2. 2
After completing this chapter, you will be able to
1.Measure poverty across countries using different approaches
and explain how poverty has evolved over time.
2.Measure income inequality within a country and between
nations.
3.Explain the relationship between income inequality and
economic growth across countries and over time.
3. 3
Introduction
The study of poverty and inequality is at the heart of economics. Important
questions for us include:
•How do we measure inequality and poverty?
• What is the difference between absolute poverty and relative poverty?
• How has poverty evolved over time?
• What are the trends in the different regions of the world?
• How has inequality evolved on a country-by-country basis?
•What determines the gap between the rich and the poor, both within and
across countries?
• Does inequality tend to increase or decrease over time?
• Is inequality good, bad, or neutral for economic growth?
4. 4
Poverty measurements and comparisons
Economic development is the main measure to fight poverty.
Measuring Poverty
•Poverty measurements are usually based on survey data from asking people about
their income or consumption to identify who are poor. The poverty line is the amount
of money required to survive, based on the food basket purchased by local people.
•The poverty headcount indicates the number of people earning below the poverty
line (Q) in the population (N). This is known as absolute poverty.
•The poverty headcount ratio is a proportion of the population below the poverty
line (H = Q/N). This is known as relative poverty.
• The PL should be adjusted year to year for inflation and other factors.
•The PL does not reflect the degree of poverty. E.g., a family with income 1% below
the PL is counted the same as a family with 50% below.
5. 5
Poverty Gap
•The poverty gap takes into account the degree of poverty, or the distance from the
poverty line. It is computed by multiplying the poverty headcount by the average
distance from the poverty line:
PG = H (PL - yq) / PL where yq is avg income of those below PL
•The average poverty gap, APG = PG/N
• Table below provides two examples where H = 50%:
A: yq = [ (20 x 0.25) + (80 x 0.75) ] / 100 = 0.65
APG = 50%(1 – 0.65)/1 = 17.5%
B: yq = [ (40 x 0.25) + (40 x 0.75) ] / 100 = 0.35
APG = 50%(1 – 0.35)/1 = 32.5.5%
Country B’s poverty is more serious
•Unfortunately, detailed data on income distribution of individuals or households
is often unavailable.
6. 6
An Example of the Poverty Headcount Ratio and the APG.
Country A and country B both have 50% of the population below the PL.
However, there is more extreme poverty in country B than country A
according to the APG.
Income distribution
below PL (Daily)
0-¢25 25-¢50 50-¢75 ¢75-$1 PHR APG
Country A (millions
of people)
10 10 40 40 50% 17.5%
Country B (millions
of people)
40 40 10 10 50% 32.5%
8. How to Compare Poverty Levels
•Can we define poverty lines across countries
with exchange rate?
•ER is based on prices for tradable goods and
services. It fails to account for P of non-
tradable g&s which make up large budget
shares for poor households. The PPP– is used
instead of ER.
•Other limitations of surveys: the average
basket of g&s across countries is very
different from the average basket consumed
by the poor within countries.
•Also, surveys are done differently across
countries. For example, some estimate
expenditure while others estimate income.
•$1 a day: World Bank established an
international extreme PL of $1 per day.
(Updated to $1.25 adjusted for inflation.)
•WB used HH consumption and PPP to
compile internationally comparable poverty
estimates across countries and time.
8
•Data is found in the annual World
Development Report and are used for the
Millennium Development Goals (MDG),
global targets established at the 2000
Millennium Summit.
•There has been a reduction in absolute
(number of persons) and relative poverty
(%), especially in East Asia.
•Absolute poverty has increased in South
Asia, sub-Saharan Africa and Central Asia.
9. Table The Poverty Headcount and Headcount Ratio Based on $1.25 a Day.
9
10. 10
Measurement and comparisons of inequality
Measuring Income Inequality
In general, we measure the income distribution within countries.
•Divide population of a country into quantile groups: quartiles (4 groups),
quintiles (5 groups), or deciles (10 groups).
•The quantile ratio is the average income in the highest quantile over the
average income in the lowest quantile. Provides no information about people
in the middle range of the income distribution.
•The Lorenz curve plots the cumulative share of income held by the different
quantiles of the population.
•A completely equal distribution should match the diagonal perfectly while a
completely unequal distribution should resemble a backward L-shape.
12. 12
Gini Coefficient
•Gini coefficient is a numerical representation of income inequality. It is
defined as twice the area between the diagonal and the Lorenz curve.
•In the case of perfect income equality, the Gini coefficient would equal 0. In
the case of complete income inequality, the Gini coefficient would equal 1.
• Thus, G = 1 - 2S. Where S is the area under the Lorenz curve. The ratio is
between 0 and 1, and therefore can also be represented as percentages.
• Inequality seems not to fall within countries and over time.
16. 16
Economic determinants of inequality
Education and Income Inequality
The variance in access to education across countries is a possible
determinant of income inequality.
• People in societies where access to education is limited will tend to
acquire less skills and, thus, earn lower wages.
• Uneducated people also tend to be excluded from groups in society
that are powerful enough to demand from their government.
• Data on the relationship between income inequality and education is
indicative, but not conclusive.
• Africa, for example, has both high income inequality and low literacy
rates. South Asia, on the other hand, has low income inequality but
literacy rates are even lower than in Africa.
• Also, the direction of causality is not clear. Income inequality may
lead to educational inequality, or vice versa.
18. 18
Economic determinants of inequality
•A possible determinant is the historical access to property ownership.
•It is clear from the data that income inequality and land inequality are
positively correlated, i.e. inequality of land wealth leads to inequality of
income. Latin America and South Asia are inequitable in terms of land
ownership.
• Knowledge, talent, skill
• Laziness vs. hard work
• Ethnicity
• Religion
19. Inequality, growth, and development
•Is inequality good or bad
for economic growth?
•How does income
inequality affect
economic growth?
•What is the direction of
causality?
•How has income
inequality evolved
historically?
The Kuznets Hypothesis
•Over the course of development, inequality
follows a U-curve relationship. Inequality first
increases but then decreases.
19
•At initial stages, only small parts of society benefit,
but income eventually “trickles down” to the rest.
•One process that generates U effect is the shift
from agriculture to industry.
•However, there is little evidence to support this
hypothesis in both cross-sectional and panel studies.
21. Income Inequality and Economic Growth
Since the early 1990s there has been almost
unanimous consensus that income inequality
is bad for economic growth.
• The data show a negative correlation
between long-term growth rates of GDP
per capita and the Gini coefficient.
• In recent decades, Latin America has
experienced both high income inequality
and poor economic growth.
• Asia, on the other hand, has relatively
equitable distribution and high rates of
growth.
Some possible theoretical
explanations include:
21
• Credit market imperfections:
people in countries with a more
equal income distribution will
have access to more credit.
• Political economy: high
inequality builds pressure for
redistribution of income,
possibly leading to high taxation
of the rich.
23. 23
Inequality over Time
•Income inequality seems to have been increasing within countries in the past few
decades. It has increased in Central and Eastern Europe and in China as a result of
the transition from socialism to capitalism.
• It has increased in the US and many Western European countries.
Alternatively, we can look at world-wide income distribution.
Income inequality seems to be decreasing across countries as living standards
increase in developing economies.
• Xavier Sala-i-Martin finds evidence that the Gini coefficients across countries
have declined since around the 1980s.
• A possible explanation is the recent economic performance of China and India.
As these countries develop, hundreds of millions of people have been pulled out
of poverty.