Prostate Cancer – Indiana


 William M. Dugan Jr., MD, FACP
          April 27, 2012
Prostate Cancer Statistics – Indiana
     From ACS Facts & Figures

• Incidence all cancer > 30,000
• Incidence prostate > 4,000
• Mortality prostate > 600

Excluding skin cancer, most common cancer
 in males and second most common cause of
 cancer death in males.
Prostate Cancer – Indiana
            What We Know
1. Median age of diagnosis nearly 70 years.
2. Median age of death roughly 80 years.
3. Incidence and death rate increase with age.
4. Race: African American men have a higher
   incidence and death rate than Caucasian men in
   every age group.
5. Socioeconomic factors are important and logical.
   More education greater incidence and survival.
   Poverty is mostly an issue of access to care.
6. Geographical and international variations are
   plagued by reporting problems.
Prostate Cancer – Indiana
            What We Know
1. Indiana is in the top incidence in the US in
   Caucasian men.
2. Mortality in Indiana from prostate cancer in
   Caucasians is in the middle tier of 5 tiers (low
   to high rate)*
3. Incidence rates are decreasing by 2.5%.
4. Mortality rates are decreasing by 4.0%
   annually.
                              * Per 100,000 and age adjusted NAACCR
Prostate Cancer – Indiana
                Risk Factors
•   Increased with positive family history.
•   Especially if 1st degree relative has prostate
    cancer.
•   Even more frequent if multiple 1st degree
    relatives with prostate cancer.
•   Increased with BRCA-2 mutations (more
    aggressive and younger age).
•   Reduced with 5 alpha reductase inhibitors
    (SWOG, 1996-2004)
Outreach Consortium
              Prostate Cancer
            1987 – 1997 – 2007

          Thanks to Mindy Burch, CTR
            and Consultant for ACoS
•   IU Health as Cancer System Data Coordinator
•   Coeditor of National Cancer Registrars Association
    text
Analytic Prostate Cancer by Age




                      Source: Outreach Consortium
1987 Prostate Relative Survival
  By SEER Summary Stage




                      Source: Outreach Consortium
1997 Prostate Relative Survival
  By SEER Summary Stage




                       Source: Outreach Consortium
2007 Prostate Relative Survival
  By SEER Summary Stage




                       Source: Outreach Consortium
1987 Prostate Cancer
5 Year Relative Survival




                   Source: Outreach Consortium
1997 Prostate Cancer
5 Year Relative Survival




                   Source: Outreach Consortium
2007 Prostate Cancer
4 Year Relative Survival




                   Source: Outreach Consortium
Lead Time Bias
               Dx          Mean
             before        time
              PSA          death

               |             |
Years   -5     0      +5   +10
PSA
A. Protein exclusively produced by the
   prostate.
B. Is increased over normal with
  •   Inflammation of prostate (prostatitis)
  •   Benign enlargement of prostate (BPH)
  •   Malignancy of the prostate (prostate cancer)
C. Discovered 1971, FDA approved 1986,
   widespread use after 2000.
Lead Time Bias
               Dx          Mean
             before        time
              PSA          death

               |             |
Years   -5     0      +5   +10
PSA
Carl Sygiel, copy editor of the Indianapolis
 Star for 18 years and prostate cancer
 survivor said in November 2011,
 Indianapolis Star, “I maintain that if there
 is a problem with testing, it lies not with the
 process but with what happens after a
 diagnosis is confirmed.”
PSA
“I maintain that the PSA is good and saves
  lives.”
Reliable data shows distant metastasis
  declined from 44 cases in 1987 to 19 in
  1997 to 4 in 2007. Relative survival of 5
  years for all patients increased from 78% in
  1987 to 91% in 1997 to 98% (4 yr not 5 yr
  survival)
NSABP BREAST CANCER
        EXPERIENCE

• NSABP B-14 – node negative, ER+ patients
  opened for randomization June 4, 1982.
• It long continued to provide meaningful
  additional scientific info.
• The next logarithmic advance came with
  the Onco Dx test: this test was based on
  molecular profiling.
• Initial retrospective analyses compared to
  specific profiling prediction.
• Then confirmatory phase III studies
  changed the standard of care.
• The NSABP has successfully “married”
  academia and private practice to achieve
  these goals.
• Today prostate cancer is at least 30 years
  behind breast cancer and…
• The expense of new treatments in prostate
  cancer further threatens an already fragile
  health care system.
• Provenge over $90,000 for a total of 3 doses
  for hormone failure prostate cancer for 4
  extra months survival.
• Xgeva $7600/month for bone metastasis.
• 85% of prostate cancer patients who die
  with or from prostate cancer have
  metastases and are candidates for Xgeva.
• Jevtana, a 3rd generation taxane chemo drug
  for $35,500/dose every 3 weeks for up to 10
  doses.
• Zytiga, a “super-ketoconazole” new
  androgen inhibitor for $6,000/month.
Molecular Profiling
The answer has to be molecular profiling to
   accurately separate those patients who
   need:
B. no treatment.
C. simple hormone treatment.
D. aggressive upfront (neoadjuvant) for cure
   or unfortunately late palliative treatment
   not for cure.
Every patient’s need is a scientifically
   determined individualized approach.

Prostate Cancer in Indiana

  • 1.
    Prostate Cancer –Indiana William M. Dugan Jr., MD, FACP April 27, 2012
  • 2.
    Prostate Cancer Statistics– Indiana From ACS Facts & Figures • Incidence all cancer > 30,000 • Incidence prostate > 4,000 • Mortality prostate > 600 Excluding skin cancer, most common cancer in males and second most common cause of cancer death in males.
  • 3.
    Prostate Cancer –Indiana What We Know 1. Median age of diagnosis nearly 70 years. 2. Median age of death roughly 80 years. 3. Incidence and death rate increase with age. 4. Race: African American men have a higher incidence and death rate than Caucasian men in every age group. 5. Socioeconomic factors are important and logical. More education greater incidence and survival. Poverty is mostly an issue of access to care. 6. Geographical and international variations are plagued by reporting problems.
  • 4.
    Prostate Cancer –Indiana What We Know 1. Indiana is in the top incidence in the US in Caucasian men. 2. Mortality in Indiana from prostate cancer in Caucasians is in the middle tier of 5 tiers (low to high rate)* 3. Incidence rates are decreasing by 2.5%. 4. Mortality rates are decreasing by 4.0% annually. * Per 100,000 and age adjusted NAACCR
  • 5.
    Prostate Cancer –Indiana Risk Factors • Increased with positive family history. • Especially if 1st degree relative has prostate cancer. • Even more frequent if multiple 1st degree relatives with prostate cancer. • Increased with BRCA-2 mutations (more aggressive and younger age). • Reduced with 5 alpha reductase inhibitors (SWOG, 1996-2004)
  • 6.
    Outreach Consortium Prostate Cancer 1987 – 1997 – 2007 Thanks to Mindy Burch, CTR and Consultant for ACoS • IU Health as Cancer System Data Coordinator • Coeditor of National Cancer Registrars Association text
  • 7.
    Analytic Prostate Cancerby Age Source: Outreach Consortium
  • 8.
    1987 Prostate RelativeSurvival By SEER Summary Stage Source: Outreach Consortium
  • 9.
    1997 Prostate RelativeSurvival By SEER Summary Stage Source: Outreach Consortium
  • 10.
    2007 Prostate RelativeSurvival By SEER Summary Stage Source: Outreach Consortium
  • 11.
    1987 Prostate Cancer 5Year Relative Survival Source: Outreach Consortium
  • 12.
    1997 Prostate Cancer 5Year Relative Survival Source: Outreach Consortium
  • 13.
    2007 Prostate Cancer 4Year Relative Survival Source: Outreach Consortium
  • 14.
    Lead Time Bias Dx Mean before time PSA death | | Years -5 0 +5 +10
  • 15.
    PSA A. Protein exclusivelyproduced by the prostate. B. Is increased over normal with • Inflammation of prostate (prostatitis) • Benign enlargement of prostate (BPH) • Malignancy of the prostate (prostate cancer) C. Discovered 1971, FDA approved 1986, widespread use after 2000.
  • 16.
    Lead Time Bias Dx Mean before time PSA death | | Years -5 0 +5 +10
  • 17.
    PSA Carl Sygiel, copyeditor of the Indianapolis Star for 18 years and prostate cancer survivor said in November 2011, Indianapolis Star, “I maintain that if there is a problem with testing, it lies not with the process but with what happens after a diagnosis is confirmed.”
  • 18.
    PSA “I maintain thatthe PSA is good and saves lives.” Reliable data shows distant metastasis declined from 44 cases in 1987 to 19 in 1997 to 4 in 2007. Relative survival of 5 years for all patients increased from 78% in 1987 to 91% in 1997 to 98% (4 yr not 5 yr survival)
  • 19.
    NSABP BREAST CANCER EXPERIENCE • NSABP B-14 – node negative, ER+ patients opened for randomization June 4, 1982. • It long continued to provide meaningful additional scientific info.
  • 20.
    • The nextlogarithmic advance came with the Onco Dx test: this test was based on molecular profiling.
  • 21.
    • Initial retrospectiveanalyses compared to specific profiling prediction.
  • 22.
    • Then confirmatoryphase III studies changed the standard of care.
  • 23.
    • The NSABPhas successfully “married” academia and private practice to achieve these goals.
  • 24.
    • Today prostatecancer is at least 30 years behind breast cancer and…
  • 25.
    • The expenseof new treatments in prostate cancer further threatens an already fragile health care system.
  • 26.
    • Provenge over$90,000 for a total of 3 doses for hormone failure prostate cancer for 4 extra months survival.
  • 27.
    • Xgeva $7600/monthfor bone metastasis. • 85% of prostate cancer patients who die with or from prostate cancer have metastases and are candidates for Xgeva.
  • 28.
    • Jevtana, a3rd generation taxane chemo drug for $35,500/dose every 3 weeks for up to 10 doses.
  • 29.
    • Zytiga, a“super-ketoconazole” new androgen inhibitor for $6,000/month.
  • 30.
    Molecular Profiling The answerhas to be molecular profiling to accurately separate those patients who need: B. no treatment. C. simple hormone treatment. D. aggressive upfront (neoadjuvant) for cure or unfortunately late palliative treatment not for cure.
  • 31.
    Every patient’s needis a scientifically determined individualized approach.