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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
17 March 2016
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
APR 9278 9278 9000 9010 -2.80 13200
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8914
SUPP. 2
8818
PIVOT
9096
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
9112
RES. 2
9374
CORIANDER
APR 6654 6732 6611 6630 -0.75 5370
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
6583
SUPP. 2
6537
PIVOT
6658
Coriander short term
trend is bearish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
6704
RES. 2
6779
GUARGUM
APR 5530 5540 5360 5410 -1.99 10200
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
5333
SUPP. 2
5257
PIVOT
5437
Guargum short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
5513
RES. 2
5617
CASTORSEED
- - - - - - -
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
-
SUPP. 2
-
PIVOT
-
-
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
-
RES. 2
-
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED - - -
CHANA 4372 4383 -0.25
CORIANDER 6630 6680 -0.75
GUARGUM 5360 5470 -2.01
JEERA 14610 14810 -1.35
MUSTARD
SEED
3913 3931 -0.46
SOYABEAN 3664 3669 -0.14
TURMERIC 9010 9270 -2.80
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
TURMERIC 20-04-2016 9010.00 -218.00 -2.36%
JEERA 18-03-2016 14610.00 -205.00 -1.38%
CORIANDER 20-04-2016 6630.00 -51.00 -0.76%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-04-2016 3913.00 -10.00 -0.25%
CHANA 20-04-2016 4372.00 -7.00 -0.16%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
18-03-2016 2150.00 20.00 0.94%
BARLEY 20-04-2016 1438.50 6.50 0.45%
SOYABEAN 18-03-2016 3664.00 2.00 0.05%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Government ruled out any new package or loan waiver to sugar mills
although their dues to sugarcane farmers have touched Rs 15,893
crore.Due to surplus output in the last four years and depressed prices, the
liquidity of sugar mills have been "adversely" affected leading to
accumulation of cane price arrears of the farmers, Food Minister Ram Vilas
Paswan said in a written reply to Lok Sabha.As on March 5, cane price
arrears to farmers reached Rs 15,893.36 crore in over past three years, he
said.Of the total, Rs 13,644 crore is for the ongoing 2015-16 season
(October-September), while Rs 1,366 crore is for the 2014-15 season and
Rs 882.07 crore for 2013-14 and earlier seasons, he added.Asked if the
government proposes to provide any package to improve the condition of
sugar mills and ensure timely payment of cane arrears, Paswan said: "There
is no new proposal under consideration of the government to provide any
package/ incentive including creation of buffer stocks.""There is no plan
under consideration of the government to waive loan provided to the sugar
mills."The government has extended financial assistance in the form of soft
loan, incentive on raw sugar export and performance-based production
subsidy scheme in order to improve the liquidity position of the sugar mills
enabling them to make timely payment of sugarcane dues, he said.The
financial assistance provided by the government are utilised to facilitate
liquidation of cane price arrears of farmers. This is ensured through
submission of utilisation certificate of sugar mills duly verified by the state
government, he added.Sugar production is estimated to be 26 million
tonnes for the 2015-16 season, lower than 28.1 million tonnes last year.The
government will launch an online system this week to automate the
operations at FCI depots in order to minimise storage losses of
foodgrains.State-run Food Corporation of India (FCI), the nodal agency for
procurement and distribution of foodgrains for the PDS, has been incurring
financial loss because of damage to foodgrains and storage and transit
losses.There are about 2,000-odd depots including hired ones.By July, 540-
odd FCI-owned depots will be made online and later hired depots will also
be brought under this system, the official added.
Jeera on NCDEX settled down on profit booking amid lack of export
demand. However downside seen limited on concerns over lower
output due to jeera flower dropping in some areas in north Gujarat.
There are reports of damage to jeera crop in some areas in Saurashtra
due to unseasonal rains. Moreover, the production in Syria and Turkey,
the second and third largest producer of cumin seed in the world is
projected to be 15% lower due to the geo-political tensions.As per
second advance estimate of Gujarat for 2015-16 jeera production is
pegged at 211,000 ton up from 197,000 a year ago. As per second
advance estimate of Gujarat for 2015-16 jeera production is pegged at
211,000 ton up from 197,000 a year ago.According to Dept of
Commerce data, the export of jeera during first 8 month of 2015- 16
(Apr-Nov) is 56,787 ton, which is, lower as compared to last year. As
per the final rabi sowing report, Gujarat has planted more cumin
compared to last year sowing progress. Jeera is planted in about 10.8%
more area at 2,95,400 hectares compared to 2,66,700 hectares last year
same time.
Mustard Seed on NCDEX settled down on weak demand for the seed
in export market. The uncertain weather conditions over northern India
in the coming 2-3 days have raised concerns regarding Rabi crops
including RM Seed. Unseasonal rainfall and hailstorm may play
spoilsport with the standing RM Seed crops whose production
estimates is expected to be higher in the current season.India's rape
seed oilmeal exports plunged 84.32% to 9,803 tons in February
compared to 62,545 tons for the corresponding period a year earlier,
data released by SEA of India showed. Global rapeseed imports for
2015/16 are forecast 180,000 tons higher this month to 13.3 million,
primarily based on an expectation of higher EU trade. Due to stronger
demand, world ending stocks are seen 331,000 tons lower this month to
an 8-year low. For the EU, rapeseed crushing has been steady despite
shrinking domestic stocks. EU rapeseed imports have ramped up as a
result, with 2015/16 trade forecast up 400,000 tons this month to 2.8
million.
5
Fundamental Watch : Castorseed
CASTORSEED PRICES AT KEY SPOT
MARKET
National Market Update
As expected last week castor markets continued to trade under pressure and
prices decreased around Rs 100 to Rs 150 per qtl. during last three days. It
may trade stable around current level until arrival peaks up by the end of this
month. Farmers may release lesser quantity as prices are ruling lower.
Castor oil export increased by 67.91 % to 14263.29 tonne during the week
ended 13th March- 2016.India had exported 8494.36 tonne castor oil before
the week under review. Ave export quote realized at the rate of $1084.88 per
tonne, higher by2.07 % from last week ending6th march-2016.As prices are
ruling lower, export demand would continue with same pace. Availability is
enough and seed supply from new crop to the plants would continue. Ave FoB
quote would hinge in the range of $1025 to$1075 per tonne.
Castor seed all India average price decreased by 1.70 % to Rs 2974.82 per
qtl week on week basis. It was being traded at Rs 3026.49 per qtl. during the
week ended 7th March-2016. Slight dip from current level is likely as pressure
from new crop would increase. However, any major dip in cash market seems
a remote possibility as farmers may prefer to retain stock than to sell it at
lower price.
Market fundamentals and recent developments hint that the year will remain
favorable for castor oil consumers as upside potential is very limited in the
short to medium term. Speculators have burnt their fingers and would prefer to
remain sidelined in futures if futures contracts are re-launched. Under current
condition castor business may revert to fundamental good demand -supply
equations.
CENTER 16-Mar-15 15-Mar-15 Change
SUMERPUR 2875 2900 -25
PATAN 3000 3100 -100
MEHSANA 3025 3040 -15
BHABAR 3025 3075 -50
HARJI 3040 3050 -10
RAJKOT 2905 3015 -110
KADI 3025 3060 -35
Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 6630 TARGET 6585 6435 SL
ABOVE 6695
SELL GUARGUM APRIL BELOW 5340 TARGET 5290 5220 SL
ABOVE 5400
SELL TURMERIC APRIL BELOW 8960 TARGET 8916 8856 SL
ABOVE 9020
Disclaimer
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 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
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and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any
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 The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all
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Epic research daily agri report 17th march 2016

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 17 March 2016 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC APR 9278 9278 9000 9010 -2.80 13200 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 8914 SUPP. 2 8818 PIVOT 9096 Turmeric short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 9112 RES. 2 9374 CORIANDER APR 6654 6732 6611 6630 -0.75 5370 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 6583 SUPP. 2 6537 PIVOT 6658 Coriander short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 6704 RES. 2 6779 GUARGUM APR 5530 5540 5360 5410 -1.99 10200 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 5333 SUPP. 2 5257 PIVOT 5437 Guargum short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 5513 RES. 2 5617 CASTORSEED - - - - - - - INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 - SUPP. 2 - PIVOT - - RESISTAN CE RES. 1 - RES. 2 -
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED - - - CHANA 4372 4383 -0.25 CORIANDER 6630 6680 -0.75 GUARGUM 5360 5470 -2.01 JEERA 14610 14810 -1.35 MUSTARD SEED 3913 3931 -0.46 SOYABEAN 3664 3669 -0.14 TURMERIC 9010 9270 -2.80 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % TURMERIC 20-04-2016 9010.00 -218.00 -2.36% JEERA 18-03-2016 14610.00 -205.00 -1.38% CORIANDER 20-04-2016 6630.00 -51.00 -0.76% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 20-04-2016 3913.00 -10.00 -0.25% CHANA 20-04-2016 4372.00 -7.00 -0.16% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 18-03-2016 2150.00 20.00 0.94% BARLEY 20-04-2016 1438.50 6.50 0.45% SOYABEAN 18-03-2016 3664.00 2.00 0.05%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS Government ruled out any new package or loan waiver to sugar mills although their dues to sugarcane farmers have touched Rs 15,893 crore.Due to surplus output in the last four years and depressed prices, the liquidity of sugar mills have been "adversely" affected leading to accumulation of cane price arrears of the farmers, Food Minister Ram Vilas Paswan said in a written reply to Lok Sabha.As on March 5, cane price arrears to farmers reached Rs 15,893.36 crore in over past three years, he said.Of the total, Rs 13,644 crore is for the ongoing 2015-16 season (October-September), while Rs 1,366 crore is for the 2014-15 season and Rs 882.07 crore for 2013-14 and earlier seasons, he added.Asked if the government proposes to provide any package to improve the condition of sugar mills and ensure timely payment of cane arrears, Paswan said: "There is no new proposal under consideration of the government to provide any package/ incentive including creation of buffer stocks.""There is no plan under consideration of the government to waive loan provided to the sugar mills."The government has extended financial assistance in the form of soft loan, incentive on raw sugar export and performance-based production subsidy scheme in order to improve the liquidity position of the sugar mills enabling them to make timely payment of sugarcane dues, he said.The financial assistance provided by the government are utilised to facilitate liquidation of cane price arrears of farmers. This is ensured through submission of utilisation certificate of sugar mills duly verified by the state government, he added.Sugar production is estimated to be 26 million tonnes for the 2015-16 season, lower than 28.1 million tonnes last year.The government will launch an online system this week to automate the operations at FCI depots in order to minimise storage losses of foodgrains.State-run Food Corporation of India (FCI), the nodal agency for procurement and distribution of foodgrains for the PDS, has been incurring financial loss because of damage to foodgrains and storage and transit losses.There are about 2,000-odd depots including hired ones.By July, 540- odd FCI-owned depots will be made online and later hired depots will also be brought under this system, the official added. Jeera on NCDEX settled down on profit booking amid lack of export demand. However downside seen limited on concerns over lower output due to jeera flower dropping in some areas in north Gujarat. There are reports of damage to jeera crop in some areas in Saurashtra due to unseasonal rains. Moreover, the production in Syria and Turkey, the second and third largest producer of cumin seed in the world is projected to be 15% lower due to the geo-political tensions.As per second advance estimate of Gujarat for 2015-16 jeera production is pegged at 211,000 ton up from 197,000 a year ago. As per second advance estimate of Gujarat for 2015-16 jeera production is pegged at 211,000 ton up from 197,000 a year ago.According to Dept of Commerce data, the export of jeera during first 8 month of 2015- 16 (Apr-Nov) is 56,787 ton, which is, lower as compared to last year. As per the final rabi sowing report, Gujarat has planted more cumin compared to last year sowing progress. Jeera is planted in about 10.8% more area at 2,95,400 hectares compared to 2,66,700 hectares last year same time. Mustard Seed on NCDEX settled down on weak demand for the seed in export market. The uncertain weather conditions over northern India in the coming 2-3 days have raised concerns regarding Rabi crops including RM Seed. Unseasonal rainfall and hailstorm may play spoilsport with the standing RM Seed crops whose production estimates is expected to be higher in the current season.India's rape seed oilmeal exports plunged 84.32% to 9,803 tons in February compared to 62,545 tons for the corresponding period a year earlier, data released by SEA of India showed. Global rapeseed imports for 2015/16 are forecast 180,000 tons higher this month to 13.3 million, primarily based on an expectation of higher EU trade. Due to stronger demand, world ending stocks are seen 331,000 tons lower this month to an 8-year low. For the EU, rapeseed crushing has been steady despite shrinking domestic stocks. EU rapeseed imports have ramped up as a result, with 2015/16 trade forecast up 400,000 tons this month to 2.8 million.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Castorseed CASTORSEED PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKET National Market Update As expected last week castor markets continued to trade under pressure and prices decreased around Rs 100 to Rs 150 per qtl. during last three days. It may trade stable around current level until arrival peaks up by the end of this month. Farmers may release lesser quantity as prices are ruling lower. Castor oil export increased by 67.91 % to 14263.29 tonne during the week ended 13th March- 2016.India had exported 8494.36 tonne castor oil before the week under review. Ave export quote realized at the rate of $1084.88 per tonne, higher by2.07 % from last week ending6th march-2016.As prices are ruling lower, export demand would continue with same pace. Availability is enough and seed supply from new crop to the plants would continue. Ave FoB quote would hinge in the range of $1025 to$1075 per tonne. Castor seed all India average price decreased by 1.70 % to Rs 2974.82 per qtl week on week basis. It was being traded at Rs 3026.49 per qtl. during the week ended 7th March-2016. Slight dip from current level is likely as pressure from new crop would increase. However, any major dip in cash market seems a remote possibility as farmers may prefer to retain stock than to sell it at lower price. Market fundamentals and recent developments hint that the year will remain favorable for castor oil consumers as upside potential is very limited in the short to medium term. Speculators have burnt their fingers and would prefer to remain sidelined in futures if futures contracts are re-launched. Under current condition castor business may revert to fundamental good demand -supply equations. CENTER 16-Mar-15 15-Mar-15 Change SUMERPUR 2875 2900 -25 PATAN 3000 3100 -100 MEHSANA 3025 3040 -15 BHABAR 3025 3075 -50 HARJI 3040 3050 -10 RAJKOT 2905 3015 -110 KADI 3025 3060 -35
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 6630 TARGET 6585 6435 SL ABOVE 6695 SELL GUARGUM APRIL BELOW 5340 TARGET 5290 5220 SL ABOVE 5400 SELL TURMERIC APRIL BELOW 8960 TARGET 8916 8856 SL ABOVE 9020
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.