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DAILYAGRI COMMODITY REPORT
12 January 2015
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
DHANIYA
APR 8275 8375 8206 8370 +1.34 9020
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
8259
SUPP. 2
8148
PIVOT
8317
Dhaniya short term
trend is up, further
more upside is
expected in comimg
days.
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8428
RES. 2
8486
CASTORSEED
FEB 4750 4757 4710 4724 -0.46 36550
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
4704
SUPP. 2
4683
PIVOT
4730
Castorseed short term
trend is up, Prices
expected to go up in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4751
RES. 2
4777
TURMERIC
APR 8870 9190 8760 9020 +0.76 29885
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8790
SUPP. 2
8560
PIVOT
8990
Turmeric short term
trend is up and may
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
9220
RES. 2
9420
GUARGUM
FEB 12100 12170 11910 11940 -1.97 9070
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
11843
SUPP. 2
11747
PIVOT
12007
Guargum Short term
trend is Down,
Expecting price may go
Down in coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
12103
RES. 2
12267
Most Active Contract
3
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
TURMERIC 20-04-2015 9020.00 68.00 0.76%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 20-01-2015 4110.00 17.00 0.42%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-01-2015 1440.00 3.00 0.21%
CHANA 20-01-2015 3488.00 5.00 0.14%
BARLEY 20-01-2015 1644.50 1.50 0.09%
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
JEERA 20-01-2015 14600.00 -350.00 -2.34%
GUR 20-01-2015 990.00 -16.50 -1.64%
SOYABEAN 20-01-2015 3332.00 -30.00 -0.89%
REFINED SOY OIL 20-01-2015 665.35 -4.15 -0.62%
CORIANDER 20-01-2015 11825.00 -1.00 -0.01%
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 4724 4746 -0.46
CHANA 3550 3536 +0.40
CORIANDER 8370 8259 +1.34
GUARGUM 11940 12180 -1.97
JEERA 14980 15280 -1.96
MUSTARD SEED 3566 3556 +0.28
SOYABEAN 3468 3490 -0.63
TURMERIC 9020 8952 +0.76
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
The procuring operation of the Cotton Corporation of India(CCI) is
moving on in full swing at a time when the farmers are depressed over
the price crash. CCI has purchased around 41 lakh bales of cotton
from the key growing states of Andhra Pradesh and
Maharashtra."Cotton procurement has reached 41 lakh bales of 170 kg
each so far this year. Maximum procurement was from Andhra
Pradesh and Telangana, followed by Maharasthra," a senior Textile
Ministry official told PTI.CCI started the Minimum Support
Price(MSP) operation as prices of Cotton fell below MSP in the major
growing states like Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Maharashtra
during the current Cotton season 2014-15.CCI has initiated action for
procurement of Cotton from the growers at the MSP in 341 centres
located in 92 Districts in 11 Cotton growing States.Domestic. At
present, Cotton prices in international markets are ruling lower than
the prices that prevailed during the corresponding period last year
primarily due to lower demand by China and increased supply from
the USA. India's export prospects were hurt by China’s decision to
place an import quota. India exports nearly 60 per cent of its cotton to
China, the world’s largest importer, which has a stockpile nearly 63
million cotton bales. India's cotton production has grown
tremendously since 2001-02 and is estimated to be 40.2 million bales
(170 Kgs each) in 2014-15. It was just 15.8 million bales in 2001-02.
India's cabinet could soon approve an increase in the raw sugar
subsidy paid to mills to about 4,000 rupees ($64) per tonne as it looks
to cut large stockpiles, India, the world's biggest producer behind
Brazil, paid a subsidy of 3,300 rupees to produce and export raw sugar
in the season that ended in September The country is sitting on
massive mounds of the sweetener due to the fifth straight year of
surplus output, which has depressed local prices and strained mills'
finances.Additionally India, which is also the world's biggest sugar
consumer, has failed to export because of weak global prices.
Turmeric futures pared two days of losses as fresh buying emerged at lower
levels. The NCDEX April futures ended the day at Rs 9020, up Rs 68 or
0.76%. Good arrivals were noted in Nizamabad today as well and the prices
tumbled amid thin demand. The traders are expecting this momentum to
continue, keeping prices slightly on a bearish track. Prices have already soared
by around 30% in last three weeks,, hitting highs above Rs 8000 per quintal.
However, the counter is trading at Rs 7835 per quintal mark in Nizamabad
today, down Rs 150 on the day.The turmeric futures crashed under Rs 9k on
strong arrivals in the physical market and prices rebounded today from the
prior losses on bargain buying at lower levels. The NCDEX April futures
ended the day at Rs 9020, up Rs 68 or 0.76% and the open interest added
3480 tonnes to 30,690 tonnes, indicating fresh buying.
Jeera futures slipped on weak physical demand. The NCDEX Jeera for the
February delivery ended the day at Rs 14,980, down 300 or 1.96%. Jeera
slipped under Rs 15000 per quintal today, extending a drop from its 15 month
high amid steady demand. Prices soared in last few days on good buying
support following persistent worries over the acreage. The commodity is
trading at Rs 14927 per quintal, down Rs 100 per quintal on the day. The total
daily arrivals stand at just 8000 bags- witnessing a slack season lull. Rajasthan
crop is seen taking a hit to the tune of around 30% on poor weather. However,
physical buying is lacking the punch now after a massive rise in prices.Jeera
futures slipped under Rs 15k today after hitting the contract high above Rs
16,540 level. The counter settled the day at Rs 14,980, down Rs 1.96% and
the open interest added 897 tonnes to 13,764 tonnes, indicating short selling.
The area under sowing of total Coarse cereals is at 52.60 lakhhectares as
compared to last year’s 57.17 lakh hectares- down 8%. The area undersowing
of Gram is at 81.01 lakh hectares this year while the last year’s figure
was95.81 lakh hectares - down 15%. Area coverage under Total Pulses is at
131.34 lakhhectares while the last year’s sowing area coverage was 145.86
lakh hectares- down10%. Similarly sowing area under total oilseeds is at
76.91 lakh hectares as compared to83.87 lakh hectares last year – down
8.30%.
5
Fundamental Watch :Chana
CHANA ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT MARKETPulses market noticed range-bound movement. Rabi Pulses Sowing
Down 10% Y-O-Y, Chana Down 15 %. According to Ministry of
Agriculture, total rabi pulses acreage till Jan. 9,2015 is down by 10% to
131.34 lakh hectare(Ha.) as compared with last year’s area coverage of
145.86 lakh hectare during the corresponding week. The area planted under
chana is also down by 15% to 81.01 Lakh Ha. against 95.81 lakh ha. in
same corresponding week during last year. The Indian Ministry of
Agriculture has recommended introduction of production subsidy to
enhance production of certified seeds, inbred high yield varieties and hybrid
seeds in the country. Farmers Association Ask For 30% Import Duty on
Tur-The Karnataka Pradesh Red Gram Growers Association has asked in a
letter to PMO for a sustainable policy for pulses to protect farmers' interest.
They suggested that the Government impose a duty of 30% in the
forthcoming Budget to curb cheaper imports of pulses. They also said that
government should start supplying pulses through the public distribution
system across the country, while exploring options to exports to maintain
stability in prices.
French Minister of Agriculture released a plan to increase the production
of protein crops includes (field peas, fava beans, lupin, alfalfa, and
soybeans) in France between 2014 and 2020. They are needed to meet the
nutritional requirements for livestock and poultry feeds. The France is the
leading combined livestock (beef,pork, and dairy) and poultry producer in
the European Union (EU) but has a structural shortage in production of
protein crops, which requires it to import 40% of its domestic consumption
needs. The French production of protein crops has declined in the past
twenty years and, in 2013, accounted for less than two percent of totalfield
crop area. The Farmers will be granted between 100 and 200 euros per
hectare per year of protein crops between 2014 and 2020.
CENTER 09-Jan-15 08-Jan-15 Change
DELHI 40 35 +5
AJMER 150 NA -
ALWAR 500 250 +250
ASHOK
NAGAR
200 700 -500
VIJAYWADA 500 400 +100
AKOLA 400 500 -100
AMARAVATI 500 500 UNCH
Technical Outlook
6
BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 8400 TGTS 8430,8480 SL 8350 SELL GUARGUM FEB BELOW 11880 TGTS 11830,11730 SL 11970
SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4710 TGTS 4680,4630 SL 4760 BUY TMC APR ABOVE 9200 TGTS 9250,9350 SL 9110
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Epic research daily agri report 12 jan 2015

  • 1. DAILYAGRI COMMODITY REPORT 12 January 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL DHANIYA APR 8275 8375 8206 8370 +1.34 9020 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 8259 SUPP. 2 8148 PIVOT 8317 Dhaniya short term trend is up, further more upside is expected in comimg days. RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8428 RES. 2 8486 CASTORSEED FEB 4750 4757 4710 4724 -0.46 36550 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 4704 SUPP. 2 4683 PIVOT 4730 Castorseed short term trend is up, Prices expected to go up in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 4751 RES. 2 4777 TURMERIC APR 8870 9190 8760 9020 +0.76 29885 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 8790 SUPP. 2 8560 PIVOT 8990 Turmeric short term trend is up and may continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 9220 RES. 2 9420 GUARGUM FEB 12100 12170 11910 11940 -1.97 9070 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 11843 SUPP. 2 11747 PIVOT 12007 Guargum Short term trend is Down, Expecting price may go Down in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 12103 RES. 2 12267
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % TURMERIC 20-04-2015 9020.00 68.00 0.76% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 20-01-2015 4110.00 17.00 0.42% COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 20-01-2015 1440.00 3.00 0.21% CHANA 20-01-2015 3488.00 5.00 0.14% BARLEY 20-01-2015 1644.50 1.50 0.09% TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % JEERA 20-01-2015 14600.00 -350.00 -2.34% GUR 20-01-2015 990.00 -16.50 -1.64% SOYABEAN 20-01-2015 3332.00 -30.00 -0.89% REFINED SOY OIL 20-01-2015 665.35 -4.15 -0.62% CORIANDER 20-01-2015 11825.00 -1.00 -0.01% NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 4724 4746 -0.46 CHANA 3550 3536 +0.40 CORIANDER 8370 8259 +1.34 GUARGUM 11940 12180 -1.97 JEERA 14980 15280 -1.96 MUSTARD SEED 3566 3556 +0.28 SOYABEAN 3468 3490 -0.63 TURMERIC 9020 8952 +0.76
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS The procuring operation of the Cotton Corporation of India(CCI) is moving on in full swing at a time when the farmers are depressed over the price crash. CCI has purchased around 41 lakh bales of cotton from the key growing states of Andhra Pradesh and Maharashtra."Cotton procurement has reached 41 lakh bales of 170 kg each so far this year. Maximum procurement was from Andhra Pradesh and Telangana, followed by Maharasthra," a senior Textile Ministry official told PTI.CCI started the Minimum Support Price(MSP) operation as prices of Cotton fell below MSP in the major growing states like Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Maharashtra during the current Cotton season 2014-15.CCI has initiated action for procurement of Cotton from the growers at the MSP in 341 centres located in 92 Districts in 11 Cotton growing States.Domestic. At present, Cotton prices in international markets are ruling lower than the prices that prevailed during the corresponding period last year primarily due to lower demand by China and increased supply from the USA. India's export prospects were hurt by China’s decision to place an import quota. India exports nearly 60 per cent of its cotton to China, the world’s largest importer, which has a stockpile nearly 63 million cotton bales. India's cotton production has grown tremendously since 2001-02 and is estimated to be 40.2 million bales (170 Kgs each) in 2014-15. It was just 15.8 million bales in 2001-02. India's cabinet could soon approve an increase in the raw sugar subsidy paid to mills to about 4,000 rupees ($64) per tonne as it looks to cut large stockpiles, India, the world's biggest producer behind Brazil, paid a subsidy of 3,300 rupees to produce and export raw sugar in the season that ended in September The country is sitting on massive mounds of the sweetener due to the fifth straight year of surplus output, which has depressed local prices and strained mills' finances.Additionally India, which is also the world's biggest sugar consumer, has failed to export because of weak global prices. Turmeric futures pared two days of losses as fresh buying emerged at lower levels. The NCDEX April futures ended the day at Rs 9020, up Rs 68 or 0.76%. Good arrivals were noted in Nizamabad today as well and the prices tumbled amid thin demand. The traders are expecting this momentum to continue, keeping prices slightly on a bearish track. Prices have already soared by around 30% in last three weeks,, hitting highs above Rs 8000 per quintal. However, the counter is trading at Rs 7835 per quintal mark in Nizamabad today, down Rs 150 on the day.The turmeric futures crashed under Rs 9k on strong arrivals in the physical market and prices rebounded today from the prior losses on bargain buying at lower levels. The NCDEX April futures ended the day at Rs 9020, up Rs 68 or 0.76% and the open interest added 3480 tonnes to 30,690 tonnes, indicating fresh buying. Jeera futures slipped on weak physical demand. The NCDEX Jeera for the February delivery ended the day at Rs 14,980, down 300 or 1.96%. Jeera slipped under Rs 15000 per quintal today, extending a drop from its 15 month high amid steady demand. Prices soared in last few days on good buying support following persistent worries over the acreage. The commodity is trading at Rs 14927 per quintal, down Rs 100 per quintal on the day. The total daily arrivals stand at just 8000 bags- witnessing a slack season lull. Rajasthan crop is seen taking a hit to the tune of around 30% on poor weather. However, physical buying is lacking the punch now after a massive rise in prices.Jeera futures slipped under Rs 15k today after hitting the contract high above Rs 16,540 level. The counter settled the day at Rs 14,980, down Rs 1.96% and the open interest added 897 tonnes to 13,764 tonnes, indicating short selling. The area under sowing of total Coarse cereals is at 52.60 lakhhectares as compared to last year’s 57.17 lakh hectares- down 8%. The area undersowing of Gram is at 81.01 lakh hectares this year while the last year’s figure was95.81 lakh hectares - down 15%. Area coverage under Total Pulses is at 131.34 lakhhectares while the last year’s sowing area coverage was 145.86 lakh hectares- down10%. Similarly sowing area under total oilseeds is at 76.91 lakh hectares as compared to83.87 lakh hectares last year – down 8.30%.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch :Chana CHANA ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT MARKETPulses market noticed range-bound movement. Rabi Pulses Sowing Down 10% Y-O-Y, Chana Down 15 %. According to Ministry of Agriculture, total rabi pulses acreage till Jan. 9,2015 is down by 10% to 131.34 lakh hectare(Ha.) as compared with last year’s area coverage of 145.86 lakh hectare during the corresponding week. The area planted under chana is also down by 15% to 81.01 Lakh Ha. against 95.81 lakh ha. in same corresponding week during last year. The Indian Ministry of Agriculture has recommended introduction of production subsidy to enhance production of certified seeds, inbred high yield varieties and hybrid seeds in the country. Farmers Association Ask For 30% Import Duty on Tur-The Karnataka Pradesh Red Gram Growers Association has asked in a letter to PMO for a sustainable policy for pulses to protect farmers' interest. They suggested that the Government impose a duty of 30% in the forthcoming Budget to curb cheaper imports of pulses. They also said that government should start supplying pulses through the public distribution system across the country, while exploring options to exports to maintain stability in prices. French Minister of Agriculture released a plan to increase the production of protein crops includes (field peas, fava beans, lupin, alfalfa, and soybeans) in France between 2014 and 2020. They are needed to meet the nutritional requirements for livestock and poultry feeds. The France is the leading combined livestock (beef,pork, and dairy) and poultry producer in the European Union (EU) but has a structural shortage in production of protein crops, which requires it to import 40% of its domestic consumption needs. The French production of protein crops has declined in the past twenty years and, in 2013, accounted for less than two percent of totalfield crop area. The Farmers will be granted between 100 and 200 euros per hectare per year of protein crops between 2014 and 2020. CENTER 09-Jan-15 08-Jan-15 Change DELHI 40 35 +5 AJMER 150 NA - ALWAR 500 250 +250 ASHOK NAGAR 200 700 -500 VIJAYWADA 500 400 +100 AKOLA 400 500 -100 AMARAVATI 500 500 UNCH
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 8400 TGTS 8430,8480 SL 8350 SELL GUARGUM FEB BELOW 11880 TGTS 11830,11730 SL 11970 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4710 TGTS 4680,4630 SL 4760 BUY TMC APR ABOVE 9200 TGTS 9250,9350 SL 9110
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.