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KAIST Research Internship
Complex System and Statistical
Physics Lab.
Ridho M. Akbar
Final-Term Report
Prof. Hawoong Jeong
Byung Hwee Lee
Dr. Daniel Kim Hyungjoon Soh Hyewon Kim
Kihong Chung Jinhyuk Yun Sangyun Lee
“Spatial Analysis of
Climate Data from
Network Perspective”
Background
Monitoring
global
climate is a
challenging
work
We cannot
measure
everything in
everywhere
We cannot
measure
everything
in every
time
Accuracy
has always
been the
issue
It is
expensive
yet
important
Climate Indices
Climate time series records in certain places that
represent global climate state
Are those enough?
Places Climate Feature
Pacific Ocean • Surface Air Temperature
• Water Precipitation
• Sea Level Pressure
• Humidity
NAO (North Atlantic
Oscillation) - Atlantic
• Surface Air Temperature
• Sea Level Pressure
Greenland, Antarctic • Water precipitation
• Sea Level Pressure
• Sea Water SalinityTaken from NOAA Climate Indices,
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/climateindices/list/
Data Source (NCEP/NCAR
Reanalysis Project)
Temporal Coverage
 4-times daily, daily, and monthly
values for 1948/01/01 to
2015/09/30
Spatial Coverage
 2.5 deg x 2.5 deg latitude
longitude global grid (143 x 73)
 90N – 90S, 0E – 357.5E
 1.0 deg ~ 100km
Data Features
Air temperature
Water precipitation
Sea level pressure
Relative Humidity
Plot example of Surface Air Temperature Data (averaged from
1981 – 2010)
Data-Preprocessing
1. Normalizing the data (𝝁 = 𝟎, 𝝈 𝟐
= 𝟏)
𝒂 𝒎,𝒚
∗
=
𝒂 𝒎,𝒚 − 𝝁 𝒎
𝝈 𝒎
𝝁 𝒎 =
𝟏
𝒀
𝒚=𝟏𝟗𝟒𝟖
𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟒
𝒂 𝒎,𝒚 , 𝝈 𝒎
𝟐
=
𝟏
𝒀 − 𝟏
𝒚=𝟏𝟗𝟒𝟖
𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟒
𝒂 𝒎,𝒚 − 𝝁 𝒎
𝟐
- Karsten Steinhaeuser et.al (2011)-
Removing
autocorrelation
𝒎 = 𝐦𝐨𝐧𝐭𝒉
𝒚 = 𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫
𝝁 = 𝐦𝐞𝐚𝐧
𝝈 = 𝐬𝐭𝐝. 𝐝𝐞𝐯𝐢𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧
Pre-processing Result (south pole data example)
Raw data After Normalization
Constructing the network
Pearson Correlation
Coefficient
Month Temp
Jan-1948 X1
Feb-1948 X2
Mar-1948 X3
…. ….
…. ….
…. ….
…. ….
Dec-2014 X803
Month Temp
Jan-1948 Y1
Feb-1948 Y2
Mar-1948 Y3
…. ….
…. ….
…. ….
…. ….
Dec-2014 Y803
- Karsten Steinhaeuser et.al (2011)-
Weighted
Network
The Network
Number of nodes = 1032
Number of links = 1032*1031/2 = 531996
Distance between two nodes = 7.5 degree ~ 700 – 900 km
RESULT
Length-Weight Cross-Plot
Y-axis → Weight of the link = Pearson Correlation
Coefficient
X-axis → Length of the link = distance between two
points connected by the link (Haversin Formula)
hsin
𝑑
𝑟
= ℎ𝑠𝑖𝑛 ∆𝜙 + cos 𝜙1 cos(𝜙2) hsin(∆𝜆)
ℎ𝑠𝑖𝑛 𝜃 =
1 − cos 𝜃
2
Threshold
limit = 0.8
Threshold
limit = 0.6
Threshold
limit = 0.3
Threshold
limit = 0.5
“High threshold limit means high global effect and lower threshold limit means
lower global effect”
Giant Component Size
Measuring the number of nodes that connected to the giant cluster if we remove the
link with weight lower than a threshold value.
Threshold = 0.2
Coverage = 1.0
Threshold = 0.6
Coverage = 0.9
Threshold = 0.9
Coverage = 0.02
Example: Temperature Network
Climate Indices We Have Now is Not Enough
Earth circumference is about 40.075km
Earth Surface Area is about 510 𝐤𝐦 𝟐
Climate is very complex system
“High strength region means highly affects the climate system and lower strength region
means lower effect to climate system”
Node Strength Mapping
Simply compute total weight of links that connected to a node
0.1
0.2
0.7
0.3
0.4
Example
The strength of this yellow node is;
𝟎. 𝟏 + 𝟎. 𝟒 + 𝟎. 𝟑 + 𝟎. 𝟕 + 𝟎. 𝟐 = 𝟏. 𝟕
Places Climate Feature
Caribbean Sea • Surface Air Temperature
• Sea Level Pressure
• Precipitation Water
India Ocean • Surface Air Temperature
• Precipitation water
South Atlantic • Surface Air Temperature
• Sea Level Pressure
• Relative Humidity
North Atlantic • Relative Humidity
Central-South
Africa
• Precipitation Water
Places Climate Feature
West coast of
North America
• Surface Air Temperature
• Precipitation water
Brazil • Precipitation water
Southern Ocean • Precipitation water
• Sea Level Pressure
East Asia Sea • Precipitation water
• Sea Level Pressure
Indo-Australia • Sea Level Pressure
• Precipitation Water
POSSIBILITIES OF PLACES
FOR CLIMATE INDICES CADIDATES
Final Report

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Final Report

  • 1. KAIST Research Internship Complex System and Statistical Physics Lab. Ridho M. Akbar Final-Term Report
  • 2. Prof. Hawoong Jeong Byung Hwee Lee Dr. Daniel Kim Hyungjoon Soh Hyewon Kim Kihong Chung Jinhyuk Yun Sangyun Lee
  • 3. “Spatial Analysis of Climate Data from Network Perspective”
  • 4. Background Monitoring global climate is a challenging work We cannot measure everything in everywhere We cannot measure everything in every time Accuracy has always been the issue It is expensive yet important
  • 5. Climate Indices Climate time series records in certain places that represent global climate state Are those enough? Places Climate Feature Pacific Ocean • Surface Air Temperature • Water Precipitation • Sea Level Pressure • Humidity NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) - Atlantic • Surface Air Temperature • Sea Level Pressure Greenland, Antarctic • Water precipitation • Sea Level Pressure • Sea Water SalinityTaken from NOAA Climate Indices, http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/climateindices/list/
  • 6. Data Source (NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Project) Temporal Coverage  4-times daily, daily, and monthly values for 1948/01/01 to 2015/09/30 Spatial Coverage  2.5 deg x 2.5 deg latitude longitude global grid (143 x 73)  90N – 90S, 0E – 357.5E  1.0 deg ~ 100km Data Features Air temperature Water precipitation Sea level pressure Relative Humidity Plot example of Surface Air Temperature Data (averaged from 1981 – 2010)
  • 7. Data-Preprocessing 1. Normalizing the data (𝝁 = 𝟎, 𝝈 𝟐 = 𝟏) 𝒂 𝒎,𝒚 ∗ = 𝒂 𝒎,𝒚 − 𝝁 𝒎 𝝈 𝒎 𝝁 𝒎 = 𝟏 𝒀 𝒚=𝟏𝟗𝟒𝟖 𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟒 𝒂 𝒎,𝒚 , 𝝈 𝒎 𝟐 = 𝟏 𝒀 − 𝟏 𝒚=𝟏𝟗𝟒𝟖 𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟒 𝒂 𝒎,𝒚 − 𝝁 𝒎 𝟐 - Karsten Steinhaeuser et.al (2011)- Removing autocorrelation 𝒎 = 𝐦𝐨𝐧𝐭𝒉 𝒚 = 𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝝁 = 𝐦𝐞𝐚𝐧 𝝈 = 𝐬𝐭𝐝. 𝐝𝐞𝐯𝐢𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧
  • 8. Pre-processing Result (south pole data example) Raw data After Normalization
  • 9. Constructing the network Pearson Correlation Coefficient Month Temp Jan-1948 X1 Feb-1948 X2 Mar-1948 X3 …. …. …. …. …. …. …. …. Dec-2014 X803 Month Temp Jan-1948 Y1 Feb-1948 Y2 Mar-1948 Y3 …. …. …. …. …. …. …. …. Dec-2014 Y803 - Karsten Steinhaeuser et.al (2011)- Weighted Network
  • 10. The Network Number of nodes = 1032 Number of links = 1032*1031/2 = 531996 Distance between two nodes = 7.5 degree ~ 700 – 900 km
  • 12. Length-Weight Cross-Plot Y-axis → Weight of the link = Pearson Correlation Coefficient X-axis → Length of the link = distance between two points connected by the link (Haversin Formula) hsin 𝑑 𝑟 = ℎ𝑠𝑖𝑛 ∆𝜙 + cos 𝜙1 cos(𝜙2) hsin(∆𝜆) ℎ𝑠𝑖𝑛 𝜃 = 1 − cos 𝜃 2
  • 13. Threshold limit = 0.8 Threshold limit = 0.6 Threshold limit = 0.3 Threshold limit = 0.5 “High threshold limit means high global effect and lower threshold limit means lower global effect” Giant Component Size Measuring the number of nodes that connected to the giant cluster if we remove the link with weight lower than a threshold value. Threshold = 0.2 Coverage = 1.0 Threshold = 0.6 Coverage = 0.9 Threshold = 0.9 Coverage = 0.02 Example: Temperature Network
  • 14. Climate Indices We Have Now is Not Enough Earth circumference is about 40.075km Earth Surface Area is about 510 𝐤𝐦 𝟐 Climate is very complex system
  • 15. “High strength region means highly affects the climate system and lower strength region means lower effect to climate system” Node Strength Mapping Simply compute total weight of links that connected to a node 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.4 Example The strength of this yellow node is; 𝟎. 𝟏 + 𝟎. 𝟒 + 𝟎. 𝟑 + 𝟎. 𝟕 + 𝟎. 𝟐 = 𝟏. 𝟕
  • 16. Places Climate Feature Caribbean Sea • Surface Air Temperature • Sea Level Pressure • Precipitation Water India Ocean • Surface Air Temperature • Precipitation water South Atlantic • Surface Air Temperature • Sea Level Pressure • Relative Humidity North Atlantic • Relative Humidity Central-South Africa • Precipitation Water Places Climate Feature West coast of North America • Surface Air Temperature • Precipitation water Brazil • Precipitation water Southern Ocean • Precipitation water • Sea Level Pressure East Asia Sea • Precipitation water • Sea Level Pressure Indo-Australia • Sea Level Pressure • Precipitation Water POSSIBILITIES OF PLACES FOR CLIMATE INDICES CADIDATES