The document discusses global population trends and issues. It notes that the world population is currently around 7.2 billion and is expected to reach 8.1 billion by 2025. Most growth is projected in developing regions, especially Africa. Population growth can have both positive and negative economic and environmental impacts. Factors like fertility rates, mortality rates, and migration influence population trends in different parts of the world. International agreements have aimed to support greater access to family planning worldwide.

1. Examination Global Population Issue
Examination of a Global Population IssueThe world is inhabited by 7.2 billion people. The
population is expected to reach 8.1 billion in 2025. Most growth is expected in the
developing world especially Africa. Indian’ s population will surpass China in 2018 and
become the largest country by population. There will be 8.2 billion people in developing
countries, but currently it stands at 5.9 billion. It is believed that by 2050, Africa’ s
population will double and reach 2.4 billion people. The population of other parts of the
world is projected to grow by only 10 % with Europe’ s population declining by 14 percent
in 2100. Recently countries average family size had reduced. Countries can be classified in
terms of their fertility rates. In Low-fertility nations, Women have less than 2.1 average
numbers of children. They include all European except Iceland, 18 Asian countries, 17
American countries and 2 African countries. The highest low fertility nations are the United
States, Brazil, Japan, Vietnam, India and the Russian Federation. In intermediate fertility,
women have an average of 2.1 to 5 children. They are mainly in India, Bangladesh,
Indonesia, Mexico, the Philippines and Pakistan. The other 9 % of world population
comprises high fertility countries where the average woman has 5 or more children. 29
countries are in Africa, Afghanistan and Timor-Leste. Despite anticipated reduction in
Africa’ s fertility rates, its population will be increasing (Population Reference Bureau,
2013). The factors which determine population trends will be discussed. Both positive and
negative impacts of population growth will be evaluated. Agreement, treaties and
agreement concerning Family planning will also be discussed.Determinant factors
influencing PopulationFertility is a main demographic determinant. Fertility is the expected
number of births a woman gives in a particular society during her childbearing period. It
depends on woman’ s fecundity. Fecundity refers to the physiological capacity to conceive
and support children. Health, cultural, economic and social factors determine reproductive
adoption in a given country. The most influencing element is relationship status of women.
Married women or those in relationship have a higher chance of getting pregnant. Use of
contraceptives and occurrence of induced abortion also affect fertility rates. Fertility rates
in developing countries are higher than in developed countries. More women from
developed countries work and are inclined to marry late, (Carr, Pan & Bilsborrow, 2006).
They also use abortion and contraceptives to delay childbearing. However, fertility levels
have fallen since 1950s in nearly all nations except in Western and Central Africa. Ethnic
and racial minorities usually have higher rates as compared to the majority. Low income
families with low education normally have more children as compared with well-educated

2. or affluent families. Rural families always have many children as compared to urban
dwellers. In 2006, 21 was the average birthrate per 1000 people worldwide. Western and
Northern Europe had 9 or less while 50 or more in West African countries, increasing
(Population Reference Bureau, 2013).In some countries, for example Vietnam and China,
the government intensified family control. In some countries, socio-economic situation
contributed to lower birthrates. Income level, delaying marriages, rising health care’ s cost
and education are contributing in the socio-economic scenario, (Westoff, 2006). Female
education is strongly reducing fertility rates because most of the educated women tend to
marry late. Education reduces fertility rates. The rising middle class in developing countries
in Asia like Vietnam, China and Vietnam have seen birth rates drastically reducing (Trang &
Hieu, 2011).Mortality affects population trends. Age structure of the population influences
death rates. Elderly, Infants and young children have higher death rates. Societies with this
group have a higher probability of higher deaths per 1000 people. Developed countries
usually have older people because of good medical services. Demographers determine life
expectancy to assess life span in a given society. Life span is increasing around the world.
However, a big gap between developed and developing countries exists. In 2006, some
African countries had 30 s while 80 in Australia, United States, Some European Nations and
Japan, (Seitz & Hite, 2012).New health’ s threats are emerging globally. HIV/AIDS
pandemic, tuberculosis and malaria which are drug resistant and avian flu have an impact in
many areas. Exposure to industrial pollutants in developing countries is contributing to
lower life span. A good sewage system can enhance public health significantly. A health
system that can identify famines and disease outbreaks is crucial. Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention (CDC) launched an immediate response to acute respiratory
syndrome (SARS) which could have been an international pandemic (Anup,
2002).Migration drives population trends. Migration’ s prediction is difficult as compared
to mortality or fertility. For example refugees who are fleeing a sudden war. Immigration
often strains host country’ s social amenities and change region’ s ethnicity. On the good
side, it provides both skilled and unskilled labor. Immigration leads to brain drain.
Motivated and educated sections of the population migrate in search of new opportunities.
The growing of metropolitan areas and large cities has encouraged rural-urban migration.
Cities with 10 million or more inhabitants are called mega-cities. 426 million people lived in
the first 30 megacities compared to 117 million in 1950. In 1950, 19 of the first 30 cities
were located in the developed countries. However, that number had reduced to 8 in 2011.
Delhi was not in the first 30 in 1950 but it is now second to Tokyo. This phenomenal growth
is caused by influx of migrants to cities seeking for better life (United Nations, 2008).The
Right to Family PlanningIn 1994, the international Community at the International
Conference for Population (ICPD) resolved that family planning is to be avail to anyone who
needs it. Governments were also required to provide conditions that support family
planning. ICPD Program of Action has encouraged people to exercise their reproductive
rights. Several conventions, agreements and treaties regarding reproductive rights have
being signed. In 1948, Universal Declaration of Human Rights inspired customary law
internationally. In 1968, Tehran Conference on Human Rights declared couples’ or
individuals right to family planning. In 1995, Beijing Declaration and Platform for Action

3. reiterated ICPD program. In 2001, the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) created a
target to achieve reproductive health’ s access by 2015. World Health’ s organization
reproductive health strategy was signed in 2004 during 57TH Health Assembly. In 2011,
The Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women required all countries
to enable women access maternal services. ICPD have transformed the perception of
reproductive and sexual health. While progresses have been achieved, there is pending
work to be done to achieve ICPD’ s vision. International organizations, donor and
developing countries’ governments will have to increase funding to realize the universal
family planning access, (Westoff, 2006).Effects of Population GrowthPositive
EffectsPopulation growth can help a country’ s economy move from being ineffective into
an economy of scale. Economies of scale are the advantages that a country gets as a result of
a large workforce. Output increase per labor’ s unit increases the productivity of a nation.
Rapid population increases population growth of a nation which constitutes both labor and
market. There will be a readily available skilled and unskilled labor. A large workforce will
be cheaper thus contributing to cheaper production costs of various services and goods,
(Bremner, Davis, & Carr, 2012).A rapid population growth affects transportation and
communication positively. A well connected transport system will reduce both travel time
and transportation cost. As the population growth, its density also increases. This will likely
pressurize the government to invest more in the transport infrastructure sector such as
roads, highways and railway system. In 1985, China’ s population density was 110 people
per km2 and railway system was 5200 km. In 2010, it was 9100 km. This indicated a 75
percent increase and its population density was 141 people per km2. This is a 28 percent
increment. Good transport system stimulates economic growth (Trang & Hieu,
2011).Technological growth is motivated by population growth. This argument is based on
Simon and Boserup theories. Boserup claimed that when the population is faced with a
critical event as food’ s shortage, people will find a solution by enlarging workforce by use
of new methods or machines. Simon showed in Simon-Steinmann model that high
populations have a high technological growth level that leads to increased capita income,
(Anup, 2002). A country with high population growth will automatically have high school
going population. The government will be pressurized to inject more funding in the public
school system. This pressure reflects the nation’ s education level. Eventually this
investment will have positive impacts in the future. Educational results in human capital
training. This capital comprises of a superior stock of knowledge, competence, personalities
and ability to generate economic value. Human capital as a producing factor in the
manufacturing processes same as other inputs like machinery. Skilled human labor can
contribute to innovative technology. Technology will translate to a growth in nation’ s
productivity. Hence population is directly proportional to technology growth rate (Trang &
Hieu, 2011).Increase in population is directly proportional to the labor force. With a high
population, wage rates will be pushed down. The resulting cheap labor is essential in
economic growth and modernization process which are assets to a nation. The savings from
labor can be invested in research and development which can lead to realization of new
technology leading to higher performance. The industries and business will therefore have
an advantage in the global market (Bremner et al, 2010).Negative effectsHigh population

4. growth leads to weakening of capital. India had a population of 495 thousand in 1965 which
grew to approximately 1.214 million in 2010. Taking capital to be constant, a population
growth leads to a decline in capital per employee. High population leads to high
consumption demand for services and goods. Goods will be scarce if supply is less than
demand. Extreme demands and resources’ shortage cause the prices of goods and services
to increase. High prices will cause a decline in the demand. The demand’ s decrease is a
result of insufficient per capital income. This indicates that people will not afford necessities
for survival. Typically this leads to poverty, starvation, diseases and decline in economic
growth (Trang & Hieu, 2011).Population growth leads to resource shallow. Malthusian
model states that a decline in nation resources is caused by a higher population increase.
There is a link between gender-gap wage quota and capital-labor quota. Labor comprises of
mental and physical dimensions. A man is assigned a unit of both mental and physical labor
whereas a woman is assigned a unit of only mental labor. This results in a high gender- gap
ratio in terms of average wage. Women will most likely remain at home to take care of the
children. This will eventually lead to more population growth which will further constrain
the existing resources (Bremner et al, 2010).Age structure affects the income of a country.
Population demography is divided into three categories. Young age population which
comprises of 0-14 years, working population which comprises 15-64 years and the elderly
who are over 65 years of age. Young and the elderly negatively affect income per capita of a
nation. The young are not working whereas the elderly stopped working. The working
population will therefore be reduced. This leads to a decline in income per capita. Because
of China’ s policy which only allowed one child per household, birthrates drastically
reduced. Therefore population is aging, (Seitz & Hite, 2012).The working population to non-
working population ratio increased irregularly in late 1970s and started to stagnant in
2010. Now it’ s having a probability to decrease because of the rise of elder population.
From the period 1995 to 2000, its elder population increased from 6.01 to 6.79 percent. The
gross domestic product (GDP) decreased from 9.7 to 7.6 percent. The working population
has ability to save for retirement. The younger and the older generation will have little or no
income. Solow model stated that fewer saving for investment can result in a decline in
stable state productivity per worker and can bring harm to the economy (United Nations,
2008).Population growth causes strain in freshwater resources and non-renewable
resources such as fossils. In the 20th Century, water utilized worldwide grew six fold. This
is two times the population increase during the same period. Construction of reservoirs and
dams significantly contribute to this trend. It affects approximately 60 percent of the main
river basins. Water is used for household uses, direct consumption, crop irrigation, in
sewage systems, hydroelectric energy generation, aquatic farming and industrial
manufacturing. Clean water is an important aspect for the developing world in achieving
Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). The access is critical in the prevention of water
borne diseases such as cholera. However, water is unevenly distributed precious resource.
The world’ s arid areas only receive 2 percent of the rainfall yet they cover 40 percent of
the earth’ s surface. Developing countries with largest projected population growth have
poor access to water. Diversion of water system for human use affects natural ecosystems
negatively. Natural ecosystems no longer receive enough rain. This can lead to collapse of

5. the nature. Niger which has high fertility rate has been faced with long drought periods.
Major crops and livestock have been lost leading to acute malnutrition. Studies have
suggested relationship between water accessibility, women labor and fertility. In arid
regions where women are required to fetch water, it negatively affects girl’ s education and
their labor. These are correlated with early childbearing, long fertility periods and poor
maternal care. (Bremner, Davis & Carr, 2012).If renewable such as forests and fish, are used
faster than it can be replenished then there will be a breakdown in the natural ecosystem.
Population growth creates a pressure on these resources. Human beings also emit wastes
which causes pollution. There is also a worry trend of developing countries depleting their
food supplies (Anup, 2002).ConclusionPopulation is growing with the highest growth
expected in developing countries. African countries are projected to have the highest
growth rates. Population structure of a country can be classified according to its fertility
rates. These are high-fertility, intermediate fertility and low-fertility. As fertility levels
declines, life expectancy raises leading to an increase in the ageing population. Population
ageing is more prevalent in the developed countries than in the developing. Population in
China is ageing faster than other developing countries. The determinant factors of a
population are mortality, fertility rates and migration. Population increase has negative and
positive effects. There has been recent development in family planning. Various agreements
have to be signed to encourage government and citizens to support family planning.
Population growth causes a strain the water resources hence affecting natural
ecosystem.ReferencesAnup S, (2002) Human Population-Global Issues: Social, Political,
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and Poverty Reduction. J. C. Ingram, F. DeClerck and C. Rumbaitis del Rio eds., Springer: New
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(2008). World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision. Department of Economic and
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