IPCC 2013 report on Climate Change - The Physical BasisGreenFacts
"Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis" is a comprehensive assessment of the physical aspects of climate change, which puts a focus on the elements that are relevant to understand past, document current, and project future climate change.
The report covers observations of changes in all components of the climate system and assess the current knowledge of various processes of the climate system.
Direct global-scale instrumental observation of the climate began in the middle of the 19th century, and reconstruction of the climate using proxies such as tree rings or the content of sediment layers extends the record much further in the past.
The present assessment uses a new set of new scenarios to explore the future impacts of climate change under a range of different possible emission pathways.
"Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis", assesses the current
scientific knowledge of the natural and human drivers of climate change,
observed changes in climate, the ability of science to attribute changes
to different causes, and projections for future climate change.
The report was produced by some 600 authors from 40 countries. Over 620
expert reviewers and a large number of government reviewers also
participated. Representatives from 113 governments reviewed and revised
the Summary line-by-line during the course of this week before adopting
it and accepting the underlying report.
“Climate Change
2007: The Physical Science Basis”, assesses the current scientific knowledge of
the natural and human drivers of climate change, observed changes in climate,
the ability of science to attribute changes to different causes, and projections
for future climate change.
The report was
produced by some 600 authors from 40 countries. Over 620 expert reviewers and a
large number of government reviewers also participated. Representatives from 113
governments reviewed and revised the Summary line-by-line during the course of
this week before adopting it and accepting the underlying
report.
This powerpoint presentation is produced by IPCC Working Group I for outreach purposes. It is based on the figures and approved text from the Working Group I Summary for Policymakers with some additional information on the process. The IPCC Working Group I website www.climatechange2013.org provides comprehensive access to all products generated by Working Group I during the fifth assessment cycle of the IPCC.
IPCC 2013 report on Climate Change - The Physical BasisGreenFacts
"Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis" is a comprehensive assessment of the physical aspects of climate change, which puts a focus on the elements that are relevant to understand past, document current, and project future climate change.
The report covers observations of changes in all components of the climate system and assess the current knowledge of various processes of the climate system.
Direct global-scale instrumental observation of the climate began in the middle of the 19th century, and reconstruction of the climate using proxies such as tree rings or the content of sediment layers extends the record much further in the past.
The present assessment uses a new set of new scenarios to explore the future impacts of climate change under a range of different possible emission pathways.
"Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis", assesses the current
scientific knowledge of the natural and human drivers of climate change,
observed changes in climate, the ability of science to attribute changes
to different causes, and projections for future climate change.
The report was produced by some 600 authors from 40 countries. Over 620
expert reviewers and a large number of government reviewers also
participated. Representatives from 113 governments reviewed and revised
the Summary line-by-line during the course of this week before adopting
it and accepting the underlying report.
“Climate Change
2007: The Physical Science Basis”, assesses the current scientific knowledge of
the natural and human drivers of climate change, observed changes in climate,
the ability of science to attribute changes to different causes, and projections
for future climate change.
The report was
produced by some 600 authors from 40 countries. Over 620 expert reviewers and a
large number of government reviewers also participated. Representatives from 113
governments reviewed and revised the Summary line-by-line during the course of
this week before adopting it and accepting the underlying
report.
This powerpoint presentation is produced by IPCC Working Group I for outreach purposes. It is based on the figures and approved text from the Working Group I Summary for Policymakers with some additional information on the process. The IPCC Working Group I website www.climatechange2013.org provides comprehensive access to all products generated by Working Group I during the fifth assessment cycle of the IPCC.
Can akın mr akin şair şiir poet dichter poeta поет сăвăç bardd digter ποιητής poète 诗人詩人 poetry şer poesie 詩歌 詩 poésie poesía photograph fotografie fotografische bild 相片 foto בילד fotoğraf مايكروسوفت أوفيس باوربوينت microsoft powerpoint slayt slideshows slide 維基百科 自由的百科全書 youtube video turkey türkei turquie turchia turquia exhibition ausstellung mostra exposición
Neighborhoods at Risk of Drowning in Alexandria in Light of Climate Change, C...ijtsrd
Recently, statements were issued by some western officials and press articles stating that the city of Alexandria is facing a new existential threat resulting from climate change, and that it will be drowned due to climate change. In this article, I would like to clarify that the risks arising from sea level rise do not threaten the ancient city of Alexandria, which extends from Abu Qir in the northeast to Burg Al Arab in the southwest, as it is built at altitudes of 5 meters up to 25 meters above sea level. Rather, the threat is limited to the urban expansions that were added to the south of the city at the expense of Lake Mariout on the one hand, and at the expense of the low agricultural lands south of the suburbs of Abu Qir, Maamoura, Montazah and Sidi Bishr al Qibli on the other hand. The main sources of the coastal threat to these areas are the Abu Qir Bay in the north and the Max Bay in the west. These expansions can be protected from the invasion of the sea if the political will and economic capabilities are available, by making submerged armored concrete walls with the specifications mentioned in this article along the Abu Qir Bay and on the areas of the current gaps in the Max Bay.It should also be noted that the original highlands of Alexandria are interspersed with some few depressions that are not directly connected to surface water sources, but are threatened by total or partial inundation in the event of a rise in the subsurface water level as a sequential effect of sea level rise. The most important of these are the Smouha, Al Seyouf and Sporting depressions with a total area of about 2.5 km² as well as some depressions below sea level at the center of Abu Qir suburb with a total area of 1.0 km². Khaled Abdel-Kader Ouda "Neighborhoods at Risk of Drowning in Alexandria in Light of Climate Change, Coastal Threat Sources and Means of Protection" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-6 | Issue-5 , August 2022, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd50484.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/other-scientific-research-area/geology/50484/neighborhoods-at-risk-of-drowning-in-alexandria-in-light-of-climate-change-coastal-threat-sources-and-means-of-protection/khaled-abdelkader-ouda
On June 14, 2019 ICLR conducted a Friday Forum webinar led by Dr. Nathan Gillett and Dr. Xuebin Zhang. This report is about how and why Canada’s climate has changed and what changes are projected for the future. Led by Environment and Climate Change Canada, this document is the first of a series to be released as part of Canada in a Changing Climate: Advancing our Knowledge for Action. It documents changes across Canada in temperature, precipitation, snow, ice, and permafrost, freshwater availability as well as in Canada’s three oceans. It can be viewed at www.changingclimate.ca/CCCR2019
Dr. Nathan Gillett is a Research Scientist at the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis in Environment and Climate Change Canada’s Climate Research Division. His research is focused on understanding and attribution of climate change. He is a Coordinating Lead Author of the chapter “Human influence on the climate system” of the upcoming IPCC Working Group I Sixth Assessment Report, and he served as a Lead Author of the IPCC Fourth and Fifth Assessment Reports. Dr. Gillett has a PhD in atmospheric physics from the University of Oxford.
Dr. Xuebin Zhang is a senior research scientist with Environment and Climate Change Canada’s Climate Research Division. His main research focus is past and future changes in weather and climate extremes. He was a lead author for the IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation and IPCC Working Group I Fifth Assessment Report. He is a Coordinating Lead Author of the climate extremes chapter in the IPCC Working Group I Sixth Assessment Report. Dr. Zhang has a background in engineering hydrology. He received a PhD degree in Physics (Climatology) from University of Lisbon, Portugal.
The Big Oil Reality Check report finds that the climate pledges and plans of 8 international oil and gas companies fail to align with international agreements to phase out fossil fuels and to limit global temperature rise to 1.5ºC.
Publication May 2021
Can akın mr akin şair şiir poet dichter poeta поет сăвăç bardd digter ποιητής poète 诗人詩人 poetry şer poesie 詩歌 詩 poésie poesía photograph fotografie fotografische bild 相片 foto בילד fotoğraf مايكروسوفت أوفيس باوربوينت microsoft powerpoint slayt slideshows slide 維基百科 自由的百科全書 youtube video turkey türkei turquie turchia turquia exhibition ausstellung mostra exposición
Neighborhoods at Risk of Drowning in Alexandria in Light of Climate Change, C...ijtsrd
Recently, statements were issued by some western officials and press articles stating that the city of Alexandria is facing a new existential threat resulting from climate change, and that it will be drowned due to climate change. In this article, I would like to clarify that the risks arising from sea level rise do not threaten the ancient city of Alexandria, which extends from Abu Qir in the northeast to Burg Al Arab in the southwest, as it is built at altitudes of 5 meters up to 25 meters above sea level. Rather, the threat is limited to the urban expansions that were added to the south of the city at the expense of Lake Mariout on the one hand, and at the expense of the low agricultural lands south of the suburbs of Abu Qir, Maamoura, Montazah and Sidi Bishr al Qibli on the other hand. The main sources of the coastal threat to these areas are the Abu Qir Bay in the north and the Max Bay in the west. These expansions can be protected from the invasion of the sea if the political will and economic capabilities are available, by making submerged armored concrete walls with the specifications mentioned in this article along the Abu Qir Bay and on the areas of the current gaps in the Max Bay.It should also be noted that the original highlands of Alexandria are interspersed with some few depressions that are not directly connected to surface water sources, but are threatened by total or partial inundation in the event of a rise in the subsurface water level as a sequential effect of sea level rise. The most important of these are the Smouha, Al Seyouf and Sporting depressions with a total area of about 2.5 km² as well as some depressions below sea level at the center of Abu Qir suburb with a total area of 1.0 km². Khaled Abdel-Kader Ouda "Neighborhoods at Risk of Drowning in Alexandria in Light of Climate Change, Coastal Threat Sources and Means of Protection" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-6 | Issue-5 , August 2022, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd50484.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/other-scientific-research-area/geology/50484/neighborhoods-at-risk-of-drowning-in-alexandria-in-light-of-climate-change-coastal-threat-sources-and-means-of-protection/khaled-abdelkader-ouda
On June 14, 2019 ICLR conducted a Friday Forum webinar led by Dr. Nathan Gillett and Dr. Xuebin Zhang. This report is about how and why Canada’s climate has changed and what changes are projected for the future. Led by Environment and Climate Change Canada, this document is the first of a series to be released as part of Canada in a Changing Climate: Advancing our Knowledge for Action. It documents changes across Canada in temperature, precipitation, snow, ice, and permafrost, freshwater availability as well as in Canada’s three oceans. It can be viewed at www.changingclimate.ca/CCCR2019
Dr. Nathan Gillett is a Research Scientist at the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis in Environment and Climate Change Canada’s Climate Research Division. His research is focused on understanding and attribution of climate change. He is a Coordinating Lead Author of the chapter “Human influence on the climate system” of the upcoming IPCC Working Group I Sixth Assessment Report, and he served as a Lead Author of the IPCC Fourth and Fifth Assessment Reports. Dr. Gillett has a PhD in atmospheric physics from the University of Oxford.
Dr. Xuebin Zhang is a senior research scientist with Environment and Climate Change Canada’s Climate Research Division. His main research focus is past and future changes in weather and climate extremes. He was a lead author for the IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation and IPCC Working Group I Fifth Assessment Report. He is a Coordinating Lead Author of the climate extremes chapter in the IPCC Working Group I Sixth Assessment Report. Dr. Zhang has a background in engineering hydrology. He received a PhD degree in Physics (Climatology) from University of Lisbon, Portugal.
The Big Oil Reality Check report finds that the climate pledges and plans of 8 international oil and gas companies fail to align with international agreements to phase out fossil fuels and to limit global temperature rise to 1.5ºC.
Publication May 2021
IEA publication, May 2024
Critical minerals, which are essential for a range of clean energy technologies, have risen up the policy agenda in recent years due to increasing demand, volatile price movements, supply chain bottlenecks and geopolitical concerns. The dynamic nature of the market necessitates greater transparency and reliable information to facilitate informed decision-making, as underscored by the request from Group of Seven (G7) ministers for the IEA to produce medium- and long-term outlooks for critical minerals.
The Global Critical Minerals Outlook 2024 follows the IEA’s inaugural review of the market last year. It provides a snapshot of industry developments in 2023 and early 2024 and offers medium- and long-term outlooks for the demand and supply of key energy transition minerals based on the latest technology and policy trends.
The report also assesses key risks to the reliability, sustainability and diversity of critical mineral supply chains and analyses the consequences for policy and industry stakeholders. It will be accompanied by an updated version of the Critical Minerals Data Explorer, an interactive online tool that allows users to explore the latest IEA projections.
Science Publication
Global projections of macroeconomic climate-change damages typically consider
impacts from average annual and national temperatures over long time horizons1–6
.
Here we use recent empirical fndings from more than 1,600 regions worldwide over
the past 40 years to project sub-national damages from temperature and precipitation,
including daily variability and extremes7,8
. Using an empirical approach that provides
a robust lower bound on the persistence of impacts on economic growth, we fnd that
the world economy is committed to an income reduction of 19% within the next
26 years independent of future emission choices (relative to a baseline without
climate impacts, likely range of 11–29% accounting for physical climate and empirical
uncertainty). These damages already outweigh the mitigation costs required to limit
global warming to 2 °C by sixfold over this near-term time frame and thereafter diverge
strongly dependent on emission choices. Committed damages arise predominantly
through changes in average temperature, but accounting for further climatic
components raises estimates by approximately 50% and leads to stronger regional
heterogeneity. Committed losses are projected for all regions except those at very
high latitudes, at which reductions in temperature variability bring benefts. The
largest losses are committed at lower latitudes in regions with lower cumulative
historical emissions and lower present-day income.
Science Publication: The atlas of unburnable oil for supply-side climate poli...Energy for One World
Nature Communication, Publication 2024
To limit the increase in global mean temperature to 1.5 °C, CO2 emissions must
be drastically reduced. Accordingly, approximately 97%, 81%, and 71% of
existing coal and conventional gas and oil resources, respectively, need to
remain unburned. This article develops an integrated spatial assessment
model based on estimates and locations of conventional oil resources and
socio-environmental criteria to construct a global atlas of unburnable oil. The
results show that biodiversity hotspots, richness centres of endemic species,
natural protected areas, urban areas, and the territories of Indigenous Peoples
in voluntary isolation coincide with 609 gigabarrels (Gbbl) of conventional oil
resources. Since 1524 Gbbl of conventional oil resources are required to be left
untapped in order to keep global warming under 1.5 °C, all of the above-
mentioned socio-environmentally sensitive areas can be kept entirely off-
limits to oil extraction. The model provides spatial guidelines to select
unburnable fossil fuels resources while enhancing collateral socio-
environmental benefits.
Understanding the Challenges of Street ChildrenSERUDS INDIA
By raising awareness, providing support, advocating for change, and offering assistance to children in need, individuals can play a crucial role in improving the lives of street children and helping them realize their full potential
Donate Us
https://serudsindia.org/how-individuals-can-support-street-children-in-india/
#donatefororphan, #donateforhomelesschildren, #childeducation, #ngochildeducation, #donateforeducation, #donationforchildeducation, #sponsorforpoorchild, #sponsororphanage #sponsororphanchild, #donation, #education, #charity, #educationforchild, #seruds, #kurnool, #joyhome
Up the Ratios Bylaws - a Comprehensive Process of Our Organizationuptheratios
Up the Ratios is a non-profit organization dedicated to bridging the gap in STEM education for underprivileged students by providing free, high-quality learning opportunities in robotics and other STEM fields. Our mission is to empower the next generation of innovators, thinkers, and problem-solvers by offering a range of educational programs that foster curiosity, creativity, and critical thinking.
At Up the Ratios, we believe that every student, regardless of their socio-economic background, should have access to the tools and knowledge needed to succeed in today's technology-driven world. To achieve this, we host a variety of free classes, workshops, summer camps, and live lectures tailored to students from underserved communities. Our programs are designed to be engaging and hands-on, allowing students to explore the exciting world of robotics and STEM through practical, real-world applications.
Our free classes cover fundamental concepts in robotics, coding, and engineering, providing students with a strong foundation in these critical areas. Through our interactive workshops, students can dive deeper into specific topics, working on projects that challenge them to apply what they've learned and think creatively. Our summer camps offer an immersive experience where students can collaborate on larger projects, develop their teamwork skills, and gain confidence in their abilities.
In addition to our local programs, Up the Ratios is committed to making a global impact. We take donations of new and gently used robotics parts, which we then distribute to students and educational institutions in other countries. These donations help ensure that young learners worldwide have the resources they need to explore and excel in STEM fields. By supporting education in this way, we aim to nurture a global community of future leaders and innovators.
Our live lectures feature guest speakers from various STEM disciplines, including engineers, scientists, and industry professionals who share their knowledge and experiences with our students. These lectures provide valuable insights into potential career paths and inspire students to pursue their passions in STEM.
Up the Ratios relies on the generosity of donors and volunteers to continue our work. Contributions of time, expertise, and financial support are crucial to sustaining our programs and expanding our reach. Whether you're an individual passionate about education, a professional in the STEM field, or a company looking to give back to the community, there are many ways to get involved and make a difference.
We are proud of the positive impact we've had on the lives of countless students, many of whom have gone on to pursue higher education and careers in STEM. By providing these young minds with the tools and opportunities they need to succeed, we are not only changing their futures but also contributing to the advancement of technology and innovation on a broader scale.
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
Presentation by Jared Jageler, David Adler, Noelia Duchovny, and Evan Herrnstadt, analysts in CBO’s Microeconomic Studies and Health Analysis Divisions, at the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists Summer Conference.
Canadian Immigration Tracker March 2024 - Key SlidesAndrew Griffith
Highlights
Permanent Residents decrease along with percentage of TR2PR decline to 52 percent of all Permanent Residents.
March asylum claim data not issued as of May 27 (unusually late). Irregular arrivals remain very small.
Study permit applications experiencing sharp decrease as a result of announced caps over 50 percent compared to February.
Citizenship numbers remain stable.
Slide 3 has the overall numbers and change.
2. 2
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
This is an interactive document
The bottom toolbar and contents buttons allow you to
navigate through the different sections of the report.
Copernicus Climate Change Service European State of the Climate 2022
#ESOTC #CopernicusClimate #EUSpace
Cover image: Arctic. Credit: European Union, Copernicus Sentinel-2 imagery.
Report
sections 2022
The Arctic
in 2022
04
03 05 17 25
14
Welcome to the summary
of the European State of
the Climate 2022.
Climate Indicators show
the long-term global and
regional evolution of
several key variables.
24
23
Introduction
About us
About
the report
Beyond
the ESOTC
Parts of the Arctic saw
their warmest summer
on record, and Greenland’s
ice sheet experienced
record melt.
Europe
in 2022
Europe saw its
warmest summer on
record and a period of
significant drought.
Trends
in Climate
Indicators
Globe
in 2022
Globally, 2022 was
the fifth warmest year
on record.
3. EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022 3
C3S provides climate monitoring for the globe, Europe and the Arctic, and annually
releases the European State of the Climate (ESOTC). This report includes a short
overview of the global context, a more comprehensive overview of Europe, and a
focus on the Arctic. The report provides a detailed analysis of the past calendar
year, with descriptions of climate conditions and events, and explores the
associated
variations in key climate variables from all parts of the Earth system. The ESOTC
also gives updates on the long-term evolution of key Climate Indicators.
Throughout the report you will find symbols that indicate the
types of data and the reference period used for each section.
More information on these are in About the report.
Explore the
complete ESOTC
The complete report is available online at:
climate.copernicus.eu/esotc/2022
Globally, the last eight years have been the
warmest on record, and 2022 was the fifth
warmest year on record. Several regions of
the globe saw record-breaking tempera-
tures. In Europe, summer was the warmest
on record, at 1.4°C above average, and
0.3–0.4°C above the previous warmest
summer, in 2021. Most of western Europe
saw heatwave conditions and temperatures
in the United Kingdom reached above 40°C
for the first time. The average sea surface
temperature across Europe’s seas was the
warmest on record.
The higher-than-average temperatures and
a persistent lack of precipitation triggered a
significant drought which, at its peak,
affected most of Europe. There was also
record loss of ice from glaciers in the Alps,
equivalent to 5 km3
of ice, or an average
depth across the glaciers of more than
3.5 m of ice.
The high temperatures and drought also
facilitated the spread and intensification of
large fires, resulting in the year as a whole
seeing the second highest burnt area on
record across the EU countries.
Both polar regions also experienced
unusually warm conditions in 2022.
Antarctic sea ice reached its lowest
minimum extent on record in February.
Later in the year, the Greenland ice sheet
saw record melt, with at least 23% of its
area impacted during one of three
heatwaves in September.
Satellites
Reference
period
In situ Model-based
estimates
Reanalysis
European State
of the Climate 2022
Introduction
Image: Pyrenees, February 2022.
Credit: European Union, Copernicus Sentinel-3 imagery.
INTRODUCTION
EUROPE
IN 2022
TRENDS IN
CLIMATE INDICATORS
BEYOND
THE ESOTC
ABOUT US
GLOBE
IN 2022
THE ARCTIC
IN 2022
ABOUT
THE REPORT
Welcome to the summary of the European State of
the Climate 2022, compiled by the Copernicus Climate
Change Service (C3S), implemented by the European
Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)
with funding from the European Union.
4. 4
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
The global context is provided by the
evolution of key Climate Indicators.
These typically build on multi-source or
community estimates, in some cases
leading to a delay in producing final data
records, and so not all indicators are
covered here.
Additional information about the global
climate during 2022 can be found in
the World Meteorological Organization
(WMO) statement on the State of the
Global Climate in 2022.
Surface
temperature
Globally, the last eight years were the
warmest on record, although 2022 was one
of the cooler of these. Despite this, 2022
was the warmest year on record for several
regions of the globe, including much of
western Europe, parts of northwestern
Africa, the Horn of Africa, central Asia and
China, and much of the south Pacific. The
most-below-average temperatures over
land were in southeastern Australia and
central Canada.
Sea surface
temperature
Global average sea surface temperature
(SST) was the sixth warmest on record, and
2022 marked the third year with La Niña
conditions present. This meant that it was
cooler than some recent years. Since 1850,
SSTs have increased by 0.9°C, but the rate
of increase varies regionally. Among the
fastest warming areas are parts of the
Arctic Ocean, the Baltic Sea, the Black Sea,
and parts of the extra-tropical Pacific.
Climate stripes from ERA5, 1950–2022
For more information www.showyourstripes.info
Globe in 2022
Glaciers
Glaciers continued to lose mass at high rates
and are estimated to currently contribute more
than 1 mm per year to mean global sea level
rise. A large reduction in glacier mass was
observed across the globe, with only glaciers in
southwestern Scandinavia showing a small
gain in mass.
Sea ice
Sea ice extent in the Arctic remained slightly
below average throughout the year. Antarctic
sea ice extent reached its lowest minimum
extent on record in February, with another five
months seeing near-record low extent.
Sea level
Data available for the first six months of the
year show a continuing rise in global mean
sea level, reaching a new record high.
Arctic
Europe
Globe
Greenhouse
gases
Atmospheric concentrations of the green-
house gases carbon dioxide and methane
continued to increase, reaching record
levels, and were their highest in at least
hundreds of thousands of years. The
year-on-year increase in methane was
significantly higher than the average of the
last ten years, but not as high as the record
levels seen in 2020 and 2021.
INTRODUCTION
EUROPE
IN 2022
TRENDS IN
CLIMATE INDICATORS
BEYOND
THE ESOTC
ABOUT US
GLOBE
IN 2022
THE ARCTIC
IN 2022
ABOUT
THE REPORT
5. This section provides the
2022 view for Europe,
compared to long-term
trends of variables across
the climate system. Key
events that occurred during
the year are also described
within a climatic context.
5
Europe has been
warming faster than
any other continent in
recent decades, with
temperatures increasing
at twice the global
average rate.
During summer, much of the
continent was affected by
exceptional heatwaves, and the
highest temperatures in western
Europe reached around 10°C
warmer than typical summer
maximum temperatures.
Southern Europe saw a record
number of days with
‘very strong heat stress’.
Image: Western Europe, August 2022.
Credit: European Union, Copernicus Sentinel-3 imagery.
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Europe
in 2022
find out more
INTRODUCTION
EUROPE
IN 2022
TRENDS IN
CLIMATE INDICATORS
BEYOND
THE ESOTC
ABOUT US
GLOBE
IN 2022
THE ARCTIC
IN 2022
ABOUT
THE REPORT
6. 6
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Warmest summer
on record
Record loss of
glacier ice from
European Alps
Record sunshine
duration
2nd
lowest river flow
on record
2nd
largest wildfire
burnt area on record
Records
6
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Events in 2022
Credit: European Union, Copernicus Sentinel-3 imagery.
INTRODUCTION
EUROPE
IN 2022
TRENDS IN
CLIMATE INDICATORS
BEYOND
THE ESOTC
ABOUT US
GLOBE
IN 2022
THE ARCTIC
IN 2022
ABOUT
THE REPORT
Key Events
Marine heatwave
MAY ONWARDS: The western
Mediterranean Sea
Coldwave
DECEMBER: Northern Europe
Wildfires
JULY, AUGUST: Czechia, France,
Portugal, Slovenia, Spain, UK
Heatwaves
MAY: Southwestern Europe
SUMMER: Affecting much of Europe
SEPTEMBER: Greenland
Drought
Spring through summer across
much of Europe
Storms
FEBRUARY: Three storms in one week
Heavy rainfall and flooding
SEPTEMBER: Bulgaria, Croatia, Italy,
Portugal, Slovenia, Spain
7. 7
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Temperature
The summer temperature for Europe was the highest on record.
2022 was the second warmest year on record for Europe, at 0.9°C
warmer than average. For many countries in southwestern Europe, the
yearwasthewarmestonrecord.Themost-above-averagetemperatures
occurred in northeastern Scandinavia and those countries bordering the
northwestern Mediterranean Sea.
Winter, summer and autumn were all warmer than average, and spring
was slightly cooler than average, by 0.1–0.2°C. Summer was the warm-
est on record, at 1.4°C above average, and 0.3–0.4°C above the previous
warmest summer, in 2021. The year was characterised by many more
warm than cool events. A long-term trend towards higher surface air
temperatures over Europe’s land regions continues.
1991—2020
Average surface air temperature anomaly
for 2022, relative to the 1991–2020
reference period. Data source: ERA5.
Credit: C3S/ECMWF.
Lake and
sea temperatures
Europe’s lakes and seas are seeing increasing
surface temperatures.
The average sea surface temperature (SST) across Europe’s seas was
the warmest on record in 2022. In the Mediterranean Sea, temperatures
were much warmer than average for a prolonged period from May
onwards, with record-breaking marine heatwaves during summer.
Record-warm sea surface temperatures were also observed in the Bay
of Biscay, English Channel and Irish Sea, and in the Norwegian Sea.
Across the region, 73% of lakes recorded warmer-than-average
temperatures, with the warmest temperatures in Spain and the coolest
in Ukraine. Throughout the warm season, which runs from July to
September, lake temperatures (LSWT) were consistently above
average in southern Europe, while lakes in northern and eastern Europe
were cooler than average.
Reference period: 1991-2020, Data source: ERA5, Credit: C3S/ECMWF
°C
2022 mean temperature anomaly
-3
-2.5
-2
-1.5
-1
-0.75
-0.5
-0.25
0
0.25
0.5
0.75
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Reference period: 1991-2020, Data source: ERA5, Credit: C3S/ECMWF
°C
2022 mean temperature anomaly
-3
-2.5
-2
-1.5
-1
-0.75
-0.5
-0.25
0
0.25
0.5
0.75
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
SST: 1991–2020
LSWT: 1995–2020
JAN MAR
FEB APR
MAY JUL
JUN AUG
SEP NOV
OCT DEC
Average sea surface
temperature anomalies
for each month of 2022,
relative to the respective
monthly average for the
1991–2020 reference
period. Data source:
C3S SST dataset.
Credit: C3S/ECMWF/
UK Met Office.
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European land surface air temperature anomalies for summer (JJA) 1950–2022, relative to the average
for the 1991–2020 reference period. Data source: ERA5, E-OBS. Credit: C3S/ECMWF/KNMI.
8. Extreme
heat
Many more warm spells than cool periods were
seen during 2022. In southwestern and western
areas, up to 30% more warm days occurred than
average, highlighting the frequency of high
temperature extremes.
In March and May, daily maximum temperatures
reached as much as 8°C above average.
During summer, much of Europe was affected by
exceptional heatwaves, and, in western Europe,
the highest temperatures were around 10°C
warmer than typical summer maximum tempera-
tures. In July, temperatures in the UK reached 40°C
for the first time on record. Globally, increasingly
high latitudes are seeing more extreme tempera-
tures, including those
exceeding 40°C. The heat-
waves impacted human health, with a record
number of days with ‘very strong heat stress’ in
southern Europe, and the second lowest number of
days with ‘no heat stress’. The heatwaves contrib-
uted to the production of surface ozone pollution,
potentially exacerbating the health impact.
October was the warmest on record and while
December saw a cold start to the month, it became
exceptionally warm at the end of the year.
1991—2020
Summer
2022
In summer, heatwaves led to a record
number of days with ‛very strong heat
stress*’ in southern Europe.
The number of summer days with ‛strong’
or ‛very strong heat stress’ on humans is
increasing, and the number of days with
'no heat stress' is decreasing.
For Europe as a whole, summer was
the warmest on record.
Unseasonably warm temperatures
occurred throughout the year.
In March, May to August, October
and December, temperatures reached
up to 7–10°C warmer than average.
In July, temperatures reached 40°C
for the first time on record in the UK.
For a large part of Europe, 2022
was the warmest year on record.
Data source: E-OBS Credit: C3S/KNMI Reference Period: 1991-2020
Warmest day-time temperature anomaly in Summer 202
High temperatures and dry conditions
contributed to the spread and
intensification of wildfires, with the
second largest burnt area on record.
In July, favoured by high temperatures
and long sunshine hours, surface ozone
concentrations reached potentially
harmful levels across much of Europe.
The exceptionally warm summer,
following a winter with large snow deficits,
led to a record loss of ice from glaciers
in the Alps.
Figures: (1) Warmest daytime temperature anomaly in
summer. Data source: E-OBS. Credit: KNMI/C3S/ECMWF.
(2) Number of summer days with ‘very strong heat
stress’. Data source: ERA5-HEAT. Credit: C3S/ECMWF.
(3) Anomaly in the number of days with Fire Weather Index
> 50. Data source: ERA5. Credit: Copernicus EMS/ECMWF.
*High temperatures represent a hazard
to human health. Heat stress indices
represent how the human body
responds to the impact of different
thermal environments.
Image: Wildfire in western Spain,
July 2022. Credit: European Union,
Copernicus Sentinel-2 imagery.
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EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
9. Soil moisture
Soil moisture conditions were the second lowest in
the last 50 years.
Most months saw lower-than-average soil moisture
conditions, with the lowest in July at -8%, and the highest in
September at +2%. Central European countries
experienced
a prolonged drought that not only affected surface soil
moisture, but deeper soil layers too.
The near-average conditions in winter gave way to
predominantly below-average conditions in spring, with the
largest dry anomalies occurring in northern Germany and
Poland, and in countries to the west of the Black Sea. The
most widespread dry conditions occurred during summer,
affecting much of Europe, before returning to near or above
average soil moisture conditions in autumn. In deeper soil
layers, the dry conditions also persisted through autumn in
some areas, and briefly intensified again in November.
1991—2020
Precipitation
A lack of precipitation contributed to widespread
drought conditions.
The year as a whole was as much as 10% drier than average.
May was the driest month, with 21–28% less precipitation
than average, while September was the wettest month,
with 13–21% more precipitation. There were also fewer wet
days than average, particularly in France, Italy and Poland.
The dry conditions may have also contributed to the extreme
high temperatures throughout the year.
During winter, precipitation varied between regions, with
wetter-than-average conditions in northern and eastern
Europe, and drier-than-average conditions in southwestern
Europe. Spring and summer were drier than average across
most areas, reflecting the drought conditions, although isolated
areas saw wet anomalies during summer. The driest anomalies
were found in Germany, Spain and the United Kingdom.
1991—2020
River discharge
For 10 months of the year, river discharge was
below average.
River discharge was the second lowest on record across
Europe,markingthesixthconsecutiveyearofbelow-average
flows. In terms of the area affected, it was the driest year
on record, with 63% of rivers seeing below-average flows.
In March, flows were the lowest since records began,
although April saw the most widespread high river flows,
with 54% of the river network having above-average
river discharge.
In August, two thirds of the river network had below-average
river discharge, with one third
experiencing exceptionally
low flows, reflecting drought conditions. Around half the
river network had
below-average flows for the remainder
of the year.
1991—2020
Precipitation anomalies (%) for summer (JJA) 2022, expressed as a
percentage of the seasonal average for the 1991–2020 reference period.
Data source: ERA5. Credit: C3S/ECMWF.
Soil moisture anomalies (%) in the top soil layer for summer (JJA) 2022,
expressed as a percentage of the seasonal average for the 1991–2020
reference period. Data source: ERA5-Land. Credit: C3S/ECMWF.
Monthly average river discharge anomalies for August 2022, relative to the
1991–2020 reference period. Rivers with drainage areas greater than
1000 km2
are shown. Data source: EFAS. Credit: Copernicus EMS/ECMWF.
9
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Winter (DJF) Spring (MAM)
Data source: ERA5 Credit: C3S/ECMWF Reference Period: 1991-2020
Summer (JJA)
%
Autumn (SON)
100
80
60
40
20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Winter (DJF) Spring (MAM)
Data source: ERA5 Credit: C3S/ECMWF Reference Period: 1991-2020
Summer (JJA)
%
Autumn (SON)
100
80
60
40
20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Winter (DJF) Spring (MAM)
Data source: ERA5-Land Credit: C3S/ECMWF Reference Period: 1991-2020
Summer (JJA)
%
Autumn (SON)
50
40
30
20
10
0
10
20
30
40
50
Winter (DJF) Spring (MAM)
Data source: ERA5-Land Credit: C3S/ECMWF Reference Period: 1991-2020
Summer (JJA)
%
Autumn (SON)
50
40
30
20
10
0
10
20
30
40
50
Data source: EFAS Credit: CEMS/ECMWF Reference Period: 1991-2020
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10. From January to August, much of
the continent saw less precipitation
than average.
The Italian Alps were among the worst-
affected areas, with spring snowfall
as much as 60% below average.
Soil moisture conditions for the year as a
whole were the second driest in the last
50 years.
Heatwaves exacerbated the drought, with
impacts on vegetation reaching their
peak in mid-August.
The high temperatures and drought led
to numerous wildfires and higher-than-
average wildfire emissions.
Europe’s rivers saw their driest year on
record in terms of the area affected, with
63% experiencing below-average flows.
The drought impacted natural systems
and society, affecting agriculture, energy
and river transport.
A significant and prolonged drought
affected most of Europe.
Lower-than-average precipitation and
higher-than-average temperatures, with
exceptional heatwaves, led to widespread
and prolonged drought.
2022
Drought
High temperatures and a lack of precipitation
resulted in a widespread and prolonged
drought that affected much of Europe and
impacted sectors such as agriculture, energy
and river transport.
A precipitation deficit at the start of the year
continued through spring, with most of Europe
affected. One of the worst-affected areas was
the Italian Alps, which experienced a lack of
snowfall that widely reached 60% below aver-
age, and up to 75% locally. This severe deficit
had further repercussions due to reduced
water from snowmelt, contributing to the
drought and to the record glacier ice loss
during the year.
The lack of precipitation persisted into summer,
leading to critically dry soil. This, combined with
the heatwaves, further exacerbated the drought
and its
impacts on vegetation. The dry condi-
tions may have, in return, contributed to the
extreme high temperatures. A further conse-
quence of the dry conditions was the spread
and
intensification of wildfires.
1991—2020
Figures: (1) Combined Drought Indicator for the first 10
days of August. Data source: Copernicus EMS EDO.
Credit: European Commission, JRC. (2) March anomaly in
the number of wet days. Data source: E-OBS. Credit:
KNMI/C3S/ECMWF. (3) annual soil moisture anomalies.
Data source: ERA5-Land. Credit: C3S/ECMWF. (4) August
average river discharge anomalies. Data source: EFAS.
Credit: Copernicus EMS/ECMWF.
Image: Po River, Italy, February
2022. Credit: European Union
Copernicus Sentinel-2 imagery.
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EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
11. Distribution and extent of burnt areas across Europe and the Mediterranean in 2022. Data source: European
Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS). Credit: EFFIS/Copernicus EMS.
Annual glacier ice mass changes in the European Alps from 1962 to 2022. Data source: WGMS (2022, updated)
based on observations from NVE and GLAMOS. Credit: C3S/ECMWF/WGMS.
Wildfires
Second largest burnt area on record across the EU countries.
Above-average fire danger conditions were seen for most of the year, driven by persistent
drought and heat conditions, in particular in southwestern areas. Here, fire danger was
extremely high at the beginning of the year and from March into summer, and high again
in October. In southeastern Europe, fire danger was high throughout spring.
These extreme fire danger conditions facilitated the ignition and spread of large fires in
central Europe and the Mediterranean region, with critical fires, those covering an area
greater than 10 000 ha, in Czechia, France, Portugal, Slovenia and Spain. It is estimated
that in total, over 900 000 ha were burnt across the EU countries.
1991—2020
11
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Land cryosphere
Lack of snow at the start of the year contributed to drought conditions and
exacerbated glacier melt.
Across much of central and southern Europe, there were up to 20 fewer winter snow
days, those with at least 1 cm snow depth, than average, and up to 50 fewer in some
locations. Snowmelt is an important source of water for many of Europe’s rivers, so the
reduced number of snow days
contributed to the drought.
Snow also influences glacier melt; snow accumulated during winter and spring can
delay melting in spring and summer. In 2022, glaciers in southwestern Scandinavia
benefitted from the slightly above average number of winter snow days, seeing a slight
gain in ice. Meanwhile, the Alpine glaciers saw record ice loss, due to lack of winter
snow and the unusually warm summer. While glacier mass loss has been significant
globally, the European Alps is one of the regions where glaciers are shrinking the most.
1991—2020
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12. 12
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Glaciers
Both globally and across Europe,
glaciers, distinct from the two ice sheets in
Greenland and Antarctica, have seen a
substantial and prolonged loss of ice since
the mid-19th Century. This loss has
intensified since around the 1990s. Melting
of ice from glaciers has contributed to more
than 3 cm of global sea level rise.
Glacier ice loss
Global
>8600 km3
since 1997
Europe
>960 km3
(excluding Greenland) since 1997
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13. Annual anomalies in (left) onshore wind capacity factor (CF), (centre) solar photovoltaic (PV) CF, and (right) electricity
demand for 2022. Data: C3S Climate and Energy Indicators for Europe. Credit: C3S/ECMWF.
Annual European sunshine duration anomalies (hours) for 1983–2022.
Data source: SARAH-2.1 CDR/ICDR. Credit: EUMETSAT CM SAF.
Wind and solar energy resources
Surface solar radiation was the highest on record.
Wind and solar renewable energy resources complement each other throughout the
year: winds are usually stronger in winter while solar radiation reaches a maximum
in summer. In 2022, the annual average wind speed for Europe as a whole was
virtually equal to the 30-year average, while the region experienced its highest
amount of surface solar
radiation in the 40-year record, consistent with a marked
positive trend observed over the same period.
Potential power generation from onshore wind was below-average across most of
Europe, especially in southern central regions. Conversely, potential solar photovoltaic
power generation was above average in most of Europe.
Climate-driven electricity demand was below average in most areas, linked to
above-average temperatures in non-summer months, but above-average in parts of
southern Europe as a result of extreme heat during summer.
1991—2020
13
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Clouds and
sunshine duration
Highest sunshine duration and
second-lowest cloud cover on record.
In 2022, Europe experienced its highest sunshine
duration on record, with 130 more sunshine
hours than average, fitting with a marked trend
towards more sunshine hours. This positive
anomaly came mainly from above-average
sunshine hours between January and July. From
August onwards,
sunshine
duration was closer
to or below average.
Consistent with the high sunshine duration,
annual cloud cover was the second lowest on
record, at 4% less than average. It was most
below average in parts of western and south-
eastern Europe, and slightly above average over
the Iberian Peninsula and far-eastern Europe.
1991—2020
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
250
200
150
100
50
0
50
100
150
hours
Annual sunshine duration anomalies
for European land
Atmospheric
circulation
High pressure over western
Europe led to warm, sunny and
dry conditions.
Patterns of atmospheric circulation vary
throughout the year. During winter
2021/22, the pattern favoured dry and
warmer-than-average conditions over
western Europe, and colder-than-average
conditions in Scandinavia and eastern
Europe. In February, northwestern Europe
saw three storms in a week, influenced
by a strongly positive North Atlantic
Oscillation (NAO), a type of large-scale
circulation pattern that has one of the
largest influences on weather and
climate variability in Europe, alongside
others such as the Arctic Oscillation (AO).
In spring and summer, high pressure con-
ditions prevailed across western Europe,
resulting in low precipitation, heatwaves
and drought. In autumn, the circulation
varied from month to month, and in
December, negative phases of the NAO
and AO were favourable to the coldwave
over northern Europe.
1991—2020
Onshore wind CF
-10% 0 10%
Solar PV CF
-8% 0 8%
Electricity demand
-3% 0 3%
Energy indicator anomalies for 2022
Data: C3S Climate & Energy Indicators for Europe Reference period: 1991-2020 Credit: C3S/ECMWF
Electricity demand
for 2022
Solar PV CF
Onshore wind CF
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14. The Arctic section provides
an overview of key climate
events in high northern
latitudes during 2022.
14
Greenland experienced
record-breaking
temperatures and ice
sheet melt during a
period of heatwaves
in September.
The Svalbard region
experienced its warmest
summer on record,
with some areas seeing
temperatures 2.5°C
above average.
Image: Svalbard, August 2022.
Credit: European Union, Copernicus Sentinel-2 imagery.
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Arctic
in 2022
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15. Arctic wildfires
Arctic wildfire activity and carbon emissions were
near average.
In contrast to the previous three years, high latitude wildfire
activity and emissions were mostly from North America.
These were concentrated in Alaska and Canada’s Northwest
and Yukon territories rather than Siberia, as has been seen
in recent years, reflecting a change in soil
moisture anom-
alies. The location of wildfires, particularly the most intense
ones, coincided with drier-than-average soils, which make
vegetation more vulnerable to burning.
Wildfire emissions from the Arctic reached an estimated total
of nine million tonnes of carbon in 2022. This is considerably
less than the record 58 million tonnes emitted in 2020 and
the 15 million in 2021, and closer to the average annual emis-
sions prior to 2020.
Arctic temperature
Record-breaking temperatures in Svalbard
and Greenland.
The annual average temperature for the Arctic as a whole
was 0.9°C above average, and for Arctic land was 1.2°C
above average. Much of the northern high
latitudes
experienced above-average temperatures, except for parts
of Canada and Alaska, which saw temperatures as much as
1°C below average. Temperatures were most above average in
northern Eurasia, particularly in northwestern Siberia, where
anomalies exceeded 3°C around the Kara Sea.
In the Svalbard region, summer was the most remarkable
season of 2022 and the warmest on record, with an average
temperature 1.4°C above average across the region, and up
to 2.5°C locally. Greenland also experienced record-breaking
temperatures during a period of heatwaves in September.
1991—2020
Arctic ocean
Arctic sea ice extent remained consistently below,
yet close to, average. At its annual minimum in
September, it was 11% below average, the
second-smallest anomaly since 2015.
In the Barents Sea, the ice extent dropped rapidly in late
May and early June, to near-record low levels, before
reaching near-zero at the end of July. This was linked to
warm southerly winds over the area, and
followed a period
of close to, and sometimes above, average extent from
January to mid-May.
The Barents and Kara Seas also saw
well-above-average
sea surface temperatures during the summer, which likely
delayed the development of sea ice cover in the autumn.
The summer warmth in this part of the Arctic was also
seen in the air temperature records.
1991—2020
Summer temperature anomalies for 2022. Data source: ERA5. Credit: C3S/ECMWF.
Summer soil moisture anomalies and locations of wildfires. Data sources: ERA5-Land
soil moisture and CAMS GFAS v1.2 wildfire data. Credit: CAMS/C3S/ECMWF.
Monthly average sea surface temperature anomalies for July 2022.
Data source: ESA CCI/C3S SST. Credit: C3S/ECMWF/UK Met Office.
15
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Soil moisture: 1991–2020
Wildfire emissions: 2003–2022
Surface temperature anomaly for JJA 2022
-7
-5
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
5
7
°C
Surface temperature anomaly for JJA 2022
-7
-5
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
5
7
°C
Soil moisture anomalies and wildfires in JJA 2022
-30
-24
-18
-12
-6
0
6
12
18
24
30
%
Soil moisture anomalies and wildfires in JJA 2022
-30
-24
-18
-12
-6
0
6
12
18
24
30
%
Sea surface temperature anomaly for July 2022
-3.0
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
3.0
°C
Sea surface temperature anomaly for July 2022
-3.0
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
3.0
°C
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16. September
2022
The last of the heatwaves resulted from
an atmospheric river connected with
Hurricane Fiona, which dissipated west of
Greenland after impacting Canada.
The frequency of atmospheric rivers
reaching Greenland has increased since
the late 1990s, contributing to increased
melt of the ice sheet.
A series of atmospheric rivers
delivered exceptional heat and rainfall
to Greenland.
These atmospheric rivers resulted
in three heatwaves, with record
temperatures for September as a
whole, up to 8°C above average.
The extreme heat, combined with rainfall
during a time of year when precipitation
would normally fall as snow, led to record
ice sheet melt, with around a quarter of
the ice sheet (442 000 km2
) under
surface melt on 3 September.
Hurricane Fiona-related
heatwave 24 September
first heatwave peaking 3 September
September
Ice
sheet
melt
Record ice
sheet melt
Greenland
heatwaves
In September 2022, Greenland experienced
exceptional heat and rainfall as a result of a
series of atmospheric rivers, which are long
bands of moisture transport in the
atmosphere. Temperatures were the highest
on record for the month, reaching up to 8°C
higher than average.
Three heatwaves, and precipitation that fell as
rain more often than as snow, led to the most
extensive September surface melting of the ice
sheet on record, with at least 23% of its area
impacted at the peak of the first heatwave.
Rainfall was much higher than average across
southern and western areas of the ice sheet.
An area in the far southwest saw almost
double the average amount of rainfall for
September, a time of year when snowfall is
more typical.
1991—2020
Atmospheric rivers are long, narrow
bands of concentrated moisture (water
vapour) transport across the midlati-
tudes, and can bring
precipitation and
flooding (and in Greenland’s case, melt-
ing of the ice) when they reach land.
Figures: (1) September temperature anomalies. Data
source: ERA5. Credit: C3S/ECMWF. (2) Melt area of the
Greenland ice sheet. Data source: CARRA. Credit: GEUS/C3S/
ECMWF. (3) Total column water vapour on 25 September.
Data source: ERA5. Credit: Copernicus EMS/ECMWF.
Image: Greenland, September
2022. Credit: European Union,
Copernicus Sentinel-2 imagery.
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EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
17. Climate Indicators show
the long-term evolution of
several key variables that
are used to assess the global
and regional trends of a
changing climate. These also
provide the wider context in
which to read the report.
17
Image: Spain, February 2022.
Credit: European Union, Copernicus Sentinel-2 imagery.
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Trends in
Climate Indicators
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18. 18
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
The Paris Agreement aims to hold
the increase in global average
temperature to well below 2°C
above pre-industrial levels, with
countries pursuing efforts to limit
the increase to 1.5°C. The Global
Stocktake, currently underway
and to be repeated every five
years, facilitates the assessment
of collective progress in the
implementation of the Paris
Agreement. Monitoring surface air
and sea surface temperatures
globally and regionally contributes
to this stocktake. Global average
values for these variables have
increased significantly since the
pre-industrial era, by 1.2°C and
0.9°C, respectively, but the rate of
increase has varied in both space
and time.
Increasing
temperatures
over land
and ocean
Since 1850—1900, an increase in
surface air temperature of around
Globe
+1.2°C
Europe
+2.2°C
Arctic
+3°C
(For latest five-year averages)
Temperature
The latest five-year average global temper-
ature is almost the highest on record. In
recent decades, temperatures over land
have risen around twice as fast as those
over oceans. Temperatures over the Arctic
have risen much more rapidly than those
over most of the rest of the globe, with an
estimated warming of around 3°C since the
1970s. Changes prior to this are more
uncertain, particularly for the Arctic.
Sea surface
temperature
Global mean sea surface temperature
(SST) has increased by close to 0.9°C since
records began in 1850. A key modulator of
global SSTs on interannual timescales is
the El Niño Southern Oscillation, which
sees periods of warmer (El Niño) or cooler
(La Niña) than average SSTs in the central
and eastern equatorial Pacific. These
changes in SST influence circulation pat-
terns and surface air temperatures around
the globe. 2022 marked the third
consecutive year of La Niña conditions.
18
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Global sixty-month average surface air temperature (°C). Data source: Six temperature datasets covering all
or parts of 1850–2021. Credit: C3S/ECMWF.
Relative
to
1991–2020
0.5
0
-0.5
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
-1
1860 1940
1900 1980
1880 1960
1920 2000 2020
Increase
above
1850–1900
reference
level
INTRODUCTION
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Six temperature datasets covering all or
parts of 1850–2022. Values for Europe
and the Arctic are over land only.
Two SST datasets covering
1980-2022
HadCRUT5 Berkely Earth
NOAAGlobalTempv5
GISTEMPv4
JRA-55
ERA5
Since 1980, an increase in
SST of around
Globe
+0.5°C
Europe
+1.1°C
(For latest five-year averages)
19. 19
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Greenhouse
gases driving
climate change
Greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the
atmosphere trap heat close to
Earth’s surface. If concentrations
increase, then Earth’s near-surface
temperature also rises, with
significant global impacts. Human
activities lead to the emission of
GHGs in various ways, including
the combustion of fossil fuels for
energy, deforestation, the use of
fertilisers in agriculture, livestock
farming, and the decomposition of
organic material in landfills. Of all
the long-lived GHGs that are emit-
ted by human activities, carbon
dioxide (CO2
), methane (CH4
) and
nitrous oxide (N2
O) have the
largest impact on Earth’s climate.
ppm: parts per million
ppb: parts per billion
1 teragram (Tg) = 1 000 000 000 000 (1012
) grams
In 2022, the annual average
concentrations of greenhouse gases were
CO2
+417 ppm
CH4
+1894 ppb
19
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Greenhouse gas
concentrations
The amount of a gas contained in a
certain volume of air.
The atmospheric concentrations of CO2
and CH4
are at record levels.
Over the last decade of measurements,
an increase in net fluxes of greenhouse
gases at Earth’s surface of around
CO2
+5000 TgC
CH4
+420 TgC
N2O
+18 TgN
(Per year)
Greenhouse gas fluxes
The net difference between the amount of a
gas added to the atmosphere by emissions
from various ‘sources’ and the amount taken
up by various ‘sinks’.
Estimated net surface fluxes of CO2
, CH4
and
N2
O have been increasing during recent dec-
ades. Anthropogenic emissions of CO2
have
been partly compensated by a natural uptake
from the ocean and vegetation.
CO2
: 1979–2021
CH4: 1979–2021
N2O: 1996–2020
Concentrations (column-averaged mixing
ratios) for CO2
and CH4
covering
2003–2022.
Monthly averaged atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO2
) and methane (CH4
). Data are
derived from satellite measurements and averaged over the whole atmospheric column and for 60°S–60°N.
Data source: C3S/Obs4MIPs (v4.4) consolidated (2003–2021) and CAMS preliminary near real-time
data (2022) records. Credit: C3S/CAMS/ECMWF/University of Bremen/SRON.
INTRODUCTION
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20. 20
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
The cryosphere encompasses all
parts of the Earth system where
water is in solid form, including ice
sheets, glaciers, snow cover, perma-
frost and sea ice. The cryosphere
exerts an important influence on
Earth’s climate, and vice versa. Due
to its high reflectivity, changes in
the cryosphere impact the amount
of solar energy taken up by the
planet’s surface, and consequently
temperatures. As temperatures rise,
vast amounts of water stored on
land, in glaciers and ice sheets, melt,
which contributes to global sea level
rise. The changing cryosphere there-
forehasmanyfurtherenvironmental
and societal implications.
The cryosphere
in a changing
climate
Since the 1980s, a loss of
sea ice of around
Arctic (September)
2.6 million km2
Antarctic
No long-term trend
Since 1997, a loss of
glacier ice of
Global
8600 km3
Europe
960 km3
Reference glacier network
of more than 30 years of
ongoing observations.
20
Sea ice
Arctic sea ice extent has declined
markedly
since records began. The decline is largest
around the annual minimum in September,
with widespread retreat across the region. In
addition to the decline in Arctic sea ice extent,
the proportion of multiyear ice has decreased
while the proportion of first-year ice has in-
creased. In the Antarctic, sea ice extent shows
no clear long-term trend, despite reaching
successive all-time minima in February 2022
and 2023.
Glaciers
Both globally and in Europe, glaciers,
distinct from the two ice sheets in
Greenland and Antarctica, have seen a
substantial and prolonged loss of ice mass
since the mid 19th century. The loss has
intensified since around the 1990s, with,
for example, glaciers in Europe having lost
between 9 m and 34 m of ice thickness,
depending on the region, since 1997.
1979–2022
Time series of Antarctic daily sea ice extent for 2022 (black), 2021 (red) and 2017 (blue), the year with the previous
lowest February minimum. Data source: OSI SAF Global Sea Ice Concentration Climate Data Record v3.
Credit: C3S/ECMWF/EUMETSAT.
Record minimum
INTRODUCTION
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21. Credit: European Union Copernicus Sentinel-3 imagery.
INTRODUCTION
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LOSS OF ICE SHEET
GREENLAND AND
ANTARCTICA
SINCE THE 1970S
km3*
11000
more than Ice sheet loss
Greenland
5850 km3
±575
between 1972 and 2021
Antarctica
5372 km3
±1046
between 1979 and 2021
Ice sheets
Since the 1970s, loss of ice from the Greenland
and Antarctic ice sheets has caused sea level to
rise by almost 3 cm. The combined rate of ice
loss has more than tripled since the 1980s,
from 120 km3
per year in the 1980s, to around
460 km3
per year in the 2010s.
Satellite data
*Equivalent to a volume of ice as large as
the white circle and with a depth of 1 metre.
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022 21
22. EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022 22
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Sea level trends (mm/year) from January 1993 to June 2022. Data source: CMEMS Ocean
Monitoring Indicator based on the C3S sea level product. Credit: C3S/ECMWF/CMEMS. Image: The Netherlands, March 2022.
Credit: European Union, Copernicus Sentinel-2 imagery.
Between 1993 and 2022, an average
sea level increase of around
Global
+3.3 mm ±0.3
Europe
+2–4 mm
January 1993 to July 2022.
Sea level
Between 1993 and 2022, there has been a
rise in global mean sea level of around 9.7 cm.
There is also an increasing rate of sea level
rise, with the past 10 years seeing 4.2 mm per
year. Regional trends can deviate considerably
from the global mean. For example, across
Europe, sea level changes differ between the
open ocean and coastal areas due to various
oceanic and geophysical processes.
INTRODUCTION
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(Per year)
23. 23
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Extreme heat impacts on agriculture
The climate and related extreme
events, such as those discussed in the
ESOTC, can impact agriculture,
affecting crop management, devel-
opment and distribution of diseases
and pests, and ultimately the harvest.
Heat stress, for example, at stages
such as flowering, can lead to yield
losses and decreased quality.
C3S’ ‘Agroclimatic indicators explorer’,
with European location-specific data
and climate scenarios, is designed to
help facilitate decision-making ‘at
farm level’, and adaptation planning
at a larger scale. It provides a visual
means of exploring agroclimatic
i
ndicators in the current climate, and
assessing their evolution based on
past trends and future projections.
The ESOTC provides a snapshot of the past year,
based on data from the Copernicus Services and
other agencies. Alongside this valuable historical
information, C3S also offers data underpinning
future climate projections and emission scenarios.
Based on these, C3S provides sector-focused
services with data, tools and example workflows.
These help users in areas such as infrastructure,
agriculture, food security, water, energy, tourism,
health and financial services, in their
climate-
sensitive decisions and solutions.
Extreme values, the frequency of certain events, or
cumulative climate conditions over long periods, are
among the elements available.
By providing crucial data for the past, the present,
and for potential future climates, C3S supports
adaptation to current and future
impacts from
climate change.
C3S offers a range of products
and tools to explore the impacts
of climate change and variability.
Beyond the ESOTC
Data for assessing
climate impacts
Are we on track to keep global temperatures below 1.5 degrees of warming by 2050?
Climate projections and the data that
underpin them are vital for
decision
-
making, allowing various
sectors to
plan and act based on future climate
scenarios. In the context of the Paris
Agreement, the C3S ‘global temp
erature trend monitor’ provides a near
real-time snapshot of when the 1.5°C
limit would be reached, if warming
continued
unabated at today’s rate.
As an operational monitoring tool
fed by C3S’ free and open data, it can
also be adapted or built upon by those
in
different sectors
wanting to under-
stand their climate risk.
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Heat stress (days)
0 20
5 40 100
1 30
10 50 150
A representative concentration pathway (RCP) is a greenhouse gas concentration trajectory adopted
by the IPCC for climate modelling and research.
Projected Heat stress from RCP4.5
Heat stress experienced during 2022 exceeded the
‘middle of the road’ (RCP 4.5) climate projection
24. 24
EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE - SUMMARY 2022
Contributors
The ESOTC’s findings are based on expertise
from across the C3S community, as well as
other Copernicus services and external
partners. The sections are authored by C3S
and data providers from institutions across
Europe and edited by the C3S team. This
report is reviewed by colleagues across the
Copernicus network.
The EU Copernicus Services:
C3S, CAMS, Copernicus EMS, CMEMS, CLMS.
International organisations and
initiatives: ECMWF, EC JRC, EEA, ESA,
EUMETSAT SAF Network, GCOS and
WMO RA VI RCC Network.
European national and regional
meteorological and hydrological
services: DMI (Denmark), DWD
(Germany), KNMI (the Netherlands), MET
Norway, Météo-France, Met Office (United
Kingdom) and indirect contributions from
many others.
Universities and research
organisations: TU Wien (Austria),
CzechGlobe/GCRI (Czechia), GEUS
(Denmark), CEA/LSCE, CLS, CNES, LEGOS
and RTE (France), AWI and University of
Bremen (Germany), SRON, TNO VanderSat
and VU Amsterdam (the Netherlands),
NILU (Norway), University of Zurich and
WGMS (Switzerland), PML, University of
Leeds, University of Leicester, University of
Reading and WEMC (United Kingdom).
The ESOTC 2022 sections rely extensively on
datasets provided operationally and in near
real-time by the Copernicus Services, to give
an overview of 2022 in the long-term context.
The operational data are freely accessible via
data catalogues such as the C3S Climate Data
Store (CDS). These operational data services
build on extensive research and development
undertaken by institutions across Europe and
the rest of the world.
Climate Indicators provide the long-term
context for the globe, Europe and the Arctic,
and build on datasets and estimates which
are brought together to provide a comprehen-
sive multi-source reference, based on data
from Copernicus and from other monitoring
activities. Where data do not yet fully cover
the
reporting period, the most up to date
information is included.
The data behind the ESOTC 2022 and the Climate Indicators
About the report
Satellites
Providing information about Earth’s
surface and its atmosphere from
spaceborne orbit.
Reference periods
By comparing 2022 against the average for a reference period, we can see how the year fits
within a longer-term context. Generally, the reference period used is 1991–2020, but where
less extensive data records are available, more recent and shorter periods are used as
indicated by this symbol.
Model-based estimates
Using the laws of physics and
statistics to build large-scale
models of environmental indicators.
In situ
Measurements from an instrument
located at the point of interest, such as
a land station, at sea or in an aeroplane.
Reanalysis
Using a combination of observations
and computer models to recreate
historical climate conditions.
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25. About us
Vital environmental information for
a changing world
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather
Forecasts (ECMWF) has been entrusted by the
European Commission to implement two of the six
services of the Copernicus programme: the
Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) and the
Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service
(CAMS). In addition, ECMWF provides support to
the Copernicus Emergency Management Service
(Copernicus EMS).
To meet the challenge of global climate change,
accurate, reliable and timely data are key. The
Copernicus Services at ECMWF routinely monitor
data on a global scale, including surface air
temperature, precipitation, sea ice area and
atmospheric greenhouse gases.
The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S)
The Copernicus Climate Change Service adds value
to environmental measurements by providing free
access to quality-assured, traceable data and
applications, all day, every day. We offer consistent
information on the climate anywhere in the world,
and support policymakers, businesses and citizens
in preparing for future climate change impacts.
The Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring
Service (CAMS)
The Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service
adds value to air quality and atmospheric compo-
sition measurements, and provides free access to
quality-assured, traceable data and applications.
Copernicus Services implemented by ECMWF
European Centre for
Medium-Range Weather
Forecasts
Image: Europe.
Credit: Modified European Union Copernicus
Sentinel data.
doi.org/10.24381/gvaf-h066
climate.copernicus.eu
atmosphere.copernicus.eu
copernicus.eu
ecmwf.int
#ESOTC
#CopernicusClimate
#EUSpace
copernicus-press@ecmwf.int
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Reading, UK
Bologna, Italy
Bonn, Germany