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DAILYAGRI COMMODITY REPORT
25 Feb 2015
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1
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
DHANIYA
APR 6502 6510 6391 6440 -1.27 18290
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
7034
SUPP. 2
6653
PIVOT
6772
Dhaniya short term
trend is down, further
more downside is
expected in coming
days.
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7153
RES. 2
6991
CASTORSEED
MAR 3594 3645 3532 3628 +0.39 57990
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3558
SUPP. 2
3489
PIVOT
3602
Castorseed short term
trend is down, Prices
expected to go down in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3671
RES. 2
3715
TURMERIC
APR 8800 8930 8712 8870 +0.11 18720
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8744
SUPP. 2
8619
PIVOT
8837
Turmeric short term
trend is up and may
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8963
RES. 2
9056
GUARGUM
MAR 8300 8350 8030 8350 -1.76 10959
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8137
SUPP. 2
7923
PIVOT
8243
Guargum Short term
trend is Down,
Expecting price may go
Down in coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8457
RES. 2
8463
Most Active Contract
3
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
REFINED SOY OIL 20-04-2015 596.00 5.00 0.85%
CASTOR SEED NEW 20-03-2015 3644.00 30.00 0.83%
CHANA 20-04-2015 3654.00 30.00 0.83%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-03-2015 1509.00 8.00 0.53%
SOYABEAN 20-04-2015 3403.00 18.00 0.53%
TURMERIC 20-04-2015 8866.00 42.00 0.48%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-04-2015 3349.00 13.00 0.39%
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
JEERA 20-03-2015 15130.00 -470.00 -3.01%
CORIANDER 20-04-2015 6439.00 -75.00 -1.15%
BARLEY 20-04-2015 1138.50 -6.50 -0.57%
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3628 3614 +0.39
CHANA 3652 3626 +0.72
CORIANDER 6440 6523 -1.27
GUARGUM 8350 8500 -1.76
JEERA 15120 15595 -3.05
MUSTARD SEED 3353 3337 +0.48
SOYABEAN 3403 3383 +0.59
TURMERIC 8870 8860 +0.11
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
 India’s foodgrains storage capacity available with FCI and State
agencies is711.16 lakh tons against the stock position of 355.60 lakh
ton as on 31.1.2015. Thisinformation was given by the Minister of
State for Consumer Affairs, Food and PublicDistribution, The
Ministersaid that to meet additional requirement of storage in deficit
areas, a capacity of 292730tons in North-East Region (Assam,
Mizoram, Meghalaya, Tripura, Nagaland, ArunachalPradesh)
including Sikkim and 76220 tons in the areas other than North-Eastern
Region i.e.Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Odisha, Jharkhand,
Kerala and Lakshdweep (UT) hasbeen approved under 12th Five Year
Plan. A total of 49,9120 tons of storage capacity hasbeen constructed
by 31.1.2015.To further augment covered storage capacity in the
country, Government has formulatedPrivate Entrepreneurs Guarantee
(PEG) Scheme for construction of storage capacitiesthrough Private
Entrepreneurs, Central Warehousing Corporation (CWC), State
WarehousingCorporations (SWCs) and State agencies. Under this
scheme, a capacity of 202.22 lakh tonhas been approved for
construction at various locations in 20 States. Out of this, acapacity of
122.88 lakh ton in the form of conventional godowns has been
completed upto31.1.2015. He said that it has been decided by the
Government that the stocks storedtemporarily in the Cover and Plinth
(CAP) storage are to be liquidated first to avoid anydamage.
 Steady trend was seen in wheat due to possibility of delay
harvesting of new crop on the back of erratic monsoon in Northern
India. Traders are expecting strong domestic production in the current
year. As per the latest release from the United States Department of
Agriculture (USDA), Global wheat production is projected at 725.03
million tonnes in 2014-15, up 1.73 million tonnes from the previous
update. This was mainly due to strong production in Argentina and
Kazakhstan.
 Turmeric witnessed some selling today due to limited demand by
exporters in major mandies.spot demand amid on profit-taking.
However a likely fall in the production due to a sharp drop in the area
under cultivation restricted the downside. In 2014-15, the Production of
pulses estimated at 18.43 million tonnes is lower by 4.36% from 19.5
million tonnes produced in 2013-14. India is likely to harvest 16%
lower chana in 2014-15 from last year on lower planted area (down
16% Y-O-Y). cureret year, down 20 lakh bags from the last year in the
same period. Acreage of the crop harvested in 2015 is forecasted 13%
lower at 8.19 million hectare as compared to 10.19 million hectare in
previous season In Nizamabad, a major spot market in AP, the price
ended at 8218.2 rupees dropped -46.5 rupees.
 Chana prices witnessed some recovery in today's trading due to
limited arrivals and erratic monsoon in major producing states. The
arrivals in Delhi reported at 20 trucks today as compared to 45 trucks
average in the previous week. The prices are trading at Rs 3525 per
quintal, up Rs 25 from the last day.
 Jeera on improvement due demand, though rising new season
supplies capped the upside. According to the data, jeera, a rabi crop,
has been sown on 2.64 lakh hectares (lh) this year in Gujarat compared
with 4.54 lh during the same period a year ago. In Rajasthan, it has
been sown on 3.39 lh this year against 3.90 lh last year .sowing of jeera
in Gujarat and Rajasthan has been affected due to erratic monsoon and
farmers fetching low prices in the last two years. Jeera is sown from
October till the beginning of December and harvesting starts in
February. March-April will be the months of peak arrivals. At New
Delhi market estimated market supply was at 9000 quintals, lower by
3000 quintals from previous trading day. At Jodhpur market total
arrivals are at 250 quintals.
5
Fundamental Watch :Sugar
SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKET
National Market Update
 Indian firm Shree Basaveshwar Sugars Limited (SBSL) had signed up a
project to build a SR1.5-billion ($400 million) sugar refinery in Jazan
Industrial City in southern Saudi Arabia. Industry executives pegged the
Indian raw sugar production in between 8-10 lakh tons this season despite
confronting an export limit of 1.4 million tons by the govt. This was because
the Indian crushing season is expected to cease down soon with most of the
sugar mills, especially in southern India wrapping down for the season.The
Indian govt. approved the much awaited raw sugar export subsidy for this
season 2014-15 i.e. 1st Oct, 2014- 30th Sep, 2015. Notably, the subsidy was
given at a rate of Rs 4,000/ton up to a limit of 1.4 million tons to help the cash
starved sugar industry in the country. Owing to the ethanol demand by OMC’s
(Oil Marketing Companies), 35 sugar mills in Maharashtra had placed bid to
supply 21 crore liters of ethanol in 2014-15 catering almost 65% of the total
demand by firms.Sugar market condition worsens in Tamil Nadu as the
neighboring state Karnataka, dumped its excessive production on to the state
leading to a huge accumulation of buildup stock. 518 sugar mills in India had
produced 167.08 lakh tons of sugar till 15th Feb, 2015 for MY 2014-15 which
was 15.01% higher than the production made last year during the same
interval.
 With an end to the crushing season in Brazil, the main Center South region
had churned around 14 thousand tons of sugar in second half of January, 2015
compared to 28 thousand tons in the first half of January (2015).As per the
data released by UNICA, Brazil had crushed around 570.1 million tons of
sugarcane in the crushing season 2014-15 (Apr, 1 – Jan, 31) compared to 596
million tons in 2013-14 (Apr, 1 –Jan, 31). The severe draught that hit the
country in the beginning of 2014 was citied responsible for the lower cane
production this year. The Brazilian govt. announced an increase in ethanol
blending with gasoline from 25 per cent at present to 27 per cent. The move is
likely to help the devastating sugar industry as more cane could now be
diverted towards ethanol production in the country.
CENTER 24-Feb-15 23-Feb-15 Change
DELHI 2800 2810 -10
DHAMPUR 2640 2660 -20
MUMBAI 2886 2896 -10
KOLHAPUR 2575 2580 -5
VIJAYWADA 3070 3070 UNCH
NAGPUR 3000 3000 UNCH
KOLKATA 2840 NA -
Technical Outlook
6
SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 6390 TGTS 6360,6310 SL 6440 BUY GUARUGM MAR ABOVE 8350 TGTS 8400,8500 SL 8260
SELL CASTORSEED MAR BELOW 3610 TGTS 3580,3530 SL 3660 SELL TMC APR BELOW 8800 TGTS 8750,8650 SL 8890
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Epic research daily agri report 25 feb 2015

  • 1. DAILYAGRI COMMODITY REPORT 25 Feb 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL DHANIYA APR 6502 6510 6391 6440 -1.27 18290 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 7034 SUPP. 2 6653 PIVOT 6772 Dhaniya short term trend is down, further more downside is expected in coming days. RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7153 RES. 2 6991 CASTORSEED MAR 3594 3645 3532 3628 +0.39 57990 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 3558 SUPP. 2 3489 PIVOT 3602 Castorseed short term trend is down, Prices expected to go down in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 3671 RES. 2 3715 TURMERIC APR 8800 8930 8712 8870 +0.11 18720 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 8744 SUPP. 2 8619 PIVOT 8837 Turmeric short term trend is up and may continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8963 RES. 2 9056 GUARGUM MAR 8300 8350 8030 8350 -1.76 10959 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 8137 SUPP. 2 7923 PIVOT 8243 Guargum Short term trend is Down, Expecting price may go Down in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8457 RES. 2 8463
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % REFINED SOY OIL 20-04-2015 596.00 5.00 0.85% CASTOR SEED NEW 20-03-2015 3644.00 30.00 0.83% CHANA 20-04-2015 3654.00 30.00 0.83% COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 20-03-2015 1509.00 8.00 0.53% SOYABEAN 20-04-2015 3403.00 18.00 0.53% TURMERIC 20-04-2015 8866.00 42.00 0.48% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 20-04-2015 3349.00 13.00 0.39% TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % JEERA 20-03-2015 15130.00 -470.00 -3.01% CORIANDER 20-04-2015 6439.00 -75.00 -1.15% BARLEY 20-04-2015 1138.50 -6.50 -0.57% NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 3628 3614 +0.39 CHANA 3652 3626 +0.72 CORIANDER 6440 6523 -1.27 GUARGUM 8350 8500 -1.76 JEERA 15120 15595 -3.05 MUSTARD SEED 3353 3337 +0.48 SOYABEAN 3403 3383 +0.59 TURMERIC 8870 8860 +0.11
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS  India’s foodgrains storage capacity available with FCI and State agencies is711.16 lakh tons against the stock position of 355.60 lakh ton as on 31.1.2015. Thisinformation was given by the Minister of State for Consumer Affairs, Food and PublicDistribution, The Ministersaid that to meet additional requirement of storage in deficit areas, a capacity of 292730tons in North-East Region (Assam, Mizoram, Meghalaya, Tripura, Nagaland, ArunachalPradesh) including Sikkim and 76220 tons in the areas other than North-Eastern Region i.e.Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Odisha, Jharkhand, Kerala and Lakshdweep (UT) hasbeen approved under 12th Five Year Plan. A total of 49,9120 tons of storage capacity hasbeen constructed by 31.1.2015.To further augment covered storage capacity in the country, Government has formulatedPrivate Entrepreneurs Guarantee (PEG) Scheme for construction of storage capacitiesthrough Private Entrepreneurs, Central Warehousing Corporation (CWC), State WarehousingCorporations (SWCs) and State agencies. Under this scheme, a capacity of 202.22 lakh tonhas been approved for construction at various locations in 20 States. Out of this, acapacity of 122.88 lakh ton in the form of conventional godowns has been completed upto31.1.2015. He said that it has been decided by the Government that the stocks storedtemporarily in the Cover and Plinth (CAP) storage are to be liquidated first to avoid anydamage.  Steady trend was seen in wheat due to possibility of delay harvesting of new crop on the back of erratic monsoon in Northern India. Traders are expecting strong domestic production in the current year. As per the latest release from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), Global wheat production is projected at 725.03 million tonnes in 2014-15, up 1.73 million tonnes from the previous update. This was mainly due to strong production in Argentina and Kazakhstan.  Turmeric witnessed some selling today due to limited demand by exporters in major mandies.spot demand amid on profit-taking. However a likely fall in the production due to a sharp drop in the area under cultivation restricted the downside. In 2014-15, the Production of pulses estimated at 18.43 million tonnes is lower by 4.36% from 19.5 million tonnes produced in 2013-14. India is likely to harvest 16% lower chana in 2014-15 from last year on lower planted area (down 16% Y-O-Y). cureret year, down 20 lakh bags from the last year in the same period. Acreage of the crop harvested in 2015 is forecasted 13% lower at 8.19 million hectare as compared to 10.19 million hectare in previous season In Nizamabad, a major spot market in AP, the price ended at 8218.2 rupees dropped -46.5 rupees.  Chana prices witnessed some recovery in today's trading due to limited arrivals and erratic monsoon in major producing states. The arrivals in Delhi reported at 20 trucks today as compared to 45 trucks average in the previous week. The prices are trading at Rs 3525 per quintal, up Rs 25 from the last day.  Jeera on improvement due demand, though rising new season supplies capped the upside. According to the data, jeera, a rabi crop, has been sown on 2.64 lakh hectares (lh) this year in Gujarat compared with 4.54 lh during the same period a year ago. In Rajasthan, it has been sown on 3.39 lh this year against 3.90 lh last year .sowing of jeera in Gujarat and Rajasthan has been affected due to erratic monsoon and farmers fetching low prices in the last two years. Jeera is sown from October till the beginning of December and harvesting starts in February. March-April will be the months of peak arrivals. At New Delhi market estimated market supply was at 9000 quintals, lower by 3000 quintals from previous trading day. At Jodhpur market total arrivals are at 250 quintals.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch :Sugar SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKET National Market Update  Indian firm Shree Basaveshwar Sugars Limited (SBSL) had signed up a project to build a SR1.5-billion ($400 million) sugar refinery in Jazan Industrial City in southern Saudi Arabia. Industry executives pegged the Indian raw sugar production in between 8-10 lakh tons this season despite confronting an export limit of 1.4 million tons by the govt. This was because the Indian crushing season is expected to cease down soon with most of the sugar mills, especially in southern India wrapping down for the season.The Indian govt. approved the much awaited raw sugar export subsidy for this season 2014-15 i.e. 1st Oct, 2014- 30th Sep, 2015. Notably, the subsidy was given at a rate of Rs 4,000/ton up to a limit of 1.4 million tons to help the cash starved sugar industry in the country. Owing to the ethanol demand by OMC’s (Oil Marketing Companies), 35 sugar mills in Maharashtra had placed bid to supply 21 crore liters of ethanol in 2014-15 catering almost 65% of the total demand by firms.Sugar market condition worsens in Tamil Nadu as the neighboring state Karnataka, dumped its excessive production on to the state leading to a huge accumulation of buildup stock. 518 sugar mills in India had produced 167.08 lakh tons of sugar till 15th Feb, 2015 for MY 2014-15 which was 15.01% higher than the production made last year during the same interval.  With an end to the crushing season in Brazil, the main Center South region had churned around 14 thousand tons of sugar in second half of January, 2015 compared to 28 thousand tons in the first half of January (2015).As per the data released by UNICA, Brazil had crushed around 570.1 million tons of sugarcane in the crushing season 2014-15 (Apr, 1 – Jan, 31) compared to 596 million tons in 2013-14 (Apr, 1 –Jan, 31). The severe draught that hit the country in the beginning of 2014 was citied responsible for the lower cane production this year. The Brazilian govt. announced an increase in ethanol blending with gasoline from 25 per cent at present to 27 per cent. The move is likely to help the devastating sugar industry as more cane could now be diverted towards ethanol production in the country. CENTER 24-Feb-15 23-Feb-15 Change DELHI 2800 2810 -10 DHAMPUR 2640 2660 -20 MUMBAI 2886 2896 -10 KOLHAPUR 2575 2580 -5 VIJAYWADA 3070 3070 UNCH NAGPUR 3000 3000 UNCH KOLKATA 2840 NA -
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 6390 TGTS 6360,6310 SL 6440 BUY GUARUGM MAR ABOVE 8350 TGTS 8400,8500 SL 8260 SELL CASTORSEED MAR BELOW 3610 TGTS 3580,3530 SL 3660 SELL TMC APR BELOW 8800 TGTS 8750,8650 SL 8890
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.