SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Philip E. Bourne, PhD, FACMI
peb6a@virginia.edu
http://www.slideshare.net/pebourne
April 20, 2020
Data Science During and
After COVID-19
A Fireside Chat
Data Science Meets COVID-19 – Health
Virology
Genomics
Molecular Biology
Drug Discovery
Drug Repurposing
Vaccine Development
Diagnosis Modeling
Spread
Resources
Contact
Tracing
Testing
Virus
Antibodies
Mutation Rate
Pathogenicity
Virulence
DD - Years
DR - Months
VD – 12-18 months
Disposition Ethical Concerns
Confounders
Methods
Unknown Denominator
Availability
Reliability
Data Science Meets COVID-19 – Other
Supply Chains FraudHealth Disparities
Online Learning
Educational Analytics
Health Knowledge Sharing
Language Diversity
Education Economics Manufacturing Finance IT
Cybersecurity
Smart
Cities
Environment
Transport
Lessons Relevant to Data Science
• All models are wrong but some are useful – George Box
• Public health systems that are local, accessible, accurate and
complete are lacking – we cant estimate the denominator now and
may never get an accurate estimate
• We have a duty to explain the limitations in the data
• Work with experts in epidemics – e.g., CORD-19
• Accurate and meaningful visualization is critical
References
• Coronavirus Research Center, Johns Hopkins University & Medicine, https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html
• Epidemic Calculator, http://gabgoh.github.io/COVID/index.html
• Fast Company, https://www.fastcompany.com/90476143/the-story-behind-flatten-the-curve-the-defining-chart-of-the-coronavirus
• Government of Iceland, https://www.government.is/news/article/2020/03/15/Large-scale-testing-of-general-population-in-Iceland-underway/
• Imperial College Longon, https://spiral.imperial.ac.uk:8443/handle/10044/1/77482
• Information Is Beautiful, https://informationisbeautiful.net/visualizations/covid-19-coronavirus-infographic-datapack/
• Kaggle, https://www.kaggle.com/allen-institute-for-ai/CORD-19-research-challenge
• Medium, https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56
• New England Complex Systems Institute, https://necsi.edu/review-of-ferguson-et-al-impact-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions
• Nightingale, https://medium.com/nightingale/ten-considerations-before-you-create-another-chart-about-covid-19-27d3bd691be8
• STAT, https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/10/simple-math-alarming-answers-covid-19/
• World Health Organization, https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports
• NIH https://datascience.nih.gov/
• The COVOD-19 High Performance Computing Consortium https://covid19-hpc-consortium.org/
• CORD-19 Open reserch Literature Dataset https://pages.semanticscholar.org/coronavirus-research
• Biocomplexity Instutute https://covid19.biocomplexity.virginia.edu/

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Data Science During and After COVID-19

  • 1. Philip E. Bourne, PhD, FACMI peb6a@virginia.edu http://www.slideshare.net/pebourne April 20, 2020 Data Science During and After COVID-19 A Fireside Chat
  • 2. Data Science Meets COVID-19 – Health Virology Genomics Molecular Biology Drug Discovery Drug Repurposing Vaccine Development Diagnosis Modeling Spread Resources Contact Tracing Testing Virus Antibodies Mutation Rate Pathogenicity Virulence DD - Years DR - Months VD – 12-18 months Disposition Ethical Concerns Confounders Methods Unknown Denominator Availability Reliability
  • 3. Data Science Meets COVID-19 – Other Supply Chains FraudHealth Disparities Online Learning Educational Analytics Health Knowledge Sharing Language Diversity Education Economics Manufacturing Finance IT Cybersecurity Smart Cities Environment Transport
  • 4. Lessons Relevant to Data Science • All models are wrong but some are useful – George Box • Public health systems that are local, accessible, accurate and complete are lacking – we cant estimate the denominator now and may never get an accurate estimate • We have a duty to explain the limitations in the data • Work with experts in epidemics – e.g., CORD-19 • Accurate and meaningful visualization is critical
  • 5. References • Coronavirus Research Center, Johns Hopkins University & Medicine, https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html • Epidemic Calculator, http://gabgoh.github.io/COVID/index.html • Fast Company, https://www.fastcompany.com/90476143/the-story-behind-flatten-the-curve-the-defining-chart-of-the-coronavirus • Government of Iceland, https://www.government.is/news/article/2020/03/15/Large-scale-testing-of-general-population-in-Iceland-underway/ • Imperial College Longon, https://spiral.imperial.ac.uk:8443/handle/10044/1/77482 • Information Is Beautiful, https://informationisbeautiful.net/visualizations/covid-19-coronavirus-infographic-datapack/ • Kaggle, https://www.kaggle.com/allen-institute-for-ai/CORD-19-research-challenge • Medium, https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56 • New England Complex Systems Institute, https://necsi.edu/review-of-ferguson-et-al-impact-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions • Nightingale, https://medium.com/nightingale/ten-considerations-before-you-create-another-chart-about-covid-19-27d3bd691be8 • STAT, https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/10/simple-math-alarming-answers-covid-19/ • World Health Organization, https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports • NIH https://datascience.nih.gov/ • The COVOD-19 High Performance Computing Consortium https://covid19-hpc-consortium.org/ • CORD-19 Open reserch Literature Dataset https://pages.semanticscholar.org/coronavirus-research • Biocomplexity Instutute https://covid19.biocomplexity.virginia.edu/