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EUROPEAN STATE
OF THE CLIMATE
—
SUMMARY 2020
IMPLEMENTED BY
REPORT
SECTIONS
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Copernicus Climate Change Service European State of the Climate 2020
Cover image: European Union,
contains modified Copernicus Sentinel
imagery, processed by Annamaria
Luongo/SpaceTec Partners 2020.
Image below: The snow-covered Alps,
captured by the Copernicus Sentinel-3
mission. Credit: contains modified
Copernicus Sentinel data (2020),
processed by ESA.
INTRODUCTION
3
GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020
4
EUROPE IN 2020
5
THE ARCTIC IN 2020
10
TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS
13
ABOUT THE REPORT
17
BEYOND THE ESOTC
18
ABOUT US
19
CONTACT
20
INTRODUCTION
European State of
the Climate 2020
—
Welcome to the summary of the European State of the Climate
2020, compiled by the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S),
implemented by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather
Forecasts (ECMWF) on behalf of the European Commission.
C3S provides climate monitoring for the
globe, Europe and the Arctic, and annually
releases the European State of the
Climate (ESOTC). For 2020, the ESOTC
includes a short overview of the global
context in 2020, a more comprehensive
overview of conditions in Europe, and a
focus on the Arctic. This report provides
a detailed analysis of the past calendar
year, with descriptions of climate
conditions and events, and explores
the associated variations in key climate
variables from across all parts of the
Earth system. The ESOTC also gives
updates on the long-term trends of
key climate indicators.
In early spring, there was a remarkable
transition from wet to dry conditions in
northwestern and northeastern Europe,
as captured in precipitation levels, river
discharge and vegetation cover. Several
episodes of very warm weather occurred
during the summer and November.
Although many temperature records were
broken, the heatwaves were not as
intense, widespread or long-lived as
others of recent years.
For Europe as a whole, 2020 showed
close-to-average fire danger conditions,
with periods of locally above-average
conditions, most notably in the Balkans
and eastern Europe during spring months.
Total emissions from wildfires in Europe
were lower than average.
Atmospheric concentrations
of the greenhouse gases
CO2
and CH4
continued to
rise and are at their highest
levels on record. Globally, it
was one of three warmest years on record.
Over northern Siberia, temperatures
reached more than 6°C above average for
the year as a whole, with dry conditions
and record-breaking fire activity during
summer. In the adjacent Arctic seas, sea
ice was at a record low for most of the
summer and autumn.
In 2020, the annual temperature for
Europe was the highest on record. Winter
was particularly warm, also setting a
record, at more than 3.4°C above average.
This had an impact on snow cover and
sea ice, particularly around the Baltic Sea.
Image: Kiruna, the northernmost
town in Sweden. Credit: contains
modified Copernicus Sentinel
data (2020), processed by ESA.
Throughout the report you
will find symbols which
indicate the types of data
and the reference period
used for each section.
More information on these
are in About the report.
Explore the complete
ESOTC
The complete report
is available online at:
climate.copernicus.eu/
ESOTC/2020
Copernicus Climate Change Service 3
European State of the Climate 2020
INTRODUCTION
GLOBAL CONTEXT
IN 2020
EUROPE
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CLIMATE INDICATORS
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The global context is given by the Climate
Indicators for which data are available for
the majority of the year. These indicators
typically build on multi-source or
community estimates, leading to a delay
for producing final data records, and so
not all indicators are covered here.
Additional information about the global
climate during 2020 can be found in the
World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
statement on the State of the Global
Climate in 2020.
Global
context
in 2020
—
The evolution of key climate
indicators provides the global
context for 2020.
Temperature
Globally, 2020 was one of three warmest
years on record. Over parts of the Arctic
and northern Siberia, temperatures
reached more than 6°C above average.
Below-average temperatures were
recorded over the eastern equatorial
Pacific later in the year, associated with
cooler La Niña conditions.
Greenhouse gases
Atmospheric concentrations of the
greenhouse gases CO2
, CH4
and N2
O
were at their highest since satellite-based
observations started in 2003. Preliminary
analysis indicates that CO2
increased at a
somewhat lower rate than in recent years,
while CH4
increased more rapidly. These
changes are likely due to a slight reduction
in emissions linked to the COVID-19
pandemic and to warm temperatures
leading to increased CO2
and CH4
fluxes
associated with land surfaces.
Sea ice
Arctic sea ice reached its second lowest
extent on record, while Antarctic sea ice
extent was close to average around its
annual minimum.
Sea level
Data are only available until June 2020,
however, during this period, global mean
sea level continued to rise.
Glaciers
Due to the COVID-19 pandemic,
several field campaigns were delayed
or cancelled, affecting the availability of
comprehensive data coverage for 2020
at the time of publication.
°C
-7 -5 -3 -2 -1 -0.5 0 7
5
3
2
1
0.5
Surface air temperature for 2020, shown relative to the 1981–2010 average.
Data source: ERA5 Credit: C3S/ECMWF.
Copernicus Climate Change Service 4
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INTRODUCTION
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Europe
in 2020
—
Europe saw its warmest year,
winter and autumn on record.
Wet and dry conditions varied
substantially across the region
and the year.
This section provides the 2020 view
for Europe compared to the long-term
trends of variables across the climate
system. Key events that occurred during
the year are also described within a
climatic context.
Winter in northeastern Europe
was nearly 1.9°C warmer than the
previous record, with low sea ice
cover for the Baltic Sea and a
low number of days with snow
in some areas.
The start of the year saw a
remarkable transition from wet
to dry conditions. In northwestern
Europe, it was one of the driest
springs on record.
Image: The Copernicus Sentinel-2
mission takes us over Zeeland – the
westernmost province in the
Netherlands. Credit: contains
modified Copernicus Sentinel data
(2020), processed by ESA.
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Temperature

The annual temperature for
Europe was the highest on
record.
In 2020, the annual temperature for
Europe was the highest on record; at least
0.4°C warmer than the next five warmest
years, which all occurred during the last
decade. Winter and autumn were the
warmest on record; the winter record
was particularly substantial, at more than
3.4°C above the 1981–2010 average
and around 1.4°C warmer than the
previous warmest winter.
The regions with the largest anomalies
during winter and autumn were in the
northeastern and eastern parts of
Europe, respectively.
During winter, maximum and minimum
temperatures over northeastern
Europe were up to 6°C and 9°C warmer,
respectively, than the 1981–2010 average.
1981–2010
Heat and cold stress

Heat stress levels are
increasing across Europe.
During the summer months, the number
of days with high heat stress levels
are increasing throughout Europe. The
number of winter daytimes with cold
stress has decreased over time in
northern Europe.
For summer 2020, only a few regions of
western, central and northern Europe saw
a maximum heat stress level that was
very different to average. During winter,
the region of ‘moderate cold stress’
reached less far to the south and west
than on average, both for nighttime and
daytime cold stress levels.
1981–2010
Lake surface
temperatures

The surface water
temperature of European
lakes is increasing.
The surface water temperature of
European lakes was just 0.03°C above
the 1996–2016 average during their
2020 warm season, from July to
September. This is a small positive
anomaly, especially when compared with
the record of over 0.8°C above average
reported in 2018. While temperatures
were close to average for the year as
a whole, there was wide variability
throughout the warm season, with
temperatures both above and below
average. The warm season European lake
surface temperatures are increasing at an
average rate of around 0.4°C per decade.
1996–2016
Clouds and
sunshine duration

Sunshine duration is
increasing across Europe.
2020 saw the largest number of sunshine
hours since satellite records began in
1983. This large annual anomaly was
driven by significantly above-average
sunshine duration from January to May.
The largest anomaly values were found
in parts of central and eastern Europe.
In line with the high number of sunshine
hours, cloud cover was at a record low
for 2020. The largest below-average
anomalies were found over central
Europe and across the land areas
bordering the central and eastern
Mediterranean Sea.
1991–2020
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Warm winter

Record-breaking warmth
across a large area of
northeastern Europe.
Winter in northeastern Europe was
exceptionally warm, with average
temperatures nearly 1.9°C higher than
the previous record. This led to unusually
low sea ice cover in the northern part of
the Baltic Sea and the Gulf of Finland,
and a low number of days with snow in
the area around the southern Baltic Sea.
The area of Europe where the daily
maximum temperature stayed above
freezing in winter was the largest on
record, in keeping with a general increase
since the early 1980s, and the number
of days with ‘very strong’ and ‘strong’
cold stress during daytime was the
lowest on record.
1981–2010
Heatwaves and
warm spells

Summer heatwaves
were less intense, less
widespread, and shorter-
lived than in recent years.
Several episodes of very warm weather
occurred during the summer, affecting
different regions each month. In June,
Scandinavia and eastern Europe
experienced a high number of ‘warm
daytimes’. In August, a ridge of high
pressure brought warm air up from Africa,
driving surface temperatures up and
resulting in remarkably warm nighttime
temperatures in western Europe. In
France, several maximum temperature
records for the month of August were
broken; high temperatures were observed
in other parts of Europe as well. None
of the heatwaves were as intense,
widespread or long-lived as others
of recent years. In early November,
Scandinavia experienced a warm spell,
breaking daily maximum temperature
records.
1981–2010
The number of days
during which the
daily maximum
temperature was
below freezing
during winter 2020
(top) and for winter
2020 relative to the
1981–2010 reference
period (bottom).
Data source: E-OBS.
Credit: C3S/KNMI.
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
No. days
Number of 'ice days' – Winter 2020
Number of 'ice days' – Winter 2020 relative to 1981–2010
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Precipitation

Precipitation across Europe
was near average in 2020.
While precipitation levels were average
for the year as a whole, there was a wide
range of anomalies between regions and
between different times of year. For
example, February saw higher levels
of precipitation than average, while
November saw lower than average
precipitation.
A wetter-than-average winter transitioned
into a dry spring in northwest Europe, and
then across western continental Europe,
where persistent dry conditions were
present from spring through to autumn. In
summer, wet conditions were experienced
in a band from the Adriatic Sea to the
Baltic countries.
On the whole, there is no significant
long-term trend in European precipitation.
1981–2010
Soil moisture

Parts of western Europe
saw a long period of drier-
than-average conditions.
The year as a whole saw below-average
soil moisture conditions of a similar
magnitude to 2019, and these were the
second lowest since at least 1979. Most
of Europe was dominated by soil moisture
deficits, especially in France and near the
Black and Caspian Seas.
In winter and spring, northeastern Europe
experienced above-average soil moisture
conditions. Below-average soil moisture
conditions occurred during spring in a
band from the UK and Ireland to the
Caspian Sea. In summer and autumn,
western central Europe continued to see
below-average soil moisture conditions,
whereas eastern central Europe had
above-average soil moisture conditions.
1981–2010
River discharge

River discharge in April and
May was the lowest since at
least 1991.
In parts of northwestern Europe, there
was a remarkable transition from
exceptionally high river discharge from
January to March, to exceptionally low
river discharge in April and May. Across
Europe, average river discharge in April
and May was the lowest in records which
date back to 1991.
River discharge in October was above
average across large parts of Europe in
response to the heavy rainfall from Storm
Alex. Correspondingly, over 60% of the
river network in northwestern Europe
experienced above-average discharge.
1991–2019
Wildfires

Total European wildfire
emissions were low
compared to the
2003–2019 average.
Wildfires in Europe occur throughout the
year, although peak activity is normally
during the summer months in the
Mediterranean region. For Europe as a
whole, 2020 showed close-to-average
fire danger conditions, however, there
were periods of locally above-average fire
danger in winter and spring, most notably
in the Balkans and eastern Europe,
associated with regional events outside
the main fire season. One indicator of
wildfire activity is total wildfire emissions.
2020 European emissions were lower
than average, possibly due to very few
wildfires during the summer, which are
typically those with the highest emissions.

Wildfire danger 1981–2010
Wildfire emissions 2003–2019
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Monthly soil moisture anomalies for February, March and April 2020 relative to the respective monthly
average for the 1981–2010 reference period. Data source: ERA5. Credit: C3S/ECMWF.
Storm Alex

Storm Alex brought
exceptional levels of rain in
a short period of time.
Storm Alex, in early October 2020, was the
first storm of the 2020–21 European winter
storm season. The storm brought unusually
high levels of rainfall in a short period of
time and broke many one-day precipitation
records in the UK, northwestern France and
in the southern Alps.
The precipitation was particularly high
across the French and Italian sides of the
Maritime Alps, with daily rainfall in some
places more than three times the October
average. Storm Alex led to above-average
river discharge over large parts of western
Europe resulting in devastating floods in
some regions.
1981–2010
Transition from a wet
winter to a dry spring

There was a remarkable
transition from a wet winter
into a dry spring.
In February 2020, a large area of
Europe was affected by above-average
precipitation from several heavy rainfall
events. However, northern parts of
western Europe experienced one of the
driest springs of the last 40 years, in
terms of both rainfall and soil moisture.
This wet to dry transition had an
appreciable impact on vegetation growth
and soil moisture across the continent.
On a regional scale, the impacts were
seen in river discharge in northwestern
and northeastern Europe, notably for
the Rhine river basin.
1981–2010
River discharge 1991–2019
In early spring, there was a
remarkable transition from
wet to dry conditions, as
captured in precipitation
levels, river discharge and
vegetation cover.
February
10 %
15
5
0
-5
-10
-15
March
10 %
15
5
0
-5
-10
-15
April
10 %
15
5
0
-5
-10
-15
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The Arctic
in 2020
—
Temperatures in the Arctic were
remarkably warm, particularly
over northern Siberia, which
also saw low snow cover, dry
conditions and high wildfire
activity.
The Arctic section provides an overview
of key climate events in high northern
latitudes during 2020, both at the
surface and higher up in the atmosphere.
Image: Sea ice patches south of Pioneer Island
(Russia), on 14 August 2020. Credit: European
Union, Copernicus Sentinel-2 imagery, processed
by Pierre Markuse for C3S.
The start of the year brought
colder-than-average temperatures
to much of the Arctic. In addition,
March saw a record ozone
depletion event in the stratosphere.
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Summer 2020 soil moisture anomalies relative to the 1981–2010 average (brown/blue) and wildfire
locations (red dots). The shades of the dots denote the total wildfire radiative power, a measure of intensity.
Data source: ERA5, CAMS GFAS v1.2. Credit: C3S/CAMS/ECMWF.
Heat in Siberia

It was by far the warmest
year on record in Arctic
Siberia.
The average 2020 temperature over the
whole of Arctic Siberia was 4.3°C above
the 1981–2010 average; 1.8°C above the
previous record.
Record temperatures in spring and
autumn led to lower-than-average snow
cover. This in turn likely contributed to the
heat, as less solar energy was reflected
and instead was absorbed by the darker
snow-free surfaces.
During the summer, Arctic Siberia saw
widespread wildfire activity, which resulted
in the largest amounts of CO2
emissions
from wildfires since at least 2003.
1981–2010
24
Soil moisture anomaly (%)
Wildfire radiative power (W m-2
)
-30 18
12
6
1–10 10–50 50–100 100
-6
-12
-18
180°
135°E
90°E
45°E
0°
45°W
90°W
135°W
0
-24 30
Temperature

For the Arctic as a whole,
2020 was the second
warmest year on record.
2020 was the second warmest year
on record for the Arctic, with a surface
temperature anomaly of 2.2°C above
the 1981–2010 average.
The first three months of 2020 were
colder than average over large parts of
the Arctic. At the same time, most of
Europe and Siberia were experiencing
much warmer-than-average temperatures.
Later in the year, the Arctic saw its
warmest summer and autumn on record.
The year was marked by exceptional
warmth over large parts of Arctic Siberia,
where annual temperature anomalies
reached more than 6°C above average,
the largest anomalies worldwide.
1981–2010
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Cold winter and record
ozone depletion

A strong polar vortex led to
record stratospheric ozone
depletion in March.
The first three months of the year
brought colder-than-average
temperatures to most of the Arctic.
One notable exception was Arctic Siberia
which, along with the rest of Siberia
and most of Europe, experienced much
warmer conditions than normal.
Both the colder Arctic and warmer
Eurasia in early 2020 can be linked to an
exceptionally strong Arctic Oscillation and
its influence on wind and temperature
patterns. In the stratosphere, a
persistently strong polar vortex led to
record ozone depletion in March in the
Northern Hemisphere.
1981–2010
Sea ice

Arctic sea ice extent in
September was the second
lowest on record.
In September 2020, Arctic sea ice
reached its second lowest minimum
extent since 1979, behind the record
minimum of 2012, with a monthly
mean extent 35% below the
1981–2010 average.
Arctic sea ice extent was the lowest on
record for the time of year in July and
October, primarily due to record low sea
ice cover along the coast of Siberia.
The unusually low cover along the
Siberian coast resulted in part from rapid
sea ice retreat in early summer linked to
record high air temperatures over Arctic
Siberia.
1981–2010
Image: The Nioghalvfjerdsfjorden
Ice Shelf, also known as 79N, is the
floating front end of the Northeast
Greenland Ice Stream. Credit:
contains modified Copernicus data
(2020), processed by ESA.
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Trends in climate
indicators
—
Climate Indicators show the long-term evolution of
several key variables which are used to assess the global
and regional trends of a changing climate. These also
provide the wider context in which to read the report.
Surface temperature
For surface temperature, the aim of the Paris
Agreement, adopted in 2015, is to hold the increase
in the global average temperature to well below
2°C above pre-industrial levels, and to pursue
efforts to limit the increase to 1.5°C. The latest
five-year average global temperature is the highest
on record, and shows a warming of around 1.2°C
above 1850–1900 levels. Since the mid-1970s,
temperatures over land have, on average, been
rising about twice as quickly as those over the sea.

Six temperature datasets covering all or
parts of 1850–2020. Values for Europe
and the Arctic are over land only.
Sea level
Between 1993 and 2020, the global
mean rise in sea level has been around
3.1 mm ± 0.4 mm per year; a total
increase of around 8 cm. Regional trends
can deviate considerably from the global
mean. For example, across Europe, sea
level changes differ between the open
ocean and coastal areas due to various
geophysical processes.

Sea level data record covering
January 1993 to June 2020
Since 1850–1900,
an increase
Globally, of around
1.2°C
Europe, of around
2.2°C
Arctic, estimate
of around
3°C
For five-year
averages
Between 1993
and 2020, a
mean increase
Globally, of around
3.1 mm
In Europe, of around
2–4 mm
Per year
GISTEMPv4
HadCRUT5
NOAAGlobalTempv5
JRA-55
ERA5
Berkeley Earth
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
-0.5
Global 60-month average temperature (°C) Relative to the 1850-1900 reference period
2020
1860 1940
1900 1980
Estimated difference in global surface air temperature relative to the 1850–1900 reference
period, according to six datasets. Credit: C3S/ECMWF.
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Greenhouse gases
driving climate change
Greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the
atmosphere trap heat close to Earth’s
surface. Although they are essential
for a habitable climate, their heat-
trapping capacity means that if their
levels rise, Earth’s temperature also
rises, with significant global impacts.
Human activities lead to the emission of
GHGs in various ways, including the
combustion of fossil fuels for energy,
deforestation, the use of fertilisers in
agriculture, livestock farming, and the
decomposition of organic material in
landfills. Of all the long-lived GHGs that
are emitted by human activities, the ones
that have the largest impact on the
Earth’s climate are carbon dioxide (CO2
),
methane (CH4
) and nitrous oxide (N2
O).
Greenhouse gas
concentrations
The amount of a gas contained in a
certain volume of air.
The atmospheric concentrations of CO2
and CH4
continue to increase.

Concentrations (column-averaged
mixing ratios) for CO2
and CH4
covering 2003–2020
Increase since 2010
CO2
of about
0.6%
CH4
of about
0.4%
Per year in atmospheric
concentrations CO2
: 1979–2019
CH4
: 1990–2019
N2
O: 1996–2018
Greenhouse gas fluxes
The difference between the amount
of a gas added to the atmosphere by
emissions from various ‘sources’ and
the amount taken up by various
‘sinks’, which remove that gas from
the atmosphere.
Estimated net surface fluxes of CO2
,
CH4
and N2
O have been increasing during
recent decades. Anthropogenic emissions
of CO2
have been partly compensated
for by a natural uptake by oceans and
vegetation. In some countries, the
variation in these fluxes is mainly driven
by fossil fuel burning, while for others the
dominant process is the natural uptake by
vegetation through photosynthesis.
Increase at
Earth’s surface
CO2
net fluxes,
of about
5000 TgC
CH4
net fluxes,
of about
420 TgC
N2
O net fluxes,
of about
18 TgN
Per year
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The cryosphere in a
changing climate
The cryosphere encompasses all
the parts of the Earth system where
water is in solid form, including
ice sheets, glaciers, snow cover,
permafrost and sea ice.
The cryosphere exerts an important
influence on Earth’s climate. Due to its
high reflectivity it impacts the amount
of solar energy taken up by the planet’s
surface, and consequently temperatures.
Due to the vast amounts of water stored
on land in glaciers and ice sheets, there is
a direct impact on global mean sea level.
As the climate changes, the cryosphere
changes with it, and these changes
themselves have an influence back
on the climate.
Sea ice
Arctic sea ice extent has declined
markedly in all months of the year, as
recorded by satellite observations since
1979. The decline has been largest
around the annual minimum in
September, with widespread retreat
across the Arctic. In March, at the annual
maximum, long-term retreat is greatest in
the Barents Sea. In the Antarctic, sea ice
extent shows no clear long-term trend,
although more marked changes are seen
in parts of the Southern Ocean.

Sea ice data record covering
1979–2020
Glaciers
Icebergs
Glaciers
Lake/river ice
Sea ice
Snow cover
Ice shelf
Ice sheet
Permafrost
In the Arctic during
1979–2020
March sea ice
extent, per decade
-2.6%
±0.4%
September sea ice
extent, per decade
-12.2%
±1.8%
In the Antarctic
No clear trend in total sea ice extent
Copernicus Climate Change Service 15
European State of the Climate 2020
TRENDS IN
CLIMATE INDICATORS
INTRODUCTION
GLOBAL CONTEXT
IN 2020
EUROPE
IN 2020
THE ARCTIC
IN 2020
ABOUT
THE REPORT
BEYOND
THE ESOTC
ABOUT US CONTACT
Glaciers
Both globally and in Europe, glaciers are
seeing a substantial and prolonged loss
of ice mass.
Globally, an average of about 30 m loss of
ice thickness has been observed since 1957.
Since 1997, glaciers in Europe have lost
between 8 m and 30 m of ice. However,
over most of the 20th century, the rate
of mass loss was lower, and there have
been intermittent periods of mass gain.
Ice sheets
Between 1992 and 2018, the Greenland
and Antarctic Ice Sheets lost over
6520 Gt of ice, causing global sea levels
to rise by more than 18 millimetres. In
Greenland, just over half of this ice loss
has been through reduced surface mass
balance and the remainder from ice
discharge. In Antarctica, increased ice
losses have been driven by increased
glacier discharge.
Since 1957
Global loss of ice
thickness of around
30 m
Since 1960s
European loss of ice
thickness
4–35 m
Southwestern
Scandinavia and the
Alps, respectively
Between 1992
and 2018
In Greenland
-3800
±340 Gt
Between 1992
and 2017
In Antarctica
-2720
±1390 Gt

Reference glacier network
of more than 30 years of
ongoing observations

Satellite data from 11 missions
1992–2018
Image: The Pine Island Glacier,
captured by the Copernicus
Sentinel-2 mission. Credit: contains
modified Copernicus Sentinel data
(2020), processed by ESA.
Copernicus Climate Change Service 16
European State of the Climate 2020
TRENDS IN
CLIMATE INDICATORS
INTRODUCTION
GLOBAL CONTEXT
IN 2020
EUROPE
IN 2020
THE ARCTIC
IN 2020
ABOUT
THE REPORT
BEYOND
THE ESOTC
ABOUT US CONTACT
Satellites
Providing information about
Earth’s surface and its
atmosphere from space.
About the
report
—
By comparing 2020 against a reference period, we can see how the
year fits within a longer-term context. Generally, the reference period
used is 1981–2010, but where less extensive data records are
available, more recent and shorter periods are used.
Contributors
The ESOTC’s findings are based on
expertise from across the C3S community,
as well as other Copernicus services
and external partners. The sections are
authored by the data providers from
institutions across Europe and edited by
the C3S team. This report is reviewed
by colleagues across the Copernicus
network.
The EU Copernicus services:
C3S, CAMS, Copernicus EMS, CMEMS,
CLMS.
International organisations and
initiatives: ECMWF, EC JRC, EEA, ESA,
EUMETSAT SAF Network, GCOS and
WMO RA VI RCC Network.
The data behind the ESOTC
2020 and the Climate Indicators
Climate Indicators provide the long-term
context for the globe, Europe and the
Arctic, and build on datasets and
estimates which are brought together to
provide a comprehensive multi-source
reference, based on data from Copernicus
and from other monitoring activities.
Where data do not yet fully cover the
reporting period, the most up to date
information is included.
European national and regional
meteorological and hydrological
services: ARPA Piemonte (Italy), DMI
(Denmark), DWD (Germany), KNMI
(Netherlands), Met Norway, Météo-France,
Met Office (United Kingdom), and indirect
contributions from many others.
Universities and research
organisations: AWI (Germany),
University of Bremen (Germany), CEA/
LSCE (France), CLS (France), EODC
(Austria), JAXA (Japan), University of
Leeds (United Kingdom), University of
Leicester (United Kingdom), NASA (USA),
NILU (Norway), NIES (Japan), SRON
(Netherlands), University of Reading
(United Kingdom), University of Zurich
(Switzerland), TNO (Netherlands), TU Wien
(Austria), VanderSat (Netherlands), VITO
(Belgium), VU Amsterdam (Netherlands),
WGMS (Switzerland).
The ESOTC 2020 sections rely more
extensively on the datasets provided
operationally and in near real-time by the
Copernicus Services, to give an overview
of 2020 in the long-term context. The
operational data are freely accessible via
data catalogues such as the C3S Climate
Data Store (CDS). These operational data
services build on extensive research and
development undertaken by institutions
across Europe and the rest of the world.
Reanalysis
Using a combination of
observations and computer
models to recreate historical
climate conditions.
In situ
Measurements from an
instrument located at the
point of interest, such as a
land station, at sea or in
an aeroplane.
Model-based estimates
Using the laws of physics and
statistics to build large-scale
models of environmental
indicators.
Copernicus Climate Change Service 17
European State of the Climate 2020
ABOUT
THE REPORT
INTRODUCTION
GLOBAL CONTEXT
IN 2020
EUROPE
IN 2020
THE ARCTIC
IN 2020
TRENDS IN
CLIMATE INDICATORS
BEYOND
THE ESOTC
ABOUT US CONTACT
Impacts of temperature
variations on the net energy
demands of buildings
The net energy demands of buildings
is dependent on the surrounding air
temperatures. Information on the
cumulative number of days that are
above or below temperature thresholds
for specific regions allows users to
estimate this demand. This information,
as well as related variables, such as
energy production, is part of the offer of
the C3S energy service.
Potential impacts of unusually
wet or dry conditions on
agriculture
Throughout a crop’s lifetime, availability
of water is vital. Water availability
for crops can be estimated from data
on evaporation and transpiration.
Such information, together with crop
productivity data, has been produced
by C3S and will soon become part of
the global agriculture service.
Could 2020’s exceptionally
warm winter have had an
impact on the energy sector?
Could the wet to dry transition
in 2020 have had an impact on
the agriculture industry?
The ESOTC provides monitoring of the
past year, based on data available from
the Copernicus Services and other
agencies. C3S extends this offer by
providing a sectorally-focused service
that delivers data, tools and example
workflows to support public and private
stakeholders in their climate-sensitive
decisions and solutions. This service helps
identify the impacts of climate change
and variability on vulnerable sectors such
as infrastructure, agriculture, food
security, water, energy, tourism and
health.
C3S investigates how these sectors
respond to the interplay of different
climate variables by looking at, for
example, extreme values, frequency of
certain events, or cumulative climate
conditions over long periods. The data,
tools and example workflows are
provided for the past and the present, as
well as for the future; the last based on
climate projections.
Beyond the ESOTC, C3S offers a range of products and tools to
explore the impacts of climate change and variability.
BEYOND THE ESOTC:
Data for assessing
climate impacts
—
Copernicus Climate Change Service 18
European State of the Climate 2020
BEYOND
THE ESOTC
INTRODUCTION
GLOBAL CONTEXT
IN 2020
EUROPE
IN 2020
THE ARCTIC
IN 2020
TRENDS IN
CLIMATE INDICATORS
ABOUT
THE REPORT
ABOUT US CONTACT
About us
—
ECMWF Copernicus
services
Vital environmental information
for a changing world
The European Centre for Medium-Range
Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has been
entrusted by the European Commission to
implement two of the six services of the
Copernicus programme: the Copernicus
Climate Change Service (C3S) and the
Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring
Service (CAMS). In addition, ECMWF
provides support to the Copernicus
Emergency Management Service
(Copernicus EMS).
To meet the challenge of global climate
change, accurate, reliable and timely
data are key. The Copernicus Services
at ECMWF routinely monitor data on
a global scale, including surface air
temperature, precipitation, sea ice area
and atmospheric greenhouse gases.
The Copernicus Climate Change
Service (C3S)
The Copernicus Climate Change
Service adds value to environmental
measurements and provides free access
to quality-assured, traceable data and
applications, all day, every day. C3S offers
consistent information on the climate
anywhere in the world, and supports
policymakers, businesses and citizens
to deal with the consequences of
climate change and help them prepare
for the future.
The Copernicus Atmosphere
Monitoring Service (CAMS)
The Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring
Service adds value to air quality and
atmospheric composition measurements,
and provides free access to quality-
assured, traceable data and applications.
https://doi.org/10.24381/43nj-sb24
20210421
Image: Copernicus Sentinel-3
mission shows us a rare, cloud-free
view of Iceland. Credit: contains
modified Copernicus Sentinel data
(2020), processed by ESA.
Copernicus Climate Change Service 19
European State of the Climate 2020
ABOUT US
INTRODUCTION
GLOBAL CONTEXT
IN 2020
EUROPE
IN 2020
THE ARCTIC
IN 2020
TRENDS IN
CLIMATE INDICATORS
ABOUT
THE REPORT
BEYOND
THE ESOTC
CONTACT
Find out more
Web
climate.copernicus.eu
atmosphere.copernicus.eu
copernicus.eu
ecmwf.int
Twitter
@CopernicusECMWF
@CopernicusEU
@ECMWF
LinkedIn
company/copernicus-ecmwf
Facebook
@ECMWFcopernicus
Instagram
@copernicusecmwf
#ESOTC
Copernicus User Services
copernicus-support@ecmwf.int
Copernicus communication
copernicus-communication@ecmwf.int
Media enquiries
copernicus-press@ecmwf.int
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Shinfield Park
Reading
RG2 9AX
United Kingdom
IMPLEMENTED BY

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Esotc2020 summary

  • 1. EUROPEAN STATE OF THE CLIMATE — SUMMARY 2020 IMPLEMENTED BY
  • 2. REPORT SECTIONS This is an interactive document The top toolbar and contents buttons allow you to navigate through the different sections of the report. Copernicus Climate Change Service European State of the Climate 2020 Cover image: European Union, contains modified Copernicus Sentinel imagery, processed by Annamaria Luongo/SpaceTec Partners 2020. Image below: The snow-covered Alps, captured by the Copernicus Sentinel-3 mission. Credit: contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data (2020), processed by ESA. INTRODUCTION 3 GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 4 EUROPE IN 2020 5 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 10 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS 13 ABOUT THE REPORT 17 BEYOND THE ESOTC 18 ABOUT US 19 CONTACT 20
  • 3. INTRODUCTION European State of the Climate 2020 — Welcome to the summary of the European State of the Climate 2020, compiled by the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), implemented by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) on behalf of the European Commission. C3S provides climate monitoring for the globe, Europe and the Arctic, and annually releases the European State of the Climate (ESOTC). For 2020, the ESOTC includes a short overview of the global context in 2020, a more comprehensive overview of conditions in Europe, and a focus on the Arctic. This report provides a detailed analysis of the past calendar year, with descriptions of climate conditions and events, and explores the associated variations in key climate variables from across all parts of the Earth system. The ESOTC also gives updates on the long-term trends of key climate indicators. In early spring, there was a remarkable transition from wet to dry conditions in northwestern and northeastern Europe, as captured in precipitation levels, river discharge and vegetation cover. Several episodes of very warm weather occurred during the summer and November. Although many temperature records were broken, the heatwaves were not as intense, widespread or long-lived as others of recent years. For Europe as a whole, 2020 showed close-to-average fire danger conditions, with periods of locally above-average conditions, most notably in the Balkans and eastern Europe during spring months. Total emissions from wildfires in Europe were lower than average. Atmospheric concentrations of the greenhouse gases CO2 and CH4 continued to rise and are at their highest levels on record. Globally, it was one of three warmest years on record. Over northern Siberia, temperatures reached more than 6°C above average for the year as a whole, with dry conditions and record-breaking fire activity during summer. In the adjacent Arctic seas, sea ice was at a record low for most of the summer and autumn. In 2020, the annual temperature for Europe was the highest on record. Winter was particularly warm, also setting a record, at more than 3.4°C above average. This had an impact on snow cover and sea ice, particularly around the Baltic Sea. Image: Kiruna, the northernmost town in Sweden. Credit: contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data (2020), processed by ESA. Throughout the report you will find symbols which indicate the types of data and the reference period used for each section. More information on these are in About the report. Explore the complete ESOTC The complete report is available online at: climate.copernicus.eu/ ESOTC/2020 Copernicus Climate Change Service 3 European State of the Climate 2020 INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 4. The global context is given by the Climate Indicators for which data are available for the majority of the year. These indicators typically build on multi-source or community estimates, leading to a delay for producing final data records, and so not all indicators are covered here. Additional information about the global climate during 2020 can be found in the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) statement on the State of the Global Climate in 2020. Global context in 2020 — The evolution of key climate indicators provides the global context for 2020. Temperature Globally, 2020 was one of three warmest years on record. Over parts of the Arctic and northern Siberia, temperatures reached more than 6°C above average. Below-average temperatures were recorded over the eastern equatorial Pacific later in the year, associated with cooler La Niña conditions. Greenhouse gases Atmospheric concentrations of the greenhouse gases CO2 , CH4 and N2 O were at their highest since satellite-based observations started in 2003. Preliminary analysis indicates that CO2 increased at a somewhat lower rate than in recent years, while CH4 increased more rapidly. These changes are likely due to a slight reduction in emissions linked to the COVID-19 pandemic and to warm temperatures leading to increased CO2 and CH4 fluxes associated with land surfaces. Sea ice Arctic sea ice reached its second lowest extent on record, while Antarctic sea ice extent was close to average around its annual minimum. Sea level Data are only available until June 2020, however, during this period, global mean sea level continued to rise. Glaciers Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, several field campaigns were delayed or cancelled, affecting the availability of comprehensive data coverage for 2020 at the time of publication. °C -7 -5 -3 -2 -1 -0.5 0 7 5 3 2 1 0.5 Surface air temperature for 2020, shown relative to the 1981–2010 average. Data source: ERA5 Credit: C3S/ECMWF. Copernicus Climate Change Service 4 European State of the Climate 2020 GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 Click here to find out more INTRODUCTION EUROPE IN 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 5. Europe in 2020 — Europe saw its warmest year, winter and autumn on record. Wet and dry conditions varied substantially across the region and the year. This section provides the 2020 view for Europe compared to the long-term trends of variables across the climate system. Key events that occurred during the year are also described within a climatic context. Winter in northeastern Europe was nearly 1.9°C warmer than the previous record, with low sea ice cover for the Baltic Sea and a low number of days with snow in some areas. The start of the year saw a remarkable transition from wet to dry conditions. In northwestern Europe, it was one of the driest springs on record. Image: The Copernicus Sentinel-2 mission takes us over Zeeland – the westernmost province in the Netherlands. Credit: contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data (2020), processed by ESA. EUROPE IN 2020 5 European State of the Climate 2020 Copernicus Climate Change Service Click here to find out more INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 6. Temperature The annual temperature for Europe was the highest on record. In 2020, the annual temperature for Europe was the highest on record; at least 0.4°C warmer than the next five warmest years, which all occurred during the last decade. Winter and autumn were the warmest on record; the winter record was particularly substantial, at more than 3.4°C above the 1981–2010 average and around 1.4°C warmer than the previous warmest winter. The regions with the largest anomalies during winter and autumn were in the northeastern and eastern parts of Europe, respectively. During winter, maximum and minimum temperatures over northeastern Europe were up to 6°C and 9°C warmer, respectively, than the 1981–2010 average. 1981–2010 Heat and cold stress Heat stress levels are increasing across Europe. During the summer months, the number of days with high heat stress levels are increasing throughout Europe. The number of winter daytimes with cold stress has decreased over time in northern Europe. For summer 2020, only a few regions of western, central and northern Europe saw a maximum heat stress level that was very different to average. During winter, the region of ‘moderate cold stress’ reached less far to the south and west than on average, both for nighttime and daytime cold stress levels. 1981–2010 Lake surface temperatures The surface water temperature of European lakes is increasing. The surface water temperature of European lakes was just 0.03°C above the 1996–2016 average during their 2020 warm season, from July to September. This is a small positive anomaly, especially when compared with the record of over 0.8°C above average reported in 2018. While temperatures were close to average for the year as a whole, there was wide variability throughout the warm season, with temperatures both above and below average. The warm season European lake surface temperatures are increasing at an average rate of around 0.4°C per decade. 1996–2016 Clouds and sunshine duration Sunshine duration is increasing across Europe. 2020 saw the largest number of sunshine hours since satellite records began in 1983. This large annual anomaly was driven by significantly above-average sunshine duration from January to May. The largest anomaly values were found in parts of central and eastern Europe. In line with the high number of sunshine hours, cloud cover was at a record low for 2020. The largest below-average anomalies were found over central Europe and across the land areas bordering the central and eastern Mediterranean Sea. 1991–2020 Copernicus Climate Change Service 6 European State of the Climate 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 7. Warm winter Record-breaking warmth across a large area of northeastern Europe. Winter in northeastern Europe was exceptionally warm, with average temperatures nearly 1.9°C higher than the previous record. This led to unusually low sea ice cover in the northern part of the Baltic Sea and the Gulf of Finland, and a low number of days with snow in the area around the southern Baltic Sea. The area of Europe where the daily maximum temperature stayed above freezing in winter was the largest on record, in keeping with a general increase since the early 1980s, and the number of days with ‘very strong’ and ‘strong’ cold stress during daytime was the lowest on record. 1981–2010 Heatwaves and warm spells Summer heatwaves were less intense, less widespread, and shorter- lived than in recent years. Several episodes of very warm weather occurred during the summer, affecting different regions each month. In June, Scandinavia and eastern Europe experienced a high number of ‘warm daytimes’. In August, a ridge of high pressure brought warm air up from Africa, driving surface temperatures up and resulting in remarkably warm nighttime temperatures in western Europe. In France, several maximum temperature records for the month of August were broken; high temperatures were observed in other parts of Europe as well. None of the heatwaves were as intense, widespread or long-lived as others of recent years. In early November, Scandinavia experienced a warm spell, breaking daily maximum temperature records. 1981–2010 The number of days during which the daily maximum temperature was below freezing during winter 2020 (top) and for winter 2020 relative to the 1981–2010 reference period (bottom). Data source: E-OBS. Credit: C3S/KNMI. -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 No. days Number of 'ice days' – Winter 2020 Number of 'ice days' – Winter 2020 relative to 1981–2010 Copernicus Climate Change Service 7 European State of the Climate 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 8. Precipitation Precipitation across Europe was near average in 2020. While precipitation levels were average for the year as a whole, there was a wide range of anomalies between regions and between different times of year. For example, February saw higher levels of precipitation than average, while November saw lower than average precipitation. A wetter-than-average winter transitioned into a dry spring in northwest Europe, and then across western continental Europe, where persistent dry conditions were present from spring through to autumn. In summer, wet conditions were experienced in a band from the Adriatic Sea to the Baltic countries. On the whole, there is no significant long-term trend in European precipitation. 1981–2010 Soil moisture Parts of western Europe saw a long period of drier- than-average conditions. The year as a whole saw below-average soil moisture conditions of a similar magnitude to 2019, and these were the second lowest since at least 1979. Most of Europe was dominated by soil moisture deficits, especially in France and near the Black and Caspian Seas. In winter and spring, northeastern Europe experienced above-average soil moisture conditions. Below-average soil moisture conditions occurred during spring in a band from the UK and Ireland to the Caspian Sea. In summer and autumn, western central Europe continued to see below-average soil moisture conditions, whereas eastern central Europe had above-average soil moisture conditions. 1981–2010 River discharge River discharge in April and May was the lowest since at least 1991. In parts of northwestern Europe, there was a remarkable transition from exceptionally high river discharge from January to March, to exceptionally low river discharge in April and May. Across Europe, average river discharge in April and May was the lowest in records which date back to 1991. River discharge in October was above average across large parts of Europe in response to the heavy rainfall from Storm Alex. Correspondingly, over 60% of the river network in northwestern Europe experienced above-average discharge. 1991–2019 Wildfires Total European wildfire emissions were low compared to the 2003–2019 average. Wildfires in Europe occur throughout the year, although peak activity is normally during the summer months in the Mediterranean region. For Europe as a whole, 2020 showed close-to-average fire danger conditions, however, there were periods of locally above-average fire danger in winter and spring, most notably in the Balkans and eastern Europe, associated with regional events outside the main fire season. One indicator of wildfire activity is total wildfire emissions. 2020 European emissions were lower than average, possibly due to very few wildfires during the summer, which are typically those with the highest emissions. Wildfire danger 1981–2010 Wildfire emissions 2003–2019 Copernicus Climate Change Service 8 European State of the Climate 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 9. Monthly soil moisture anomalies for February, March and April 2020 relative to the respective monthly average for the 1981–2010 reference period. Data source: ERA5. Credit: C3S/ECMWF. Storm Alex Storm Alex brought exceptional levels of rain in a short period of time. Storm Alex, in early October 2020, was the first storm of the 2020–21 European winter storm season. The storm brought unusually high levels of rainfall in a short period of time and broke many one-day precipitation records in the UK, northwestern France and in the southern Alps. The precipitation was particularly high across the French and Italian sides of the Maritime Alps, with daily rainfall in some places more than three times the October average. Storm Alex led to above-average river discharge over large parts of western Europe resulting in devastating floods in some regions. 1981–2010 Transition from a wet winter to a dry spring There was a remarkable transition from a wet winter into a dry spring. In February 2020, a large area of Europe was affected by above-average precipitation from several heavy rainfall events. However, northern parts of western Europe experienced one of the driest springs of the last 40 years, in terms of both rainfall and soil moisture. This wet to dry transition had an appreciable impact on vegetation growth and soil moisture across the continent. On a regional scale, the impacts were seen in river discharge in northwestern and northeastern Europe, notably for the Rhine river basin. 1981–2010 River discharge 1991–2019 In early spring, there was a remarkable transition from wet to dry conditions, as captured in precipitation levels, river discharge and vegetation cover. February 10 % 15 5 0 -5 -10 -15 March 10 % 15 5 0 -5 -10 -15 April 10 % 15 5 0 -5 -10 -15 Copernicus Climate Change Service 9 European State of the Climate 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 10. The Arctic in 2020 — Temperatures in the Arctic were remarkably warm, particularly over northern Siberia, which also saw low snow cover, dry conditions and high wildfire activity. The Arctic section provides an overview of key climate events in high northern latitudes during 2020, both at the surface and higher up in the atmosphere. Image: Sea ice patches south of Pioneer Island (Russia), on 14 August 2020. Credit: European Union, Copernicus Sentinel-2 imagery, processed by Pierre Markuse for C3S. The start of the year brought colder-than-average temperatures to much of the Arctic. In addition, March saw a record ozone depletion event in the stratosphere. THE ARCTIC IN 2020 10 European State of the Climate 2020 Copernicus Climate Change Service Click here to find out more INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 11. Summer 2020 soil moisture anomalies relative to the 1981–2010 average (brown/blue) and wildfire locations (red dots). The shades of the dots denote the total wildfire radiative power, a measure of intensity. Data source: ERA5, CAMS GFAS v1.2. Credit: C3S/CAMS/ECMWF. Heat in Siberia It was by far the warmest year on record in Arctic Siberia. The average 2020 temperature over the whole of Arctic Siberia was 4.3°C above the 1981–2010 average; 1.8°C above the previous record. Record temperatures in spring and autumn led to lower-than-average snow cover. This in turn likely contributed to the heat, as less solar energy was reflected and instead was absorbed by the darker snow-free surfaces. During the summer, Arctic Siberia saw widespread wildfire activity, which resulted in the largest amounts of CO2 emissions from wildfires since at least 2003. 1981–2010 24 Soil moisture anomaly (%) Wildfire radiative power (W m-2 ) -30 18 12 6 1–10 10–50 50–100 100 -6 -12 -18 180° 135°E 90°E 45°E 0° 45°W 90°W 135°W 0 -24 30 Temperature For the Arctic as a whole, 2020 was the second warmest year on record. 2020 was the second warmest year on record for the Arctic, with a surface temperature anomaly of 2.2°C above the 1981–2010 average. The first three months of 2020 were colder than average over large parts of the Arctic. At the same time, most of Europe and Siberia were experiencing much warmer-than-average temperatures. Later in the year, the Arctic saw its warmest summer and autumn on record. The year was marked by exceptional warmth over large parts of Arctic Siberia, where annual temperature anomalies reached more than 6°C above average, the largest anomalies worldwide. 1981–2010 Copernicus Climate Change Service 11 European State of the Climate 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 12. Cold winter and record ozone depletion A strong polar vortex led to record stratospheric ozone depletion in March. The first three months of the year brought colder-than-average temperatures to most of the Arctic. One notable exception was Arctic Siberia which, along with the rest of Siberia and most of Europe, experienced much warmer conditions than normal. Both the colder Arctic and warmer Eurasia in early 2020 can be linked to an exceptionally strong Arctic Oscillation and its influence on wind and temperature patterns. In the stratosphere, a persistently strong polar vortex led to record ozone depletion in March in the Northern Hemisphere. 1981–2010 Sea ice Arctic sea ice extent in September was the second lowest on record. In September 2020, Arctic sea ice reached its second lowest minimum extent since 1979, behind the record minimum of 2012, with a monthly mean extent 35% below the 1981–2010 average. Arctic sea ice extent was the lowest on record for the time of year in July and October, primarily due to record low sea ice cover along the coast of Siberia. The unusually low cover along the Siberian coast resulted in part from rapid sea ice retreat in early summer linked to record high air temperatures over Arctic Siberia. 1981–2010 Image: The Nioghalvfjerdsfjorden Ice Shelf, also known as 79N, is the floating front end of the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream. Credit: contains modified Copernicus data (2020), processed by ESA. Copernicus Climate Change Service 12 European State of the Climate 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 13. Trends in climate indicators — Climate Indicators show the long-term evolution of several key variables which are used to assess the global and regional trends of a changing climate. These also provide the wider context in which to read the report. Surface temperature For surface temperature, the aim of the Paris Agreement, adopted in 2015, is to hold the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels, and to pursue efforts to limit the increase to 1.5°C. The latest five-year average global temperature is the highest on record, and shows a warming of around 1.2°C above 1850–1900 levels. Since the mid-1970s, temperatures over land have, on average, been rising about twice as quickly as those over the sea. Six temperature datasets covering all or parts of 1850–2020. Values for Europe and the Arctic are over land only. Sea level Between 1993 and 2020, the global mean rise in sea level has been around 3.1 mm ± 0.4 mm per year; a total increase of around 8 cm. Regional trends can deviate considerably from the global mean. For example, across Europe, sea level changes differ between the open ocean and coastal areas due to various geophysical processes. Sea level data record covering January 1993 to June 2020 Since 1850–1900, an increase Globally, of around 1.2°C Europe, of around 2.2°C Arctic, estimate of around 3°C For five-year averages Between 1993 and 2020, a mean increase Globally, of around 3.1 mm In Europe, of around 2–4 mm Per year GISTEMPv4 HadCRUT5 NOAAGlobalTempv5 JRA-55 ERA5 Berkeley Earth 1.5 1.0 0.5 0 -0.5 Global 60-month average temperature (°C) Relative to the 1850-1900 reference period 2020 1860 1940 1900 1980 Estimated difference in global surface air temperature relative to the 1850–1900 reference period, according to six datasets. Credit: C3S/ECMWF. Copernicus Climate Change Service 13 European State of the Climate 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS Click here to find out more INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 14. Greenhouse gases driving climate change Greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere trap heat close to Earth’s surface. Although they are essential for a habitable climate, their heat- trapping capacity means that if their levels rise, Earth’s temperature also rises, with significant global impacts. Human activities lead to the emission of GHGs in various ways, including the combustion of fossil fuels for energy, deforestation, the use of fertilisers in agriculture, livestock farming, and the decomposition of organic material in landfills. Of all the long-lived GHGs that are emitted by human activities, the ones that have the largest impact on the Earth’s climate are carbon dioxide (CO2 ), methane (CH4 ) and nitrous oxide (N2 O). Greenhouse gas concentrations The amount of a gas contained in a certain volume of air. The atmospheric concentrations of CO2 and CH4 continue to increase. Concentrations (column-averaged mixing ratios) for CO2 and CH4 covering 2003–2020 Increase since 2010 CO2 of about 0.6% CH4 of about 0.4% Per year in atmospheric concentrations CO2 : 1979–2019 CH4 : 1990–2019 N2 O: 1996–2018 Greenhouse gas fluxes The difference between the amount of a gas added to the atmosphere by emissions from various ‘sources’ and the amount taken up by various ‘sinks’, which remove that gas from the atmosphere. Estimated net surface fluxes of CO2 , CH4 and N2 O have been increasing during recent decades. Anthropogenic emissions of CO2 have been partly compensated for by a natural uptake by oceans and vegetation. In some countries, the variation in these fluxes is mainly driven by fossil fuel burning, while for others the dominant process is the natural uptake by vegetation through photosynthesis. Increase at Earth’s surface CO2 net fluxes, of about 5000 TgC CH4 net fluxes, of about 420 TgC N2 O net fluxes, of about 18 TgN Per year Copernicus Climate Change Service 14 European State of the Climate 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 15. The cryosphere in a changing climate The cryosphere encompasses all the parts of the Earth system where water is in solid form, including ice sheets, glaciers, snow cover, permafrost and sea ice. The cryosphere exerts an important influence on Earth’s climate. Due to its high reflectivity it impacts the amount of solar energy taken up by the planet’s surface, and consequently temperatures. Due to the vast amounts of water stored on land in glaciers and ice sheets, there is a direct impact on global mean sea level. As the climate changes, the cryosphere changes with it, and these changes themselves have an influence back on the climate. Sea ice Arctic sea ice extent has declined markedly in all months of the year, as recorded by satellite observations since 1979. The decline has been largest around the annual minimum in September, with widespread retreat across the Arctic. In March, at the annual maximum, long-term retreat is greatest in the Barents Sea. In the Antarctic, sea ice extent shows no clear long-term trend, although more marked changes are seen in parts of the Southern Ocean. Sea ice data record covering 1979–2020 Glaciers Icebergs Glaciers Lake/river ice Sea ice Snow cover Ice shelf Ice sheet Permafrost In the Arctic during 1979–2020 March sea ice extent, per decade -2.6% ±0.4% September sea ice extent, per decade -12.2% ±1.8% In the Antarctic No clear trend in total sea ice extent Copernicus Climate Change Service 15 European State of the Climate 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 16. Glaciers Both globally and in Europe, glaciers are seeing a substantial and prolonged loss of ice mass. Globally, an average of about 30 m loss of ice thickness has been observed since 1957. Since 1997, glaciers in Europe have lost between 8 m and 30 m of ice. However, over most of the 20th century, the rate of mass loss was lower, and there have been intermittent periods of mass gain. Ice sheets Between 1992 and 2018, the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets lost over 6520 Gt of ice, causing global sea levels to rise by more than 18 millimetres. In Greenland, just over half of this ice loss has been through reduced surface mass balance and the remainder from ice discharge. In Antarctica, increased ice losses have been driven by increased glacier discharge. Since 1957 Global loss of ice thickness of around 30 m Since 1960s European loss of ice thickness 4–35 m Southwestern Scandinavia and the Alps, respectively Between 1992 and 2018 In Greenland -3800 ±340 Gt Between 1992 and 2017 In Antarctica -2720 ±1390 Gt Reference glacier network of more than 30 years of ongoing observations Satellite data from 11 missions 1992–2018 Image: The Pine Island Glacier, captured by the Copernicus Sentinel-2 mission. Credit: contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data (2020), processed by ESA. Copernicus Climate Change Service 16 European State of the Climate 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 17. Satellites Providing information about Earth’s surface and its atmosphere from space. About the report — By comparing 2020 against a reference period, we can see how the year fits within a longer-term context. Generally, the reference period used is 1981–2010, but where less extensive data records are available, more recent and shorter periods are used. Contributors The ESOTC’s findings are based on expertise from across the C3S community, as well as other Copernicus services and external partners. The sections are authored by the data providers from institutions across Europe and edited by the C3S team. This report is reviewed by colleagues across the Copernicus network. The EU Copernicus services: C3S, CAMS, Copernicus EMS, CMEMS, CLMS. International organisations and initiatives: ECMWF, EC JRC, EEA, ESA, EUMETSAT SAF Network, GCOS and WMO RA VI RCC Network. The data behind the ESOTC 2020 and the Climate Indicators Climate Indicators provide the long-term context for the globe, Europe and the Arctic, and build on datasets and estimates which are brought together to provide a comprehensive multi-source reference, based on data from Copernicus and from other monitoring activities. Where data do not yet fully cover the reporting period, the most up to date information is included. European national and regional meteorological and hydrological services: ARPA Piemonte (Italy), DMI (Denmark), DWD (Germany), KNMI (Netherlands), Met Norway, Météo-France, Met Office (United Kingdom), and indirect contributions from many others. Universities and research organisations: AWI (Germany), University of Bremen (Germany), CEA/ LSCE (France), CLS (France), EODC (Austria), JAXA (Japan), University of Leeds (United Kingdom), University of Leicester (United Kingdom), NASA (USA), NILU (Norway), NIES (Japan), SRON (Netherlands), University of Reading (United Kingdom), University of Zurich (Switzerland), TNO (Netherlands), TU Wien (Austria), VanderSat (Netherlands), VITO (Belgium), VU Amsterdam (Netherlands), WGMS (Switzerland). The ESOTC 2020 sections rely more extensively on the datasets provided operationally and in near real-time by the Copernicus Services, to give an overview of 2020 in the long-term context. The operational data are freely accessible via data catalogues such as the C3S Climate Data Store (CDS). These operational data services build on extensive research and development undertaken by institutions across Europe and the rest of the world. Reanalysis Using a combination of observations and computer models to recreate historical climate conditions. In situ Measurements from an instrument located at the point of interest, such as a land station, at sea or in an aeroplane. Model-based estimates Using the laws of physics and statistics to build large-scale models of environmental indicators. Copernicus Climate Change Service 17 European State of the Climate 2020 ABOUT THE REPORT INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS BEYOND THE ESOTC ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 18. Impacts of temperature variations on the net energy demands of buildings The net energy demands of buildings is dependent on the surrounding air temperatures. Information on the cumulative number of days that are above or below temperature thresholds for specific regions allows users to estimate this demand. This information, as well as related variables, such as energy production, is part of the offer of the C3S energy service. Potential impacts of unusually wet or dry conditions on agriculture Throughout a crop’s lifetime, availability of water is vital. Water availability for crops can be estimated from data on evaporation and transpiration. Such information, together with crop productivity data, has been produced by C3S and will soon become part of the global agriculture service. Could 2020’s exceptionally warm winter have had an impact on the energy sector? Could the wet to dry transition in 2020 have had an impact on the agriculture industry? The ESOTC provides monitoring of the past year, based on data available from the Copernicus Services and other agencies. C3S extends this offer by providing a sectorally-focused service that delivers data, tools and example workflows to support public and private stakeholders in their climate-sensitive decisions and solutions. This service helps identify the impacts of climate change and variability on vulnerable sectors such as infrastructure, agriculture, food security, water, energy, tourism and health. C3S investigates how these sectors respond to the interplay of different climate variables by looking at, for example, extreme values, frequency of certain events, or cumulative climate conditions over long periods. The data, tools and example workflows are provided for the past and the present, as well as for the future; the last based on climate projections. Beyond the ESOTC, C3S offers a range of products and tools to explore the impacts of climate change and variability. BEYOND THE ESOTC: Data for assessing climate impacts — Copernicus Climate Change Service 18 European State of the Climate 2020 BEYOND THE ESOTC INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS ABOUT THE REPORT ABOUT US CONTACT
  • 19. About us — ECMWF Copernicus services Vital environmental information for a changing world The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has been entrusted by the European Commission to implement two of the six services of the Copernicus programme: the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) and the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS). In addition, ECMWF provides support to the Copernicus Emergency Management Service (Copernicus EMS). To meet the challenge of global climate change, accurate, reliable and timely data are key. The Copernicus Services at ECMWF routinely monitor data on a global scale, including surface air temperature, precipitation, sea ice area and atmospheric greenhouse gases. The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) The Copernicus Climate Change Service adds value to environmental measurements and provides free access to quality-assured, traceable data and applications, all day, every day. C3S offers consistent information on the climate anywhere in the world, and supports policymakers, businesses and citizens to deal with the consequences of climate change and help them prepare for the future. The Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) The Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service adds value to air quality and atmospheric composition measurements, and provides free access to quality- assured, traceable data and applications. https://doi.org/10.24381/43nj-sb24 20210421 Image: Copernicus Sentinel-3 mission shows us a rare, cloud-free view of Iceland. Credit: contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data (2020), processed by ESA. Copernicus Climate Change Service 19 European State of the Climate 2020 ABOUT US INTRODUCTION GLOBAL CONTEXT IN 2020 EUROPE IN 2020 THE ARCTIC IN 2020 TRENDS IN CLIMATE INDICATORS ABOUT THE REPORT BEYOND THE ESOTC CONTACT
  • 20. Find out more Web climate.copernicus.eu atmosphere.copernicus.eu copernicus.eu ecmwf.int Twitter @CopernicusECMWF @CopernicusEU @ECMWF LinkedIn company/copernicus-ecmwf Facebook @ECMWFcopernicus Instagram @copernicusecmwf #ESOTC Copernicus User Services copernicus-support@ecmwf.int Copernicus communication copernicus-communication@ecmwf.int Media enquiries copernicus-press@ecmwf.int European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Shinfield Park Reading RG2 9AX United Kingdom IMPLEMENTED BY