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Session 12: Episode 3(4)
—
Wrapping up the Web and the
history of cognitive technologies
William P. Hall
President
Kororoit Institute Proponents and Supporters
Assoc., Inc. - http://kororoit.org
william-hall@bigpond.com
http://www.orgs-evolution-knowledge.net
Access my research papers from
Google Citations
Tonight
 Tonight’s session was originally intended to explore various
cognitive processes implemented in the Web itself
 Time will be much better spent summing up the what I think are
the main messages so far and looking to the future
– Knowledge defines what we are as humans and confers strategic
power on those who apply it
– Humans have invented a range of tools that improves the quantity
and quality of knowledge people can control and apply by extending,
externalizing, and even replacing human cognition
– The capacities and rates of change of these technologies are
growing exponentially
 Future topics
– Theoretical Interlude looking through the lenses of physics and
biology at the intertwined natures of life, knowledge and growing
organizational complexity
– The emergence of post-human humano-technical cyborgs
– The pre-historical co-evolution of technology and human cognition
and the emergence of humano-technical organization
– Case study of organizational KM and Coda – the sting in the tail2
Summing up the first
half
Knowledge-based revolutions repeatedly changed the
ecological nature of the human species
 What is knowledge and how does it grow
– Karl Popper: knowledge is solutions to problems
– Thomas Kuhn: knowledge revolutions fundamentally change the way
we see and deal with problems
– The punctuated evolution of technology, adaptation & cognition
 Knowledge to make tools extending anatomy and physiology
– Making and using simple mechanical tools to interact with the
environment: sticks, stones, clubs, levers and fire
– Ropes, shovels and domesticated animals to manage the environment
– Machines to replace metabolic power with industrial power
– Microelectronics to extend & automate cognitive power
 Knowledge to make tools extending cognition and knowledge
– Speech & teaching extend the capacity to transfer cultural knowing
– Mnemonic technologies extend the capacity of living memory
– Counting, writing, & reading enable external storage of knowledge
– Printing & universal literacy enable the industrial revolution growth
of scientific knowledge
– Knowledge automation and the Web enables hyperexponential growth4
Valuing Knowledge
 What are data, information and knowledge?
 Quantifying knowledge/information?
– Can measure the volume of information/text in bits, bytes and
terabytes
– What does this tell us?
 Qualitative values for different kinds of information
– Utility value of knowledge
– WIKID Power
 Knowledge transformations:
– Data 
– Information 
– Knowledge 
– Intelligence 
– Wisdom 
– Epistemic & Strategic Power
5
Constructing knowledge and power
 Popper and Polanyi in the KM world
 Popper’s evolutionary theory of knowledge and 3 worlds
 Boyd’s OODA loop process
 The importance of
iteration and selective
feedback!
 Evolutionary vs
revolutionary adaptation
6
Episodes 1-3
—
Technological
enhancement of
cognition
 Prehistoric knowledge management – enhancing memory with
mnemonics
– A significant topic for Episode 5
– See Emergence Meetup - Knowledge & Power in Prehistoric Societies
 Counting and writing
– Tokens
– Media
– Books
– Libraries
 Printing
– Paper
– Presses
– Typesetting
– Automation
 The Reformation and Scientific and Industrial Revolutions
– Rise of universal literacy
– Rise of the universal library
Episode 1 — Augmenting & Externalizing Memory
8
Episode 2 ─ Automating & externalizing cognition
 Ancient and forgotten technologies for prophecy and magic
– Analog computing in ancient Greece
– Automated temples and toys
– Forgotten knowledge is lost knowledge
 The short life of analog computing
 Clockwork toys become clocks and calculators
– Gear-driven calculators
– Weaving and process control – the punch-card era
 The generations of electronic calculation
1. Binary electronics and stored programs
2. The rise of magnetic cores and storage
3. The solid state, Moore’s Law and exponential growth
 From flipping switches to casting spells
– Revolutions in programming languages x speed x storage capacity
– Arthur C. Clarke’s third law: Any sufficiently advanced technology is
indistinguishable from magic9
Episode 3 – Cognitive tools for individuals
 Tools for making knowledge explicit and processing it externally
– Knowledge moved to world 3 can be processed automatically
– Killer apps
 Word processing
 Spread sheets
 Databases
 Paradigms for world 3: paper vs structure
– Typesetting and appearance vs logical structure and semantics
– Structure facilitates higher order processing
 Tools to manage and retrieve useful from an exponentially
growing body of scientific knowledge
 The Internet and Web revolutions
– Exponential capacity increase puts the world of knowledge on-line
– Search engines retrieve appropriate knowledge at light speed and
completely revolutionizes humanity’s relationship with knowledge
 Growing autonomy in the Web10
Phenomenal growth
 Some numbers (Witiger.Com)
– Number of Internet devices:
 1984  1,000 (one thousand)
 1992  1,000,000 (one million)
 2008  1,000,000,000 (one billion)
– To reach 50,000,000 (fifty million) users it took
the
 Telephone 38 years
 Television 13 years
 Internet = Web 4 years
 iPod 3 years
 Facebook 2 years
11
How much knowledge held in the Web?
 My primary interest is meaningful “content” (web pages, documents,
books), not data
 Three Webs
– Surface web –freely accessible to a browser
 Inktomi Jan 2000 1,000,000,000 pages
 Notess (2006) Dec 2000 600,000,000
Dec 2001 1,500,000,000
Nov 2002 3,000,000,000
Feb 2004 4,000,000,000
2006 20,000,000,000
 Wikipedia current 36,607, 000 (~4 M for content)
 Google (2008) Jul 2008 1,000,000,000,000 (w/o duplicates)
 Indexed Web current ~47,000,000,000 (Google)
 Web Archive current 8,083,803 (books & texts)
– Deep/hidden Web – requires subscription or password to access, e.g.
 e-Journals: University of Melbourne Library accesses 116,279
– Some are available free to the web, most are not (Scholar indexes)
 e-Book titles on Amazon: 6,911,733; (437,674 are free, rest are not)
 Subscription news, financial reports, other databases, etc.
– Dark Web – encrypted & deeply hidden content (TOR, privacy, hacking, …)
 See Dr Gareth Owen 2015 Tor: Hidden Services and Deanonymisation
 Quantification difficult (~80% of access seems to be child abuse porn)
12
What Next?
—
But before that an
Interlude to stretch
your mind
Interlude 1 ─ Autopoiesis & physics of life, cognition
& knowledge
 Physics and dynamics in world 1 – the “laws” of nature
– Causation, change and causation at the quantum level
– Thermodynamics drives emergence and evolution at the macroscopic
level
 The likely emergence of world 2 and the inevitable entanglement
of knowledge and life
– What is life?
– Autopoiesis, “circular organization”, survival and the propagation of
adaptive structural organization
– Structural knowledge in Popper’s world 2
 The emergence of macromolecular knowledge in world 3
– Selection and evolution in the RNA world
– Sharing and mixing macromolecular knowledge in W3 across time and
space
 Multicellularity & sexual reproduction
 Culture & the social sharing of knowledge at a higher level of
organization
14
Interlude 2 – Theory of hierarchically complex systems and
knowledge at higher levels of organization
 Simon, Kauffman, Salthe and hierarchy theory
– Complicated vs complex
– Thermodynamically driven emergence
– Systems, composite systems, subsystems and supersystems
– Holarchies and focal levels
– Levels of organization
 Hierarchical structure of living systems and the applicability of
autopoiesis and knowledge to multiple levels of organization
– Molecules
– Organelles
– Cells
– Multicellulars
– Organizations
– Societies
 Emerging autopoiesis at higher levels of organization (i.e.,
autopoietic/living organizations)15
Final Episodes
—
We can see the post human
world now
How did we come to this
Episode 4 – Rise of the trans-human cyborgs
 Applying Moore’s Law
– Technological convergence
– Rise of the “intelligent” cloud
– Apps on “smart” devices
– Human machine interfaces
 Current human enhancements
– Prosthetics
– Google Glasses
– Bionic eyes and ears
– Drones
– Neural interfaces (sensors and effectors)
 Understanding neural “wetware”
– Mapping
– Simulation
– Cognitive convergence between wetware and hardware/software
 Emergent self-consciousness and autonomy
17
Episode 5 – Reconstructing the evolutionary
imperatives that made us what we are today
 Scope: Tracing evolutionary circumstances that transformed
social, tool-making and using apes into what we are today
 Identifying our ancestors: paleontology and paleogenetics
 Changing roles of genetics and culture for transmitting
knowledge heritage of nature and technology
 Technological revolutions radically enhance adaptive capabilities
– Prehistoric technologies
– Top carnivores on the African savanna
– Hunting & gathering around the world
– Mnemonics and the agricultural revolution
 Emergence of higher order living systems – organizations &
societies
– Emergence of knowledge-based autopoietic groups
– Sociotechnical organizations and their cognitive processes
– Still higher level social systems?
18
Concluding the story
Cadenza: Emergence, life & death of a sociotechnical
organization
20
Coda: Where will it all end?
21

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Episode 3(4): Wrapping up the Web and the history of cognitive technologies - Meetup session12

  • 1. Session 12: Episode 3(4) — Wrapping up the Web and the history of cognitive technologies William P. Hall President Kororoit Institute Proponents and Supporters Assoc., Inc. - http://kororoit.org william-hall@bigpond.com http://www.orgs-evolution-knowledge.net Access my research papers from Google Citations
  • 2. Tonight  Tonight’s session was originally intended to explore various cognitive processes implemented in the Web itself  Time will be much better spent summing up the what I think are the main messages so far and looking to the future – Knowledge defines what we are as humans and confers strategic power on those who apply it – Humans have invented a range of tools that improves the quantity and quality of knowledge people can control and apply by extending, externalizing, and even replacing human cognition – The capacities and rates of change of these technologies are growing exponentially  Future topics – Theoretical Interlude looking through the lenses of physics and biology at the intertwined natures of life, knowledge and growing organizational complexity – The emergence of post-human humano-technical cyborgs – The pre-historical co-evolution of technology and human cognition and the emergence of humano-technical organization – Case study of organizational KM and Coda – the sting in the tail2
  • 3. Summing up the first half
  • 4. Knowledge-based revolutions repeatedly changed the ecological nature of the human species  What is knowledge and how does it grow – Karl Popper: knowledge is solutions to problems – Thomas Kuhn: knowledge revolutions fundamentally change the way we see and deal with problems – The punctuated evolution of technology, adaptation & cognition  Knowledge to make tools extending anatomy and physiology – Making and using simple mechanical tools to interact with the environment: sticks, stones, clubs, levers and fire – Ropes, shovels and domesticated animals to manage the environment – Machines to replace metabolic power with industrial power – Microelectronics to extend & automate cognitive power  Knowledge to make tools extending cognition and knowledge – Speech & teaching extend the capacity to transfer cultural knowing – Mnemonic technologies extend the capacity of living memory – Counting, writing, & reading enable external storage of knowledge – Printing & universal literacy enable the industrial revolution growth of scientific knowledge – Knowledge automation and the Web enables hyperexponential growth4
  • 5. Valuing Knowledge  What are data, information and knowledge?  Quantifying knowledge/information? – Can measure the volume of information/text in bits, bytes and terabytes – What does this tell us?  Qualitative values for different kinds of information – Utility value of knowledge – WIKID Power  Knowledge transformations: – Data  – Information  – Knowledge  – Intelligence  – Wisdom  – Epistemic & Strategic Power 5
  • 6. Constructing knowledge and power  Popper and Polanyi in the KM world  Popper’s evolutionary theory of knowledge and 3 worlds  Boyd’s OODA loop process  The importance of iteration and selective feedback!  Evolutionary vs revolutionary adaptation 6
  • 8.  Prehistoric knowledge management – enhancing memory with mnemonics – A significant topic for Episode 5 – See Emergence Meetup - Knowledge & Power in Prehistoric Societies  Counting and writing – Tokens – Media – Books – Libraries  Printing – Paper – Presses – Typesetting – Automation  The Reformation and Scientific and Industrial Revolutions – Rise of universal literacy – Rise of the universal library Episode 1 — Augmenting & Externalizing Memory 8
  • 9. Episode 2 ─ Automating & externalizing cognition  Ancient and forgotten technologies for prophecy and magic – Analog computing in ancient Greece – Automated temples and toys – Forgotten knowledge is lost knowledge  The short life of analog computing  Clockwork toys become clocks and calculators – Gear-driven calculators – Weaving and process control – the punch-card era  The generations of electronic calculation 1. Binary electronics and stored programs 2. The rise of magnetic cores and storage 3. The solid state, Moore’s Law and exponential growth  From flipping switches to casting spells – Revolutions in programming languages x speed x storage capacity – Arthur C. Clarke’s third law: Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic9
  • 10. Episode 3 – Cognitive tools for individuals  Tools for making knowledge explicit and processing it externally – Knowledge moved to world 3 can be processed automatically – Killer apps  Word processing  Spread sheets  Databases  Paradigms for world 3: paper vs structure – Typesetting and appearance vs logical structure and semantics – Structure facilitates higher order processing  Tools to manage and retrieve useful from an exponentially growing body of scientific knowledge  The Internet and Web revolutions – Exponential capacity increase puts the world of knowledge on-line – Search engines retrieve appropriate knowledge at light speed and completely revolutionizes humanity’s relationship with knowledge  Growing autonomy in the Web10
  • 11. Phenomenal growth  Some numbers (Witiger.Com) – Number of Internet devices:  1984  1,000 (one thousand)  1992  1,000,000 (one million)  2008  1,000,000,000 (one billion) – To reach 50,000,000 (fifty million) users it took the  Telephone 38 years  Television 13 years  Internet = Web 4 years  iPod 3 years  Facebook 2 years 11
  • 12. How much knowledge held in the Web?  My primary interest is meaningful “content” (web pages, documents, books), not data  Three Webs – Surface web –freely accessible to a browser  Inktomi Jan 2000 1,000,000,000 pages  Notess (2006) Dec 2000 600,000,000 Dec 2001 1,500,000,000 Nov 2002 3,000,000,000 Feb 2004 4,000,000,000 2006 20,000,000,000  Wikipedia current 36,607, 000 (~4 M for content)  Google (2008) Jul 2008 1,000,000,000,000 (w/o duplicates)  Indexed Web current ~47,000,000,000 (Google)  Web Archive current 8,083,803 (books & texts) – Deep/hidden Web – requires subscription or password to access, e.g.  e-Journals: University of Melbourne Library accesses 116,279 – Some are available free to the web, most are not (Scholar indexes)  e-Book titles on Amazon: 6,911,733; (437,674 are free, rest are not)  Subscription news, financial reports, other databases, etc. – Dark Web – encrypted & deeply hidden content (TOR, privacy, hacking, …)  See Dr Gareth Owen 2015 Tor: Hidden Services and Deanonymisation  Quantification difficult (~80% of access seems to be child abuse porn) 12
  • 13. What Next? — But before that an Interlude to stretch your mind
  • 14. Interlude 1 ─ Autopoiesis & physics of life, cognition & knowledge  Physics and dynamics in world 1 – the “laws” of nature – Causation, change and causation at the quantum level – Thermodynamics drives emergence and evolution at the macroscopic level  The likely emergence of world 2 and the inevitable entanglement of knowledge and life – What is life? – Autopoiesis, “circular organization”, survival and the propagation of adaptive structural organization – Structural knowledge in Popper’s world 2  The emergence of macromolecular knowledge in world 3 – Selection and evolution in the RNA world – Sharing and mixing macromolecular knowledge in W3 across time and space  Multicellularity & sexual reproduction  Culture & the social sharing of knowledge at a higher level of organization 14
  • 15. Interlude 2 – Theory of hierarchically complex systems and knowledge at higher levels of organization  Simon, Kauffman, Salthe and hierarchy theory – Complicated vs complex – Thermodynamically driven emergence – Systems, composite systems, subsystems and supersystems – Holarchies and focal levels – Levels of organization  Hierarchical structure of living systems and the applicability of autopoiesis and knowledge to multiple levels of organization – Molecules – Organelles – Cells – Multicellulars – Organizations – Societies  Emerging autopoiesis at higher levels of organization (i.e., autopoietic/living organizations)15
  • 16. Final Episodes — We can see the post human world now How did we come to this
  • 17. Episode 4 – Rise of the trans-human cyborgs  Applying Moore’s Law – Technological convergence – Rise of the “intelligent” cloud – Apps on “smart” devices – Human machine interfaces  Current human enhancements – Prosthetics – Google Glasses – Bionic eyes and ears – Drones – Neural interfaces (sensors and effectors)  Understanding neural “wetware” – Mapping – Simulation – Cognitive convergence between wetware and hardware/software  Emergent self-consciousness and autonomy 17
  • 18. Episode 5 – Reconstructing the evolutionary imperatives that made us what we are today  Scope: Tracing evolutionary circumstances that transformed social, tool-making and using apes into what we are today  Identifying our ancestors: paleontology and paleogenetics  Changing roles of genetics and culture for transmitting knowledge heritage of nature and technology  Technological revolutions radically enhance adaptive capabilities – Prehistoric technologies – Top carnivores on the African savanna – Hunting & gathering around the world – Mnemonics and the agricultural revolution  Emergence of higher order living systems – organizations & societies – Emergence of knowledge-based autopoietic groups – Sociotechnical organizations and their cognitive processes – Still higher level social systems? 18
  • 20. Cadenza: Emergence, life & death of a sociotechnical organization 20
  • 21. Coda: Where will it all end? 21