This document discusses the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Maps show Russian forces invading eastern Ukraine and gaining control of additional territory over the course of a month. The document argues that Russia has clearly invaded Ukraine and is not simply supporting separatist groups. It notes Europe's dependence on Russian natural gas and oil transported through Ukraine, which gives Russia leverage. Sanctions on Russia have begun to impact its economy but Ukraine is suffering immediate effects of the conflict and invasion.
The causes of the crisis in Ukraine are mainly geopolitical and strategic. What is at stake is not, in fact, Ukraine's accession to the European Union because this has very little to offer in promoting the country's development. Ukraine only has to lose. Many industries will no longer operate or will be dominated by European multinationals and small farmers will be ruined. But what the United States intends through the incorporation of Ukraine to the European Union is, above all, allow NATO forces are stationed on the border of Russia. The most likely future scenario for the outcome of the political crisis in Ukraine is the division of the country, with the Crimea already incorporated into Russia and the transformation of eastern, central-eastern and southern Ukraine in an autonomous region of Kiev government if it is held the agreement of the European Union and Ukraine or occur its annexation to Russia if NATO forces are stationed in Ukraine. The civil war that has started in Ukraine can turn into a military conflict involving NATO forces and Russia to unpredictable consequences.
The fear of war is looming over Europe, is this World War 3 is the question in everyone's mind. Russia has amassed a huge number of troops on the border of Ukraine. The leaders of the Western countries (US, Germany, U.K. and Canada) have asked their citizens to immediately leave Ukraine.
Russia is going to occupy Ukraine having announced about garrisoning Russian military forces in Ukraine in order to protect Russian citizens in Ukraine from nonexistent threats.
Looks like a war against the neighbour is a thoroughly planned operation, prepared long time ago.
The causes of the crisis in Ukraine are mainly geopolitical and strategic. What is at stake is not, in fact, Ukraine's accession to the European Union because this has very little to offer in promoting the country's development. Ukraine only has to lose. Many industries will no longer operate or will be dominated by European multinationals and small farmers will be ruined. But what the United States intends through the incorporation of Ukraine to the European Union is, above all, allow NATO forces are stationed on the border of Russia. The most likely future scenario for the outcome of the political crisis in Ukraine is the division of the country, with the Crimea already incorporated into Russia and the transformation of eastern, central-eastern and southern Ukraine in an autonomous region of Kiev government if it is held the agreement of the European Union and Ukraine or occur its annexation to Russia if NATO forces are stationed in Ukraine. The civil war that has started in Ukraine can turn into a military conflict involving NATO forces and Russia to unpredictable consequences.
The fear of war is looming over Europe, is this World War 3 is the question in everyone's mind. Russia has amassed a huge number of troops on the border of Ukraine. The leaders of the Western countries (US, Germany, U.K. and Canada) have asked their citizens to immediately leave Ukraine.
Russia is going to occupy Ukraine having announced about garrisoning Russian military forces in Ukraine in order to protect Russian citizens in Ukraine from nonexistent threats.
Looks like a war against the neighbour is a thoroughly planned operation, prepared long time ago.
THE RUSSIA AND UKRAINE CONFLICT AS A NEW FOCUS OF WAR IN THE WORLDFernando Alcoforado
This article aims to analyze the current conflict between Russia and Ukraine, point out its causes and consequences from a geopolitical point of view and the risks it represents for the outbreak of a war with global repercussions. There are several countries that can become outbreaks of wars in the world, highlighting, among them, Palestine, Israel, Iran and North Korea. Now, Ukraine is part of the list of countries that are the focus of a new world war.
The Ukrainian Crisis from A to Z: The Context, the reason, the actors, the consequences, the war, the chaos...
You will understand how Ukraine got into a human disaster that will bring it to its destruction for the greed of few people who has no respect for human values ad cultural difference. A nation drama led by hatred extremist nationalists to the point of a no return...
THE RUSSIA AND UKRAINE CONFLICT AS A NEW FOCUS OF WAR IN THE WORLDFernando Alcoforado
This article aims to analyze the current conflict between Russia and Ukraine, point out its causes and consequences from a geopolitical point of view and the risks it represents for the outbreak of a war with global repercussions. There are several countries that can become outbreaks of wars in the world, highlighting, among them, Palestine, Israel, Iran and North Korea. Now, Ukraine is part of the list of countries that are the focus of a new world war.
The Ukrainian Crisis from A to Z: The Context, the reason, the actors, the consequences, the war, the chaos...
You will understand how Ukraine got into a human disaster that will bring it to its destruction for the greed of few people who has no respect for human values ad cultural difference. A nation drama led by hatred extremist nationalists to the point of a no return...
The role of UK higher education (HE), further education (FE) and skills sectors in developing student employability is clear. Technology can be an enabler to the development and communication of employability skills, but are organisations and employers making best use of it?
With the beginning of the millennium,
Most of the world countries started to turn
toward the natural gas as an alternative
energy resource instead of crude oil and
harmless resource for the environment.
Global conflict signs started to shape
because of the countries’ interests
encounter - specially, in the near and
middle east regions.
In this presentation, I will try to explain
these signs by dividing the related
countries to three categories:
1- Consuming Countries.
2- Producing Countries.
3- Transit Countries.
- When will Russia run out of money for the war in Ukraine and Europe?
- Is the world doing enough to help Ukraine?
- What is needed from the world NOW?
Running Head Russian Economy Past, Present & Future Russian Ec.docxtodd521
Running Head: Russian Economy: Past, Present & Future
Russian Economy: Past, Present & Future 11
Russian Economy: Past, Present & Future
By [Name of Student]
Course
Professor
[Name of Institution]
November 04, 2018
Russian Economy: Past, Present & Future
Question 1:
INTERMEDIATE INPUTS
1. -----------SOURCES-------- ------REQUIRED BY-------- -----FINAL USE------------------
Output
Stocks
Imports
Coal
Steel
Machinery
Consumption
Exports
Imports
Coal (tons)
975
10
0
10
500
50
50
100
210
Steel (tons)
2,000
0
20
200
400
1,000
300
100
20
Machinery
100
5
5
20
40
10
20
10
10
Consumer goods
340
10
20
0
0
0
100
100
230
The table shows the 4-sector input-out table of the Soviet economy in 1951.
Does a balance exist? Discuss which sector/s you believe may not be in balance and why (50-75 words)
The given input-output model depicts an imbalance. The output of coal, steel and machinery, as well as the consumer goods were in sufficient, but their final consumption was at the lowest level. The reason behind this maladministration, is the fickle economic policy of the government, which forced the agricultural farmers to work into the industries, and maximize the output, while the available resources were minimum. The concentration towards industrialization by ignoring the agricultural field ruined the whole mechanism.
What options does Gosplan have to bring the system into balance? Which options would be appropriate for each sector that might not currently be balanced? How will this bring about balance? Justify your choice of action. (100-150 words)
Soviet economy was managed by Gosplan, the State Planning Commission, responsible for drawing economic policy based on the input of the market and its advisors
1950s is considered to be a most successful period after NEP, when national income grew as much as 9 percent annually. Prices generally went down.
The major fault came through, was the falsification of presented data to the actual planners and policy makers.
There was a drastic expansion in the output of the consumer goods associated with agricultural in the past (Denton, 1968), but the post war period and the destruction of the cities, debris everywhere urged the Gosplan to forcefully minimize the agricultural farming and maximize the reconstruction and the industrialization of the country, which ultimately became the major mistake. The Gosplan should have focused on the agricultural, while tried its utmost effort on the exports of coal, steel and the machinery. And should have stabilized the production of the consumer goods, as per requirements.
Discuss five of the chief drawbacks to the system of central planning that was in place in the Soviet Union from 1935 - 1965. (250 words)
The central planning system of Soviet Union, usually called "material balance planning" which was to balance the total output with the total input, and by this way, there was an equitable.
Southeastern Mediterranean hydrocarbons - A new energy corridor for the EU?Harris Samaras
The (a) confirmation of significant quantities of hydrocarbons in Cyprus, (b) the scientific estimates of equally significant quantities in the south and southwest of the Greek island of Crete and (c) the officially declared increased cooperation between Cyprus, Israel and Greece to jointly exploit their hydrocarbon deposits may prove to be a tremendous opportunity not only for Cyprus, Greece and Israel but for the EU as a whole.
World renowned scientists claim that the hydrocarbon deposits that lie south and southwest of the island of Crete are huge; and maybe bigger than those in the Levantine Basin; they dare to state that within the EEZ of Greece there may be as much as 51 tcm of natural gas! Could this lead into the making of a new energy corridor for the EU? Shouldn’t the EU be more actively involved in the efforts of its member countries, Greece and Cyprus? Isn’t this for the EU a project of Pan-European interest thus include it in its energy policy, coordinate and assist with technical knowhow but also with political leverage and other? As critical year 2020 is around the corner, aren’t the already scientific interpretations important enough to accelerate the EU think tanks and policy institutes view on the whole issue?
Hybrid resources: Challenges, Implications, Opportunities, and InnovationAndrew Gelston
Publication in the IEEE power & energy magazine November/December 2021 Issue on Hybrid renewable + Storage resources.
Layman explanation of why 1+1 = 3, rather then 2, with Hybrid co-optimizing internally as a single resource
NextEra Energy and Hawaiian Electric Industries to Combine (December 2014)Andrew Gelston
Achieving a More Affordable Clean Energy Future For Hawaii
Hawaiian Electric Industries Announces Plan to Spin off ASB Hawaii into an Independent Publicly Traded Company
December 3, 2014
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Cracking the Workplace Discipline Code Main.pptxWorkforce Group
Cultivating and maintaining discipline within teams is a critical differentiator for successful organisations.
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2. Ukraine East
August 17th, Rebellion Suppressed
Light Yellow= Areas
Putin Calls ‘New
Russia’
Blue = Cities/Towns
taken back from
separatists
(Red = Cities/Towns
Controlled by
Separatists (Russia)
Orange = In Conflict
Pink = Area Where
one is likely to run
into Separatists on
major roads
Good Job
Ukrainian Army
fighting and
containing
insurgents
being armed
with modern
weaponry by
PUTIN.
But wait,
stability is not
what Putin
wants…..
3. Ukraine South-East
August 27th, Post Putin Invasion
Light Yellow= Areas
Putin Calls ‘New
Russia’
Blue = Cities/Towns
taken back from
separatists (or, more
likely now, Russian
Soldiers)
Red = Cities/Towns
Controlled by
Separatists (Russia)
Orange = In Conflict
Pink = Area Where
one is likely to run
into Separatists on
major roads
THE RUSSIAN
ARMY CLEARLY
INVADED
ALONG THE
BOARDER OF
UKRAINE. ALL
THE WAY TO
THE SEA. THIS IS
NOT A CIVIL
WAR, IT IS AN
INVASION.
5. Putin Has a Trump
Card, Energy
• Europe, including all EU
members plus Turkey,
Norway, Switzerland, and
the non-EU Balkan states,
consumed 18.7 trillion
cubic feet (Tcf) of natural
gas in 2013.
• Russia supplied 30% (5.7
Tcf) of this volume, with a
significant amount flowing
through Ukraine.
• EIA estimates that 16%
(3.0 Tcf) of the total natural
gas consumed in Europe
passed through Ukraine's
pipeline network, based
on data reported by
Gazprom and Eastern
7. Putin’s Crazy Enough to stop the flow
of Energy to Ukraine, if not the EU
• Natural gas flows through Ukraine vary by season,
ranging from almost 12 billion cubic feet (Bcf) of natural
gas per day in the winter to only 6 Bcf per day in the
summer. In the past, as much as 80% of Russian natural
gas exports to Europe transited Ukraine. This number
has fallen to 50%-60% since the Nord Stream pipeline, a
direct link between Russia and Germany under the Baltic
Sea, came online in 2011
• But times have been
good, recently: An
unusually mild winter in
2013 meant reduced
natural gas flows through
Ukraine and contributed
to higher levels of natural
gas storage in Europe
(natural gas storage
levels were 46% full as of
March 13, compared to
23% full in the United
States).
8. The Relationship between Russian Oil
Production and Ukrainian Oil Infrastructure
REQUIRES cooperation, not war
• The 400,000 bbl/d southern leg of the Druzhba oil pipeline transports Russian
crude oil through Ukraine to supply most of the oil consumed by Slovakia,
Hungary, Czech Republic, and Bosnia. In 2013, about 300,000 bbl/d of
throughput transited the pipeline. Russian crude oil and petroleum products also
transit Ukraine by rail for export out of Ukrainian ports. (source EIA)
• Port_of_Odessa#Oil_and_gas_terminal
– By far the most valuable place in the Ukraine right now
– Annual container volume: 523,881 TEUs
– Employees = ~3,500 (2007)
– 700,000 tonnes of liquefied natural gas [LNG] per year
(.7 MTPA)
– 800,000 tonnes of oil products per year (gasoline,
vacuum gas oil)
– 2,500,000 tonnes of diesel oil per year
– 6,200,000 tonnes of fuel oil per year
9. What Now?
The Port is safe, but Ukraine is not
~400 Miles From Boarder
Absolutely no civil unrest
yet
10. What Country Will Russia Invade Next?
Conflicts sparked by Putin
Since 1999
Ukraine East
(2014-?)
Georgia
(2008)
Crimea
(2014)
He’s blurred the lines
purposely to prevent a
“red line”.
But with the internet, we
NATO
NATO
NATO can just put our glasses on
NATO
NATO
NATO
NATO
NATO
NATO
NATO
Chechenya
(1999-2009)
11. Putin’s Crazy Rationale
From: Igor Markov, a Googler
• Putin is rational within his own objectives and worldview, which look very different from
the worldview of most other people with access to comprehensive information about
what is going on. He is willing to suffer temporary setbacks (such as weaker economy) if
he can achieve long-term strategic objectives, such as a viable Crimea as a part of
Russia and a weak, divided Ukraine that can never join NATO.
• Intimidation and threats are common techniques employed by Russia (there's a deep
tradition of such techniques among Russian organized crime). If you can force your victim
to yield without doing something terrible, you can claim that the victim did it voluntarily.
Otherwise, do what you threatened to do.
• Fear must be running high among the Russian leadership who know what is going
on. Thousands of dead Russian soldiers have been transported back to Russia (according
to fresh reports), and the Russian public is only starting to realize this. Some Russian
industries (tourism, car manufacturing) are collapsing. Due to sanctions, Russian
companies are cut from financing, and many will go bankrupt. Russian oil and gas
industry is cut from offshore-drilling technologies. Many military projects are stopped
or paused because they relied on key components from Ukraine - Russia has apparently
gave up on the plans to build aircraft carriers (corrections anyone?).
• A majority of Russian nuclear missiles were made in Ukraine. Ukraine used to service
them, but has now stopped doing that. If Russia has not broken service codes, the missiles
will gradually become unreliable.
• The super-aggressive posture is what you'd expect from someone who is in the corner
and is getting desperate.
12. Sanctions haven’t been totally worthless. Russia
is about to be in a world of inflation.
• So, when are we going to do a 2nd round?
1st Round Sanctions Take Effect for
EU, US & others
14. So we’ve been pulling all the money
out of Russia Equity
• But it’s not really enough. $4 Billion / Month is
a start. Time to CrowdFund some real supplies
• Please donate - http://wings-phoenix.org.ua/en