
( 𝑛
1 (b 𝑘
–
)∝ (S 𝑘
–
)∝ 𝑉(b 𝑘
+
)∝ (S 𝑘
+
)∝
– 𝑛
1 (b 𝑘
–
)∝ (S 𝑘−1
–
)∝ 𝑉(b 𝑘
+
)∝ (S 𝑘−1
+
)∝ )
=
1
bn
( 𝑛
1 (b 𝑘
–
)∝ (S 𝑘
–
)∝ 𝑉(b 𝑘
+
)∝ (S 𝑘
+
)∝
– 𝑛−1
1 (b 𝑘+1
–
)∝ (S 𝑘
–
)∝ 𝑉(b 𝑘+1
+
)∝ (S 𝑘
+
)∝ )
=
1
bn
(((b 𝑛
–
)∝ (S 𝑛
–
)∝ 𝑉(b 𝑛
+
)∝ (S 𝑛
+
)∝
– (𝑛−1
1 (b 𝑘
–
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
–
)∝ (S 𝑘
–
)∝ )
𝑉 ((b 𝑘
+
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
+
)∝ ) (S 𝑘
+
)∝
= (S 𝑛
–
)∝ 𝑉(S 𝑛
+
)∝
1
bn
𝑛−1
1 ((b 𝑘
–
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
–
)∝ ) (S 𝑘
–
)∝ )
𝑉 ((b 𝑘
+
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
+
)∝ ) (S 𝑘
+
)∝
Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s…
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→ S – S = 0
Since =
1
bn
(𝑛−1
1 (b 𝑘
–
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
–
)∝ ((S 𝑘
–
)∝ – (S
–
)∝ )
𝑉 ((b 𝑘
+
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
+
)∝ ) ((S 𝑘
+
)∝ – (S
–
)∝ )
(S
–
)∝
(b 𝑛
–
)∝
(𝑛−1
1 (b 𝑘
–
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
–
)∝ V
(S+
)∝
(b 𝑛
+)∝
𝑛−1
1 (b 𝑘
+
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
+
)∝
=
1
bn
[𝑛−1
1 (b 𝑘
–
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
–
)∝ ](S 𝑘
–
)∝
𝑉
1
(b 𝑛
+)∝
[
𝑛−1
1
(b 𝑘
+
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
+
)∝ ](S 𝑘
+
)∝
Now
(S
–
)∝
(b 𝑛
–
)∝
𝑛−1
1 (b 𝑘
–
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
–
)∝
𝑉
(S+
)∝
(b 𝑛
+)∝
𝑛−1
1 (b 𝑘
+
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
+
)∝
(S
–
)∝
(b 𝑛
–
)∝
((b1
–
)∝ – (b 𝑛
–
)∝ )
𝑉
(S+
)∝
(b 𝑛
+)∝
((b1
+
)∝ – (b 𝑛
+
)∝
→ – ((S
–
)∝ 𝑉 (S+
)∝ )
as bn↑ ∞
and
=
1
(b 𝑛
–
)∝
(𝑛−1
1 (b 𝑘
–
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
–
)∝ )( S 𝑘
–
∝
– (S 𝑘
–
)∝
𝑉
1
(b 𝑛
+)∝
(𝑛−1
1 (b 𝑘
+
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
+
)∝ )((S 𝑘
+
)∝ – (S+
)∝
→ 0 as n → ∞
Since
|
1
(b 𝑛
–
)∝
(𝑛−1
1 (b 𝑘
–
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
–
)∝ )( S 𝑘
–
∝
– (S 𝑘
–
)∝
Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s…
www.ijesi.org 56 | Page
𝑉
1
(b 𝑛
+)∝
(𝑛−1
1 (b 𝑘
+
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
+
)∝ )((S 𝑘
+
)∝ – (S+
)∝ ) |
|
1
(b 𝑛
–
)∝
| | (𝑛0
𝑘=1 (b 𝑘
–
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
–
)∝ ) S 𝑘
–
∝
– (S 𝑘
–
)∝
𝑉 |
1
(b 𝑛
+)∝
| | (𝑛0
𝑘=1 b 𝑘
+
∝ – (b 𝑘+1
+
)∝ )((S 𝑘
+
)∝ – (S+
)∝ ) |
|
1
(b 𝑛
–
)∝
| (𝑛−1
𝑛0+1 (b 𝑘
–
)∝ – (b 𝑘+1
–
)∝ ) ( S 𝑘
–
∝
– (S 𝑘
–
)∝
𝑉 |
1
(b 𝑛
+)∝
| (𝑛−1
𝑛0+1 b 𝑘
+
∝ – (b 𝑘+1
+
)∝ )((S 𝑘
+
)∝ – (S+
)∝ ) |
for n > n0
≤∈ +
(b 𝑛0+1
–
)∝ (b 𝑛
–
)∝
(b 𝑛
–
)∝
V +
(b 𝑛0+1
+
)∝ – (b 𝑛
+)∝
(b 𝑛
+)∝
∈
if n > n0
LEMMA 5.2 : (Loeve)
Let X be a fuzzy random variables and
q(t) = P { | 𝑋∝
–
V 𝑋∝
+
| > t } = 1 – F(t) = F (t)
For every y > 0, x > 0 we have
𝑥 𝑟 ∞
𝑛=1 q (𝑛𝑙/𝑟
x ) ≤ E ( | 𝑋∝
–
| 𝑟
V | 𝑋∝
–
| 𝑟
≤ 𝑋 𝑟
+ V 𝑋 𝑟 ∞
𝑛=1 q (𝑛𝑙/𝑟
x )
Proof :
E (| 𝑋∝
–
| 𝑟
V | 𝑋∝
+
| 𝑟
=
∞
0
+ d P ( | 𝑋∝
–
| V | 𝑋∝
–
| 𝑟
≤ t )
= –
∞
0
+ tr
dq (t)
= – ∞
𝑛=1
𝑛1/𝑟 𝑥
(𝑛−1) 1/𝑟 𝑥)
tr
dq (t) , x > 0
Now –
𝑛
1
𝑟 𝑥
(𝑛−1)
1
𝑟 𝑥
t r
dq (t)
≤nxr
[ q 𝑛 − 1
1
𝑟 𝑥 – q (𝑛
1
𝑟 𝑥)]
Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s…
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and
–
𝑛
1
𝑟 𝑥
(𝑛−1)
1
𝑟 𝑥
t r
dq (t)
≤ (n-1)xr
[ q 𝑛 − 1
1
𝑟 𝑥 – q (𝑛
1
𝑟 𝑥)]
If E (| 𝑋∝
–
| 𝑟
v | 𝑋∝
+
| 𝑟
) = ∞ the proof is obvious.
and if E (| 𝑋∝
–
| 𝑟
v | 𝑋∝
+
| 𝑟
) <∞ then
xr
Nq (𝑁
1
𝑟 𝑥) → 0 as N → ∞
In fact,
∞ > E (| 𝑋∝
–
| 𝑟
v | 𝑋∝
+
| 𝑟
)
≥ E (| 𝑋∝
–
| 𝑟
v | 𝑋∝
+
| 𝑟
) I (| 𝑋∝
–
| v | 𝑋∝
+
| > x N
1
𝑟 ]
= Nxr
P [ | 𝑋∝
–
| 𝑟
v | 𝑋∝
+
| 𝑟
>N
1
𝑛 𝑥 ]
= Nxr
q [ N
1
𝑟 𝑥 ]
If E (| 𝑋∝
–
| 𝑟
v | 𝑋∝
+
| 𝑟
) <∞ by absolute continuity.
of integral Nxr
q [ N
1
𝑟 𝑥 ] → 0 as N → ∞
on the other hand.
E (| 𝑋∝
–
| 𝑟
v | 𝑋∝
+
| 𝑟
) <∞
≥ 𝑛
𝑛=1 (n – 1) xr
[ q (𝑛 − 1)
1
𝑟 𝑥 – q (𝑛
1
𝑟 )𝑥 ]
– 𝑁
𝑛=1 xr
[ q (𝑛)
1
𝑟 𝑥 ] – (N–1)xr
q (𝑛
1
𝑟 )𝑥
Since
Nq (𝑛
1
𝑟 𝑥) → 0 the right hand side of the last inequality tends to
∞
𝑛=1 xr
q (𝑛
1
𝑟 𝑥 )
Now if ∞
1 q (𝑛
1
𝑟 𝑥 )<∞
then nq (𝑛
1
𝑟 𝑥 ) → 0 and
Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s…
www.ijesi.org 58 | Page
E (| 𝑋∝
–
| 𝑟
v | 𝑋∝
+
| 𝑟
)
≤ lim 𝑁→∞
𝑁
𝑛=1 nxv
[ q (𝑛 − 1)
1
𝑟 𝑥 – q (𝑛
1
𝑟 𝑥) ]
≤ lim 𝑁→∞ xv
( 1 + 𝑁−1
1 q (𝑛
1
𝑟 𝑥 ) – Nq (𝑛
1
𝑟 𝑥) )
≤ xv
( 1 + ∞
1 q (𝑛
1
𝑟 𝑥 ))
which completes the proof.
THEOREM 5.4: (KOLMOGOROVS STRONG LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS for independent identicals
distributed r.v.s.)
Let {xn} be a sequence of indendent identically distributed fuzzy random variables then
𝑆 𝑛
𝑛
→ 𝐶 < ∞ a.s.
if and only if E (| (𝑋1)∝
–
v | (𝑋1)∝
–
) <∞
and then C = E (X1)
Proof
For the only if part let An = (| 𝑋 ∝
–
| v | 𝑋 ∝
+
) ≥ n
then ∞
1 ∑ E (| (𝑋1)∝
–
v | (𝑋1)∝
–
+ P ∞
1 𝐴𝑛 (5.7)
Now P(An) = P (| 𝑋 ∝
–
| v | 𝑋 ∝
+
≥ n)
= P (| (𝑋1) ∝
–
v | (𝑋1)∝
+
≥ n)
𝑆 𝑛
𝑛
𝑎.𝑠.
< ∞
then
(𝑋 𝑛 )∝
–
𝑛
V
(𝑋 𝑛 )∝
+
𝑛
=
(𝑆 𝑛 )∝
–
𝑛
V
(𝑆 𝑛 )∝
+
𝑛
–
(𝑛−1)
𝑛
(𝑆 𝑛−1)∝
–
𝑛−1
(𝑆 𝑛–1
)∝
+
𝑛−1
→ 𝐶 – 𝐶 = 0 𝑎. 𝑠.
Hence P ( |
(𝑋1)∝
–
𝑛
| V |
(𝑋1)∝
+
𝑛
>
1
2
i.o. )
By Borel 0 – 1 Law ∞
𝑛=1 P (| (𝑋 𝑛 ) ∝
–
| v | (𝑋 𝑛
+
)∝ ≥
n
2
)
i.e. ∞
𝑛=1 P (| (𝑋1) ∝
–
v (𝑋1 )∝
+
) ≥
n
2
) <∞
Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s…
www.ijesi.org 59 | Page
∞ > 𝑛 P [ |(𝑋1) ∝
–
v (𝑋1 )∝
+
) ≥
n
2
)
≥ 𝑛 P (An)
𝑛 P (An) <∞
So from (1) E (| (𝑋1) ∝
–
v (𝑋1 )∝
+
) ) <∞
Conversely let
E ((𝑋1) ∝
–
v (𝑋1 )∝
+
) <∞
and C = E ((𝑋1) ∝
–
v (𝑋1 )∝
+
)
Define (𝑋 𝑘
–
)∝
∗
V (𝑋 𝑘
+
)∝
∗
= ((𝑋)∝
–
v (𝑋)∝
+
) I [ | 𝑋 𝑘 | ≤ k ] k=1,2,3, . . .
and (𝑆 𝑛 )∝
–∗
V (𝑆 𝑛 )∝
∗
+
= ( 𝑋 ∝
–∗
v 𝑋 ∝
+∗
+ 𝑋2
–
∝
∗
v 𝑋2
–
∝
+∗
+ . . . . 𝑋 𝑛
–
∝
∗
v 𝑋2
+
∝
∗
Then Xk , k=1, 2, . . . . n are independent
and |(𝑋 𝑘 ) ∝
∗
v (𝑋 𝑘 )∝
∗
| ≤ k
Now
∞
𝑘=1 P [ (𝑋 𝑘) ∝
–
v (𝑋 𝑘 )∝
+
≠ (𝑋 𝑘 ) ∝
–∗
v (𝑋 𝑘 )∝
+∗
= ∞
1 P ( |(𝑋 𝑘) ∝
–
v (𝑋 𝑘 )∝
+
| > k)
≤ ∞
1 P (Ak) <∞
@ P [ (𝑋 𝑘 ) ∝
–
v (𝑋 𝑘 )∝
+
≠ (𝑋 𝑘
–
)∝
–∗
v (𝑋 𝑘 )∝
+∗
i.o.
Hence
𝑆 𝑛
𝑛
and
𝑆 𝑛
∗
𝑛
trends to the same limit a.s. if they converge at all in.
(𝑆 𝑛 )∝
–
v (𝑆 𝑛 )∝
+
– (𝑆 𝑛
∗
)∝
–
v (𝑆 𝑛
∗
)∝
+
𝑛
→ 0 𝑎. 𝑠.
𝑎𝑠 𝑛 → ∞
Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s…
www.ijesi.org 60 | Page
So it is enough to prove that
𝑆 𝑛
∗
𝑛
→ E ((𝑋1) ∝
–
v (𝑋1 )∝
+
) <∞
Now 𝑋 𝑛
∗
are independent but may be necessarily be identically distributed, we shall show that
∞
𝑛=1
𝜎2
((𝑋 𝑛 ) ∝
–∗
v (𝑋 𝑛 )∝
+∗ )
𝑛
<∞
and that will imply
𝑆 𝑛
∗
𝑛
→ E (
𝑆 𝑛
∗
𝑛
) converges to zero almost surely.
E ( 𝑋 𝑛 ∝
–∗
v 𝑋 𝑛
+
∝
∗
)
= E ( 𝑋 𝑛 ∝
+
v 𝑋 𝑛 ∝
–
) I [ | 𝑋 𝑛 ∝
–
v 𝑋 𝑛 ∝
+
) ≤ n ]
= E ( 𝑋1 ∝
–
v 𝑋 𝑛 ∝
+
) I [ | 𝑋1 ∝
–
v 𝑋 𝑛 ∝
+
) ≤ n ]
→ E ( 𝑋1 ∝
–
v 𝑋1 ∝
+
) G.S.
Therefore
E (
(𝑆 𝑛 )∝
–∗
V (𝑆 𝑛 )∝
∗
+
𝑛
) → E ( | 𝑋1 ∝
–
v 𝑋1 ∝
+
)
𝜎2∞
1 (
(𝑋 𝑛 )∝
–∗
𝑛
V
(𝑋 𝑛 )∝
+∗
𝑛
)
≤ ∞
1 E (
(𝑋 𝑛
–
)∝
∗2 𝑉 (𝑋 𝑛
+)∝
∗2
𝑛2 )
= ∞
1
1
𝑛2
[| 𝑋1 ∝
–
v 𝑋1 ∝
+
≤𝑛]
((𝑋 𝑛 )∝
–2
𝑉 (𝑋 𝑛 )∝
+2
) dP
= ∞
1
1
𝑛2
𝑛
𝑘=1
[k−1< | 𝑋 𝑛 ∝
–
v 𝑋 𝑛
∝
+
] ≤𝑘
((𝑋 𝑛 )∝
–2
𝑉 (𝑋 𝑛 )∝
+2
) dP
= ∞
1
1
𝑛2
𝑛
𝑘=1
[k−1< | 𝑋1 ∝
–
v 𝑋1 ∝
+
] ≤𝑘
((𝑋1 )∝
–2
𝑉 (𝑋1 )∝
+2
) dP
= ∞
𝑘=1
1
𝑛2
∞
𝑛=𝑘
[k−1< | 𝑋1 ∝
–
v 𝑋1 ∝
+
] ≤𝑘
((𝑋1 )∝
–2
𝑉 (𝑋1 )∝
+2
) dP
≤ 2 ∞
𝑘=1
1
𝑘
k2
P [k − 1 < | 𝑋1 ∝
–
v 𝑋1 ∝
+
] ≤ 𝑘 ]
Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s…
www.ijesi.org 61 | Page
= 2 ∞
𝑘=1 k P [ (k − 1) < | 𝑋1 ∝
–
v 𝑋1 ∝
+
< 𝑘 ]
= 2 ∞
𝑘=1 (k–1)P [ k − 1 < (| 𝑋1 ∝
–
v 𝑋1 ∝
+
≤ 𝑘 ] + 2
≤ 2 ∞
1
[k−1< ( | 𝑋1 ∝
–
v 𝑋1 ∝
+
] ≤𝑘
((𝑋1 )∝
–
𝑉 (𝑋1 )∝
+
) +2
= 2 ( E ( | 𝑋1 ∝
–
v 𝑋1 ∝
+ 1
REFERENCES
[1] A.Colubi, M. Lopez – Diaz, J.S. Domingueez – Mencheru, M.A. Gil, A Generalized strong law of large numbers Pro theory.
Relat. Field 114- (1999) 401-417.
[2] E.P. Klement, M.L. Puri, P.A.Ralesuv, Limit theorems for Fuzzy Random Variables, Proce. Roy. Soc. London Set. A. 407(1986)
171-182.
[3] H. Jnouse, A Strong law of large numbers for fuzzy random sets, Fuzzy sets and Systems 41(1991) 285-291.
[4] H. Kwakernack, Fuzzy random variables – I Definitions and theorems, Inform Sai. 15 (1978) 1-29.
[5] M. Lopez-Diaz, M.Gil, Approximating integrally landed fuzzy random variables in terms of the gerealised Honsdorff Matric.
Inform Sei. 104 (1998) 279-291.
[6] M.L. Puri, D.A. Ralesen, Fuzzy Random variables J. Maths Anas. Appl. 114(1986) 409-422.
[7] M.L. Puri D.A. Rabisen, Fuzzy Random Variables, J.Math Anal. Appl. 114(1986) 409-422.
[8] R. Kroner, on the variance of fuzzy random variables Fuzzy Seb and systems 92 (1997) 83-93.
[9] Y.Feng, Convergence theorems for fuzzy random variables and fuzzy martingales, Fuzzy sets and systems 103 (1999) 435-441.
[10] Y. Feng, Mean-Square integral and differential of Fuzzy stochastic processes, Fuzzy sets and systems 102 (1999) 271-286.
[11] Y. Feng, Decomposition theorems for fuzzy super martingales and sub martingales, Fuzzy sets and systems, 116 (2000) 225-235.
[12] Y. Feng, L.Hu, H. Shu, The variance and covariance of fuzzy random variables and their applications, fuzzy sets and systems
120(2001) 487-497.

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Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s important results

  • 1. International Journal of Engineering Science Invention ISSN (Online): 2319 – 6734, ISSN (Print): 2319 – 6726 www.ijesi.org ||Volume 5 Issue 3|| March 2016 || PP.45-61 www.ijesi.org 45 | Page Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s important results 1 Dr.Earnest Lazarus Piriya kumar, 2 R. Deepa, 1 Associate Professor, Department of Mathematics, Tranquebar Bishop Manickam Lutheran College, Porayar, India. 2 Assistant Professor, Department of Mathematics, E.G.S. Pillay Engineering College, Nagapattinam, Tamilnadu, India. ABSTRACT :In this paper an attempt is made to transform Kolomogrov Maximal inequality, Koronecker Lemma, Loeve’s Lemma and Kolomogrov’s strong law of large numbers for independent, identically distributive fuzzy Random variables. The applications of this results is extensive and could produce intensive insights on Fuzzy Random variables. Keywords :Fuzzy Random Variables, Fuzzy Real Number, Fuzzy distribution function, Strong law of Large Numbers. I. Introduction The theory of fuzzy random variables and fuzzy stochastic processes has received much attention in recent years [1-12]. Prompted for studying law of large numbers for fuzzy random variables is both theoretical since of major concern in fuzzy stochastic theory as in the case of classical probability theory would be the different limit theorems for sequences of fuzzy random variables and practically since they are applicable to statistical analysis when samples or prior information are fuzzy. The concept of fuzzy random variables was introduced by Kwakernack [4] and Puri and Ralesea [6]. In order to make fuzzy random variables applicable to statistical analysis for imprecise data, we need to come up with weak law of large numbers, strong law of large numbers and Kolomogorov inequalities. In the present paper we have deduced Kolomogrov maximal inequality, Kronecker’s lemma, and Loeve’s Lemma. 2. Preliminaries In this section, we describe some basic concepts of fuzzy numbers. Let R denote the real line. A fuzzy number is a fuzzy set 𝑢 : 𝑅 → [0, 1] with the following properties. 1) 𝑢 is normal, i.e. there exists 𝑥 ∈ 𝑅 such that 𝑢 (𝑥) = 1. 2) 𝑢 is upper semicontinuous. 3) Supp𝑢 = 𝑐𝑙{𝑥 ∈ 𝑅 ∶ 𝑢 𝑥 > 0} is compact. rights reserved. 4) 𝑢 is a convex fuzzy set, i.e. 𝑢 𝜆𝑥 + 1 − 𝜆 𝑦 ≥ min (𝑢(x)), 𝑢 (y)) for x, y, ∈ R and 𝜆 ∈ [0, 1]. Let F(R) be the family of all fuzzy numbers. For a fuzzy set 𝑢, if we define. 𝑥: 𝑢 𝑥 ≥ ∝ , 0 < ∝ ≤ 1, 𝐿 𝑎 𝑢 = Supp 𝑢 ∝ = 0 Then it follows that 𝑢 is a fuzzy number if and only if 𝐿1 𝑢 ≠ ∅ and 𝐿 𝑎 𝑢 is a closed bounded interval for each 𝜆 ∈ [0, 1]. From this characterization of fuzzy numbers, a fuzzy number 𝑢 is a completely determined by the end points of the intervals 𝐿 𝑎 𝑢 = [𝑢 𝑥 – ,𝑢 𝑥 + ]. 3. Fuzzy Random Variables: Throughout this paper, (Ω, 𝐴, 𝑃) denotes a complete probability space.
  • 2. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 46 | Page If 𝑥 : Ω → 𝐹(𝑅) is a fuzzy number valued function and B is a subset of R, then 𝑋–1 (𝐵) denotes the fuzzy subset of 𝛺 defined by 𝑋–1 𝐵 𝜔 = Sup 𝑥∈𝐵 𝑋(𝜔)(𝑥) for every 𝜔 ∈ 𝛺. The function 𝑋 : Ω → 𝐹(𝑅) is called a fuzzy random variable if for every closed subset B or R, the fuzzy set 𝑋–1 𝐵 is measurable when consider as a function from 𝛺 to [0,1]. If we denote 𝑋(𝜔) = { 𝑋𝑥 – (𝜔), 𝑋𝑥 –1 (𝜔) 0 ≤ ∝ ≤ 1 , then it is a well-known that 𝑋is a fuzzy random variable if and only if for each ∝ ∈ [0, 1]. 𝑋𝑥 – and 𝑋𝑥 + are random variable in the usual sense (for details, see Ref.[11]). Hence, if 𝜎 𝑋 is the smallest 𝜎 − field which makes 𝑋is a consistent with 𝜎({𝑋𝑥 – ,𝑋𝑥 + |0 ≤ ∝ ≤ 1}). This enables us to define the concept of independence of fuzzy random variables as in the case of classical random variables. 4. Fuzzy Random Variable and its Distribution Function and Exception Given a real number, x, we can induce a fuzzy number 𝑢 with membership function 𝜉𝑥 (r) such that 𝜉 𝑥 (x) < 1 for r ≠ x (i.e. the membership function has a unique global maximum at x). We call 𝑢 as a fuzzy real number induced by the real member 𝑥. A set of all fuzzy real numbers induced by the real number system the relation ~ on ℱℝ as 𝑥–1 ~ 𝑥–2 if and only if 𝑥–1 and 𝑥–2 are induce same real number x. Then ~ is an equivalence relation, which equivalence classes [𝑥 ] = {𝑎 | 𝑎~ 𝑥 }. The quotient set ℱℝ/ ~ is the equivalence classes. Then the cardinality of ℱℝ/~ is equal to the real number system ℝ since the map ℝ → ℱℝ/ ~ by x → [𝑥 ] is Necall ℱℝ/ ~ as the fuzzy real number system. Fuzzy real number system (ℱℝ/ ~ )Rconsists of canonical fuzzy real number we call ℱℝ/ ~ )R as the canonical fuzzy real number system be a measurable space and ℝ, ℬ be a Borel measurable space. ℘(𝐑) (Power set of R) be a set-valued function. According to is called a fuzzy-valued function if {(x, y) : y∈f(x)} is ℳ x ℬ. f(x) is called a fuzzy-valued function if f : X → ℱ (the set of all numbers). If 𝑓 is a fuzzy-valued function then 𝑓𝑥 is a set-valued function [0, 1]. 𝑓 is called (fuzzy-valued) measurable if and only if 𝑓𝑥 is (set-urable for all ∝∈ [0,1]. Make fuzzy random variables more tractable mathematically, we strong sense of measurability for fuzzy-valued functions. 𝑓(x) be a closed-fuzzy-valued function defined on X. From Wu wing two statements are equivalent. 𝑓∝ 𝑈 (x) are (real-valued) measurable for all ∝ ∈ [0, 1]. fuzzy-valued) measurable and one of 𝑓∝ 𝐿 𝑥 and 𝑓∝ 𝑈 (𝑥) is (real-value) measurable for all ∝∈ [0,1]. A fuzzy random variable called strongly measurable if one of the above two conditions is easy to see that the strong measurability implies measurability. 𝜇) be a measure space and (ℝ, ℬ) be a Borel measurable space. ℘(ℝ) be a set-valued function. For K ⊆ R the inverse image of f. = { x ∈ 𝑋 ∶ 𝑓 𝑥 ⋂ 𝐾 ≠ ∅ } u) be a complete 𝜎–finite measure space. From Hiai and Umehaki ing two statements are equivalent. Borel set K ⊆ ℝ, f–1 (K) is measurable (i.e. f–1 (K) ∈ ℳ), y∈ 𝑓 𝑥 is ℳ x ℬ - measurable. If 𝑥 is a canonical fuzzy real number then 𝑥1 –𝐿 = 𝑥1 𝑈 , Let 𝑋be a fuzzy random variable. 𝑥∝ 𝐿 and 𝑥∝ 𝑈 are random variables for all x and 𝑥1 𝑈 . Let F(x) be a continuous distribution function of a random variable X. Let 𝑥∝ –𝐿 and 𝑥∝ 𝑈 have the same distribution function F(x) for all ∝∈ [0,1]. For any fuzzy observation 𝑥 of fuzzy random variable 𝑋 (𝑋 (𝜔) = 𝑥 ), the ∝-level set 𝑥 ∝ is 𝑥 ∝ = [𝑥∝ 𝐿 , 𝑥∝ 𝑈 ]. We can see that 𝑥∝ 𝐿 and𝑥∝ 𝑈 are the observations of 𝑥∝ 𝐿 and 𝑥∝ 𝑈 , respectively. 𝑥∝ 𝐿 (𝜔) = 𝑥∝ 𝐿 and 𝑥∝ 𝑈 (𝜔) = 𝑥∝ 𝑈 are continuous with respect to ∝ for fixed 𝜔. Thus 𝑥∝ 𝐿 , 𝑥∝ 𝑈 is continuously shrinking with respect to ∝. Since [𝑥∝ 𝐿 , 𝑥∝ 𝑈 ] is the disjoint union of [𝑥∝ 𝐿 , 𝑥∝ 𝐿 ] and (𝑥1 𝐿 , 𝑥∝ 𝑈 ] (note that 𝑥1 𝐿 = 𝑥1 𝑈 ), for any real number x ∈ [𝑥1 𝐿 , 𝑥∝ 𝑈 ], we have x = 𝑥𝛽 𝐿 or F (𝑥𝛽 𝑈 ) with x. If we construct an interval
  • 3. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 47 | Page A∝ = [min { inf∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥𝛽 𝐿 ), inf∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥𝛽 𝐿 ) } max {sup∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥𝛽 𝐿 ), sup∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥𝛽 𝐿 )}] then this interval will contain all of the distributions. (values) associated with each of x ∈ [𝑥∝ 𝐿 , 𝑥∝ 𝑈 ], We denote 𝐹 𝑥 the fuzzy distribution function of fuzzy random variable 𝑋 . Then we define the membership function of 𝐹(𝑥) for any fixed 𝑥by 𝜉 𝐹(𝑥) (r) = sup0≤∝≤1 ∝ | A , (r) via the form of “Resolution Identity” . we also say that the fuzzy distribution function 𝐹(𝑥) is induced by the distribution function F(x). Since F(x) is continuous .we can rewrite Aα as A∝ = [min { inf∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥𝛽 𝐿 ), min∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥𝛽 𝐿 ) } max {max∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥𝛽 𝐿 ), max∝≤𝛽≤1F(𝑥 𝛽 𝐿 )}] In order to discuss the convergence in distribution for fuzzy random variables in Section 4, we need to claim 𝐹(𝑥) is a closed-fuzzy-valued function. First of all, we need the following proposition, We shall discuss the strong and weak convergence in distribution for fuzzy random variables in this section. We propose the following definition. Definition 3.1 Let 𝑋 and {𝑥 𝑛 } be fuzzy random variables defined on the same probability space (Ω 𝒜 𝒫 ). i) We say that {𝑋 𝑛 } converges in distribution to 𝑋level-vise if (𝑥 𝑛 ) 𝛼 𝐿 and (𝑥 𝑛 ) 𝛼 𝑈 converge in distribution to 𝑋 𝛼 𝐿 and 𝑋 𝛼 𝑈 respectively for all α. Let (𝑥) and 𝐹(𝑥) be the respective fuzzy distribution functions of 𝑋 𝛼 and 𝑋. We say that {𝑋 𝛼 }converges in distribution to 𝑋 strongly if lim 𝑛→∝ 𝐹 𝑛 𝑥 𝑠 𝐹 𝑥 ii) We say that {𝑋 𝑛 } converges in distribution to 𝑋weakly if lim 𝑛→∝ 𝐹 𝑛 𝑥 𝑤 𝐹 𝑥 From the uniqueness of convergence in distribution for usual random variables.We conclude that the above three kinds of convergence have the unique limits. 5. MAIN RESULTS THEOREM 5.1 (KOLMOGOROU CONVERGENCE THEOREM) Let {Xn} be independent fuzzy random variables with EXn = 0 and 𝜎𝑛 2 = E𝑋 𝑛 2 <∝, n > 1 If E𝑋 𝑛 2∞ 𝑛=1 <∝ then 𝑋 𝑛 ∞ 𝑛=1 converges a.s. Proof : For ∈ > 0 ∈2 P [| 𝑚 𝑘=𝑛 ∝∈(0,1 ∝[ ( (Xk)∝ – v (𝑋 𝑘 )∝ + ] ≥ ∈ | ] ≤ 𝑚 𝑘=𝑛 E ( ∝∈(0,1] ∝[ ((Xk 2 )∝ – ) v (Xk 2 )∝ + ] <∈3 if m, n ≥ no Therefore
  • 4. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 48 | Page P [| 𝑚 𝑘=𝑛 ∝∈(0,1] α [(Xk )∝ – – v (𝑋 𝑘)∝ + ] ≥ ∈ ] ≤ ∈ i.e. P [| ∝∈(0,1] α [(Sm )∝ – – (𝑆 𝑛–1)∝ – V (Sm )∝ – ] ≥ ∈ ] ≤ ∈ if m,n ≥ n0 i.e, {Sn} is a calculcy sequence in probability. @ Sn 𝑃 → S Say. Hence by Levys Theorem Sn S a.s. i.e. ∞ 𝑛=1 Xn conveyes a.s. Definition 5.1: Two sequences of Fuzzy random variables {Xn} and {Yn} are said to be tail equivalent if ∞ 𝑛=1 P (Xn≠ Yn ) < α THEOREM 5.2 : Suppose that {𝑋 𝑛 } 𝑛=1 𝛼 be a sequence of independent fuzzy random variables. Let 𝑋 𝑛 1 = 𝑋 𝑛 𝑖𝑓 𝑋 𝑛 ≤ 1 0 𝑖𝑓 𝑋 𝑛 > 1 for all n ≥ 1 Then the series 𝑋 𝑛 converges a.s. if the following series converges. (a) ∞ 𝑛=1 P (w : | 𝑋 𝑛 𝑤 / > 1 ) <∞ (b) ∞ 𝑛=1 E (𝑋 𝑛 1 ) ) converges and (c) ∞ 𝑛=1 𝜎𝑋 𝑛 1 2 <α Proof Suppose that the three conditions hold. Because of byKolmogorov Khintchic theorem. ∞ 𝑛=1 ∝[((Xn 1 )∝ – – E(𝑋 𝑛 1 )∝) v ((Xn 1 )∝ + – E (Xn 1 )∝ + ) ] Conveys a.s. Then (if) implies
  • 5. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 49 | Page ∞ 𝑛=1 ((Xn 1 )∝ – v (Xn 1 )∝ + converges a.s. By (a) and Borel Can telli lemma P ( | ∝∝∈(0,1] [(Xn )∝ – v (Xn )∝ + ] > 1 i.o. ) = 0 So | ∝∝∈(0,1] [(Xn )∝ – v (Xn )∝ + ] | ≤ 1 a.s. Thus ∞ 𝑛=1 ∝∝∈(0,1] [(Xn )∝ – v (Xn )∝ + ] Converges a.s. Conversely if 𝑛 ∝∈(0,1] ∝[(Xn )∝ – v (Xn )∝ + ] Converges a.s. then the fuzzy random variables Xn 0 a.s. Hence P ( | ∝∈(0,1] ∝ ( Xn ∝ – v (Xn )∝ + ) > 1 i.o. ) = 0 This implies (a) byBorel Zero one law. Now {𝑋 𝑛 } 𝑛=1 ∞ and {𝑋 𝑛 } 𝑛=1 ∞ are tail equivalent sequences So it is clear that ∞ 𝑛=1 ∝∝∈ 0,1 [(Xn 1 )∝ – v (Xn 1 )∝ + ] converges a.s. when ∞ 𝑛=1 ∝∝∈ 0,1 [(Xn )∝ – v (Xn )∝ + ] converges a.s. Now[ ∝∈(0,1] ∝ [(Xn 1 )∝ – v (Xn 1 )∝ + ] 𝑛=1 ∞ is a sequence of uniformly bounded indepdent fuzzy random variables Let 𝑆 𝑛 1 = 𝑛 𝑗=1 ∝∈(0,1] α ((Xj 1 )∝ – – v (Xj 1 )∝ + ) Since ∞ 𝑗=1 ∝∈(0,1] α [(Xn 1 )∝ – – (Xn )∝ – )] converges a.s. lim 𝑛→∞ 𝑃( Sup 𝑚≥𝑛 | ∝∈(0,1] α [((Sm 1 )∝ – – (Sn 1 )∝ – ) V ((Sm 1 )∝ + – (Sm 1 )∝ + ) ≥ ∈] = 0 By the lower bound of Kolmogovovs inequality P (Sup 𝑚≥𝑛 | ∝∈(0,1] α [((Sm 1 )∝ – – (Sn 1 )∝ – ) V ((Sm 1 )∝ + – (Sm )∝ + ) ≥ ∈ ≥ 1 – (2+∈)2 𝜎 Xj 1 2∞ 𝑗=1 Now if
  • 6. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 50 | Page 𝜎Xj 2∞ 𝑗=1 = ∞, then we have P (Sup 𝑚≥𝑛 | ∝∈(0,1] α [((Sm 1 )∝ – – (Sn 1 )∝ )– V ((Sm 1 )∝ + – (Sm 1 )∝ + ) ≥ ∈ ) = 1 This contradicts the contention (1) So 𝜎Xj 2∞ 𝑗=1 <∞ proving (c) The Khintchine – Kolmogoroves theorem implies 1 𝑛 ∝∈(0,1] α ((Xn 1 )∝ – – E(Xn 1 )∝ – )) V ((Xn 1 )∝ + – E(Xn 1 )∝ + )) converges a.s. Now Since 𝑋 𝑛 1∞ 𝑗=1 converges a.s. We have (𝑋 𝑛 1∞ 𝑛=1 ) convergent proving (b) THEOREM 5. 3 (KOLMOGOROVS INEQUALITY) Let X1 X2 . . . . . . Xn . . . . be independent fuzzy random variables and E(𝑋𝑖 2 )<∞, i ≥ 1. If Sn = 𝑋𝑖 𝑛 𝑖=1 and ∈> 0 then a) ∈2 P (max1≤𝑘≥𝑛 ∝∈(0,1] α | ((S 𝑘 )∝ – – E(S 𝑘 )∝ – ) | V | ((S 𝑘 )∝ + – E(S 𝑘 )∝ + |) ≥ ∈ ≤ 𝜎𝑘 2∞ 𝑘=1 and if moreover ∝∈(0,1] α [ | (X 𝑘 ) – – (X 𝑘 )+ | ≤ C < ∞ a.s. then b) 1– (2+∈)2 𝜎 𝑘 2𝑛 𝑘=1 ≤P (max1≤𝑘≥𝑛 ∝∈(0,1] α (|(S 𝑘 )∝ – – E(S 𝑘 )∝ – | V | ((S 𝑘 )∝ + – E(S 𝑘 )∝ + |) ≥ ∈ Proof : We assume EXk =0 , k ≥ 1. Define a fuzzy random variables + by + 1𝑠𝑡 𝑘, 𝑛 ≥ 𝑘 ≥ 1 𝑛 + 1 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑤𝑖𝑠𝑒 such that 𝑆𝑘 2 ≥ ∈2 if there is such a k. Then (max 𝑘≤𝑛 ∝∈(0,1] α [(S 𝑘 )∝ – –V(S 𝑘 )∝ + ] ≥ ∈] = [ t ≤ n ] and [t = k] ∈ −𝐵(x1x2. .xk) Hence
  • 7. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 51 | Page [𝑡=𝑘] ∝∈(0,1] α [(S 𝑘 )∝ – ((S 𝑛 )∝ – – (S 𝑘 )∝ – ) V (S 𝑘 )∝ + ((S 𝑛 )∝ – – (S 𝑘 )∝ + )) d P = E ∝∈(0,1] α [(S 𝑘 )∝ – 𝐼𝑡=𝑘 ((S 𝑛 )∝ – – (S 𝑘 )∝ – ) V ((S 𝑛 )∝ + – (S 𝑘 )∝ + )] = E [ Sk 𝐼[𝑡=𝑘] E (((S 𝑛 )∝ – – (S 𝑘 )∝ – ) V ((S 𝑛 )∝ + – (S 𝑛 )∝ + )] = 0 Therefore, [𝑡=𝑘] (S 𝑛 )∝ 2 d P = [𝑡=𝑘] ((S 𝑘 )∝ – + ((S 𝑛 )∝ – – (S 𝑘 )∝ – )2 V ((S 𝑘 )∝ + + ((S 𝑛 )∝ + – (S 𝑘 )∝ +2 ) d P = [𝑡=𝑘] ((S 𝑘 )∝ –2 + ((S 𝑛 )∝ – – (S 𝑘 )∝ – )2 V ((S 𝑘 )∝ +2 + ((S 𝑛 )∝ + – (S 𝑛 )∝ +2 ) +2 ((S 𝑛 )∝ – – (S 𝑘 )∝ – ) (S 𝑘 )∝ – ) V (S 𝑛 )∝ + – (S 𝑘 )∝ + – (S 𝑘 )∝ + ) d P = [𝑡=𝑘] (S 𝑘 )∝ –2 – (S 𝑘 )∝ +2 ) d P ≥∈2 P(t = k) (5.1) Therefore ∈2 P (t≤n) = ∈2 𝑛 1 P (t = k) ≤ 𝑛 𝑘=1 [𝑡=𝑘] (S 𝑘 – )∝ 2 V (S 𝑛 + )∝ 2 ) d P = [𝑡≤𝑛] (S 𝑘 – )∝ 2 V (S 𝑛 + )∝ 2 ) d P = (S 𝑛 – )∝ 2 V (S 𝑛 + )∝ 2 ) d P = E (S 𝑛 2 ) ( 5.2) But ES 𝑛 2 = 𝑛 𝑘=1 E (X 𝑘 – )∝ 2 V (X 𝑘 + )∝ 2 ) Let X1 X2 . . . . . . Xn . . . . be independents. 𝜎𝑘 2 𝑛 𝑘=1 So from (3) and (1) ∈2 P [max 1≤𝑘≤𝑛 S 𝑘 ≥ ∈ ] ≤ 𝜎𝑘 2𝑛 𝑘=1
  • 8. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 52 | Page To prove the lower bound of Kolmogorovs inequality let fk = I [t>k]. Then fk Sk and Xk+1 are independent for k = 0, 1, . . . n-1. Now [t>k] = [t ≤ k]c ∈ B, (x1 . . . xk) since [t ≤ k] ∈ B, (x1 . . . xk). Therefore E (fk Sk Xk+1) = E (fk Sk) E (Xk+1) = 0 Now = E ((S 𝑘 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑘−1)∝ – V (S 𝑘 + )∝ 2 + (f 𝑘−1)∝ + ) = E ((S 𝑘 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑘−1)∝ – V (S 𝑘 + )∝ 2 + (f 𝑘−1 + )∝ 2 ) = E ((S 𝑘−1 – )∝ (f 𝑘−1 – )∝ V (S 𝑘–1 + )∝ + (f 𝑘−1 + )∝ + (X 𝑘 – )∝ (f 𝑘−1 – )∝ V (X 𝑘 + )∝ + (f 𝑘−1 + )∝ )2 = E ((S 𝑘−1 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑘−1 – )∝ V (S 𝑘–1 + )∝ 2 + (f 𝑘−1 + )∝ ) + E ((X 𝑘 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑘−1 – )∝ V (X 𝑘 + )∝ 2 + (f 𝑘−1 + )∝ ) = E ((S 𝑘−1 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑘−1 – )∝ V (S 𝑘–1 + )∝ 2 (f 𝑘−1)∝ + ) + E ((X 𝑘 – )∝ 2 V (X 𝑘 + )∝ 2 E ((f 𝑘−1 – )∝ V (f 𝑘−1 + )∝ ) = E ((S 𝑘−1 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑘−1 – )∝ V (S 𝑘–1 + )∝ 2 + (f 𝑘−1 + )∝ ) + E ((X 𝑘 – )∝ 2 E (f 𝑘−1 – )∝ VE ((X 𝑘 + )∝ 2 E(f 𝑘−1 + )∝ ) = E ((S 𝑘−1 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑘−1 – )∝ V (S 𝑘–1 + )∝ 2 + (f 𝑘−1 + )∝ ) + E ((X 𝑘 – )∝ 2 V (X 𝑘 + )∝ 2 ) P (t > k-1) (5.3) Again E ((S 𝑘 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑘−1 – )∝ V (S 𝑘 + )∝ 2 + (f 𝑘−1 + )∝ ) + E ((S 𝑘 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑘 – )∝ V (S 𝑘 + )∝ 2 ) (f 𝑘 + )∝ ) + E ((S 𝑘 – )∝ 2 I [𝑡=𝑘] V (S 𝑘 + )∝ 2 ) I [𝑡=𝑘] (5.4)
  • 9. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 53 | Page From (5.3) and (5.4) E ((S 𝑘–1 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑘−1 – )∝ V (S 𝑘−1 + )∝ 2 + (f 𝑘−1 + )∝ ) + E ((X 𝑘 – )∝ 2 V (X 𝑘 + )∝ 2 ) P (t > k-1) = E ((S 𝑘 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑘−1 – )∝ V (S 𝑘 + )∝ 2 ) (f 𝑘−1 + )∝ ) = E ((S 𝑘 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑘 – )∝ V (S 𝑘 + )∝ 2 ) (f 𝑘 + )∝ + E ((S 𝑘 – )∝ 2 I [𝑡=𝑘] V (S 𝑘 + )∝ 2 ) I [𝑡=𝑘] Since | (X 𝑘 – )∝ V (X 𝑘 + )∝ | ≤ C for all K and | (X 𝑘 – )∝ – E (X 𝑘 – )∝ V (X 𝑘 + )∝ – E (X 𝑘 + )∝ | ≤ 2C E ((S 𝑘–1 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑘−1)∝ V (S 𝑘−1 + )∝ 2 + (f 𝑘−1)∝ ) + E ((X 𝑘 – )∝ 2 P (t ≥ k) V (X 𝑘 + )∝ 2 ) P (t ≥ k) ≤ E ((S 𝑘 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑘 )∝ V (S 𝑘 + )∝ 2 (f 𝑘 –1 )∝ ) + (∈ +2C)2 P (t ≥ k) (5.5) Summing over (6) for k=1 to n and after cancellation we get 𝑛 𝑘=1 E ((X 𝑘 – )2 V (X 𝑘 + ) 2 ) P (t ≥ k) ≤ E ((S 𝑘 – )∝ 2 (f 𝑛 – )∝ V (S 𝑛 + )∝ 2 ) (f 𝑛 + )∝ ) + (∈ +2C)2 P (t ≤ n) Now 𝑆 𝑛 2 𝑓𝑛 2 ≤ ∈2 By definition of t and P(t > n) < P(t ≥ k) if k ≥ n imply 𝑛 𝑘=1 E ((X 𝑘 – ) 𝛼 2 P(t ≥ k) V E ((X 𝑘 + ) 𝛼 2 P(t ≥ n) ≤ ∈2 E ((f 𝑛 – )∝ V (f 𝑛 + )∝ ) + (∈ +2C)2 P (t ≤ n) Or 𝑛 𝑘=1 E ((X 𝑘 – ) 𝛼 2 V ((X 𝑘 + ) 𝛼 2 P(t > n) ≤ ∈2 P(t > n) + (∈ +2C)2 P (t ≤ n) ≤ (∈ +2C)2 P (t ≤ n) + (∈ +2C)2 P (t > n)
  • 10. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 54 | Page = (∈ +2C)2 Hence 1 – P (t ≤ n) ≤ (∈ +2C)2 / 𝑛 𝑘=1 E ((X 𝑘 – ) 𝛼 2 V ((X 𝑘 + ) 𝛼 2 = (∈+2C)2 𝜎 𝑘 2𝑛 𝑘=1 implies P (t ≤ n) ≥ 1 – (∈ +2C)2 / 𝑛 1 𝜎𝑘 2 LEMMA 5.1 : (KRONECKER’S LEMMA) For sequences {an} and {bn} of fuzzy real numbers and ∞ 1 an converges and bn↑ 1 bn 𝑛 𝑘=1 bk ak→ 0 as n → ∞ Proof : Since ∞ 1 an converges Sn = 𝑛 1 ak S (say) 1 bn 𝑛 𝑘=1 [(b 𝑘 – )∝ (a 𝑘 – )∝ V (b 𝑘 + )∝ (a 𝑘 + )∝ = 1 bn 𝑛 𝑘=1 [(b 𝑘 – )∝ ((S 𝑘 – )∝ – (S 𝑘−1 – )∝ – (b 𝑘 + )∝ ((S 𝑘 + )∝ – (S 𝑘−1 + )∝ )] = 1 bn ( 𝑛 1 (b 𝑘 – )∝ (S 𝑘 – )∝ 𝑉(b 𝑘 + )∝ (S 𝑘 + )∝ – 𝑛 1 (b 𝑘 – )∝ (S 𝑘−1 – )∝ 𝑉(b 𝑘 + )∝ (S 𝑘−1 + )∝ ) = 1 bn ( 𝑛 1 (b 𝑘 – )∝ (S 𝑘 – )∝ 𝑉(b 𝑘 + )∝ (S 𝑘 + )∝ – 𝑛−1 1 (b 𝑘+1 – )∝ (S 𝑘 – )∝ 𝑉(b 𝑘+1 + )∝ (S 𝑘 + )∝ ) = 1 bn (((b 𝑛 – )∝ (S 𝑛 – )∝ 𝑉(b 𝑛 + )∝ (S 𝑛 + )∝ – (𝑛−1 1 (b 𝑘 – )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 – )∝ (S 𝑘 – )∝ ) 𝑉 ((b 𝑘 + )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 + )∝ ) (S 𝑘 + )∝ = (S 𝑛 – )∝ 𝑉(S 𝑛 + )∝ 1 bn 𝑛−1 1 ((b 𝑘 – )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 – )∝ ) (S 𝑘 – )∝ ) 𝑉 ((b 𝑘 + )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 + )∝ ) (S 𝑘 + )∝
  • 11. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 55 | Page → S – S = 0 Since = 1 bn (𝑛−1 1 (b 𝑘 – )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 – )∝ ((S 𝑘 – )∝ – (S – )∝ ) 𝑉 ((b 𝑘 + )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 + )∝ ) ((S 𝑘 + )∝ – (S – )∝ ) (S – )∝ (b 𝑛 – )∝ (𝑛−1 1 (b 𝑘 – )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 – )∝ V (S+ )∝ (b 𝑛 +)∝ 𝑛−1 1 (b 𝑘 + )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 + )∝ = 1 bn [𝑛−1 1 (b 𝑘 – )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 – )∝ ](S 𝑘 – )∝ 𝑉 1 (b 𝑛 +)∝ [ 𝑛−1 1 (b 𝑘 + )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 + )∝ ](S 𝑘 + )∝ Now (S – )∝ (b 𝑛 – )∝ 𝑛−1 1 (b 𝑘 – )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 – )∝ 𝑉 (S+ )∝ (b 𝑛 +)∝ 𝑛−1 1 (b 𝑘 + )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 + )∝ (S – )∝ (b 𝑛 – )∝ ((b1 – )∝ – (b 𝑛 – )∝ ) 𝑉 (S+ )∝ (b 𝑛 +)∝ ((b1 + )∝ – (b 𝑛 + )∝ → – ((S – )∝ 𝑉 (S+ )∝ ) as bn↑ ∞ and = 1 (b 𝑛 – )∝ (𝑛−1 1 (b 𝑘 – )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 – )∝ )( S 𝑘 – ∝ – (S 𝑘 – )∝ 𝑉 1 (b 𝑛 +)∝ (𝑛−1 1 (b 𝑘 + )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 + )∝ )((S 𝑘 + )∝ – (S+ )∝ → 0 as n → ∞ Since | 1 (b 𝑛 – )∝ (𝑛−1 1 (b 𝑘 – )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 – )∝ )( S 𝑘 – ∝ – (S 𝑘 – )∝
  • 12. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 56 | Page 𝑉 1 (b 𝑛 +)∝ (𝑛−1 1 (b 𝑘 + )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 + )∝ )((S 𝑘 + )∝ – (S+ )∝ ) | | 1 (b 𝑛 – )∝ | | (𝑛0 𝑘=1 (b 𝑘 – )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 – )∝ ) S 𝑘 – ∝ – (S 𝑘 – )∝ 𝑉 | 1 (b 𝑛 +)∝ | | (𝑛0 𝑘=1 b 𝑘 + ∝ – (b 𝑘+1 + )∝ )((S 𝑘 + )∝ – (S+ )∝ ) | | 1 (b 𝑛 – )∝ | (𝑛−1 𝑛0+1 (b 𝑘 – )∝ – (b 𝑘+1 – )∝ ) ( S 𝑘 – ∝ – (S 𝑘 – )∝ 𝑉 | 1 (b 𝑛 +)∝ | (𝑛−1 𝑛0+1 b 𝑘 + ∝ – (b 𝑘+1 + )∝ )((S 𝑘 + )∝ – (S+ )∝ ) | for n > n0 ≤∈ + (b 𝑛0+1 – )∝ (b 𝑛 – )∝ (b 𝑛 – )∝ V + (b 𝑛0+1 + )∝ – (b 𝑛 +)∝ (b 𝑛 +)∝ ∈ if n > n0 LEMMA 5.2 : (Loeve) Let X be a fuzzy random variables and q(t) = P { | 𝑋∝ – V 𝑋∝ + | > t } = 1 – F(t) = F (t) For every y > 0, x > 0 we have 𝑥 𝑟 ∞ 𝑛=1 q (𝑛𝑙/𝑟 x ) ≤ E ( | 𝑋∝ – | 𝑟 V | 𝑋∝ – | 𝑟 ≤ 𝑋 𝑟 + V 𝑋 𝑟 ∞ 𝑛=1 q (𝑛𝑙/𝑟 x ) Proof : E (| 𝑋∝ – | 𝑟 V | 𝑋∝ + | 𝑟 = ∞ 0 + d P ( | 𝑋∝ – | V | 𝑋∝ – | 𝑟 ≤ t ) = – ∞ 0 + tr dq (t) = – ∞ 𝑛=1 𝑛1/𝑟 𝑥 (𝑛−1) 1/𝑟 𝑥) tr dq (t) , x > 0 Now – 𝑛 1 𝑟 𝑥 (𝑛−1) 1 𝑟 𝑥 t r dq (t) ≤nxr [ q 𝑛 − 1 1 𝑟 𝑥 – q (𝑛 1 𝑟 𝑥)]
  • 13. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 57 | Page and – 𝑛 1 𝑟 𝑥 (𝑛−1) 1 𝑟 𝑥 t r dq (t) ≤ (n-1)xr [ q 𝑛 − 1 1 𝑟 𝑥 – q (𝑛 1 𝑟 𝑥)] If E (| 𝑋∝ – | 𝑟 v | 𝑋∝ + | 𝑟 ) = ∞ the proof is obvious. and if E (| 𝑋∝ – | 𝑟 v | 𝑋∝ + | 𝑟 ) <∞ then xr Nq (𝑁 1 𝑟 𝑥) → 0 as N → ∞ In fact, ∞ > E (| 𝑋∝ – | 𝑟 v | 𝑋∝ + | 𝑟 ) ≥ E (| 𝑋∝ – | 𝑟 v | 𝑋∝ + | 𝑟 ) I (| 𝑋∝ – | v | 𝑋∝ + | > x N 1 𝑟 ] = Nxr P [ | 𝑋∝ – | 𝑟 v | 𝑋∝ + | 𝑟 >N 1 𝑛 𝑥 ] = Nxr q [ N 1 𝑟 𝑥 ] If E (| 𝑋∝ – | 𝑟 v | 𝑋∝ + | 𝑟 ) <∞ by absolute continuity. of integral Nxr q [ N 1 𝑟 𝑥 ] → 0 as N → ∞ on the other hand. E (| 𝑋∝ – | 𝑟 v | 𝑋∝ + | 𝑟 ) <∞ ≥ 𝑛 𝑛=1 (n – 1) xr [ q (𝑛 − 1) 1 𝑟 𝑥 – q (𝑛 1 𝑟 )𝑥 ] – 𝑁 𝑛=1 xr [ q (𝑛) 1 𝑟 𝑥 ] – (N–1)xr q (𝑛 1 𝑟 )𝑥 Since Nq (𝑛 1 𝑟 𝑥) → 0 the right hand side of the last inequality tends to ∞ 𝑛=1 xr q (𝑛 1 𝑟 𝑥 ) Now if ∞ 1 q (𝑛 1 𝑟 𝑥 )<∞ then nq (𝑛 1 𝑟 𝑥 ) → 0 and
  • 14. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 58 | Page E (| 𝑋∝ – | 𝑟 v | 𝑋∝ + | 𝑟 ) ≤ lim 𝑁→∞ 𝑁 𝑛=1 nxv [ q (𝑛 − 1) 1 𝑟 𝑥 – q (𝑛 1 𝑟 𝑥) ] ≤ lim 𝑁→∞ xv ( 1 + 𝑁−1 1 q (𝑛 1 𝑟 𝑥 ) – Nq (𝑛 1 𝑟 𝑥) ) ≤ xv ( 1 + ∞ 1 q (𝑛 1 𝑟 𝑥 )) which completes the proof. THEOREM 5.4: (KOLMOGOROVS STRONG LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS for independent identicals distributed r.v.s.) Let {xn} be a sequence of indendent identically distributed fuzzy random variables then 𝑆 𝑛 𝑛 → 𝐶 < ∞ a.s. if and only if E (| (𝑋1)∝ – v | (𝑋1)∝ – ) <∞ and then C = E (X1) Proof For the only if part let An = (| 𝑋 ∝ – | v | 𝑋 ∝ + ) ≥ n then ∞ 1 ∑ E (| (𝑋1)∝ – v | (𝑋1)∝ – + P ∞ 1 𝐴𝑛 (5.7) Now P(An) = P (| 𝑋 ∝ – | v | 𝑋 ∝ + ≥ n) = P (| (𝑋1) ∝ – v | (𝑋1)∝ + ≥ n) 𝑆 𝑛 𝑛 𝑎.𝑠. < ∞ then (𝑋 𝑛 )∝ – 𝑛 V (𝑋 𝑛 )∝ + 𝑛 = (𝑆 𝑛 )∝ – 𝑛 V (𝑆 𝑛 )∝ + 𝑛 – (𝑛−1) 𝑛 (𝑆 𝑛−1)∝ – 𝑛−1 (𝑆 𝑛–1 )∝ + 𝑛−1 → 𝐶 – 𝐶 = 0 𝑎. 𝑠. Hence P ( | (𝑋1)∝ – 𝑛 | V | (𝑋1)∝ + 𝑛 > 1 2 i.o. ) By Borel 0 – 1 Law ∞ 𝑛=1 P (| (𝑋 𝑛 ) ∝ – | v | (𝑋 𝑛 + )∝ ≥ n 2 ) i.e. ∞ 𝑛=1 P (| (𝑋1) ∝ – v (𝑋1 )∝ + ) ≥ n 2 ) <∞
  • 15. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 59 | Page ∞ > 𝑛 P [ |(𝑋1) ∝ – v (𝑋1 )∝ + ) ≥ n 2 ) ≥ 𝑛 P (An) 𝑛 P (An) <∞ So from (1) E (| (𝑋1) ∝ – v (𝑋1 )∝ + ) ) <∞ Conversely let E ((𝑋1) ∝ – v (𝑋1 )∝ + ) <∞ and C = E ((𝑋1) ∝ – v (𝑋1 )∝ + ) Define (𝑋 𝑘 – )∝ ∗ V (𝑋 𝑘 + )∝ ∗ = ((𝑋)∝ – v (𝑋)∝ + ) I [ | 𝑋 𝑘 | ≤ k ] k=1,2,3, . . . and (𝑆 𝑛 )∝ –∗ V (𝑆 𝑛 )∝ ∗ + = ( 𝑋 ∝ –∗ v 𝑋 ∝ +∗ + 𝑋2 – ∝ ∗ v 𝑋2 – ∝ +∗ + . . . . 𝑋 𝑛 – ∝ ∗ v 𝑋2 + ∝ ∗ Then Xk , k=1, 2, . . . . n are independent and |(𝑋 𝑘 ) ∝ ∗ v (𝑋 𝑘 )∝ ∗ | ≤ k Now ∞ 𝑘=1 P [ (𝑋 𝑘) ∝ – v (𝑋 𝑘 )∝ + ≠ (𝑋 𝑘 ) ∝ –∗ v (𝑋 𝑘 )∝ +∗ = ∞ 1 P ( |(𝑋 𝑘) ∝ – v (𝑋 𝑘 )∝ + | > k) ≤ ∞ 1 P (Ak) <∞ @ P [ (𝑋 𝑘 ) ∝ – v (𝑋 𝑘 )∝ + ≠ (𝑋 𝑘 – )∝ –∗ v (𝑋 𝑘 )∝ +∗ i.o. Hence 𝑆 𝑛 𝑛 and 𝑆 𝑛 ∗ 𝑛 trends to the same limit a.s. if they converge at all in. (𝑆 𝑛 )∝ – v (𝑆 𝑛 )∝ + – (𝑆 𝑛 ∗ )∝ – v (𝑆 𝑛 ∗ )∝ + 𝑛 → 0 𝑎. 𝑠. 𝑎𝑠 𝑛 → ∞
  • 16. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 60 | Page So it is enough to prove that 𝑆 𝑛 ∗ 𝑛 → E ((𝑋1) ∝ – v (𝑋1 )∝ + ) <∞ Now 𝑋 𝑛 ∗ are independent but may be necessarily be identically distributed, we shall show that ∞ 𝑛=1 𝜎2 ((𝑋 𝑛 ) ∝ –∗ v (𝑋 𝑛 )∝ +∗ ) 𝑛 <∞ and that will imply 𝑆 𝑛 ∗ 𝑛 → E ( 𝑆 𝑛 ∗ 𝑛 ) converges to zero almost surely. E ( 𝑋 𝑛 ∝ –∗ v 𝑋 𝑛 + ∝ ∗ ) = E ( 𝑋 𝑛 ∝ + v 𝑋 𝑛 ∝ – ) I [ | 𝑋 𝑛 ∝ – v 𝑋 𝑛 ∝ + ) ≤ n ] = E ( 𝑋1 ∝ – v 𝑋 𝑛 ∝ + ) I [ | 𝑋1 ∝ – v 𝑋 𝑛 ∝ + ) ≤ n ] → E ( 𝑋1 ∝ – v 𝑋1 ∝ + ) G.S. Therefore E ( (𝑆 𝑛 )∝ –∗ V (𝑆 𝑛 )∝ ∗ + 𝑛 ) → E ( | 𝑋1 ∝ – v 𝑋1 ∝ + ) 𝜎2∞ 1 ( (𝑋 𝑛 )∝ –∗ 𝑛 V (𝑋 𝑛 )∝ +∗ 𝑛 ) ≤ ∞ 1 E ( (𝑋 𝑛 – )∝ ∗2 𝑉 (𝑋 𝑛 +)∝ ∗2 𝑛2 ) = ∞ 1 1 𝑛2 [| 𝑋1 ∝ – v 𝑋1 ∝ + ≤𝑛] ((𝑋 𝑛 )∝ –2 𝑉 (𝑋 𝑛 )∝ +2 ) dP = ∞ 1 1 𝑛2 𝑛 𝑘=1 [k−1< | 𝑋 𝑛 ∝ – v 𝑋 𝑛 ∝ + ] ≤𝑘 ((𝑋 𝑛 )∝ –2 𝑉 (𝑋 𝑛 )∝ +2 ) dP = ∞ 1 1 𝑛2 𝑛 𝑘=1 [k−1< | 𝑋1 ∝ – v 𝑋1 ∝ + ] ≤𝑘 ((𝑋1 )∝ –2 𝑉 (𝑋1 )∝ +2 ) dP = ∞ 𝑘=1 1 𝑛2 ∞ 𝑛=𝑘 [k−1< | 𝑋1 ∝ – v 𝑋1 ∝ + ] ≤𝑘 ((𝑋1 )∝ –2 𝑉 (𝑋1 )∝ +2 ) dP ≤ 2 ∞ 𝑘=1 1 𝑘 k2 P [k − 1 < | 𝑋1 ∝ – v 𝑋1 ∝ + ] ≤ 𝑘 ]
  • 17. Fuzzy random variables and Kolomogrov’s… www.ijesi.org 61 | Page = 2 ∞ 𝑘=1 k P [ (k − 1) < | 𝑋1 ∝ – v 𝑋1 ∝ + < 𝑘 ] = 2 ∞ 𝑘=1 (k–1)P [ k − 1 < (| 𝑋1 ∝ – v 𝑋1 ∝ + ≤ 𝑘 ] + 2 ≤ 2 ∞ 1 [k−1< ( | 𝑋1 ∝ – v 𝑋1 ∝ + ] ≤𝑘 ((𝑋1 )∝ – 𝑉 (𝑋1 )∝ + ) +2 = 2 ( E ( | 𝑋1 ∝ – v 𝑋1 ∝ + 1 REFERENCES [1] A.Colubi, M. Lopez – Diaz, J.S. Domingueez – Mencheru, M.A. Gil, A Generalized strong law of large numbers Pro theory. Relat. Field 114- (1999) 401-417. [2] E.P. Klement, M.L. Puri, P.A.Ralesuv, Limit theorems for Fuzzy Random Variables, Proce. Roy. Soc. London Set. A. 407(1986) 171-182. [3] H. Jnouse, A Strong law of large numbers for fuzzy random sets, Fuzzy sets and Systems 41(1991) 285-291. [4] H. Kwakernack, Fuzzy random variables – I Definitions and theorems, Inform Sai. 15 (1978) 1-29. [5] M. Lopez-Diaz, M.Gil, Approximating integrally landed fuzzy random variables in terms of the gerealised Honsdorff Matric. Inform Sei. 104 (1998) 279-291. [6] M.L. Puri, D.A. Ralesen, Fuzzy Random variables J. Maths Anas. Appl. 114(1986) 409-422. [7] M.L. Puri D.A. Rabisen, Fuzzy Random Variables, J.Math Anal. Appl. 114(1986) 409-422. [8] R. Kroner, on the variance of fuzzy random variables Fuzzy Seb and systems 92 (1997) 83-93. [9] Y.Feng, Convergence theorems for fuzzy random variables and fuzzy martingales, Fuzzy sets and systems 103 (1999) 435-441. [10] Y. Feng, Mean-Square integral and differential of Fuzzy stochastic processes, Fuzzy sets and systems 102 (1999) 271-286. [11] Y. Feng, Decomposition theorems for fuzzy super martingales and sub martingales, Fuzzy sets and systems, 116 (2000) 225-235. [12] Y. Feng, L.Hu, H. Shu, The variance and covariance of fuzzy random variables and their applications, fuzzy sets and systems 120(2001) 487-497.