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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
22 September 2015
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1
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Or give us a missed call at
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
OCT 7836 8038 7822 7950 +1.66 11805
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7835
SUPP. 2
7721
PIVOT
7937
Turmeric short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8051
RES. 2
8153
CORIANDER
OCT 10872 11255 10865 11255 +3.17 10480
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
10955
SUPP. 2
10735
PIVOT
11125
Coriander short term
trend is bullish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
11385
RES. 2
11515
GUARGUM
OCT 7930 8220 7850 8220 +3.92 2393
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7973
SUPP. 2
7727
PIVOT
8097
Guargum short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8343
RES. 2
8467
CASTORSEED
OCT 4120 4275 4114 4244 +2.96 111410
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
4147
SUPP. 2
4050
PIVOT
4211
Castorseed short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4308
RES. 2
4372
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 4244 4122 +2.96
CHANA 4571 4560 +0.24
CORIANDER 11255 10909 +3.17
GUARGUM 8220 7910 +3.92
JEERA 16435 15805 +3.99
MUSTARD
SEED
4235 4242 -0.17
SOYABEAN 3225 3217 +0.25
TURMERIC 7950 7820 +1.66
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
REFINED SOY OIL 20-10-2015 573.30 5.70 1.00%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
India has raised the import taxes on crude and refined edible oils by 5
percentage points, but traders said the increase was too little to make any
difference to the flood of supplies from Malaysia and Indonesia given rock-
bottom world prices.Consumption in the world's biggest buyer of cooking
oils is rising rapidly, and the low world prices are throwing several Indian
mills out of business and forcing farmers to switch to crops other than
oilseeds, such as soybeans.That is hurting Prime Minister Narendra Modi's
goal of becoming self-sufficient in edible oils this decade, prompting the
government on Friday to raise the duty on crude vegetable oils to 12.5
percent and on refined oils to 20 percent.But B.V. Mehta, executive
director of trade body the Solvent Extractors Association of India, said
imports will still be 21 percent higher at 14 million tonnes in the year to
October as local demand rises by as much as 5.5 percent
annually."Although we welcome the government move, we were expecting
a minimum 10 percentage point duty increase," Mehta said.Indian
consumes about 19 million tonnes of vegetable oils, widely used in its
calorie-heavy, deep-fried foods. Annual demand rises at least a million
tonnes only on account of the population jumping by 22 million.The
dependence on foreign oils is as high as 70 percent, though the fall in
prices in palm oil by $300 a tonne since January last year has kept the
import bill around $10 billion a year.Apart from a global glut, the sharp
drop in petroleum crude prices have meant that too little palm is getting
diverted to convert into renewable fuels. Last year, about 30 percent of the
200 million tonnes of palm oil produced in the world was used for bio fuels
and other industrial use.That is not going to happen this year, said Mehta,
keeping pressure on prices and boosting imports into India."The
government should also have ensured a bigger duty differential between
crude and refined oils to protect the domestic industry," said
Mehta.Massive imports have cut local soybean prices by about a fifth in the
past four months, discouraging farmers from expanding oilseed planting.
Still, local soyoil is much costlier than imported palm oil.
Turmeric settled up due to pickup in demand at the spot market.
Though, arrival of poor quality turmeric from the producing belts,
capped some gains. Turmeric sowing area reported high in Maharashtra
and Tamil Nadu state during the current sowing period. However,
deficient monsoon in August may affect turmeric production in rainfed
areas.Turmeric sowing In AP, is recorded at 12,322 hectares increase
over last years’ acreage and almost same as normal sowing area
progress while in Telangana, only 82 per cent sowing is completed
which normally should be completed as per normal schedule. Spot
turmeric prices decreased sharply due to poor quality arrivals. Within
three days, the price of the finger turmeric was down Rs. 700 a quintal
and the root variety by Rs. 600. Such a dip is due to the arrival of poor
quality produce. Further the upcountry demand was very poor during
this week. The arrival of turmeric bags are very low as only 2,000 bags
arrived and only fifty per cent stocks were sold. The finger variety
decreased from Rs. 200-300 a quintal and the root variety by Rs. 300.
At the Erode Turmeric Merchants Association sales yard, the finger
turmeric fetched Rs. 5,199-7,309 a quintal.
Jeera settled down on late profit booking after prices seen supported
due to limited arrivals from growing regions. Farmers have received
good prices for jeera and this may encourage them to sow more in the
upcoming sowing season. The jeera export from India may be lower as
jeera from Syria and Turkey may come to world market in September-
October. As per Department of commerce data, exports from India in
first three months of FY 2015-16 is 25,318 MT. As per latest spice
board press release, cumin export is stood at 155,500 tonnes for 2014-
15 period and earned foreign exchange worth Rs 1,838.20 crore while
in 2013- 14, the figures stood at 121,500 tonnes valued at Rs 1,600
crore. As per fourth advance estimate of Gujarat State, production is
expected at 1.58 lt in 2014-15, which is 54.3 % lower, compared to last
years’ production of 3.46 lakh tonnes.
5
Fundamental Watch : Cotton
COTTON PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
According to USDA's FAS (Foreign Agriculture Services), Mumbai, Cotton
production in India would be around 37 million bales (of 170 kg each) in the
season 2015-16 starting from October. Yield is expected to stand around 524
Kg per hectares against the five year average yield of 527 kg per hectare. The
reason for the fall in the yield is the deficient rainfall in the latter half of the
monsoon season which has slowed down the boll development and attack of
pink bollworm and whitefly on the crop in Gujarat and Punjab respectively.
Around 115.20 lakh hectares of cotton has been sown so far throughout the
country, as on 18 September this year. This is around 8.3% lower than the
corresponding sowing progress of last season which was 125.75 lakh hectares,
according to Ministry of Agriculture.
In Gujarat, the major producer of cotton in India, around 27.61 lakh hectares
of cotton has been planted as on 18 September 2015, which is around 8%
lower when compared to the sowing area of cotton on the same date last year,
according to Ministry of Agriculture.
To purchase cotton directly from farmers, 90 outlets of Cotton Corporation
(CCI) of India would start working from Oct 10 in Telangana, said Marketing
minister T Harish Rao. He also said that government would issue the identity
cards shortly to cotton farmers in state.
World cotton exports in 2015-16 according to USDA are likely to be around
7.45 million tons as per the latest estimates by USDA, slightly lower than 7.51
million tons, which was estimated a month ago. According to USDA, world
cotton export for the season 2014-15 is likely to stand around 7.70 million
tons.
CENTER 21-Sep-15 19-Sep-15 Change
RAJKOT 4705 NA -
BHIWANI 4780 4700 +80
ADAMPUR NA NA -
AHMEDABAD NA NA -
GONDAL 4705 NA -
GUNTUR NA NA -
RAICHUR NA NA -
Technical Outlook
6
BUY CORIANDER OCT ABOVE 11270 TARGET 11297 11377 SL
BELOW 11243
BUY GUARGUM OCT ABOVE 8320 TARGET 8370 8440 SL
BELOW 8260
BUY TURMERIC OCT ABOVE 8040 TARGET 8080 8140 SL
BELOW 7980
SELL CASTORSEED OCT BELOW 4220 TARGET 4195 4165 SL
ABOVE 4245
Disclaimer
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 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
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Epic research daily agri report 22 sept 2015

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 22 September 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC OCT 7836 8038 7822 7950 +1.66 11805 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 7835 SUPP. 2 7721 PIVOT 7937 Turmeric short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8051 RES. 2 8153 CORIANDER OCT 10872 11255 10865 11255 +3.17 10480 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 10955 SUPP. 2 10735 PIVOT 11125 Coriander short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 11385 RES. 2 11515 GUARGUM OCT 7930 8220 7850 8220 +3.92 2393 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 7973 SUPP. 2 7727 PIVOT 8097 Guargum short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8343 RES. 2 8467 CASTORSEED OCT 4120 4275 4114 4244 +2.96 111410 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 4147 SUPP. 2 4050 PIVOT 4211 Castorseed short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming day.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 4308 RES. 2 4372
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 4244 4122 +2.96 CHANA 4571 4560 +0.24 CORIANDER 11255 10909 +3.17 GUARGUM 8220 7910 +3.92 JEERA 16435 15805 +3.99 MUSTARD SEED 4235 4242 -0.17 SOYABEAN 3225 3217 +0.25 TURMERIC 7950 7820 +1.66 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % REFINED SOY OIL 20-10-2015 573.30 5.70 1.00%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS India has raised the import taxes on crude and refined edible oils by 5 percentage points, but traders said the increase was too little to make any difference to the flood of supplies from Malaysia and Indonesia given rock- bottom world prices.Consumption in the world's biggest buyer of cooking oils is rising rapidly, and the low world prices are throwing several Indian mills out of business and forcing farmers to switch to crops other than oilseeds, such as soybeans.That is hurting Prime Minister Narendra Modi's goal of becoming self-sufficient in edible oils this decade, prompting the government on Friday to raise the duty on crude vegetable oils to 12.5 percent and on refined oils to 20 percent.But B.V. Mehta, executive director of trade body the Solvent Extractors Association of India, said imports will still be 21 percent higher at 14 million tonnes in the year to October as local demand rises by as much as 5.5 percent annually."Although we welcome the government move, we were expecting a minimum 10 percentage point duty increase," Mehta said.Indian consumes about 19 million tonnes of vegetable oils, widely used in its calorie-heavy, deep-fried foods. Annual demand rises at least a million tonnes only on account of the population jumping by 22 million.The dependence on foreign oils is as high as 70 percent, though the fall in prices in palm oil by $300 a tonne since January last year has kept the import bill around $10 billion a year.Apart from a global glut, the sharp drop in petroleum crude prices have meant that too little palm is getting diverted to convert into renewable fuels. Last year, about 30 percent of the 200 million tonnes of palm oil produced in the world was used for bio fuels and other industrial use.That is not going to happen this year, said Mehta, keeping pressure on prices and boosting imports into India."The government should also have ensured a bigger duty differential between crude and refined oils to protect the domestic industry," said Mehta.Massive imports have cut local soybean prices by about a fifth in the past four months, discouraging farmers from expanding oilseed planting. Still, local soyoil is much costlier than imported palm oil. Turmeric settled up due to pickup in demand at the spot market. Though, arrival of poor quality turmeric from the producing belts, capped some gains. Turmeric sowing area reported high in Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu state during the current sowing period. However, deficient monsoon in August may affect turmeric production in rainfed areas.Turmeric sowing In AP, is recorded at 12,322 hectares increase over last years’ acreage and almost same as normal sowing area progress while in Telangana, only 82 per cent sowing is completed which normally should be completed as per normal schedule. Spot turmeric prices decreased sharply due to poor quality arrivals. Within three days, the price of the finger turmeric was down Rs. 700 a quintal and the root variety by Rs. 600. Such a dip is due to the arrival of poor quality produce. Further the upcountry demand was very poor during this week. The arrival of turmeric bags are very low as only 2,000 bags arrived and only fifty per cent stocks were sold. The finger variety decreased from Rs. 200-300 a quintal and the root variety by Rs. 300. At the Erode Turmeric Merchants Association sales yard, the finger turmeric fetched Rs. 5,199-7,309 a quintal. Jeera settled down on late profit booking after prices seen supported due to limited arrivals from growing regions. Farmers have received good prices for jeera and this may encourage them to sow more in the upcoming sowing season. The jeera export from India may be lower as jeera from Syria and Turkey may come to world market in September- October. As per Department of commerce data, exports from India in first three months of FY 2015-16 is 25,318 MT. As per latest spice board press release, cumin export is stood at 155,500 tonnes for 2014- 15 period and earned foreign exchange worth Rs 1,838.20 crore while in 2013- 14, the figures stood at 121,500 tonnes valued at Rs 1,600 crore. As per fourth advance estimate of Gujarat State, production is expected at 1.58 lt in 2014-15, which is 54.3 % lower, compared to last years’ production of 3.46 lakh tonnes.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Cotton COTTON PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update According to USDA's FAS (Foreign Agriculture Services), Mumbai, Cotton production in India would be around 37 million bales (of 170 kg each) in the season 2015-16 starting from October. Yield is expected to stand around 524 Kg per hectares against the five year average yield of 527 kg per hectare. The reason for the fall in the yield is the deficient rainfall in the latter half of the monsoon season which has slowed down the boll development and attack of pink bollworm and whitefly on the crop in Gujarat and Punjab respectively. Around 115.20 lakh hectares of cotton has been sown so far throughout the country, as on 18 September this year. This is around 8.3% lower than the corresponding sowing progress of last season which was 125.75 lakh hectares, according to Ministry of Agriculture. In Gujarat, the major producer of cotton in India, around 27.61 lakh hectares of cotton has been planted as on 18 September 2015, which is around 8% lower when compared to the sowing area of cotton on the same date last year, according to Ministry of Agriculture. To purchase cotton directly from farmers, 90 outlets of Cotton Corporation (CCI) of India would start working from Oct 10 in Telangana, said Marketing minister T Harish Rao. He also said that government would issue the identity cards shortly to cotton farmers in state. World cotton exports in 2015-16 according to USDA are likely to be around 7.45 million tons as per the latest estimates by USDA, slightly lower than 7.51 million tons, which was estimated a month ago. According to USDA, world cotton export for the season 2014-15 is likely to stand around 7.70 million tons. CENTER 21-Sep-15 19-Sep-15 Change RAJKOT 4705 NA - BHIWANI 4780 4700 +80 ADAMPUR NA NA - AHMEDABAD NA NA - GONDAL 4705 NA - GUNTUR NA NA - RAICHUR NA NA -
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 BUY CORIANDER OCT ABOVE 11270 TARGET 11297 11377 SL BELOW 11243 BUY GUARGUM OCT ABOVE 8320 TARGET 8370 8440 SL BELOW 8260 BUY TURMERIC OCT ABOVE 8040 TARGET 8080 8140 SL BELOW 7980 SELL CASTORSEED OCT BELOW 4220 TARGET 4195 4165 SL ABOVE 4245
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.