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1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
30 June 2016
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
JULY 8378 8468 8310 8340 -0.33 9445
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8277
SUPP. 2
8215
PIVOT
8372
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8435
RES. 2
8531
CORIANDER
JULY 7273 7295 7234 7235 -0.67 4000
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
7214
SUPP. 2
7194
PIVOT
7255
Coriander short term
trend is bearish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7275
RES. 2
7316
GUARGUM
JULY 5550 5690 5550 5570 -0.89 17577
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
5517
SUPP. 2
5463
PIVOT
5603
Guargum short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
5657
RES. 2
5743
CASTORSEED
- - - - - - -
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
-
SUPP. 2
-
PIVOT
-
-
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
-
RES. 2
-
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED - - -
CHANA 7850 7625 +2.95
CORIANDER 7235 7284 -0.67
GUARGUM 5570 5620 -0.89
JEERA 18105 18315 -1.15
MUSTARD
SEED
4740 4771 -0.65
SOYABEAN 3732 3806 -1.94
TURMERIC 8340 8368 -0.33
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
SOY BEAN 20-07-2016 3732.00 -61.00 -1.61%
JEERA 20-07-2016 18105.00 -275.00 -1.50%
REF SOYA OIL 20-07-2016 637.80 -6.50 -1.01%
BARLEY 20-07-2016 1571.50 -14.00 -0.88%
CORIANDER 20-07-2016 7235.00 -50.00 -0.69%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CHANA 20-07-2016 7850.00 224.00 2.94%
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Sugar mills have paid about 92% of their cane dues so far, according to a
release issued by the ministry of consumer affairs, food and public
distribution on Wednesday.During the current sugar season 2015-16, about
230 million MT of sugarcane was procured from the farmers by the sugar
mills across the country. Out of the total cane price dues payable of Rs 52,
900 crore, on the basis of Fair and Remunerative Price (FRP), only Rs.4,
225 crore is pending as cane price arrears for current sugar season.Out of
the total pending cane price arrears for current sugar season, about Rs
1,975 Crore pertains to Uttar Pradesh which is about 14% of its dues
payable. A major portion of the pending arrears about Rs.1,600 crore
belongs to five sugar group companies namely Bajaj, Mawana, Modi,
Simbhaoli and Rana, the release added.Maharashtra being the major sugar
producing state has cleared almost 96% of sugar cane dues payable and
only Rs 590 crore is pending as arrears. Other major sugar producing state
like Karnataka have also paid 94% dues to farmers.During sugar season
2014-15, the cane price arrears had peaked at Rs.21,800 crore in the month
of April, 2015 which is now reduced to Rs 684 crore only. Central
government has been consistently monitoring the position of cane price
arrear and advising the state governments for speedy liquidation of arrears,
the release further added.The Maharashtra Cabinet has given in-principle
approval to farmers to sell fruits and vegetables directly to wholesalers,
bypassing the APMC mandis.However, it has held back the decision by a
few days, handing it over to a cabinet sub-committee. "A cabinet sub-
committee will take a decision on the matter in four days. We want to
examine different angles such as the risk involved in farmers getting
payment when they sell outside the APMC premises," said Chandrakant
Patil, cabinet minister (agricultural marketing).One of the reasons for
deferring the decision was because of the current price of vegetables.
"Farmers are affected by the drought, and if they can't benefit from the high
prices, there could be unrest," said an official, who did not want to be
identified.However, Patil refuted this logic by saying that the decision to
de-list is expected to give good rates to farmers.
Ref Soya Oil on NCDEX settled down on oversupply woes and on
weak demand. NOPA said soybean crushing for the month of May was
at 152.28 million bushels a year ago during the same time it was
148.416 million bushels. Moreover, USDA weekly sales reported net
sales of soyoil for 2015/16 jumped by 2% to 14,000 tons on week.
According to USDA soy oil stocks as of May 31 stood at 1.994 billion
lbs.Analysts had forecast soy oil stocks of 1.971 billion lbs. Stocks
were 1.578 billion lbs a year ago and 1.943 billion at the end of April.
Exports of oilmeals during May 2016 is reported at only 7,737 tons
compared to 121,339 tons in May 2015 - down by 94% according to
data compiled by Solvent Extractors' Association of India. The overall
export of oilmeals during April -May 2016 is reported at 97,779 tons
compared to 303,977 tons during the same period of last year, down by
68% due to lesser availability of oilseeds for crushing and continuous
disparity in exporting oilmeals in international markets.Oilmeal import
by South Korea from India during April-May 2016 is reported at
47,202 tons compared to 179,569 tons - consisting 10,302 tons of
rapeseed meal and 36,900 tons of castor meal.
Jeera on NCDEX settled up amid anticipation of improved export
demand in coming months. However upside seen limited on heavy
arrivals from the producing belts. Market is expecting higher orders
from China as adverse weather has hit production there. Supplies from
Turkey and Syria are expected to be lower. Industrial buyers have
already sourced sufficient quantity for the domestic requirements but
the export demand may pick up as prices have been going down since
last one month. In the next few months, the prices will depend on
export demand.As per third advance estimate of Gujarat State for 2015-
16, production is pegged at 213,000 ton up by nearly 7% from a year
ago. Last year, India exported 1,55,000 tonnes. Notably, the country’s
jeera exports have been on a decline since 2013-14 from 1,60,000
tonnes reported that year.
5. 5
Fundamental Watch : Sugar
SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
Market player, Agroconsult predicted a higher cane crop of 640 MT in
Brazil’s C.S region for 2017-18 (against 628 MT for 2016-17) on back of an
expanded planting and crop care next year in the region.
As per the weekly planting report by Ministry of Agriculture, the total sown
area under sugarcane cultivation in India had reached 44.38 lakh hectares in
2016-17 (till 24th June, 2016) compared to 41.58 lakh hectares in 2015-16 (till
24th June, 2015).
According to ISMA, Maharashtra’s sugar production for the year 2016-17 is
expected to decline to 4.5 MT in 2016-17 on the back of a severe drought
situation in the state.
The Karnataka Sugarcane Grower Association is demanding the Union govt.
to revise the state’s cane FRP (Fair & Remunerative Price) from Rs 2300/ ton
to Rs 3000/ton for MY 2015-16.
India exported 32.5 thousand tons of sugar for the week ending on 19th
June, 2016 which was 5% higher than the sugar exported last week by the
country.
The Thai Cane and Sugar Corp (TCSC) will be selling 1.09 lakh tons of raw
sugar (scheduled for shipment on March and May, 2017) via a tender on 28
June, 2016.
Datagro predicted a global sugar supply deficit of 6.2 MT in 2015-16 while
the deficit is expected to expand further in 2016-17 to 7.1 MT.
CENTER 29-Jun-16 28-May-16 Change
DELHI 3715 3700 +15
MUMBAI 3790 3796 -6
VIJAYWADA 3900 3900 UNCH
NAGPUR 3675 3700 -25
CHENNAI 3425 3425 UNCH
AMBIKAPUR 3035 3035 UNCH
DHAMPUR 3670 3655 +15
6. Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER JULY BELOW 7200 TARGET 7155 7055 SL
ABOVE 7265
BUY GUARGUM JULY ABOVE 5600 TARGET 5650 5720 SL
BELOW 5540
SELL TURMERIC JULY BELOW 8300 TARGET 8256 8196 SL
ABOVE 8360
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