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ENVIRONMENTAL	
  IMPACTS	
  OF	
  SHARED	
  
MOBILITY:	
  INSIGHTS	
  FROM	
  NORTH	
  
AMERICA	
  
Susan	
  A.	
  Shaheen,	
  Ph.D.	
  
Adjunct	
  Professor,	
  Civil	
  &	
  Environmental	
  Engineering	
  
	
  and	
  Co-­‐Director,	
  TSRC	
  
University	
  of	
  California,	
  Berkeley	
  
OVERVIEW	
  
Ø 	
  Carsharing	
  
Ø 	
  Market	
  trends	
  
Ø 	
  N.	
  American	
  survey	
  findings	
  
Ø 	
  Bikesharing	
  
Ø Market	
  trends	
  
Ø 	
  N.	
  American	
  survey	
  findings	
  
Ø 	
  Ridesourcing/TNCs	
  
Ø Market	
  trends	
  
Ø San	
  Francisco	
  survey	
  findings	
  
Ø 	
  Acknowledgements	
  
© UC Berkeley, 2015
Roundtrip	
  Carsharing:	
  	
  
Round	
  trip,	
  pay	
  by	
  the	
  hour/mile,	
  non-­‐
profit	
  and	
  for	
  profit	
  fleet	
  models	
  
Peer-­‐to-­‐Peer	
  Carsharing:	
  	
  
Shared	
  use	
  of	
  private	
  vehicle	
  typically	
  
managed	
  by	
  third	
  party	
  
One-­‐Way	
  Carsharing:	
  	
  
Pay	
  by	
  the	
  minute,	
  point	
  to	
  point,	
  fleet	
  
operated,	
  street	
  parking	
  agreements	
  
Fractional	
  Ownership	
  Carsharing:	
  	
  
Individuals	
  sublease	
  or	
  subscribe	
  to	
  a	
  
vehicle	
  owned	
  by	
  a	
  third	
  party	
  
There	
  are	
  many	
  flavors	
  of	
  carsharing	
  Carsharing	
  
GROWTH	
  OF	
  WORLDWIDE	
  CARSHARING	
  
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Members 346,610 670,822 1,163,405 1,788,027 4,828,616
Vehicles 11,501 19,403 31,967 43,554 103,980
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
Vehicles
Members
© UC Berkeley, 2015
Shaheen	
  and	
  Cohen,	
  2015	
  
NORTH	
  AMERICAN	
  LONGITUDINAL	
  TRENDS	
  
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Members 117,656 318,898 516,100 908,584 1,625,652
Vehicles 3,337 7,505 10,420 15,795 24,210
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
Vehicles
Members
Shaheen	
  and	
  Cohen,	
  2015	
   © UC Berkeley,
2015
© UC Berkeley, 2015
Public	
  Bikesharing:	
  	
  
Point	
  to	
  point,	
  pay	
  by	
  the	
  ½	
  hr,	
  fleet	
  
operated,	
  docking	
  stations	
  
Closed	
  Community	
  Bikesharing:	
  	
  
Campuses	
  and	
  closed	
  membership,	
  
mainly	
  roundtrip,	
  linking	
  to	
  carsharing	
  
Peer-­‐to-­‐Peer	
  Bikesharing:	
  	
  
Rent	
  or	
  borrow	
  hourly	
  or	
  daily	
  from	
  
individuals	
  or	
  bike	
  rental	
  shops	
  
Growing	
  exponentially	
  in	
  urban	
  centers	
  Bikesharing	
  
WORLDWIDE	
  &	
  US	
  BIKESHARING:	
  	
  
May	
  2015	
  
Ø  880	
  cities	
  with	
  IT-­‐based	
  operating	
  systems	
  
Ø  1,036,000	
  bikes	
  
Ø  ~811,500	
  bikes	
  in	
  China	
  (and	
  256	
  cities)	
  
Ø  US:	
  72	
  cities	
  with	
  IT-­‐based	
  systems	
  
Ø  ~24,700	
  bikes	
  
Ø  2,440	
  stations	
  
Ø  In	
  2015,	
  21	
  new	
  programs	
  to	
  begin	
  operating	
  in	
  world:	
  13	
  
are	
  in	
  China	
  and	
  8	
  in	
  U.S.	
  
	
   Source:	
  Russell	
  Meddin,	
  2015	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
2008	
  N.	
  AMERICAN	
  CARSHARING	
  SURVEY	
  
Ø 	
  Survey	
  implemented	
  from	
  Sept.	
  to	
  	
  
Nov.	
  2008	
  
Ø 	
  ~9,500	
  completed	
  surveys;	
  
analysis	
  based	
  on	
  6,281	
  hhds	
  
Ø 	
  Completion	
  rate	
  ~80%	
  
Ø 	
  Online	
  survey	
  challenging	
  
Ø  Took	
  between	
  10	
  to	
  15	
  minutes	
  for	
  
most	
  respondents	
  to	
  complete	
  
	
  	
  
Martin,	
  Shaheen,	
  Lidicker,	
  2010	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
PARTICIPATING	
  ORGANIZATIONS	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  American	
  
-­‐  City	
  CarShare	
  
-­‐  CityWheels	
  
-­‐  Community	
  Car	
  
-­‐  Community	
  Carshare	
  of	
  Bellingham	
  
-­‐  Igo	
  
-­‐  PhillyCarShare	
  
-­‐  Zipcar	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Canadian	
  
-­‐  AutoShare	
  
-­‐  Communauto	
  	
  
-­‐  Co-­‐operative	
  Auto	
  Network	
  
-­‐  VrtuCar	
  
-­‐  Zipcar	
  
	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
N.A.	
  VEHICLE	
  HOLDINGS:	
  KEY	
  FINDINGS	
  
Ø 	
  Between	
  9	
  to	
  13	
  vehicles	
  removed,	
  
including	
  postponed	
  purchase	
  	
  
Ø 	
  4	
  to	
  6	
  vehicles/carsharing	
  vehicle	
  
sold	
  due	
  to	
  carsharing	
  
Ø 	
  Most	
  shift	
  due	
  to	
  1	
  car	
  households	
  
becoming	
  carless	
  
Ø 	
  Second	
  largest	
  shift,	
  2	
  car	
  
households	
  become	
  1	
  	
  car	
  
households	
  	
  
Ø 	
  25%	
  sell	
  a	
  vehicle;	
  25%	
  postpone	
  
purchase	
  
Ø 	
  Net	
  CO2	
  reduction	
  of	
  27%	
  observed	
  
and	
  43%	
  full	
  impact	
  (average)	
  
	
  
Martin,	
  Shaheen,	
  Lidicker,	
  2010	
  
2013	
  N.	
  AMERICAN	
  BIKESHARING	
  STUDY	
  
Ø 	
  23	
  operator	
  interviews	
  in	
  the	
  US,	
  Canada,	
  
&	
  Mexico	
  
Ø 	
  IT-­‐based	
  bikesharing	
  program	
  growth	
  
tracking	
  (including	
  planned	
  programs)	
  
Ø 	
  Surveys	
  with	
  members	
  of	
  5	
  public	
  
bikesharing	
  systems	
  in	
  Spring/Summer	
  
2013	
  	
  
Ø 	
  2013	
  operational	
  data	
  analysis	
  from	
  Nice	
  
Ride	
  MN	
  
© UC Berkeley, 2015
Shaheen	
  et	
  al.,	
  2014	
  
2013	
  MEMBER	
  SURVEY:	
  DEMOGRAPHICS
Compared	
  to	
  general	
  population	
  bikesharing	
  users	
  
tend	
  to	
  be…	
  
Ø 	
  Wealthier	
  
Ø 	
  More	
  educated	
  
Ø 	
  Younger	
  
Ø 	
  Caucasian	
  
Ø 	
  Male	
  
Shaheen	
  et	
  al.,	
  2014	
  
© UC Berkeley, 2015
MEMBER	
  SURVEY:	
  2013	
  
Shaheen	
  et	
  al.,	
  2014	
   ©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
CHANGE	
  IN	
  DRIVING	
  
0% 0%
44%
9%
29%
4% 0%0% 0%
49%
6%
38%
0% 0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Much	
  more	
  often More	
  often Less	
  often Much	
  less	
  often About	
  the	
  same Did	
  not	
  ride	
  the
drive	
  before/after
Changed	
  driving,
not	
  due	
  to
bikesharing.
As	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  my	
  use	
  of	
  bikesharing,	
  I	
  drive	
  a	
  personal	
  vehicle	
  (e.g.,	
  car,	
  SUV,	
  etc.)	
  …
Minneapolis	
  Saint-­‐Paul,	
  N	
  =	
  620
Salt	
  Lake	
  City,	
  N	
  =	
  72
0% 0%
19%
10%
16%
3%
0%0% 0%
23%
12%
24%
4%
0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Much	
  more	
  often More	
  often Less	
  often Much	
  less	
  often About	
  the	
  same Did	
  not	
  ride	
  the
drive	
  before/after
Changed	
  driving,
not	
  due	
  to
bikesharing.
Montreal,	
  N	
  =	
  1095
Toronto,	
  N	
  =	
  993
1% 0%
32%
21% 19%
2% 0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Much	
  more	
  often More	
  often Less	
  often Much	
  less	
  often About	
  the	
  same Did	
  not	
  ride	
  the
drive	
  before/after
Changed	
  driving,
not	
  due	
  to
bikesharing.
Mexico	
  City,	
  N	
  =	
  3329
Shaheen	
  et	
  al.,	
  2014	
  ©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
10%
15%
27%
29%
13%
1%
5%
14%
18%
25% 24%
13%
0%
7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Less	
  than	
  once
a	
  month
Once	
  a	
  month Every	
  other
week
1	
  to	
  3	
  days	
  per
week
4	
  to	
  6	
  days	
  per
week
Once	
  a	
  day More	
  than
once	
  a	
  day
Currently,	
  how	
  often	
  do	
  you	
  check	
  out	
  a	
  bikesharing	
  bicycle?
Minneapolis	
  Saint-­‐Paul,	
  N	
  =	
  618
Salt	
  Lake	
  City,	
  N	
  =	
  72
5% 3%
10%
30%
24%
7%
22%20%
7%
13%
23%
19%
4%
15%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Less	
  than	
  once
a	
  month
Once	
  a	
  month Every	
  other
week
1	
  to	
  3	
  days	
  per
week
4	
  to	
  6	
  days	
  per
week
Once	
  a	
  day More	
  than
once	
  a	
  day
Montreal,	
  N	
  =	
  1090
Toronto,	
  N	
  =	
  1010
4% 6%
12%
30%
21%
7%
21%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Less	
  than	
  once
a	
  month
Once	
  a	
  month Every	
  other
week
1	
  to	
  3	
  days	
  per
week
4	
  to	
  6	
  days	
  per
week
Once	
  a	
  day More	
  than
once	
  a	
  day
Mexico	
  City,	
  N	
  =	
  3330
Shaheen	
  et	
  al.,	
  2014	
  ©	
  UC	
  Berkeley,	
  2015	
  
CHANGE	
  IN	
  URBAN	
  RAIL	
  
Shaheen	
  et	
  al.,	
  2012	
  
1%
10%
2% 0%
61%
3% 0%1%
13%
4% 3%
72%
0% 0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Much	
  more	
  often More	
  often Less	
  often Much	
  less	
  often About	
  the	
  same Did	
  not	
  ride	
  the
rail	
  before/after
Changed	
  rail	
  use,
not	
  due	
  to
bikesharing.
As	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  my	
  use	
  of	
  bikesharing,	
  I	
  use	
  urban	
  rail…
Minneapolis	
  Saint-­‐Paul,	
  N	
  =	
  620
Salt	
  Lake	
  City,	
  N	
  =	
  72
1%
6%
37%
20%
30%
1% 0%1%
7%
35%
14%
39%
2% 0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Much	
  more	
  often More	
  often Less	
  often Much	
  less	
  often About	
  the	
  same Did	
  not	
  ride	
  the
rail	
  before/after
Changed	
  rail	
  use,
not	
  due	
  to
bikesharing.
Montreal,	
  N	
  =	
  1096
Toronto,	
  N	
  =	
  1005
4%
9% 12%
5%
44%
1% 0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Much	
  more	
  often More	
  often Less	
  often Much	
  less	
  often About	
  the	
  same Did	
  not	
  ride	
  the
rail	
  before/after
Changed	
  rail	
  use,
not	
  due	
  to
bikesharing.
Mexico	
  City,	
  N	
  =	
  3333
Shaheen	
  et	
  al.,	
  2014	
  © UC Berkeley, 2015
Response	
  Categories Montreal Toronto Minneapolis-­‐Saint	
  Paul Salt	
  Lake	
  City Mexico	
  City
Lower	
  cost	
  and	
  faster	
  travel 25% 48% 0% 0% 28%
Just	
  lower	
  cost 5% 9% 7% 0% 2%
Too	
  many	
  connections	
  (not	
  
have	
  to	
  transfer)
3% 2% 7% 0% 6%
Just	
  faster	
  travel 14% 14% 14% 40% 12%
Improve	
  travel	
  time	
  
reliability
4% 7% 0% 60% 6%
Want	
  to	
  get	
  exercise 31% 8% 50% 0% 17%
Public	
  transit	
  vehicle	
  is	
  
crowded
6% 6% 0% 0% 18%
No	
  space	
  for	
  my	
  bike,	
  which	
  
I	
  use	
  to	
  connect
0% 0% 0% 0% 2%
I	
  consider	
  it	
  safer	
  to	
  travel	
  
with	
  bikesharing
1% 0% 7% 0% 2%
Not	
  applicable 1% 2% 0% 0% 3%
Other,	
  please	
  specify: 8% 5% 14% 0% 3%
Total	
  N 631 491 14 5 577
What	
  is	
  the	
  primary	
  reason	
  that	
  you	
  are	
  using	
  the	
  rail	
  LESS	
  because	
  of	
  bikesharing?
Shaheen	
  et	
  al.,	
  2014	
  © UC Berkeley, 2015
© UC Berkeley, 2015
A	
  new	
  category	
  of	
  transportation	
  
services;	
  need	
  for	
  study	
  
Ridesourcing	
  
Ridesourcing/TNC:	
  	
  
Prearranged	
  trips,	
  App	
  to	
  pay	
  and	
  
connect	
  passengers	
  with	
  drivers	
  
who	
  use	
  their	
  personal	
  vehicles	
  
SOME	
  RIDESOURCING/E-­‐HAIL	
  
MARKET	
  TRENDS	
  
Ø  Lyft:	
  60	
  cities;	
  51,000	
  drivers	
  (2014)	
  
Ø  Uber:	
  58	
  countries;	
  311	
  cities;	
  over	
  162,000	
  drivers	
  in	
  U.S.	
  
Ø  Sidecar:	
  10	
  cities;	
  ~10,000	
  drivers	
  
Ø  Flywheel:	
  6	
  cities,	
  over	
  5,000	
  drivers	
  	
  
Ø  Curb:	
  60	
  cities;	
  35,000	
  cabs	
  
	
  
Said,	
  2015;	
  Miller,	
  2015	
   © UC Berkeley, 2015
RIDESOURCING:	
  SOME	
  EARLY	
  
UNDERSTANDING	
  
Taxi,	
  
39%	
  
Bus,	
  24%	
  
Rail,	
  9%	
  
Walk,	
  
8%	
  
Drive	
  
Own	
  
Car,	
  6%	
  
Bike,	
  2%	
  
Get	
  A	
  
Ride,	
  1%	
  
Other,	
  
11%	
  
Ø 92%	
  would	
  have	
  still	
  made	
  this	
  
trip	
  
Ø  8%	
  induced	
  travel	
  effect	
  
Ø 33%	
  would	
  have	
  taken	
  public	
  
transit	
  (bus	
  or	
  rail)	
  	
  
Ø 4%	
  named	
  a	
  transit	
  station	
  
origin/destination,	
  suggesting	
  
some	
  ridesourcing	
  usage	
  to	
  
access	
  public	
  transportation	
  
Ø 20%	
  avoided	
  driving	
  after	
  
drinkings	
  
Rayle	
  et	
  al.	
  2014	
  
How	
  would	
  you	
  have	
  made	
  this	
  trip	
  if	
  
Uber/Lyft/Sidecar	
  were	
  not	
  available?	
  
	
  
© UC Berkeley, 2015
KEY	
  FINDINGS:	
  WAIT	
  TIMES	
  
Rayle	
  et	
  al,	
  2014	
  
About	
  how	
  long	
  did	
  you	
  wait	
  for	
  your	
  ride	
  (from	
  the	
  
time	
  you	
  made	
  the	
  request	
  to	
  the	
  time	
  the	
  vehicle	
  
arrived)?	
  
Percentages	
  of	
  wait	
  times	
  less	
  than	
  or	
  equal	
  to	
  10	
  minutes:
Wait	
  Times	
   Ridesourcing	
   Taxi	
  (Phone)	
   Taxi	
  (Street	
  
Hail)	
  
M-­‐F	
  4am-­‐6pm	
   93%	
   35%	
   39%	
  
M-­‐F	
  (6pm-­‐4am)	
   92%	
   16%	
   33%	
  
S-­‐Su	
   88%	
   16%	
   25%	
  
© UC Berkeley, 2015
KEY	
  FINDINGS:	
  VEHICLE	
  OWNERSHIP,	
  
OCCUPANCY	
  &	
  DRIVING	
  FREQUENCY	
  
Ø Ridesourcing	
  and	
  taxis	
  serve	
  residents	
  who	
  don’t	
  own	
  a	
  car	
  
Ø Ridesourcing	
  survey:	
  43%	
  no	
  vehicle	
  at	
  home	
  
Ø Taxi	
  survey:	
  35%	
  car-­‐less	
  
	
  
Ø 	
  Occupancy:	
  1.8	
  TNCs	
  and	
  1.1	
  taxis	
  
Ø 	
  Ridesourcing	
  is	
  still	
  new,	
  with	
  potential	
  to	
  impact	
  VMT/
VKT	
  and	
  vehicle	
  ownership	
  
Ø 	
  90%	
  of	
  vehicle	
  owners	
  did	
  not	
  change	
  ownership	
  level	
  
Ø 	
  40%	
  drove	
  less	
  since	
  using	
  ridesourcing	
  
	
  
Rayle	
  et	
  al.	
  2014	
  
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS	
  
Ø  Mineta	
  Transportation	
  Institute,	
  San	
  Jose	
  State	
  
University	
  
Ø  California	
  Department	
  of	
  Transportation	
  
Ø  Adam	
  Cohen,	
  Elliot	
  Martin,	
  Nelson	
  Chan,	
  and	
  
Matt	
  Christensen,	
  TSRC,	
  UC	
  Berkeley	
  
Ø  Special	
  thanks	
  to	
  the	
  worldwide	
  shared	
  mobility	
  
operators	
  and	
  experts	
  who	
  make	
  our	
  research	
  
possible,	
  including	
  Timothy	
  Papandreou	
  and	
  
Russell	
  Meddin	
  
www.tsrc.berkeley.edu	
  
Email:	
  sshaheen@berkeley.edu	
  
Twitter:	
  SusanShaheen1	
  

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Environmental Impacts of Shared Mobility: Insights from North America

  • 1. ENVIRONMENTAL  IMPACTS  OF  SHARED   MOBILITY:  INSIGHTS  FROM  NORTH   AMERICA   Susan  A.  Shaheen,  Ph.D.   Adjunct  Professor,  Civil  &  Environmental  Engineering    and  Co-­‐Director,  TSRC   University  of  California,  Berkeley  
  • 2. OVERVIEW   Ø   Carsharing   Ø   Market  trends   Ø   N.  American  survey  findings   Ø   Bikesharing   Ø Market  trends   Ø   N.  American  survey  findings   Ø   Ridesourcing/TNCs   Ø Market  trends   Ø San  Francisco  survey  findings   Ø   Acknowledgements  
  • 3. © UC Berkeley, 2015 Roundtrip  Carsharing:     Round  trip,  pay  by  the  hour/mile,  non-­‐ profit  and  for  profit  fleet  models   Peer-­‐to-­‐Peer  Carsharing:     Shared  use  of  private  vehicle  typically   managed  by  third  party   One-­‐Way  Carsharing:     Pay  by  the  minute,  point  to  point,  fleet   operated,  street  parking  agreements   Fractional  Ownership  Carsharing:     Individuals  sublease  or  subscribe  to  a   vehicle  owned  by  a  third  party   There  are  many  flavors  of  carsharing  Carsharing  
  • 4. GROWTH  OF  WORLDWIDE  CARSHARING   2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 Members 346,610 670,822 1,163,405 1,788,027 4,828,616 Vehicles 11,501 19,403 31,967 43,554 103,980 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 Vehicles Members © UC Berkeley, 2015 Shaheen  and  Cohen,  2015  
  • 5. NORTH  AMERICAN  LONGITUDINAL  TRENDS   2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 Members 117,656 318,898 516,100 908,584 1,625,652 Vehicles 3,337 7,505 10,420 15,795 24,210 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,800,000 Vehicles Members Shaheen  and  Cohen,  2015   © UC Berkeley, 2015
  • 6. © UC Berkeley, 2015 Public  Bikesharing:     Point  to  point,  pay  by  the  ½  hr,  fleet   operated,  docking  stations   Closed  Community  Bikesharing:     Campuses  and  closed  membership,   mainly  roundtrip,  linking  to  carsharing   Peer-­‐to-­‐Peer  Bikesharing:     Rent  or  borrow  hourly  or  daily  from   individuals  or  bike  rental  shops   Growing  exponentially  in  urban  centers  Bikesharing  
  • 7. WORLDWIDE  &  US  BIKESHARING:     May  2015   Ø  880  cities  with  IT-­‐based  operating  systems   Ø  1,036,000  bikes   Ø  ~811,500  bikes  in  China  (and  256  cities)   Ø  US:  72  cities  with  IT-­‐based  systems   Ø  ~24,700  bikes   Ø  2,440  stations   Ø  In  2015,  21  new  programs  to  begin  operating  in  world:  13   are  in  China  and  8  in  U.S.     Source:  Russell  Meddin,  2015  
  • 8.         2008  N.  AMERICAN  CARSHARING  SURVEY   Ø   Survey  implemented  from  Sept.  to     Nov.  2008   Ø   ~9,500  completed  surveys;   analysis  based  on  6,281  hhds   Ø   Completion  rate  ~80%   Ø   Online  survey  challenging   Ø  Took  between  10  to  15  minutes  for   most  respondents  to  complete       Martin,  Shaheen,  Lidicker,  2010  
  • 9.                           PARTICIPATING  ORGANIZATIONS                            American   -­‐  City  CarShare   -­‐  CityWheels   -­‐  Community  Car   -­‐  Community  Carshare  of  Bellingham   -­‐  Igo   -­‐  PhillyCarShare   -­‐  Zipcar                            Canadian   -­‐  AutoShare   -­‐  Communauto     -­‐  Co-­‐operative  Auto  Network   -­‐  VrtuCar   -­‐  Zipcar    
  • 10.         N.A.  VEHICLE  HOLDINGS:  KEY  FINDINGS   Ø   Between  9  to  13  vehicles  removed,   including  postponed  purchase     Ø   4  to  6  vehicles/carsharing  vehicle   sold  due  to  carsharing   Ø   Most  shift  due  to  1  car  households   becoming  carless   Ø   Second  largest  shift,  2  car   households  become  1    car   households     Ø   25%  sell  a  vehicle;  25%  postpone   purchase   Ø   Net  CO2  reduction  of  27%  observed   and  43%  full  impact  (average)     Martin,  Shaheen,  Lidicker,  2010  
  • 11. 2013  N.  AMERICAN  BIKESHARING  STUDY   Ø   23  operator  interviews  in  the  US,  Canada,   &  Mexico   Ø   IT-­‐based  bikesharing  program  growth   tracking  (including  planned  programs)   Ø   Surveys  with  members  of  5  public   bikesharing  systems  in  Spring/Summer   2013     Ø   2013  operational  data  analysis  from  Nice   Ride  MN   © UC Berkeley, 2015 Shaheen  et  al.,  2014  
  • 12. 2013  MEMBER  SURVEY:  DEMOGRAPHICS Compared  to  general  population  bikesharing  users   tend  to  be…   Ø   Wealthier   Ø   More  educated   Ø   Younger   Ø   Caucasian   Ø   Male   Shaheen  et  al.,  2014   © UC Berkeley, 2015
  • 13. MEMBER  SURVEY:  2013   Shaheen  et  al.,  2014   ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 14. CHANGE  IN  DRIVING   0% 0% 44% 9% 29% 4% 0%0% 0% 49% 6% 38% 0% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Much  more  often More  often Less  often Much  less  often About  the  same Did  not  ride  the drive  before/after Changed  driving, not  due  to bikesharing. As  a  result  of  my  use  of  bikesharing,  I  drive  a  personal  vehicle  (e.g.,  car,  SUV,  etc.)  … Minneapolis  Saint-­‐Paul,  N  =  620 Salt  Lake  City,  N  =  72 0% 0% 19% 10% 16% 3% 0%0% 0% 23% 12% 24% 4% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% Much  more  often More  often Less  often Much  less  often About  the  same Did  not  ride  the drive  before/after Changed  driving, not  due  to bikesharing. Montreal,  N  =  1095 Toronto,  N  =  993 1% 0% 32% 21% 19% 2% 0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Much  more  often More  often Less  often Much  less  often About  the  same Did  not  ride  the drive  before/after Changed  driving, not  due  to bikesharing. Mexico  City,  N  =  3329 Shaheen  et  al.,  2014  ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 15. 10% 15% 27% 29% 13% 1% 5% 14% 18% 25% 24% 13% 0% 7% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Less  than  once a  month Once  a  month Every  other week 1  to  3  days  per week 4  to  6  days  per week Once  a  day More  than once  a  day Currently,  how  often  do  you  check  out  a  bikesharing  bicycle? Minneapolis  Saint-­‐Paul,  N  =  618 Salt  Lake  City,  N  =  72 5% 3% 10% 30% 24% 7% 22%20% 7% 13% 23% 19% 4% 15% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Less  than  once a  month Once  a  month Every  other week 1  to  3  days  per week 4  to  6  days  per week Once  a  day More  than once  a  day Montreal,  N  =  1090 Toronto,  N  =  1010 4% 6% 12% 30% 21% 7% 21% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Less  than  once a  month Once  a  month Every  other week 1  to  3  days  per week 4  to  6  days  per week Once  a  day More  than once  a  day Mexico  City,  N  =  3330 Shaheen  et  al.,  2014  ©  UC  Berkeley,  2015  
  • 16. CHANGE  IN  URBAN  RAIL   Shaheen  et  al.,  2012   1% 10% 2% 0% 61% 3% 0%1% 13% 4% 3% 72% 0% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Much  more  often More  often Less  often Much  less  often About  the  same Did  not  ride  the rail  before/after Changed  rail  use, not  due  to bikesharing. As  a  result  of  my  use  of  bikesharing,  I  use  urban  rail… Minneapolis  Saint-­‐Paul,  N  =  620 Salt  Lake  City,  N  =  72 1% 6% 37% 20% 30% 1% 0%1% 7% 35% 14% 39% 2% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Much  more  often More  often Less  often Much  less  often About  the  same Did  not  ride  the rail  before/after Changed  rail  use, not  due  to bikesharing. Montreal,  N  =  1096 Toronto,  N  =  1005 4% 9% 12% 5% 44% 1% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Much  more  often More  often Less  often Much  less  often About  the  same Did  not  ride  the rail  before/after Changed  rail  use, not  due  to bikesharing. Mexico  City,  N  =  3333 Shaheen  et  al.,  2014  © UC Berkeley, 2015
  • 17. Response  Categories Montreal Toronto Minneapolis-­‐Saint  Paul Salt  Lake  City Mexico  City Lower  cost  and  faster  travel 25% 48% 0% 0% 28% Just  lower  cost 5% 9% 7% 0% 2% Too  many  connections  (not   have  to  transfer) 3% 2% 7% 0% 6% Just  faster  travel 14% 14% 14% 40% 12% Improve  travel  time   reliability 4% 7% 0% 60% 6% Want  to  get  exercise 31% 8% 50% 0% 17% Public  transit  vehicle  is   crowded 6% 6% 0% 0% 18% No  space  for  my  bike,  which   I  use  to  connect 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% I  consider  it  safer  to  travel   with  bikesharing 1% 0% 7% 0% 2% Not  applicable 1% 2% 0% 0% 3% Other,  please  specify: 8% 5% 14% 0% 3% Total  N 631 491 14 5 577 What  is  the  primary  reason  that  you  are  using  the  rail  LESS  because  of  bikesharing? Shaheen  et  al.,  2014  © UC Berkeley, 2015
  • 18. © UC Berkeley, 2015 A  new  category  of  transportation   services;  need  for  study   Ridesourcing   Ridesourcing/TNC:     Prearranged  trips,  App  to  pay  and   connect  passengers  with  drivers   who  use  their  personal  vehicles  
  • 19. SOME  RIDESOURCING/E-­‐HAIL   MARKET  TRENDS   Ø  Lyft:  60  cities;  51,000  drivers  (2014)   Ø  Uber:  58  countries;  311  cities;  over  162,000  drivers  in  U.S.   Ø  Sidecar:  10  cities;  ~10,000  drivers   Ø  Flywheel:  6  cities,  over  5,000  drivers     Ø  Curb:  60  cities;  35,000  cabs     Said,  2015;  Miller,  2015   © UC Berkeley, 2015
  • 20. RIDESOURCING:  SOME  EARLY   UNDERSTANDING   Taxi,   39%   Bus,  24%   Rail,  9%   Walk,   8%   Drive   Own   Car,  6%   Bike,  2%   Get  A   Ride,  1%   Other,   11%   Ø 92%  would  have  still  made  this   trip   Ø  8%  induced  travel  effect   Ø 33%  would  have  taken  public   transit  (bus  or  rail)     Ø 4%  named  a  transit  station   origin/destination,  suggesting   some  ridesourcing  usage  to   access  public  transportation   Ø 20%  avoided  driving  after   drinkings   Rayle  et  al.  2014   How  would  you  have  made  this  trip  if   Uber/Lyft/Sidecar  were  not  available?     © UC Berkeley, 2015
  • 21. KEY  FINDINGS:  WAIT  TIMES   Rayle  et  al,  2014   About  how  long  did  you  wait  for  your  ride  (from  the   time  you  made  the  request  to  the  time  the  vehicle   arrived)?   Percentages  of  wait  times  less  than  or  equal  to  10  minutes: Wait  Times   Ridesourcing   Taxi  (Phone)   Taxi  (Street   Hail)   M-­‐F  4am-­‐6pm   93%   35%   39%   M-­‐F  (6pm-­‐4am)   92%   16%   33%   S-­‐Su   88%   16%   25%   © UC Berkeley, 2015
  • 22. KEY  FINDINGS:  VEHICLE  OWNERSHIP,   OCCUPANCY  &  DRIVING  FREQUENCY   Ø Ridesourcing  and  taxis  serve  residents  who  don’t  own  a  car   Ø Ridesourcing  survey:  43%  no  vehicle  at  home   Ø Taxi  survey:  35%  car-­‐less     Ø   Occupancy:  1.8  TNCs  and  1.1  taxis   Ø   Ridesourcing  is  still  new,  with  potential  to  impact  VMT/ VKT  and  vehicle  ownership   Ø   90%  of  vehicle  owners  did  not  change  ownership  level   Ø   40%  drove  less  since  using  ridesourcing     Rayle  et  al.  2014  
  • 23. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS   Ø  Mineta  Transportation  Institute,  San  Jose  State   University   Ø  California  Department  of  Transportation   Ø  Adam  Cohen,  Elliot  Martin,  Nelson  Chan,  and   Matt  Christensen,  TSRC,  UC  Berkeley   Ø  Special  thanks  to  the  worldwide  shared  mobility   operators  and  experts  who  make  our  research   possible,  including  Timothy  Papandreou  and   Russell  Meddin