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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
30 June 2016
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1
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Our Presence
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
JULY 8378 8468 8310 8340 -0.33 9445
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8277
SUPP. 2
8215
PIVOT
8372
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8435
RES. 2
8531
CORIANDER
JULY 7273 7295 7234 7235 -0.67 4000
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
7214
SUPP. 2
7194
PIVOT
7255
Coriander short term
trend is bearish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7275
RES. 2
7316
GUARGUM
JULY 5550 5690 5550 5570 -0.89 17577
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
5517
SUPP. 2
5463
PIVOT
5603
Guargum short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
5657
RES. 2
5743
CASTORSEED
- - - - - - -
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
-
SUPP. 2
-
PIVOT
-
-
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
-
RES. 2
-
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED - - -
CHANA 7850 7625 +2.95
CORIANDER 7235 7284 -0.67
GUARGUM 5570 5620 -0.89
JEERA 18105 18315 -1.15
MUSTARD
SEED
4740 4771 -0.65
SOYABEAN 3732 3806 -1.94
TURMERIC 8340 8368 -0.33
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
SOY BEAN 20-07-2016 3732.00 -61.00 -1.61%
JEERA 20-07-2016 18105.00 -275.00 -1.50%
REF SOYA OIL 20-07-2016 637.80 -6.50 -1.01%
BARLEY 20-07-2016 1571.50 -14.00 -0.88%
CORIANDER 20-07-2016 7235.00 -50.00 -0.69%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CHANA 20-07-2016 7850.00 224.00 2.94%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Sugar mills have paid about 92% of their cane dues so far, according to a
release issued by the ministry of consumer affairs, food and public
distribution on Wednesday.During the current sugar season 2015-16, about
230 million MT of sugarcane was procured from the farmers by the sugar
mills across the country. Out of the total cane price dues payable of Rs 52,
900 crore, on the basis of Fair and Remunerative Price (FRP), only Rs.4,
225 crore is pending as cane price arrears for current sugar season.Out of
the total pending cane price arrears for current sugar season, about Rs
1,975 Crore pertains to Uttar Pradesh which is about 14% of its dues
payable. A major portion of the pending arrears about Rs.1,600 crore
belongs to five sugar group companies namely Bajaj, Mawana, Modi,
Simbhaoli and Rana, the release added.Maharashtra being the major sugar
producing state has cleared almost 96% of sugar cane dues payable and
only Rs 590 crore is pending as arrears. Other major sugar producing state
like Karnataka have also paid 94% dues to farmers.During sugar season
2014-15, the cane price arrears had peaked at Rs.21,800 crore in the month
of April, 2015 which is now reduced to Rs 684 crore only. Central
government has been consistently monitoring the position of cane price
arrear and advising the state governments for speedy liquidation of arrears,
the release further added.The Maharashtra Cabinet has given in-principle
approval to farmers to sell fruits and vegetables directly to wholesalers,
bypassing the APMC mandis.However, it has held back the decision by a
few days, handing it over to a cabinet sub-committee. "A cabinet sub-
committee will take a decision on the matter in four days. We want to
examine different angles such as the risk involved in farmers getting
payment when they sell outside the APMC premises," said Chandrakant
Patil, cabinet minister (agricultural marketing).One of the reasons for
deferring the decision was because of the current price of vegetables.
"Farmers are affected by the drought, and if they can't benefit from the high
prices, there could be unrest," said an official, who did not want to be
identified.However, Patil refuted this logic by saying that the decision to
de-list is expected to give good rates to farmers.
Ref Soya Oil on NCDEX settled down on oversupply woes and on
weak demand. NOPA said soybean crushing for the month of May was
at 152.28 million bushels a year ago during the same time it was
148.416 million bushels. Moreover, USDA weekly sales reported net
sales of soyoil for 2015/16 jumped by 2% to 14,000 tons on week.
According to USDA soy oil stocks as of May 31 stood at 1.994 billion
lbs.Analysts had forecast soy oil stocks of 1.971 billion lbs. Stocks
were 1.578 billion lbs a year ago and 1.943 billion at the end of April.
Exports of oilmeals during May 2016 is reported at only 7,737 tons
compared to 121,339 tons in May 2015 - down by 94% according to
data compiled by Solvent Extractors' Association of India. The overall
export of oilmeals during April -May 2016 is reported at 97,779 tons
compared to 303,977 tons during the same period of last year, down by
68% due to lesser availability of oilseeds for crushing and continuous
disparity in exporting oilmeals in international markets.Oilmeal import
by South Korea from India during April-May 2016 is reported at
47,202 tons compared to 179,569 tons - consisting 10,302 tons of
rapeseed meal and 36,900 tons of castor meal.
Jeera on NCDEX settled up amid anticipation of improved export
demand in coming months. However upside seen limited on heavy
arrivals from the producing belts. Market is expecting higher orders
from China as adverse weather has hit production there. Supplies from
Turkey and Syria are expected to be lower. Industrial buyers have
already sourced sufficient quantity for the domestic requirements but
the export demand may pick up as prices have been going down since
last one month. In the next few months, the prices will depend on
export demand.As per third advance estimate of Gujarat State for 2015-
16, production is pegged at 213,000 ton up by nearly 7% from a year
ago. Last year, India exported 1,55,000 tonnes. Notably, the country’s
jeera exports have been on a decline since 2013-14 from 1,60,000
tonnes reported that year.
5
Fundamental Watch : Sugar
SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
Market player, Agroconsult predicted a higher cane crop of 640 MT in
Brazil’s C.S region for 2017-18 (against 628 MT for 2016-17) on back of an
expanded planting and crop care next year in the region.
As per the weekly planting report by Ministry of Agriculture, the total sown
area under sugarcane cultivation in India had reached 44.38 lakh hectares in
2016-17 (till 24th June, 2016) compared to 41.58 lakh hectares in 2015-16 (till
24th June, 2015).
According to ISMA, Maharashtra’s sugar production for the year 2016-17 is
expected to decline to 4.5 MT in 2016-17 on the back of a severe drought
situation in the state.
The Karnataka Sugarcane Grower Association is demanding the Union govt.
to revise the state’s cane FRP (Fair & Remunerative Price) from Rs 2300/ ton
to Rs 3000/ton for MY 2015-16.
India exported 32.5 thousand tons of sugar for the week ending on 19th
June, 2016 which was 5% higher than the sugar exported last week by the
country.
The Thai Cane and Sugar Corp (TCSC) will be selling 1.09 lakh tons of raw
sugar (scheduled for shipment on March and May, 2017) via a tender on 28
June, 2016.
Datagro predicted a global sugar supply deficit of 6.2 MT in 2015-16 while
the deficit is expected to expand further in 2016-17 to 7.1 MT.
CENTER 29-Jun-16 28-May-16 Change
DELHI 3715 3700 +15
MUMBAI 3790 3796 -6
VIJAYWADA 3900 3900 UNCH
NAGPUR 3675 3700 -25
CHENNAI 3425 3425 UNCH
AMBIKAPUR 3035 3035 UNCH
DHAMPUR 3670 3655 +15
Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER JULY BELOW 7200 TARGET 7155 7055 SL
ABOVE 7265
BUY GUARGUM JULY ABOVE 5600 TARGET 5650 5720 SL
BELOW 5540
SELL TURMERIC JULY BELOW 8300 TARGET 8256 8196 SL
ABOVE 8360
Disclaimer
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 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
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Epic research daily agri report 30th june 2016

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 30 June 2016 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC JULY 8378 8468 8310 8340 -0.33 9445 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 8277 SUPP. 2 8215 PIVOT 8372 Turmeric short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8435 RES. 2 8531 CORIANDER JULY 7273 7295 7234 7235 -0.67 4000 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 7214 SUPP. 2 7194 PIVOT 7255 Coriander short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7275 RES. 2 7316 GUARGUM JULY 5550 5690 5550 5570 -0.89 17577 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 5517 SUPP. 2 5463 PIVOT 5603 Guargum short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 5657 RES. 2 5743 CASTORSEED - - - - - - - INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 - SUPP. 2 - PIVOT - - RESISTAN CE RES. 1 - RES. 2 -
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED - - - CHANA 7850 7625 +2.95 CORIANDER 7235 7284 -0.67 GUARGUM 5570 5620 -0.89 JEERA 18105 18315 -1.15 MUSTARD SEED 4740 4771 -0.65 SOYABEAN 3732 3806 -1.94 TURMERIC 8340 8368 -0.33 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % SOY BEAN 20-07-2016 3732.00 -61.00 -1.61% JEERA 20-07-2016 18105.00 -275.00 -1.50% REF SOYA OIL 20-07-2016 637.80 -6.50 -1.01% BARLEY 20-07-2016 1571.50 -14.00 -0.88% CORIANDER 20-07-2016 7235.00 -50.00 -0.69% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % CHANA 20-07-2016 7850.00 224.00 2.94%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS Sugar mills have paid about 92% of their cane dues so far, according to a release issued by the ministry of consumer affairs, food and public distribution on Wednesday.During the current sugar season 2015-16, about 230 million MT of sugarcane was procured from the farmers by the sugar mills across the country. Out of the total cane price dues payable of Rs 52, 900 crore, on the basis of Fair and Remunerative Price (FRP), only Rs.4, 225 crore is pending as cane price arrears for current sugar season.Out of the total pending cane price arrears for current sugar season, about Rs 1,975 Crore pertains to Uttar Pradesh which is about 14% of its dues payable. A major portion of the pending arrears about Rs.1,600 crore belongs to five sugar group companies namely Bajaj, Mawana, Modi, Simbhaoli and Rana, the release added.Maharashtra being the major sugar producing state has cleared almost 96% of sugar cane dues payable and only Rs 590 crore is pending as arrears. Other major sugar producing state like Karnataka have also paid 94% dues to farmers.During sugar season 2014-15, the cane price arrears had peaked at Rs.21,800 crore in the month of April, 2015 which is now reduced to Rs 684 crore only. Central government has been consistently monitoring the position of cane price arrear and advising the state governments for speedy liquidation of arrears, the release further added.The Maharashtra Cabinet has given in-principle approval to farmers to sell fruits and vegetables directly to wholesalers, bypassing the APMC mandis.However, it has held back the decision by a few days, handing it over to a cabinet sub-committee. "A cabinet sub- committee will take a decision on the matter in four days. We want to examine different angles such as the risk involved in farmers getting payment when they sell outside the APMC premises," said Chandrakant Patil, cabinet minister (agricultural marketing).One of the reasons for deferring the decision was because of the current price of vegetables. "Farmers are affected by the drought, and if they can't benefit from the high prices, there could be unrest," said an official, who did not want to be identified.However, Patil refuted this logic by saying that the decision to de-list is expected to give good rates to farmers. Ref Soya Oil on NCDEX settled down on oversupply woes and on weak demand. NOPA said soybean crushing for the month of May was at 152.28 million bushels a year ago during the same time it was 148.416 million bushels. Moreover, USDA weekly sales reported net sales of soyoil for 2015/16 jumped by 2% to 14,000 tons on week. According to USDA soy oil stocks as of May 31 stood at 1.994 billion lbs.Analysts had forecast soy oil stocks of 1.971 billion lbs. Stocks were 1.578 billion lbs a year ago and 1.943 billion at the end of April. Exports of oilmeals during May 2016 is reported at only 7,737 tons compared to 121,339 tons in May 2015 - down by 94% according to data compiled by Solvent Extractors' Association of India. The overall export of oilmeals during April -May 2016 is reported at 97,779 tons compared to 303,977 tons during the same period of last year, down by 68% due to lesser availability of oilseeds for crushing and continuous disparity in exporting oilmeals in international markets.Oilmeal import by South Korea from India during April-May 2016 is reported at 47,202 tons compared to 179,569 tons - consisting 10,302 tons of rapeseed meal and 36,900 tons of castor meal. Jeera on NCDEX settled up amid anticipation of improved export demand in coming months. However upside seen limited on heavy arrivals from the producing belts. Market is expecting higher orders from China as adverse weather has hit production there. Supplies from Turkey and Syria are expected to be lower. Industrial buyers have already sourced sufficient quantity for the domestic requirements but the export demand may pick up as prices have been going down since last one month. In the next few months, the prices will depend on export demand.As per third advance estimate of Gujarat State for 2015- 16, production is pegged at 213,000 ton up by nearly 7% from a year ago. Last year, India exported 1,55,000 tonnes. Notably, the country’s jeera exports have been on a decline since 2013-14 from 1,60,000 tonnes reported that year.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Sugar SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update Market player, Agroconsult predicted a higher cane crop of 640 MT in Brazil’s C.S region for 2017-18 (against 628 MT for 2016-17) on back of an expanded planting and crop care next year in the region. As per the weekly planting report by Ministry of Agriculture, the total sown area under sugarcane cultivation in India had reached 44.38 lakh hectares in 2016-17 (till 24th June, 2016) compared to 41.58 lakh hectares in 2015-16 (till 24th June, 2015). According to ISMA, Maharashtra’s sugar production for the year 2016-17 is expected to decline to 4.5 MT in 2016-17 on the back of a severe drought situation in the state. The Karnataka Sugarcane Grower Association is demanding the Union govt. to revise the state’s cane FRP (Fair & Remunerative Price) from Rs 2300/ ton to Rs 3000/ton for MY 2015-16. India exported 32.5 thousand tons of sugar for the week ending on 19th June, 2016 which was 5% higher than the sugar exported last week by the country. The Thai Cane and Sugar Corp (TCSC) will be selling 1.09 lakh tons of raw sugar (scheduled for shipment on March and May, 2017) via a tender on 28 June, 2016. Datagro predicted a global sugar supply deficit of 6.2 MT in 2015-16 while the deficit is expected to expand further in 2016-17 to 7.1 MT. CENTER 29-Jun-16 28-May-16 Change DELHI 3715 3700 +15 MUMBAI 3790 3796 -6 VIJAYWADA 3900 3900 UNCH NAGPUR 3675 3700 -25 CHENNAI 3425 3425 UNCH AMBIKAPUR 3035 3035 UNCH DHAMPUR 3670 3655 +15
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 SELL CORIANDER JULY BELOW 7200 TARGET 7155 7055 SL ABOVE 7265 BUY GUARGUM JULY ABOVE 5600 TARGET 5650 5720 SL BELOW 5540 SELL TURMERIC JULY BELOW 8300 TARGET 8256 8196 SL ABOVE 8360
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.