Successfully reported this slideshow.
We use your LinkedIn profile and activity data to personalize ads and to show you more relevant ads. You can change your ad preferences anytime.
Possible futures of
open education
Two scenarios for the University of Mary Washington’s OER Summit
-
May 2016
• Monthly
environmental
scan report
• Trends identified,
tested, projected
Open as part of a trends mapOpen as part of a t...
1: Education and its contexts
Changes in international education - macroeconomic
indicators - adjunctification - enrollmen...
2: Technology
3d printing continues to innovate and grow - digitization
shifts from physical media to streaming - device e...
3: Education and technology3: Education and technology
The LMS world - more MOOCs and online learning -
social media in ed...
Trends assessed and trackedTrends assessed and tracked
longitudinallylongitudinally
1. Fall of the Silos
(Previous photo: https://www.flickr.com/photos/cogdog/5645508446/
)
Open…
• Content
• Teaching
• Access
• Source
Social changes
• Rise of the sharing
mindset
• Gig economy: rapid
switching, less
employee loyalty
Good things
• Global conversations increase,
filter bubble pops
• More access, more information
• Lots of creativity
• AIs...
Not so good things
• Industries collapse
• Authorship mysterious
• Some low quality tech
(videoconf.)
• Hard to solve macr...
Good things on campus
• Information prices drop
• Faculty creativity,
flexibility grow
• IT “ “ “
• Academic content
unlea...
Not so good things
• Some higher costs
• More malware + less
privacy
• Increased fallibility of
scholarship
How does this impact campuses?
• Tech challenges
• Outsourcing and offshoring
• PLE beats LMS
• Crowdsourcing faculty work
How does this impact campuses?
• Crowdsourcing faculty work
• Information literacy central
• Students as cocreators and
cr...
• Internet has always been
open
• Web <> money
• Online identity has always
been fictional, playful
2. Closed and proprietary wins
https://www.flickr.com/photos/quinnanya/3334056228/
Closed and proprietary…
• Content
• Teaching
• Access
• Source
Social changes
• Users as accessors,
not owners
• Living with a
permanent record
Good things
• High quality content + software
• Authorship durable
• Low amounts of cybercrime
• “ “ “ abuse
• AI projects...
Good things on campus
• Guaranteed information quality
• Faculty and staff develop long-
term habits and skills
• Scholarl...
Not so good things
• Prices are high
• Remixing is rare
• Class divide steep
• N-S “ “
How else does this impact campuses?
• LMSes anchor campus tech
• People attached to providers
• Libraries are licensors
• ...
• Identify with commercial
providers
• Stable, long-term digital
identity
• See the digital world as a
mall
http://bryanalexander.orghttp://bryanalexander.org
bryan.alexander@gmail.combryan.alexander@gmail.com
http://twitter.com/b...
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in …5
×

Future of open education scenarios

1,679 views

Published on

Two scenarios for possible futures of open education.

Published in: Education
  • Be the first to comment

Future of open education scenarios

  1. 1. Possible futures of open education Two scenarios for the University of Mary Washington’s OER Summit - May 2016
  2. 2. • Monthly environmental scan report • Trends identified, tested, projected Open as part of a trends mapOpen as part of a trends map
  3. 3. 1: Education and its contexts Changes in international education - macroeconomic indicators - adjunctification - enrollment changes - alternative certification - possible intergenerational tension - demographics. Racial inequality in/and education; campuses and sexual assault controversy; athletic budgets doing well; K-12 and higher education; library changes; alternative degrees; shared academic services; remedial classes; challenges to internships; campuses and sustainability; executive compensation controversy. 3
  4. 4. 2: Technology 3d printing continues to innovate and grow - digitization shifts from physical media to streaming - device ecosystem keeps growing - social media - open source - shopping continues to migrate online - copyright battles continue - automation’s promise. Augmented reality’s steady march; Ebooks; digital security threats expanding; the limits of the Web; cloud computing; a shift in Moore’s Law? crowdfunding growing; onshoring hardware production; Office versus Web office; digital video rising; new interfaces; fragmented internet; Internet of things; new forms of creativity. 4
  5. 5. 3: Education and technology3: Education and technology The LMS world - more MOOCs and online learning - social media in education - rise of the net.generation - educational entrepreneurship - open education possibilities - digital humanities develops. Mobile devices in education; gaming in education; big data and data analytics; badges; flipped classroom/blended learning; automation in education; campus digital security threats growing; video and education; crowdfunding in academia; Virtual reality in education; Ebooks in higher education; shared academics; 3d printing across the curriculum; crowdsourcing in academia; faculty criticizing deployment of technology; maker movement. 5
  6. 6. Trends assessed and trackedTrends assessed and tracked longitudinallylongitudinally
  7. 7. 1. Fall of the Silos (Previous photo: https://www.flickr.com/photos/cogdog/5645508446/ )
  8. 8. Open… • Content • Teaching • Access • Source
  9. 9. Social changes • Rise of the sharing mindset • Gig economy: rapid switching, less employee loyalty
  10. 10. Good things • Global conversations increase, filter bubble pops • More access, more information • Lots of creativity • AIs grow based on open content • Content crosses class divides
  11. 11. Not so good things • Industries collapse • Authorship mysterious • Some low quality tech (videoconf.) • Hard to solve macro scholarly problems
  12. 12. Good things on campus • Information prices drop • Faculty creativity, flexibility grow • IT “ “ “ • Academic content unleashed on the world
  13. 13. Not so good things • Some higher costs • More malware + less privacy • Increased fallibility of scholarship
  14. 14. How does this impact campuses? • Tech challenges • Outsourcing and offshoring • PLE beats LMS • Crowdsourcing faculty work
  15. 15. How does this impact campuses? • Crowdsourcing faculty work • Information literacy central • Students as cocreators and creators
  16. 16. • Internet has always been open • Web <> money • Online identity has always been fictional, playful
  17. 17. 2. Closed and proprietary wins https://www.flickr.com/photos/quinnanya/3334056228/
  18. 18. Closed and proprietary… • Content • Teaching • Access • Source
  19. 19. Social changes • Users as accessors, not owners • Living with a permanent record
  20. 20. Good things • High quality content + software • Authorship durable • Low amounts of cybercrime • “ “ “ abuse • AI projects partner with content providers
  21. 21. Good things on campus • Guaranteed information quality • Faculty and staff develop long- term habits and skills • Scholarly record durable (ORCID) • Major movements to improve scholarship, solve science problems
  22. 22. Not so good things • Prices are high • Remixing is rare • Class divide steep • N-S “ “
  23. 23. How else does this impact campuses? • LMSes anchor campus tech • People attached to providers • Libraries are licensors • Students as consumers on campus • Institutional divide widens
  24. 24. • Identify with commercial providers • Stable, long-term digital identity • See the digital world as a mall
  25. 25. http://bryanalexander.orghttp://bryanalexander.org bryan.alexander@gmail.combryan.alexander@gmail.com http://twitter.com/bryanalexanderhttp://twitter.com/bryanalexander

×